SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549



FORM 6-K

Report of Foreign Private Issuer
Pursuant to Rule 13a-16 or 15d-16 of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934

For the month of January, 2018

Commission File Number 1-34129



CENTRAIS ELÉTRICAS BRASILEIRAS S.A. - ELETROBRÁS
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)



BRAZILIAN ELECTRIC POWER COMPANY
(Translation of Registrant's name into English)



Avenida Presidente Vargas, 409 - 13th floor,
Edifício Herm. Stoltz - Centro, CEP 20071-003,
Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil
(Address of principal executive office)

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant files or will file annual reports under cover Form 20-F or Form 40-F. 

Form 20-F ___X___ Form 40-F _______

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant by furnishing the information contained in this Form is also thereby furnishing the information to the Commission pursuant to Rule 12g3-2(b) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

Yes _______ No___X____


 



 



 



 



 

Summary of the main points of attention (1/2)   
 
 
The content below presents the main points of attention identified during the accounting due diligence procedures. Accordingly, it does not 
include all matters identified and discussed in the due diligence report, and, therefore, must be read jointly with the whole report in order to 
provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified.   
 
 
1 Financial position  2 Impairment/onerous contract 
 
The Company has been ascertaining recurring losses (R$ 321.5 million in 2016  The concessions of the Eletrobras distribution companies 
and R$ 252.5 million in 2015), reaching an accumulated loss of R$ 1,252.8  expired in 2015. Although Decree no. 8461, of June 2, 2015, 
million as of Dec-16 and a net shareholders' equity of R$ 573.7 million.  provides for the extension of the electric energy distribution 
In addition, we identified an adjusted net indebtedness (after our adjustments  concessions, on June 22, 2016, the 165th Extraordinary General 
and reclassifications) as of Dec-16 of R$ 1,695.5 million and negative adjusted  Shareholders’ Meeting of Eletrobras decided not to extend the 
EBITDA for 2016 of R$ 196.6 million.  concessions of its controlled companies of power distribution. 
According to the management, the main reasons for the Company’s current   
financial situation are:  Accordingly, the Company started to operate as a public utility 
    Company, on a temporary basis, until the earlier of the 
-  Significant value of assets in service not yet included in the “armored” basis  assumption by a new concessionaire or December 31, 2017. 
  [base blindada], resulting in a tariff below the one necessary to cover the   
  operating costs;  As a consequence, considering that the Company also has power 
-  Delay in the receipt of subsidies (CDE, CVA, among others);  purchase agreements in force for periods going beyond 
-  High level of client default and technical and operating losses;  December 31, 2017, a provision for impairment of the fixed 
    assets was registered in 2016, in the amount of R$ 32.4 million, 
-  Late payment to suppliers and other liabilities (as a consequence of the  as well as an additional provision for onerous contract in the 
  items above), generating cash unbalance and increase in expenses with  amount of R$ 7.8 million. 
  financial charges and arrears penalties.   
We should stress that the Company’s current financial position, associated  In the management’s view, after conclusion of the privatization 
with the tariff gap (e.g., significant volume of assets in service not yet included  process, associated with a program to bring back the company’s 
in the “armored” basis), with the investment level during the period of  financial health, those provisions may be reversed, not 
provision of the services, among other factors, may result in additional risks  necessarily generating a future cash expenditure. 
for the Company, mainly in the last fiscal years. We understand that those   
factors may impair the obtainment of an EBITDA on a recurring and   
normalized basis, making it more difficult, therefore, to make a comparison   
between the historical periods.   
 
 
Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies  10 agosto 2017 
PwC  3 

 


 

Summary of the main points of attention (2/2)   
 
 
The content below presents the main points of attention identified during the accounting due diligence procedures. Accordingly, it does 
not include all matters identified and discussed in the due diligence report, and, therefore, must be read jointly with the whole report in 
order to provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified.   
 
3 Lawsuit against all distribution   
 
companies  4 Risk due to the loss of exclusivity of 
 
A public civil action was filed by the National Consumers Association   the client Braskem 
ANDECO against all Electric Energy Concessionaires in the country with  According to the management, in 2017 the Company lost exclusivity in 
respect to prevention and remediation of collective damages against  the supply of electricity to the client Braskem. Accordingly, there may 
consumers, with a request for preliminary injunction in order for the  be reductions in the volume of power distribution in relation to the 
companies to refrain from charging the claimed losses from the  historical volume, as well as in the receivables from clients. 
consumers in the electricity bills, including pro rata, as well as the losses   
sustained due to billing or measurement errors, theft, and fraud in the  It is not possible to estimate, now, the possible impacts on the 
period from 2010 to 2014. ANDECO also pursues the annulment of all  Company’s EBITDA and working capital, but, according to the 
ANEEL Resolutions that allow the collection and inclusion in the bills of  management, the gross revenue from power distribution to Braskem 
sums related to non-technical and technical losses. The value of the  was approximately R$ 4 million per month. 
matter is R$ 27 billion, but the amount charged from Companhia  We suggest that such impact be discussed together with the Economic 
Energética de Alagoas is R$ 3.8 billion.  Valuation area. 
The plaintiff maintains that, notwithstanding ANEEL’s authorization,   
the prorated billing of non-technical losses (fraud, theft, measurement   
and billing errors, and supply without measurement) is groundless and,  5 Tax and labor exposures 
therefore, the distribution companies must indemnify the regular   
consumers in twice as much (double indemnification provided for in the  It is important to stress that, during our works, we identified several 
law) the amounts charged in the period from 2010 to 2014, according to  procedures adopted by the Company that may result in questioning and 
their respective balance sheets. It also pursues the annulment of all  assessments by the labor and social security and the federal, state, and 
ANEEL Resolutions that allow the collection and inclusion in the bills of  municipal tax authorities. In what respects such procedures, the 
sums related to non-technical and technical losses.  respective value of the contingencies that may potentially emerge if 
  they are identified and questioned corresponds to R$ 642.1 million. 
This lawsuit was classified by the Company’s lawyer as with risk of  Please note that there are other non-quantified adjustments. 
possible loss. Due to the relevance of the case, we recommend that you   
further develop the discussions with the legal area about the potential   
risks that this matter involves.   
 
Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies  10 agosto 2017 
PwC  4 

 


 

Exhibit I Adjusted EBITDA (1/6)         
 
The content below presents the main points of attention identified during the accounting due diligence procedures. Accordingly, it does not 
include all matters identified and discussed in the due diligence report, and, therefore, must be read jointly with the whole report in order to 
provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified.   
Quality of earnings – CEAL      The table on the left displays the Company’s quality of earnings (EBITDA) 
    FY15  FY16  analysis for the fiscal years ended on December 31, 2015 (FY15) and 
In R$ thousand  (Audited)  (Audited)  December 31, 2016 (FY16). 
Net revenue  1,363,076  1,211,766   
Net profit (loss)  (252,585)  (321,539)  The adjustments suggested were calculated based on the information 
        provided by the Company's management. Those adjustments were 
Add-backs (reversions)  132,177  149,119   
Financial results  104,539  118,906  made as a result of our analysis, according to financial and 
Depreciation/amortization  27,637  30,213  management information prepared by the Company’s management. 
IR and CSLL  -  -  The EBITDA corresponds to the net profit subtracted of certain 
Reported EBITDA  (120,409)  (172,420)  reclassification items, such as net financial results, taxes and social 
% on net revenue  (9%)  (14%)  contributions on the earned income (Income Tax (IRPJ) and Social 
Reclassifications  (25,843)  34,731  Contribution on Net Profit (CSLL)), depreciation and amortization. 
1  Reclassification of the new replacement value  (25,843)  (5,524)   
2  Reclassification of impairment provisions  -  32,446  We should stress that the Company’s current financial position, 
3  Reclassification of the provision for onerous liabilities  -  7,809  associated with the tariff gap (e.g., significant volume of assets in 
Accounting adjustments  -  -  service not yet included in the “armored” basis), with the investment 
Normalization adjustments  32,566  (57,246)  level during the period of provision of the services, among other factors, 
4  Normalization of expenses with PCLD  32,566  (57,246)  may result in additional risks for the Company, mainly in the last fiscal 
Tax and labor adjustments  (1,571)  (1,631)   
5  Tax, labor, and social security impacts  (1,571)  (1,631)  years. We understand that those factors may impair the obtainment of 
Adjusted EBITDA  (115,257)  (196,566)  an EBITDA on a recurring and normalized basis, making it more 
% on net revenue  (8%)  (16%)  difficult, therefore, to compare the historical periods. 
Non-quantified adjustment  NQ  NQ  Comments on the adjustments identified are detailed below and in the 
6  Employee insourcing  NQ  NQ  next pages of this summary. 
7  Normalization of the revenue from excess demand and excess       
  of reactive power  NQ  NQ  Reclassification adjustments 
8  Financial impacts due to Braskem loss  NQ  NQ  1. Reclassification of the new replacement value: This is the 
Other considerations  (7,283)  (13,295)  monetary restatement of the concession assets basis expected to be 
9  Potential normalization of provision for contingencies  (7,283)  (13,295)  paid to the Company after the concession period. Since those sums 
10 Potential risk of change in the CVA values  NQ  NQ  are not characterized as operating, and considering the current 
11 Costs with new structure/Companies integration  NQ  NQ   
12 Undue charges – Angra 3  -  NQ  situation of the distribution Company, we understand that they 
13 Other potential adjustments  NQ  NQ    should not be part of the recurring EBITDA analysis for the period. 
Source: Audited financial statements and Pw C analysis         
 
Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies      10 agosto 2017 
PwC      5 

 


 

Exhibit I Adjusted EBITDA (2/6)               
 
The content below presents the main points of attention identified during the accounting due diligence procedures. Accordingly, it does not 
include all matters identified and discussed in the due diligence report, and, therefore, must be read jointly with the whole report in order to 
 
provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified.  2.  Reclassification of impairment provisions: We suggest the 
Quality of earnings – CEAL        reversion of the impacts from the recognition and/or reversion of 
    FY15  FY16    the provision for recoverability of the intangible assets 
In R$ thousand  (Audited)  (Audited)    (impairment), considering that those values are purely accounting 
Net revenue  1,363,076  1,211,766    entries which do not directly impact the Company’s cash flow 
Net profit (loss)  (252,585)  (321,539)    generation.     
Add-backs (reversions)  132,177  149,119         
Financial results  104,539  118,906  3.  Reclassification of the provision for onerous liabilities: 
Depreciation/amortization  27,637  30,213    We identified that, in 2016, the Company recognized a provision 
IR and CSLL  -  -    for onerous contracts in the total amount of R$ 7.8m during the 
Reported EBITDA  (120,409)  (172,420)    evaluation of the recoverability of its concession/intangible assets. 
% on net revenue  (9%)  (14%)         
          Since those sums are purely accounting entries, which do not 
Reclassifications  (25,843)  34,731         
1  Reclassification of the new replacement value  (25,843)  (5,524)    directly impact the Company’s cash generation, we suggest that 
2  Reclassification of impairment provisions  -  32,446    they be excluded for purposes of analysis of normalized EBITDA. 
3  Reclassification of the provision for onerous liabilities  -  7,809         
Accounting adjustments  -  -  Normalization adjustments     
Normalization adjustments  32,566  (57,246)  4.  Normalization of expenses with Provision for Doubtfully 
4  Normalization of expenses with PCLD  32,566  (57,246)    Accounts (PCLD): We note that the PCLD is automatically and 
Tax and labor adjustments  (1,571)  (1,631)    systemically calculated, following the criteria established by 
5  Tax, labor, and social security impacts  (1,571)  (1,631)    Eletrobras, and that such criteria tends to be more conservative 
Adjusted EBITDA  (115,257)  (196,566)    than those established by ANEEL. Since those provisions are not of 
% on net revenue  (8%)  (16%)    a financial nature and their variations are not historically constant, 
Non-quantified adjustment  NQ  NQ         
6  Employee insourcing  NQ  NQ    we understand that, for purposes of normalized EBITDA, it must 
7  Normalization of the revenue from excess demand and excess        be considered only the impacts from losses resulting from 
  of reactive power  NQ  NQ    payments from clients that effectively materialized in the period; 
8  Financial impacts due to Braskem loss  NQ  NQ    accordingly, we suggest the reversion of the PCLD in the period. 
Other considerations  (7,283)  (13,295)    In R$ thousand  FY15  FY16 
9  Potential normalization of provision for contingencies  (7,283)  (13,295)         
10 Potential risk of change in the CVA values  NQ  NQ    Net revenue  1,363,076  1,211,766 
11 Costs with new structure/Companies integration  NQ  NQ    PCLD / Losses result  (98,489)  (1,947) 
12 Undue charges – Angra 3  -  NQ    Proposed adjustment  32,566  (57,246) 
13 Other potential adjustments  NQ  NQ    Losses in the period  (65,923)  (59,193) 
Source: Audited financial statements and Pw C analysis          % of losses on net revenue  5%  5% 
 
Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies            10 agosto 2017 
PwC            6 

 


 

Exhibit I Adjusted EBITDA (3/6)               
 
The content below presents the main points of attention identified during the accounting due diligence procedures. Accordingly, it does not 
include all matters identified and discussed in the due diligence report, and, therefore, must be read jointly with the whole report in order to 
provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified.         
Quality of earnings – CEAL             
        Tax and labor adjustments     
    FY15  FY16         
In R$ thousand  (Audited)  (Audited)  5.  Tax, labor, and social security impacts: refer to potential 
Net revenue  1,363,076  1,211,766    additional impacts resulting from the issues described in this 
Net profit (loss)  (252,585)  (321,539)    summary, both quantified and non-quantified, classified as 
Add-backs (reversions)  132,177  149,119    probable loss by the Company’s legal advisors.   
Financial results  104,539  118,906         
Depreciation/amortization  27,637  30,213  #  Description  31-Dec-15  31-Dec-16 
IR and CSLL  -  -         
        4  CVA  -  - 
Reported EBITDA  (120,409)  (172,420)  Total tax exposures  -  - 
% on net revenue  (9%)  (14%)  3  Irregularities related to work days  1,571  1,631 
Reclassifications  (25,843)  34,731  Total labor exposures  1,571  1,631 
1  Reclassification of the new replacement value  (25,843)  (5,524)  Total tax and labor exposures + NQ  1,571  1,631 
2  Reclassification of impairment provisions  -  32,446         
3  Reclassification of the provision for onerous liabilities  -  7,809         
Accounting adjustments  -  -  Non-quantified adjustments     
Normalization adjustments  32,566  (57,246)         
4  Normalization of expenses with PCLD  32,566  (57,246)  6.  Employee insourcing: The management understands that, as 
Tax and labor adjustments  (1,571)  (1,631)    determined by law, the Company needs to insource employees of 
5  Tax, labor, and social security impacts  (1,571)  (1,631)    its operations (consumption measurement and like   
Adjusted EBITDA  (115,257)  (196,566)    professionals), which will increase the costs, due to issues of 
% on net revenue  (8%)  (16%)    inefficiency and equivalence of labor benefits. We understand 
Non-quantified adjustment  NQ  NQ    that those impacts may influence the Company’s future results. 
6  Employee insourcing  NQ  NQ         
7  Normalization of the revenue from excess demand and excess  NQ  NQ         
  of reactive power             
8  Financial impacts due to Braskem loss  NQ  NQ         
Other considerations  (7,283)  (13,295)         
9  Potential normalization of provision for contingencies  (7,283)  (13,295)         
10 Potential risk of change in the CVA values  NQ  NQ         
11 Costs with new structure/Companies integration  NQ  NQ         
12 Undue charges – Angra 3  -  NQ         
13 Other potential adjustments  NQ  NQ         
Source: Audited financial statements and Pw C analysis               
 
Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies            10 agosto 2017 
PwC            7 

 


 

Exhibit I Adjusted EBITDA (4/6)           
 
The content below presents the main points of attention identified during the accounting due diligence procedures. Accordingly, it does not 
include all matters identified and discussed in the due diligence report, and, therefore, must be read jointly with the whole report in order to 
provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified.     
Quality of earnings – CEAL      7.  Normalization of the revenue from excess demand and 
    FY15  FY16    excess of reactive power: The revenues earned with excess 
In R$ thousand  (Audited)  (Audited)    demand and excess of reactive power must be accounted for as 
Net revenue  1,363,076  1,211,766    “Obligations Related to the Electric Power Utility Service,” which 
Net profit (loss)  (252,585)  (321,539)    will be amortized starting on the next cycle of tariff review, after its 
Add-backs (reversions)  132,177  149,119    recognition. However, the Company recognized those sums as 
Financial results  104,539  118,906    revenues in the fiscal years of 2013-2016 and later, in FY16, 
Depreciation/amortization  27,637  30,213    reversed 100% of the sums recognized as liabilities until the next 
IR and CSLL  -  -     
Reported EBITDA  (120,409)  (172,420)    cycle of tariff review. Due to the unavailability of information 
% on net revenue  (9%)  (14%)    related to the period of those sums, it was not possible to quantify 
Reclassifications  (25,843)  34,731    the impacts for normalization of the Company’s recurring 
1  Reclassification of the new replacement value  (25,843)  (5,524)    EBITDA. 
2  Reclassification of impairment provisions  -  32,446  8.  Financial impacts due to Braskem loss: As mentioned, in 
3  Reclassification of the provision for onerous liabilities  -  7,809    2017 the Company lost exclusivity in the supply of electricity to the 
Accounting adjustments  -  -     
Normalization adjustments  32,566  (57,246)    client Braskem. It is not possible to estimate, now, the possible 
4  Normalization of expenses with PCLD  32,566  (57,246)    impact on the Company’s EBITDA, but, according to the 
Tax and labor adjustments  (1,571)  (1,631)    management, the gross revenue from power distribution to 
5  Tax, labor, and social security impacts  (1,571)  (1,631)    Braskem was approximately R$ 4 million per month. We suggest 
Adjusted EBITDA  (115,257)  (196,566)    that such impact be discussed with the area in charge of Economic 
% on net revenue  (8%)  (16%)    Valuation. 
Non-quantified adjustment  NQ  NQ     
6  Employee insourcing  NQ  NQ  Other considerations 
7  Normalization of the revenue from excess demand and excess      9.  Potential normalization of provision for contingencies: 
    NQ  NQ     
  of reactive power        We verified that the Company’s EBITDA is being impacted by 
8  Financial impacts due to Braskem loss  NQ  NQ    provisions for contingencies that are not characterized as financial 
Other considerations  (7,283)  (13,295)    and/or operating for the business. We understand that, for 
9  Potential normalization of provision for contingencies  (7,283)  (13,295)    purposes of analysis of recurring and operational EBITDA, it must 
10 Potential risk of change in the CVA values  NQ  NQ     
11 Costs with new structure/Companies integration  NQ  NQ    be considered only the sums duly paid between the periods, to 
12 Undue charges – Angra 3  -  NQ    which we did not have access because the Company did not supply 
13 Other potential adjustments  NQ  NQ    its controls. 
Source: Audited financial statements and Pw C analysis           
 
Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies        10 agosto 2017 
PwC        8 

 


 

Exhibit I Adjusted EBITDA (5/6)       
 
The content below presents the main points of attention identified during the accounting due diligence procedures. Accordingly, it does not 
include all matters identified and discussed in the due diligence report, and, therefore, must be read jointly with the whole report in order to 
provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified.   
Quality of earnings – CEAL           10. Potential risk of change in the CVA values: The Account for 
    FY15  FY16  Compensation of “Portion A” Variations (CVA) records the difference 
In R$ thousand  (Audited)  (Audited)  between the costs estimated in the tariff (Portion A) and the costs 
Net revenue  1,363,076  1,211,766  effectively incurred, creating a payable or receivable balance (and, 
Net profit (loss)  (252,585)  (321,539)  consequently, an expense or a revenue) for the Company. Such 
Add-backs (reversions)  132,177  149,119  amounts to be paid/received are ratified each year by ANEEL. We 
Financial results  104,539  118,906  found that, historically, the amounts ascertained by the Company may 
Depreciation/amortization  27,637  30,213   
IR and CSLL  -  -  significantly differ from those ratified by ANEEL, mainly with respect 
Reported EBITDA  (120,409)  (172,420)  to the financial items, which are not controlled by the Company. 
% on net revenue  (9%)  (14%)  Considering that the ratification process happens close to the end of the 
Reclassifications  (25,843)  34,731  fiscal year (between September and October), we understand that there 
1  Reclassification of the new replacement value  (25,843)  (5,524)  are no material discrepancies for the balances accounted for in Dec-15 
2  Reclassification of impairment provisions  -  32,446  and Dec-16. On the other hand, those differences may become 
3  Reclassification of the provision for onerous liabilities  -  7,809  significant over the months. 
Accounting adjustments  -  -   
Normalization adjustments  32,566  (57,246)  11. Costs with new structure/Companies integration: We note that, 
4  Normalization of expenses with PCLD  32,566  (57,246)  depending on the changes in the Company’s current structure that are 
Tax and labor adjustments  (1,571)  (1,631)  made after the conclusion of the privatization process, as well as on the 
5  Tax, labor, and social security impacts  (1,571)  (1,631)   
        measures required for the potential integration with an investor, the 
Adjusted EBITDA  (115,257)  (196,566)   
% on net revenue  (8%)  (16%)  Company’s EBITDA may change significantly. In addition, possible 
Non-quantified adjustment  NQ  NQ  changes in the compensation of the new management must be 
6  Employee insourcing  NQ  NQ  considered in the Company’s result. We recommend that this issue be 
7  Normalization of the revenue from excess demand and excess      discussed with the “Economic and Legal Assessment” area. 
  of reactive power  NQ  NQ   
8  Financial impacts due to Braskem loss  NQ  NQ  12. Undue charges Angra 3: According to ANEEL’s information, the 
Other considerations  (7,283)  (13,295)  power distribution companies that belong to the interconnected system 
9  Potential normalization of provision for contingencies  (7,283)  (13,295)  unduly charged from their consumers in 2016 certain amounts related 
10 Potential risk of change in the CVA values  NQ  NQ  to the estimated costs of the nuclear power plant Angra 3. We have not 
11 Costs with new structure/Companies integration  NQ  NQ  had access to the sums to be reimbursed to the Company’s consumers, 
12 Undue charges – Angra 3  -  NQ  but we were informed that such reimbursement would be made by 
13 Other potential adjustments  NQ  NQ   
Source: Audited financial statements and Pw C analysis      means of discount (of approximately 7.66%) in the April 2017 bill. 
 
Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies      10 agosto 2017 
PwC      9 

 


 

Exhibit I Adjusted EBITDA (6/6)       
 
 
The content below presents the main points of attention identified during the accounting due diligence procedures. Accordingly, it does not 
include all matters identified and discussed in the due diligence report, and, therefore, must be read jointly with the whole report in order to 
provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified.   
 
Quality of earnings – CEAL      13. Other potential adjustments: Considering the defined scope of 
    FY15  FY16  our works; the limitations in the information provided; the tax, 
In R$ thousand  (Audited)  (Audited)  labor, and social security exposures that could not be quantified; 
Net revenue  1,363,076  1,211,766   
        and possible non-recoverable assets adjustments (e.g., inventory 
Net profit (loss)  (252,585)  (321,539)  with low recoverability expectation); other potential adjustments 
Add-backs (reversions)  132,177  149,119   
Financial results  104,539  118,906  may be necessary, in order to better reflect the Company’s 
Depreciation/amortization  27,637  30,213  normalized and recurring EBITDA. In addition, we recommend 
IR and CSLL  -  -  that this summary be read jointly with the reports of the other due 
Reported EBITDA  (120,409)  (172,420)  diligence areas (operational, legal, HR, insurance, and 
% on net revenue  (9%)  (14%)  environmental). 
Reclassifications  (25,843)  34,731   
1  Reclassification of the new replacement value  (25,843)  (5,524)   
2  Reclassification of impairment provisions  -  32,446   
3  Reclassification of the provision for onerous liabilities  -  7,809   
Accounting adjustments  -  -   
Normalization adjustments  32,566  (57,246)   
4  Normalization of expenses with PCLD  32,566  (57,246)   
Tax and labor adjustments  (1,571)  (1,631)   
5  Tax, labor, and social security impacts  (1,571)  (1,631)   
Adjusted EBITDA  (115,257)  (196,566)   
% on net revenue  (8%)  (16%)   
Non-quantified adjustment  NQ  NQ   
6  Employee insourcing  NQ  NQ   
7  Normalization of the revenue from excess demand and excess  NQ  NQ   
  of reactive power       
8  Financial impacts due to Braskem loss  NQ  NQ   
Other considerations  (7,283)  (13,295)   
9  Potential normalization of provision for contingencies  (7,283)  (13,295)   
10 Potential risk of change in the CVA values  NQ  NQ   
11 Costs with new structure/Companies integration  NQ  NQ   
12 Undue charges – Angra 3  -  NQ   
13 Other potential adjustments  NQ  NQ   
Source: Audited financial statements and Pw C analysis       
 
Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies      10 agosto 2017 
PwC      10 

 


 

Exhibit II Net indebtedness (1/5)         
 
The content below presents the main points of attention identified during the accounting due diligence procedures. Accordingly, it does not 
include all matters identified and discussed in the due diligence report, and, therefore, must be read jointly with the whole report in order to 
provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified.     
 
Net indebtedness      The table on the left displays the Company’s net indebtedness, based 
In R$ thousand  Dec-15  Dec-16  on the audited financial statements for the years ended on December 
Cash and cash equivalents  22,801  21,804  31, 2015 (Dec-16) and December 31, 2016 (Dec-16). 
Securities - TVM  19,337  14,709     
Loans – short term  (310,110)  (34,794)  We note that the concept of Net Indebtedness is not contemplated in 
Loans – long term  (864,330)  (1,427,343)  the accounting practices adopted in Brazil, being it rather a 
Net financial indebtedness  (1,132,302)  (1,425,624)  contractual definition. For the purpose of our analysis, we 
Collaterals and deposits in court - long term  41,845  60,119  considered, in addition to the net financial indebtedness, other items 
Post-employment benefit – short term  (6,402)  (2,389)  and transactions with financing features. 
Payable taxes  (48,492)  (87,794)     
Industry charges – long term  (21,434)  (17,870)  The adjustments suggested and reported were prepared based on 
Post-employment benefit – long term  (32,504)  (41,219)  management information and reports, accounting trial balances, and 
Provisions for lawsuits  (95,993)  (109,288)  enquiries made to the Company’s management. We note that, due to 
Indemnification obligations - long term  (2,775)  -  limited information and scope, there may be adjustments that could 
Other liabilities – long term  (31,892)  (33,603)  not be quantified/identified during our analysis. 
Other debt items  (197,647)  (232,044)     
Reported net indebtedness  (1,329,949)  (1,657,668)  Reclassifications between working capital 
Reclassification between working capital and net      and net indebtedness 
indebtedness  (88,818)  (37,852)     
1  Rights to unpaid indemnification from previous periods  -  3,564  1.  Rights to unpaid indemnification from previous 
2  Return of sums related to the Light for All program  (38,779)  (11,754)    periods: We suggest the reclassification from net working 
3  Suppliers with past due credits  (40,692)  (13,382)    capital to indebtedness of the Energy Development Account 
4  Installment payment of taxes – short term  (2,834)  (11,722)    (CDE) receivable balances (recorded in the Indemnification 
5  Reclassification of related parties  281  263    Right account CP) generated more 12 months ago. 
6  Other liabilities – short term  (6,794)  (4,821)    Accordingly, the proposed adjustment considers the CDE 
Subtotal  (88,818)  (37,852)     
          amounts related to fiscal year 2015. 
Adjustments proposed by the due diligence  NQ  (29)     
7  Restricted cash balance  NQ  (29)  2.  Return of sums related to the Light for All [Luz para 
Subtotal  NQ  (29)    Todos] program: Sums received and not used for the Light for 
Adjusted net indebtedness  (1,418,767)  (1,695,549)    All program, which must be returned to Eletrobras. 
Other considerations  997,819  1,214,898     
Source: Audited trial balances and Pw C analysis           
 
Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies        10 agosto 2017 
PwC        11 

 


 

Exhibit II Net indebtedness (2/5)             
 
The content below presents the main points of attention identified during the accounting due diligence procedures. Accordingly, it does not 
include all matters identified and discussed in the due diligence report, and, therefore, must be read jointly with the whole report in order to 
provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified.         
Net indebtedness             
        3.  Suppliers with past due credits: We suggest the   
In R$ thousand  Dec-15  Dec-16    reclassification as net indebtedness of 100% of the suppliers’ 
Cash and cash equivalents  22,801  21,804    past due payable balances, due to their nature of financing. 
Securities - TVM  19,337  14,709         
Loans – short term  (310,110)  (34,794)  4.  Installment payment of taxes short term: We are 
Loans – long term  (864,330)  (1,427,343)    suggesting the reclassification as net indebtedness of 100% of the 
Net financial indebtedness  (1,132,302)  (1,425,624)    taxes payable in installments, classified in the current liabilities, 
Collaterals and deposits in court - long term  41,845  60,119    due to their nature of financing. The outstanding balance of 
Post-employment benefit – short term  (6,402)  (2,389)    installment payments of taxes classified in the non-current 
Payable taxes  (48,492)  (87,794)    liabilities is already included in the reported net indebtedness. 
Industry charges – long term  (21,434)  (17,870)         
Post-employment benefit – long term  (32,504)  (41,219)  5.  Reclassification of related parties: It refers to balances 
Provisions for lawsuits  (95,993)  (109,288)    receivable from related parties for employee loans (assigned) 
Indemnification obligations - long term  (2,775)  -    repaid by the Company. In view of their nature, we suggest their 
Other liabilities – long term  (31,892)  (33,603)    reclassification as Company’s indebtedness.     
Other debt items  (197,647)  (232,044)         
Reported net indebtedness  (1,329,949)  (1,657,668)  6.  Other liabilities short term: We identified certain 
Reclassification between working capital and net        liabilities classified in the Company’s current liabilities which, in 
indebtedness  (88,818)  (37,852)    our view, are not characterized as operating working capital, as 
1  Rights to unpaid indemnification from previous periods  -  3,564    detailed below:     
2  Return of sums related to the Light for All program  (38,779)  (11,754)         
3  Suppliers with past due credits  (40,692)  (13,382)         
4  Installment payment of taxes – short term  (2,834)  (11,722)    In R$ thousand  Dec-15  Dec-16 
5  Reclassification of related parties  281  263    Relates to regulatory and punitive fines, which are not  6,794  4,821 
6  Other liabilities – short term  (6,794)  (4,821)    characterized as working capital     
Subtotal  (88,818)  (37,852)    Adjustment for reclassification as debt  6,794  4,821 
Adjustments proposed by the due diligence  NQ  (29)    Source: Pw C analysis and discussions w ith management     
7  Restricted cash balance  NQ  (29)         
Subtotal  NQ  (29)         
Adjusted net indebtedness  (1,418,767)  (1,695,549)         
Other considerations  997,819  1,214,898         
Source: Audited trial balances and Pw C analysis               
 
Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies          10 agosto 2017 
PwC            12 

 


 

Exhibit II Net indebtedness (3/5)             
 
The content below presents the main points of attention identified during the accounting due diligence procedures. Accordingly, it does not 
include all matters identified and discussed in the due diligence report, and, therefore, must be read jointly with the whole report in order to 
provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified.         
 
Net indebtedness      Adjustments proposed by the due diligence   
In R$ thousand  Dec-15  Dec-16         
        7. Restricted cash balance: We were informed that certain 
Cash and cash equivalents  22,801  21,804  sums maintained in the cash and cash equivalents account (cash 
Securities - TVM  19,337  14,709         
Loans – short term  (310,110)  (34,794)  deposits, financial investments, etc.) are not immediately 
Loans – long term  (864,330)  (1,427,343)  available. Accordingly, we are excluding those sums from the 
Net financial indebtedness  (1,132,302)  (1,425,624)  position as Company net indebtedness.     
Collaterals and deposits in court - long term  41,845  60,119         
Post-employment benefit – short term  (6,402)  (2,389)  Other considerations:     
Payable taxes  (48,492)  (87,794)  i.  Tax, labor, and social security impacts: We are   
Industry charges – long term  (21,434)  (17,870)    considering, for purposes of analysis of the Company’s net 
Post-employment benefit – long term  (32,504)  (41,219)    indebtedness, the tax, labor, and social security exposures 
Provisions for lawsuits  (95,993)  (109,288)         
Indemnification obligations - long term  (2,775)  -    classified as with risk of probable loss (see specific exhibit in 
Other liabilities – long term  (31,892)  (33,603)    this summary). We note that the amount presented here already 
Other debt items  (197,647)  (232,044)    considers possible fines and interest to be added upon an 
Reported net indebtedness  (1,329,949)  (1,657,668)    assessment by the tax authorities.     
Reclassification between working capital and net      #  Description  31-Dec-15 31-Dec-16 
indebtedness  (88,818)  (37,852)  4  CVA  11,590  13,808 
Adjustments proposed by the due diligence  NQ  (29)  Total tax exposures  11,590  13,808 
7  Restricted cash balance  NQ  (29)  3  Irregularities related to work days  7,154  8,862 
Subtotal  NQ  (29)  Total labor exposures  7,154  8,862 
Adjusted net indebtedness  (1,418,767)  (1,695,549)  Total tax and labor exposures + NQ  18,744  22,670 
Other considerations  997,819  1,214,898         
i  Tax, labor, and social security impacts  (18,744)  (22,670)  ii.  Financial asset public utility concessions: It refers to 
ii  Financial asset – public utility concessions  732,843  845,035    the financial asset indemnifiable in the end of the   
iii  Clients with past due and installment payments  283,720  392,533    concession/service period. Depending on how the Company’s 
iv  Collaterals and deposits in court - long term  NQ  NQ    sale is structured, the indemnifiable balance may be converted 
v  Provision for contingencies  NQ  NQ    into cash, thus reducing the level of net indebtedness.   
vi CAPEX investments  NQ  NQ         
vii Undue charges – Angra 3  -  NQ         
viii Other potential adjustments  NQ  NQ         
Source: Audited trial balances and Pw C analysis               
 
Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies        10 agosto 2017 
PwC            13 

 


 

Exhibit II Net indebtedness (4/5)             
 
The content below presents the main points of attention identified during the accounting due diligence procedures. Accordingly, it does not 
include all matters identified and discussed in the due diligence report, and, therefore, must be read jointly with the whole report in order to 
provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified.         
 
Net indebtedness      Other considerations:     
 
In R$ thousand  Dec-15  Dec-16  iii.  Clients with past due and installment payments: We 
Cash and cash equivalents  22,801  21,804    identified outstanding balances of clients’ past due and 
Securities - TVM  19,337  14,709         
Loans – short term  (310,110)  (34,794)    installment payments, classified in the current and non-current 
Loans – long term  (864,330)  (1,427,343)    assets. Although they do not represent a cash item with 
Net financial indebtedness  (1,132,302)  (1,425,624)    immediate liquidity, we understand that they are a receivable of 
Collaterals and deposits in court - long term  41,845  60,119    the Company, which, therefore, must be included in possible 
Post-employment benefit – short term  (6,402)  (2,389)    cash flow projections.     
Payable taxes  (48,492)  (87,794)         
Industry charges – long term  (21,434)  (17,870)    In R$ thousand  Dec-15  Dec-16 
Post-employment benefit – long term  (32,504)  (41,219)    Clients – current assets  71,631  78,586 
Provisions for lawsuits  (95,993)  (109,288)    Clients – non-current assets  212,089  313,947 
Indemnification obligations - long term  (2,775)  -    Total  283,720  392,533 
Other liabilities – long term  (31,892)  (33,603)         
Other debt items  (197,647)  (232,044)  iv.  Long term collaterals and deposits in court: We note that 
Reported net indebtedness  (1,329,949)  (1,657,668)    the deposits in court directly related to a provision for 
Reclassification between working capital and net        contingency must impact the indebtedness balances in the 
indebtedness  (88,818)  (37,852)    period. However, since the Company did not provide the 
Adjustments proposed by the due diligence  NQ  (29)    ancillary controls, it was not possible to determine if the full 
7  Restricted cash balance  NQ  (29)         
Subtotal  NQ  (29)    amount of the reported balances must be included in the 
Adjusted net indebtedness  (1,418,767)  (1,695,549)    analysis of the Company’s net indebtedness.   
Other considerations  997,819  1,214,898  v.  Provision for contingencies: We note that this summary 
i  Tax, labor, and social security impacts  (18,744)  (22,670)    does not consider possible changes in the projection of loss of 
ii  Financial asset – public utility concessions  732,843  845,035    the Company’s lawsuits, resulting from the legal due diligence 
iii  Clients with past due and installment payments  283,720  392,533    works.     
iv  Collaterals and deposits in court - long term  NQ  NQ         
v  Provision for contingencies  NQ  NQ         
vi CAPEX investments  NQ  NQ         
vii Undue charges – Angra 3  -  NQ         
viii Other potential adjustments  NQ  NQ         
Source: Audited trial balances and Pw C analysis               
 
Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies          10 agosto 2017 
PwC            14 

 


 

Exhibit II Net indebtedness (5/5)       
 
The content below presents the main points of attention identified during the accounting due diligence procedures. Accordingly, it does not 
include all matters identified and discussed in the due diligence report, and, therefore, must be read jointly with the whole report in order to 
provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified.   
 
Net indebtedness      Other considerations: 
In R$ thousand  Dec-15  Dec-16  vi. CAPEX investments: As mentioned before, the Company has 
Cash and cash equivalents  22,801  21,804  been operating as a public utility Company, which has resulted 
Securities - TVM  19,337  14,709   
Loans – short term  (310,110)  (34,794)  in a reduction in CAPEX investments, maintaining only those 
Loans – long term  (864,330)  (1,427,343)  that are essentially necessary to continue with the operational 
Net financial indebtedness  (1,132,302)  (1,425,624)  activities and the levels of quality required by the regulatory 
Collaterals and deposits in court - long term  41,845  60,119  agencies. We recommend that the you consider the impacts 
Post-employment benefit – short term  (6,402)  (2,389)  estimated by the result of the technical and operational due 
Payable taxes  (48,492)  (87,794)  diligence. 
Industry charges – long term  (21,434)  (17,870)   
Post-employment benefit – long term  (32,504)  (41,219)  vii. Undue charges Angra 3: According to ANEEL’s 
Provisions for lawsuits  (95,993)  (109,288)  information, the power distribution companies that belong to 
Indemnification obligations - long term  (2,775)  -  the interconnected system unduly charged from their 
Other liabilities – long term  (31,892)  (33,603)  consumers in 2016 certain amounts related to the estimated 
Other debt items  (197,647)  (232,044)  costs of the nuclear power plant Angra 3. We have not had 
Reported net indebtedness  (1,329,949)  (1,657,668)  access to the sums to be reimbursed to the Company’s 
Reclassification between working capital and net      consumers, but we were informed that such reimbursement 
indebtedness  (88,818)  (37,852)  would be made by means of discount (of approximately 7.66%) 
Adjustments proposed by the due diligence  NQ  (29)   
7  Restricted cash balance  NQ  (29)  in the April 2017 bill. 
Subtotal  NQ  (29)  viii. Other potential adjustments: Considering the defined 
Adjusted net indebtedness  (1,418,767)  (1,695,549)  scope of our works; the limitations in the information provided; 
Other considerations  997,819  1,214,898  the tax, labor, and social security exposures that could not be 
i  Tax, labor, and social security impacts  (18,744)  (22,670)  quantified; and possible non-recoverable assets adjustments 
ii  Financial asset – public utility concessions  732,843  845,035  (e.g., inventory with low recoverability expectation); other 
iii  Clients with past due and installment payments  283,720  392,533  potential adjustments may be necessary, in order to better 
iv  Collaterals and deposits in court - long term  NQ  NQ   
v  Provision for contingencies  NQ  NQ  reflect the Company’s net and recurring indebtedness. In 
vi  CAPEX investments  NQ  NQ  addition, we recommend that this summary be read jointly with 
vii Undue charges – Angra 3  -  NQ  the reports of the other due diligence areas (operational, legal, 
viii Other potential adjustments  NQ  NQ  HR, insurance, and environmental). 
Source: Audited trial balances and Pw C analysis         
 
Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies    10 agosto 2017 
PwC      15 

 


 

Exhibit III Net working capital (1/3)         
 
The content below presents the main points of attention identified during the accounting due diligence procedures. Accordingly, it does not 
include all matters identified and discussed in the due diligence report, and, therefore, must be read jointly with the whole report in order to 
provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified.       
Net working capital         
      We present in the chart on the left the Company’s net working 
In R$ thousand  Dec-15  Dec-16  capital as of December 31, 2015 (Dec-15) and 2016 (Dec-16), 
Clients – short term  344,668  313,949  prepared based on the audited financial statements. 
Taxes and social contributions – short term  11,686  12,625     
Indemnification right – short term  25,136  73,126  The adjustments suggested and reported were prepared based on 
Inventory  6,099  8,822  management information and reports, audited accounting trial 
Regulatory assets - short term  212,888  65,585  balances, and enquiries made to the Company’s management. We 
Other assets – short term  31,870  29,302  note that, due to limited information and scope, there may be 
 
Taxes Suppliers Regulatory and - contributions assets short term - long term  (106,414) (239,745) 38,252  (164,322) (76,785) 22,130  analysis. adjustments that could not be quantified/identified during our 
 
Labor Regulatory Indemnification obligations liabilities obligations - short - term short term  (124,005) (17,267) (77,153)  (115,289) (18,392) (45,373)  indebtedness Reclassifications between working capital and net 
Industry charges - short term  (24,103)  (30,955)    For further details, see the preceding exhibit of this summary, 
Other liabilities – short term  (22,571)  (20,272)    “net indebtedness.” 
Regulatory liabilities - long term  (16,380)  (6,801)     
Reported net working capital  42,961  47,350  Adjustments proposed by the due diligence 
Reclassification between working capital and net indebtedness  88,818  37,852     
Rights to unpaid indemnification from previous periods  -  (3,564)  1.  Inventory with low recoverability expectation: Items 
Return of sums related to the Light for All program  38,779  11,754    destined to sale (scraps) and lent materials, which are not 
Suppliers with past due credits  40,692  13,382    classified as operating working capital. 
Installment payment of taxes – short term  2,834  11,722     
Reclassification of related parties  (281)  (263)  2.  Clients with past due and installment payments: We 
Other liabilities – short term  6,794  4,821    identified outstanding balances of clients’ past due and 
Subtotal  88,818  37,852    installment payments, classified in the current assets, which we 
Adjustments proposed by the due diligence        suggest be excluded for purposes of analysis of the Company’s 
1 Inventory with low recoverability expectation  (1,319)  (1,225)    working capital. As mentioned before, although they do not 
2 Clients with past due and installment payments  (71,631)  (78,586)     
3 Other assets – short term  (4,399)  (5,816)    represent a cash item with immediate liquidity, we understand 
Subtotal  (77,350)  (85,627)    that they are a receivable of the Company, which, therefore, must 
Adjusted net working capital  54,429  (425)    be included in possible cash flow projections. 
Other considerations         
Source: Audited trial balances and Pw C analysis           
Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies        10 agosto 2017 
PwC        16 

 


 

Exhibit III Net working capital (2/3)           
 
The content below presents the main points of attention identified during the accounting due diligence procedures. Accordingly, it does not 
include all matters identified and discussed in the due diligence report, and, therefore, must be read jointly with the whole report in order to 
provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified.       
 
Net working capital      Adjustments proposed by the due diligence     
 
In R$ thousand  Dec-15  Dec-16  3. Other assets short term: We identified certain assets 
Clients – short term  344,668  313,949  classified in the Company’s current assets which, in our view, are 
Taxes and social contributions – short term  11,686  12,625  not characterized as operating working capital, as detailed 
Indemnification right – short term  25,136  73,126  below:     
Inventory  6,099  8,822       
Regulatory assets - short term  212,888  65,585  In R$ thousand  Dec-15  Dec-16 
Other assets – short term  31,870  29,302  Balance paid re. Decision no. 029211142, which     
Regulatory assets - long term  38,252  22,130  awaits decision  (452)  (452) 
Suppliers - short term  (239,745)  (164,322)  Goods to be written-off or scrapped  (846)  (1,343) 
Taxes and contributions  (106,414)  (76,785)  Scraps available for sale  (150)  (986) 
Indemnification obligations - short term  (77,153)  (45,373)       
        Re. balances questioned and not paid by the collection     
Regulatory liabilities - short term  (124,005)  (115,289)    (1,482)  (1,762) 
Labor obligations  (17,267)  (18,392)  agents of electricity bills, e.g., Banco do Brasil.     
Industry charges - short term  (24,103)  (30,955)  This adjustment aims to complete the PCLD balance,     
Other liabilities – short term  (22,571)  (20,272)  considering the time and the total outstanding value of  (1,285)  (1,088) 
Regulatory liabilities - long term  (16,380)  (6,801)  client receivables due to use of structure.     
Reported net working capital  42,961  47,350  Write-off of ICMS paid in excess longtime outstanding  (184)  (184) 
Reclassification between working capital and net      Adjustment for CG write-off  (4,399)  (5,816) 
indebtedness  88,818  37,852  Source: Pw C analysis and discussions w ith management     
Adjustments proposed by the due diligence           
1 Inventory with low recoverability expectation  (1,319)  (1,225)  Other considerations     
2 Clients with past due and installment payments  (71,631)  (78,586)       
3 Other assets – short term  (4,399)  (5,816)  i. Risk due to the loss of exclusivity of the client   
Subtotal  (77,350)  (85,627)  Braskem: As mentioned above, in 2017 the Company lost 
Adjusted net working capital  54,429  (425)  exclusivity in the supply of electricity to the client Braskem. It is 
Other considerations      not possible to estimate, now, the possible impact on the 
i  Risk due to the loss of exclusivity of the client Braskem  NQ  NQ  Company’s net working capital, but, according to the   
ii  Potential risk of change in the CVA values  NQ  NQ  management, the gross revenue from power distribution to 
iii Tax, labor, and social security exposures  NQ  NQ  Braskem was approximately R$ 4 million per month. We 
iv Other potential adjustments  NQ  NQ  suggest that such impact be discussed with the area in charge of 
Source: Audited trial balances and Pw C analysis        Economic Valuation.     
 
Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies        10 agosto 2017 
PwC          17 

 


 

Exhibit III Net working capital (3/3)         
 
The content below presents the main points of attention identified during the accounting due diligence procedures. Accordingly, it does not 
include all matters identified and discussed in the due diligence report, and, therefore, must be read jointly with the whole report in order to 
provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified.     
 
Net working capital      Other considerations 
 
In R$ thousand  Dec-15  Dec-16  ii.  Potential risk of change in the CVA values: The Account 
Clients – short term  344,668  313,949    for Compensation of “Portion A” Variations (CVA) records the 
Taxes and social contributions – short term  11,686  12,625    difference between the costs estimated in the tariff (Portion A) 
Indemnification right – short term  25,136  73,126    and the costs effectively incurred, creating a payable or 
Inventory  6,099  8,822    receivable balance (and, consequently, an expense or a revenue) 
Regulatory assets - short term  212,888  65,585    for the Company. Such amounts to be paid/received are ratified 
Other assets – short term  31,870  29,302    each year by ANEEL. We found that, historically, the amounts 
Regulatory assets - long term  38,252  22,130     
Suppliers - short term  (239,745)  (164,322)    ascertained by the Company may significantly differ from those 
Taxes and contributions  (106,414)  (76,785)    ratified by ANEEL, mainly with respect to the financial items, 
Indemnification obligations - short term  (77,153)  (45,373)    which are not controlled by the Company. Considering that the 
Regulatory liabilities - short term  (124,005)  (115,289)    ratification process happens close to the end of the fiscal year 
Labor obligations  (17,267)  (18,392)    (between September and October), we understand that there 
Industry charges - short term  (24,103)  (30,955)    are no material discrepancies for the balances accounted for in 
Other liabilities – short term  (22,571)  (20,272)     
Regulatory liabilities - long term  (16,380)  (6,801)    Dec-15 and Dec-16. On the other hand, those differences may 
Reported net working capital  42,961  47,350    become significant over the months. 
 
Reclassification between working capital and net      iii.  Tax, labor, and social security exposures: It refers to the 
indebtedness  88,818  37,852    impact on the net working capital of adjustment #5 presented in 
Adjustments proposed by the due diligence         
1 Inventory with low recoverability expectation  (1,319)  (1,225)    the quality of the results. We understand that any changes in 
2 Clients with past due and installment payments  (71,631)  (78,586)    the tax, labor, and social security procedures may also impact 
3 Other assets – short term  (4,399)  (5,816)    the Companies’ net working capital. 
Subtotal  (77,350)  (85,627)     
Adjusted net working capital  54,429  (425)  iv.  Other potential adjustments: See adjustment viii of the 
Other considerations        preceding exhibit. 
i  Risk due to the loss of exclusivity of the client Braskem  NQ  NQ     
ii  Potential risk of change in the CVA values  NQ  NQ     
iii Tax, labor, and social security exposures  NQ  NQ     
iv Other potential adjustments  NQ  NQ     
Source: Audited trial balances and Pw C analysis           
 
Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies        10 agosto 2017 
PwC        18 

 


 

Exhibit IV Balance Sheet             
 
 
 
 
Assets      Liabilities     
  Dec-15  Dec-16    Dec-15  Dec-16 
In R$ thousand  (Audited)  (Audited)  In R$ thousand  (Audited)  (Audited) 
Cash and cash equivalents  22,801  21,804  Suppliers - short term  239,745  164,322 
Securities - TVM  19,337  14,709  Loans – short term  310,110  34,794 
Clients – short term  344,668  313,949  Taxes and contributions  106,414  76,785 
Taxes and social contributions – short term  11,686  12,625  Indemnification obligations - short term  77,153  45,373 
Indemnification right – short term  25,136  73,126  Post-employment benefit – short term  6,402  2,389 
Inventory  6,099  8,822  Regulatory liabilities - short term  124,005  115,289 
Ongoing services  11,152  6,421  Labor obligations  17,267  18,392 
Regulatory assets - short term  212,888  65,585  Industry charges - short term  24,103  30,955 
Other assets – short term  31,870  29,302  Onerous Concession - short term  -  7,808 
Current assets  685,637  546,343  Other liabilities – short term  22,571  20,272 
Clients – long term  212,089  313,947  Current liabilities  927,770  516,379 
Taxes and social contributions – long term  5,019  4,264  Loans – long term  864,330  1,427,343 
Collaterals and deposits in court - long term  41,845  60,119  Payable taxes  48,492  87,794 
Financial asset – public utility concessions  732,843  845,035  Regulatory liabilities - long term  16,380  6,801 
Regulatory assets - long term  38,252  22,130  Industry charges – long term  21,434  17,870 
Other assets – long term  564  564  Advance for future capital increase (AFAC)  8,307  159,155 
Investments  168  168  Post-employment benefit – long term  32,504  41,219 
Intangible assets  54,047  4,984  Provisions for lawsuits  95,993  109,288 
Fixed assets  31,757  28,127  Indemnification obligations - long term  2,775  - 
Non-current assets  1,116,584  1,279,338  Other liabilities – long term  31,892  33,603 
Total assets  1,802,221  1,825,681  Non-current liabilities  1,122,107  1,883,073 
      Capital stock  726,447  734,754 
      Other comprehensive results  (42,808)  (55,691) 
      Accumulated losses  (931,295)  (1,252,834) 
      Net equity  (247,656)  (573,771) 
      Total liabilities  1,802,221  1,825,681 
        Source: Audited trial balances     
 
 
Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies        10 agosto 2017 
PwC          19 

 


 

Exhibit V Income Statement       
 
 
 
 
Income Statement       
 
In R$ thousand  FY15  FY16   
Net revenue  1,364,461  1,211,766   
Operating Cost  (1,276,152)  (1,230,563)   
Cost of Electricity  (984,186)  (914,247)   
Electricity bought for resale  (894,482)  (839,907)   
Charges for use of transmission grid  (89,705)  (74,340)   
Operations Cost  (191,313)  (194,349)   
Labor, materials, and third parties services  (146,162)  (150,488)   
Depreciation and amortization  (27,637)  (30,212)   
Other  (17,513)  (13,649)   
Construction Cost  (100,652)  (121,967)   
Gross Profit  88,309  (18,796)   
Operating Expenses/Revenues  (236,355)  (183,836)   
Income from Electricity Service  (148,046)  (202,633)   
Financial revenue  98,868  126,496   
Financial expenses  (203,407)  (245,402)   
Financial results  (104,539)  (118,906)   
Income before equity stakes  (252,585)  (321,539)   
Net profit (loss)  (252,585)  (321,539)   
Source: Audited trial balances and audited financial statements       
 
 
 
 
Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies    10 agosto 2017 
PwC      20 

 


 

Exhibit VI Quantified tax, labor, and social security exposures 
 
The content below presents the main points of attention identified during the accounting due diligence procedures. Accordingly, it does not 
include all matters identified and discussed in the due diligence report, and, therefore, must be read jointly with the whole report in order to 
provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified.   
 
 
Tax exposure     
 
      Risk 
Item  Description  Exposure  assessment* 
1  Non-technical energy loss - ICMS, PIS, and COFINS  455,161  Possible 
2  Write-off of PIS and COFINS credit on tariffs and charges  72,491  Possible/Remote 
3  ICMS on CDE program subsidies  42,341  Possible 
4  CVA  13,808  Probable 
Total of quantified tax exposure  583,801   
Source: Pw C analysis     
(*) Risk assessment for exposures reported in accordance w ith Loeser e Portela Advogados 
 
 
Labor and social security exposure     
 
      Risk 
Item Description  Exposure  assessment* 
1  PLR disqualification  34,540  Possible 
2  Medical and dental care  14,900  Possible 
3  Irregularities related to work days  8,862  Probable 
Total of quantified tax exposure  58,302   
Source: Pw C analysis     
(*) Risk assessment for exposures reported in accordance w ith Loeser e Portela Advogados 
 
 
 
 
Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies    10 agosto 2017 
PwC      21 

 


 

Exhibit VII Tax credit on tax loss, CSL negative basis, and temporary adjustments 
 
 
The content below presents the main points of attention identified during the accounting due diligence procedures. Accordingly, it does not 
include all matters identified and discussed in the due diligence report, and, therefore, must be read jointly with the whole report in order to 
provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified. 
 
  The Company has not recognized in its accounting records the 
  IRPJ and CSL deferred credit on the tax losses and on the social 
  contribution negative basis, or on the temporary adjustments. 
 
  It is important to note that the balances of tax losses and CSL 
  negative basis may be offset with future profits up to the limit of 
  30% of the taxable profit of each year (without a limit in time). 
  We should stress that the Company cannot use the balances of 
  tax losses and CSL negative basis if (i) between the date of   
  determination and offsetting there has been both a change in its 
  corporate control and (ii) of its field of activity.     
 
  It is important to note that the tax losses and CSL negative basis 
  balances are not reduced by the contingencies presented in this 
  summary.     
 
 
In R$ thousand  IRPJ  CSL 
Tax Loss/CSL Negative Basis  834,227  841,442 
Total    834,227  841,442 
IRPJ 25%  208,557  - 
CSL 9%  -  75,730 
Total    208,557  75,730 
Source: ECF and Calculation Records     
 
 
 
 
Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies    10 agosto 2017 
PwC      22 

 


 



 



 

Belo Horizonte, November 1, 2017.

Gentlemen,

In furtherance of the service provision agreement, this paper is part of the services retained for Eletrobras Distribuição Acre privatization, ITEM 3 – “SERVICE A” (Financial & Economic Evaluation), under the BNDES Agreement.

This Report encompasses the purpose, scope, procedures and methodology used, as well as the market and operating assumptions for Valuation of Distributor and the execution of the new Concession Contract1.

Discounted Cash Flow was the methodology used. Assumptions were adhered to, based on information delivered by the Distributors and BNDES, and on general market conditions.

The signed copies of this agreement are kept by Contracting Party.

Best regards,

_______________________________

Alexandre Moreira Galvão

Legal Representative & Stockholding Director

diŒe tlÇ  oŒ  ivdiŒe tlÇ  ovt olled  Ç  the  goÀeŒvuevt,  the  Uviov  Áill  e  evtitled  to  hold  su h  iddivg  pŒo eduŒe  as  de  
s Œi ed iv the head se tiov of this a ti le,  ou ived Áith the seŒÀi e pŒoÀidivg legal evtit   ovtŒol tŒavsfeŒ, avd gŒavt  
ivg the utilit   ovt a t to the veÁ  ovt ollivg sha eholdeŒ foŒ a ïì Çea  peŒiod._  

 

Ceres )nteligência Financeira   t  

 


 



 



 



 

     
 
 
TABLE LIST      
 
Table 1 - Other Revenue Sharing (%)  28    
Table 2 - Unrecoverable Revenue per Consumption Class  30    
Table 3 - Unrecoverable Revenue Limits – Neutrality of Charges  31    
Table 4 - Summary of Applicable Methodologies  39    
Table 5 - End 2017 Threshold for Operating Management  43    
Table 6 – Assets History – Eletrobras Distribuição Alagoas 2012 to 2016  48    
Table 7 - Liabilities History - Eletrobras Distribuição Alagoas 2012 to 2016  49    
Table 8 - Income Statement History - Eletrobras Distribuição Alagoas 2012 to 2016  50    
Table 9 - Financial Indicators 2012 to 2016  51    
Table 10 – Summary of Macroeconomic Indexes  53    
Table 11 – Geometric Mean of 2007-2016 Consumptions  56    
Table 12 – Geometric Mean of Consumptions 2017-2047  61    
Table 13 – Network Forecasting per Voltage Level 1 of 3  64    
Table 14 - Network Forecasting per Voltage Level 2 of 3  64    
Table 15 - Network Forecasting per Voltage Level 3 of 3  64    
Table 16 – Deployment and Renewal  66    
Table 17 – Private References  67    
Table 18 – VMU/VNR Ratio in 2022  67    
Table 19 - Investment in Replacement  68    
Table 20 - Proportion of Investment Reference Companies  68    
Table 21 - Distribution of Investment with Maintenance prior to Rate Review  69    
Table 22 - Maintenance  69    
Table 23 - Personnel Expenses Forecasting 1 of 3  76    
Table 24 - Personnel Expenses Forecasting 2 of 3  77    
Table 25 - Personnel Expenses Forecasting 3 of 3  78    
Table 26 - Material Expenses Forecasting 1 of 3  79    
Table 27 - Material Expenses Forecasting 2 of 3  79    
Table 28 - Material Expenses Forecasting 3 of 3  80    
Table 29 - Service Expenses Forecasting 1 of 3  81    
Table 30 - Service Expenses Forecasting 2 of 3  81    
Table 31 - Service Expenses Forecasting 3 of 3  82    
Table 32 - Other Expenses Forecasting 1 of 3  82    
Table 33 - Other Expenses Forecasting 2 of 3  83    
Table 34 - ther Expenses Forecasting 3 of 3  83    
Table 35 - PMSO Expense (BRL ‘000) and Network Extension (Km) of Evaluated Distributors and Benchmark  84    
Table 36 - Estimated Upper and Lower Efficiency Limits - Eletroacre  85    
Table 37 - Efficiency Limits of Evaluated and Private Distributors  85    
Table 38 - Average of Reference Limits for the Evaluated Distributor Limits Forecasting  85    
Table 39 - Payroll Realized Dec /16 (in BRL ‘000)  88    
Table 40 - Voluntary Dismissal Plan (PDV) Forecasting  88    
 
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Table 41 - Offsetting History of the Evaluated Distributor and its Benchmarks and Forecasting of the Evaluated   
Distributor  93    
Table 42 - Offsetting History of the Evaluated Distributor up to the Benchmark Group Average  93    
Table 43 - Offsetting Evolution of the Evaluated Distributor and Comparison with the Goal 1 of 3  94    
Table 44 - Offsetting Evolution of the Evaluated Distributor and Comparison with the Goal 2 of 3  94    
Table 45 – Offsetting Evolution of the Evaluated Distributor and Comparison with the Goal 3 of 3  94    
Table 46 – Financings (1 of 5)  95    
Table 47 – Financings (2 of 5)  96    
Table 48 – Financings (3 of 5)  97    
Table 49 – Financings (4 of 5)  98    
Table 50 – Financings (5 of 5)  98    
Table 51 – RGR fund financing premises  99    
Table 52 – RGR Releases  100    
Table 53 – Net Debt Balance  101    
Table 54 – Due Diligence Contingencies  102    
Table 55 – Power Purchase Agreements  104    
Table 56 – Definition of Other Revenues  105    
Table 57 – Details on Other Revenues in the Trial Balance Sheet (in BRL ‘000)  106    
Table 58 – Initial and Final Rate of Fully Depreciated Assets over the VNR  117    
Table 59 – Regulatory Remuneration Base 4CRTP (R$ ‘000) – Eletroacre  118    
Table 60 – Operation of Assets (BRL ‘000) 3CRTP to 4CRTP – CEAL  119    
Table 61 – ANEEL Adjustments 3CRTP – Incremental Base – CEAL  119    
Table 62 – ANEEL 3CRTP Adjustments – Incremental Base – Celpe (Benchmark)  120    
Table 63 – ANEEL 3CRTP Adjustments - Incremental Base – Energisa Pb (Benchmark)  120    
Table 64 – ANEEL 3CRTP Adjustments - Incremental Base – Energisa Se (Benchmark)  121    
Table 65 – ANEEL Adjustment Average, Benchmarks Group 3CRTP - Incremental Base  121    
Table 66 – ANEEL 3CRTP Adjustments - Armored Base – CEAL  122    
Table 67 – ANEEL 3CRTP Adjustments - Armored Base – Cepisa  122    
Table 68 – ANEEL Adjustment Average, Group Evaluated Distributors 3CRTP - Armored Base  122    
Table 69 – Balance of the CEAL Fixed Assets in Progress in Jun/17  124    
Table 70 – Indemnification Forecasting  125    
Table 71 – Tax Loss Balances and CSL Negative Base  126    
Table 72 – Special Obligations Forecasting (in BRL ‘000)  128    
Table 73 – History of Special Obligations and Recurrence (in BRL ‘000)  128    
Table 74 – Weight Values of Indicators of Quality of Concession Holders with more than 60 thousand   
Consumption Units  130    
Table 75 –DEC and FEC Global Limits from 2018 to 2022, including  133    
Table 76 – DEC Indicator - Realized/Forecasted x ANEEL Limits 1 of 3  134    
Table 77 – DEC Indicator - Realized/Forecasted x ANEEL Limits 2 of 3  134    
Table 78 – DEC Indicator - Realized/Forecasted x ANEEL Limits 3 of 3  134    
Table 79 – Indicator of Forecasted/Realized DEC X ANEEL Limit 2015-2047  135    
Table 80 – Realized DEC Variation Rate and Potential per Period  135    
Table 81 – Benchmark Evaluation Premises  135    
Table 82 – DEC Benchmark Curve  136    
Table 83 - FEC Indicator - Realized/Forecasted x ANEEL Limits 1 of 3  136    
 
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Table 84 - FEC Indicator - Realized/Forecasted x ANEEL Limits 2 of 3  136    
Table 85 - FEC Indicator - Realized/Forecasted x ANEEL Limits 3 of 3  136    
Table 86 - Indicator of Forecasted/Realized FEC X ANEEL Limit 2015-2047  137    
Table 87 - Realized and Potential FEC Variation Rate per Period  137    
Table 88 – Benchmark Evaluation Premises  138    
Table 89 - FEC Benchmark Curve  138    
Table 90 – FER Indicator - Realized/Forecasted x ANEEL Limit 1 of 3  140    
Table 91 - FER Indicator - Realized/Forecasted x ANEEL Limit 2 of 3  140    
Table 92 - FER Indicator - Realized/Forecasted x ANEEL Limit 3 of 3  140    
Table 93 - FER Indicator - Forecasted/Realized X ANEEL Limit 2015-2047  141    
Table 94 – Realized and Potential FER Variation Rate per Period  141    
Table 95 - FER Realized Benchmark  141    
Table 96 - FER Realized Benchmark Group  142    
Table 97 - IASC Indicator – Realized/Forecasted x Goal 1 of 3  143    
Table 98 - IASC Indicator – Realized/Forecasted x Goal 2 of 3  143    
Table 99 - IASC Indicator – Realized/Forecasted x Goal 3 of 3  143    
Table 100 - IASC Indicator - Forecasted/Realized X ANEEL Limit 2015-2047  144    
Table 101 – Realized and Potential IASC Variation Rate per Period  144    
Table 102 - IASC Realized Benchmark  144    
Table 103 - IASC Realized Benchmark Group  145    
Table 104 - INS Indicator Realized and Projected x Meta 1 of 3  145    
Table 105 - INS Indicator Realized and Projected x Target 2 of 3  146    
Table 106 - INS Indicator Realized and Projected x Target 3 de 3  146    
Table 107 - INS Indicator Projected/Realized X ANEEL Limit 2015-2047  146    
Table 108 – Realized and Potential Variation Rate of INS per Period  147    
Table 109 - INS Realized Benchmark  147    
Table 110 – Group of Benchmark of INS Realized  147    
Table 111 - IAb Indicator – Realized/Projected x Goal 1 of 3  148    
Table 112 - IAb Indicator – Realized/Projected x Goal 2 of 3  148    
Table 113 - IAb Indicator – Realized/Projected x Goal 3 of 3  149    
Table 114 - IAb Indicator - Projected/Realized X ANEEL Limit 2015-2047  149    
Table 115 – Realized and Potential Variation Rate of IAb per Period  149    
Table 116 – Benchmark of IAb Realized  150    
Table 117 – Group of Benchmark of IAb Realized  150    
Table 118 - ICO Indicator – Realized/Projected x Goal 1 of 3  152    
Table 119 - ICO Indicator – Realized/Projected x Goal 2 of 3  152    
Table 120 - ICO Indicator – Realized/Projected x Goal 3 of 3  152    
Table 121 - ICO Indicator - Projected/Realized X ANEEL Limit 2015-2047  153    
Table 122 –Realized and Potential ICO Variation Rate per Period  153    
Table 123 – Benchmark of ICO Realized  153    
Table 124 – Group of Benchmark of ICO Realized  154    
Table 125 – Evolution and Impact of the X Factor Components  157    
Table 126 – Calculation of Regulatory WACC  158    
Table 127 – Calculation of the Cost of equity (Ke)  159    
Table 128 – Financial Structure of the Companies  160    
 
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Table 129 - Enterprise Value and Company Debt  161    
Table 130 – Weighted Cost of Debt used for the composition of Kd  161    
Table 131 - CDI Bradesco Forecast  161    
Table 132 – Calculation of Kd Cost  161    
Table 133 – Calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)  162    
Table 134 – Curve of Irrecoverable Revenues per Consumption Class of the Distributor 2016-2027 (%)  164    
Table 135 - Curve of Irrecoverable Revenues per Consumption Class of the Distributor 2028-2037 (%)  164    
Table 136 - Curve of Irrecoverable Revenues per Consumption Class of the Distributor 2038-2047 (%)  165    
Table 137- Curve of Irrecoverable Revenues per Consumption Class of the Distributor 2048-2052 (%)  165    
Table 138– Distribution of Total Invoicing and Not Received (in R$ '000)  165    
Table 139 - Targets ANEEL per Regulatory Cycle  166    
Table 140 – Level of Technical Loss and Loss in the Basic Grid.  168    
Table 141 – Projected Regulatory Losses 1 of 3  170    
Table 142 – Projected Regulatory losses 2 of 3  170    
Table 143 – Projected Regulatory losses 3 of 3  170    
Table 144 – Annual Loss Decrease Rate Definition: Benchmark Company CEMAR  171    
Table 145 – Starting Point and Goal of Non-Technical Losses  171    
Table 146 – Projected Actual Losses 1 of 3  171    
Table 147 – Projected Actual Losses 2 of 3  171    
Table 148 – Projected Actual Losses 3 of 3  172    
Table 149 – Initial Balances of the Working Capital  173    
Table 150 – Parameters of projected NCG  174    
Table 151 – Benchmark operating due dates Northern Region  174    
Table 152 – Balances with special treatment  175    
Table 153 – Settlement of Long-Term Balances  175    
Table 154 - Sectorial Charges  176    
Table 155 - Transmission Costs  177    
Table 156 - Benchmark Revenue and Annual Revenue  177    
Table 157 - CVA  178    
Table 158 – Solvency Indicator  179    
Table 159 – Evolved Gross Income  180    
Table 160 – Default  181    
Table 161 - Operating Costs and Expenses  182    
Table 162 – Costs versus EBITDA  182    
Table 163 – PMSO Expenses  184    
Table 164 – Analysis of Net Revenue, Costs and Gross Margin  187    
Table 165 – Evolved EBITDA, Gross Profit and Expenses  188    
Table 166 – Summary Financial Indicators 2017 to 2026 (1 of 3)  189    
Table 167 – Summary Financial Indicators 2027 to 2036 (2 of 3)  189    
Table 168 – Summary Financial Indicators 2037 to 2047 (3 of 3)  189    
Table 169 – Projected DRE Eletrobras Distribuição Alagoas  190    
Table 170– Projected Indirect Cash Flow Eletrobras Distribuição Alagoas  191    
Table 171 – Projected Cash Flow to Firm Eletrobras Distribuição Alagoas  192    
Table 172 - Results from Appraisal Eletrobras Distribuição Acre  193    
Table 173 – Valuation Components  193    
 
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Table 174 – Adjusted Enterprise Value  194    
Table 175 – Projected Cash and Gross Debt Balance  194    
Table 176 - WACC and BRRL Sensitivity – Enterprise Value  195    
Table 177 - WACC and BRRL Sensitivity – Valuation  195    
Table 178 – Data from Eletrobras Distribuição Acre for appraisal by multiples (R$’000)  196    
Table 179 - Multiples Companies Privatized from 1997 to 2000  199    
Table 180 - Enterprise Value from the Multiples of Companies Privatized from 1997 to 2000 (R$’000)  199    
Table 181 - Multiples Publicly Held Companies  201    
Table 182 - Enterprise Value from the Multiples of Publicly Held Companies (R$’000)  201    
Table 183 - Multiples CELGD  203    
Table 184 - Enterprise Value from Multiples of CELG D (R$’000)  203    
Table 185 - Multiples from Share Transfer  206    
Table 186 - Enterprise Value of Multiples from Share Transfer (R$’000)  206    
Table 187 - Date of Privatization of Comparable Companies  207    
Table 188 - Multiples Privatizations from 1997 to 2000  208    
Table 189 - Multiples Foreign Transactions  210    
Table 190 - Enterprise Value Foreign Transactions  210    
Table 191 – Median of Multiples (1 of 2)  211    
Table 192 - Median of Multiples (2 of 2)  211    
Table 193 - Enterprise Value from the Median of Multiples (R$’000)  212    
Table 194 – Market Discount Rates  214    
Table 195 – VMU/VNR Ratio 2022 - Machinery and Equipment  215    
Table 196 – Grouped Personnel (PMSO) and Realized Accounts 2012-2016 1 of 2  218    
Table 197 – Grouped Personnel (PMSO) and Realized Accounts 2012-2016 2 of 2  219    
Table 198 – Grouped Materials (PMSO) and Realized Accounts 2012-2016  220    
Table 199 – Grouped Service (PMSO) and Realized Accounts 2012-2016 1 of 2  221    
Table 200 – Grouped Service (PMSO) and Realized Accounts 2012-2016 2 of 2  222    
Table 201 – Grouped Others (PMSO) and Realized Accounts 2012-2016  223    
Table 202 – Re-rating of Asset Balances  224    
 
 
 
Table 203 - Re-rating of Liabilities Balances FIGURE LIST   225    
 
Figure 1 – Owners’ Equity Cost (Ke) Breakdown  36    
Figure 2 - Gross Margin and EBITDA Margin 2012 to 2016  52    
Figure 3 – Indebtedness Index and Historical Composition 2012 to 2016  52    
Figure 4 – Consumption History per Class  56    
Figure 5 – Power Consumption Comparison  56    
Figure 6 - 2047 Total Power Consumption Composition  60    
Figure 7 – Power Consumption Forecasting  60    
Figure 8 – Consumption Units Forecasting  61    
Figure 9 – Voltage Level Percentages  62    
Figure 10 – Offsetting Evolution of the Evaluated Distributor and Comparison with the Goal  94    
Figure 11 – Composition and Evolution of the X Factor Components  157    
 
 
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Figure 12 – Goal Calculation by Benchmark Comparison  169  
Figure 13 – Evolution of Non-Technical Losses (%/ Low-Voltage Market)  172  
Figure 14 – Evolved Revenue and Growth Rate  180  
Figure 15 – Evolved Default  181  
Figure 16 – Evolved Operating Costs  182  
Figure 17 - Costs versus EBITDA  183  
Figure 18 – Evolved Costs with Power Purchase  183  
Figure 19 – Evolved Transmission Costs  184  
Figure 20 – Evolved PMSO  185  
Figure 21 – Projected Effective and Regulatory PMSO  186  
Figure 22 – Evolved Operating Indicators: Gross Margin  187  
Figure 23 – Evolved Operating Income: EBITDA Margin  188  

 

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Introduction

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to issue a Financial & Economic Evaluation Report on Eletrobras Dis-tribuição Acre and on the execution of a new Concession Contract, in order to shore up the accurate dimensioning and provide technical support in the business deals of the Company.

The purpose of the financial evaluation, besides the main point of determining the business Valuation, is to present scenarios, existing synergies for the business, and value possibilities that may be perceived by the market, as well as associated liabilities. From the company’s viewpoint, the discounted cash flow method reckons in numbers and at present value the whole dimension of the business, on a realistic basis, and taking into account potential points of exploitation of the Concession Contract, in view of the current structure.

Added hereto are the sensitivity analysis and the risk analysis, in addition to other valuable methods, such as comparative evaluation by multiples or similar transactions, aiming at reaching the clearest perception of the business value interval and possible structures that could make the transaction more efficient, both for the buyer and the seller.

Disclaimers

The job described in this paper was developed according to information obtained from sources appointed by Eletrobras Distribuição Acre and data delivered by ANEEL.

This evaluation does not take into account the penalties for electricity over-contract by the enterprise at issue, because it was assumed that the new utility company could afford settling its positions at market prices. Ceres hereby highlights that sudden changes in macroeconomic indicators and electricity prices may have some bearing on the values pointed out herein.

Please note that this paper does not contain a Compensation Basis added by the enterprise’s current PP&E positions. The accounting entries covering the current PP&E positions may be found in section “Comments on Current Assets” for invertors’ information.

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Methodology

Evaluating a distributor is based on the set of regulations making up the tariff review base applicable to inter-cycle tariffs and tariff readjustments, as well as on the economic pillar of effective forecasts, especially about costs incurred and capital invested. The set of regulations gives direction to the Required Revenue, which is the criterion to set the tariffs used by the distributors. Such tariffs arise from tariff reviews, decomposed from Installment A (non-manageable costs) and Installment B (manageable costs).

Tariff reviews are based on “tariff moderateness” and “continued award to efficiency” principles, with the different complexity/size areas being taken into consideration.

Costs and expenses, taxes, working capital, provision for indemnities and contingencies, and actual disbursements supplement the economic flow, to be dimensioned in forecast and at present value, for business analysis.

Please find below some directives forming the tariff review base, dimensioned at the Tariff Level and specified in PRORET (Portuguese acronym standing for “Tariff Regulation Procedures”). The cash flow and the capital cost definition methods used in this evaluation are detailed below. As a final point, find our comments on this paper’s directives for specific approaches and risk analysis.

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General Rules

Revenues deemed a reference to reach tariff moderateness shall correspond to the average revenue invoiced plus taxes, in the 36 months preceding the 6th month before the review date, updated at IGP-M3 thru the review date, multiplied by 12, as defined in Chapter 3 “Other Revenue Methodology” of Sub-module 2.7 in PRORET.

3 Value updating calculation: A * updating at IGP-M thru review date * 12.   
Wherein, for updating in:   
2015 and 2016: A = average revenue invoiced in the last 12 months, as of the 2nd month before the tariff review date;   
2017: A = average revenue invoiced in the last 24 months, as of the 6th month before the tariff review date;   
2018 on: A = average revenue invoiced in the last 36 months, as of the 6th month before the tariff review date.    
 
 
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Free Cash Flow to Firm – FCFF

The Free Cash Flow to Firm approach uses the weighted average capital cost (WACC) to discount at present value the free cash flow to firm. Hence, all resources available for dividend distribution or reinvestment are taken into account, but amortization flows and third-party debt interests paid are not considered, the yield on which is implied in estimated WACC rate. The firm flow is recommended for the evaluation at issue because it foresees the likelihood of permanent leverage over the Concession Contract period.

Capital Asset Pricing Model – CAPM

Introduction

The owners’ equity cost (Ke) calculation is primarily based on the business risk analysis, added by the economy’s risk-free yield rate, generally given by the yield offered by government bonds.

At first, companies of the industry serve as the basis, measuring the price fluctuation of their shares in the money market, against the economy oscillations, mirrored on some market index, for instance.

One of such measures is by Beta, which represents a multiplier in relation to the return fluctuations of companies in a given segment in relation to the market and is equivalent to the risk of the segment analyzed. Primarily, we take a weighted average of such measure for the industry, excluding the indebtedness weight. That indicator represents an average and time relation between the returns on the shares selected in relation to the economy, which was highlighted here by the S&P500 returns fluctuation, an index that captures a good deal of transactions in the US market. Therefore, compared are the fluctuations of the prices in dollars of the shares in the open capital companies that operate in the same industry as the enterprise analyzed, with the S&P500 index fluctuations.

The purpose of this process is to obtain the additional risks of the business at issue in relation to the economy. Therefore, the result of the return expected and required on the business would be a risk free yield rate, in line with the rates offered by the government, added by the economy rate in general, plus the profits or minus the losses of the business, in comparison with the economy as a whole. Hence, a single rate synthesizes the yield required by a business, contemplating all the risks inherent in their fluctuations of income and cash, and adds the gains on zero risk investments, given in traditional short-term investments offered by the government.

Whereas we used indexes present in the US and global economy, calculated in dollars, considering the purpose of accuracy of inter-industry risk levels, therefore, utilization and supplementation in calculating the risks present in Brazilian interest rates in relation to the global market are necessary.

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For risk-free and government rates, we used the 10-year US treasury bonds, marked to market continuously (Constant Maturity Bond). Thus, the risk elements present in the Brazilian interest rate, as the country risk premium, regarding the credit risk in the Brazilian Economy against the global market, and the exchange risk, showing the uncertainties about the BRL fluctuation against the USD, must be included. Both of them are already included in SELIC interest rate or government bonds with future maturities, the reason for such inclusions, for they represent the risk-free opportunity cost in Brazil.

For the country risk premiums, we used the difference between Exchange FRC, contracts traded in BM&F-BOVESPA, and the Risk Free Rate calculated through the Treasury Bonds.

In order to calculate the exchange risk premium, we used the real difference between the DI – 1-day contracts, Exchange FRC, denominated in Forward Premium, both the agreements traded in BM&F-BOVESPA, and which translate the expected price fluctuations between the Brazilian interest rates in the future market against Brazilian external fund-raising in USD. Hence, it is impossible to obtain, from its quotation, the exchange premium, after the adjustments for inflation between the countries (IPCA less CPI forecast).

In brief, the evaluation uses the Discounted Cash Flow methodology, which is supported on the hypothesis that the value of a project depends on its capacity to generate wealth in the future. Seeing as the value to be produced will occur in different time spans, all of them must be brought to present value at a discount rate reflecting the risks inherent to the estimated flow, i.e., an attractiveness rate reflecting the opportunity cost of several business capital providers, the business risk included. Such discount rate is calculated based on CAPM (Capital Asset Pricing Model). Such model allows calculating the owners’ equity cost (Ke), to be associated with the third-parties’ equity cost (Kd), defining the WACC – Weighted Average Cost of Capital.

Please find below the Ke formation detailing:

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Risk Free Rate

The owners’ equity cost calculation is primarily based on the business risk analysis, added by the economy’s risk-free yield rate. As the US economy has more diversity in its indexes and is still considered as an international standard of a risk-free economy, at least so far, the rates practiced by the US Treasury are generally used as a parameter, such as the Treasury Bonds (T-Bonds) as the initial standard.

The rate was constructed using the interest rate curve, a practice that must be respected due to the impossibility of short-term flows being remunerated at long-term rates, since they will be subject to a marked-to-market interest rate curve in the redemptions of these investments.

The data of the rates and their respective maturities were interpolated by using the Cubic Spline methodology to obtain the related curve.

Beta

That indicator represents an average and time relation between the returns on the shares selected in relation to the economy, which is usually highlighted by the S&P500 returns fluctuation, an index that captures a good deal of transactions in the US market.

The leveraged Beta of each company is obtained by tilting the linear regression between the historical logarithmic returns of these assets and the market index. Then, the unleveraged Beta is obtained for each company by adjusting their Debt to Equity (D/E) ratios. Finally, the unleveraged betas of each company are weighted by their Enterprise Value, thus achieving the unleveraged Beta for the resulting Beta, unleveraged, for the industry, which is then re-leveraged in order to consider the fraction of systemic risk corresponding to the relevant company indebtedness effect.

Market Risk Premium

The Market Risk Premium represents the yield expected by the market, taking into account the additional risk in relation to the risk-free rate that practiced therein. The Market Risk Premium is calculated based on the difference between the returns on the S&P500 Index and the perpetual 10-year US Treasury Bonds (Constant Coupon Bond), marked to market annually, considering a long-term window of time. That is, to estimate the Market Risk Premium, the difference between the return on the S&P500, adjusted for dividends and the return on Treasury Bonds, was taken into account.

For the calculation of the return on T-Bonds, the constant maturity bonds, i.e. 10-year-maturity marked-to-market perpetual bonds, are taken into account, assuming the repurchase of the bond at the end of each year. Thus, this return is composed of two components: the yield hired for the year in

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which the bond was held by the investor and the paper price fluctuation to market due to the changes in the interest rate offered at the end of the year.

Country Risk

As previously mentioned, the CAPM model structuring based on the rates practiced in foreign markets, especially those found in the US market, is more advisable due to the diversity of business segments found in their stock market indices, which explain more comprehensively the relative risks between segments and companies in an economy. However, for application in the countries of origin, it is necessary to adjust the country-specific credit risks, since the US risk-free rate is used, based on T-Bonds, debt securities issued by the United States. The measurement of this risk spread, which applies to developing economies, including Brazil, is denominated country risk. The option recommended in this paper, for a better adjustment, is obtaining the spread between interpolated FRC and T-Bonds, which more directly reflect the country risk present in the interest curve.

Exchange Risk

To estimate the foreign exchange risk premium, the forward premium was obtained by the breakdown of domestic interest rates and the FRC, which already includes the country risk. The foreign exchange coupon and FRC contracts indicate the expected interest rates in US dollars, measuring the DI-1 day rate fluctuation against the exchange rate fluctuation, and are good indicators of the external interest rates evidenced in the negotiations of Brazilian bonds with sovereign risk, issued abroad.

The Real Exchange Rate is calculated based on the difference between the Interbank Deposit (ID) and the Forward Rate Contract (FRC) rates. It should be noted that this indicator is calculated in real terms, discounting the forecasted inflation in Brazil (IPCA) and the forecasted inflation in the USA (CPI).

The data of the rates and their respective maturities were interpolated using the Cubic Spline methodology to obtain the related risk curve.

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Third-party capital cost (Kd)

The third party capital cost is obtained through the weighted average of the gross debt (2011-2016) of the companies used to calculate Beta, weighted at the Debt/Net Debt ratio, of the same companies, on their respective reference dates. Next, the Cost of Debt / Net Debt ratio is multiplied by the IDC forecast of the target year. As a final point, inflation and taxes are discounted to reach the tax-free real Kd.

Weighted Average Cost of Capital – WACC

The WACC rate is obtained by weighting the owners’ equity cost and the third-party equity cost and their respective sharing in the company’s capital structure, considering the tax benefit of the debt for third-party equity. The capital structure used was the same as used by ANEEL in PRORET, Submodule 2.4.

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Risk Analysis and Sensitivity Analysis

With the purpose of analyzing possible impacts on the valuation, we analyze the sensitivity of relevant variables for the forecast model, with a view to checking the impact on the Net Present Value (VPL). Herein, the sensitivity analysis was conducted in view of the impacts on the evaluation, from fluctuations falling on the Yield Base and on the weighted average cost of capital.

Critical Points and Adaptations

This paper further analyzes critical points of the business and suggested adaptations that may add value to the companies. We also studied some possibilities for this transaction that would minimize risks and maximize the return for investors.

Synergies

Costs and investments synergies and optimizations were identified, so as to obtain post-privatization potential business value benchmarks. We also appraised possible gains that could be reversed to the seller, depending on the sale structure.

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Special Treatments and Specific Risks

The distributors being analyzed are within the electric power distribution service provision norm as Designated Distributors, pursuant to the terms and conditions of Article 9, Statutory Law 12.783, dated January 11, 2013, and Ordinance 338 dated July 26, 2016, issued by the Department of Mines & Energies (MME).

Accordingly, several terms and conditions were agreed to for operation under supervision of the regulatory agency.

“ReA No. 748/2016 imposes on such distributors the pre-privatization Temporary Distribution Service Provision Plan for 2017, entailing loan transfer to meet the goals set and accommodate the operating costs, inter alia, according to Annex IV – Commitment, attached to said ReA, as follows: ‘The Designated Distributor Officers, regarding the distribution utility service provision (hereinafter referred to as the ‘Officers’), who are signatories to this agreement, in order to be entitled to the transfers of funds set forth in Paragraph 4, Article 9, Statutory Law 12.783 dated January 11, 2013, commit to abide by the provisions of Ordinance MME-388/2016 and see to continuity and suitability of the service delivered, particularly regarding the following parameters, which have been followed up by ANEEL as a priority:

I – industry compliance;

II      – the assignment’s electric power loss threshold;
III      – the assignment’s Operating Costs threshold;
IV      – the assignment’s threshold of discontinuity equivalent duration per consumer unit (DEC);
V      – the assignment’s threshold of discontinuity equivalent frequency per consumer unit (FEC);
VI      – quality of information provided to ANEEL;
VII      – meeting the inspection requirements issued by ANEEL.

The signatories hereto, on behalf of the Officers, hereby commit to send to ANEEL the Temporary Distribution Service Provision Plan, duly executed by the same signatories hereto, detailing the actions to be taken by the management, with a view to abide by the terms and conditions set forth by ANEEL during the assignment period granted by the Contract-Letting Branch of Government.”

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The evaluation model treated such special norm, containing goals and specific budget for 2017. The treatment is due to the need to estimate the start balances for the valuation at the beginning of 2018.

For subsequent years, we considered the private Concession Contract and performance trajectories of distributors according to this new reality. In its turn, the statutory goals were adjusted consistently with the reality and the complexity of the service provision in those regions. More to the point, we considered the terms and conditions contained in the draft template for the Electric Power Distribution Concession Contract, as per resolution issued by the Board of ANEEL during the 15th Ordinary Public Meeting held on May 2, 2017.

Likewise, the tariff review expected for those distributors was suspended. The new draft contract allows the possibility of accelerated tariff review in the new agreement6, a premise taken into account for the Base Scenario 2019.

Those distributors’ compensation bases appear to be outdated, and the unitizing process is underway, in many of them, it may valorize their compensation bases. As a final point, different compensation bases were simulated, given the expected results that may be obtained by Eletrobras, supported by such reports.

Related Parties

The distributors have debt agreements with Eletrobras. Those agreements were priced separately, so as to allow possible debt restructuring with the shareholder.

Outstanding CCC Values and other Industry-Related Charges

There are debt balances for industry-related default. Normative Resolution No. 748/2016 resets post-assignment commitments and provides for loans with RGR funds for cash closing. CCC/other debt flows were treated separately, and the amounts of receivables and payables were reconciled.

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Forecast of ‘Light to Everyone’ and RGR Flow earmarked to expiration

We forecasted the amounts payable and receivable by means of CDE funds for Program ‘Light to Everyone’ (PLPT) thru expiration scheduled for December 20187. We did not make PLPT forecasts for subsequent years at scheduled expiration because such forecasts would depend on determinations foreign to the distributors.

As a final point, the total investment in replenishment will be distributed over the years 2018 to 2022 based on the Technical & Operating Due Diligence outcome; for the other years, the necessary replenishments, consistent with the private market8 within their area of operation.

7 Presidency of the Republic, Chief of Staff, Legal Team, Decree No. 8.387 dated December 30, 2014.    
8 CEMAR, COELCE,COELBA,CELPE.    
 
 
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Economic & Financial Evaluation

General Assumptions for the Financial Model

For the financial model, it was necessary to adopt some assumptions to analyze the distributors. The model was developed with monthly periodicity; the following general assumptions were defined: Base Date used for the evaluation as of March 1, 2018, with analysis period from March 1, 2018 to February 28, 2048 (30 years of Concession Contract). However, the tables, charts, and results shown in the Report start in January 2017 and end in December 2047, because, by considering only two months in 2048, the analyses would not be comparable with the other years.

The discount rate used is based on the dynamic rate methodology, consisting in the monthly calculation of the WACC – Weighted Average Cost of Capital, to be applied. The reporting currency is the official currency, i.e., the values are impacted by inflation over the analysis period. Deflator used to bring the forecasted cash flow to present value is IPCA.

For regulatory assumptions, we assumed that Ordinary Tariff Reviews have a 5-year periodicity, being considered in the month of September and as of the year 2023 as reference (5 years after the contract is signed with the new utility company, which is to take place in 2018). Besides, this evaluation considers an Extraordinary Tariff Review in 2019, basically encompassing the BRR reevaluation.

Finally, the results obtained in the evaluation are based on Nominal Cash Flow to Firm.

General Comments on the Report

This report contains the assumptions, analyses and forecasts carried out for the valuation of the distribution companies for the privatization process. The analysis period is from 01-Mar-18 to 28-Feb-2048, which period is used to calculate the evaluation results.

Illustratively, tables and charts are shown in annual values thru 31-Dec-47, seeing as the year 2048 covers only two months of evaluation, thus avoiding a distorted perception of the value over the series.

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Summary of Business and Existing Structures

Features of the Business

Eletrobras Distribution Alagoas, corporate name Companhia Energética de Alagoas (CEAL), was created in 1983 under State Law No. 4.450 dated July 05, 1983 from Companhia de Eletricidade de Ala-goas (CEAL), constituted by State Law No. 2.137, dated April 08, 1959, and record of the public deed for constitution on August 17, 1960.

In July 1997, the Federation, upon intermediation by Eletrobras, took over the share control of Com-panhia Energética de Alagoas, when they assumed most shares upon acquisition of 50% of the nominative shares, which were controlled by the State of Alagoas.

In June 2008, the new management model was implemented for the distribution companies of ELETROBRAS, setting a single and integrated direction, aiming to unify procedures, put employees of different cultures closer, and reinforce confidence of customers served in the different territories of operation. As a holding company, ELETROBRAS controls great part of electric power generation and transmission systems in Brazil, and operates in the distribution segment by means of companies Eletrobras Amazonas Energia, Eletrobras Distribuição Acre, Eletrobras Distribuição Roraima, Eletrobras Distribuição Rondônia, Eletrobras Distribuição Piauí, and Eletrobras Distribuição Alagoas.

Currently, by means of Ordinance of the Ministry of Mines and Energy (MME) No. 424, dated August 03, 2016, Eletrobras was designated as responsible for the provision of public power distribution service in the 102 municipals in Alagoas until December 31, 2017, due to non-renewal of its Concession Contract No. 07/2001.

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Demand Forecasting

Demand Forecasting per Class

The consumption of electric power in Brazil may be divided into eight different classes, which are: Residential, Commercial, Industrial, Rural, Government, Public Lighting, Public Service, and Own Consumption. In order to understand the possible heterogeneities among the groups, the Residential, Commercial, Industrial, and Rural sectors were analyzed in separate. Government, Public Lighting, Public Service, and Own Consumption were all grouped in a single class entitled ‘Other’. This decision was based on the similar consumption behavior between them and to reduce the effect of volatility incurred in low-consumption classes.

Distributor’s History

To project the demand for power of the next thirty years, ending in February/2048, it is necessary to carry out a historical analysis that demonstrates the evolution of power consumption and its distribution between the classes. As observed in Table 10 – Geometric Mean of 2007-2016 Consumptions, all sectors present an evolution in power consumption19. The Residential and Commercial segments have presented a greater growth, higher than 6% p.a, while the Industrial and Other classes presented numbers higher than 4% p.a., except for the rural industry, which had growth below the others, of 0.23% p.a. It is also worthwhile noting the composition of power consumption, i.e., how the total power consumption is distributed between the classes. Analyzing Figure 3 – Power Consumption Composition Comparison, it possible to note that no substantial changes occurred in terms of power consumption distribution. In 2007, the residential sector was responsible for 35.03% of the total consumption, against 39.27% in 2016, with the commercial sector having 20.42% in 2007 against 22.00% in 2016, and the other sectors remaining basically constant.

19 Source: Distributor’s statement of invoicing   
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Network Extension (Km)

Common Analyses to Distributors

The network extension project was based on the history of extension of low, medium, and high voltage networks between years 2001 and 201630. The network extension set forth by the Decennial Plans and PDDs of distributors was added to such history, of which the forecasted network extension was extracted for years 2017 to 2021 for low and medium voltages, 2017 and 2018 for the “Programa Luz para Todos” (Light for All) and high voltage for years 2017 to 2026.

Its history of expansion after the Decennial Plans and PDDs takes into account both the historical and projected investments to each distributor.

Three groups have been segregated: (i) low and medium voltage, (ii) high voltage, and (iii) “Programa Luz Para Todos”. This division was necessary to determine the fundamental differences existing in each group.

The forecasting of group (i) Low and Medium Voltage is set to begin in 2022. A proxy (average of investment/average of growth) of dependency was created between the degree of investment and the network expansion. With the degree of investment projected by Ceres, it was possible to estimate from 2022 the network mileage values.

The same methodology applied to the Low and Medium Voltages was applied to the High Voltage segment. The Decennial Plan already projects the expansion of the network mileage for years 2017-2026. For years 2027-2048, a causal relation was applied between the investment and the network expansion. The investments projected for the high voltage Market served as an input to obtain the network expansion of that class.

Regarding “Programa Luz Para Todos” (PLPT), the data used refer to the Decennial Plans and, therefore, based on the current condition of the legislation that determines the end of the program in 2018, no forecast was made for the coming years.

30 The extension of the network built under Programa Luz para Todos in included in the 2001-2006 history, in low and medium   
voltage   
 
 
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Investment Forecasting

Deployment and Renewal

The CEAL 2017 Distribution Development Plan (PDD 2017), the 2017 Decennial Plan, the 2017 Plan on the Provisional Electric Power Distribution Services (Provisional Plan), the information of the Due Diligence of service B, in its “Product 7 – Technical-Operational Report of CEAL”, annex II, in addition to indications of CEAL’s technical team, obtained in the meetings organized by CERES, were used to define CEAL’s investment needs.

Investments were subdivided into High Voltage Expansion, Medium Voltage/Low Voltage Expansion, Improvement, Renewal (Maintenance), Luz para Todos, and Infrastructure and Support. From 2017 to 2022, the values obtained in the Due Diligence of service B, in its “Product 7 – Technical-Operational Report of CEAL”, annex II, were considered as a whole and added to the expenses with Renewal (Maintenance) in 2017 of the Provisional Plan.

Only 30% of the expenses with program Luz para Todos were considered for years 2017 and 2018, since the other 70% were subsidized with CDE resources and have been allocated as Special Obligations. In addition, approximately BRL 65.8 million of the investments with High Voltage Expansion in 2018 were also considered as Special Obligations. There was no sub-rogation of investments for CEAL.

As of 2023, investments with High Voltage Expansion, Medium Voltage/Low Voltage Expansion, and Renewal (Maintenance) continued being forecasted according to the premises described below.

High Voltage Expansion: The values informed in the 2017 PDD were corrected for the base date De-cember 2016 and fully considered until 2026. For the other years in the forecast, the estimated investment is equivalent to the average expenses between 2020 and 2026.

Medium Voltage/Low Voltage Expansion: As of 2019, the amount is equivalent to the average of amounts expended between 2018 and 2022 on the base date of December 2016, considered as fixed until the end of the forecasting.

Improvement: Based on information supplied by CEAL’s technical team, it has been defined that, in 2023, the amount corresponds to the average of the amounts spent between 2019 and 2022 with De-cember 2016 as a base, without variations due to the continuous structure of this account.

Renewal (Maintenance): As of 2023, expenses with maintenance will be equivalent to the asset depreciation value. The reference of depreciation of ANEEL’s Normative Resolution no. 674/2015 for the current assets was used to define this value, in addition to the depreciation of new investments of the company, calculated based on the average depreciation of the assets of the Equity Control Report.

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PMSO Estimate

Common Analyses to Distributors

PMSO Forecasting Method

The analysis of Personnel, Material, Third-party Services, and Other Expenses (PMSO, of the Portu-guese “Pessoal, Material, Serviços de terceiros e Outras despesas”) may be divided into two parts: characterization of the analytical bases and the effective forecasting of such bases according to the types of expenses observed in such accounts

The First Part, known as the Characterization of Analytical Accounts, underwent 5 Phases: Phase 1 – Grouping of analytical accounts; Phase 2 – Analysis of the account nature as fixed and variable; Phase 3 – Identification of atypical values33; Phase 4 – Evaluation of the best correlation to variable accounts;

Phase 5 – Identification of regulatory accounts (considered as recurring by ANEEL and compensated thereby).

Phase 1 begins with the monetary adjustment of the analytical accounts evaluated. These accounts are included in the sampling period between January 2012 and December 2016, and were adjusted for the base date of December 2016 for it is the most current of the period.

After such first monetary adjustment, the accounts of expenses were grouped in each PMSO group, in accordance with the similarity of type of expense and respective taxable events.

Phase 2 consists of the analysis of the fixed and variable accounts. The PMSO groups were evaluated considering as fixed account the account whose participation in the expenditure in the past 3 periods34 was within the lower and upper limits of the expense grouping sample, where:

Upper limit fix/var = 60%*(1-((standard sample deviation)/(sample minimum)) and

33 Values with behavior different from the usual of the account, either too high or too low in relation to the average, values at   
non-recurring levels   
34 To accounts completely fixed in value, each 1 out of 5 years of the period would represent 20% of the total expenditure. Thus,   
the last 3 years would represent 60% of the value in the 5 years evaluated   
 
 
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Lower limit fix/var = 60%*(1-(standard sample deviation)/(sample maximum)).

Initially, accounts above or below such limits are considered variable. Then, an evaluation is carried out in relation to the nature of the expense (if having characteristics of fixed or variable) and the degree of variation in the recent period35.

Fixed accounts, when projected, are calculated as the average of expenses in the sampling period, excepting outliers.

Variable accounts, when projected, are transformed into indicators and range according to the forecasts36 of Consumption Units and Consumed MWh, also excluding atypical values.

Phase 3 evaluates which periods in a sample may consist of atypical values and, therefore, unlikely to occur in the projected scenario. A period entry is considered as an outlier when its value is beyond the established limits of normality of the sample, where:

Upper limit out = (sample average) + (standard sample deviation);

Lower limit out = (sample average) - (standard sample deviation).

After such initial characterization, the nature of the expense and the levels verified in the past 3 years are evaluated in order to identity structural breaches to the expense level to define if the prior samples must be kept or eliminated in the evaluation.

Phase 4 evaluates what are the most correlated variables with the PMSO account groups. More correlated groups are used as an indicator to estimate the account value. The two variables with the greatest correlation with the PMSO accounts were Network Extension (Km)37 and Consumption in MWh.

The formation of the indicator in the PMSO group expenses considered as variable occur as shown below:

(© Regular Expense Values38)/(© Regular Parameter Values)39.

Finally, Phase 5 consists of the classification of the accounts composing the groups of each PMSO block, pursuant to the characterization defined by ANEEL for regulatory PMSO. Thus, each account composing the analytical PMSO has a classification as Effective PMSO (total), Regulatory PMSO and PMSO Other (effective PMSO – regulatory PMSO).

35 Expenses with low variation would tend to be fixed   
36 More detail on the forecasting of Consumption Units and Consumption in MWh are provided in the chapter of Demand and   
Consumption Forecasting   
37 Includes the extension of low, medium, and high voltage network   
38 Excluding those atypical   
39 The parameters considered are consumption units and consumption in MWh for the same period of time of the expense,   
excluding periods considered as atypical by the company   
 
 
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The Second Part includes the Forecasting of the Effective and Regulatory PMSO Groups, and may be divided into four Phases:

Phase 1 – Expense Forecasting for 2017;

Phase 2 – Operating Costs Variation Rate;

Phase 3 – Identification and Treatment of Accounts with Behavior Linked to Improvements of the Distributor;

Phase 4 – Concession Period Forecasting – 2018 to 2047.

Phase 1, Expense Forecasting for 2017, will consider a variation of the expense based on the history of the company, observing the fixed and variable natures of the expenses composing the PMSO.

Fixed and variable expenses are calculated as detailed in the First Part, Phase 2, in accordance with the provisions of this chapter. Variable expenses are transformed into indicators having as denominator the parameter of best correlation that has been analyzed, based on BRL/Parameter, multiplied by the forecasting40 of Network Extension (Km) or MWh Extension.

Phase 2, Operating Costs Variation Rate and Goal, is subdivided into three steps: 1 – Definition of the Operating Cost Benchmarks; 2 – Definition of Variation Rate and Goal between 2018 and 2022; 3 – Definition of Variation Rate and Goal between 2023 and 2027.

Step 1 of definition of Operating Cost Benchmarks initially took into account the groups determined by ANEEL, which have been adjusted per region. For the distributors of the Northern region, the benchmarks that have been considered consisted of the following private distributors: Celpa and Celtins. These were grouped with Ceron, Eletrobrás Roraima, Eletroacre and Amazonas Energia.

For the Northeastern region, the following were considered: Celpe, Cemar, Coelce, Energisa Paraíba and Energisa Sergipe, Coelba and Cosern; these were grouped with Cepisa and Ceal.

In Step 2 of Definition of the Variation Rate between 2018 and 2022, ANEEL’s DEA data base of calculation of efficient costs was used for the 4CRTP. The PMSO expense of each company with the extension of the network is parameterized.

40 Detailed in the chapter on Consumption and Demand Forecasting   
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Based on these indicators, it is possible to calculate the average of the group of each distributor according to the region. Distributors whose initial indicator is greater than that verified by the group average shall have their cost adjusted in terms of indicator in the next rate adjustment, in 2023.

Distributors whose initial indicator is below that verified in the group average shall have as their goal the indicator level between 2023 and 2027 lower than the group average.

Step 3 of Definition of the Variation Rate between 2023 and 2027 consists of the calculation of the average indicator of the private benchmarks of the groups. For the Northeastern region, the private distributors considered were: Celpe, Cemar, Coelce, Energisa Paraíba, and Energisa Sergipe. For the Northern region, the private distributors were: Celpa and Celtins.

When achieving the BRL/Consumption unit indicator of the cycle goal, distributors stabilize the operating cost indicators parameterized by consumption unit.

Phase 3 of Identification and Treatment of Accounts with Behavior Linked to Improvements of the Distributor consists of the identification of considered accounts that influence the effective PMSO cost, but that range in accordance with the operating improvements of the distributor41. Each company had a set of adjustments treated in their specific section.

Phase 4 consists of the estimate of the PMSO expense levels of distributors during the period of concession. With the goals between 2018 and 2022 and from 2023 to 2027, distributors will achieve the operating cost benchmarks by the end of 2027. From that year, the indicator of BRL PMSO/Consumption Unit is stabilized, and the absolute PMSO value ranges in effective terms by means of the variation of consumption units.

Efficient Costs Interval

The upper and lower limits of the efficiency interval42 calculated to each distributor were estimated. The values considered to these forecasts were based on those found in “Annex I – Efficiency Intervals” of submodule 2.2 V2 of PRORET. These limits have the trend of being aligned with their respective benchmarks in two occasions during the concession; the first ending in 2022 and the second ending in 2027.

The first occasion calculates the simple average of each one of these limits to distributors according to their regional groups, consisting of:

41 Examples: ANEEL fines are reduced according to the curve of improvement of indicators of quality   
42 Greater detail on the PRORET methodology about this subject may be found in chapter “Methodology”, Item PRORET (Rate   
Level), Sub-item “Operating Costs”, Topic “Efficient Cost Interval”, or PRORET submodule 2.2 V2   
 
 
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Nordeste: Ceal, Cepisa, Celpe, Cemar, Coelba, Coelce, Cosern, Energisa Paraíba e Energisa Sergi-pe;

North: Amazonas Energia, Eletrobras Roraima, Ceron, Eletroacre, Celpa, and Celtins.

Distributors with upper or lower limit at level worse than that of the group average achieve the group average by 2022.

At the second occasion, the average of private distributors of these regional groups is calculated, consisting of:

Northeast Private Benchmark: Celpe, Cemar, Coelce, Energisa Paraíba, and Energisa Sergipe;

North Private Benchmark: Celpa, Celtins.

It should be noted that since Technical Note 149/2017-SRM/SGT/SRD/SFF/ANEEL defines the operating costs in force from 2017 to 2023, the efficient costs intervals defined in this section will only have an impact to the rate after the Rate Review of 2023.

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Specific Analyses of Distributor

History

The annexes contain tables that show the groups of the accounts related to the PMSO of each distributor. Similar accounts were initially grouped in terms of type of expense. After this exercise, the groups were allocated inside the PMSO accounts. The names and codes of accounts are described according to the original names and codes of the financial statements provided by the distributor. The values are adjusted as per the December/2016 Base Date.

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Voluntary Dismissal Plan (“PDV”)

Common Analyses to Distributors

The adjustment of personnel involves the decision between terminating the labor agreement with the collaborator versus offering him/her a voluntary dismissal against financial compensation. The values of each option are evaluated by the employee and by the company, and each will choose what is best when making the decision.

The evaluation begins with the definition of the public eligible to the PDV, considering only collaborators with at least 20 years44 of effective labor link with the company. This public represents approximately one-third45 of the total personnel of the evaluated distributors.

Labor link with the company means employees in the following categories46:

In this sense, the following employees are not included in the base containing employees eligible to the PDV:

44 PID – Eletrobras Companies Dismissal Stimulation Plan – Commission of Mines and Energy – Chamber of Deputies –   
07/02/2013   
45 PID Eletrobras calculated 36.4% of total eligible personnel   
46 The categories are those presented in the due diligence of Human Resources performed by Service B, in “Product 8: Report   
on Distributor’s Human Resources Evaluation” of each distributor   
47 According to Decree no. 4.050, dated April 12, 2001, which governs Article 93 of Act no. 8.112, dated 12/11/1990, these   
employees are part of the personnel of the conceding agency (the evaluated distributor is the conceding institution in such case)   
48 Applicable only to officers with more than 20 years of career in the distributor and part of the effective personnel, not including   
officers required by other government agencies and branches or without link to the government, among others   
49 According to Decree no. 4.050, dated April 12, 2001, which governs Article 93 of Act no. 8.112, dated 12/11/1990, these   
employees are part of the personnel of the conceding agency (the evaluated distributor is the receiving institution in such case)   
 
 
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The payroll independent of enrollment on December 31, 2016, was evaluated to each distributor. Such evaluation resulted a termination value that is compared to the value if the employee applies to the PDV.

The PDV expense is entered as a nonrecurring item that occurs in two occasions, in its phase 1 on June 1, 2018, and in its phase 2 on June 2, 2019. Employees who leave the company reduce the PMSO personnel account. Such reduction may occur in two ways, either by means of reduction of the work position without the addition of a new employee and/or replacement with a new employee with a more competitive cost, which will return to the PMSO Personnel account.

The termination value is calculated based on the sum of the following accounts: base salary, additions50, overtime, prior notice, FGTS fine, vacation, and 13th salary, in which:

work51;

· FGTS is calculated with the multiplication of the monthly salary by 8%, by the number of months that the individual worked at the company until the base date of December 31, 2016.

The fine of FGTS represent 50% of this value;

· Vacation has total value per employee of half plus 1+(1/3) of a base salary related to Decem-ber 2016. This value is divided by half because at this point of the period, half of the individuals have already used their vacation benefit.

The PDV is calculated as approximately 18 times the sum of the Base Salary, Additions, and Overtime of the collaborators in December 2016. This choice represents the value with which approximately one-third52 of individuals eligible to the PDV see it as financially interesting when compared to the involuntary dismissal.

Considering such eligible collaborators, those in two specific situations join the Plan:

1 – Individuals whose PDV is equal to or higher than the involuntary contractual termination value;

2 – Individuals whose PDV is greater than twice the sum of the base salary, additions, and overtime is greater than or equal to the termination value.

50 Premium for hazardous, dangerous and hardship   
51 At every one year, 3 days of bonus are received as compensation, up to a maximum of 60 days or two months of compensa-   
tion. Added to the prior notice compensated with maximum of 30 days, the total of receipts may totalize 90 days   
52 PID – Eletrobras Dismissal Benefit Plan – Commission of Mines and Energy – Chamber of Deputies – 07/02/2013. Eletrobras   
estimated that the number of dismissals would represent 47% of the public eligible to its 2013 PID   
 
 
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1 – Normative Resolution no. 748, dated November 29, 201659, which establishes the terms and conditions for the provision of the public service of electric power by Designated Distributor;

2 – Official Letter no. 113/2017-DR/ANEEL, Brasília, dated May 3, 2017, procedure: 48510.000502/2017-00, which determines the submittal of a draft of the new model of Agreement for the Concession of Public Service of Electric Power Distribution60.

The treatment given in relation to Document 1, in its Chapter I (Revenue), in its Article 5 established that: “The Designated Distributor will be authorized to assign the resources from offsetting for violation of the limits of quality related to the continuity of the service and the voltage level in permanent regimen as per items 2.13 of section 8.1 and 5.11 of section 8.2 of PRODIST’ Module 8 for investments in the area of concession. ”

These offset values are included in entry Obligations Linked to the Electric Power Service (Special Obligations), during the period of designation for the provision of the electric power public service, i.e., between 01/01/17 and 02/28/18.

In relation to Document 2, in its Clause Nineteen (Transitory Provisions), Subclause One, we have: “DISTRIBUTOR may allocate the resources from offsetting for violation of the limits of quality, related to the continuity of the services and the sampling measurements of the voltage level in permanent regime, for the investments in the area of concession, until the end of the fifth calendar year after the date of execution of the concession agreement. ”

I.e., between 03/01/2018 and 02/28/2023, the distributor may allocate such offsetting to make investments, according to the criteria below:

59 ANEEL   
60 As resolved by ANEEL Management in the 15th Ordinary Public Meeting, held on May 2, 2017   
 
 
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and included in entry Obligations Linked to the Electric Power Public Service (Special Obligations) ”.

In addition, regarding Document 2, the values of offsets accounted in special obligations and remunerable investments by the distributor are distributed in 12 months starting from the comparative calculation of the values as described in Paragraphs Two and Three.

Finally, from 03/01/2023 to the end of the concession, on 02/28/2048, all the offsetting will be included as an expense in the PMSO account.

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Agreements for the Purchase and Sale of Power

Summary of Agreements for the Purchase and Sale of Power

The data contained in the contracts were collected to define the characteristics of the agreements of purchase and sale of power in the Regulated Contracting Environment (ACR). Such data were validated with spreadsheets of internal control assigned by the distributor and with the spreadsheet updated in March 2017, of Consolidated Result of Electric Power Auctions per Contract, obtained on the website of the Electric Power Trading Chamber.

After gathering information on the contracts, the SPARTA system, 2016 readjustment, calculated if the power purchase volume was the same found in the contracts and spreadsheets of internal control. From the validation, the necessary volumes were added in order to obtain values and volumes compatible with the SPARTA.

With the data on quantity of power, price, beginning of effectiveness, end of effectiveness, base date of price, month of readjustment, and index rate of the readjustment of each contract, it was possible to group them based on the beginning and end of the contractual effectiveness, and to readjust the prices in order to update them. Thus, the contracts have been synthesized as shown in the table below. Such data were used as the basis for the demand of power to compose Installment A.

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Other Revenues Forecasting

The revenues that have not been linked to the operational indicators will remain fixed and shall be corrected by the IGP-M during the period. The initial base date of these revenues was defined by the average of the entry in the past three years. Revenues related to operational indicators were projected from the calculation of the average value in BRL per Consumption Units (“UC”) or Mega Watt hour (MWh), and based on the curve of the indicators, the factor is corrected based on the IGP-M. The definition of the factor was based on the average of the value of revenue in the past three years, over the average of the past three years of the operational indicator values.

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Regulatory Remuneration Base Flow

Regulatory Remuneration Base Calculation

To estimate the Regulatory Remuneration Base to be validated in 4CRTP by ANEEL, the additions, write-off, and adjustments of the regulatory agencies have been evaluated for the following lines:

(1) Fixed Assets in Use (New Replacement Value); (2) Maximum Usage Index; (3) Gross Special Operations; (4) Fully Depreciated Assets;

(5)      Gross Remuneration Base = (1)-(2)-(3)-(4);
(6)      Accumulated Depreciation;
(7)      Net AIS (Market Value in Use);
(8)      Depreciated Usage Index;
(9)      Remuneration Base Value (VBR);
(10)      Stockroom in Operation;
(11)      Deferred Charges;
(12)      Net Special Obligations;
(13)      Real Property and Easements;
(14)      Total Net Remuneration Base = (1)-(6)-(8)+(10)+(11)-(12)+(13);
(15)      RGR PLPT Balance;
(16)      RGR Balance Other Investments;
(17)      Depreciation Rate;
(18)      Regulatory Reintegration Quota = (5)*(17);
(19)      Effective WACC before Taxes;
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(20) RGR PLPT Rate;

(21) RGR Rate Other Investments;

(22) Remuneration of Capital (RC) = (15)*(20)+(16)*(21)+[(14)-(15)-(16)]*(19).

Common Analyses to Distributors

Composition of the 4CRTP Regulatory Remuneration Base

The composition of the Regulatory Remuneration Base considered in the evaluation may be divided into two parts: Initial Base and ANEEL Adjustments62.

The Initial Base refers to the values that will compose the Regulatory Remuneration Base in the 4th Cycle of Periodical Rate Review (4CRTP). These values were determined by independent companies that conduct the Investment Evaluation (Incremental Base Review) and Armored Base of distributors between 3CRTP and 4CRTP, achieving a composition of part of the lines composing the Regulatory Remuneration Base of the 4CRTP to each distributor. This Initial Base takes into account the Complete Evaluation Report of Distributors.

Thus, the Complete Evaluation Reports, which include the Incremental Base Review and the Armored Base Review and that were considered in the evaluation of each distributor are:

Eletrobras Distribuição Acre: SETAPE – Report: “EDAC Executive Summary – Complete Base –Evaluation of the Electricity Assets of Acre – Eletrobras Distribuição Acre”, reference February 28, 2017;

Eletrobras Distribuição Alagoas: Levin – Complete Evaluation Report “Companhia Energética de Ala-goas – CEAL Project no. 2715-17745”, reference February 28, 2017;

Eletrobras Distribuição Amazonas: Levin – Complete Evaluation Report “Eletrobras Amazonas Ener-gia – Project Levin no. 3174-17752”, reference February 28, 2017;

Eletrobras Distribuição Piauí: Levin - Complete Evaluation Report “Cepisa Eletrobras Distribuição Piauí Project Levin no. 3082-18367”, reference February 28, 2017;

Eletrobras Distribuição Rondônia: Deloitte – Equity Evaluation Report “Centrais Elétricas de Rondônia – Ceron”, reference February 28, 2017;

62 Performed by ANEEL inspection   
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Eletrobras Distribuição Roraima: Levin – Complete Evaluation Report: “Eletrobras Distribuição Rorai-ma Project no. 3012-17862” reference February 28, 2017.

Complete Evaluation of distributions shall hereinafter mean the aforementioned reports, related to the respective distributors.

During the evaluation procedure, the Distributors had two review reports of the Regulatory Remuneration Base. One to be presented to ANEEL, except atypical situations, with the Asset Evaluation Report, which reviews the Incremental Base of a CRTP to the other, considering money adjustments, additions, and write-off.

The second, the Complete Evaluation Report, considers this same Asset Evaluation Base and also reviews the Armored Base of 3CRTP, adjusted to the 4CRTP. This report was made and used in this work due to the important value of the assets of the distributors with potential to make part of their Armored Bases. However, it should be noted that the reviews on the Armored Base may have a smaller expectation of being accepted for they regard to specific cases when compared to the evaluations of the Incremental Base between CRTPs63.

The position of the Complete Evaluation Report, which has been considered in this work, includes the money adjustments of the 3CRTP Base, the additions and write-off between the 3CRTP and 4CRTP, and the review of the 3CRTP Armored Base, adjusted to the 4CRTP. The additions, write-off, and review of the Armored Base were included in its pertinent items by the evaluator of the Complete Report.

The evaluation of the Complete Report includes64 from item (1) Fixed Assets in Use (New Replacement Value) to (14) Total Net Remuneration Base = (1)-(6)-(8)+(10)+(11)-(12)+(13) and all were used in the composition of the initial Regulatory Remuneration Base of 4CRTP65.

Items (15) RGR PLPT Balance and (16) RGR Balance Other Investments were subject to money adjustment by the IPCA between the values obtained in 3CRTP and 4CRTP.

Finally, the other percentage items: (17) and (19) to (21) were maintained constant in relation to what has been verified in 3CRTP and subtotals (5), (7), (9), (14), (18) and (22) had their calculation logics.

63 To balance such smaller change of acceptance by the regulatory agency, the difference of the Reviewed Armored Base and   
the “Common” Armored Base (Armored Base of the Asset Evaluation Report) is set aside, which is greater than that applied to   
the Incremental Base, as detailed in the topics below   
64 These same lines are also included for the Asset Evaluation Report that reviews the Incremental Base   
65 Item 1 was adjusted by ANEEL’s disallowance rate, which implied the variation of the original values used in the Regulatory   
Remuneration Base of the economic-financial evaluation. The disallowance was applied in separate over the Incremental Base   
and the Armored Base   
 
 
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ANEEL Adjustment on the Incremental and Armored Bases

ANEEL inspects the Incremental Base of assets and the Reviewed Armored Base66 between periodical rate cycles. This advent implies that the assets presented and/or reviewed may be considered as inapplicable and thus discarded by the regulatory agency. Thus, the incremental Base between the 3CRTP and 4CRTP and the Armored Base Review of this same period were applied percentages of Incremental Base Adjustments and Armored Base Adjustments, respectively.

The average adjustment (disallowance) of the group of distributors evaluated in the 3CRTP per region was applied over the Incremental Base that forms the Initial Base of 4CRTP67, or for cases in which the average adjustment is worse than that verified by the company, the adjustment of the distributor was maintained

The average adjustments (disallowance) of the group of distributors evaluated in the 3CRT per region were applied over the Reviewed Armored that forms the Initial Base of the 4CRTP. Such adjustment is applied once to each distributor in its Initial Base, i.e., it is not applied in the following years, differently to the Incremental Base. For the Reviewed Armored Base68, Northern companies were attributed a disallowance of 5.73% and Northeastern companies had disallowance of 5.01%.

From 2018 to 204869, the average adjustment of the benchmark private distributors70 is applied per region, obtained from the 3CRTP Incremental Base. A disallowance of 2.09% was considered to Northeastern, and of 2.83% to Northern companies.

Disallowances are considered as effective, i.e., they are not presented again in the future and considered as assets by ANEEL. This occurs due to two main reasons:

Remuneration Base, which makes part of the invested assets to be set aside.

The evaluated distributors, with the entry of a new concession holder, will seek and gradually achieve the adjustment level by ANEEL of the benchmark private distributors of their regions, which will cause

66 In the specific cases in which they are reviewed and presented again, as occurring to the Evaluated Distributors   
67 Provided by the investment evaluators between 3CRTP and 4CRTP   
68 Armored Base of the Complete Report less Armored Base of the Incremental Report   
69 From the period of a new concession   
70 Benchmark distributors compared to those evaluated in the Northern region: Celpa and Cemar; Northeastern region: Celpe,   
Energisa Paraíba and Energisa Sergipe. Energisa Tocantins (Celtins) was discarded due to the atypical value (above 1.5 of   
standard deviation over the average of indicators) of ANEEL adjustment for the period considered when compared to the other   
private distributors   
 
 
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in the average that their asset disallowances are reduced when compared to the period prior to the private concession holder.

Finally, the application of the disallowance of the Remuneration Base presented by the distributors is levied upon item (1) Fixed Assets in Use (New Replacement Value) and consequently affects the items connected thereto. This will make the values considered in the evaluation to be different of the asset evaluation report in the magnitude of the disallowance applied to each distributor.

Regulatory Remuneration Base Components Forecasting

Inflation adjustments, additions, and write-off of assets shall occur for the years after the Initial Base of 4CRTP, which are considered in the evaluation until the final period of the concession.

Money Adjustments

The money adjustments of the Regulatory Remuneration Base may be subdivided into four detailed subgroups, as follows:

Items Monetarily Adjusted Directly; Items Consisting of Formulas; Percentage Items; Other Items.

It should also be noted that the values of the rates to which such adjustments occur may be found in section “Economic-Financial Evaluation”, in chapter “Macroeconomic Forecasting”.

The items of the Regulatory Remuneration Base are monetarily adjusted71 by the IPCA72: (1) Fixed Assets in Use (New Replacement Value); (3) Special Gross Obligations; (10) Stockroom in Operation; (11) Deferred Asset;

71 The IPCA is applied directly to the value observed from the Initial Base, also considering their increments and write-off   
throughout the evaluation period   
72 National Price Index to the Broad Consumer Amplo – IBGE, according to PRORET Submodule 2.3 V5, review 2.0, with date   
of effectiveness on 11/23/2015 and after, according to Normative Review no. 686/2015, dated 11/23/2015   
 
 
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(13) Real Properties and Easements;

(15) RGR PLPT Balance;

(16) RGR Balance Other Investments.

Items consisting of formulas, i.e., using the lines of the Regulatory Remuneration Base to be calculated, are monetarily updated indirectly, using the calculations over the items over which the accounts are realized, already monetarily updated. They are:

(5)      Gross Remuneration Base = (1)-(2)-(3)-(4);
(7)      Net AIS (Market Value in Use);
(9)      Remuneration Base Value (VBR);
(14)      Total Net Remuneration Base = (1)-(6)-(8)+(10)+(11)-(12)+(13);
(18)      Regulatory Reintegration Quota = (5)*(17);
(22)      Remuneration of Capital (RC) = (15)*(20)+(16)*(21)+[(14)-(15)-(16)]*(19).

The percentage items are not monetarily adjusted by any index. These items are: (17) Depreciation Rate; (19) Effective WACC before Taxes; (20) RGR PLPT Rate; (21) RGR Rate Other Investments.

Finally, items net of their depreciations, depreciations, and complete usage rates are treated specifically and have their money adjustments obtained indirectly.

Item (2) Complete Usage Rate is obtained by multiplying item (1) Fixed Assets in Use (New Replacement Value)73 by the ratio of the values of the Initial Base between item (2) over item (1).

Item (4) Fully Depreciated Assets is obtained by multiplying item (1) Fixed Assets in Use (New Replacement Value)74 by the ratio between the Accumulated Fully Depreciated Assets over the Accumulated VNR, both items of the ratio are in the same monetary date.

73 Monetarily adjusted by the IPCA as highlighted above   
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On its turn, the (6) Accumulated Depreciation is found by multiplying item (1) Fixed Assets in Use (New Replacement Value) by the ratio between the accumulated depreciation and the Accumulated VNR, with both last items being in the same monetary date.

Item (8) Depreciated Usage Rate is also monetarily adjusted indirectly, multiplying item (2) Complete Usage Rate75 by the subtraction of one by the ratio between the Depreciation of the Accumulated Usage Rate over the Accumulated Gross Usage Rate, with both items of the ratio being in the same monetary date.

Finally, item (12) Net Special Obligations76 is obtained by multiplying item (3) Special Gross Obligations by one less the ratio between the Depreciation of the Accumulated Special Obligation over the Accumulated Gross Special Obligation, with both items of the ratio being in the same monetary date.

Increments and Composition of the Regulatory Remuneration Base Lines

The assets will have increments throughout the period of concession, which are net of write-off, and that are contemplated in the economic-financial evaluation of distributors.

The items of the Regulatory Remuneration Base are affected differently by these increments and may be divided into five groups:

Items with Direct Increments; Items Consisting of Formulas; Percentage Items; Items without Increments; Other Items.

Part of the items of the Regulatory Remuneration Base are incremented directly, as detailed below: (1) Fixed Assets in Use (New Replacement Value); (3) Special Gross Obligations; (10) Stockroom in Operation; (13) Real Properties and Easements;

74 Monetarily adjusted by the IPCA as highlighted above   
75 Monetarily adjusted by the IPCA as highlighted above   
76 Monetarily adjusted by the IPCA as highlighted above   
 
 
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Items (1), (10) and (13) have their increment values of the Regulatory Remuneration Base detailed in section “Economic-Financial Evaluation” of this document, in section “Investment Forecasting” and, on its turn item (3), is detailed in chapter “Special Obligations”.

Items consisting of formulas, i.e., using the lines of the Regulatory Remuneration Base to be calculated, are monetarily updated indirectly, using the calculations over the items over which the accounts are realized, already with their respective increments. The composition of the formulas of these items is the same according to the provisions established by the regulatory agency77, these items being:

(5)      Gross Remuneration Base = (1)-(2)-(3)-(4);
(7)      Net AIS (Market Value in Use);
(9)      Remuneration Base Value (VBR);
(14)      Total Net Remuneration Base = (1)-(6)-(8)+(10)+(11)-(12)+(13);
(18)      Regulatory Reintegration Quota = (5)*(17);
(22)      Remuneration of Capital (RC) = (15)*(20)+(16)*(21)+[(14)-(15)-(16)]*(19).

Percentage items are not affected by increments. Their percentages are established by regulation and the values verified in the 3CRTP of each evaluated distributor are kept constant. These items are:

(17) Depreciation Rate;

(19) Effective WACC before Taxes; (20) RGR PLPT Rate; (21) RGR Rate Other Investments.

These percentages are maintained unaltered throughout the entire valuation period.

Part of the items of the Regulatory Remuneration Base do not have increments, being only adjusted monetarily by the IPCA, considering the 3CRTP values allocated to each distributor.

(11) Deferred Asset;

(15) RGR PLPT Balance;

(16) RGR Balance Other Investments.

77 ANEEL PRORET Submodule 2.3, V2.0, of Normative Resolution no. 686/2015, dated 11/23/2015   
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At last, the other items of the Regulatory Remuneration Base have particularities related to their composition and their increments, which are not related to the groups above.

Item (2) Complete Usage Rate is obtained by multiplying item (1) Fixed Assets in Use (New Replacement Value)78 of the period for the ratio of the values of the Initial Base between item (2) over item (1).

Item (4) Fully Depreciated Assets is detailed in the topic below “Fully Depreciated Assets”, of this same Chapter “Regulatory Remuneration Base Flow”.

Item (6) Accumulated Depreciation is calculated from the sum of the depreciation of the Initial Base, summed to the depreciation of the Incremental Base throughout the period of concession. Greater detail of the depreciation may be found in Chapter “Investment Forecasting” of this same section.

Item (8) Depreciated Usage Rate is calculated from the multiplication of item (2) Complete Usage Rate by one less the ratio between the Depreciation of the Accumulated Usage Rate over the Accumulated Gross Usage Rate, considering the components of the ratio in the same monetary date.

Finally, item (12) Net Special Obligations is obtained with the multiplication of item (3) Special Gross Obligations, by one less the ratio between the Depreciation of the Accumulated Special Obligation and the Special Gross Obligation, considering the components of the ratio in the same monetary date.

78 Monetarily adjusted by the IPCA as highlighted above   
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Considerations on Assets in Course

It should be noted that this work does not incorporate the Fixed Assets positions in course of the enterprise to the Remuneration Base.

The evaluation reports of the Remuneration Base did not perform any treatment regarding the items of Fixed Assets in Course, due to the fact that this type of asset is not part of the scope of contract. In addition, the accounting position from the audited Financial Statements of the evaluated Distributor does not allow the acknowledgement of relevant particularities for the amounts in course to be considered.

Thus, based on the reports of the evaluators of the Remuneration Base and the audited Financial Statements, the following information cannot be extracted:

These restrictions impede the estimate of the effective impact that the Fixed Assets in Course may generated to the Initial Remuneration Base and, consequently, to the respective tax impact.

Since the minimum set of premises to include these assets in course in the Remuneration Base was not met, it is not possible to obtain reasonable consistency regarding to

Thus, the effects of Fixed Assets in Course to the Remuneration Base were not included in this economic-financial evaluation document. The investor shall then analyze the criterion of adoption of the parameters to be considered.

Finally, for Eletrobras Distribuição Alagoas, the Complete Assessment Report “Companhia Energética de Alagoas – CEAL project No. 2715-17745” made by Levin is highlighted, which brings the balance for this Fixed Asset in Progress, as observed in the table below.

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Special Obligations

Common Analyses to Distributors

The Special Obligations consist of resources related to: financial participation of the consumer, budget appropriation of the Government, federal, state, and municipal charges, and charges of special credits related to the investments applied to the enterprises linked to the concession.

The Special Obligations were calculated in two periods: The first for Dec/16, which used the position of Dec/16 made available by the evaluated distributors. The second from 2017, which excluded from the analytical bases of Special Obligations all nonrecurring items.

Bases with different levels of detail were provided, some distributors had specific treatments to define the recurring items. Program “Luz para Todos” (PLPT)85 is considered as a recurring item during its period of effectiveness for which distributors have expense forecasting (until 2019).

For the other Special Obligations, recurring items have been considered as those that in the past 5 years presented at least three variations of value, or that in the past three years had at least two years with variation of value.

85 Tratado com maior detalhe no capítulo de investimentos   
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Indicators of Quality

Analysis of Indicators of Quality

The levels of the indicators of quality achieved by the evaluated distributors throughout the concession period (03/01/2018 to 02/28/2048) were estimated, the goals established by ANEEL in the same period were forecasted.

Seven indicators were evaluated:

DEC (Equivalent Duration of Interruption per Consumption Unit); FEC (Equivalent Frequency of Interruption per Consumption Unit); FER (Equivalent Frequency of Complaint); IASC (ANEEL Rating of Consumer Satisfaction); IAb (Telephone Support Abandonment Rate); ICO (Indicator of Busy Calls of Telephone Support).

These indicators affect the Component of Quality of Service Q of Factor X and may influence the values of Installment B of distributors, in accordance with the coverage or not of the regulatory goals established by ANEEL. The levels of coverage or not of each distributor are compared with the results obtained by the distributors of a same group86. A distributor may be between the 25% best or worst companies to whether achieve or not the goal, or between the other 75% that whether achieve or not the levels established by ANEEL.

Summing all indicators, the addition or reduction value of Installment B may be of 2%, depending on the level of coverage of ANEEL goals by the distributor in each indicator, also compared to the other distributors of its group.

The equations and parameters for the classes of each indicator were used in accordance with ANEEL’s PRORET 2.5 V2.0.

The weights equivalent to each indicator are presented below:

86 Groups are defined by size of company, as per Submodule 2.5 V2.0 of ANEEL’s PRORET   
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“Paragraph Three – From the second calendar year after the execution of the agreement, in case the calculated values of the offsetting is greater than the values of calculated offsetting for the previous calendar year, such difference shall be invested doubled in the concession and included in entry Obligations Linked to the Electric Power Public Service (Special Obligations).”

DEC and FEC

Common Analyses to Distributors

Forecasting of Indicators Performed by the Companies

The indicator of DEC (Equivalent Duration of Interruption per Consumption Unit) consists of the time in which a Consumption Unit (UC) remained without electric power for a certain period and the indicator of FEC (Equivalent Frequency of Interruption per Consumption Unit) consists of the number of times that an UV had no electricity for a given period.

The analyses90 may be divided into three parts: Starting Point, Indicator Variation Rate and ANEEL Limit.

The starting point consists of the DEC and FEC estimates for 2017 and is the result of data obtained for 201691 and adjusted according to ANEEL’s goal of reduction for 201792 of DECi and FECi93. Based on the history of variation of distributors, the assumption is that distributors seek and achieve the DECi reduction percentage for the DEC as a whole, and, similarly, achieve the FECi percentage for the FEC as a whole.

The rate of variation of the indicator is based on the rate of variation realized by the private benchmark94. The DEC and FEC levels of the evaluated company in 2015 are evaluated and compared with the history of the private company, identifying 1993 and 2015 the most recent period in which the company had a rate near that of the evaluated company.

With the evaluation of this period of similarity of indicators, the extension of the period from this point to 2015 is evaluated, followed by the calculation of the annual geometric mean of variation of the indicator of the private company. Such indicator is initially applied in the distributors evaluated between 2018 and 2022, including both.

90 DEC and FEC Analyses are carried out in separate but have common constructive logical structure   
91 Annual DEC and FEC of the ase of collective indicators of continuity of ANEEL   
92 Procedure 48500.004245/2016-77, Vote, Table 1 – Limit for the end of 2017 for operational management. Variation % be-   
tween the Determined DECi and its Limit for 2017 and the Determined FECi and its Limit for 2017   
93 Internal DEC and Internal FEC, indicators that accompany the interruptions occurred in the distribution system of internal   
origin   
94 Companies with geographic proximity to the evaluated distributors   
 
 
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late the simple average of the indicator of each established group104. The joint geometric mean per group is applied between years 2012 and 2016105, having (2017 Indicator)*(1+Rate of Variation of 2013-2016 Benchmark Group) and so successively until the indicator achieves the FER goals defined by ANEEL of the evaluated distributions to the years starting in 2017.

The FER goal used is the limit to year 2017 and after that, defined106 by ANEEL to each distributor. When achieving the goals in the period, distributors stabilize their efforts to improve the indicator. In the long term, companies tend to have indicators equal to the goals estimated to ANEEL. This makes companies tend to achieve the other 75% of the distributors that achieve the FER goals.

104 Benchmark distributors of the Northern region: Celpa and Celtins (Energisa TO) and benchmark distributors of Northeastern   
region: Celpe, Cemar, Energisa Paraíba and Energisa Sergipe   
105 2012 is the year in which the FER indicators of the groups of private companies are more similar to te average of the indica-   
tors of the evaluated distributors. From such common point, we evaluate how the indicator of non-state owned is developed and   
apply its variation rate to the FER of the evaluated companies   
106 Normative Resolution no. 574, dated August 20, 2013   
 
 
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ICO

Analyses Common to the Distributors

The ICO (Busy Call Indicator of Telephone Service) refers to the list of busy calls over offered.

Its analysis can be divided into three main parts: Starting Point, Indicator Variation Rate and Target.

The starting point consists of the ICO estimates for 2017, which derives from indicator data of each distributor obtained from 2010 to 2016114. The average is calculated by excluding the missing data115 from 2010 to 2016.

The indicator variation rate from 2018 to 2022 is calculated based on the variation of indicators obtained by the groups of benchmark of the outsourced distributors116. By using the indicators from 2010 to 2016 of each benchmark, the simple indicator average is calculated for each group established. The joint geometric average is applied per group from 2012 to 2016117, in which we have (Indicator 2017)*(1+Variation Rate of the Group of Benchmarks 2012-2016) and so on until the indicator reaches the targets defined by ANEEL of the distributors evaluated for the years starting in 2017 of ICO.

Between 2023 and 2027 the distributor speed is adjusted118 to reach the target established by ANEEL119 for 2027. This is possible thanks to the maturity that the new concessionaire acquires during the period in the company management, which allows them an improvement rate faster than that verified in the recent period by the benchmark of the outsourced distributors. Subsequently, the speeds are adjusted to the speed verified by the outsourced distributors.

The ICO target used is the maximum amount of 2%120 from 2015, which is kept to the concession end. While reaching the targets of the period, the distributors stabilized their improvement efforts of the indicator. In the long run, the companies tend to show indicators equal to the targets estimated for ANEEL. This leads the companies to reach the remaining 75% of distributors that reach the ICO targets.

114 ICO base of Distribution Indicators of ANEEL   
115 The year of 2016 and other points along the historical series present missing data, reason which the average reference   
checked in the period was used   
116 Companies geographically located near the distributors evaluated   
117 The interval with longer historic period was used, without missing data among the benchmark outsourced   
118 Speed near that checked by the outsourced companies will be presente din the specific analysis for each distributor   
 
119 Estimated by Ceres as it will be addressed below   
120 PRORET ANEEL Submodule 2.5A   
 
 
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The PTF values, Annual average variation of the distributor market and Annual average variation of the number of consuming units were maintained during concession, starting May/15, date on which they became valid.

The valuesDMWh(i) andDUC(i) were calculated according to the forecast of demand and specific consuming units per consumption class of each distributor evaluated and are discussed in the chapter of Demand Forecast of this document.

Finally, we outline that according to the official letter no. 113/2017-DR/ANEEL122 in its “Clause Nineteenth – Transitory Provisions”, Subclause Three, the value of Pd component will be defined as zero123 between the agreement execution ate and the first subsequent ordinary tariff revision.

Q Factor

The Q Component of the X Factor composed portions technical and commercial quality according to the following equation:

3

= 0,70.

36echnical

+ 0,30.

3%KIm N?E= l.

The technical component is composed by the indicators DEC (Equivalent Duration of Interruption per Consuming Unit) and FEC (Equivalent Frequency of Interruption per Consuming Unit).

The commercial component is composed by the indicators of FER (Equivalent Frequency of Complaint), IASC (ANEEL Index of Consumer’s Satisfaction), INS (Telephone Service Level Indicator), IAb (Telephone Service Abandonment Indicator) and ICO (Busy Call Indicator of Telephone Service).

These commercial and technical indicators are discussed in further details in the chapter “Quality Indicators” and take into account, among others, the provisions of the Technical Note 149/2017-SEM/SGT/SRD/SFF/ANEEL, of Sep 8, 2017, case 48500.002667/2017-99.

Considerations about the T Factor

The description and dates used for this component are discussed in the chapter that addresses Operating Costs and PMSO (Personnel, Materials, Services of Outsources and Others). We outline that during evaluation, between the agreement execution and the first ordinary subsequent tariff revision, its value was deemed zero124, as provided in the Technical Note no. 88/2017-SEM/SGT/SRD/ANEEL125.

122 On May 3, 2017, case 48510.000502/2017-00   
123 Also provided in the Technical Note 149/2017-SEM/SGT/SRD/SFF/ANEEL on Sep 8, 2017, case 48500.002667/2017-99   
124 Also provided in the Technical Note 149/2017-SEM/SGT/SRD/SFF/ANEEL on Sep 8, 2017, case 48500.002667/2017-99   
125 On May 24, 2017, case 48500.002667/2017-99   
 
 
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Irrecoverable Revenues

Analyses Common to the Distributors

The irrecoverable revenues evaluated are the value invoiced that had not been received up to certain set date. Irrecoverable revenue is that deemed the indicator average: (value invoiced not received in the period t)/(total value invoiced in the period t), from the 49th to the 60th month prior to the base date.

The analysis can be divided into three main parts: an estimate for 2017, a variation rate of the indicators along the concession period and the target established.

To assess the indicator level in 2017, the medium value of the indicator was calculated for the base date of Dec/16. For each consumption class, the total value invoiced in the 60 prior months126 was assessed as well as the total value not received of such respective months in relation to the base date of Dec/16127.

The medium value was calculated between the value invoiced not received over the total value invoiced between the months of Dec/11 and Nov/12 inclusive, reaching the value of irrecoverable revenues on the base date of Dec/16.

The percentage of annual variation proposed by ANEEL in the indicator between 3CRTP and 2CRTP was applied to the value of Dec/16, reaching the value estimated for Dec/17. Thus, it was concluded that the company reached the variation forecast by the regulating body.

In relation to the variation rate after 2017, between 2017 and 2020, it was concluded that the variation rate proposed by ANEEL between 3CRTP and 2CRTP carries on being reached, completing a period of four years in this variation rate, according to initial forecast of ANEEL.

From 2021, the variation rate considered is that proposed in the variation from 4CRTP to 3CRTP. Such order of variations is chosen based on the difference of the rates initially proposed by the regulating body. The variation from 3CRTP to 2CRTP in average is softer than that proposed from 4CRTP to 3CRTP. It is agreed that the default levels need time to be deeply changed and, therefore, a less accelerated rate was used in the 3 first years of concession and a more accelerated rate was applied in the subsequent years.

126 Data obtained from the distributors also made available for ANEEL. Period prior to the base date considered from Dec/11 to   
Nov/16   
127 Considering Dec/16, when what was invoiced, e.g.; in Jan/15, has not yet been received by the distributor   
 
 
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Loss Forecast

The electrical distribution system losses are divided into two categories: Basic Network losses and Distribution Network losses. It its turn, the Distribution Network losses are divided into Technical Losses and Non-Technical Losses.

The Basic Network loss consists of the energy loss in the physical processes occurring between generation to the distribution system. Such loss costs are divided equally between the generator and distributor, with each company assuming 50% of the Basic Network loss. The Technical Loss consists of the energy loss inherent to the electric power transport, voltage transformation and energy measurement. They can be deemed as the consumption of equipment employed in the energy distribution. The Non-Technical Losses correspond to the difference between total losses and technical losses. The remaining losses are associated to the distribution system (e.g; energy robbery, measurement error, invoicing error, etc.). These are losses related to the commercial management of the distributors.

The model is forecast in loss percentage in the energy invoiced (deemed equivalent to the energy injected in the projections of this work) for the Technical Losses and in the Basic Network and loss percentage in the low voltage market for the Non-Technical Losses, as established by the submodule 2.6 of PRORET.

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With the amounts of multiples for each year, the simple arithmetic average for each company was calculated. From average values, the average between companies was calculated to obtain the amount of each multiple.

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With each year’s amounts of multiples, the simple arithmetic average for each company was calculated. From average values, the average between companies was calculated for each multiple. Amounts found are reported below:

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Final Considerations

The fair value of the business for the Enterprise Value indicates R$ 1,994,373,551.48 to Eletrobras Distribuição Alagoas and granting of new Concession Agreement. However, the debts, liabilities with suppliers and contingencies cause the company’s Valuation to be negative at R$ 1,116,190,768.34.

Such assertion assumes that the company sale and granting of new concession would only take effect if proper conditions are structured for such investor, such as transferring existing liabilities to the current shareholder.

The X Factor and more strongly the Non-Recoverable Revenues of CEAL generate current amounts which decrease the business value. However, the reduction possibility of PMSO adds value to the future shareholder. Although there is great conditions to reduce such companies’ costs, business governance and management are evolved, either as to productivity, quality, continuity, among other Indicators, yet, in view of the estimated track record, such transaction shall not be sufficient to neutralize all existing liabilities at CEAL.

Analysis by multiples showed that the appraised company has an indicated amount greater than that suggested by the metrics of the compared private companies. In spite of the regional specificities, the increased indebtedness level, the companies’ status and specific risk premiums, regulatory adjustments and proposals added value to the company. In addition, taxes to be recovered of about R$ 284,286,530.00, arising out of aggregate losses throughout the years, are being considered.

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To

Banco Nacional de Desenvolvimento Econômico e Social (Brazilian Development Bank - "BNDES") Av. República do Chile nº 100 Rio de Janeiro - RJ

Att.: Mrs. Lidiane Delesderrier Gonçalves - Manager of Contract OCS 028/2017 September 18, 2017 Dear All,

Pursuant to service contract OCS 028/201 7 (“the Contract") signed February 14, 2017 by BNDES and Consortium Mais Energia B (“the Consortium”), this report presents the result of our analysis related to the Privatization of Eletrobrás System Distributors.

The result of our work is detailed in this document titled “Product 10: Final Valuation Report” (“the Report”) and provides a financial valuation as of September 18, 2017, of Companhia Energética De Alagoas.

As contemplated under the Contract, the sole purpose of the Report is to provide a valuation of Companhia Energética De Alagoas to BNDES, the institution responsible under Decree 8.893 for the privatization process of the Eletrobras System Distributors.

If the Report is shared with third parties, it must be provided in full so that the applicable disclaimers and limitations are effectively communicated.


 

Summary     
1.  Introduction    9 
1.1.  Context    9 
1.2.  Purpose    9 
1.3.  Summary of the Assumptions    9 
1.4.  Valuation    11 
2.  History and Characteristics of the Concession    12 
2.1.  Brief History    12 
2.2.  Description of the Operating Area    12 
2.3.  Socioeconomics    13 
2.4.  Transportation Infrastructure    14 
2.5.  Climate    17 
2.6.  Geoelectric Characteristics    19 
3.  Market and Consumption Unit Forecasts    23 
3.1.  Market and Consumption Units (CU) History    23 
3.2.  Market Forecast Methodology    25 
3.3.  Market Forecast Results    32 
3.4.  Consumption Unit Forecast Methodology    38 
3.5.  CU Forecast Results    40 
4.  Methodologies, Premises, Results from Readjustment and Reviews  42 
4.1.  Overview    42 
4.1.1.  Regulation by incentives    42 
4.1.2.  Recent changes to the contractual and tariff rules of the electric power distribution.  46 
4.2.  Methodologies, Premises and Results for the Definition of Part A  65 
4.2.1.  Purchase of Power and Tariff Flags    65 
4.2.2.  Charges    66 
4.2.3.  Transport Costs    67 
4.2.4.  Financial    68 
4.2.5.  Technical Losses (“PT”)    69 
4.2.6.  Non-Technical Losses (“PNT”)    77 
4.2.7.  Default    95 
4.3.  Methodology for definition of Part B    97 
4.3.1.  Regulatory WACC    98 
4.3.2.  Operational costs and Factor Xt    101 
4.3.3.  Factor Xpd and Xq    115 
4.3.4.  Demand Surplus, Reactive Excess and Other Revenues    120 
4.3.5.  DEC and FEC Indicators    122 
4.3.6.  Compensations    134 
4.3.7.  Long-Term Investment    137 
4.3.8.  Remuneration Base    143 
 
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4.3.9.  Tariff Transactions  159 
5.  Analysis of the Distributor  162 
5.1.  Historical Financial Statements  163 
6.  Valuation  169 
6.1.  Methodology  169 
6.2.  Discount Rate  169 
6.3.  Assumptions  171 
6.4.  Valuation by Multiples  179 
6.5.  Valuation results  183 
6.6.  Sensitivity  190 
7.  References  192 
ANNEX I Extent of Responsibility  193 
APPENDIX A Socioeconomic Characterization of the Ceal Concession Area  194 
APPENDIX B Methodologies of Market Projection  197 
APPENDIX C - Selection of Models for Market Projections  201 
APPENDIX D Alternative Models Not Selected  203 
APPENDIX E Models of the Assessed DEC and FEC Indicators  207 
APÊNDICE F Concepts and Methods of BRR Valuation  208 
APPENDIX G – Company’s Debt Overview  211 
 
 
 
Figures   
 
Figure 1 Macroeconomic assumptions  10 
Figure 2 State of Alagoas (capital in highlight)  13 
Figure 3 Federal and State Highways of Alagoas  17 
Figure 5 Average temperatures observed for the Brazilian states  19 
Figure 6 National Interconnected System  20 
Figure 7 - Basic Network of the state of Alagoas  20 
Figure 8 - Electric regionals in the state of Alagoas  21 
Figure 9 Map of the status of the transmission and distribution system of the state of Alagoas.  22 
Figure 10 GDP real growth forecasts (% p.a.) of external sources  29 
Figure 11 Schematic drawing for the total forecast of CU  39 
Figure 12 Price cap functioning  43 
Figure 13 Yardstick Competition Functioning  44 
Figure 14Example of Periodicity of Periodical Tariff Reviews and Tariff Readjustments  44 
Figure 15 Time line with changes to the PRORET.  48 
Figure 16Time line with recent rulings related to the renewal of the concessions.  51 
Figure 17 - Trajectory of reduction  84 
Figure 18 - Periodicity of Forecast of Regulatory Non-Technical Loss Targets  89 
Figure 19 - Dynamics of the Regulatory PNT target forecast  91 
Figure 20 Example of a model for calculation of components X Factor quality indicator  119 
Figure 21 Historical Financial Indicators  163 
Figure 22 Summarized Income Statements  164 
Figure 23 Summarized Balance Sheet  164 
Figure 24 - Balance Sheet  165 
Figure 25 Income Statements  165 
Figure 26 Quality of earnings  166 
Figure 27 Working Capital  167 

 

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Figure 28 Net Debt  168 
Figure 29 Due Diligence Financial Indicators  168 
Figure 30 - Rolling WACC  171 
Figure 31 Working Capital  178 
Figure 32 - EV / Net Revenues Multiples  180 
Figure 33 - EV / EBITDA Multiples  181 
Figure 34 - EV / BRR Multiples  181 
Figure 35 - EV / Consumer Units Multiples (R$ thousand / Number of Clients)  182 
Figure 36 - EV / Distributed Energy Multiples (R$ thousand/MWh)  182 
 
 
Graphs   
 
Graph 1- Density of Total Highways (km/km²)  15 
Graph 2 - Percentage of Existing and Planned Highways in 2015  15 
Graph 3 - Voltage level share in the total market (%) - Ceal Forecasts  27 
Graph 4 Share of the state GDP in the Brazil GDP (%) - Forecast for Ceal  31 
Graph 5 Forecasted Market of Ceal in each Decade per Class of Consumption.  38 
Graph 6 Forecasted Market of Ceal until 2046 per Class of Consumption  38 
Graph 7 – Ceal CU’s Forecasts  41 
Graph 8 Average Loss per Segment of Ceal and Comparable  73 
Graph 9 Forecast of regulatory technical losses of Ceal  77 
Graph 10 Comparison between Real and Regulatory Non-Technical Losses on the Low Voltage Market  78 
Graph 11 Forecast of Verified and Regulatory PNT Ceal (Invoiced)  92 
Graph 12 Example of heterogeneity curve  108 
Graph 13 Ceal efficiency curve  112 
Graph14 Forecast of Other Regulatory Revenues CEAL (R$ Million)  121 
Graph 15 Forecast of Annual Demand Surplus and Reactive Excess Revenues CEAL (R$ Million)  122 
Graph 16 Verified Indicator and Limits of DEC for Ceal  124 
Graph 17 Verified Indicator and Limits of FEC for Ceal  124 
Graph 18 History of Compensations for Violation of the Individual Indicators of Ceal  125 
Graph 19 DEC Forecast for Ceal  132 
Graph 20 DEC Forecast for Ceal  133 
Graph 21 Forecasted Compensations for Ceal  137 
Graph 22 - Forecast of electric and non-electric investments of Ceal  142 
Graph 23 - Long-Term Investments Plan of Ceal per Type of Works/Systems/Vehicles  142 
Graph 24 Tariff Transactions (%)  162 
Graph 25 Industrial Class Ceal: growth rate accumulated in 12 months  204 
 
 
Tables   
 
Table 1 Valuation  11 
Table 2 Highway Indicators for the state of Alagoas  16 
Table 3 Climactic Characteristic of the state of Alagoas  18 
Table 4 Evolution of the Number of Consumers per Voltage Level  23 
Table 5 Market Evolution per Voltage Level  24 
Table 6 Mid-Market Evolution per Voltage Level  24 
Table 7 Evolution of the Average Consumption per Tariff Class  25 
Table8 Variables used in the market forecasts per class  28 
Table9 – State GDP share in Brazil’s GDP (%)  30 
Table 10 GDP average growth rates (%)  31 
Table 11 Forecasted Market of Ceal in each Decade per Class of Consumption.  37 
Table 12 Summary of the CU Forecast for Ceal  41 
Table 13- Values Factor T and Xpd  57 
Table 14 - Values of Regulatory Losses  57 
Table 15 - DEC and FEC Global Limits  59 
Table 16 - Variation of the amounts destined to PMSO per Distributor  62 

 

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Table 17 - Variation of the DEC limits per Distributor  64 
Table 18 - Variation of the FEC limits per Distributor  64 
Table 19 - Amount of Losses in the Ceal Distribution System  70 
Table 20 - Amount of Technical Losses per Segment of Transformation and Grid  71 
Table 21 - Technical Loss Target per Voltage Segment  75 
Table22 - Amount of Technical Losses per Segment of Transformation and grid  76 
Table 23 Socioeconomic Variables for the Composition of the Complexity Factor to Fight Non-Technical Losses 79 
Table 24 - Models Selected for the Composition of the Complexity Factor to Fight Non-Technical Losses  80 
Table 25 - Result of the Complexity Indexes of each Econometric Model for the Companies from Grupo Eletrobras 
  82 
Table 26 - Average Complexity Index  82 
Table 27 - Summary of Definition of the Starting Point  86 
Table 28 - Example of Forecast of the Regulatory Non-Technical Losses  88 
Table 29 - Comparison of Real Invoiced Loss with Regulatory Invoiced Loss  90 
Table 30 - Complexity Index of Fighting Non-Technical Losses of the most Complex Distributors from Group 1  90 
Table 31 - Forecast Regulatory PNT 2023 to 2027  93 
Table 32 - Forecast Regulatory PNT 2028 to 2032  93 
Table 33 - Forecast Regulatory PNT 2033 to 2037  94 
Table 34 Forecast Regulatory PNT 2038 to 2042  94 
Table 35 Forecast Regulatory PNT 2043 to 2047  95 
Table 36 Operational Costs Efficiency Parameters in 4CRTP  102 
Table 37 Confidence intervals of the efficiency estimations  103 
Table 38 Cluster Composition  109 
Table 39 Composition of the clusters and efficiency  111 
Table 40 Forecast of Regulatory PMSO Ceal  112 
Table 41 Grid forecast modeling results  114 
Table 42 Operational Costs and Component T Ceal  115 
Table 43 Technical and commercial indicators of component Q of Factor X  117 
Table 44 Commercial indicators in 2016 - Ceal  120 
Table 45 Results for Factor X and its components Ceal  120 
Table 46 Verified/ Forecasted Verified and Approved/ Verified Limit of DEC for Ceal  133 
Table 47 Verified/ Forecasted Verified and Approved/ Verified Limit of FEC for Ceal  134 
Table 48 Compensation Regression Table  136 
Table 49- Forecast of Quinquennial Investments 2018-2022  138 
Table 50 - Investments in HV Expansion works 2018-2022  139 
Table 51 - Mean, Standard deviation and Limits for HV Expansion works  139 
Table 52 - Investments in HV Expansion work (outliers excluded)  140 
Table 53 - Investments in HV Expansion works 2023-2027  140 
Table 54 - Forecast of Investments for the Quinquennium of Ceal  141 
Table 55 Proportions of the Groups of Assets in BAR  146 
Table 56 - Calculation of the AIS Considered in the BRR Model in Feb/17  148 
Table 57 Difference between the Initial and the Final Additional AIS (VOC) of the 3rd RTP  149 
Table 58 Values of BRR Considered Starting Point in the Frozen Asset BRR in Feb/17  151 
Table 59 Investments between 2018 and December 2022 per Registration Unit: Impact on the Average   
depreciation rate of the Assets  155 
Table 60 Assumptions for Index and Rate Forecast  156 
Table 61 TJLP Forecast  156 
Table 62 Forecast of Regulatory Reintegration Quota in RTPs  157 
Table 63 Forecast for Equity Remuneration without Special obligations in RTPs  157 
Table 64 Forecast for Equity Remuneration of the Special obligations in RTPs  159 
Table 65 Forecast of the Annual Fixed or Portable Facilities Cost in RTPs  159 
Table 66 Estimations for Required Revenues, VPA and VPB for Ceal (rated R$ million)  161 
Table 67 - Unlevered Beta of comparable companies  170 
Table 68 - Transaction Multiples  179 
Table 69 Distributed energy projections  183 
Table 70 Net revenues projections  183 
Table 71 Operating costs projections  185 
Table 72 Gross profit projections  185 

 

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Table 73 Operating expenses projections  186 
Table 74 EBITDA projections  187 
Table 75 Net income projections  188 
Table 76 Cash flow projections  188 
Table 77 Terminal Value  189 
Table 78 Valuation Results  189 
Table 79 Financial Covenants  190 
Table 80 Sensitivity Analysis  190 
Table 81 Demographic Information, Education Level and Unemployment Rates  194 
Table 82 Information about Access to Services  195 
Table 83 Information about Income  195 
Table 84 Information about Violence  196 
Table 85 Family of Exponential Models  199 
Table 86 Statistical Indicators  202 
Table 87 Residential Class: Ceal  203 
Table 88 Industrial Class: Ceal  204 
Table 89 Commercial Class: Ceal  205 
Table 90 Rural Class: Ceal  205 
Table 91 Public Entities Class: Ceal  206 
Table 92 Utility Class: Ceal  206 
 
 
 
 
Charts   
 
Chart 1 Socioeconomic characteristics of the state of Alagoas  14 
Chart 2 Summary with the forecast model for Residential Consumption Ceal  32 
Chart 3 Summary with the forecast model for Industrial Consumption Ceal  33 
Chart 4 Summary with the forecast model for Commercial Consumption Ceal  33 
Chart 5 Summary with the forecast model for Rural Consumption Ceal  34 
Chart 6 Summary of the forecast model for the Consumption of Public Service Ceal  35 
Chart 7 Summary of the forecast model for the Consumption of Public Lighting Ceal  35 
Chart 8 Summary of the forecast model for the Consumption of Public Service Ceal  36 
Chart 9 Summary with the forecast model for Own Consumption Ceal  37 
Chart 10 Example of the need of investments in HV Expansion for the period between 2023-2027  139 
 
 
Equations   
Equation 1 - Box Cox Transformation  26 
Equation 2 - Domiciliary Density Calculation  39 
Equation 3 - Kt Coverage  39 
Equation 4 - Residential CU’s Forecast  40 
Equation 5 - Average Consumption Series  40 
Equation 6 - CU’s Forecast  40 
Equation 7 - Formula for the Maximum Cap Price and Periodical Readjustment  42 
Equation 8 - Formulation for Tariff Readjustment Rate  45 
Equation 9 - Formulation for the Complexity Factor of Fight Non-Technical Loss of Company A  80 
Equation 10 - Calculation of Target of Non-Technical Losses  83 
Equation 11 - Global Target  83 
Equation 12 Value of Non-recoverable revenues for companies, which have not undergone 4CRTP yet  96 
Equation 13 Value of Non-recoverable revenues for companies that have undergone 4CRTP  96 
Equation 14 Calculation of Part B in adjustment processes  98 
Equation 15 Calculation of Part B in review processes  98 
Equation 16 Operational Cost Tariff Coverage  104 
Equation 17 Value of the Efficient operational costs  104 

 

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Equation 18 Annual Variation of the Regulatory Operational Costs  105 
Equation 19 Target of Efficient operational costs  105 
Equation 20 Target of shared Efficient operational costs  105 
Equation 21 Standardization of variables  105 
Equation 22 Euclidean Distance  106 
Equation 23 Efficiency Indicator  110 
Equation 24 Value of the Efficient operational costs  112 
Equation 25 Update Factor  113 
Equation 26 Operational Cost in Tariff review  115 
Equation 27 Component T of Factor X  115 
Equation 28 Component Pd of Factor X  116 
Equation 29 Component Q of Factor X  118 
Equation 30 - Determination of Heterogeneity  126 
Equation 31 - Limit Equation  127 
Equation 32 Simplified Limit Equation  127 
Equation 33 Linear Regression Equations for DEC  129 
Equation 34 Linear Regression Equations for FEC  129 
Equation 35 - Calculation of the average EUSD  135 
Equation 36 - Calculation of the Compensation in Force  135 
Equation 37 - Forecasted Compensation  136 
Equation 38 Regulatory Reintegration Quota  143 
Equation 39 Gross BRR  144 
Equation 40 Capital Remuneration  144 
Equation 41 Net Regulatory Remuneration Base  145 
Equation 42 Special Obligations Capital Remuneration  145 
Equation 43 Regulatory Annuity Base (BAR)  146 
Equation 44 Annual Rental Cost (CAL)  147 
Equation 45 Annual vehicle Cost (CAV)  147 
Equation 46 Annual Cost of Information Systems (CAI)  147 
Equation 47 - Stationary Series  197 
Equation 48 - Seasonal Series  197 
Equation 49 - Box & Jenkins Methodology Models  198 
Equation 50 ETS Model  198 
Equation 51 - Dynamic Model  200 

 

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1. Introduction 
  1.1. Context 
  Companhia Energética De Alagoas – CEAL (“CEAL”, “Distributor”, or “Company”) is a 
quasi-public company headquartered in Maceió, the capital of the State of Alagoas. The Company 
is currently controlled by Centrais Elétricas Brasileiras S.A. - Eletrobras, who holds 100% of its 
shares. It is a federal utility concession holder responsible for the sale and distribution of 
electricity in the State of Alagoas. 
 
  According to Article 2 of Decree 8.893, the Brazilian Development Bank (BNDES) is 
responsible for the supervision and execution of the privatization process of the electric 
distributorship concession holders. 
 
  In this context, the Consortium has prepared the financial valuation of the Company’s 
shares with a base date of December 31, 2016, using a Discounted Cash Flow (“DCF”) 
methodology. The financial valuation assumes the scenario of renewal of the concession for 
electric power distribution. Therefore, the result of this work represents the Company’s value in 
the event of concession renewal. 
  1.2. Purpose 
  The purpose of this report is to provide BNDES, the leader of the project, with information 
regarding the company’s Fair Value, making clear all assumptions used for calculations of 
portions A and B, as well as the methodologies used in the financial model. 
With this purpose, the following analyses were carried out: 
·  Research and analysis or market information; 
·  Projections for the energy market, energy demand and regulatory elements; 
·  Analysis of the historical financial statements; 
·  Meetings, conference calls, and discussions with the directors and technical teams of the 
 
·  Field Company; visits; 
·  financial statements projections (Income Statements and Cash Flow Statements) based on 
 
·  Financial information valuation provided based by the on Company, Discounted market Cash Flow analyses, methodology; and due diligence studies; 
·  Calculation and projection of the discount rate based on the Weighted Average Cost of 
  Capital (WACC) methodology, used for calculating the present value of projected cash 
 
·  Calculation flows; and projection of regulatory WACC. 
 
  1.3. Summary of the Assumptions 
  Methodology 
  The valuation of the Company was performed using the Discounted Cash Flow method, 
based on the projected profits, utilizing Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF). 

 

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2. History and Characteristics of the Concession

     This chapter will detail relevant characteristics of Ceal, providing information regarding its background, socioeconomics, transportation infrastructure, climate, level of connectedness to the SIN and standards of the electric power distribution grids.

2.1.Brief History

     The history of electricity in Alagoas started in the capital, Maceió, which was a pioneer among the Brazilian capitals in terms of electric power, with service started in 1897. The Empresa Luz Elétrica de Alagoas was responsible for the supply of electricity, using a steam engine with three 755 horsepower boilers [1].

     In 1913, Nova Empresa de Luz Elétrica (NELE), owned by commander Teixeira Bastos, assumed responsibility for the supply of electric energy, and later became Companhia Força e Luz de Maceió. The name changed once again in 1931, when Amford purchased the company and adopted the name of Companhia Força e Luz do Brasil Maceió [1].

     In 1959, under the government of Muniz Falcão, Alagoas took the first steps towards implementing planning policies. The Electrification Plan for Alagoas was developed for the energy segment. The government of Alagoas set up a joint capital company, Companhia de Eletricidade de Alagoas Ceal to execute this Plan. The company was linked to the Department of Waters and Energy.

     In 1983, due to Law No. 4.450, Companhia de Eletricidade de Alagoas changed names to Companhia Energética de Alagoas, but maintaining the abbreviation Ceal. Under this law, it was allowed to produce and distribute energy in Alagoas.

     Ceal was under State control until June 1997, when the federalization process started, with purchase of 50% of the shares by Centrais Elétricas Brasileiras S.A Eletrobras, which obtained a controlling interest in the company.

     Currently, the Eletrobras holding owns 100% of the shares of Ceal on behalf of the Federal Government. On October 2010, the new brand of Eletrobras was standardized for all companies in the System, including the former Ceal, which came to be known as Eletrobras Distribuição Alagoas.

     Finally, in July 2016, the Eletrobras group decided not to renew the contracts of electric power suppliers in the North and Northeast regions, including AmE. On August 3, 2016, through Ordinance No. 424/2016, the MME designated AmE as responsible for providing the public electricity distribution service with the intention ensuring continuity of the service until December 31, 2017 or until the assumption of a new electricity provider, whichever occurs first.

2.2. Description of the Operating Area

     Ceal operates throughout the state of Alagoas, covering an area of 27.848 km². Alagoas is the second smallest state in Brazil (after Sergipe) and borders three other states: Pernambuco, to the North, Sergipe, to the South and Bahia, to the Southeast.

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Table 2 Highway Indicators for the state of Alagoas 
 
Type  Roads  Extension  Weight/ 
    (km)  Participation (%) 
  Federal  822.0  6.26% 
Total  State  2,409.5  18.35% 
Existent  Municipal  9,896.6  75.38% 
  Total Roads  13,128.1  100.0% 
  Federal  768.6  32.24% 
  State  1,565.7  65.68% 
Paved       
  Municipal  49.2  2.06% 
  Subtotal Pav.  2,383.5  21.62% 
  Federal  53.4  0.49% 
Not  State  843.8  7.85% 
paved  Municipal  9,847.4  91.95% 
  Subtotal Not Pav.  10,744.6  81.84% 
 
  Self prepared based on DNIT data, 2015   

 

Alagoas has a total of 13.128 km of roads. The federal highways are the least representative 
(only 6% of the total), while state roads constitute 18% of the highways in the state. Of the total 
roads present in Alagoas, 82% are unpaved (9.847.4 km). As a consequence, the amount of total 
paved roads is low in relation to the total roads (just 21% or 2.383 km).   
Almost all the 9.800 km of municipal roads are unpaved, representing 92% of the existing 
total municipal roads. This fact directly influences the movement between the central area of the 
municipality and its surrounding areas, since these roads tend to become dangerous in case of 
rains, because the dirt roads generate mud and can bog down the emergency services vehicles. 
Among the paved roads, most are under federal administration (over 1.500 km or 65% of 
the total paved roads). The majority of federal roads are paved (768 km of a total of 822 km). 
Figure 3 shows the federal roads (in red) and state roads (in blue) for the state of Alagoas6. 
Analysis of the road grid leads to the conclusion that there is a greater concentration of federal 
roads in the areas closer to the capital, Maceió. In relation to the state highways, these have good 
distribution throughout the territory of the state of Alagoas, without concentration in any specific 
area.     
 
 
 
 
6 DNIT made only available the updated files of 2016 for federal roads, being the most recent information of the State roads of 
the year of 2013     
 
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3. Market and Consumption Unit Forecasts

     The sections below present: (a) a history of the market and consumption units, with information subdivided as per voltage level and class of consumption; (b) market forecast methodology per class of consumption, as well as auxiliary data and variables used in the forecasts; (c) Results of market forecasts until 2048; (d) consumption units forecast methodology; and (e) results of the consumer forecasts until 2048.

3.1.Market and Consumption Units (CU) History

     In Table 4 we have analyzed the evolution of the number of consumption units (“NCU”) of the company from 2013 to 2016, as well as the variation rates in the entire period variation of 2016 in relation to 2013 and geometric Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)10.

  Table 4 Evolution of the Number of Consumers per Voltage Level 
    NUC per voltage Level    Variation Rate 
Voltage / Year  2013  2014  2015  2016  Period  Geometric 
          (2013/2016)  (p.a.) 
A3  16  15  17  17  6%  2% 
A4  2,086  2,101  2,113  2,102  1%  0% 
BT  950,753  996,650  1,033,434  1,099,791  16%  5% 
TOTAL  952,855  998,766  1,035,564  1,101,910  16%  5% 
 
Source: Periodical Tariff Review (RTP) 2013 and the Tariff Adjustment Indexes (IRT) of the Company from 2014 
to 2016. Remark: NCU usually refers to July of each year.       

 

High voltage subgroup A3 presents increase of 1 user only in four years. Similar conclusion 
can be noted in subgroup A4, verifying increase of 1% of clients only in the analyzed period. The 
LV Low Voltage subgroup was the one to present highest growth, at annual rate of 5% and 16% in 
the period.     
Table 2 demonstrates the evolution of the invoiced market (MWh) per voltage level, in 
addition to the two growth rates: period and geometric. The information about the market are 
also presented in accordance with the types: (i) Supply captive consumers of the Distributor; 
(ii) Supply Distributor supplying another Distributor; (iii) Other Free free consumers of the 
Distributor; and (iv) Distribution.     
In general terms, relative stability of the invoiced market is noted, at average growth of 2% 
p.a. In relation to the opening per voltage level, it can be verified that the LV consumption market 
was the one to present highest growth in the period, at rate of 10% in the period. The HV market 
presented decrease in consumption, at average rate of 3% p.a., while the MV consumers presented 
null average growth rate.     
 
 
 
10 CAGR Compound Annual Growth Rate.     
 
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  Table 5 Market Evolution per Voltage Level   
    Market by Voltage Level (MWh)    Variation Rate 
Voltage / Year  2013  2014  2015  2016  Period  Geometric 
          (2013/2016)  (%) p.a. 
SUPPLY CAP.  3,144,209  3,283,014  3,389,576  3,299,290  5%  2% 
A3  458,531  409,962  409,026  417,090  -9%  -3% 
A4  880,332  895,395  906,768  888,530  1%  0% 
BT  1,805,345  1,977,657  2,073,782  1,993,670  10%  3% 
LOW INCOME  261,853  309,028  311,097  227,525  -13%  -5% 
SUPPLY DIST.  -  -  -  -  -  - 
OTHERS FREE  148,363  195,982  195,132  159,001  7%  2% 
DISTRIBUTION  18,942  19,317  20,233  20,221  7%  2% 
TOTAL  3,311,514  3,498,314  3,604,942  3,478,512  5%  2% 
 
Source: Periodical Tariff Review (RTP) 2013 and the Tariff Adjustment Indexes (IRT) of the Company from 2014 
to 2016. The market data refers to the 12-month period, starting from the month before IRT. The Low Income 
market is accounted in the LV market         

 

     Table 6 contains the evolutions of the mid-market per voltage level, in addition to the two growth rates: period and geometric. Mid-market means the average consumption value of a customer in accordance with the voltage of service.

Table 6 Mid-Market Evolution per Voltage Level

  Average Market per UC per Voltage Level (MWh)  Variation Rate 
Voltage / Year  2013  2014  2015  2016  Period  Geometric 
          (2013/2016)  (%) p.a. 
A3  2,388  2,278  2,005  2,045  -14%  -5% 
A4  35  36  36  35  0%  0% 
BT  0.16  0.17  0.17  0.15  -5%  -2% 
TOTAL  0.29  0.29  0.29  0.26  -9%  -3% 
Source: Periodical Tariff Review (RTP) 2013 and the Tariff Adjustment Indexes (IRT) of the Company from 2014 
to 2016. The market data refers to the 12-month period, starting from the month before IRT/ RTP   

 

     As the annual market, the mid-market also decreased for the HV consumers, namely 14% in the period and 5% p.a. The MV users presented average consumption with slight oscillations, remaining stable in the years from 2013 to 2016. The LV consumers had the average power consumption reduced by 2% p.a., i.e., the company´s market has not presented any expansion in the last years.

     The information about average monthly consumption per client may also be presented per category (rating of users according to the final destination of the electric power), as per Table 7. Consumption classes Public Lighting and Industrial were the ones to present highest representativeness in the composition of the total part of consumption per class. The Rural class was the one to present highest decrease (16% every year and 40% in the period) among all classes with negative growth rate.

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Table 7 Evolution of the Average Consumption per Tariff Class

  Average Monthly Consumption per Class (kWh)  Variation Rate 
Class / Year  2013  2014  2015  2016  Period  Geometric 
          (2013/2016)  (%) p.a. 
Residential  111  116  119  106  -4%  -1% 
Industrial  22,455  23,873  24,713  22,011  -2%  -1% 
Commercial  967  1,031  1,039  947  -2%  -1% 
Rural  1,918  1,499  1,173  1,153  -40%  -16% 
Public Lighting  74,535  85,914  81,803  85,984  15%  5% 
Public Entities  1,435  1,428  1,517  1,525  6%  2% 
Public Service  13,832  12,916  13,056  12,766  -8%  -3% 
Other  21,388  16,992  19,442  16,995  -21%  -7% 
TOTAL  290  292  290  263  -9%  -3% 

 

Source: RTP 2013 and IRTs from 2014 to 2016 of the Company

Remark: There might be divergence in relation to the total mean presented in Table 6, which uses the market accumulated in 12 months, while here, the data reflects the reference month of extraction of the number of consumption units (normally, one or two months before RTP).

3.2. Market Forecast Methodology

     In order to subsidize the several tariff calculations and the economic-financial cash flow, market forecasts are necessary, separated by: (i) class of consumption (Residential, Commercial, Industrial, Rural, Public Service, Public Lighting, Public Service, Own Consumption); (ii) voltage level (High Voltage - A1, A2 and A3 -, Mid Voltage - A3a and A4 and Low Voltage - LV -); and (iii) type of consumer (free and captive).

     Regarding the market forecast per class of consumption, the main time series methodologies used for the forecasts are known with Box & Jenkins (BOX; JENKINS, 1976) and the methods of exponential smoothening, especially the State Space models (HYNDMAN, et al. 2002). These methodologies allow the forecasting of future values of series based on present and past values, using univariate and multivariate. Univariate series are based on the very own structure of the historical series, and the multivariate series allow using auxiliary variables, which have association with the modeled historical series. In addition to these more consecrated methodologies, another possibility is the Dynamic Models, which consist of the multiple regression models estimated from the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS). In Appendix B, there is a brief explanation of each of the methodologies mentioned and used for the Ceal market forecast.

     Software R (version 3.2.3) and EViews 8 were used for the modeling. For the case of software R, specific packages have been used: Forecast v8.0 (HYDMAN, et al. 2017) for models Box & Jenkins, ETS and Dynamic Models; and Dyn v0.2-9 (GRONTHENDIECK, 2012), dynlm v0.3-3 (ZEILEIS, 2014) for Dynamic models. In the case of Dynamic models, software EViews has also been used.

     For the analysis of the adequateness of the estimated models, transformations have been used to the historical series. Transformations are applied with the purpose of stabilizing the

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Auxiliary Data and Variables

     The models may be different in each class of consumption, depending on the Distributor. After several tests, the auxiliary variables used in the models per consumption classes are presented below. The adjustments of the models followed the hierarchical logics, prioritizing variables showing first in column “Tested” of Table8.

Table8 Variables used in the market forecasts per class 
 
  Variables   
 
Class  Tested  Used 
Residential  Population or UC Residential  Population 
Industrial  GDP  GDP 
Commercial  GDP and one between: Population and UC Commercial  GDP and Rural 
Rural  GDP, Rural Population or Consumer Unit, Univariate  Univariate 
Public Entities  Population and/or GDP  Population 
Public Lighting  Univariate  - 
Public Service  Population  Population 
Proper Consumption  Univariate  - 
 
  Source: Self prepared.   

 

     In addition to the correlated variables (auxiliary), due to the strong volatility of several series, dummy variables have been used to capture momentary changes or structural breaks11 in the historical series.

     The data of Population Total were obtained from the Brazilian Institute for Geography and Statistics (“IBGE”). IBGE provides the forecasted monthly population of the State until 2030.

After this period, the growth rate month by month was used for the forecast in each Federative Unit, until 2048. The monthly growth rates were constant from 2030 to 2048 and corresponded to: Rondônia 0.05%, Acre 0.08%, Amazonas 0.07%, Boa Vista 0.10%; Piauí 0.01% and Alagoas 0.02%.

     The forecast of the monthly population for the Federal Units, carried out by IBGE, was obtained from the Method of Demographic Components, which incorporates information on the dynamics of demographic growth (mortality, fecundity, and migration). The monthly estimation is obtained by using a third-degree polynomial from the annual population forecasted by the Method of Demographic Components12.

     In the case of the historical series of Rural Population, its forecast was made from the series of Total Population. The share (%) of the total population for transformation into rural population was made based on information from the National Household Sample Survey PNAD (2000\2015) and Demographic Censuses (2000 and 2010), with decennial forecast until 2050 and linear interpolation between the annual periods.

     The forecast of the historical series of Consumption Units was made based on the State space model (ETS) that captures the error, trend, and seasonality. This, the forecast is univariate,

11 It is understood that there is a structural break, when there is non-typical dispersion and/or inclination in the levels of the historical series.

12 For more information, access <http://www.ibge.gov.br/apps/populacao/projecao/notatecnica.html> date of access: June 2nd, 2017.

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based on the structure of the very own data series. The data have been obtained by the Distributors.

     In the case of Total GDP, we have used the monthly series of the national GDP, provided by the Banco Central (BCB-Depec), at current values, including the period from January/2003 to

December/2017. The series was transformed into real values of 2000, based on the GDP’s implicit deflator, of the same, prior source. The series was forecasted until 2020, based on the GDP growth rate per year, available in the Central Bank of Brazil’s Market Expectations System, on March 3,

2017. After this year, a constant GDP growth rate of 3% p.a. was used, following the long term forecasts of Banco BRADESCO until Dec/2048. This decision was made because BRADESCO presented a greater forecasting horizon than that of the Central Bank of Brazil.

     The growth of the forecasted GDP indicates a recovery of Brazilian economy from 2017, with an expansion above 2% p.a. already in 2018. After 2021, the country will enter a phase of sustained growth at a moderate rate of 3% p.a. If compared to forecasts of the Brazilian GDP, the forecasted scenario is that of moderate bias. In the long term, it considers an expansion smaller than that brought in the Decennial Energy Plan (BRAZIL, 2015), disclosed by the Energetic

Planning Company (“Empresa de Planejamento Energético”), indicating growth of 4.5% p.a. in the period from 2019 to 2024, while our scenario indicates an evolution of 2.8% p.a. In the short terms, the scenario is more optimistic than the World Bank estimates, which forecast a slower recovery, with GDP having growth below 2% p.a. in 2018.

     Figure 9 illustrates the GDP growth forecasts (% p.a.) from the external sources mentioned above.


     To obtain the Total GDP for the Federative Units, the market share of the Total GDP of the Federative Unit in relation to the Total GDP of the country. Since this value is annual, the same value from January to December of the respective year has been applied. As of January/2015, the market share of the Federative Unit’s GDP was forecasted using the trend of past values, in the periods with greater potential growth of the market share, and the values were

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kept as constant market share as of January/2030, converging with the growth of the national GDP. Such forecast of the market share in the forecast of the total monthly GDP was applied at real values of 2000, obtaining the effective monthly total GDP for the Federative Units used.

     Table9 presents the market share of each State GDP between 2002 and 2014. In all States forming one of the areas of concession of the 6 companies, except for Alagoas, there is an increase of its economic relevance in a period of 12 years. This context results from a gradual, non-uniform trend of deconcentration of the economic activities of the South and Southeast regions to the other regions of Brazil. This trend occurs due to several reasons, such as, for instance: dislocation from the modern and exporting agricultural front to the States of Northeast and North regions, faster growth of the population in these States, expansion of the service services (especially tourism), increase to the weight of the traditional industry seeking more competitive costs and the commercial segment which follows the general trend of the regional economy , among others.

Table9 – State GDP share in Brazil’s GDP (%)

 
UF  2002  2003  2004  2005  2006  2007  2008  2009  2010  2011  2012  2013  2014  (2002-2014) 
Brazil  100  100  100  100  100  100  100  100  100  100  100  100  100  - 
Rondônia  0.5  0.55  0.56  0.58  0.54  0.53  0.56  0.59  0.62  0.63  0.63  0.58  0.59  0.09 
Acre  0.2  0.2  019  0.2  019  0.2  021  022  021  0.2  0.21  0.22  0.23  0.03 
Amazonas  1.48  1.51  1.59  1.57  1.66  1.6  1.55  1.52  1.57  1.62  1.5  1.56  1.5  0.02 
Roraima  0.16  0.15  0.14  0.15  0.16  0.15  0.16  0.17  0.17  0.17  0.16  0.17  0.17  0.01 
Pará  1.78  1.76  1.9  1.87  1.91  1.91  1.96  1.85  2.13  2.26  2.22  2.27  2.16  0.38 
Amapá  0.21  0.2  0.2  0.2  0.22  0.22  0.22  0.22  0.21  0.22  0.23  0.24  0.23  0.02 
Tocantins  0.36  0.38  0.37  0.36  0.36  0.37  0.39  0.41  0.42  0.42  0.43  0.45  0.45  0.09 
Maranhão  1.07  1.14  1.13  1.16  1.23  1.13  1.22  1.23  1.19  1.19  1.26  1.27  1.33  0.26 
Piauí  0.48  0.49  0.48  0.49  0.55  0.5  0.52  0.57  0.57  0.59  0.59  0.59  0.65  0.17 
Ceará  1.93  1.9  1.88  1.89  1.93  1.87  1.94  2.02  2.04  2.05  2.01  2.05  2.18  0.25 
Rio Grande do Norte  0.91  0.87  0.88  0.92  0.95  0.97  0.93  0.93  0.93  0.94  0.96  0.97  0.93  0.02 
Paraíba  0.86  0.86  0.8  0.81  0.86  0.84  0.86  0.91  0.86  0.85  0.88  0.87  0.92  0.06 
Pernambuco  2.42  2.26  2.3  2.31  2.3  2.3  2.26  2.39  2.5  2.52  2.66  2.65  2.68  0.26 
Alagoas  0.77  0.73  0.72  0.71  0.72  0.73  0.72  0.73  0.7  0.72  0.72  0.7  0.71  -0.06 
Sergipe  0.69  0.68  0.68  0.66  0.68  0.67  0.69  0.65  0.68  0.67  0.68  0.66  0.65  -0.04 
Bahia  3.95  3.91  3.98  4.07  3.96  4.02  3.91  4.14  3.97  3.81  3.79  3.84  3.87  -0.08 
Minas Gerais  8.3  8.39  8.78  8.68  8.83  8.84  8.96  8.62  9.04  9.14  9.19  9.15  8.94  0.61 
Espírito Santo  1.82  1.83  2.03  2.17  2.22  2.23  2.32  2.08  2.2  2.42  2.43  2.2  2.23  0.41 
Rio de Janeiro  12.38  11.8  12.32  12.43  12.44  11.9  12.16  11.75  11.58  11.72  11.94  11.78  11.61  -0.77 
São Paulo  34.85  34.43  33.35  34.23  34.22  34.4  33.52  33.82  33.32  32.83  32.38  32.17  32.15  -2.7 
Paraná  5.93  6.41  6.31  5.87  5.71  6.07  5.97  5.9  5.8  5.88  5.93  6.25  6.02  0.09 
Santa Catarina  3.66  3.73  3.76  3.76  3.78  3.81  3.91  3.87  3.96  3.98  3.98  4.02  4.2  0.54 
Rio Grande do Sul  6.64  6.95  6.7  6.28  6.13  6.18  6.12  6.13  6.21  6.06  5.97  6.23  6.19  -0.45 
Mato Grosso do Sul  1.1  1.27  1.19  1.09  1.11  1.11  1.16  1.19  1.22  1.26  1.29  1.3  1.37  0.27 
Mato Grosso  1.29  1.55  1.71  1.58  1.27  1.4  1.58  1.58  1.46  1.58  1.65  1.67  1.75  0.46 
Goiás  2.59  2.65  2.61  2.48  2.55  2.63  2.65  2.79  2.75  2.77  2.88  2.84  2.86  0.27 
Distrito Federal  3.62  3.4  3.43  3.49  3.51  3.43  3.55  3.73  3.71  3.53  3.41  3.3  3.42  -0.2 
 
Source: IBGE.                           

 

     Considering the long term time window of our forecasts, we assume that this trend of deconcentration of the economic activity will be maintained in the following years to all analyzed States. Thus, we have forecasted, from the historical series, a gradual expansion of the GDP share of these States until 2030. The GDP growth of each States grows more than the national average

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at any time, whenever an event causes substantial economic-financial instability. The RTE may be requested in cases of creation, change or extinction of taxes or charges, after the execution of the concession agreements, and whenever the impact over the activities of the companies is relevant, and duly proven, to the economic-financial equilibrium.

e) Manageable and non-manageable part

     Non-manageable costs correspond to expenses that do not depend on the control of the concessionaire, being directly transferred to the consumer. These items form a relevant part of Part A, component of the revenue of the concessionaire of distribution that includes costs and sectorial charges, in addition to costs of inputs and upstream segments of the activities of the regulated company, such as costs of power generated or transmitted to the electric power distribution companies. On their turn, manageable costs represent the part related to the effective activity of the electric power distribution concessionaire, in which the company may establish strategies of management. The so-called Part B is composed, for instance, by the operational costs, capital and depreciation costs, and non-recoverable revenues.

     There are also costs that present a relative degree of management by the concessionaire. This is the case, for instance, of non-technical losses (“PNT”), whose amount depends on both the efficiency of the commercial activities and routines of the concessionaire and on the socioeconomic, institutional, and cultural environment of the geographic area in which the company acts.

     Although they affect the purchase of power, allocated in Part A, technical and non-technical losses receive regulatory treatment aiming at allowing gains of efficiency in the procedures. The purchase of power may also receive regulatory treatment and respect restriction in order to foment an efficient acquisition and modicity to the end consumer (captive).

     An example of this regulatory treatment are the controls related to the purchase of power by related party and the obligations of acquisition of power in auctions in the regulated environment. Therefore, the separation of the manageable and non-manageable costs, in the so-called Parts A and B, is a conceptual simplification that may be changed in accordance with the evolution of the regulation.

4.1.2. Recent changes to the contractual and tariff rules of the electric power distribution.

     The implementation of the regime of regulation by incentives in the activity of electric power distribution has been done throughout almost two decades, conditioned by changes to the concession/permit agreements and by public policies. Its evolution and transformation were also marked by the processes of discussions, in inquiries and public hearings, of the regulations that treat the different tariff and contractual aspects. Currently, these rules are described in Technical Notes elaborated by ANEEL, which describe in detail the methods, premises, and results applicable to the different components of the tariffs and the tariff operation procedures.

     These regulatory rules are consolidated in the Tariff Regulation Procedures (“PRORET”), which have normative character and consolidate the regulation of tariff processes. The PRORET

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structure was approved by Normative Resolution no. 435/2011, organized in 12 modules, which on their turn are subdivided into submodules.

     Regarding the distribution of electric power, there is a set of tariff procedures that include specificities to each contractual situation, as detailed below: I. To Distributors that renew their concession agreements under the terms of Decree no.

8.461/2015, signed contractual amendments with new economic clauses, or signed contractual amendments for the complete adhesion to the new concession model13, the new tariff rules presented in Normative Resolution no. 761/2017 and in the PRORET list indicated with the letter A in its original number shall be valid14.

II. To companies that hold permits and distribution concessionaires that have not renewed their concession agreement or signed amendments still have valid the PRORET without the indication of letter A.

III. For the set of Distributors owned by the Government, responsible for the provision of distribution services in concessions that have not been extended (so-called Designated Distributors), specific rules shall be applied as per Normative Resolution no. 748/2016 and Approval Resolution no. 2.184/201615.

     Figure 14 presents a time line with the indications of all Normative Resolutions (REN), Homologation Resolutions (REH), Technical Notes (NT), and Public Hearings (AP) that changed or proposed changes to the PRORET as of April 2015.

13 In the terms of the Reporting Judge´s Vote announced in the 30th Ordinary Public Meeting in 2016. 14 Sub-modules 2.1A, 2.2A, 2.5A, 2.7A, 3.1A, 3.2A, 3.3A, 3.4A, 4.2A and 4.4A.

15Both resolutions replace Technical Note No. 331/2016, setting forth definitely the additional conditions to be applied to the Designated distributors (public administration body or entity responsible for the decision of the Granting Authority on the provision of public service for electric power distribution because of non-extension of given concession according to Law No. 12.783/2013), with the purpose to assure the continuity of the provision of public service for electric power distribution until a new concessionaire to be granted by means of a bid takes over.

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registered in specific account of special obligations until the date of execution of
contractual amendment, will be subtracted from Part B only in the second
review after the 3rd RTP.

b. To companies that will undergo their first review after the 3rd RTP, the
revenues registered as UD and ER in special obligations until the date of
contractual amendment will be subtracted from Part B.

c. To all companies, the invoiced values of UD and ER between the date of
contractual change and the date of the tariff procedure will be used as reducers
of Part B.

d. The invoiced values will be updated according to the IPCA.

iii. The RI’s are no longer calculated in two parts and now consider exclusively the
regulatory percentages of default. In addition, the financial revenues now compose the
basis of calculation of the RI’s.

iv. In the first tariff review after the execution of the contractual change, the calculation of
the Factor X will no longer consider the average growth of the market and consumers of
the tariff cycle, being determined on an annually basis.

v. The values of other revenues (OR) to be subtracted from Part B will be calculated in the
twelve months prior to the month of reference for the review, and will be updated by the
IPCA.

The rules of tariff readjustment presented in Module 3 had the following changes:

i. If the first tariff process after the execution of contractual change is a tariff readjustment,
known as DR1 in the A version of the PRORET, there will be the need to remove the RI
components from Part B and to transfer them to Part A, in addition to isolating OR, UD,
and ER, which will be determined according to what has been effectively realized. The
ONS values shall be transferred from Part A to Part B.

ii. In the tariff readjustments, Part B shall be effectively calculated and not only obtained
as a residue of the calculation of Required Revenue.

iii. The value of Part B considering the conditions in force and the Reference Market
(VPB0DR1) will be obtained from the multiplication of this market for the economic
value in force (homologated in the last procedure), equivalent to the tariff component of
Thread B (TUSD Thread B) in force. This value will be updated by the difference between
IPCA and Factor X and multiplied by a correction factor (Factor DR1), necessary for the
application of the adjustments indicated in (i). Finally, the values of OR, UD, and ER
will be expurgated, and added the values with ONS.

iv. In the subsequent tariff processes, the procedure will be quite similar in practical terms,
with the calculation of Factor Pbi-1, which reintroduces the values of OR, UD, and ER in
Part B, which will be adjusted by the inflation (IPCA) and Factor X. Following that, the
observed values of these components in the period of reference are excluded from Part
B.

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     In Module 4, the neutralities are calculated to all components of Part A (including other financial components, financial components of neutrality, and financial component of CVA balance to compensate), not only to sectorial charges, as it is the case of the rules in force. The concept of neutrality remains unchanged, such as the difference between the invoiced values and the values included in the tariff processes, neutralizing the differences derived from market changes16. The proposed methodologies of calculation differentiate items with tariff coverage of fixed nature, when the expense is not changed with the market variation (sectorial charges, connection charges, and Itaipu), and variably, in the opposite case (costs with power, charges with the use of transmission/distribution, and non-recoverable revenues).

     The specific case of the neutrality of non-recoverable revenues will be calculated only from the second tariff procedure after the execution of the contractual amendment, since until then there is not a component of tariff coverage for this item. All new items to which there is no calculation of neutrality shall take into account the date of execution of the agreement or contractual amendment. Therefore, for the first tariff procedure after the execution of the agreement or publication of the PRORET, whatever occurs last, the neutrality of Part A will be calculated only from the next month of signature of the contractual amendment or renewal of the concession agreement, limited to the period of reference, i.e., the last 12 months.

     Finally, the part of non-recoverable revenues was inserted in submodules 7.1 and 7.2, in the function of TUSD Losses cost. The update of submodule 3.2 impacts directly to Module 7, due to the calculation of losses in the other facilities of transmission of shared use (DITc), which is in the tariff component of losses in the basic network.

b) Additional Conditions for the Designated Distributors

     In its 165th Special Meeting, the shareholders of Eletrobras decided not to approve the extension of the concessions of Ceal, Cepisa, Eletroacre, Ceron, Boa Vista Energia, and Amazonas Energia. In addition, Companhia de Eletricidade do Amapá (CEA) did not have its concession extended for it did not gather the requirements of compliance. By means of several directives, the Ministry of Mines and Energy designated Amazonas Energia, Eletroacre, Ceron, Cepisa, Ceal, Boa Vista Energia and CEA as responsible for the provision of the public service of distribution of electric power until the end of 2017 or until the assumption of a new concessionaire, whatever occurs first.

     Figure 15 illustrates the time line with recent rulings related to the renewal of the concessions of the distributors of Grupo Eletrobras.

16 In this section we are describing the changed made to the PRORETs from Normative Resolution no. 276/2017, including changes to the treatment of the neutralities of charges. The modeling of the items composing Part A in the financial model is detailed in section 3.2.

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quarter, and annual values of 2016; (iv) flexibilization of the references of regulatory losses to
Amazonas Energia, Boa Vista Energia, CEA, and CERR.

Such resolution also establishes that the resources of RGR will be used to assure the
minimum conditions of sustainability of the service, as per Directive no. 388/2016-MME, with
deadlines, grace periods and fees as indicated in REN no. 748/2016, and the contracted
obligations will be assumed by the new concessionaire.

In addition, REN asserts that there are major investments to be made, which will reduce
expenses of CCC and, therefore, classified as subrogation of the fund’s resources. ANEEL shall
homologate prudent investments considered in the elaboration of the basic project, calculate the
amount to be subrogated, and inspect the application. The agency or entity of the federal public
administration shall assign to the contracted company for the implementation of the distribution
lines, on an irrevocable basis, the credits of reimbursement of CCC.

Finally, the resolution establishes an exceptional regime of regulatory sanctions,
prioritizing the character exclusively orientational and/or determinant, without the imposition of
penalties.

c) Public Hearing no. 094/2016

In May 2017, ANEEL published, after receiving contributions in Public Hearing no.
094/2016: (i) Technical Note no. 182/2017, with guidelines for the elaboration of a new
agreement for the concession of the public service of electric power, as per Paragraph 1-A of Article
8 of Act no. 12.783/2013; and (ii) a new Contractual Draft.

According to Technical Note no. 182/2017, dated May 2, 2017, ANEEL received Official
Letter no. 242/2016-SE, of the Ministry of Mines and Energy (MME) requesting the elaboration
of a draft of a concession agreement, observing a few guidelines that aim at expediting the
realization and to increase competitiveness of bidding procedures of transfer of corporate control,
associated with grants of new concessions. MME emphasized four guidelines:

I. Adoption of clauses that allow the conversion of pecuniary compensations into
investment obligations to the first five years of new concessions, aiming at allowing
the recovery of the concessions;

II. Adoption of trajectories of regulatory parameters of efficiency, providing the new
controller with term to readjust the values adopted by the companies;

III. Adoption of a tariff calendar with interstice of five years at every tariff review, but
that allows the performance of two tariff reviews in the first five years of the
agreement, allowing exceptionally, the acknowledgment in shorter investment
terms;

IV. The possibility of the calendar set forth in the item above being chosen by the
winner of the bidding, with the first review occurring prior to the third tariff
process after the execution of the agreement and the second review shall be carried
out in the fifth tariff procedure after such signature.

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     According to the result of public hearing no. 094/2016 presented in Technical Note no. 182/2017 -, transitory provisions were considered about the use of compensations due to violations of the limits of quality related to the continuity of the service and the voltage level to investment, as reproduced below.

CLAUSE NINETEEN TRANSITORY PROVISIONS

Subclause One - DISTRIBUTOR may use the resources of compensations due to violation of the limits of quality, related to the continuity of the service and sampling measurements of the voltage level in a permanent regime, for the realization of investments in the area of concession, until the end of the fifth calendar year after the date of execution of the concession agreement.

Paragraph One From the date of execution of the agreement, the compensation values shall remain being calculated by DISTRIBUTOR, as per the regulation, for the purposes of follow-up and inspection by ANEEL.

Paragraph Two From the second calendar year following the execution of the agreement, in case the calculated values of the compensations are below the values of the compensations calculated for the previous calendar year, such difference shall be considered as a remunerable investment by DISTRIBUTOR upon its tariff review, with the remaining value being accounted in entry Obligations Linked to the Public Service of Electric Power (Special Obligations).

Paragraph Three From the second calendar year following the execution of the agreement, in case the calculated values of compensations are higher than the compensations calculated for the previous calendar year, such different will be invested twice in the concession and accounted in entry Obligations Linked to the Public Service of

Electric Power (Special Obligations). ”

     According to the Draft, as of 2020, the non-fulfillment of the global, annual limits of the indicators of continuity per determined period will cause economic-financial limitations, as established in Subclause Eight.

“Subclause Eight As of 2020, the non-fulfillment of the annual limits of collective indicators of continuity for two years in a row or three times in five years may, as per the ANEEL regulation, imply limitation of dividends or payments of interest over its own capital, until the regulatory parameters are restored, observing the provisions of Item I of Subclause One of Clause Seven. ”

     From the sixth calendar year, the non-fulfillment of the regulatory goals may imply the filing of an expiry proceeding of the concession as indicated in Subclause Thirteen, as reproduced below, applicable to the criteria related to the continuity of supply.

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It has been observed in Technical Note no. 182/2017 that the designated companies needed
high investments in the first years of the concession in order to restore the levels of quality of the
service. According to ANEEL, this context consists of an atypical situation, incompatible with the
type of application to which the methodology of the Factor X has been designed. Due to this
reason, an adequateness of its calculation is seen as possible.

In addition, the new Draft considered that the inspection performed by ANEEL will not
apply penalties in the first two years of the new contracts, as a form of mitigating the effects of the
technical or commercial problems inherited from the prior situation, as set forth in Subclause
Five.

“Subclause Five Until the twenty-fifth month following the month of execution of the
concession agreement, the inspection of ANEEL will have an orientative and/or
determinative character, without the application of penalties, except in case of non-
fulfillment of determinations by Aneel Management. ”

To meet the request by the MME regarding a tariff calendar that allows an additional tariff
review in the first five years of the agreement, aiming acknowledgment in shorter term of
investments, the Draft presents the transitory provisions in its Clause Nineteen.

“Subclause Two In the period between the date of execution of the agreement and the
first subsequent ordinary tariff review, a tariff review may occur upon request of the
Concessionaire, observing the following criteria:

I The tariff review in lieu of an annual tariff readjustment, to which the same date of
processing shall be maintained.

II The request for review shall be formally presented to ANEEL within at least one (1)
years prior to its conduction.

III The tariff review will occur based on the rules set forth in this agreement and in the
regulations in force, except those items set forth in Subclause Three.

IV In the period of review, the Concessionaire may request the complete evaluation of
the Regulatory Remuneration Base.

V The review shall occur until the third tariff procedure after the execution of the
agreement. ”

The Draft also defines the values and specific formulas of calculation for the period between
the date of execution of the agreement and the first subsequent tariff review, as set forth in
Subclause Three.

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Subclause Three In the period between the date of execution of the agreement and the first subsequent ordinary tariff review, the values and formula of calculation for the Factor X will be used, as well as Operational Costs and Regulatory Losses, different from those set forth by Clause Six, observing the following criteria: I The value of component Pd of Factor X will be defined as zero (0).

II The regulatory Operational Costs will be defined considered a degree of efficiency of []% over the average of effective costs observed in the last three (3) years prior to the tariff processing.

III Regulatory, non-technical losses will be defined in the percentage of []% over the average of the real percentages observed in the last three (3) years prior to the tariff processing.

Sole Paragraph The tariff effects resulting from the treatment described in this Subclause will be perceived from the first tariff calculation following the execution of the agreement, always with prospective effects. ”

     Subclause Four establishes the rules on the debt related to the loan existing with the RGR fund, occurred in the period of designation.

“Subclause Four DISTRIBUTOR undertakes to settle the debt related to the loan existing with the RGR Fund occurred in the period of designation, in the following conditions: I The interest rate to be used for the loan will be of 111% of the SELIC rate; II The amortization of principal and the payment of interest will have a grace period of 12 months from the assumption of the concession by the new concessionaire, considering that, once the grace period expires, the amortization of the loan will occur in 36 equal monthly parts ”.

d) Public Hearing no. 032 /2017

     On May 4, 2017, ANEEL placed in public hearing Technical Note no. 088/2017, aiming at gathering subsidies to improve the calculation of the regulatory parameters and indicators of quality of services that will serve as the basis for the next tariff review procedures of the Distributors controlled by Eletrobras. The Technical Note establishes the regulatory parameters for the tariff procedures of the Designated Distributors, defined under the terms of Normative Resolution no. 748/2016 and limits to the DEC and FEC collective indicators of continuity.

     The proposal is that the value of the T component of Factor X is equal zero (0)to all tariff processes homologated until the first tariff review process after the execution of the Concession Agreement, while to the value of the Xpd component the recommendation is to maintain the Pd component in force until the first tariff process after the execution of the Concession Agreement, when it will assume zero value (see Table 13).

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Table 13- Values Factor T and Xpd 
 
Company  Pd (%)  T (%) 
Amazonas Energia  2.02  0 
Boa Vista  1.39  0 
Ceai  1.91  0 
Cepisa  2.15  0 
Ceron  2.02  0 
Eletroacre  1.42  0 
Source: TN No. 088/2017, ANEEL   

 

     Regarding the values of regulatory losses, for Distributors Amazonas Energia, CEA, and Boa Vista, the systematic of transfer was defined by Article 4-A of Act no. 13.299/2016 and homologated until 2025 by Homologation Resolution no. 2.184, of 2016. To the others, the values in force should be adopted, which must remain in force until the first tariff review after the execution of the new concession agreement. In case the Concession Agreement foresees the flexibilization of the regulatory referential of non-technical losses, the value set forth in the agreement shall prevail. Table 14 summarizes the foregoing.

Table 14 - Values of Regulatory Losses 
Source: Technical Note no. 088/2017, ANEEL 

 

     In relation to the global limits of DEC and FEC, the proposal is to maintain the limits of 2017 until the year of the first tariff review after the assumption of the new controllers of these companies. The limits to the indicators will be established by means of specific resolution to each Distributor, attached to the Technical Note. The sets of consumption units of concessionaire CERR shall integrate the area of concession of Boa Vista Energia.

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     Table 15 presents the global DEC and FEC limits for each Distributor, to be established for 2018 and on, calculated from the limits proposed for the sets of consumption units.

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Table 15 - DEC and FEC Global Limits

 
Company  DEC  FEC  # Consumer Units 
Amazonas Energia  45.58  43.44  940,962 
Boa Vista  36.87  28.92  159,118 
Ceai  13.73  10.38  1,123,164 
Cepisa  19.17  12.44  1,233,677 
Ceron  20.57  15.89  561,360 
Eletroacre  27.58  23.36  256,297 
 
Source: Technical Note no. 088/2017, ANEEL

 

     This Report adopted the proposals of regulatory indicators as per Technical Note no. 088/2017, establishing the regulatory parameters for the tariff procedures of the Designated distributors and limits to the DEC and FEC collective indicators of continuity. Such parameters shall remain in force until the first tariff review after the execution of the new concession agreement of the companies.

e) Technical Note no. 351/2017

     In July 2017, ANEEL disclosed Technical Note no. 351/2017, in attention to the request by the Ministry of Mines and Energy to evaluate the conditions of equilibrium of the concessions in analysis and the technical feasibility of reequilibrium prior to its sale/bidding procedure.

     Technical Note no. 351/2017 identifies that new concessionaires would find a scenario of grave instability when assuming the new concession, especially in relation to operational costs and non-technical losses. As a solution, ANEEL considers the possibility of acknowledgment of a part exceeding the regulatory part to non-technical losses and operational costs in the tariff. This exceeding part would correspond to the average between the regulatory values and realized to such indicators.

     After the publication of Technical Note no. 351/2017, the Agency, by means of mailing to BNDES, presented answers to doubts and gave its clarifications, being worth noting: (i) that tariff additions in relation to non-technical losses and operational costs would be maintained until the first ordinary tariff review (2023); (ii) these additions would be applied to the annual tariff procedures of 2017; (iii) the additional review forecasted to occur in the first cycle, before 2023, shall not change the flexibilization indicated and will deal specifically with the tariff acknowledgment of the reevaluated base of assets.

     In view of the identification of non-feasibility of payment, by the new concessionaire, of the loans of RGR (REN no. 748/2016) in the established conditions, and by means of remuneration over the invested capital, the impacts of flexibilization of the payment conditions of the loans were also evaluated in Technical Note no. 351/2017, as well as the possibility of transfer in the tariffs of the distributors.

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     Considering the regulatory possibility of review of the payment conditions, favoring the bidding procedure and the assumption of a new concessionaire, committed with the tariff modicity and with the quality of the service, the tariff impact was simulated considered interest of 5% p.a. and a deadline of 30 years for payment. The monthly values of RGR are defined by REH 2199/2017-ANEEL and the values are reviewed by ANEEL on a quarterly basis based on the quarterly results of distributors. According to ANEEL, the payment of the loan would begin in the sixth year of contractual effectiveness and would extend until its expiration (25 years to pay). Considering that the loan will now be acknowledged in the tariff, there will be neutrality for the new concessionaire in terms of payment of the amounts involved.

f) Technical Note no. 247/2017

     In view of Technical Note no. 351/2017, the Ministry of Mines and Energy proposed changes to the draft of the Agreement for the Concession of Public Service of Electric Power Distribution by means of Technical Note no. 247/2017. The main proposed changes related to (i) the acknowledgment in Part A of the revenue necessary for the payment of RGR loans; (ii) definition, as an extraordinary review, of the tariff procedure that the new controller may request in the interstice of five years of the new concession, basically to consider the volume of investments in the base of assets; and (iii) clarifications on the systematic of flexibilization of the regulatory parameters of operational costs and non-technical losses until the first periodical tariff review.

     The proposed changes to the Draft of Agreement mentioned in Technical Note no. 247/2017 are presented below, whose contributions were received until 09/06/2017.

“CLAUSE SIX – TARIFFS APPLICABLE IN THE PROVISION OF THE SERVICE

Part A Sectorial Charges: part of the revenue of the DISTRIBUTOR, destined to the observance of the obligations associated with the Electric Power Services Inspection Fee

– “TFSEE”; with the Financial Compensation for the Use of Water Resources – “CFURH” for the purposes of generation of electric power, when applicable; with the System Services Fee – “ESS”; with the Energetic Development Account – “CDE”; with Research and Development R&D; with the Energetic Efficiency Program – “PEE”; with the Reserve Power Fee – “EER”; payments of loans of the Global Reversion Reserve – “RGR”, made in accordance with Article 4, Paragraph 4, item VI, of Act no. 5.655, dated May 20, 1971, and the other public policies for the electric sector, defined in the supervening legislation;

CLAUSE NINETEEN TRANSITORY PROVISIONS

Subclause Two In the period between the date of execution of the agreement and the first subsequent ordinary tariff review, an extraordinary tariff review may occur upon request of the Concessionaire, observing the following criteria: Subclause Three In the period between the date of execution of the agreement and the first subsequent ordinary tariff review, values and formula of calculation for the

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Factor X will be used, as well as to Operational Costs and Regulatory Losses other than those set forth in Clause Six, observing the following criteria: I The value of component Pd of Factor X will be defined as zero (0).

II The regulatory Operational Costs in the first tariff procedure after the execution of the concession agreement will be defined as a percentage of []% over the value of the operational costs of the previous tariff procedure, updated according to the rule of readjustment of Part B. Between the second tariff procedure and the tariff procedure immediately before the first ordinary tariff, the operational costs will be defined by applying the rule of readjustment of Part B.

III Regulatory, non-technical losses will be defined in the percentage of []% over the low voltage invoiced market.

Paragraph One The tariff effects resulting from the treatment described in this Subclause will be perceived from the first tariff calculation following the execution of the agreement, always with prospective effects.

Paragraph Two The transitory percentages of items II and III are those resulting from the bidding procedure of the concession of electric power distribution associated with the transfer of control of the legal entity providing the service, under the terms of Art. 8 of Act no. 12.783/2013 and its regulations.

Paragraph Three The rules set forth in Clause Six shall be applied in the first ordinary tariff review, not considering any effects resulting from the transitory percentages of items II and III.

Subclause Four DISTRIBUTOR shall settle the loans with the RGR Fund as per Directive MME no. 388, dated July 26, 2016, adjusted as per Art. 4, Paragraph 5, of Act no. 5.655, dated May 20, 1971.

Paragraph One The payments shall be made between the first ordinary tariff review and the final deadline of this agreement.

Paragraph Two The DISTRIBUTOR will be entitled to tariff acknowledgment of []% of loans paid, according to the definition of the bidding procedure of the concession of electric power distribution, associated with the transfer of control of the legal entity providing the service, under the terms of Art. 8 of Act no. 12.783/2013 and its regulations”.

g) Technical Note no. 149/2017

     On September 8, 2017, ANEEL reopened Public Hearing no. 032/2017, by means of Technical Note no. 149/2017. In it, the Regulator exposed its proposal of flexibilization of a few regulatory parameters non-technical losses, operational costs and Factor X and the limits to the DEC and FEC collective continuity indicators until the first ordinary tariff review of the new controller of the designated companies, to be contracted by means of bidding procedure. The proposal of the Agency generated substantial changes in a few parameters that have been

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determined in Technical Note no. 351/2017, especially in terms of operational costs and indicators of quality.

     The amounts destined to the flexibilized, regulatory PMSO (costs with personnel, material, services, and other) were subject to inflation adjustments by the IPCA between July 2015 and the date of the tariff procedure in 2016. In addition, in the case of Boa Vista, there was an increase to its degree of flexibilization, since ANEEL suggested that “the inefficiency considered to Boa Vista Energia, measured by the ratio between the Effective PMSO and the Regulatory PMSO, should be the highest considering the other designated distributors, which is CEA (268%)”. Table 16 illustrates the variation observed in the PMSO flexibilized between Technical Note no. 149/17 and Technical Note no. 351/17.

Table 16 - Variation of the amounts destined to PMSO per Distributor 
 
      Difference  % Percent 
Distributor  NT 88/17  NT 149/17     
      (NT 88/17 - NT 351/17) Variation/NT 88 
AME  606,907,016  627,198,364  20,291,348  3.3% 
Boa Vista  53,885,287  69,062,498  15,177,211  28.2% 
CEAL  328,345,672  336,655,364  8,309,692  2.5% 
CEPISA  409,859,796  420,070,979  10,211,183  2.5% 
CERON  273,006,426  279,853,142  6,846,716  2.5% 
ELETROACRE  125,242,240  128,543,635  3,301,395  2.6% 
Source: Own Elaboration       

 

     In addition, Technical Note no. 149/2017 brought a proposal of flexibilization of the goals DEC and FEC collective indicators (which was not set forth in Technical Note no. 351/17). Among the contributions made, the principal are listed below: (i) Proposal of relaxation of the goals due to the supply, with stronger impact to the distributors of the Northern region in Brazil; (ii) Proposal that the starting point should be the average between the calculated value (mobile average from July 2016 to June 2017) and the limit in force in 2017 to distributors Ceal, Cepisa, Ceron, and Eletroacre; (iii) Proposal that these limits should remain unchanged until the fifth calendar year after the execution of the new agreements, so that the limits for the following year are established in the first ordinary tariff review of the new agreement.

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     Table 17 and Table 18 present the variations of the DEC and FEC indicator limits after the flexibilization, respectively, in relation to the provisions exposed in Technical Note no. 88/ 2017.

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Table 17 - Variation of the DEC limits per Distributor
 
    Difference    % Percent 
Distributor  NT 88/17  NT 149/17     
    (NT 88/17 - NT 351/17) Variation/NT 88 
AME  45.58  48.53  2.95  6.5% 
Boa Vista  36.87  48.67  11.80  32.0% 
CEAL  13.73  15.58  1.85  13.5% 
CEPISA  19.17  20.67  1.50  7.8% 
CERON  20.57  27.54  6.97  33.9% 
ELETROACRE  27.58  44.17  16.59  60.2% 
Source: Own Elaboration       

 

Table 18 - Variation of the FEC limits per Distributor
 
    difference    % Percent 
Distributor  NT 88/17  NT 149/17     
    (NT 88/17 - NT 351/17) Variation/NT 88 
AME  43.44  45.69  2.25  5.2% 
Boa Vista  28.92  58.43  29.51  102.0% 
CEAL  10.38  13.06  2.68  25.8% 
CEPISA  12.44  13.99  1.55  12.5% 
CERON  15.89  18.90  3.01  18.9% 
ELETROACRE  23.36  35.31  11.95  51.2% 
Source: Own Elaboration       

 

     It should be noted that the flexibilizations proposed by Technical Note NT 149/2017 were already incorporated to the models of forecast of the indicators present in this report.

     Technical Note no. 149/2017 did not present changes to the parameters of flexibilized PNT and components Pd, T and Q of Factor X when compared to the provisions of Technical Note no. 351/17. Finally, Technical Note no. 149/2017 presented reductions to the amounts destined to the loans of RGR, between 15% and 39%, depending on the distributor.

h) Final Considerations

     Considering the elements presented above, and assuming the assumption of a new controller in the first quarter of 2018, the proposed regulatory chronology, considering as unchanged the date of anniversary of the old agreements November to AME, Boa Vista, Ceron, and Eletroacre, and September to Ceal and Cepisa is the following:· An adjustment (IRT) will occur in 2017 on the date of anniversary of the old agreements (not renewed) of the designated companies. An additional acknowledgment of non-technical losses and operational cost will occur upon such adjustment (IRT), as per Technical Note no. 351/2017;· The new agreements will be signed in 2018, whose date was estimated to 03/01/2018. An adjustment (IRT) will occur in this year, on the date of anniversary

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of the old agreements;
· An extraordinary review17 will occur in 2019, on the date of anniversary of the old
agreements. In such review, the tariff coverage related to the Annual Cost of Assets
(“CAA”), composed by the Remuneration of Capital, Regulatory Reintegration
Quota, and Annual Cost of Movable and Immovable Facilities will be reevaluated.
No review shall be performed to metrics of PNT, OPEX, Default, Factor X etc.;
· There will be usual IRT’s between 2020 and 2022;
· In 2023, there will be a complete RTP corresponding to the 5-year period after the
execution of agreement, in which the regulatory parameters will be once again
established (such as PNT, OPEX, Default, Factor X, etc.).
· After 2023, there will be both IRT and RTP in the interstice of 5 years until 2048.

The new agreement will be adapted to the tariff rules of REN no. 761/2017.

4.2. Methodologies, Premises and Results for the Definition of Part A

Part A is the tariff revenue component through which consumers compensate the
Distributor for the costs considered as non-manageable, such as: purchase of power, sectorial
charges, power transport costs, financial charges, technical losses, non-technical losses, and
default.

Since these costs are considered as non-manageable, they are directly transferred to the
tariffs (pass-through) according to the rules established by the Regulator, as detailed below.

The pass-through condition above is true for the cases in which the Distributor is within a
regulatory interval of limits of losses and over-contracting.

4.2.1. Purchase of Power and Tariff Flags

For the definition of the amount of required power, for the purposes of regulatory purchase
of power, the volumes of energy were calculated for the provision and supply. The power for
provision includes the total forecasted market, excluding volumes to free market, distribution,
and supply.

The Methodologies and results obtained for the total and free market forecast were
presented above. The forecasts of the volumes for distribution and provision followed the
estimated behavior for the total market of the concessionaire.

Using the forecasts of regulatory losses, the total losses were estimated technical, non-
technical, and basic network. In relation to the losses of the basic network, the percentages
presented in the SPARTA spreadsheet of 2016 were maintained. The required power is obtained
from the sum of supply, provision, and regulatory losses.

The system of flags, applied by the concessionaires connected to the National
Interconnected System SIN, has three tariff flags (green, yellow and red) which indicate whether

17 In this extraordinary review, the closed base will be opened.

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the power costs more or less, based on the conditions of generation of electricity. For the economic-financial evaluation, the same favorable scenario of generation was considered by ANEEL in the tariff procedures, i.e., a green flag scenario.

4.2.2.Charges

     The sectorial charges are all created by laws approved by the National Congress to allow the implementation of public policies in the Brazilian energetic sector. Its values are included in resolutions or decisions by the National Agency for Electric Power (ANEEL) and are paid by distributors through the electricity bill. Each charge has pre-defined objectives. The charges described below are applicable to the electric sector.

Energetic Development Account (CDE)

     CDE was created by Law No. 10.438/2002 with the objective of, among other purposes, promoting the universalization of the electric power sector in the entire national territory, funding discounts to the tariffs granted to the low income rural and residential classes, assuring the competitiveness of the energy produced from wind source, small hydroelectric power plants, biomass, natural gas, and mineral coal.

     The National Treasury may provide contributions of resources to the CDE accounts, aiming the modicity of tariffs. The CDE cost is prorated by all consumers served by the National Interconnected System (SIN). The quota value is calculated by ANEEL.

Electric Power Services Inspection Fee (TFSEE)

     The TFSEE was created with the purpose of funding the operation of ANEEL in the exercises of both activities of inspection and economic regulation.

     The Fee is paid by all consumers of electric power, levied upon the activity of the agents of distribution, generation, and transmission of electric power.

Program of Incentive to Alternative Sources of Electric Power – “PROINFA”

     PROINFA was created by Act no. 10.438/2002 and regulated by Decree no. 5.025/2004 with the purpose to fund the ANEEL operation in the exercises of both activities of inspection and economic regulation.

     Prorating of costs and of electric power contracted by the program, taking into account the Annual Plan elaborated by Centrais Elétricas Brasileiras S/A (ELETROBRAS) and the electric power market verified, both captive and free. The Act conceded exempted to consumptions of the Low Income residential subclass.

Financial Compensation for the Use of Water Resources (“CFURH”)

     The CFURH is set forth in the Federal Constitution of 1988, with the objective of providing financial compensation to the Government, state and municipalities, for the use of water and productive lands necessary for the installation of plants for the generation of power.

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System Services Charges (“ESS”)

     The ESS was created with the objective of increasing the reliability and safety of the offer of power in the country. The cost is calculated on a monthly basis by the Chamber of Commercialization of Electric Power and is paid by all consumers, captive and free, to the generation agents. It considers the dispatch of thermoelectric plants by order of merit, by energetic safety, operational restrictions, and ancillary services.

National System Operator (“ONS”)

     The contribution to the ONS was created with the objective of financing the operation of the National Electric System Operator, which coordinates and controls the operation of generators and transmitters of electric power in the National Interconnected System (SIN). The value is defined on an annually basis by the ONS and approved by ANEEL.

Research and Development and Energetic Efficiency (“P&D/EE”)

     The P&D/EE was created with the purpose of stimulating scientific and technological researches related to electric power and the sustainable use of the resources necessary to create it.

Reserve Power Charge (“EER”)

     The ERR was created with the purpose of covering costs resulting from the contracting of reserve power, including administrative, financial, and tax costs.

     The prorating among the end users of electric power of the National Interconnected System (SIN), including free consumers and self-producers only in the part of the energy resulting from the interconnection to the SIN, is defined on a monthly basis by the Chamber of Commercialization of Electric Power (CCEE), according to the formula set forth by ANEEL resolution.

     As mentioned above, the effect of Part A is that of pass-through, i.e., costs with sectorial charges, one of the components of Part A, will be transferred to the consumer by the tariff, thus neutral from the point of view of the economic-financial evaluation, presenting only a temporal effect, since the adjustment caused by the difference between markets of reference is subject to inflation adjustment and adjusted in the next readjustment, however, for the effects of this evaluation, such temporal effect caused by the difference between the inflation adjustment rate (SELIC) and the discount rate (WACC), was not considered by virtue of its low representativeness.

4.2.3.Transport Costs

     Costs with the transport of power are those related to the transport of power from the generation units to the distribution systems, regulated by Resolutions 1917 and 1918, dated 06/03/2015 and Submodule 3.3 of the PRORET, being composed by the following items:

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a) Use of the transmission facilities classified as Basic Network, Basic Network at
Borders, or Other Transmission Facilities (DIT) of shared use;
b) Use of the distribution facilities;
c) Connection to DIT of exclusive use;
d) Connections to the distribution networks;
e) Transport of power from Itaipu to the point of connection to the Basic Network;
f) Use of Basic Network by the Itaipu plant; and
g) Use of the transmission system by the generation centers connected at the voltage
level of 88kV or 138kV.

Both the use of the transmission systems and distribution system for the purposes of tariff
procedures are calculated considering the amount of contracted demand for the period of
reference, valued by the respective economic tariffs in force on the date of the tariff procedure.

As mentioned above, the effect of Part A is that of pass-through, i.e., costs with sectorial
charges, one of the components of Part A, will be transferred to the consumer by the tariff, thus
neutral from the point of view of the economic-financial evaluation, presenting only a temporal
effect, since the adjustment caused by the difference between markets of reference is subject to
inflation adjustment and adjusted in the next readjustment, however, for the effects of this
evaluation, such temporal effect caused by the difference between the inflation adjustment rate
(SELIC) and the discount rate (WACC), was not considered by virtue of its low representativeness.

4.2.4.Financial

Part A includes costs that are transferred to the tariffs of the regulated market, but the
calculation of the tariff occurs from a forecast for these costs, and the effective costs then do be
different in relation to the forecast.

The invoicing of the distributor, as a recovery of Part A, may be higher or lower than the
effective costs of Part A, and the differences verified will be accounted in entry CVA
(“Compensation of Variation of Values of Items of Part A”) to a posterior encounter of accounts.

It also occurs with the cost of the thermoelectric generation contracted, which may be
higher or lower than that estimated in accordance with the intensity of use of the thermal plants,
which on its turn depend on the volume of rainfall, a situations especially difficult to forecast. If,
at the time of the calculation of the annual readjustment, CVA has a surplus, that means that the
distributor has collected, via tariff, more money has been collected that what has been effectively
applied in non-manageable costs. The balance will be corrected by the SELIC rate and the
financial component corresponding to CVA will be negative in the calculation of the tariff of the
next year to compensate the surplus, thus charging against the consumer less than the economic
tariff.

As mentioned above, once the components of Part A were considered neutral, i.e., values
related to financial charges for the purposes of this economic-financial evaluation were not
considered.

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4.2.5. Technical Losses (“PT”)

     The electric system is divided into generation, transmission, and distribution of electric power. Distributors receive the power from the supplying agents (transmitters, generators, or other distributors), delivering it to the end consumers, either residential, commercial, rural, industrial, or pertaining to the other classes. The power measured by the Distributors in the consumption units will always be smaller than the power received from the supplying agents. This different is known as loss of power and is segregated according to its origin.

     The National Agency for Electric Power - ANEEL shall refine, at every tariff review, a regulatory referential of losses that takes into account the performance of the concessionaire. Losses may be segmented by losses in the Basic Network, external to the distribution system of the concessionaire and with origin specifically technical, and losses in the distribution, which may have either technical or non-technical nature.

a) Concept and Characterization of the Historical Technical Losses of the Distributor

     Technical Losses (PT) are those inherent to the transport of electric power in the network, related to the transformation of electric power into thermal power in the conductors (joule effect), losses in the transformer cores, dielectric losses, etc. They may be understood as the consumption of the equipment responsible for the distribution of power. It is worthwhile noting that the degrees of Technical Losses are defined by ANEEL upon the RTP, and kept constant by a tariff cycle.

     The most recent verification of the company´s technical losses, segmented by the transformation and grid components, was done by ANEEL by means of Technical Note No. 0180/2013-SRD/ANEEL dated July 25, 2013, process No.: 48500.000550/2013-47, “Analysis of the contributions of Public Hearing no. 051/2013, related to the evaluation of the losses in the distribution system, associated with the 3rd Cycle of Periodical Tariff Review of Eletrobras Distribuição Alagoas – EDAL” (Companhia Energética de Alagoas – Ceal). The results from the verification are presented in

Table 19 and

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Table 20.       
 
  Table 19 - Amount of Losses in the Ceal Distribution System 
  Description  Amounts (MWh/year)  % Injected power 
  Injected power (El)  4,325,513.000  100.000% 
  Supplied power (EF)  3,102,547.083  71.727% 
  Losses in Distribution (PD)  1,222,965.917  28.273% 
  Technical Losses (PT)  447,422.556  10.344% 
  Non Technical Losses     
  (PNT)  775,543.361  17.930% 
  Source: Technical Note no. 0180/2013-SRD/ANEEL 

 

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Table 20 - Amount of Technical Losses per Segment of Transformation and Grid 
 
    Technical Losses of the Segments 
  Passing Power       
  (EP)  Upstream  % Passing  % of the Total 
    (PTS)  Power (IPTS)  Injected Power 
  MWh  MWh  %  % 
Power         
Transformers  3,561,772.445  22,330.088  0.627%  0.516% 
A2-A4         
Tafros A4-B  2,221,362.058  78,590.507  3.538%  1.817% 
Net A3  4,279,825.000  159,557.876  3.728%  3.689% 
Net A4  3,585,130.357  149,558.013  4.172%  3.458% 
Net B  1,755,538.721  25,447.755  1.450%  0.588% 
Meters  1,659,068.743  8,311.382  0.501%  0.192% 
Services Wires  1,659,068.743  3,626.935  0.219%  0.084% 
  TOTAL    10.344% 
Source: Technical Note no. 0180/2013-SRD/ANEEL

 

Thus, ANEEL adopted, for the entire tariff cycle (2013-2017), the amount of Technical Loss
of 10.34 % over the Total Injected Power in the system of the distributor.

b) Methodology and Premises of Technical Losses Forecasting

The forecast methodology for technical losses consists of: (i) evaluating the technical losses
indexes of the voltage of supply segments (IPTS) of Ceal in relation to the average indexes of
comparable companies identified in 4.3.2; and (ii) seeking the lowest value between the
segmented loss of the company and the verified average for the comparable companies, which will
be the base for the trajectory. Below, we present the step-by-step of the applied methodology:

i. The indexes of the technical loss per supply voltage segment - grid and
transformation level (IPTS) were used as a primary source for the calculation of the
loss. In order to preserve the confidentiality of the information, the methodology is
based on the adoption of information from public sources, namely, Technical Note
No. 0180/2013-SRD/ANEEL dated July 25, 2013, process No.:
48500.000550/2013-47, “Analysis of the contributions of Public Hearing no.
051/2013, related to the evaluation of the losses in the distribution system,
associated with the 3rd Cycle of Periodical Tariff Review of Eletrobras Distribuição
Alagoas – EDAL”. With the Technical Note, ANEEL provides the losses per voltage
segment, with unequivocal application and best representation of the verified
historical information.

ii. The losses obtained in each voltage segment of the distributor were object of
comparison with the companies having greater similarity to the concession are in
evaluation, considering their specific characteristics. For Ceal, the selected
comparable companies were:
· Empresa de Distribuição de Energia Vale Paranapanema S.A. EDEVP;
· AMPLA Energia e Serviços S/A AMPLA;

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· Companhia Energética do Ceará COELCE;

     · Companhia Estadual de Distribuição de Energia Elétrica CEEE-D;· Celg Distribuição S.A. Celg-D;· Energisa Tocantins - ETO;· Companhia Energética de Pernambuco CELPE;· Bandeirante Energia S.A - Bandeirante. iii. From the comparison with the similar companies, the average IPTS’s obtained considered the weighted losses of each Distributor in relation to the inject power in each voltage segment. The forecasted goal for 2047 consider, by segment, the maintenance of the rates of the company when below the weighted average; or the values observed in the weighted average of comparable companies when the results demonstrate level below that currently achieved by the company. iv. Based on the obtained results of losses per segment, forecasted for 2047, a simple interpolation was used to define the intermediate values. v. With the annual IPTS values obtained, such values were applied over the volumes of injected power per supply voltage segment, resulting the technical losses per segment, estimated to the entire period of Concession. For the consolidation of the total value of loss of the company, the same proportion of injected power as the one adopted in ANEEL Technical Note No. 0229/2013-SRD/ANEEL was used.

     It shall be pointed out that ANEEL, by means of Technical Note no. 88/2017, dated May 24, 2017, defined the Ceal PT at 10.34% of the injected power until the first complete tariff review after the signature of the Concession Contracts pursuant to the bidding process. That is, the methodology described in this section applies as of the first RTP we simulated, with forecast for 2023.

c) Results

     Graph 8 presents the average losses per voltage segment of the comparable companies and Ceal.

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Table 21. 

 

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Table 21 - Technical Loss Target per Voltage Segment 
 
Voltage segment  Avg  Comp  Final 
  IPTS  IPTS  goal 
A1-A2  0.000%  0.000%  0.000% 
A1-A3  0.000%  0.000%  0.000% 
A1-A3a  0.000%  0.000%  0.000% 
A1-A4  0.000%  0.000%  0.000% 
A2-A2  0.000%  0.000%  0.000% 
A2-A3  0.328%  0.000%  0.000% 
A2-A3a  0.484%  0.000%  0.000% 
A2-A4  0.514%  0.000%  0.000% 
A3-A2  1.283%  0.000%  0.000% 
A3-A3a  0.575%  0.000%  0.000% 
A3-A4  0.450%  0.627%  0.450% 
A3a-A2  0.000%  0.000%  0.000% 
A3a-A4  0.780%  0.000%  0.000% 
A3a-B  9.040%  0.000%  0.000% 
A4-A3  0.420%  0.000%  0.000% 
A4-A3a  0.644%  0.000%  0.000% 
A4-B  3.164%  3.538%  3.164% 
B-A4  0.000%  0.000%  0.000% 
A1 (< 230 kV)  0.107%  0.000%  0.000% 
A2 (88 a 138 kV)  1.683%  0.000%  0.000% 
A3 (69 kV)  2.919%  3.728%  2.919% 
A3a (30 a 44 kV)  4.179%  0.000%  0.000% 
A4 (2,3 a 25 kV)  2.083%  4.172%  2.083% 
B (< 2,3 kV)  1.927%  1.656%  1.656% 
Meters  0.492%  0.501%  0.492% 
Services Wires *  0.000%  0.000%  0.000% 
* Incorporated in “B (<2.3 kV)”       
 
Source: Own Elaboration

 

Based on the IPTS forecasts, the forecasted loss is established. The forecasts for annual

IPTS´s and consolidated technical losses are demonstrated in line “Forecast of the Technical Loss %” and “Forecast of Regulatory Technical Loss %” from Table22.

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     Table 25 presents the index of complexity and deviations resulting from the regression models built from the three selected econometric models (C, G and K) for the 6 designated companies.

     In Table 26, the complexity indexes verified for each of the companies is calculated. It is possible to note that, for the purposes of comparison, Technical Note no. 106/2015 divided the companies into two groups, being considered as large size (Group 1) those having market greater than 1,000 GWh/year and serving more than 50 thousand consumption units or with more than 15,000 km of electric network. The other companies are considered of Group 2. Small companies tend to present greater facility to combat non-technical losses than large companies.

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Table 25 - Result of the Complexity Indexes of each Econometric Model for the Companies from 
Grupo Eletrobras

 
COMPANY  INDEX DEVIATION INDEX DEVIATION INDEX DEVIATION 
  C  C  G  G  K  K 
Amazonas  0.37  0.04  0.34  0.05  0.39  0.04 
Ceal  0.27  0.02  0.24  0.02  0.29  0.03 
Cepisa  0.26  0.02  0.25  0.03  0.25  0.02 
Eletroacre  0.25  0.02  0.24  0.02  0.24  0.02 
Ceron  0.19  0.02  0.19  0.02  0.19  0.02 
Boa Vista             
(Capital)  0.07  0.03  0.06  0.03  0.09  0.03 
  Source: Technical Note no. 106/2015, ANEEL   

 

Table 26 - Average Complexity Index 
 
COMPANY  IC  Ranking  Size 
Amazonas  0.364  4  Large (Group 1) 
Ceal  0.266  8  Large (Group 1) 
Cepisa  0.257  10  Large (Group 1) 
Eletroacre  0.243  12  Large (Group 1) 
Ceron  0.191  18  Large (Group 1) 
Boa Vista (Capital)  0.074  44  Small (Group 2) 
Source: Technical Note no. 106/2015, ANEEL

 

i. Analysis of the Potential of Reduction of Non-Technical Losses

     Once the positions of the concessionaires are defined in each ranking of socio-economic complexity, it is possible to conclude that companies with small non-technical losses and in areas of concession identified as having greater or equal socio-economic complexity are more efficient, and, therefore, reference to the others.

     Initially, the goal of reduction of losses of a certain company, once the comparable benchmark is identified, would correspond to the very own load of the benchmark. However, as per ANEEL’s methodology, a differentiated treatment is given as a form of making the calculation procedure more robust, treating the uncertainty regarding the position of the companies in the ranking, as a combination of the value of losses adopted by the benchmark with the probability of having the benchmark in fact in a more complex area of concession. With this purpose, a table of probabilities of a given concessionaire being above or below the benchmark was built. The table of probability allows the calculation of the reference weight to all potential benchmarks of each concessionaire and will then determines goal of the company, as per Equation 10.

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maximum annual rate of reduction defined by the equation, the limit of the reduction shall prevail.

iii. Definition of the Starting Point

     The starting point of non-technical losses is a referential value for the tariff year immediately before the year of the tariff review. In the definition of the starting point of nontechnical losses, the percentage of non-technical losses of the measured market is used. The definition of the starting point will be given by: a) Group 1: Maximum 7.50%; Minimum (Goal 3, Measured CRTP, Average of the last 4 years); b) Group 2: Maximum 2.50%; Minimum (Goal 3, Measured CRTP, Average of the last 4 years).

The exceptions of the general rule are applied in the following cases:

1. When the company has already been adopting low levels of non-technical losses, below 7.50% to companies of Group 1 and below 2.50% to companies of Group 2, then the average of non-technical losses adopted over the measured market in the last four (4) calendar years shall be considered;

2. Companies with low probability of comparison shall be subject to a complementary analysis and a diagnostics analysis that take into account the degree of effort of the Distributor to combat losses;

3. Concessionaires whose goals to be established by the methodology are greater than the starting point established by the goal of 3CRTP and not included in the item above. Then: a. In case the goal obtained with the non-technical losses of the company of 3CRTP is greater than the goal established with the most recent loss, the goal obtained with the most recent loss will be used as the starting point, without trajectory of reduction; b. In case the goal obtained with the non-technical losses of the company of 3CRTP is greater than the starting point, but smaller than the goal established with the most recent loss, the goal obtained with the non-technical losses of 3CRTP shall be used as the starting point, without trajectory of reduction; c. In case the goal obtained with the non-technical losses of the company of 3CRTP is smaller than the starting point, the starting point shall be defined according to the equations of items (iii.a) and (iii.b), however without trajectory of reduction.

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The concessionaire Ceal did not fit any of the items above.

Table 27 summarizes the rules for the definition of the starting point.

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     Table 28 exemplifies the estimate procedure of the regulatory Non-Technical Losses of Distributor Escelsa, in the period from 2016 to 2018, according to the data of Technical Note no. 243/2016-SGT/ANEEL. The methodology of estimate begins with the calculation of the Starting Point, before evaluating the possibility of inclusion in the cases of exceptions. Following that, the calculation of the goal of the company is made based on the losses of the benchmarks found in the table of goals. Then the analysis of flexibilization of the starting point is carried out, followed by the determination of the regulatory goal based on the criteria of trajectory and speed of reduction of the non-technical losses, as explained in the sub-items above. The calculation of the goal is made considering the measured market of the concessionaire while its application must cover the invoiced market. To meet this condition, at the end of the determination procedure a percentage is subtracted from its value, which represents the different of invoiced and measured market.

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     The percentage of regulatory non-recoverable revenues is obtained using the methodology in TN No. 107/2015 and presented in sub-module 2.2A of PRORET, and are also kept constant over the period of analysis: 1.44% for residential; 1.05% for industrial; 0.72% for commercial; 1.18% for rural; 0.23% for public authority; 0.05% for public lighting; 0.06% for public services.

     In addition to the regulatory calculation, the values of the observed default to be used in the calculation of the cash flow have also been estimated. The average revenues not invoiced in the period from 49 to 60 months until the end of 2016 were adopted as starting point, as informed by the distributor. The values obtained and applied in the calculation for 2017 were: 2.95% for residential; 5.88% for industrial; 2.92% for commercial; 6.21% for rural; 2.,95% for public authority; 1.74% for public lighting; 0.78% for public services. It was assumed that these values will be converted into the regulatory percentage within 10 years.

4.3. Methodology for definition of Part B

     The definitions used to calculate Part B are presented in Official Document No. 113/2017-DR/ANEEL with the draft concession contract - as well as the definitions for Part A and tariff transactions. In addition to some particularities, the definitions follow the methodologies presented in versions “A” of PRORET, as presented hereunder. It shall be noted that the elements discussed hereunder are regulatory and refer to the concession of public service.

     The calculation of the value of Part B is different between the processes of tariff review and adjustment. In the tariff adjustment process, the methodology from sub-module 3.1A of PRORET is followed.

     First, the Value of Part B in the test year (12 months prior to the tariff adjustment) also called VPB0 component -, is calculated as the quotient of the division of the Value of Part B from the reference market (both from the previous tariff process) multiplied by the value from the reference market of the current process.

     Then, VPB0 is adjusted to recompose the elements, which are excluded from the previous process: Other Revenues, Demand Surplus and Reactive Excess. In the first tariff adjustment of the analyzed concessionaires (2017), an adjustment factor calculated by ANEEL according to Public Hearing No. 58/2016 (DR1 Factor) is used. For the other years, the so-called Pbi-1 Factor is estimated annually based on the data from the previous tariff process (t-1).

     After this adjustment, VPB0 is updated by IPCA and adjusted by the X Factor. Finally, Other Regulatory Revenues (OR)18 and revenues from com Demand Surplus (UD) and Reactive Excess (ER)19, are excluded. The following formula summarizes the exposed above.

18 It can be noted that it is about percentage of regulatory share of the Other Revenues, which varies according to the nature of the revenues (for the bigger part of them, it is 60%).

19 Such revenues are net from taxes, of the regulatory percentage of 3.5% of the revenues, related to demand surplus in the transmission grid, and the irrecoverable revenues, applying the regulatory percentage associated with the industrial consumption class.

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Parameters:  Base Date 
Rf  5.64% 
CR  2.62% 
Beta  0.70 
PMR  7.56% 
rUSD  2.41% 
Ke  10.90% 
A  48.76% 
RC  3.37% 
T  34.00% 
Kd  5.14% 
Regulatory WACC (Pre-Tax)  12.26% 
Regulatory WACC (Post-Tax)  8.09% 

 

     For the regulatory WACC forecast, update of the historical series from January 2018 using the ANEEL calculation methodology in force (base 2015) was considered. Once there is forecast for review of the methodology in 2021, a factor which causes significant uncertainty, we assumed that the rate calculated for January 2018 will remain the same along the forecast period.

We present the parameters of the adjusted regulatory WACC in January 2018 below:

Parameters:  2018 
Rf  4.89% 
CR  2.53% 
Beta  0.70 
PMR  6.90% 
rUSD  2.11% 
Ke  9.95% 
 
A  48.76% 
RC  3.37% 
T  34.00% 
Kd  4.90% 
 
Regulatory WACC (Pre-Tax)  11.34% 
Regulatory WACC (Post-Tax)  7.49% 

 

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· r = USA inflation rate: Average of the 10-year forecast of the North-American

usd

inflation rate on Base-Date 03/31/2017 (source: US Congressional Budget Office);

     RC = Credit risk: Average historical spread of the Credit risk compared to SELIC applied on the SELIC forecast along the forecast (source: Bacen)

4.3.2. Operational costs and Factor Xt

     The Efficient Operational Costs are one of the main components to estimate the Value of Part B in the Tariff Review processes (CAOM component in the formula for VPB calculation). The methodology used to calculate the efficient operational costs is presented in Official Document No. 113/2017-DR/ANEEL, clause six, and in general, follows the exposed in sub-module 2.2A of PRORET. Some particularities of the Official Document are described along the methodology.

     Under regulatory point of view, such costs refer to the figures for Personnel, Material, Outsourced Services, Other Operational costs, Taxes and Insurance related to the Electric Power Distribution and Sale activity (PMSO). According to specifications in TN No. 66/2015, PMSO shall be adjusted in some points, particularly for Personnel and Other costs. In the Personnel data, the values of actuarial deficits and surpluses and the retirement and/or voluntary dismissal programs are excluded, while in Others, only the following are considered: indemnities for loss and damage, proper power consumption, expenses for trainees and job initiation program, expenses for consumer advising, expenses for internal communication and reprography, collection fee, bank fees and judicial labor sentences. Such adjustments are applied by ANEEL for tariff reviews and were considered to compose the PMSO data to be forecasted within this analysis.

     The approach used by ANEEL for the calculation of the efficient operational costs in the periodic tariff review seeks defining the efficient cost level for the performance of the processes, according to the conditions provided in the concession contracts and the regulation, assuring adequate service provision and that the assets will keep their service capacity unchanged throughout their service life. In the definition of the efficient operational costs, the costs of the distributors, the efficient cost level and the characteristics of the concession area will be observed.

     ANEEL uses the non-parametric model called DEA (Data Envelopment Analysis), whose purpose is to define a production/variable cost boarder as a way to identify the level of efficiency of the companies. The model considers PMSO, with the adjustments mentioned above, as production input. The values are also adjusted by salary indexes, for companies, which work in regions where labor cost is cheaper, not to have competitive advantage, and thus, masking their efficiency score.

     The products considered in 4CRTP were: Grid (underground grid, air-borne distribution grid and high voltage grid), consumers, average market (weighted by voltage level), NonTechnical Losses and quality (interrupted consumer hour). Using a sample of 61 companies for the period from 2011 to 2013, ANEEL obtained the efficiency scores in the DEA model as presented in Table 36.

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Table 36 Operational Costs Efficiency Parameters in 4CRTP 
Source: sub-module 2.2A of PRORET, ANEEL.

 

     Using the bootstrap20 method, ANEEL made a sensitivity analysis of the efficiency scores and generated the confidence intervals for the concessionaires, as it can be observed in Table 37.

20 The main idea of the method consists in generating random sub-samples from a sample of verified observations and thus, expanding the observation database. From this resampling, it is possible to derive estimations of parameters of the population, which has given raise of the original sample.

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Graph 12 is obtained as example.

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     Graph 12 shows that companies close to the origin (0%) are more comparable to the analyzed concessionaire, while heterogeneity increases a lot, when considering the companies situated to the left, at longer distance from the origin. From the analysis of heterogeneity curves as these ones, clusters containing 8 companies closer to each designated company, were selected.

Table 38 Cluster Composition 
 
 
 
 
* The companies were excluded from the sample of the cluster that subsidies the 
operational cost analysis as these are designated companies. 
Source: Own Elaboration 

 

     Once the cluster is built, the following step consists in estimating the PMSO trajectory of each analyzed concessionaire. The following methodology was adopted: I. An efficiency indicator was estimated for each company from the cluster. This indicator was based on the efficiency calculation methodology of 4CRTP, which compares the operational costs at a product weighted average. The weights are obtained by applying the non-parametric method DEA, as used in 4CRTP and whose calculation methodology is described in TN No. 66/2015. The formula for the calculation of the efficiency indicator is presented below. The products selected to compose the efficiency analysis are similar to those in 4CRTP, with some simplifications, namely: market22, number of consumers, extension of the grid23, adjusted non-technical losses (difference in relation to the target in MWh) and CHI (interrupted consumer hour, based on the difference between the verified DEC and DEC V8). The indicator was calculated based on the information from the efficiency calculation in 4CRTP, considering the period from 2011 to 2013.

22 The 4CRTP methodology uses a weighted average of the markets by voltage level. For simplification, the total market was used, with no breakdown.

23 Likewise, for simplification, the total grid was used, with no breakdown in airborne HV, airborne and underground.

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Table 39 Composition of the clusters and efficiency 
Source: Own Elaboration

 

     Note that positive variation in the last column of the table, which compares the efficiency indicator between 2011 and 2013, indicates efficiency gains. The indicator for Ceal shows that to offer each product unit (weighted combination of market, grid, consumer, PNT and CHI), the concessionaire needed 1.87 PMSO units in 2011. In 2013, this need was 1.58 PMSO units i.e., the concessionaire became more efficient in the period.

     The median of the efficiency indicator of the group was 0.77. The convergence speed for the first period was based on the verified mean of the efficiency gain of the concessionaires from the cluster, equal to 3.5%, to avoid abrupt variations in efficiency.

Thus, the efficiency curve for Ceal is presented in Graph 13.

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     For the handling of the heterogeneous groups, an index Score ANI is calculated, which determines whether the heterogeneous group has, average, attributes with higher complexity (when positive) or lower complexity (when negative), when compared to the other groups from its cluster. Score ANI may change the percentile used to define the regulatory target of the heterogeneous group and consequently, change the trajectory of the limits for the analyzed tariff cycle.

     For handling of the groups with high share of supply in the indicators (in case, the limit defined at 9% for DEC and 15% for FEC is exceeded), the trajectory of the limits of the group is attenuated diluting the difference between the calculated value of the external indicator and the average of the grouped values of the external indicator of the similar groups in 4 years.

     The last treatment given is in relation to the groups with very intensive limit-reduction trajectory, defining maximum annual reduction values of 8 hours for DEC and 5 interruptions for FEC. Thus, the reduction trajectory is restricted, if there are differences higher than these limits in successive years.

c) Assumptions for Forecast of the Verified (or real) DEC and FEC

Indicators

     The forecasts for the calculated (or verified) service quality indicators DEC and FEC follow three particular moments of the new concession. The first moment is characterized with the adoption of Temporary Provision regimen in force in 2017 and possibly, in the beginning of 2018, assuming that the calculated indicators remain equal to the values verified in 2016. The second moment of the forecasts is comprehended between 2019 and 2025, where it is expected not only the new administration to set off, but also the beginning of the results collected by means of the investment and operational efficiency measurements taken as of 2018.

     For forecast of the indicator performance in this new phase, benchmarking approach was adopted for identification of comparable companies (the same methodology presented in section 3.3.2 - operational costs). Thus, eight companies comparable to Ceal were used: Coelce, CEEE, Celg, Celtins, Celpe, Vale Paranapanema and Bandeirante.

     From the calculated global values of DEC and FEC of these 8 companies for the history from 2003 to 2016, a database was created containing the annual indicator and the reduction value of this indicator in relation to the value in the following year, provided that there is reduction in the following year, considering it null when the indicator increases from one year to the other. This, linear regressions were used in this database (excluding their critical outliers30 and the null values), trying to find the equation, which enables relating the annual indicators to the annual reduction capacity, reflecting the decreasing yield of the service quality improvement efforts. In context of high service discontinuity, it is possible to verify considerable decreases in a few years, while in low discontinuity situations, the permanent and considerable reduction requires time and certainly, more resources.

     Within this vision, two regression models were defined, considering one for DEC and another one for the FEC indicator. The first model presents DEC explanatory variable, and the

30 Value that exceeds the average plus three times the standard deviation of the observations.

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group to the formation of the global indicators (DEC and FEC) in 2016 was used as weighing criterion for opening the forecasted indicators at company level defined according to the methodology presented in the previous section; and (iii) only the indicators of the Distributors from the Eletrobras group would present annual reduction rate, while the indicators of the other groups would remain constant.

     For calculation of the trajectories of the DEC and FEC limits forecasted from 2023 to 2048, it shall be considered that: (i) RTP will occur in 2023, 2028, 2033, 2038 and 2043; (ii) the value for 2048 will be equal to that obtained in 2047, as it is expected to close the concession in the latter year; and (iii) all limit values are weighed by the number of consumption units related to the average from the 1st quarter 2017, according to NT 088/2017 SRD-ANEEL.

e) Results for the Forecasts of the Calculated and Regulatory Indicators

     Based on the used assumptions and methodologies, the results for the forecasts of the calculated indicators and the regulatory service quality limits of the distributor DEC and FEC until 2048 are presented. Graph 19 and Graph 20 present the forecasts for DEC and FEC and their values are in

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Table 47 Verified/ Forecasted Verified and Approved/ Verified Limit of FEC for Ceal 
 
      FEC     
  VERIFIED/  THRESHOLD    VERIFIED/  THRES 
YEAR  PROJECTED  LIMIT/PROJECTED  YEAR  PROJECTED  HOLD 
  VERIFIED  LIMIT    VERIFIED  LIMIT/PROJECTED 
          LIMIT 
2014  22.82  13.82  2032  5.97  7.69 
2015  20.70  12.59  2033  5.94  7.17 
2016  16.82  11.39  2034  5.91  7.17 
2017  16.82  10.38  2035  5.87  7.17 
2018  16.82  13.06  2036  5.84  7.03 
2019  14.52  13.06  2037  5.81  7.03 
2020  12.55  13.06  2038  5.77  6.19 
2021  10.86  13.06  2039  5.74  6.19 
2022  9.41  13.06  2040  5.71  6.19 
2023  8.17  13.06  2041  5.68  6.19 
2024  7.11  12.23  2042  5.64  6.19 
2025  6.20  11.45  2043  5.61  6.05 
2026  6.17  10.55  2044  5.58  6.05 
2027  6.14  9.71  2045  5.55  6.05 
2028  6.10  8.81  2046  5.51  6.05 
2029  6.07  8.72  2047  5.48  6.05 
2030  6.04  8.27  2048  5.48  6.05 
2031  6.00  7.74       
 
    Source: Own Elaboration     

 

     Analyzing the forecasts for both DEC and FEC, there is a more accelerated decrease between 2018 and 2025, with softer reduction trajectory between 2025 and 2047.

4.3.6.Compensations

     The calculation method used by ANEEL for the definition of the individual limits comprehends the following stages: (i) building the database of the individual indicators observed in the groups of consumption units for 2007 and 2008 data from 36 Distributors, which served 65% of the consumers in the country at that time ; (ii) production of histograms for 42 DEC and FEC ranges according to the verified individual indicators segregated by connection voltage (HV, MV and LV) and localization (urban or non-urban); (iii) definition of percentile 90 as position measurement of the individual limit for each range; and (iv) application of a trend line to correct possible inconsistencies related to the limits of each range; (v) setting the DICRI limit as the DMIC value from the last DEC range; and (vi) multiplication of the monthly values by 2 and 4 for calculation of the quarterly and the annual limits, respectively. By means of this method, the limit tables of the individual indicators presented on Module 8 of PRODIST were built.32.

     To what refers to the compensations paid to the consumer for the violation of the individual limit, the calculation is made using the quotient of the calculated value in relation to the limits (percentage of limit excess), multiplied by the value of the Distribution System Use Charge (EUSD) and increased by a constant, which depends on the voltage level of the consumer´s connection.

32 Technical Note No. 092/2009, ANEEL presents the details of this method.

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     It shall be pointed out that no resources have been forecasted for PLpT because the program will be closed in 2018.

b) Assumptions for Forecast of Non-Electric Investments

     In addition to the forecasts of investments for Expansion, Improvement, Renewal of the different voltage levels of the Distributor, it is also necessary to forecast the amounts related to the investments in Systems and Vehicles. For this purpose, the adopted the assumption that at every five years, it is required to invest 50% of the provision in the first quinquennium (2018-2022).

c) Results

     Table 54 presents the results for the forecasts for each investment segment of the Distributor by quinquennium. To make comparison easy, we present the forecasted values in real currency (April 2017). It can be noted that the investments from the 1st quinquennium (R$796.9 million) are 30% of the total for the 30 years (R$ 2.634 billion).

Table 54 - Forecast of Investments for the Quinquennium of Ceal

 
Type of Work/  1st Five Year  2nd Five Year  3rd Five Year  4th Five Year  5th Five Year  6th Five Year 
Systems  Period (2018-  Period (2023-  Period (2028-  Period (2033-  Period (2038-  Period (2043- 
Vehicles             
  2022)  2027)  2032)  2037)  2042)  2047) 
Expansion AT R$290,068,170  R$71,240,328  R$142,480,655  R$71,240,328  R$142,480,655  R$71,240,328 
Expansion             
MT/BT  R$99,657,389  R$62,827,418  R$62,827,418  R$62,827,418  R$62,827,418  R$62,827,418 
Enhancement             
AT  R$75,100,000  R$42,243,750  R$42,243,750  R$42,243,750  R$42,243,750  R$42,243,750 
Enhancement             
MT/BT  R$36,641,270  R$30,917,975  R$30,917,975  R$30,917,975  R$30,917,975  R$30,917,975 
Renovation  R$277,240,975 R$112,670,024  R$150,673,050 R$112,670,024 R$150,673,050  R$112,670,024 
Energy for All  R$10,285,390  R$0  R$0  R$0  R$0  R$0 
ERP system             
Adequacy  R$1,000,000  R$500,000  R$500,000  R$500,000  R$500,000  R$500,000 
Integration of             
SGO/SGTD  R$1,000,000  R$500,000  R$500,000  R$500,000  R$500,000  R$500,000 
Systems             
Vehicles  R$5,962,653  R$2,981,327  R$2,981,327  R$2,981,327  R$2,981,327  R$2,981,327 
Total             
Investments*  R$796,955,847 R$323,880,821 R$433,124,175 R$323,880,821 R$433,124,175 R$323,880,821 
Total of Proper             
Resources  R$786,670,457 R$323,880,821 R$433,124,175 R$323,880,821 R$433,124,175 R$323,880,821 
*Values in real currency, at prices from April 2017.         
Source: Own Elaboration           

 

     Graph 22 illustrates the behavior of the electric and the non-electric investments over the years. It can be initially noted that the investments in 2018 and 2019 are actually very high, given the historical blocking of investments in the concession. Furthermore, the investments are growing during the 30 years, with peaks in the two years before RTP (given the concentration of

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4.3.8.Remuneration Base

     Within the tariff review process, the definition of the Regulatory Remuneration Base (BRR) is a fundamental input for the calculation of the capital remuneration and the regulatory reintegration quota. BRR consists in the group of assets held by the service provider and appreciated according to given methodology.

a) Methodology Adopted by ANEEL

     For electric power distribution concessionaires in Brazil, ANEEL uses the DORC (Depreciated Optimized Replacement Cost) method to evaluate the assets of higher representativeness in the BRR value and CCV (Current Cost Valuation) for the valuation of the assets with lower representativeness. Furthermore, the Rolling Forward method is applied with the purpose to provide its movement in time. These methods are described in Appendix F.

     In the Periodic Tariff Review (RTP), the construction of BRR considers two elements. The first is obtained by the BRR amount of the previous RTP (called closed base), deducting the depreciation and the write-off made in the period between the RTP’s, financially updated by the IPCA index. The second, called additional base, is calculated by means of the additions made in the period between the RTP’s, valued at market prices through an asset re-evaluation process.

     BRR is composed of the values of the followings items: fixed assets in service (evaluated and depreciated); warehouse in operation; deferred assets; and special obligations (or without lien). For the purposes of validation of the physical registration and the re-evaluation, the Fixed Assets in Service (AIS) are divided in the following groups: intangible; land; reservoirs, dams and water networks; buildings, civil works and improvements; machines and equipment; vehicles; and furniture and utensils.

     For the valuation of the electric power distribution assets, DORC or CCV are considered depending on the asset group. The groups of machines and equipment; buildings, civil works and improvements are evaluated by DORC, while the groups of land and easement are evaluated by CCV, i.e., from the accounting values corrected by the IPCA index.

     In the composition of Part B, the Regulatory Reintegration Quota (QRR) and the Capital Remuneration (RC) are considered. QRR results from the multiplication of the gross BRR by the regulatory depreciation, according to Equation 38.

Equation 38 Regulatory Reintegration Quota

QRR BRRb

Where:

QRR = Regulatory reintegration quota.

BRRb = gross BRR.

´ = average depreciation rate of the fixed assets in Service.

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Gross BRR is calculated by Equation 39.

Equation 39 Gross BRR

BRRb AIS IA OE BTD

Where:

BRRb: gross BRR.

AIS: Fixed assets in Service. IA : Use Index.

OE: Special Obligations.

BTD: 100% depreciated assets.

     The special obligations (OE) correspond to the resources of the consumer´s financial share and the budget subsidies from the Federation, federal, state or municipal funds. These are non-onerous liabilities and are not shareholder credits. They are updated upon the same criteria and indexes as those used to correct the assets entered in AIS. The depreciation of the assets acquired with funds from the special obligations is not computed in the calculation of the concessionaire´s required revenues. They are amortized in the accounting at the same depreciation rates, using an average rate defined from the tariff review.

     The use index corresponds to the percentage of use of the asset in the regulated service. It is calculated for land, buildings, facilities, machines and equipment.

The Capital Remuneration is calculated by Equation 40.

Equation 40 Capital Remuneration

RC (BRRl RGR). r RGR . r

WACCpré RGR

Where:

RC: Capital remuneration BRRl: Net BRR.

RGR: RGR debt balance. rWACCpre: Weighted average verified capital cost before taxes. rRGR: RGR capital cost.

     The Global Reversal Reserve (RGR) is a sector fund created by Decree No. 41.019/1957. This fund is used to finance the Program Luz Para Todos (PLpT), in addition to energetic efficiency projects within the National Program for Electric Power Preservation (Procel). The RGR cash to capital are also aimed at the system electric improvement and expansion works in the power generation, transmission and distribution areas.

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BARI: Amount of the regulatory annuity base related to the investments in information systems; VU: Service life 5.3 years. The value defined in Table XVI of the annex to the Electric Sector Asset Control ManualMCPSE is considered, namely 70% related to TUC “535 – Software”; and 30% related to TUC “235 – General Information Equipment”.

b) Methodology for Forecast of BRR and Assumptions

     Below, we will demonstrate how we forecasted the Regulatory Remuneration Base (BRR) of the Company. The forecast model used the data in the following asset evaluation reports as initial source:· Evaluation report prepared by Levin (delivered on 7/31/2017), which considered reopening of the base of assets unified by the base date of the 3rd RTP and the evaluation of the base of assets unified between the 3rd RTP and Feb/17.

· Evaluation report prepared by Levin (delivered on 4/29/2017), which considered the base of assets by the 3rd RTP in a closed way and the evaluation of the base of assets unified between the 3rd RTP and Feb/17.

     In the model, different forecast criteria were considered for the base of assets unified by Feb/17 (called Closed BRR in the model) and for the unification done after Feb/17 and new investments (called Additional BRR in the model). The closed BRR is coming from the information presented in the evaluation reports, while the additional BRR is determined based in the information about the new investments forecasted for the 30 years of concession.

     The Frozen Asset Base starts from the values considered in the Evaluation report (delivered on 7/31/2017), defining the deduction of the difference between AIS of the full BRR available in this Evaluation report at 9.2%, R$ 2.203 billion, and AIS of the Frozen Asset BRR of the Evaluation report prepared by Levin before (delivered on 4/29/2017), R$ 2.105 billion in the AIS, resulting in AIS of R$ 2.194 billion as shown in Table 56.

Table 56 - Calculation of the AIS Considered in the BRR Model in Feb/17 
 
Integral AIS BRR - Current Report (I)  2,203,637,253 
Protected AIS BRR in the 3rd RTP - Previous Report (II)  2,105,652,307 
Portion of AIS to be glossed (III) = (I) - (II)  97,984,946 
% gloss (IV)  9.2% 
AIS Considered in the Model on Feb/17 (V) = (II) + (III) x [1-(IV)]  2,194,613,090 
Source: Own Elaboration

 

     The deductions were calculated from the ratio between the final AIS (VOC) and the initial AIS (VOC) (without deductions) of the Additional BRR of the 3rd RTP of the distributors from the Eletrobras group, as presented in Table 57.

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Table 57 Difference between the Initial and the Final Additional AIS (VOC) of the 3rd RTP 
 
  AIS VOC Incremental AIS VOC Incremental  % 
Companies  (final)  (initial)  Disallowances 
Cepisa  835,842,143  897,473,190  6.9% 
Ceal  385,189,982  393,695,579  2.2% 
Eletroacre  179,823,621  199,479,273  9.9% 
Ceron  547,631,119  585,776,597  6.5% 
Boa Vista  64,853,943  71,850,393  9.7% 
AME  899,942,442  1,126,729,159  20.1% 
Average      9.2% 
Minimum      2.2% 
Maximum      20.1% 
Source: Own Elaboration

 

     This deduction percentage reflects possible imperfections of the asset and unification controls, which in the recent past, have produced reduction of the regulatory BRR values. As it is about full BRR evaluation of the concessionaire, there is a risk of higher deduction than those verified in a normal process of evaluation of additional BRR. A full evaluation involves assets, which have been unified far in the past, beyond the additional period from 2013 to 2017, which makes survey of information and physical-accounting conciliation difficult. The scope of the reevaluation work is bigger, covering a high number of assets and records, and increases the evaluator´s efforts. Furthermore, full evaluation of BRR is not normal, once since the 2nd cycle, ANEEL adopts additional evaluation of the assets, which intensifies care in a complete process inspection.

     Considering these factors, which increase the risk of deduction, we adopted the following criterion to establish this deduction percentage:· For companies with deductions under the average, the average percentage of deductions (9.2%) was considered.

· When the company had percentage of deductions above the average, the average between the company´s percentage and the maximum percentage of deductions (20.1%) was used.

Ceal fits the first case, obtaining deduction at 9.2%.

The values considered as starting point in the frozen asset BRR in Feb/17 are presented in

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Table 58.

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Table 58 Values of BRR Considered Starting Point in the Frozen Asset BRR in Feb/17 
 
  Technical 
Description   
  Report 
  Feb/17 
(1) Fixed Asset in Service (Value of New Replacement)  2,194,613,090 
(2) Integral Use Index  714,858 
(3) Special Obligations  550,309,151 
(4) Totally Depreciated Goods  334,567,614 
(5) Gross Remuneration Base = (1)-(2)-(3)-(4)  1,309,021,467 
(6) Accumulated Depreciation  1,098,712,153 
(7) Net AIS (Market Value in Use)  1,095,900,937 
(8) Depreciated Use Index  345,848 
(9) Value of Remuneration Base (VBR)  1,095,555,090 
(10) Operating Warehouse  6,284,089 
(11) Deferred Asset  0 
(12) Net Special Obligations  414,380,377 
(13) Land and Easements  7,529,896 
(14) Total Net Remuneration Base = (1)-(6)-(8)-(12)+(10)+(11)+(13)  694,988,698 
(15) Balance RGR PLPT  56,682,080 
(16) Balance RGR Other Investments  175,929,846 
(17) Depreciation Rate  3.68% 
*The values in blue (RGR balance and depreciation rate) were estimated, because they 
were not stated in the evaluation report prepared by Levin (delivered on 7/31/2017). 
Source: Own Elaboration   

 

From the values considered in

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     Table 58, he monthly transactions of the Closed BRR is determined by financial update by IPCA and the deduction of depreciation and write-off related to the assets, which entered in operation by Feb/17. The forecast of the Closed BRR account was made as described below:· AIS: evolves upon deduction of write-off of assets and update by IPCA.

· Write-off of assets: the average rate of Write-offs/AIS verified from the information in the Evaluation report prepared by Levin (delivered on 4/29/2017) in the period between the 3rd RTP and Feb/17 was applied to AIS every month.

· Full Use Index (R$): evolves with IPCA.

· Gross Special obligations: evolve upon deduction of write-off of special obligations (OEs) and update by IPCA. Write-off of special obligations was forecasted by applying, to AIS of each month, the average rate of write-offs of OEs available in the Evaluation report prepared by Levin (delivered on 4/29/2017) on AIS in the period between the 3rd RTP and Feb/17.

· 100% Depreciated assets: application of an average growth rate determined from the evolution of the monthly accounting balance of the assets, which have been 100% depreciated, considering the average depreciation rate of each asset and the residual value in the database in Feb/17 informed by the concessionaire.

· Accrued depreciation: updates the previous accrued depreciation by IPCA, adds the monthly depreciation and takes the write-off depreciation out. o Monthly Depreciation: Gross BRR multiplied by the average depreciation rate. o Write-off Depreciation: application of the average write-off depreciation percentage verified in the Evaluation report prepared by Levin (delivered on 4/29/2017) on the value of write-offs in the forecasted month.

· Average Depreciation Rate: the depreciation rate drops from the average level determined in Feb/17, considering the increase of the average service life of the assets. o In Feb/17 the weighted average between the depreciation rate of each asset and its weight in the residual AIS (AIS deducting 100% depreciated assets) verified in the Evaluation report prepared by Levin (delivered on 7/31/2017) was considered, resulting in 3.15%. o After Feb/17, the rate drops from the average level of 3.15%, because the assets are becoming 100% depreciated (or are written off). The purpose is to estimate which the expected level at the end of the forecast is (2048). For this purpose, we used accounting data made available by the concessionaire in Dec/16 again, forecasting the residual AIS year by year. Then, we calculated the average depreciation rates of the assets, weighting the depreciation rates of each asset by its weight in the residual AIS. Once the rate expected in 2048, 2.47%, was obtained, we interpolated the values between Feb/17 and Dec/2048.

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· Operation warehouse: proportion of the Operation warehouse account in the relation of the gross BRR from the Report applied to the gross BRR of the forecasted month.

· Depreciated Use Index (R$): segregation of the percentage of assets, which are not land, in the amount of Full IA, using the proportion of the amount of assets in IA of BRR of the 3rd RTP, which are not land. o In the proportion of the land use index, the annual depreciation rate is not applied. o The annual depreciation rate is applied to the proportion of the use index of the other assets.

· Net special obligations: update of the net special obligation accumulated by the previous month by IPCA, deduction of the Special obligations write-offs from the current month and depreciation of the result.

· Deferred Assets: if any, they evolve with IPCA.· Land and Easement: evolves with IPCA.

· RGR Balance (PLpT): initially, the RGR Balance (PLpT) was financially updated by IPCA and the depreciation from the period between the 3rd RTP and Feb/17 was deducted. In the subsequent months, the forecast was made by updating the balance until the previous month by IPCA and depreciation of the result.

· RGR Balance (Other Investments): initially, the RGR Balance (Other Investments) was financially updated by IPCA and the depreciation from the period between the 3rd RTP and Feb/17 was deducted. In the subsequent months, the forecast was made by updating the balance until the previous month by IPCA and depreciation of the result.

     The transaction of Additional BRR (new investments) was made by means of addition of assets forecasted for the period after Feb/17, deducted from the write-offs related to these assets. The forecast of the Additional BRR account was made as described below:· New Assets (Investments): addition of assets from the current month added to the update (IPCA) of the amount accumulated until the previous month, deducting the write-offs of assets, which entered in operation after the base date if the 3rd RTP.

The forecast was made using the investments presented in section 4.3.7, deducted at 5%. Lower percentage of deductions was considered in the forecast period considering that the additional efforts for asset management and modernization of the asset and unification controls will increase the consistency of the information and reduce the differences, which generated these regulatory deductions.

· Asset Write-offs: o By Feb/27: null, considering the reduced probability of the assets to be written off in the first 10 years.

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  o      Between Mar/27 and Feb/32: 1/3 multiplied by the Write-off/AIS ratio of the Closed BRR.
  o      Between Mar/32 and Feb/42: 2/3 multiplied by the Write-off/AIS ratio of the Closed BRR.
  o      From Mar/42 on: full ratio of Write-off/AIS of the Closed BRR.
  • Gross special obligations: additions of special obligations and update by IPCA. The compensation amounts for indicator violation, forecasted between 2019 and 2023,
      were      added to this account following the provisions in Sub-Clause One of Clause
      Nineteen, which stipulates Transitory Provisions in Technical Note No. 182/2017.
  • 100% Depreciated assets: it was considered null by Feb/32, given the insignificant proportion of assets, which become 100% depreciated in the period. After this date, scaling was done as follows:
      o      Between Mar/32 and Feb/37: 1/3 multiplied by the average proportion of the 100% Depreciated Assets/AIS ratio of companies of the North and the North- East Regions in the 3rd CRTP. The following were companies considered: Celtins, Energisa Borborema, Celpe and Cemar.
      o      Between Mar/37 and Feb/42: 2/3 multiplied by the average proportion of the 100% Depreciated Assets/AIS ratio of companies of the North and the North- East Regions in the 3rd CRTP.
      o      From Mar/42 on: average proportion of the 100% Depreciated Assets/AIS ratio of companies of the North and the North-East Regions in the 3rd CRTP.
       It was considered that in 25 years, the companies from the Eletrobras Group will be with level of 100% depreciated assets similar to that of the compared
  • Full Use companies Index (R$): in the multiplication North and the of AIS North-East (new assets) Regions. from each month by the Use Index/AIS ratio verified in BRR in the Evaluation report prepared by Levin (delivered on 7/31/2017).
  • Accrued depreciation: update of the accrued depreciation prior to IPCA and addition of the monthly depreciation.
  • Average depreciation rate: the weight of the investments made available in the Quinquennium Investment Plan (PIQ) from 2018 to 2022, presented in Front 5 Report was considered per group of assets and their respective depreciation rates.
      The segregation of each investment per registration unit of the asset base was done according to the big items (ex: substation busbars, power transformers, reclosers, conductors, etc.), when possible. Thus, the average depreciation rate coming from the investments provided in PIQ was obtained, which resulted in 3.15% of the AIS, as it can be observed in Table 59. This rate was kept constant along the 30 years of concession.
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    Table 59 Investments between 2018 and December 2022 per Registration Unit: Impact on 
    the Average depreciation rate of the Assets   
          Dep. ate 
    Register Unity  AIS*  AIS Weight   
    Bus  R$84,500,962  11%  2.50% 
    Conductor / Post and Tower  R$287,678,312  37%  2.70% 
    Power Transformer  R$36,862,784  5%  2.86% 
    Swift/ Building / Transformer       
    Measure/Auxiliary Services Transformer/ Urbanization      3.33% 
    and Betterments  R$57,341,646  7%   
    Conductor / Pole and Tower / Panel, Command Table and       
    Cubicle / Unit Substation  R$253,434,815  32%  3.57% 
    Distribution Transformer  R$41,253,457  5%  3.70% 
    Conduct and Channel/Road for       
    Access/Indicator/Reset/Supply System for       
    Water/Drainage System/Sewage System      4.00% 
    Sanitary/Lighting and Power System/Transformer for       
    Distribution  R$4,484,326  1%   
    Voltage Regulator/Measurement Transformer  R$7,432,150  1%  4.35% 
    Capacitor Bank / Communication and Protection System  R$7,423,715  1%  5.00% 
    Bank for Capacitors/Switch/Optic Fiber/Communication  R$7,385,623  1%  6.67% 
    System/Protection, Measurement and Automation System       
    Meter  R$51,427  0%  7.69% 
    Total  R$787,849,216  100.0%  3.15% 
    * Estimated AIS (Fixed Assets in Service) related to the investments provided in PIQ (Jan/18 and Dec/22). 
    Investments are in real currency at prices from April 2017. These do not include assets from the vehicles, general 
    information equipment and systems groups.       
    Source: Own Elaboration       

     

    · Net special obligations: update of the net OE from the previous month, addition of OE and depreciation of the result. The compensation amounts for indicator violations occurred between 2019 and 2023 were added to this account, following the provisions in Sub-Clause One of Clause Nineteen, which stipulates Transitory Provisions in Technical Note No. 182/2017.

    · RGR Balance (PLpT): update of the balance of the previous month by IPCA, addition of assets with RGR funds and depreciation of the result.

    · RGR Balance (Other Investments): update of the balance of the previous month by IPCA, addition of assets with RGR funds and depreciation of the result.

         For each forecasted RTP, the values determined for the total Base, composed of the sum of the Closed BRR and the Additional BRR in the RTP baseline month (6 months before RTP), are used. Specifically for Operation warehouse, the average balance from the 12 months before the base line are used. From the month, when the Closed BRR is extinct, there are only the Additional BRR accounts (except for the Land and Easement account).

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         In the forecast for special obligation remuneration, the values of the other items of Part B of each forecasted RTP were considered, as well as those of the parameters of the rates risk-free rate, rated equity cost and equity share, according to the forecasted regulatory WACC, which was presented in section 4.3.1.

    c) Results

         The results for the Regulatory Reintegration Quota forecast for the subsequent RTPs until 2043 can be seen in Table 62.

    Table 62 Forecast of Regulatory Reintegration Quota in RTPs

     
      3rd RTP  Technical  4th RTP  5ªRTP  6th RTP  7th RTP  8th RTP  9th RTP 
    Description                 
      Aug/13  Report  Sept/19  Sept/23  Sept/28  Sept/33  Sept/38  Sept/43 
        Feb/17             
    (1) Fixed Asset in Service (Value of New Replacement)  1,697,879,202  2,194,613,090  2,814,879,919  3,745,794,856  5,084,960,408  7,186,878,875  5,161,136,362  7,887,800,095 
    (2) Integral Use Index  5,612,748  714,858  934,490  1,281,124  1,790,187  2,574,089  1,681,153  2,569,318 
    (3) Special Obligations  432,468,042  550,309,151  601,887,195  696,828,239  817,182,855  955,538,417  31,725,567  39,027,711 
    (4) Totally Depreciated Goods  173,382,336  334,567,614  437,116,309  700,601,091  1,264,449,215  2,445,467,743  479,233,829  1,098,624,521 
    (5) Gross Remuneration Base = (1)-(2)-(3)-(4)  1,086,416,076  1,309,021,467  1,774,941,925  2,347,084,401  3,001,538,151  3,783,298,626  4,648,495,813  6,747,578,545 
    (17) Depreciation Rate  3.97%  3.68%  3.48%  3.30%  3.17%  3.13%  3.15%  3.15% 
    (18) Regulatory Reintegration Installment = (17) * (5)  43,130,718  NA  61,814,199  77,358,887  95,074,314  118,417,260  146,255,181  212,298,421 
     
    Source: Own Elaboration

     

         The results for the Equity Remuneration forecast for the subsequent RTPs until 2043 can be seen in Table 63.

    Table 63 Forecast for Equity Remuneration without Special obligations in RTPs   
     
      3rd RTP  Technical  4th RTP  5ªRTP  6th RTP  7th RTP  8th RTP  9th RTP 
    Description                 
      Aug/13  Report  Sept/19  Sept/23  Sept/28  Sept/33  Sept/38  Sept/43 
    Feb/17

    (1) Fixed Asset in Service (Value of New Replacement)  1,697,879,202  2,194,613,090  2,814,879,919  3,745,794,856  5,084,960,408  7,186,878,875  5,161,136,362  7,887,800,095 
    (6) Accumulated Depreciation  891,195,249  1,098,712,153  1,303,161,601  1,752,085,391  2,491,835,139  3,496,233,034  1,810,657,230  3,210,633,652 
    (7) Net AIS (Market Value in Use)  806,683,954  1,095,900,937  1,511,718,317  1,993,709,465  2,593,125,269  3,690,645,841  3,350,479,133  4,677,166,443 
    (8) Depreciated Use Index  1,483,400  345,848  901,577  1,238,317  1,733,184  2,495,037  1,628,259  2,488,480 
    (9) Value of Remuneration Base (VBR)  805,200,554  1,095,555,090  1,510,816,741  1,992,471,149  2,591,392,085  3,688,150,804  3,348,850,873  4,674,677,963 
    (10) Operating Warehouse  6,005,536  6,284,089  9,150,681  12,672,743  16,225,990  20,532,799  24,788,354  36,037,098 
    (11) Deferred Asset  0  0  0  0  0  0  0  0 
    (12) Net Special Obligations  371,911,952  414,380,377  416,227,382  414,168,811  394,827,141  369,617,016  18,758,890  19,713,343 
    (13) Land and Easements  4,542,664  7,529,896  8,410,556  9,938,236  12,225,679  15,039,613  18,501,220  22,759,570 
    (14) Total Net Remuneration Base = (1)-(6)-(8)-  443,836,802  694,988,698  1,112,150,595  1,600,913,316  2,225,016,613  3,354,106,201  3,373,381,557  4,713,761,288 
    (12)+(10)+(11)+(13)                 
    (15) Balance RGR PLPT  51,641,207  56,682,080  58,691,776  60,289,237  62,854,013  66,188,611  70,360,044  75,459,364 
    (16) Balance RGR Other Investments  160,283,984  175,929,846  182,167,542  187,125,741  195,086,293  205,436,220  218,383,514  234,210,783 
    (19) Real WACC before taxes  11.36%  NA  11.34%  11.34%  11.34%  11.34%  11.34%  11.34% 
    (20) Real RGR/PLPT rate  1.35%  NA  0.00%  1.13%  2.10%  2.10%  2.10%  2.10% 
    (21) RGR Rate Other Investments  3.62%  NA  2.00%  4.44%  4.40%  4.38%  4.38%  4.38% 
    (22) Capital Remuneration without Special Obligations  32,844,596  NA  102,477,424  162,515,089  233,036,807  360,041,025  360,940,975  511,406,372 
    (RCsOE)                 
     
    Source: Own Elaboration

     

         The results for the forecast of the Equity Remuneration of the Special obligations for subsequent RTPs until 2043 can be seen in

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    Table 64 Forecast for Equity Remuneration of the Special obligations in RTPs   
     
      3rd RTP  Technical  4th RTP  5ªRTP  6th RTP  7th RTP  8th RTP  9th RTP 
    Description                 
      Aug/13  Report  Sept/19  Sept/23  Sept/28  Sept/33  Sept/38  Sept/43 
        Feb/17             
    (3) Special Obligations  432,468,042  550,309,151  601,887,195  696,828,239  817,182,855  955,538,417  31,725,567  39,027,711 
    (23 ) Cost of Own Capital nominal (rp)  NA  NA  12.27%  12.27%  12.27%  12.27%  12.27%  12.27% 
    (24) Risk Free nominal Rate (Rf)  NA  NA  4.89%  4.89%  4.89%  4.89%  4.89%  4.89% 
    (25) Taxes and Contributions on Income (t)  NA  NA  34.00%  34.00%  34.00%  34.00%  34.00%  34.00% 
    (26) Equity Share  NA  NA  51.24%  51.24%  51.24%  51.24%  51.24%  51.24% 
    (27) CAOM / (CAOM+QRR+RCsOE+CAIMI)  NA  NA  58.58%  54.42%  51.28%  45.64%  50.58%  47.74% 
    (28) Remuneration of Special Obligations  NA  NA  10,102,153  10,863,716  12,006,295  12,494,266  459,748  533,800 
     
    Source: Own Elaboration

     

         The results of the forecast of the Annual Fixed or Portable Facilities Cost for subsequent RTPs until 2043 can be seen in Table 65.

    Table 65 Forecast of the Annual Fixed or Portable Facilities Cost in RTPs

     
    Description  Aug/13  Feb/17  Sept/19  Sept/23  Sept/28  Sept/33  Sept/38  Sept/43 
    (1) Regulatory Annuity Base (BAR)  90,467,401  NA  208,042,769  271,403,842  362,419,621  500,488,344  393,231,601  579,588,482 
    (2) Annuity Base - Real estate and administrative furniture infrastructure (BARA)  22,616,850  NA  93,619,246  122,131,729  163,088,829  225,219,755  176,954,221  260,814,817 
    (3) Annuity Base - Vehicles (BARV)  22,616,850  NA  24,965,132  32,568,461  43,490,355  60,058,601  47,187,792  69,550,618 
    (4) Annuity Base - Computer Systems (BARI)  45,233,701  NA  89,458,391  116,703,652  155,840,437  215,209,988  169,089,589  249,223,047 
    (5) - Annuity - Real estate and administrative furniture infrastructure (CAL)  2,095,277  NA  8,665,099  11,304,124  15,094,982  20,845,623  16,378,319  24,140,188 
    (6) Annuity - Vehicles (CAV)  4,515,616  NA  4,982,333  6,499,742  8,679,442  11,985,995  9,417,346  13,880,332 
    (7) Annuity - Computer Systems (CAI)  11,103,935  NA  21,952,531  28,638,349  38,242,272  52,811,189  41,493,531  61,157,782 
    (8) CAIMI = (5)+(6)+(7)  17,714,827  NA  35,599,963  46,442,214  62,016,696  85,642,807  67,289,196  99,178,303 
     
    Source: Own Elaboration

     

    4.3.9.Tariff Transactions

         From the composition of the items identified above, the values for Part A and Part B are forecasted and thus, the Required Revenues for each tariff year are determined.

    There are some particularities in the tariff transactions between 2017 a 2019.

         In 2017, as stated in TN No. 149/2017 and TN No. 247/2017, the difference between the flexible regulatory level of the operational costs and that recognized in the tariff process from 2016 (difference calculated in TN No. 149/2017), updated by IPCA between the tariff process date from 2016 and the tariff process date from 2017, shall be added to Part B. For 2018, first year of the new concession, it is assumed that the operational costs will be equal to those from 2017, updated by IPCA (this value will be reduced according to the bidding criterion).

    In this context, the following was done:

    (a) the value of the difference between the flexible regulatory of operational costs and that recognized in the tariff from 2016 was updated by accumulated IPCA and added to VPB in 2017; (b) the tariff coverage of Operational costs in Part B in 2017 was estimated, according to PRORET 2.2A, formula (1) of paragraph 13, section 3.1, presented above in this report in Equation 16; (c) the new operational cost for 2017 was obtained by the sum of (a) and (b).

    (d) the share of (c) in VPB for 2017 was applied to VPB0 for 2018, obtaining an estimation of the operational costs coverage for 2018; (e) the IPCA accumulated in one year was applied, reducing the Factor X, to (c). The difference between this value and (d) was applied to VPB for 2018.

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         In 2019, there will be extraordinary review. For its implementation, the tariff coverage of the Annual Asset Cost (CAA, composed of the sum of the equity remuneration, regulatory reintegration quota and annuity of the fixed and portable facilities) was estimated using a mechanism similar to that for the calculation of the operational cost tariff coverage. This value was excluded from VPB and the CAA forecast for 2019 was added. The forecast already includes the closed and the additional base reports.

         It shall also be pointed out that for the period between 2017 and 2022, the regulatory limits for Non-Technical Losses were made flexible, being replaced by the average between the verified Non-Technical Losses and the regulatory losses observed in 2016. This procedure was not adopted for AmE and Boa Vista Energia, because their technical losses were made flexible by the Approval of Resolution No. 2.184/2016.

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    Table 66 Estimations for Required Revenues, VPA and VPB for Ceal (rated R$ million) 
        RA1  VPA  VPB 
    Regulatory Year  Reference Period  Required Income  Value of Portion A  Value of Portion B 
    2017  Sept/10 to Aug/17  R$1,422.58  R$982.36  R$440.22 
    2018  Sept/17 to Aug/18  R$1,526.51  R$1,039.90  R$486.61 
    2019  Sept/18 to Aug/19  R$1,704.03  R$1,117.84  R$586.18 
    2020  Sept/19 to Aug/20  R$1,836.07  R$1,197.33  R$638.74 
    2021  Sept/20 to Aug/21  R$1,970.46  R$1,279.76  R$690.70 
    2022  Sept/21 to Aug/22  R$2,112.58  R$1,366.05  R$746.53 
    2023  Sept/22 to Aug/23  R$2,150.42  R$1,384.01  R$766.40 
    2024  Sept/23 to Aug/24  R$2,256.51  R$1,468.01  R$788.50 
    2025  Sept/24 to Aug/25  R$2,371.02  R$1,560.48  R$810.54 
    2026  Sept/25 to Aug/26  R$2,490.10  R$1,657.48  R$832.62 
    2027  Sept/26 to Aug/27  R$2,607.73  R$1,759.11  R$848.62 
    2028  Sept/27 to Aug/28  R$2,699.60  R$1,852.39  R$847.21 
    2029  Sept/28 to Aug/29  R$2,836.40  R$1,956.75  R$879.66 
    2030  Sept/29 to Aug/30  R$2,978.18  R$2,065.73  R$912.45 
    2031  Sept/30 to Aug/31  R$3,123.76  R$2,178.51  R$945.24 
    2032  Sept/31 to Aug/32  R$3,276.42  R$2,297.30  R$979.11 
    2033  Sept/32 to Aug/33  R$3,462.10  R$2,417.67  R$1,044.44 
    2034  Sept/33 to Aug/34  R$3,647.37  R$2,554.65  R$1,092.72 
    2035  Sept/34 to Aug/35  R$3,844.22  R$2,700.74  R$1,143.47 
    2036  Sept/35 to Aug/36  R$4,052.84  R$2,855.99  R$1,196.84 
    2037  Sept/36 to Aug/37  R$4,274.06  R$3,021.06  R$1,253.00 
    2038  Sept/37 to Aug/38  R$4,298.16  R$3,185.00  R$1,113.16 
    2049  Sept/38 to Aug/39  R$4,548.69  R$3,375.21  R$1,173.48 
    2040  Sept/39 to Aug/40  R$4,816.33  R$3,578.92  R$1,237.41 
    2041  Sept/40 to Aug/41  R$5,101.59  R$3,796.39  R$1,305.20 
    2042  Sept/41 to Aug/42  R$5,405.83  R$4,028.70  R$1,377.13 
    2043  Sept/42 to Aug/43  R$5,745.84  R$4,259.52  R$1,486.32 
    2044  Sept/43 to Aug/44  R$6,096.75  R$4,522.84  R$1,573.91 
    2045  Sept/44 to Aug/45  R$6,473.15  R$4,805.87  R$1,667.28 
    2046  Sept/45 to Aug/46  R$6,876.07  R$5,109.19  R$1,766.88 
    2047  Sept/46 to Aug/47  R$7,307.78  R$5,434.57  R$1,873.21 
    Source: Own Elaboration

     

         Adopting the hypothesis that the financial components will be neutral along the period, the tariff transactions are obtained by direct comparison of the required revenues to the revenues observed in the reference period.

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    period corresponds to the best assumption for the entry of new investors and the start of a new
    concession contract. The cash flows were projected in current-day Reais (BRL) (taking into
    account inflation effects) and discounted at a variable WACC rate according to the calculations
    previously presented. From the valuation base date (Dec. 31, 2016) to the estimated date for the
    start of the new concession contract (Mar. 1, 2018), only the Brazilian inflation rate (IPCA) was
    included in the discount factor. This approach was used in order to assure the business risk would
    not affect the period prior to the entry of the potential investor.

    Operational Assumptions

    Market demand

    The operational assumptions are based on projected energy consumption as it relates to:
    · Regulated Market: the amount of energy consumed by the clients of the
    Residential, Commercial, Industrial, Rural and Other Classes, who pay the
    distributor both for the consumed energy and the distribution service.
    · Free Consumers: the amount of energy consumed by the clients of Commercial
    and Industrial classes that pay the Distributor only for the distribution service,
    negotiating the price of the consumed energy directly with other market
    participants.
    · Supplied Distributors: the amount of energy delivered to another energy
    distribution company that serves consumers outside the concession area of the
    Distributor.
    · Regulatory Allowance for Energy Losses: the amount of energy the
    Distributor would have as a write-off due to Technical Losses, Non-Technical
    Losses, and Losses in the High Voltage Network, according to the efficiency limits
    established by Aneel.
    · Regulatory Allowance for Contracted Energy: the amount of energy the
    Distributor needs to generate or buy to supply the consumers (Regulatory Market,
    Free Consumers, and Supply), considering its Regulatory Allowance for Energy
    Losses.
    · Verified Energy Losses: the amount of energy equivalent to the difference
    between the sum of purchased and self-generated energy and the billed energy
    (Regulatory Market, Free Consumers, and Supply), considering Technical Losses,
    Non-Technical Losses, and Losses in the High Voltage Network. This amount can
    be different from the Regulatory Allowance for Energy Loss. When the difference
    between the Verified Losses and the Regulatory Allowance for Energy Losses (in
    terms of amount of energy), is over the tolerance limit established by ANEEL, a
    portion of the losses is not passed on by the Distributor as tariff, which negatively
    impacts the value of the Company.
    · Required Energy Supply: the amount of energy the Distributor needs to
    generate or buy to supply the consumers (Regulated Market, Free Consumers, and
    Supply), considering its index of Verified Energy Losses.

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    · Excess Contracted Energy: the excess amount of energy the Distributor generates or buys in relation to the Required Energy Supply. This variable was projected according to the contracted amounts informed by the Company’s

    Distribution Board. Additionally, the perspectives of adequacy of the Energy Balance with the achievement of an optimum level of 3% of Excess Contracted Energy were considered. Such optimum level is established in order to guarantee a safety margin to the supply of the demand for energy. Considering a scenario where the Regulatory Allowance for Energy Losses and the Verified Energy Losses were equivalent, the Distributor would be paid by the generation and purchase of energy exceeding the demand up to the upper limit of 5% of Excess Contracted Energy calculated on the Regulatory Allowance for Contracted Energy.

    · Self-Generation: the amount of energy the Distributor itself generates through power stations and generators. As explained in this report, because Portion A was considered neutral, we did not explicitly consider the volume of self-generated energy in the projections, although its effects are implicit in the Working Capital projections.

    · Energy Purchase: the amount of energy bought by the Distributor to supply its consuming market, equivalent to the Required Energy Supply added to the Excess Contracted Energy.

    · VPA Volume: the amount of energy distributed to the Regulated Market consumers and the Supplied Distributors, who pay for the cost of the energy they consume.

    · VPB Volume: the amount of energy distributed to the Regulated Market consumers, Free Consumers, and Supplied Distributors, who only pay for the cost of the energy distribution services.

    Energy Rate

         The Electricity Rate, the sale price of the electric power to the consumers in R$/MWh, is composed of Portions A and B. The former relates to the cost of energy production and other non-management costs, and the latter relates to returns to investment and the operational margin inherent in the electric power distribution service. The Electricity Rate is adjusted or revised on an annual basis by Aneel.

         Our analyses considered the net value of the Electricity Rate meaning the taxes are not projected separately.

    · Portion A

         Portion A considers five factors in its calculation: Energy Costs, Transportation Costs, Sector Charges, Finance Charges, and Bad Debt.

         The calculation method applied for Portion A considers that its components should not have an impact on the business value (neutrality), since eventual gains or losses related to estimates made during the rate adjustment are neutralized in the adjustment the following year.

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         However, there are two cases where the principle of neutrality of Portion A is not applicable: i - When the Cost of Capital of the Distributor is different from the Adjustment Rate applied on the Finance Charges. In such case, the impact will be the difference between the net present values calculated using the different rates. Considering that the difference between the rates is not relevant, the Finance Charges were not projected. Thus, we consider the costs related to Energy Purchase, Transportation, and Sector Charges (R$/MWh) as they are used in the Electricity Rate calculation. ii - When the amount (MWh) of Required Energy Supply is over the limit of 105% of the Regulatory Allowance for Contracted Energy. In such case, the impact is considered in a portion of the costs related to Energy Purchase and Transportation that is not considered in the Electricty Rate calculation. Such an impact is considered in the valuation, as detailed in this report. a) Energy Cost The energy cost is calculated from the Weighted Average Cost of the Energy, in R$/MWh, considering the Energy Purchase Contracts.

         Some Energy Purchase Contracts, as is the case for Self-Generation, have a different approach from the Portion A calculation methodology, using costs from the last energy auctions in the regulated market in order to balance the energy costs to consumers from different distributors operating in the Brazilian market.

         In these cases, the differences between the effective cost of energy to the Distributor and the cost considered in Portion A is repaid to the Distributor through CCC. Since the projections assume the neutrality of Portion A, such differences were not considered. However, the financial impact related to the period between the payments of Energy Purchase Costs and the CCC repayments is considered in the projections of the Distributor’s Working Capital needs.

         The Consortium observed recent cases in the electric power distribution sector where this difference is directly paid to the party responsible for the power generation, and does not impact the distributor’s Working Capital needs and, therefore, does not present a financial impact for the company. This observed trend supports the assumption of neutrality of Portion A considered in the projections, as well as the assumption of normalization of Working Capital levels based on the average financial indicators for the electricity distribution sector, as discussed in next sections.

    The costs informed in the last Distributor’s rate adjustment were used to define the

    Weighted Average Cost of Energy as of the base date. The referred average cost was projected considering inflation rate assumptions. Since the monetary adjustments are carried out in the following year through the Finance Charges, which were not considered in the valuation, we considered the costs used in the calculation of Portion A to be equivalent to the effective Energy Purchase Costs.

         Thus, the fraction of Portion A related to the Energy Purchase Cost has a negative financial impact in the cases where the considered Energy Purchase is more than 5% higher than the Regulatory Allowance for Contracted Energy. b) Transportation Costs

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         The transportation costs refer to the SIN transmission system. The Transportation Costs are paid by the Distributor in order to receive the purchased energy.

    Transportation Costs were projected based on the relation between the Transportation

    Cost and the Energy Cost (in R$/MWh) observed in the last Distributor’s rate adjustment. The calculations consider the schedule of interconnections estimated for the Distributor.

         Thus, the fraction of Portion A related to the Transportation Cost has a negative economic impact in the cases where the Required Energy Supply is more than 5% higher than the Regulatory Allowance for Contracted Energy. c) Sector Charges The energy distributors collect the applicable Sector Charges from their consumers and transfer the values to the sector funds.

         The Sector Charges were projected based on the values considered in the last available rate adjustment. The base values were adjusted considering the projections for the inflation rate.

         Due the assumption of neutrality of Portion A, the Sector Charges do not present financial impact in the valuation. However, the financial impact related to the period between the payment of Sector Charges and the receipt from the consumers is considered in the projections of the

    Distributor’s Working Capital needs.

    d) Financial Charges

         As mentioned before, the Financial Charges were not considered in the valuation. e) Bad Debts Since the projections consider impact of Bad Debts on the cash flows net of the regulatory allowance considered in Portion A, values related to Bad Debts in the calculation of Portion A were not considered.

    · Portion B

         Portion B compensates the distributor for capital expenditures and operating margin of the electric power distribution service. It is calculated according to the methodology previously explained in this report and divided by the size of the market considered in the rate adjustments/revision to obtain a value expressed in R$/MWh.

    Revenues

    The projected Net Operating Revenues are composed of four types of revenues:

    · Portion A

    Product of the Energy Tariff (R$/MWh) related to Portion A and VPA Volume (MWh).

    · Portion B

    Product of the Energy Tariff (R$/MWh) related to Portion B and VPB Volume (MWh).

    · Sale of the Excess Contracted Energy

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         The sale of Excess Contracted Energy is considered for the amounts over the regulatory allowance limit (5.0%) in relation to the Required Energy Supply. The energy price considered for the sale of the Excess Contracted Energy is the Difference Liquidation Price (PLD).

         The PLD projection considers the average values observed over the last 5 years for the maximum and minimum limits for PLD as well as the average PLD in the region. The observed values were adjusted considering the inflation rate projections. The projections also considered the historical seasonality of PLD, since the averages were calculated for each month of the year. The value considered in the sale of Excess Contracted Energy is the projected average value between the minimum limit and observed mean of PLD in the region.

    · Other Revenues

         The other revenues include Chargeable Services and Sharing of Infrastructure, for example. No real growth was projected for those revenues.

    All the projections were estimated net of sales tax, such as PIS, COFINS, and ICMS.

    Costs

    · Energy Purchase

         Product between the Energy Purchase (MWh) and the respective cost (R$/MWh), as projected in Portion A.

    · Cost of Self-Generation, Fuel and CCC Repayments

         As explained before, because of the assumption of neutrality of Portion A, the values related to such items are not considered in this valuation.

    · Transportation

         Considering the assumption of neutrality of Portion A, the same value in R$/MWh considered in Portion A was considered as transportation costs. The impact on the Company’s valuation refers only to the amount of energy transported that exceeds the Regulatory Allowance for Contracted Energy.

    Operating Expenses

         In addition to the costs of Energy and Transportation, distributors also presents operational expenses, as described below:

    · PMSO

         Expenses of Personnel, Materials, Third Parties’ Services, and Other, projected according to the regulatory methodology of Portion B previously explained. The projected PMSO separated into the four components mentioned above is based on the historical average for each type of expense, as observed in the Distributor’s financial statements.

         An additional cost is considered in relation to the eligible PMSO for Portion B, since some distributors’ expenses are not covered by regulatory allowance. This Additional Cost is projected

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    from historical information made available by the Distribution Board and follows an accelerated path of efficiency gain in relation to PMSO. This assumption is adopted because it is expected that the Distributor will concentrate efforts to reduce costs that do not have a regulatory allowance.

    · Bad Debts

         The bad debt levels were projected as a decreasing percentage of the net revenues. The calculations were made according to the regulatory methodology of Portion B previously explained. As mentioned before, the percentage was calculated net of the regulatory allowance provided as part of Portion A.

    Depreciation and Amortization

         The projections for depreciation of existing assets (financial, tangible, and fixed) were based on the historical relation between the Depreciation and Amortization Expenses and the book value of the assets, calculated using the audited Financial Statements of the Distributor.

         The average depreciation considered in the calculations of Regulatory Remuneration Base (BRR) was the same used for the new investments.

    Financial Results

         Since the valuation method used was the Free Cash Flow for the Firm approach, the financial revenues or expenses were not projected.

    Direct Taxes

         The Income Tax (IR) and the Social Contribution on Net Profit (CSLL) were projected, considering 15% with additional 10% tax rate for the IR and 9% rate for the CSLL.

         The deferred tax assets were also considered in the projections. The values reported in the financial due diligence were used as of the base date, and the applicable updates for the projection period were considered.

    Investments (Capex)

         The projections consider investments in electric and non-electric assets to meet the operational needs of the Distributor, projected as described in item 5.3.7 Long-Term Investment of this report.

    Working Capital and Other Adjustments

         The Working Capital needs are projected using the value reported in the financial due diligence as of the Base Date, and contains, among other things, the accounts receivable or payable (clients, suppliers, sector charges, and CCC). The observed relation between the initial Working Capital and the Net Operating Revenue of the previous period is considered as the starting point for the Working Capital projections. A linear normalization was proposed, starting in the 25th

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    6.5.  Valuation results               
     
    The valuation results are presented in the following tables.       
     
    Table 69 Distributed energy projections

     
    Energy (000 MWh)      2017  2018  2019  2020  2021  2022 
    Regulated market      3,033  3,104  3,221  3,330  3,439  3,545 
    Free market      454  530  548  566  584  601 
    Supply      -  -  -  -  -  - 
    Regulatory allowance for energy losses    1,373  1,425  1,458  1,443  1,423  1,397 
    Excess contracted Energy    796  365  140  379  146  148 
    Total energy      5,656  5,424  5,368  5,718  5,591  5,691 
    Energy (000 MWh)      2023  2024  2025  2026  2027  2028 
    Regulated market      3,649  3,751  3,850  3,948  4,044  4,139 
    Free market      618  634  650  666  682  698 
    Supply      -  -  -  -  -  - 
    Regulatory allowance for energy losses    1,359  1,308  1,267  1,222  1,172  1,108 
    Excess contracted Energy    150  152  154  155  156  157 
    Total energy      5,775  5,845  5,922  5,992  6,055  6,102 
    Energy (000 MWh)      2029  2030  2031  2032  2033  2034 
    Regulated market      4,231  4,320  4,407  4,495  4,587  4,682 
    Free market      713  728  742  757  772  787 
    Supply      -  -  -  -  -  - 
    Regulatory allowance for energy losses    1,054  1,064  1,073  1,081  1,080  1,068 
    Excess contracted Energy    159  162  164  167  170  172 
    Total energy      6,158  6,274  6,386  6,501  6,608  6,709 
    Energy (000 MWh)      2035  2036  2037  2038  2039  2040 
    Regulated market      4,780  4,881  4,986  5,095  5,209  5,327 
    Free market      802  818  835  851  869  886 
    Supply      -  -  -  -  -  - 
    Regulatory allowance for energy losses    1,077  1,086  1,095  1,093  1,080  1,090 
    Excess contracted Energy    176  179  182  186  189  192 
    Total energy      6,834  6,964  7,098  7,225  7,346  7,495 
    Energy (000 MWh)    2041  2042  2043  2044  2045  2046  2047 
    Regulated market    5,449  5,577  5,710  5,849  5,995  6,147  6,307 
    Free market    905  923  943  963  983  1,005  1,027 
    Supply    -  -  -  -  -  -  - 
    Regulatory allowance for energy losses  1,099  1,110  1,108  1,094  1,104  1,115  1,126 
    Excess contracted Energy  196  201  205  208  213  218  223 
    Total energy    7,650  7,811  7,965  8,114  8,295  8,485  8,683 
     
     
    Table 70 Net revenues projections

     
    Net Revenues (000 R$)    2017  2018  2019  2020  2021  2022 
    Portion A distributed energy (000 MWh)    3,033  3,104  3,221  3,330  3,439  3,545 
    Portion A tariff (R$/MWh)    316  340  352  365  377  391 
    Portion A      958,082  1,056,287  1,134,126  1,214,008  1,297,817  1,385,132 
    Portion B distributed energy (MWh)    3,487  3,634  3,769  3,896  4,023  4,146 
    Portion B tariff (R$/MWh)    117  130  142  159  167  175 
    Portion B      409,647  472,698  536,336  620,638  673,309  726,751 
    Other revenues      15,522  16,257  17,012  17,787  18,583  19,413 
    Sale of excess contracted energy    143,924  78,721  31,604  88,896  29,554  13,732 
    Sectorial Charges      (244,011)  (257,445)  (268,734)  (280,302)  (292,392)  (304,794) 
    Total net operating revenues    1,283,163  1,366,518  1,450,344  1,661,028  1,726,870  1,840,234 
     
     
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    Net Revenues (000 R$)    2023  2024  2025  2026  2027  2028 
    Portion A distributed energy (000 MWh)    3,649  3,751  3,850  3,948  4,044  4,139 
    Portion A tariff (R$/MWh)    397  396  410  425  440  454 
    Portion A    1,449,094  1,486,269  1,580,309  1,678,966  1,781,560  1,878,278 
    Portion B distributed energy (MWh)    4,267  4,385  4,501  4,615  4,727  4,837 
    Portion B tariff (R$/MWh)    181  180  180  181  180  178 
    Portion B    770,468  790,482  812,036  833,599  853,141  862,663 
    Other revenues    20,281  21,188  22,135  23,124  24,158  25,238 
    Sale of excess contracted energy    16,391  42,063  42,882  34,414  13,428  - 
    Sectorial Charges    (317,678)  (331,111)  (345,113)  (359,709)  (374,923)  (390,780) 
    Total net operating revenues    1,938,557  2,008,891  2,112,249  2,210,394  2,297,364  2,375,399 
    Net Revenues (000 R$)    2029  2030  2031  2032  2033  2034 
    Portion A distributed energy (000 MWh)    4,231  4,320  4,407  4,495  4,587  4,682 
    Portion A tariff (R$/MWh)    466  482  500  518  536  553 
    Portion A    1,969,850  2,083,260  2,201,604  2,327,049  2,456,639  2,590,655 
    Portion B distributed energy (MWh)    4,945  5,048  5,149  5,252  5,358  5,468 
    Portion B tariff (R$/MWh)    176  179  182  185  189  197 
    Portion B    871,948  903,866  936,127  969,728  1,014,953  1,075,663 
    Other revenues    26,366  27,544  28,775  30,062  31,405  32,809 
    Sale of excess contracted energy    -  -  -  -  -  - 
    Sectorial Charges    (407,340)  (424,536)  (442,444)  (461,157)  (480,661)  (500,991) 
    Total net operating revenues    2,460,824  2,590,133  2,724,061  2,865,682  3,022,336  3,198,136 
    Net Revenues (000 R$)    2035  2036  2037  2038  2039  2040 
    Portion A distributed energy (000 MWh)    4,780  4,881  4,986  5,095  5,209  5,327 
    Portion A tariff (R$/MWh)    573  594  616  637  658  682 
    Portion A    2,740,638  2,900,146  3,069,883  3,245,752  3,428,177  3,632,741 
    Portion B distributed energy (MWh)    5,582  5,699  5,821  5,947  6,077  6,213 
    Portion B tariff (R$/MWh)    202  207  212  206  189  195 
    Portion B    1,125,753  1,178,441  1,233,892  1,224,770  1,151,072  1,213,966 
    Other revenues    34,276  35,808  37,409  39,081  40,828  42,653 
    Sale of excess contracted energy    -  -  -  -  -  - 
    Sectorial Charges    (522,180)  (544,266)  (567,286)  (591,279)  (616,287)  (642,353) 
    Total net operating revenues    3,378,487  3,570,129  3,773,898  3,918,323  4,003,790  4,247,007 
    Net Revenues (000 R$)  2041  2042  2043  2044  2045  2046  2047 
    Portion A distributed energy (000 MWh)  5,449  5,577  5,710  5,849  5,995  6,147  6,307 
    Portion A tariff (R$/MWh)  707  732  758  783  811  840  871 
    Portion A  3,850,972  4,083,948  4,326,193  4,578,290  4,861,696  5,165,234  5,490,645 
    Portion B distributed energy (MWh)  6,354  6,500  6,653  6,812  6,978  7,152  7,334 
    Portion B tariff (R$/MWh)  202  208  216  226  234  242  250 
    Portion B  1,280,680  1,351,492  1,437,847  1,542,227  1,634,049  1,732,038  1,836,694 
    Other revenues  44,559  46,551  48,632  50,806  53,077  55,449  57,928 
    Sale of excess contracted energy  -  -  -  -  -  -  - 
    Sectorial Charges  (669,520)  (697,837)  (727,351)  (758,114)  (790,177)  (823,595)  (858,426) 
    Total net operating revenues  4,506,691  4,784,153  5,085,321  5,413,209  5,758,645  6,129,126  6,526,840 

     

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    Table 71 Operating costs projections

     
    Operating costs (000 R$)    2017  2018  2019  2020  2021  2022 
    Energy acquisiton (000 MWh)    5,202  4,894  4,819  5,152  5,008  5,090 
    Average cost (R$/MWh)    165  172  179  187  195  203 
    Energy cost    855,893  840,819  864,299  963,959  976,936  1,035,069 
    Transportation costs    42,162  45,258  48,804  51,944  55,164  58,447 
    % Energy cost    4.9%  5.4%  5.6%  5.4%  5.6%  5.6% 
    Total costs    898,056  886,077  913,103  1,015,903  1,032,100  1,093,516 
    % Net Operating revenues    70.0%  64.8%  63.0%  61.2%  59.8%  59.4% 
    Operating costs (000 R$)    2023  2024  2025  2026  2027  2028 
    Energy acquisiton (000 MWh)    5,158  5,210  5,271  5,325  5,373  5,404 
    Average cost (R$/MWh)    212  221  230  240  250  261 
    Energy cost    1,093,132  1,151,018  1,213,718  1,278,056  1,344,033  1,409,021 
    Transportation costs    61,725  64,994  68,535  72,168  75,893  79,563 
    % Energy cost    5.6%  5.6%  5.6%  5.6%  5.6%  5.6% 
    Total costs    1,154,858  1,216,012  1,282,252  1,350,224  1,419,926  1,488,583 
    % Net Operating revenues    59.6%  60.5%  60.7%  61.1%  61.8%  62.7% 
    Operating costs (000 R$)    2029  2030  2031  2032  2033  2034 
    Energy acquisiton (000 MWh)    5,444  5,546  5,644  5,744  5,837  5,922 
    Average cost (R$/MWh)    272  283  295  308  321  334 
    Energy cost    1,479,588  1,570,907  1,666,252  1,767,590  1,872,058  1,979,808 
    Transportation costs    83,547  88,704  94,088  99,810  105,709  111,793 
    % Energy cost    5.6%  5.6%  5.6%  5.6%  5.6%  5.6% 
    Total costs    1,563,135  1,659,611  1,760,340  1,867,399  1,977,767  2,091,601 
    % Net Operating revenues    63.5%  64.1%  64.6%  65.2%  65.4%  65.4% 
    Operating costs (000 R$)    2035  2036  2037  2038  2039  2040 
    Energy acquisiton (000 MWh)    6,032  6,146  6,264  6,374  6,478  6,609 
    Average cost (R$/MWh)    348  363  379  395  411  429 
    Energy cost    2,101,876  2,232,125  2,371,186  2,515,066  2,664,035  2,832,954 
    Transportation costs    118,686  126,041  133,893  142,017  150,429  159,967 
    % Energy cost    5.6%  5.6%  5.6%  5.6%  5.6%  5.6% 
    Total costs    2,220,561  2,358,165  2,505,079  2,657,083  2,814,464  2,992,922 
    % Net Operating revenues    65.7%  66.1%  66.4%  67.8%  70.3%  70.5% 
    Operating costs (000 R$)  2041  2042  2043  2044  2045  2046  2047 
    Energy acquisiton (000 MWh)  6,745  6,887  7,022  7,151  7,312  7,480  7,656 
    Average cost (R$/MWh)  447  466  485  506  527  550  573 
    Energy cost  3,013,752  3,207,402  3,408,673  3,618,070  3,855,857  4,111,390  4,386,259 
    Transportation costs  170,176  181,111  192,476  204,300  217,727  232,156  247,677 
    % Energy cost  5.6%  5.6%  5.6%  5.6%  5.6%  5.6%  5.6% 
    Total costs  3,183,929  3,388,513  3,601,149  3,822,370  4,073,584  4,343,546  4,633,936 
    % Net Operating revenues  70.6%  70.8%  70.8%  70.6%  70.7%  70.9%  71.0% 
     
     
    Table 72 Gross profit projections

     
    Gross profit (000 R$)    2017  2018  2019  2020  2021  2022 
    Net Revenues    1,283,163  1,366,518  1,450,344  1,661,028  1,726,870  1,840,234 
    Total costs    (898,056)  (886,077)  (913,103)  (1,015,903)  (1,032,100)  (1,093,516) 
    Gross profit    385,107  480,441  537,241  645,124  694,770  746,718 
    % Gross margin    30.0%  35.2%  37.0%  38.8%  40.2%  40.6% 

     

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    Gross profit (000 R$)    2023  2024  2025  2026  2027  2028 
    Net Revenues    1,938,557  2,008,891  2,112,249  2,210,394  2,297,364  2,375,399 
    Total costs    (1,154,858)  (1,216,012)  (1,282,252)  (1,350,224)  (1,419,926)  (1,488,583) 
    Gross profit    783,699  792,878  829,997  860,170  877,438  886,816 
    % Gross margin    40.4%  39.5%  39.3%  38.9%  38.2%  37.3% 
     
    Gross profit (000 R$)    2029  2030  2031  2032  2033  2034 
    Net Revenues    2,460,824  2,590,133  2,724,061  2,865,682  3,022,336  3,198,136 
    Total costs    (1,563,135)  (1,659,611)  (1,760,340)  (1,867,399)  (1,977,767)  (2,091,601) 
    Gross profit    897,689  930,522  963,722  998,283  1,044,569  1,106,535 
    % Gross margin    36.5%  35.9%  35.4%  34.8%  34.6%  34.6% 
     
    Gross profit (000 R$)    2035  2036  2037  2038  2039  2040 
    Net Revenues    3,378,487  3,570,129  3,773,898  3,918,323  4,003,790  4,247,007 
    Total costs    (2,220,561)  (2,358,165)  (2,505,079)  (2,657,083)  (2,814,464)  (2,992,922) 
    Gross profit    1,157,925  1,211,964  1,268,818  1,261,240  1,189,325  1,254,085 
    % Gross margin    34.3%  33.9%  33.6%  32.2%  29.7%  29.5% 
     
    Gross profit (000 R$)  2041  2042  2043  2044  2045  2046  2047 
    Net Revenues  4,506,691  4,784,153  5,085,321  5,413,209  5,758,645  6,129,126  6,526,840 
    Total costs  (3,183,929)  (3,388,513)  (3,601,149)  (3,822,370)  (4,073,584)  (4,343,546)  (4,633,936) 
    Gross profit  1,322,763  1,395,640  1,484,172  1,590,839  1,685,062  1,785,580  1,892,904 
    % Gross margin  29.4%  29.2%  29.2%  29.4%  29.3%  29.1%  29.0% 
     
     
    Table 73 Operating expenses projections

     
    Operating Expenses (000 R$)    2017  2018  2019  2020  2021  2022 
    Personal    165,486  175,076  176,079  176,060  176,773  177,902 
    Materials    1,899  2,009  2,021  2,020  2,029  2,042 
    Services    100,228  106,036  106,643  106,632  107,064  107,747 
    Others    29,074  30,759  30,936  30,932  31,058  31,256 
    Total PMSO    296,687  313,881  315,678  315,645  316,923  318,946 
    % Net Revenues    23.1%  23.0%  21.8%  19.0%  18.4%  17.3% 
    % Verified PMSO / Regulatory allowance for PMSO    112.5%  112.5%  111.4%  109.6%  108.1%  106.8% 
    Default*    34,393  31,530  27,895  24,624  20,773  17,218 
    % Net revenues    2.7%  2.3%  1.9%  1.5%  1.2%  0.9% 
    * Net of considered default in Portion A               
    Total Operating expenses    331,080  345,411  343,573  340,269  337,696  336,164 
    % Net revenues    25.8%  25.3%  23.7%  20.5%  19.6%  18.3% 
     
    Operating Expenses (000 R$)    2023  2024  2025  2026  2027  2028 
    Personal    179,351  180,886  182,641  184,592  186,718  188,845 
    Materials    2,058  2,076  2,096  2,118  2,143  2,167 
    Services    108,625  109,554  110,617  111,799  113,087  114,375 
    Others    31,510  31,780  32,088  32,431  32,805  33,178 
    Total PMSO    321,545  324,296  327,442  330,940  334,752  338,566 
    % Net Revenues    16.6%  16.1%  15.5%  15.0%  14.6%  14.3% 
    % Verified PMSO / Regulatory allowance for PMSO    105.8%  104.9%  104.1%  103.4%  102.9%  102.4% 
    Default*    13,690  9,438  5,790  2,287  0  - 
    % Net revenues    0.7%  0.5%  0.3%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0% 
    * Net of considered default in Portion A               
    Total Operating expenses    335,235  333,734  333,232  333,228  334,752  338,566 
    % Net revenues    17.3%  16.6%  15.8%  15.1%  14.6%  14.3% 

     

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    Operating Expenses (000 R$)    2029  2030  2031  2032  2033  2034 
    Personal    191,105  193,463  195,736  199,375  207,971  217,085 
    Materials    2,193  2,220  2,246  2,288  2,387  2,491 
    Services    115,744  117,172  118,549  120,753  125,959  131,479 
    Others    33,576  33,990  34,389  35,028  36,539  38,140 
    Total PMSO    342,618  346,845  350,920  357,444  372,856  389,195 
    % Net Revenues    13.9%  13.4%  12.9%  12.5%  12.3%  12.2% 
    % Verified PMSO / Regulatory allowance for PMSO    102.1%  101.7%  101.5%  101.3%  101.2%  101.1% 
    Default*    -  -  -  -  -  - 
    % Net revenues    0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0% 
    * Net of considered default in Portion A               
    Total Operating expenses    342,618  346,845  350,920  357,444  372,856  389,195 
    % Net revenues    13.9%  13.4%  12.9%  12.5%  12.3%  12.2% 
     
    Operating Expenses (000 R$)    2035  2036  2037  2038  2039  2040 
    Personal    226,608  236,560  246,962  257,930  269,404  281,407 
    Materials    2,600  2,715  2,834  2,960  3,092  3,229 
    Services    137,247  143,274  149,574  156,217  163,166  170,436 
    Others    39,813  41,562  43,389  45,316  47,332  49,441 
    Total PMSO    406,268  424,111  442,758  462,423  482,993  504,512 
    % Net Revenues    12.0%  11.9%  11.7%  11.8%  12.1%  11.9% 
    % Verified PMSO / Regulatory allowance for PMSO    101.1%  101.1%  101.1%  101.0%  101.0%  101.0% 
    Default*    -  -  -  -  -  - 
    % Net revenues    0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0% 
    * Net of considered default in Portion A               
    Total Operating expenses    406,268  424,111  442,758  462,423  482,993  504,512 
    % Net revenues    12.0%  11.9%  11.7%  11.8%  12.1%  11.9% 
     
    Operating Expenses (000 R$)  2041  2042  2043  2044  2045  2046  2047 
    Personal  293,966  307,108  320,859  335,253  350,324  366,105  382,634 
    Materials  3,373  3,524  3,682  3,847  4,020  4,201  4,391 
    Services  178,042  186,002  194,330  203,048  212,176  221,734  231,744 
    Others  51,647  53,956  56,372  58,901  61,549  64,321  67,225 
    Total PMSO  527,028  550,590  575,243  601,050  628,068  656,361  685,995 
    % Net Revenues  11.7%  11.5%  11.3%  11.1%  10.9%  10.7%  10.5% 
    % Verified PMSO / Regulatory allowance for PMSO  101.0%  100.9%  100.9%  100.9%  100.9%  100.8%  100.8% 
    Default*  -  -  -  -  -  -  - 
    % Net revenues  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0% 
    * Net of considered default in Portion A               
    Total Operating expenses  527,028  550,590  575,243  601,050  628,068  656,361  685,995 
    % Net revenues  11.7%  11.5%  11.3%  11.1%  10.9%  10.7%  10.5% 
     
     
    Table 74 EBITDA projections

     
    EBITDA (000 R$)    2017  2018  2019  2020  2021  2022 
    Gross profit    385,107  480,441  537,241  645,124  694,770  746,718 
    Total Operating expenses    (331,080)  (345,411)  (343,573)  (340,269)  (337,696)  (336,164) 
    EBITDA    54,027  135,030  193,668  304,855  357,074  410,554 
    % EBITDA margin    4.2%  9.9%  13.4%  18.4%  20.7%  22.3% 
     
    EBITDA (000 R$)    2023  2024  2025  2026  2027  2028 
    Gross profit    783,699  792,878  829,997  860,170  877,438  886,816 
    Total Operating expenses    (335,235)  (333,734)  (333,232)  (333,228)  (334,752)  (338,566) 
    EBITDA    448,464  459,145  496,765  526,942  542,686  548,250 
    % EBITDA margin    23.1%  22.9%  23.5%  23.8%  23.6%  23.1% 
     
    EBITDA (000 R$)    2029  2030  2031  2032  2033  2034 
    Gross profit    897,689  930,522  963,722  998,283  1,044,569  1,106,535 
    Total Operating expenses    (342,618)  (346,845)  (350,920)  (357,444)  (372,856)  (389,195) 
    EBITDA    555,071  583,677  612,802  640,839  671,714  717,340 
    % EBITDA margin    22.6%  22.5%  22.5%  22.4%  22.2%  22.4% 

     

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    EBITDA (000 R$)    2035  2036  2037  2038  2039  2040 
    Gross profit    1,157,925  1,211,964  1,268,818  1,261,240  1,189,325  1,254,085 
    Total Operating expenses    (406,268)  (424,111)  (442,758)  (462,423)  (482,993)  (504,512) 
    EBITDA    751,657  787,853  826,060  798,817  706,332  749,573 
    % EBITDA margin    22.2%  22.1%  21.9%  20.4%  17.6%  17.6% 
    EBITDA (000 R$)  2041  2042  2043  2044  2045  2046  2047 
    Gross profit  1,322,763  1,395,640  1,484,172  1,590,839  1,685,062  1,785,580  1,892,904 
    Total Operating expenses  (527,028)  (550,590)  (575,243)  (601,050)  (628,068)  (656,361)  (685,995) 
    EBITDA  795,735  845,050  908,929  989,790  1,056,993  1,129,219  1,206,909 
    % EBITDA margin  17.7%  17.7%  17.9%  18.3%  18.4%  18.4%  18.5% 
     
     
    Table 75 Net income projections

     
    Net income (000 R$)    2017  2018  2019  2020  2021  2022 
    EBITDA    54,027  135,030  193,668  304,855  357,074  410,554 
    Depreciation    (61,273)  (62,974)  (70,380)  (73,425)  (71,474)  (75,510) 
    Income tax    (8,771)  (17,125)  (29,318)  (55,056)  (67,949)  (79,716) 
    Net income    (16,018)  54,930  93,969  176,374  217,651  255,327 
    % Net margin    -1.2%  4.0%  6.5%  10.6%  12.6%  13.9% 
    Net income (000 R$)    2023  2024  2025  2026  2027  2028 
    EBITDA    448,464  459,145  496,765  526,942  542,686  548,250 
    Depreciation    (78,763)  (81,259)  (84,422)  (89,002)  (94,376)  (99,198) 
    Income tax    (87,965)  (89,377)  (97,671)  (103,733)  (125,349)  (151,887) 
    Net income    281,736  288,509  314,672  334,207  322,961  297,165 
    % Net margin    14.5%  14.4%  14.9%  15.1%  14.1%  12.5% 
    Net income (000 R$)    2029  2030  2031  2032  2033  2034 
    EBITDA    555,071  583,677  612,802  640,839  671,714  717,340 
    Depreciation    (103,390)  (109,095)  (90,135)  (80,081)  (87,061)  (90,838) 
    Income tax    (152,732)  (160,467)  (176,763)  (189,658)  (197,723)  (211,889) 
    Net income    298,950  314,115  345,903  371,100  386,930  414,614 
    % Net margin    12.1%  12.1%  12.7%  12.9%  12.8%  13.0% 
    Net income (000 R$)    2035  2036  2037  2038  2039  2040 
    EBITDA    751,657  787,853  826,060  798,817  706,332  749,573 
    Depreciation    (95,624)  (102,556)  (110,688)  (117,984)  (124,328)  (132,962) 
    Income tax    (221,861)  (231,739)  (241,887)  (230,061)  (196,371)  (208,043) 
    Net income    434,172  453,559  473,485  450,772  385,633  408,568 
    % Net margin    12.9%  12.7%  12.5%  11.5%  9.6%  9.6% 
    Net income (000 R$)  2041  2042  2043  2044  2045  2046  2047 
    EBITDA  795,735  845,050  908,929  989,790  1,056,993  1,129,219  1,206,909 
    Depreciation  (146,195)  (161,965)  (172,528)  (178,244)  (185,486)  (195,976)  (208,284) 
    Income tax  (219,138)  (230,435)  (248,446)  (273,871)  (294,124)  (314,970)  (337,045) 
    Net income  430,402  452,650  487,955  537,675  577,383  618,273  661,581 
    % Net margin  9.6%  9.5%  9.6%  9.9%  10.0%  10.1%  10.1% 
     
     
    Table 76 Cash flow projections

     
    Cash Flow (000 R$)    2017  2018  2019  2020  2021  2022 
    EBITDA    54,027  135,030  193,668  304,855  357,074  410,554 
    Income Tax    (8,771)  (17,125)  (29,318)  (55,056)  (67,949)  (79,716) 
    Working capital needs    25  29  (4,396)  (5,637)  (5,648)  (6,613) 
    Other adjustments    (23,800)  143,040  224,276  60,435  -  - 
    CAPEX    (45,113)  (354,079)  (134,946)  (137,083)  (127,704)  (128,753) 
    Free Cash Flow for the Firm    (23,633)  (93,106)  249,283  167,514  155,774  195,471 

     

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    Cash Flow (000 R$)    2023  2024  2025  2026  2027  2028 
    EBITDA    448,464  459,145  496,765  526,942  542,686  548,250 
    Income Tax    (87,965)  (89,377)  (97,671)  (103,733)  (125,349)  (151,887) 
    Working capital needs    (7,081)  (1,048)  (1,541)  (1,463)  (1,296)  (1,163) 
    Other adjustments    -  -  -  -  -  - 
    CAPEX    (81,924)  (77,138)  (120,303)  (166,982)  (174,045)  (135,630) 
    Free Cash Flow for the Firm    271,495  291,581  277,250  254,765  241,996  259,570 
    Cash Flow (000 R$)    2029  2030  2031  2032  2033  2034 
    EBITDA    555,071  583,677  612,802  640,839  671,714  717,340 
    Income Tax    (152,732)  (160,467)  (176,763)  (189,658)  (197,723)  (211,889) 
    Working capital needs    (1,273)  (1,928)  (1,996)  (2,111)  (2,335)  (2,621) 
    Other adjustments    -  -  -  -  -  - 
    CAPEX    (131,217)  (223,714)  (323,802)  (337,499)  (123,976)  (116,734) 
    Free Cash Flow for the Firm    269,849  197,568  110,240  111,571  347,679  386,097 
    Cash Flow (000 R$)    2035  2036  2037  2038  2039  2040 
    EBITDA    751,657  787,853  826,060  798,817  706,332  749,573 
    Income Tax    (221,861)  (231,739)  (241,887)  (230,061)  (196,371)  (208,043) 
    Working capital needs    (2,688)  (2,857)  (3,037)  (2,153)  (1,274)  (3,625) 
    Other adjustments    -  -  -  -  -  - 
    CAPEX    (182,056)  (252,695)  (263,384)  (205,250)  (198,572)  (338,549) 
    Free Cash Flow for the Firm    345,052  300,563  317,752  361,353  310,115  199,355 
    Cash Flow (000 R$)  2041  2042  2043  2044  2045  2046  2047 
    EBITDA  795,735  845,050  908,929  989,790  1,056,993  1,129,219  1,206,909 
    Income Tax  (219,138)  (230,435)  (248,446)  (273,871)  (294,124)  (314,970)  (337,045) 
    Working capital needs  (3,871)  (4,136)  (4,489)  (4,888)  (5,149)  (5,522)  (5,928) 
    Other adjustments  -  -  -  -  -  -  - 
    CAPEX  (490,012)  (510,740)  (187,614)  (176,655)  (275,507)  (382,405)  (398,581) 
    Free Cash Flow for the Firm  82,714  99,740  468,379  534,376  482,214  426,321  465,355 
     
    Table 77 Terminal Value
     
    Indemnity (000 R$)          Feb/48     
    Indemnity          5,243,243     
    Income tax          (402,435)     
    Net Compensation          4,840,808     
    Remaining Value - Portion B          41,457     
    Terminal Value          4,882,265     
     
    Table 78 Valuation Results
     
    Conclusion          Dec/16     
    NPV FCFF        2,153,270,399.68     
    NPV Terminal Value        293,291,900.79     
    Enterprise Value        2,446,562,300.47     
    (-) Net Debt        (1,695,548,352.59)     
    (-) Contingencies        (1,385,433,988.08)     
    (-) Environmental Adequacies        (29,581,979.15)     
    Equity Value        (664,002,019.35)     
     
     
     
    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul      Prepared for BNDES    189 

     


     

    Additionally, the projections meet the Efficiency Criteria in relation to Financial 
    Management considering the period of contractual obligations. In the following table, the 
    indication “No” indicates the noncompliance with the criteria established under the terms of the 
    new concession contract.                   
     
     
    Table 79 Financial Covenants

     
    Covenants            2017  2018  2019  2020  2021  2022 
    EBITDA >= 0            OK  OK  OK  OK  OK  OK 
    EBITDA - QRR >= 0          OK  OK  OK  OK  OK  OK 
    Net Debt / (EBITDA - QRR) <= 1 / (0,8 * SELIC)        NO  OK  OK  OK  OK  OK 
    Net Debt / (EBITDA - QRR) <= 1 / (1,1 * SELIC)        NO  OK  OK  OK  OK  OK 
     
    Covenants            2023  2024  2025  2026  2027  2028 
    EBITDA >= 0            OK  OK  OK  OK  OK  OK 
    EBITDA - QRR >= 0          OK  OK  OK  OK  OK  OK 
    Net Debt / (EBITDA - QRR) <= 1 / (0,8 * SELIC)        OK  OK  OK  OK  OK  OK 
    Net Debt / (EBITDA - QRR) <= 1 / (1,1 * SELIC)        OK  OK  OK  OK  OK  OK 
     
    Covenants            2029  2030  2031  2032  2033  2034 
    EBITDA >= 0            OK  OK  OK  OK  OK  OK 
    EBITDA - QRR >= 0          OK  OK  OK  OK  OK  OK 
    Net Debt / (EBITDA - QRR) <= 1 / (0,8 * SELIC)        OK  OK  OK  OK  OK  OK 
    Net Debt / (EBITDA - QRR) <= 1 / (1,1 * SELIC)        OK  OK  OK  OK  OK  OK 
     
    Covenants            2035  2036  2037  2038  2039  2040 
    EBITDA >= 0            OK  OK  OK  OK  OK  OK 
    EBITDA - QRR >= 0          OK  OK  OK  OK  OK  OK 
    Net Debt / (EBITDA - QRR) <= 1 / (0,8 * SELIC)        OK  OK  OK  OK  OK  OK 
    Net Debt / (EBITDA - QRR) <= 1 / (1,1 * SELIC)        OK  OK  OK  OK  OK  OK 
     
    Covenants          2041  2042  2043  2044  2045  2046  2047 
    EBITDA >= 0          OK  OK  OK  OK  OK  OK  OK 
    EBITDA - QRR >= 0        OK  OK  OK  OK  OK  OK  OK 
    Net Debt / (EBITDA - QRR) <= 1 / (0,8 * SELIC)      OK  OK  OK  OK  OK  OK  OK 
    Net Debt / (EBITDA - QRR) <= 1 / (1,1 * SELIC)      OK  OK  OK  OK  OK  OK  OK 
     
     
    6.6.  Sensitivity                   
     
     
    The table below presents the results of the sensitivity analysis for the main assumptions. 
     
     
    Table 80 Sensitivity Analysis

     
        Demand  PMSO  Losses  CAPEX  WACC  WACC  CAPEX  Losses  PMSO  Demand 
        +1 SD  - 5%  - 5%  + 5%  - 0,5%  + 0,5%  - 5%  + 5%  + 5%  - 1 SD 
    Demand  +1 SD  2.2%  18.2%  3.4%  2.7%  8.7%  -3.6%  1.8%  -7.3%  -35.7%  0.0% 
    PMSO  - 5%  18.2%  15.8%  16.9%  16.2%  22.8%  9.4%  15.3%  6.7%  0.0%  13.5% 
    Losses  - 5%  3.4%  16.9%  1.2%  1.6%  7.6%  -4.7%  0.7%  0.0%  -37.1%  -0.8% 
    CAPEX  + 5%  2.7%  16.2%  1.6%  0.4%  6.9%  -5.5%  0.0%  -8.7%  -37.7%  -1.7% 
    WACC  - 0,5%  8.7%  22.8%  7.6%  6.9%  6.4%  0.0%  5.8%  -3.2%  -34.1%  4.2% 
    WACC  + 0,5%  -3.6%  9.4%  -4.7%  -5.5%  0.0%  -5.8%  -6.1%  -14.6%  -41.9%  -7.8% 
    CAPEX  - 5%  1.8%  15.3%  0.7%  0.0%  5.8%  -6.1%  -0.4%  -9.6%  -38.8%  -2.5% 
    Losses  + 5%  -7.3%  6.7%  0.0%  -8.7%  -3.2%  -14.6%  -9.6%  -9.2%  -47.4%  -11.0% 
    PMSO  + 5%  -35.7%  0.0%  -37.1%  -37.7%  -34.1%  -41.9%  -38.8%  -47.4%  -38.2%  -40.7% 
    Demand  - 1 SD  0.0%  13.5%  -0.8%  -1.7%  4.2%  -7.8%  -2.5%  -11.0%  -40.7%  -2.1% 
     
    The table shows the variation of the Enterprise Value as follows: (i) when the projected 
     
    demand growth increases or decreases by one standard deviation; (ii) when the operational costs 
    increase or decrease by 5%; (iii) when the energy losses increase or decrease by 5%; (iv) when 
     
     
     
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    investment (CAPEX) increases or decreases by 5%; and (v) when the discount rate increases or decreases by 0.5%. Except for sensitivity (v), the other assumption changes were considered only in the 10 first years of the new contract. It is important to note that the effects presented above are individually observed and also combined two by two in the sensitivity matrix.

         As presented in the sensitivity matrix, the valuation is mainly impacted by the variation of operating costs (“PMSO”) reduction projected for the first concession years, especially in the worst-case scenario.

         Variations in the estimated energy losses reduction and in the discount rate also presented significant impact on the result, with quite symmetric effect for discount rate best-case and worst-case scenario, but not symmetric for energy losses reduction, with higher impact in the worst-case scenario.

         Market demand and investment (CAPEX) variations presented lower impact on the valuation.

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    7. References

    [1] “História de Alagoas,” 07 01 2016. [Online]. Available: http://www.historiadealagoas.com.br/historia-da- ceal.html. [Access on 04 05 2017].

    [2] Wikipédoa, “Wikipédia - Alagoas,” [Online]. Available: https://pt.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alagoas. [Access on 04 06 2017].

    [3] E. D. Alagoas, “Plano Decenal 2016-2025,” 2015.

    [4] E. D. Alagoas, “Desestatização das Distribuidoras,” 2016.

    [5] K. F. O. &. R. G. Israel, “Why Does Everyone Use the .05 Level of Significance?, Research Quarterly for Exercise and Sport,” 1987.

    [6] J. M. WOOLDRIDGE, “Econometric analysis of cross section and panel data. MIT Press.,” 2010.

    [7] B. Mundial, “The Regulatory Challange of Asset VAluation: A Case Study from the Brazilian Electricity Distribution Sector. Energy Working Notes. Energy and Mining Sector Board.,” 2004.

    [8] PricewaterhouseCoopers, “Electricity Lines Business – ODV Valuation. Study for Unison Networks Limited,” New Zealand, 2005.

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    ANNEX I Extent of Responsibility

         This report (the “Report”) was jointly prepared by PricewaterhouseCoopers Corporate Finane & Recovery Ltda. ("PwC CFR") and Siglasul Consultoria Ltda. (“SSU”) for the use of the Brazilian

    Development Bank ("BNDES") with the purpose of supporting the privatization process of the Distributors of Eletrobras System (the “Privatization”), in accordance with contract OCS 028/2017 of February 14, 2017 (the “Contract”).

         The Report was prepared based on the information and documents provided by the administration of Companhia de Eletricidade de Alagoas (the “Administration”). The works carried out do not constitute an exam performed according to the audit standards for financial statements; the works of financial valuation are not regulated and do not have specific determined standards and, for this reason, the procedures applied by us were determined in the Official Notice or aligned with BNDES where indicated in this Report.

         This analysis considers only one of several methods that may be used to calculate the valuation of a company, with nothing preventing the potential stakeholders from using their own valuation of the projects. Our analysis did not consider eventual synergies, strategic reasons, scale economies, or other benefits or drawbacks that eventual investors could experience in the event of a change of shareholding interests of the Company.

         Upon preparing the analysis, we used information and historical and projected data, not audited by the Consortium and provided in writing or orally by the Administration or obtained from the mentioned sources. Additionally, as every prediction is subjective and depends on individual judgment, being subject to uncertainties, we did not present predictions as specific results to be achieved.

    Our work considered the contingencies considered in the other reports of diligences prepared by

    Consórcio Mais Energia B (the “Consortium”) under the terms of the Contract, that contain more detailed information.

         Our work was developed with the purposes described above, therefore, it should not be used for other purposes.

         In the event we become aware, at any time, of facts or information that had not been provided to us, we reserve the right to revise the calculations and the numerical results.

         We do not take responsibility for the update of our reports outside the terms provided in the Contract with BNDES.

         We do not take any responsibility, outside the legal hypotheses or hypotheses provided in the Contract executed with BNDES, for losses caused to BNDES, to Companhia de Eletricidade de Alagoas, companies connected thereto, their shareholders, officers, or other parties, as a consequence of use of the data and information provided by Companhia de Eletricidade de Alagoas, or obtained from other sources, or for the improper use of our reports that does not observe the disclaimers of the previous paragraphs.

         Finally, the provisions of Contract OCS no. 28/2017 (and its annexes) and the effective legislation were followed in the preparation of this Report, whose copyrights are granted to BNDES under the terms of art. 8 of Law no. 13.303/2016. All information transmitted in this document may be used and disclosed by BNDES, without any restriction.

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    APPENDIX A Socioeconomic Characterization of the Ceal Concession Area

         In order to better characterize the area of activity of Ceal, socioeconomic information was collected and grouped into four data sets: (a) Demographic, Education and Employment; (b) Access to Services; (c) Income and (d) Violence. In the items that follow, we perform comparative analyses for each information collected from the company in relation to data observed in the North, Northeast regions and the Brazilian average. This comparison allows to evaluate the degree of similarity/divergence of the socioeconomic indicators of the company in relation to the regions where the companies of the Eletrobras group operate, as well as to compare with the national average.

    a) Demographic Information, Education Level and Unemployment Rates

         Table 81 shows, the number of municipalities, area, population, number of households, percentage of population living in rural areas, percentage of illiterate population and unemployment rate in the concession area of the distribution company as well as average data for Brazil and the North and Northeast Regions.

      Table 81 Demographic Information, Education Level and Unemployment Rates 
      # of  Area  Population  Density    %  % Popul. Unemployment 
    Region  Municipalities        Households Popul. Illiterate  Rate 
        (km2)  (Thousand) (Inhab/km2)  (thou)  Rural     
    ALAGOAS  102  27,882  3,345  120.12  1,051  26%  20%  13% 
    BRAZIL  5,567  8,497,584  204,860  24.11  68,037  15%  9%  8% 
    NORTH  449  3,848,855  17,525  4.55  5,093  25%  11%  9% 
    NORTHEAST  1,794  1,554,291  56,639  36.44  17,836  27%  17%  9% 
     
    Sources: Data on the population was taken from the PNAD 2015. Number of municipalities and areas were obtained from INPE. 
    The unemployment rate was obtained in the IPEA / PNAD for the year 2014.         

     

         Alagoas is the state with highest population density of the Northeast Region (120.12 inhabitants per km2), with the capital Maceió being the most populous of the state. Its population is mainly concentrated in urban centers (74% of the population), but the state has a considerable percentage of inhabitants in rural areas (26%). Its population suffers from illiteracy, wherein 20% of the total population lacks basic knowledge of reading and writing. In addition, the state of Alagoas leads the ranking of Brazilian states with the highest unemployment rate (13%).

    b) Access to Services

         Table 82 presents for Ceal, as well as average data for Brazil and the North and Northeast Regions, the percentages of households (i) without garbage collection; (ii) same for point "i" for urban areas; (iii) without water supply through networks; (iv) same for point "iii” for urban areas;

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    (v)      without sanitary sewage by networks or septic tank; (vi) same to point "v" for urban areas; and
    (vii)      without electricity located in rural areas.
        Table 82 Information about Access to Services   
     
            % Urb.  %     
      %    %  Housesh    % Urban  % Rur. 
        % Urb.      Households     
    Region  Househo  Households  Household  olds    Households   
      lds    s Without  without  without  without  Households 
      without  without  Supply  Supply  Sewage  Sewage  without 
      Col.  Gar. Col.  Water Grids  Water  Networks/Se Networks/Septic  Electricity 
      Junk      Networks  ptic Tanks  Tanks   
    ALAGOAS  16%  1%  25%  18%  45%  36%  0% 
    BRAZIL  10%  1%  15%  6%  19%  12%  2% 
    NORTH  21%  3%  40%  28%  38%  29%  7% 
    NORTHEAST  21%  3%  20%  7%  35%  23%  1% 
     
    Source: PNAD 2015.             

     

         In Alagoas 16% of the households do not have garbage collection, 25% do not have water supply through networks and 45% do not have access to the sewage network/septic tanks. The percentages of urban households without access to the sewage/septic tanks and without water supply through network are relatively high and higher than the regional and national averages (36% and 18%, respectively for the state). c) Income

         Table 83 presents the (i) percentage of households with incomes of up to 2 Minimum Wages (M.W.); (ii) percentage of people living in households with a per capita income below the poverty line43; (iii) average household income per capita and (iv) GDP (Gross Domestic Product) per capita.

        Table 83 Information about Income   
          Average Households   
        % Pop. Below     
    Região  % Households w/ Income  Income per capita  GDP per 
        Poverty Line     
      Up to 2 MW    (R$)  capita (R$) 
    ALAGOAS  64%  31%  592.98  11,277 
    BRASIL  39%  13%  1,152.24  26,446 
    NORTH  51%  22%  782.76  17,213 
    NORTHEAST  58%  20%  730.24  12,955 
    Sources: Domiciles with income up to 2 M.W. . à PNAD 2015. % Pop. Below Poverty Line and   
    Average Household Income per capitaàIPEA / PNAD 2014; GDP per capitaàDatasus / IBGE 2013.   

     

         Notice that the state presents the highest percentage of population with income below the poverty line in Brazil; as well as the lowest level of income and GDP; below the regional and national averages.

    43 Equivalent to two times the line of extreme poverty. The Line of Poverty is based on an estimate of the value of a food basket with the minimum calories needed to adequately supply a person based on World Health Organization (WHO) recommendations.

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    d) Violence

         Table 84 shows the number of deaths per aggression per 100 thousand inhabitants registered in the year 2014. Note that the indicator for state of Alagoas is well above national and regional averages, showing evidence safety risk for the workforce and overall population.

    Table 84 Information about Violence 
    Region  Deaths due to 
      Aggression 
    ALAGOAS  63.0 
    BRAZIL  29.4 
    NORTH  34.3 
    NORHTEAST  41.6 
     
    Source: Datasus/IBGE 2014. 

     

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    Table 85 Family of Exponential Models   
        Seasonal Component 
    Trend Component    A  M 
      N (none)  (additive)  (multiplicative) 
    N (none)  N,N  N,A  N,M 
    A (additive)  A,N  A,A  A,M 
    Ad (smoothed additive)  Ad,N  Ad,A  Ad,M 
    M (multiplicative)  M,N  M,A  M,M 
    Md (smoothed multiplicative)  Md,N  Md,A  Md,M 
     
    Source: Adapted from http://robjhyndman.com/talks/RevolutionR/6-ETS.pdf. 

     

    Such models present some specific names, namely: N,N: Simple exponential smoothing

    A,N: Holt’s linear method

    Ad,N: Additive damped trend method M,N: Exponential trend method Md,N: Multiplicative damped trend method

    A,A: Additive Holt-Winters’ method

    A,M: Multiplicative Holt-Winters’ method

         The State Space Models also enable the differentiated treatment of the error component, which may be additive or multiplicative, and which increases the variability of options for the projection of time series. The following are some models: A,N,N: Simple exponential smoothing with additive errors

    A,A,N: Holt’s linear method with additive erros

    A,A,A: Additive Holt-Winters’ method with additive erros

    A,Ad,N: Damped trend method with additive errors

    M,A,N: Holt’s linear method with multiplicative errors

    M,A,M: Multiplicative Holt-Winters’ method with multiplicative errors

    c) Dynamic Models

         The Dynamic Models of Linear Regression applied in time series, enable combining the use of auxiliary variables, components of trend, seasonality, and self-regressive parameters, to make predictions using Ordinary Least Squares (OLS). The time series yt may be expressed by a constant Ã0 plus a self-regressive part that depends on the outdated value of the series plus a coefficient multiplied by the auxiliary variable and added to the error term.

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    APPENDIX C - Selection of Models for Market Projections

         The selection of models to perform market projections was made from the selection of models that would present greater strength among the set of models estimated in each distributor and market. It should be noted that the historical series of consumption per class (MWh) presented very strange characteristics, especially due to the economic crisis experienced by Brazil, resulting in greater variability of the sets of data, structural and momentary breaks, modifying the standard and level of the series, diverging from historical standards previously experienced, and increasing the difficult of finding an ideal regression model to perform forecasts.

         The models were selected within the set of adjusted models considering: the most adequate methodology to be deployed; the use of transformations in the historical series; the need of use of auxiliary variables; the analysis of the information criteria; the analysis of the residuals; and the value of the need of change in the period of the observed historical series, in order to obtain more robust models.

         Statistical tests were used in the analysis of the residuals to check assumptions of non-correlation of errors, heteroskedasticity, and normality, namely: Ljung-Box, Durbin-Watson, Arch, and Jarque Bera tests. Additionally, the residuals of the models were analyzed, through serial autocorrelation graphs and histograms. In the cases of the statistical tests, the greater the p-value, the greater the evidence of non-violated assumptions. To fix a base value, the significance level of 1% was used (0.01).

         Considering all aspects presented, the purpose was to find the most robust forecast models within each market and class. Below are the p-value of the statistical tests carried out in each distributor and class of the final models used in the projections, which were elected as most adequate among the possibilities and specificities of each historical series.

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      Table 86 Statistical Indicators   
     
    Distributor  Class  Autocorrelation  Heteroscedasticity  Normality 
    AmE  Residential  0.676  0.669  0.946 
      Industrial  0.058  0.735  0.064 
      Commercial  0.957  0.986  0.136 
      Rural  0.418  0.46  0.001 
      Public Entities  0.852  0.086  0.001 
      Public Lighting  0.140  0.245  0.001 
      Public Service  0.007  0.03  0.000001 
      Proper  0.34  0.514  0.557 
    ELETROACRE  Residential  0.748  0.178  0.54 
      Industrial  0.929  0.0084  0.6287 
      Commercial  0.629  0.268  0.369 
      Rural  0.070  0.702  0.314 
      Public Entities  0.121  0.911  0.224 
      Public Lighting  0.999  0.960  0.0000001 
      Public Service  0.921  0.345  0.0001 
      Proper  0.847  0.978  0.234 
    CEPISA  Residential  0.050  0.285  0.519 
      Industrial  0.386  0.53  0.788 
      Commercial  0.908  0.617  0.797 
      Rural  0.503  0.667  0.06 
      Public Entities  0.109  0.344  0.255 
      Public Lighting  0.104  0.144  0.3 
      Public Service  0.134  0.577  0.007 
      Proper  0.268  0.779  0.108 
    Ceal  Residential  0.307  0.661  0.739 
      Industrial  0.002  0.141  0.019 
      Commercial  0.977  0.623  0.3388 
      Rural  0.735  0.983  0.0032 
      Public Entities  0.503  0.548  0.003 
      Public Lighting  0.603  0.997  0.0001 
      Public Service  0.467  0.686  0.328 
      Proper  0.547  0.958  0.22 
    Ceron  Residential  0.987  0.399  0.688 
      Industrial  0.815  0.8343  0.010 
      Commercial  0.081  0.701  0.646 
      Rural  0.278  0.452  0.428 
      Public Entities  0.007  0.361  0.386 
      Public Lighting  0.607  0.992  0.00003 
      Public Service  0.137  0.850  0.803 
      Proper  0.002  0.407  0.053 
    BOA VISTA  Residential  0.813  0.634  0.88 
      Industrial  0.757  0.856  0.001 
      Commercial  0.007  0.814  0.2329 
      Rural  0.123  0.732  0.325 
      Public Entities  0.289  0.942  0.00001 
      Public Lighting  0.819  0.809  0.152 
      Public Service  0.289  0.942  0.00002 
      Proper  0.953  0.998  0.000005 
     
        Source: Self prepared.     

     

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    Table 91 Public Entities Class: Ceal

     
    Public Entities    Box & Jenkins      Box & Jenkins   
      A R1  0 . 0 6 0 8  0 . 6 2 7  MA 1  -0 . 8 9 0 7  0 . 0 0 0 0 
      MA 1  -1  <0 . 0 0 1  SA R1  0 . 5 3 1 2  0 . 0 0 0 0 
      SA R1  0 . 9 9 8 8  <0 . 0 0 1  Ju l/1 4  -5 3 9 6 . 0 9 6 3  0 . 0 0 0 0 
      SMA 1  -0 . 9 4 9 6  <0 . 0 0 1  ln (GDP)  4 8 5 3 . 9 2 1 7  0 . 2 9 6 4 
      Ju l/1 4  -5 3 4 2 . 6 2  <0 . 0 0 1       
      ln (Population)  0 . 0 2 7 5  <0 . 0 0 1       
      MA PE  4 . 1 6 %    MA PE  -  - 
      A u t ocor  Het er oc  Norm  A u t ocor  Het er oc  Norm 
      0 . 5 0 3  0 . 5 4 8  0 . 0 0 3  -  -  - 
     
    Source: Self Prepared.

     

    Table 92 Utility Class: Ceal

     
    Public Service    Box & Jenkins   
      Constant  -7 6 7 . 6 2 1  <0 . 0 0 1 
      A R1  0 . 9 2 0 1  <0 . 0 0 1 
      MA 1  -0 . 7 9 0 4  <0 . 0 0 1 
      SMA 1  0 . 2 1 7  0 . 0 2 3 
      Feb /1 2  2 . 9 6 8 7  <0 . 0 0 1 
      Dec/1 3  0 . 1 1 9 8  0 . 7 0 0 
      ln (Population)  5 4 . 2 8 0 3  <0 . 0 0 1 
      MA PE  3 . 1 0 %   
      A u t oc or  H et er oc  Norm 
      0 . 4 6 7  0 . 6 8 6  0 . 3 2 8 
     
    Source: Self Prepared.

     

         It should be noted that the markets for Public Lighting and Own Consumption classes were projected by univariate models. Therefore, there was no use of auxiliary variables.

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    APÊNDICE F Concepts and Methods of BRR Valuation

         In relation to the methods of BRR valuation, there are four main approaches used by the regulators in Brazil and in other countries: (i) the economic or market value; (ii) the replacement cost; (iii) the combination between the economic and replacement methods, resulting in a hybrid approach; and (iv) valuation based on comparison of BRR with similar companies.

    Methods Based on the Economic or Market Value

         The methods based on the economic value, also called market value, aim at determining the price the investors would be willing to pay for the company or, in other words, the capacity of the company’s assets to generate wealth.

    The economic value of the assets may be estimated from three methodologies:

    i. Auction Bid: corresponds to the minimum bid value of the sale auction or to the winning bid. Only applicable in the cases where there is a bidding process of sale of the assets, as in the case of privatizations. Its value shall coincide with the net present value of the expected cash flow from the point of view of the winner of the auction or the minimum bidder. This method was used by ARSESP (Regulatory Agency of Sanitation and Energy of the State of São Paulo) in the definition of the value of BRR of COMGÁS (Companhia de Gás de São Paulo) [7]. ii. Net Present Value (VPL): defined as the sum of the present values of the estimated flows of expenses, taxes, investments, and revenues of the company, calculated with a discount rate (Weighted Average Cost of Capital - WACC). Its preparation requires several assumptions to the projections of the different components of costs and expenses of the regulated company. iii. Share Value: it consists of the value estimated by the quotation of the company’s shares negotiated on a stock exchange. Although it is a simple parameter, it only represents part of the company’s value: the business value under the point of view of the shareholder. Therefore, it excludes the debt value, which is added in separately. This method was used by the electric power and channeled gas and sanitation Regulators of the United Kingdom, OFGEM (Office of Gas and Electricity Markets) and OFWAT (Water Services Regulation Authority), respectively.

    Methods Based on the Replacement Cost

         The replacement cost method is focused on the physical, taking into account the valuation of existing assets or the design of the optimum configuration of the infrastructure. Therefore, these methods are different from the economic value, which focuses on the value itself.

    There are four main methodologies to estimate the replacement cost:

    i. Historical Corrected Costs (Current Cost Valuation - CCV): it involves the adoption of the original acquisition price (from the accounting records), depreciated based on the service life and updated by monetary indicator (sector or general). The

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         updating of the book value is required when, as occurs in Brazil, the accounting standards do not allow the indexation of the acquisition value of fixed assets. This method is adopted in the regulation of sanitation in Colombia and of Melbourne Water in Australia. It is also used in the regulation of the services of electric power distribution and transmission in Norway and The Netherlands. In the Netherlands, this method is also applied to the regulation of natural gas. ii. Depreciated Replacement Cost (DRC): consists of the cost of replacing each asset with a new one that performs the same services and that has the same capacity as the existing asset, replacing it in identical conditionsthat is, without considering technological innovations. Additionally, the depreciation is discounted, representing a deduction for the physical deterioration of the asset and its obsolescence. This method is used in the regulation of some sanitation companies of Australia such as the South East Queensland Water and Hobart Water. iii. Depreciated Optimized Replacement Cost (DORC): this measures the current cost of replacing each asset, taking into account the remaining service life and the best technological and economical options existing. It involves the adaptation of the assets to the demand (such as, for example, using use indexes), the revaluation of the assets to the price of new and the consideration of their accumulated depreciation according to the service life elapsed. Such method is used by ARSESP in the regulation of sanitation to SABESP (Companhia de Saneamento Básico do Estado de São Paulo) and by ANEEL in the electric power distribution [7]. iv. New Replacement Cost - VNR (Gross Optimized Replacement Cost -GORC): this is the result of an optimization process of bottom-up engineering and economic parameters. It does not take into consideration the age of the assets, but simulates the assets that would be operated by a new hypothetical and efficient provider, with current costs and technologies. This method, also called Reference Company, is applied in Chile, either in the regulation of electric power distribution or sanitation. It was also applied by ADASA (Agência Reguladora de Águas, Energia e Saneamento do Distrito Federal - Regulatory Agency of Water, Energy, and Sanitation of Distrito Federal) in the regulation of the sanitation services provided by CAESB (Companhia de Saneamento Ambiental do Distrito Federal). In the case of CAESB, the Regulator aimed at respecting the technological history of the investments made [7].

    Hybrid Methods

         The hybrid methods correspond to combinations between the methods of economic value and replacement cost. Their use has combined pros and cons of both methods. There are two main approaches: i. Optimized Deprival Value (ODV): this consists of the lowest value between the economic value and the replacement cost. Such method is used by the Commerce Commission in regulation of the services of electric power distribution and transmission in New Zealand [8].

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    ii. Rolling Forward: this represents the shielding of the initial base, defined from any of the methods previously detailed, and subsequent update of the shielded values until the date of each tariff revision, taking into consideration the monetary indexing, the deduction of the write-offs, the depreciation, and the additions (whose methods may be different from those used for the initial base). This method converts the initial asset into a kind of financial asset. Once incorporated to the BRR, the price of the asset is not reassessed again nor is technological change incorporated.

    This method is used by ANEEL in the valuation of the BRR of the electric power distributors in Brazil.

    Comparison Value Method

         This method is determined from the values associated to the BRR of similar companies with a sample of comparable assets. To its calculation, it is required the establishment of a benchmarking and the gathering of the values defined to the BRR of other companies.

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    To

    National Bank for Economic and Social Development ("BNDES") Av. República do Chile, 100 Rio de Janeiro - RJ

    C/O: Ms. Lidiane Delesderrier Gonçalves - OCS 028/2017 Agreement Manager June 2017 Dear Sirs,

    According to our service agreement OCS 028/2017 ("Agreement") executed between BNDES and the Mais Energia B Consortium ("Consortium") on 2/14/2017, we present the result of our work carried out in the context of Privatization of Eletrobrás System Distributors.

    The result of our work is detailed in this document "Product 07: CEAL Technical-Operational Evaluation Report ("Report"), dated June 2017.

    Our work was developed solely for the purpose of advising the BNDES, as those responsible for executing and monitoring the process of privatization of utility companies by Decree 8,893, in CEAL's evaluation, in accordance with the Agreement, and was based on information provided by CEAL's management and on the premise that this information is true and complete. This information was not subject to testing or verification, except where expressly stated within the scope of our work.

    In case the Report is to be accessed by third parties, it must be made available in full, so that the applicable safeguards and limitations are known.

    Regards,

    Siglasul Consultoria Ltda., as member of the Consortium

    Luis Fernando Alvarez  Leonardo Campos Filho 

     

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul  Prepared for BNDES  1 
    This document is a true copy of the original signed version delivered to BNDES and in the possession of Eletrobras.   

     


     

    Summary     
    1. Executive summary    5 
    2. Company operational characterization and diagnosis    7 
    2.1.  Characterization of the company's area of activity    8 
    2.2.  Geoelectric Characterization of the Concession    16 
    2.3.  Utility's Consumer Market Analysis    19 
    2.4.  Operating Indicators    25 
    2.5.  Energy Purchase and Sale Indicators    34 
    2.6.  Asset Conditions    38 
    2.7.  Critical points observed during the field visit and challenges for new utilities  38 
    2.7.1.  High-voltage distribution system and substations    38 
    2.7.2.  Medium and low voltage distribution system    39 
    3. Five-Year Investment Plan ("PIQ")    39 
    4. References    43 
    APPENDIX A - Socioeconomic Characterization of the Concession Area    44 
    APPENDIX B - Consumer Market    48 
    APPENDIX C - Response to Emergencies    49 
     
     
     
    Figures     
    Figure 1 - State of Alagoas (capital highlighted)    9 
    Figure 2 - Federal and State Highways of Alagoas    12 
    Figure 3 - Cumulative total precipitation for the Brazilian states.    15 
    Figure 4 - Average temperatures observed for the Brazilian states    15 
    Figure 5 - National Interconnected System    17 
    Figure 6 - Basic Grid of the state of Alagoas    17 
    Figure 7 - Electrical regions of the state of Alagoas    18 
    Figure 8 - Map of Alagoas' Transmission and Distribution system.    19 
    Figure 9 - Rate Groups and Categories    48 
     
    Graphs     
    Graph 1 - Total Road Density (km/km²)    11 
    Graph 2 - Percentage of Existing and Planned Roads in 2015    12 
    Graph 3 - DEC Determined Indicator and Limits    27 
    Graph 4 - FEC Determined Indicator and Limits    27 
    Graph 5 - Number of Sets that violated their 2016 limits and UC Representation  28 
    Graph 6 - Histogram of Ceal's sets: 2016 DEC    28 
     
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    Graph 7 - Histogram of Ceal's NUC: 2016 DEC    29 
    Graph 8 - Histogram of Ceal's sets: 2016 FEC    29 
    Graph 9 - Histogram of Ceal's NUC: 2016 FEC    29 
    Graph 10 - Evolution of the product quality indicator (DRCE)    30 
    Graph 11 - Evolution of the product quality indicator (DRPE)    31 
    Graph 12 - Regulatory Technical Losses for Injected Energy    33 
    Graph 13 - Comparison between Non-Technical Real and Regulatory Losses for the BT Market  34 
    Graph 14 - Evolution of Base Energy, Bilateral and CCEAR and the percentage of Required Energy recognized by the Energy 
    Rate    37 
    Graph 15 - Mean Times of Response to Emergencies    49 
    Graph 16 - Evolution of the Number of Emergency Events with Electric Power Outage Versus the Total  50 
     
     
     
    Tables     
    Table 1 - Five-year Investment Plan - Base Scenario    7 
    Table 2 - Five-year Investment Plan - Alternative Scenario    7 
    Table 3 - Alagoas Road Indicators    13 
    Table 4 - Climatic Characteristics of Ceal's Concession Area    14 
    Table 5 - Evolution of the Number of Consumers by Voltage Level    20 
    Table 6 - Market Evolution by Voltage Level    21 
    Table 7 - Evolution of Revenue by Voltage Level    21 
    Table 8 - Evolution of NUC by Rate Class    22 
    Table 9 - Market Evolution by Rate Class    22 
    Table 10 - Evolution of the Average Market by Rate Class    23 
    Table 11 - Revenue Evolution by Rate Class    23 
    Table 12 - Number of Consumers, Market and Revenue by Voltage Level  24 
    Table 13 - Number of Consumers and Revenue by Rate Class    24 
    Table 14 - Compensations for Breach of Quality of Service Indicators    26 
    Table 15 - Compensations for Breach of Product Quality Indicators    31 
    Table 16 - Results of Regulated Required Energy (MWh) from 2012 to 2016.  36 
    Table 17 - Results of Contracted Energy (MWh) from 2012 to 2016    36 
    Table 18 - Investments in progress in the year 2017 by Type of Project    40 
    Table 19 - Base Scenario: PIQ (Detailed Resources by Type of Project)    41 
    Table 20 - List of SEs and LDs with investments anticipated from 2025/2024/2023 to 2022 for the Five-Year Plan  42 
    Table 21 - Alternative Scenario: PIQ (Detailed Resources by Type of Project)  42 
    Table 22 - Demographic Information, Level of Education and Unemployment Rates  44 
    Table 23 - Service Access Information    45 
    Table 24 - Income Information    45 
     
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    Table 25 - Information on Violence  47 
     
     
    Charts   
    Chart 1 - Socioeconomic characterization of the state of Alagoas  10 
    Chart 2 - Overview of the Brazilian Rate Structure  48 

     

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    1. Executive summary

         This report aims to fulfill item "4.2.5 - Technical-Operational Evaluation of Eletrobras Group Companies", of the "Invitation to Bid" regarding the "AARH Electronic Bidding #51/2016 - of the National Bank for Economic and Social Development (BNDES) for Companhia de Eletricidade do Alagoas" (hereinafter referred to as Ceal for the purposes of this report).

         In this document - and in its Appendices - all aspects related to the Invitation to Bid are presented, as described below: (i) operational characterization and diagnosis of the company, identifying the operational challenges in the distributor's concession area, including the current operational indicators; (ii) conditions of assets, services and investments in progress, based on field visits, assessing the most critical points in the concession; and (iii) investment plan for the next 5 years, with scenarios that envisage the proper operation of the distributor.

         Ceal's concession area, located in the state of Alagoas, in the northeastern region of Brazil, has 27,848 km², making it the second smallest federal unit in Brazil. It borders three federative units, namely: Pernambuco to the north, Sergipe to the south, and Bahia to the southwest. The state has about 3.3 million inhabitants, with a third of the population in the capital Maceió. Alagoas is the state with the lowest human development index in the country, and the highest illiteracy rate. 36% of its urban households have no access to the sewage network and 18% have no access to water by networks. It also features the highest number of deaths due to aggression for every 100 thousand inhabitants of Brazil.

         The dominant climates of the region are the semi-arid and tropical humid, due to its position between the tropics and proximity to the sea. While at the Alagoas's East rains are more regular, in the backlands the rainfall index is low, making the region very dry. The average temperature range of Alagoas is around 6 ºC with temperatures between 21 ºC and 27 ºC.

         The total of paved roads represents only 18% of the state's highways roads, although Alagoas shows the second largest density of roads in the Northeast of Brazil, with 540 meters of road per square kilometer. About 99% of municipal roads are unpaved, making it difficult to commute within municipal boundaries and between cities.

         Regarding the consumer market, Ceal has its market represented by consumers allocated at the High, Medium and Low Voltage levels, the latter being more expressive with respect to the number of consumers (99.8%), market (57.3%) and revenue (65.4%), according to 2016 data. The MT market represents about ¾ of the distributor's consumption and revenue. AT's share is around 10% of the Company's market and revenue. The other types of users are not very representative, both in terms of market and revenue.

         By evaluating operational indicators of service delivery, we identified that the company presented a violation of the regulatory limits for the collective indicators of continuity ("DEC" and "FEC") in the period between 2012 and 2016, despite the fact that DEC showed an improvement trend. The indicators assessed in 2016 surpassed the year target by a little less than 50%. We consider the average total time of fulfillment of emergencies to be reasonably high, at around 3.8 hours.

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         Regarding losses, the level observed at Ceal is considered high, especially with respect to the commercial aspect of losses. The level of real Non-Technical Losses ("PNT") is well above the regulatory target, higher than 41% of what is billed from the Company's entire low voltage grid.

         Regarding the distributor's electrical system, we observed 69 kV lines and towers in good condition, but located on sugarcane fields and susceptible to fires. The situation of substations, in spite of being automated, is critical regarding the state of preservation and maintenance of the assets, requiring investments in circuit breakers and SE retrofitting. In general, medium and low voltage grids have good structural and preservation conditions.

         For correcting Ceal's operating conditions, while observing both commercial and technical aspects, a Five-Year Investment Plan ("PIQ") is an integral part of this report, which prioritizes, for the first five years, investments related to the expansion and strengthening of the company's distribution system, as well as resources needed to complete the Programa Luz Para Todos ("PLPT") program.

         The main sources of information for the PIQ are the "Electricity System Expansion Plan (2016-2025 horizon)", the "Distribution Development Plan ("PDD") for the year 2017" (although provisional1), the "2015 Results Plan for Improvement of the Distribution Services" and the "2017 Plan for Temporary Rendering of the Electricity Distribution Service", all of which were prepared by Ceal, among other bibliographic references listed in Chapter 3 - Five-Year Investment Plan ("PIQ").

         The PIQ has two investment scenarios (called the "Base Scenario" and the "Alternative Scenario") that differ in the time allocation of certain investments, where the Alternative Scenario occurs in the most opportune time for rate recognition when carrying out the rate revision in 20232, and also foresees investments that are not included in the Base Scenario.

         The investments were, in their total amounts, defined as shown in Table 1 (Base Scenario) and Table 2 (Alternative Scenario) 3. BRL 796.96 million in investments are needed in the next five (5) years (according to the Base Scenario) or BRL 825.92 million (according to the Alternative Scenario), and the need for the year 2018 is significant, which concentrates BRL 343.67 million.

    1 At the time of drafting this report, the 2017 PDD had not yet been delivered to ANEEL.

    2 In this case, it was assumed that the company will have its privatization process finalized in 2018, having, therefore, an RTP in the year 2023.

    3 The financial amounts of projected five-year investments presented in this Report are in real currency at April 2017 prices.

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    Table 1 - Five-year Investment Plan - Base Scenario

     
                Total 
    Year  2018  2019  2020  2021  2022   
                Period 
     
    Total  BRL 343,674,065  BRL 123,017,148  BRL 119,767,819  BRL 106,997,706  BRL 103,499,109  BRL 796,955,847 
     
    Total             
    Own  BRL 336,474,292  BRL 123,017,148  BRL 119,767,819  BRL 106,997,706  BRL 103,499,109  BRL 789,756,074 
    Resources*             
     
     
    Table 2 - Five-year Investment Plan - Alternative Scenario

     
                Total Period 
    Year  2018  2019  2020  2021  2022   
     
    Total  BRL 343,674,065  BRL 123,017,148  BRL 119,767,819  BRL 106,997,706  BRL 132,461,970  BRL 825,918,708 
     
    Total             
    Own  BRL 336,474,292  BRL 123,017,148  BRL 119,767,819  BRL 106,997,706  BRL 132,461,970  BRL 818,718,935 
    Resources*             
    ** For the total Own Resources, the subsidies related to the works linked to the Programa Luz para Todos ("PLpT") program (70%) were 
    deducted from the total investments.           

     

         In the following items (and in its Appendices), all the aspects discussed in the executive summary shall be detailed.

    2. Company operational characterization and diagnosis

         In this chapter, we will discuss the characterization of Ceal's concession area, as well as make a brief operational diagnosis of the company.

         Firstly, we will make a brief description of the company's area of activity (by providing information about its history, socioeconomic, road infrastructure and climate indicators) in order to subsequently carry out the Company's electrical characterization (assessing the level of interconnection to the SIN and constructive standards of the electricity distribution grids).

         Next, we will analyze the company's consumer market by detailing information of both consumption broken down by voltage level and by rate class and of billing according to the type of user. Subsequently, we will cover the main operating indicators regarding: (i) quality of service; (ii) product quality; (iii) response to emergencies; and (iv) power losses, in addition to evaluating energy purchase and sale indicators.

         Also in this chapter we will analyze the conditions of the assets observed in the visits made in the field, highlighting critical points and main challenges for a new utility.

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    2.1. Characterization of the company's area of activity

    2.1.1. Brief History

         The history of electricity in Alagoas began in its capital, Maceió. This Capital was the pioneer among the Brazilian capitals to receive electricity, and services begun in 1897. The responsibility for energy supply was on Empresa Luz Elétrica de Alagoas, which used a steam engine with three boilers of 75 horsepower each [1].

         In 1913, Nova Empresa de Luz Elétrica (NELE) took over the electric power supply in the capital, owned by Commander Teixeira Bastos, which later became Companhia Força e Luz de Maceió.

    There was a new name change in 1931, when "Amford" acquired the company and adopted the name Companhia Força e Luz do Brasil - Maceió [1].

         In 1959, under the government of Muniz Falcão, Alagoas took the first steps in its planning policies. For the energy sector, the Alagoas Electrification Plan began. To make the execution of this Plan feasible, the Alagoas government created a mixed economy company, Companhia de Eletricidade de Alagoas (Ceal), linked to the Department of Water and Energy.

         In 1983, by virtue of Law #4,450, Companhia de Eletricidade de Alagoas was renamed Companhia Energética de Alagoas, maintaining the acronym Ceal. The same law allowed the company to produce and distribute energy in Alagoas.

         Ceal remained under the control of the state until June 1997, when the federalization process began with the purchase of 50% of the shares by Centrais Elétricas Brasileiras S.A. (Eletrobras), which became the controlling shareholder of the company.

         In June 2008, a new management model for Eletrobras' Distribution Companies was established, establishing a single, integrated management, seeking to unify procedures, bring employees of different cultures closer together and to strengthen the trust of clients served in different regions. As a holding company, Centrais Elétricas Brasileiras S.A. (Eletrobras) controls a large part of Brazil's electricity generation and transmission systems and operates in the distribution area through the companies Eletrobras Amazonas Energia, Eletrobras Distribuição Acre, Eletrobras Distribuição Roraima, Eletrobras Distribuição Rondônia, Eletrobras Distribuição Piauí and Eletrobras Distribuição Alagoas [2].

         Currently, Eletrobras holding holds 100% of shares of the Alagoas utility on behalf of the Federal Government. In October 2010, Eletrobras' new brand was standardized for all companies of the System, including the former Ceal, which became known as Eletrobras Distribuição Alagoas.

         Finally, in July 2016, the Eletrobras group decided against renewing the concessions of electric power distributors in the North and Northeast regions under its control, including Ceal. On August 3, 2016, through Ordinance #424/2016, the MME has designated Ceal as responsible for providing the public electricity distribution service with a view to ensuring continuity of service until December 31, 2017 or until the assumption by a new utility, whichever occurs first.

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    Table 3 - Alagoas Road Indicators

          Weight/Participation 
    Type  Roads  Extension (km)  (%) 
      Federal  822.0  6.26% 
      State  2,409.5  18.35% 
    Existing Total       
      Municipal  9,896.6  75.38% 
      Total Roads  13,128.1  100.0% 
      Federal  768.6  32.24% 
      State  1,565.7  65.68% 
    Paved       
      Municipal  49.2  2.06% 
      Subtotal Paved  2,383.5  18.16% 
      Federal  53.4  0.49% 
      State  843.8  7.85% 
    Unpaved  Municipal  9,847.4  91.95% 
      Subtotal Unpaved  10,744.6  81.84% 
    Source: DNIT, 2015.

     

         As shown, the state has a total of 13,128 km of roads. Federal highways are the least representative (only 6% of the total), while state highways contribute 18% to the state's highway universe. Of the total number of existing roads in Alagoas, 82% are unpaved (9,847.4 km) and, consequently, the total paved grid extension is not very significant when compared to the total (only 21%, 2,383 km).

         Also noteworthy is the fact that that almost 9,800 km of municipal roads are unpaved, accounting for 92% of all municipal roads. This finding directly influences the commute between the seat of the municipality and surrounding areas, since these roads tend to become precarious in case of rains, where dirt roads generate mud and dirt that can bog down the cars of teams that are on duty to respond to emergencies.

         It should be noted that, among the paved roads, the majority are under state administration (more than 1,500 km or 65% of the total paved roads). The vast majority of federal roads are paved (768 km out of a total of 822 km).

         These facts directly influence the logistics of operation of the teams to respond to emergencies due to bogged cars during the rainy season, since these roads tend to become even more precarious with the concentration of mud and dirt, affecting even the durability of vehicles.

         Considering all facts exposed in this section, we conclude that the state of Alagoas has a high road density, despite the fact that its highways are in a poor situation (only 21% of the total state roads are paved, the majority of which are state roads). Most of the unpaved roads of the state are under municipal administration (92%).

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    2.1.5. Climate Characterization

         The climatic characterization of the state of Alagoas, comparing it with other regions of the country, is of extreme importance in order to verify the particularities of the region.

         The dominant climates are the semi-arid and tropical humid, due to the state's position between the tropics and proximity to the sea. While in Alagoas' East rains are more regular, in the backlands the rainfall index is low, making the region very dry. Because of its location, the average temperature range in Alagoas is around 6 ºC, with temperatures between 21 ºC and 27 ºC.

    Table 4 contains basic information10 for the climatic characterization of Ceal's concession area.

        Table 4 - Climatic Characteristics of Ceal's Concession Area   
        Climatic Characteristics for Roraima and Regions   
        Rainfall    Rain  Keraunic  Maximum  Maximum Wind 
      Region  indexi (mm)  Intensity ii  Index iii  Temperature  Speed v 
          (mm/day)  (lightnings/km2)  iv (°C)  (mps) 
    Alagoas  61.58    5.43  0.81  28.46  5.08 
    North  176.60    11.64  5.93  31.76  4.09 
    Northeast  54.66    5.18  2.48  30.60  5.35 
      Brazil  109.44    8.82  5.55  29.45  4.69 
    Source: INMET11 and INPE12 websites.           
    i  = Annual average precipitation (rain, snow, hail) at a given location during a given period of time.   
    ii  = Ratio between the Rainfall Index and the number of days with precipitation in a given region.   
    iii  = Amount of lightnings in a given region.  iv = Maximum average temperature recorded.   
    v = Average maximum speed recorded.           

     

         The state shows a rainfall index below the national and the North Region averages and slightly above the Northeast Region average. The same is true for rainfall intensity, which is approximately 53% below the national average. The region's winds are slightly below the Northeast Region average. The state is the one that also shows the lowest keraunic index of Brazil.

         Figure 3 shows the total accumulated precipitation volume (in millimeters) observed for all states of Brazil in the years 2015 and 2016.

    10 The information available for this analysis relates to the year 2012 and is taken from the ABRADEE R&D project entitled Periodic Rate Revision Methodologies of Electric Energy Distributors, held in the year 2013, since there is no publicly available average or accumulated data for the variables under study.

    11 National Meteorology Institute (“INMET’).

    12 National Space Research Institute (“INPE”).

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         Considering all the exposed facts, we identify in Ceal's concession area a low lightning index, low rainfall index and rainfall intensity, and extensive road mileage. Since most of the municipal roads are unpaved, in the event of inclement weather, this issue may compromise the Distributor's DEC and FEC quality indicators 13.

    2.2. Geoelectric Characterization of the Concession

         The state of Alagoas is served by the National Interconnected System (SIN) through hydroelectric power plants owned by CHESF, from the Paulo Afonso complex and Xingó, from which 230 kV and 500 kV transmission lines supply the entire state of Alagoas, as well as other states in the Northeast Region.

         This section shall address information about the level of interconnection to the SIN of the state of Alagoas, as well as characteristics of the High (AT), Medium (MT) and Low Voltage (BT) distribution systems.

    2.2.1. SIN Interconnection Level

         The transmission system in Brazil has an importance and a role that goes beyond the classic function of "just" bringing power from the generating centers to the consumption centers. Due to the characteristics of the Brazilian electrical system - notably the power generation base of a hydroelectric source - and the great territorial extension of the country, the transmission system in Brazil also functions as a "virtual energy source", that is, it is operated in order to allow exploitation of the diversity and use of existing energy sources between the subsystems (North, Northeast, Southeast/Center-West and South), through the SIN.

         Figure 5 illustrates the situation in June 2016 of the level of interconnection - current and future -of national transmission lines. As noted on the map, the Distributor's area of activity is already interconnected to the National Interconnected System. The state of Alagoas is served through hydroelectric power plants, owned by CHESF and the Paulo Afonso complex and Xingó, from which 230 kV and 500 kV transmission lines supply the entire state, as well as the entire Northeast Region.

    13 Equivalent Duration of Downtime per Consumer Unit ("DEC"); Equivalent Frequency of Downtime per Consumer Unit ("FEC")

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         We summarize in Appendix B to this report concepts that facilitate the understanding of the Brazilian rate structure.

         In Table 5 we analyze the evolution of the number of consumer units ("NUC") of the company between the years of 2013 to 2016, as well as the growth rates for the whole period - change in the year 2016 versus the year 2013 - and geometric - percentage of average annual increase.

      Table 5 - Evolution of the Number of Consumers by Voltage Level   
        NUC by Voltage Level    Rate of Change 
                Period %  Geometric 
    Voltage/Year  2012*  2013  2014  2015  2016  (2013/2016)  % (p.a.)15 
    A3  -  16  15  17  17  6%  2% 
    A4  -  2,086  2,101  2,113  2,102  1%  0% 
    BT  -  950,753  996,650  1,033,434  1,099,791  16%  5% 
    TOTAL  928,590  952,855  998,766  1,035,564  1,101,910  16%  5% 
    Source: ANEEL, rate activity approved between 2012 and 2016, commonly processed in August of each year. In general, NUC relates 
    to the month of June/July of each year.           
    * There is no public data approved by ANEEL of NUC by voltage level for the year 2012. For this reason, the rates of change were 
    estimated by considering the change observed between 2013 and 2016.       

     

         High Voltage Subgroup A3 shows an increase of only 1 user in four years. A similar conclusion can be observed in the A4 subgroup, with only a 1% increase in customers for the analyzed period. On the other hand, the BT (Low Voltage) subgroup showed the highest growth, with a 16% rate for the period.

         Table 2 shows the evolution of the billed market (MWh) by voltage level, in addition to the two growth rates (period and geometric). Market information is also presented according to the types: (i) Provision - captive consumers of the distributor; (ii) Supply - distributor supplying another distributor; (iii) Other Free Consumers - free consumers of the distributor and (iv) Distribution.

    15 p.a. = per annum. 

     

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    Table 6 - Market Evolution by Voltage Level
     
        Market by Voltage Level (MWh)    Rate of Change 
    Voltage/Year  2012  2013  2014  2015  2016  Per.%  Geo.% 
                (2012/16)  (p.a.) 
    PROVISION  2,835,550  3,144,209  3,283,014  3,389,576  3,299,290  16%  4% 
    A3  358,232  458,531  409,962  409,026  417,090  16%  4% 
    A4  838,255  880,332  895,395  906,768  888,530  6%  1% 
    BT  1,639,062  1,805,345  1,977,657  2,073,782  1,993,670  22%  5% 
    LOW INCOME  -  261,853  309,028  311,097  227,525  -  - 
    SUPPLY  -  -  -  -  -  -  - 
    OTHER FREE CONSUMERS  99,918  148,363  195,982  195,132  159,001  59%  12% 
    DISTRIBUTION  17,595  18,942  19,317  20,233  20,221  15%  4% 
    TOTAL  2,953,063  3,311,514  3,498,314  3,604,942  3,478,512  18%  4% 
    Source: ANEEL, rate activity approved between 2012 and 2016, commonly processed in August of each year. Market data relates to the 
    period of 12 months, accounted for up to the month before the IRT/RTP. The percentage of Low Income market share is in relation to the BT 
    market.               

     

         In general terms, there is a relative stability in the billed market, with an average growth rate of 4% p.a. The class of free consumers was the one with the highest growth in the considered period, namely, 12% p.a, while the MT class was the one with the lowest growth, with an average rate of 1% p.a.

         Table 7 shows the revenue evolution by voltage level, in addition to the two growth rates under analysis. The highest growth was observed in the subgroup A3, with an average growth of 12% p.a., followed by subgroup A4, with an average growth of 11% p.a. (the same as the Company's revenue as a whole).

    Table 7 - Evolution of Revenue by Voltage Level

      Revenue by Voltage Level (BRL Million)    Rate of Change 
                Period %  Geo. % 
    Voltage/Year  2012  2013  2014  2015  2016     
                (2012/2016)  (p.a.) 
    PROVISION  780  765  803  1,060  1,165  49%  11% 
    A3  66  71  58  83  105  59%  12% 
    A4  187  174  196  256  287  54%  11% 
    BT  527  519  548  720  773  47%  10% 
    SUPPLY  -  -  -  -  -  -  - 
    OTHER FREE               
    CONSUMERS  10  10  7  8  8  -16%  -4% 
    DISTRIBUTION  1  1  0.8  0.8  0.8  -52%  -17% 
    GENERATOR  3  4  5  6  6  81%  16% 
    TOTAL  796  782  817  1,076  1,181  48%  10% 
    Source: ANEEL, rate activity approved between 2012 and 2016, commonly processed in August of each year. Revenue is in nominal currency, 
    at the price as of the date of processing the rate activity of each year.         

     

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         Table 8 shows the NUC evolution by rate class. There is a higher percentage of NUC growth in the "Rural" class, with an increase of 6% p.a.. The "Other" class had a 27% p.a drop.

        Table 8 - Evolution of NUC by Rate Class     
        NUC by Rate Class    Rate of Change 
                Period %  Geometric 
    Class/Year  2012  2013  2014  2015  2016     
                (2012/2016)  % (p.a.) 
    Residential  851,711  873,756  917,293  950,719  1,012,875  19%  4% 
    Industrial  2,678  2,667  2,648  2,563  2,658  -1%  0% 
    Commercial  54,532  56,331  58,268  60,065  63,749  17%  4% 
    Rural  9,978  10,316  10,438  11,919  12,362  24%  6% 
    Street Lighting  173  194  197  205  202  17%  4% 
    Public Power  8,006  8,342  8,644  8,771  8,639  8%  2% 
    Public Service  1,096  1,092  1,165  1,221  1,310  20%  5% 
    Other  416  157  113  101  115  -72%  -27% 
    TOTAL  928,590  952,855  998,766  1,035,564  1,101,910  19%  4% 
    Source: ANEEL, rate activity approved between 2012 and 2016, commonly processed in August of each year. In general, NUC relates to 
    the month of June/July of each year.             

     

         Table 9 shows the evolution of the Ceal Market by class. The "Rural" class showed the highest growth in energy consumption in the period considered, namely, 263%, followed by "Street Lighting", with a 51% growth and "Industrial", with a 38% increase. Only the "Other" class suffered a reduction in consumption (34% p.a.).

    Table 9 - Market Evolution by Rate Class
        Market by Rate Class (MWh)    Rate of Change 
    Class/Year  2012*  2013  2014  2015  2016  Period %  Geometric % 
                (2012/2016)  (p.a.) 
    Residential  1,047,431  1,162,883  1,276,544  1,352,582  1,290,350  23%  5% 
    Industrial  510,297  718,659  758,597  760,059  702,050  38%  8% 
    Commercial  587,895  653,809  720,610  748,806  724,366  23%  5% 
    Rural  47,134  237,414  187,711  167,720  171,114  263%  38% 
    Street Lighting  138,079  173,518  203,100  201,236  208,426  51%  11% 
    Public Power  134,783  143,682  148,143  159,674  158,076  17%  4% 
    Public Service  180,670  181,253  180,568  191,302  200,677  11%  3% 
    Other  126,361  40,296  23,041  23,564  23,453  -81%  -34% 
    TOTAL  2,772,650  3,311,514  3,498,314  3,604,942  3,478,512  25%  6% 
    Source: ANEEL, rate activity approved between 2012 and 2016, commonly processed in August of each year. Market data relates to the 
    period of 12 months, accounted for up to the month before the IRT/RTP. The percentage of Low Income market share is in relation to the BT 
    market.               
    *Values for the year 2012 were taken from Technical Note #286/2012-SRE ANEEL. These are not in agreement with the market by voltage 
    level.               

     

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         The average monthly consumption information by rate class is shown in Table 10. As shown, the "Rural" class had the highest increase in average consumption (31% p.a.), while the "Public Service" and "Other" classes showed a 2% p.a. and 9% p.a. decline, respectively. Data for the company as a whole are in line with the finding of a certain stagnation in the company's market.

    Table 10 - Evolution of the Average Market by Rate Class

      Average Monthly Consumption by Class (kWh)  Rate of Change 
                Period %  Geometric 
    Class/Year  2012  2013  2014  2015  2016     
                (2012/2016)  % (p.a.) 
    Residential  102  111  116  119  106  4%  1% 
    Industrial  15,879  22,455  23,873  24,713  22,011  39%  9% 
    Commercial  898  967  1,031  1,039  947  5%  1% 
    Rural  394  1,918  1,499  1,173  1,153  193%  31% 
    Street Lighting  66,512  74,535  85,914  81,803  85,984  29%  7% 
    Public Power  1,403  1,435  1,428  1,517  1,525  9%  2% 
    Public Service  13,737  13,832  12,916  13,056  12,766  -7%  -2% 
    Other  25,313  21,388  16,992  19,442  16,995  -33%  -9% 
    TOTAL  249  290  292  290  263  6%  1% 
    Source: ANEEL, rate activity approved between 2012 and 2016.         

     

         Table 11 shows the evolution of Ceal's revenue by rate class. It should be noted that there is no public data approved by ANEEL for the year 2012 regarding revenue related to each rate class, which is why only the total amount for 2012 is presented. The rates of change for this information are calculated by using the period from 2013 to 2016. Note that the "Public Service" class was the one with the highest revenue growth, which was 16% p.a..

    Table 11 - Revenue Evolution by Rate Class

        Revenue by Class (BRL Million)    Rate of Change 
                Period %  Geometric 
    Class/Year  2012*  2013  2014  2015  2016     
                (2013/2016)  % (p.a.) 
    Residential  -  352  371  491  525  49%  11% 
    Industrial  -  114  109  147  164  43%  9% 
    Commercial  -  165  184  240  263  59%  12% 
    Rural  -  39  34  41  48  22%  5% 
    Street Lighting  -  26  31  40  46  74%  15% 
    Public Power  -  38  39  53  59  56%  12% 
    Public Service  -  35  38  53  64  83%  16% 
    Other  -  9  7  8  8  -13%  -3% 
    TOTAL  796  782  817  1,076  1,181  51%  11% 
    Source: ANEEL, rate activity approved between 2012 and 2016, commonly processed in August of each year. Revenue is in nominal 
    currency, at the price as of the date of processing the rate activity of each year.       

     

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         Once the market evolution of the distributor has been observed, it is necessary to evaluate it according to the data of the last readjustment of the company (carried out in September 2016, the most recent regulatory information). To that end, Table 12 shows the distribution of users, market and revenue, by voltage level.

    Table 12 - Number of Consumers, Market and Revenue by Voltage Level 
              Revenue (BRL 
    Ceal  NUC    Market (MWh)     
              Million) 
    A3  17  0.0%  417,090  11.9%  105.0  8.8% 
    A4  1,853  0.2%  888,530  25.5%  287.4  24.2% 
    BT  1,099,791  99.8%  1,993,670  57.3%  773.5  65.4% 
    Other Free             
    Consumers  34  0.0%  159,001  4.6%  8.7  0.7% 
    Distribution  72  0.0%  20,221  0.6%  0.85  0.0% 
    Generator  87  0.0%  -  -  6.2  0.5% 
    Total  1,101,910  100%  3,478,512  100%  1,181.5  100% 
    Source: ANEEL, 2016 IRT.           

     

         As shown, BT has a greater weight of consumers (99.8%), market (57.3%) and also revenue (65.4%) compared to other voltage levels. The MT market represents about ¾ of the distributor's consumption and revenue. AT's share is around 10% of the Company's market and revenue. The other types of users are not very representative, both in terms of market and revenue.

         Analyzing the number of users and the revenue by consumption class (Table 13), we observe that Residential revenues have greater weight for the company in relation to the number of consumers, market and revenue, namely, 92%, 37% and 44%, respectively. The commercial class represents about 22% of the company's market and revenue.

      Table 13 - Number of Consumers and Revenue by Rate Class   
    Class  Consumers  Market (MWh)  Revenue (BRL million) 
    Residential  1,012,875  92%  1,290,350  37%  525  44% 
    Industrial  2,658  0%  702,050  20%  164  14% 
    Commercial  63,749  6%  724,366  21%  264  22% 
    Rural  12,362  1%  171,114  5%  49  4% 
    Street Lighting  202  0%  208,426  6%  47  4% 
    Public Power  8,639  1%  158,076  5%  59  5% 
    Public Service  1,310  0%  200,677  6%  65  5% 
    Other Classes  115  0%  23,453  1%  8  1% 
    TOTAL  1,101,910  100%  3,478,512  100%  1,182  100% 
    Source: ANEEL, 2016 IRT.           

     

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         In view of the above, the main conclusions of Ceal's consumer market by voltage level are: (i) MT represents 0.19% of consumers, 26% of the market and 24% of the company's revenue in 2016; (ii) BT represents 99.8% of consumers, 57% of the market and 65% of the company's revenue in 2016 and, in the analyzed period from 2012 to 2016, showed annual growth rates of 5%, 5% and of 10% for NUC, the market and the revenue, respectively; (iii) the "Low Income" market associated with the BT voltage level had its highest value verified in 2015, showing an expressive 27% drop in 2016; and (iv) free consumers had the highest percentage increase in consumption in the last five years, namely, 59% in the period (12% p.a.), although they had very little relevance in the distributor's income.

         From the point of view of the rate classes, for the same information, it can be deduced that: (i) the residential class represents 92% of the NUC and 37% of the 2016 company market with annual growth of 4% and 5% respectively; and (ii) although the rural and street lighting classes are the ones with the highest percentages of market growth for the analyzed period, on the revenue side we see that the highest percentage growth is in the public service and street lighting classes, 83% and 74%, respectively, in the period from 2013 to 2016.

    2.4. Operating Indicators

         This chapter aims to analyze the main operating indicators of the company, based on its performance in recent years. To do so, sections 2.4.1 and 2.4.2 address service and product quality indicators, respectively, while section 2.4.3 shows a diagnosis on energy losses.

    2.4.1. Quality of Service Indicators

         The distributor assesses the continuity of the service provided to consumers through individual and collective indicators, which are required by ANEEL and arranged in Module 8 of PRODIST.

    Individual indicators are divided into indicators of Individual Downtime Duration per Consumer Unit or per Connection Point ("DIC"); or Frequency of Individual Downtime per Consumer Unit or Connection Point ("FIC"); Maximum continuous downtime duration per consumer unit or connection point ("DMIC"); and Duration of individual downtime occurred on a critical day per consumer unit or connection point ("DICRI").

         The monitoring of the individual indicators is done by means of limits which are also individual, and are defined for monthly, quarterly and annual periods in relation to the DIC and FIC indicators. The DMIC indicator limit is set for the monthly period, while the DICRI indicator limit is set for each critical-day downtime.

         When the limits of the individual continuity indicators are breached, the distributor must compensate the consumer financially automatically with a deduction on their invoice within two months after the indicator is determined.

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         Table 14 shows the evolution of the compensation paid by Ceal over the period (2012-2016) by violating quality of service indicators, as well as the evolution of the amount of compensations paid. It is worth noting that the amount of compensations and their respective financial value related to the annual period of assessment of the quality of service indicators are not available on ANEEL's website for the year 2016, which is why the 2016 compensation path reflects a decline.

    Table 14 - Compensations for Breach of Quality of Service Indicators

          Ceal     
    Item  2012  2013  2014  2015  2016 
    Quantity (#)  2,003,125  2,370,552  3,586,655  3,171,740  1,898,728 
    Compensation Amounts (BRL)  4,769,920  5,576,104  7,737,666  8,482,580  4,177,455 
    Installment B (BRL)  248,978,654  301,465,771  339,718,638  374,082,340  390,492,886 
    %Comp./Installment B  1.91%  1.85%  2.28%  2.27%  0.98% 
    Source: ANEEL website.           

     

         The Distributor has increased compensation levels over the years (except for the year 2016 as previously explained). As an example, the total compensations paid in 2015 corresponded to 2.27% of the company's installment B, according to IRT data for this year.

         From the sums of the determined amounts for the individual DIC and FIC indicators, we obtain collective indicators that reflect the continuity of the service provided, both at the level of groups of consumer units and at the company level, namely: DEC (Equivalent Duration of Downtime per Consumer Unit) and FEC (Equivalent Frequency of Downtime per Consumer Unit).

         The graphs below (Graph 3 and Graph 4) show, for the Distributor, the evolution of the determined DEC and FEC indicators and the regulatory limits approved for the period 2012 to 2016. In addition, for the year 2017, the limit of internal collective DECi and FECi indicators (which disregard downtime originated outside the distribution system) is demonstrated, as set forth in Normative Resolution #748/16, of November 29, 2016. We identified that the company presented a violation of the regulatory limits for the collective indicators (DEC and FEC) in the period under study, despite the fact that DEC showed an improvement trend. It is worth noting that the indicators assessed in 2016 surpassed the year target by a little less than 50%.

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         Required Energy is the volume of electric power (MWh) acquired in a given reference period to serve consumers or other utilities and distribution licensees, plus regulatory power losses of the distribution system - subdivided into technical (PT) and non-technical (PNT)17.

         Contracted Energy is the volume of electric energy (MWh) acquired by Base contracts, Bilateral contracts and Energy Trading in the Regulated Environment Contracts ("CCEAR"), which shall be briefly explained below.

    Base Energy encompasses:

    Own Generation: energy generated by the distributor to serve its market, according to Law 9,074 of July 7, 1995, with the wording given by Law 10,848 of 2004, which provides that distributors of the National Interconnected System (SIN) with a market below 500 GWh/year and those that serve Isolated Systems can carry out electric power generation activities, provided that they are fully intended to serve their own markets.

    Angra 1 and 2 Quota: energy marketed by the Angra 1 and Angra 2 generating plants and compulsorily acquired by utilities operating in the SIN, as provided in article 11 of Law #12,111 of 2009.

    Renewed Concessions Quota: amount resulting from the apportionment of the physical energy and power guarantee of plants whose concessions were extended pursuant to Law #12,783 of 2013. Allocation of quotas to distributors is established according to ANEEL regulations.

    Itaipu Binacional Quota: Energy sold by Itaipu Binacional with the electricity distribution utilities acquiring shares of the production that were made available to Brazil, according to specific ANEEL regulation. Holders of quotas of the plant's energy are only distributors located in the South and Southeast/Center-West subsystems, which compulsorily acquire the electricity generated by Itaipu. That is, they do not include distributors located in the North and Northeast subsystems.

         Bilateral Contracts are freely negotiated between the agents, signed before the enactment of Law #10,848 of 2004, to serve the Interconnected System. Contracts signed to serve the Isolated System before Provisional Measure # 466 of July 29, 2009, and those signed by means of a bidding held in the form of a competition or auction, as set forth by Decree #7,246 of July 28, 2010, also correspond to Bilateral Contracts.

         Also classified as Bilateral Contracts are the contracting of Distributed Generation energy resulting from vertical divestiture, as provided by Law #10,848 of 2004. In addition, also classified as such are contracts arising from public bidding carried out by distribution agents with own market lower than 500 GWh/year and contracts signed between an utility with market under 500 GWh/year and its current supply agent.

    17 If the real electrical losses (whether technical or non-technical) are considered instead of regulatory losses, the energy of the system is called Injected Energy.

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         Finally, Energy Trading in the Regulated Environment Contracts ("CCEAR") are those established for the Auctions of: (i) Existing Energy for existing generation projects - defined based on article 19 of Decree #5,163 of 2004; (ii) New Energy for new generation projects - deriving from auctions defined based on article 19 of Decree #5,163 of 2004 and (iii) Alternative Energy Sources - arising from auctions defined based on article 19 of Decree #5,163 of 2004.

         After explaining the concepts, the evolution of Ceal's Required Energy (MWh) and Contracted Energy (MWh) for the years 2012 to 2016 is shown on tables 16 and 17.

    Table 16 - Results of Regulated Required Energy (MWh) from 2012 to 2016.

     
        2012  2013  2014  2015  2016 
     
    a T + Required Supply + Energy Losses) (Provision  3,540,046  3,903,972  4,174,513  4,287,428  4,158,457 
    b               
    l  Provision + Supply  2,835,550  3,144,209  3,283,014  3,389,576  3,299,290 
      Provision      3,144,209  3,283,014  3,389,576  3,299,290 
    e    2,835,550         
      Supply (TE Market)      0  0  0  0 
    1  Regulatory Losses  704,496  759,764  891,499  897,853  859,167 
    7  Non-Technical Loss  325,190  338,794  350,639  346,322  312,408 
      Technical Loss  301,408  420,970  443,879  455,678  437,186 
    -  Basic Grid Loss on Dist  77,898  0  18,897  18,340  20,286 
      Basic Grid Loss on    0  0  78,084  77,513  89,287 
    R Captive market             
    e               
    sults of Contracted Energy (MWh) from 2012 to 2016.

          2012  2013  2014  2015  2016 
      Contracted Energy (Base + Bilateral +  4,798,862  4,951,560  4,828,665  5,309,726  5,236,345 
      CCEAR)             
      Base Energy    0  1,634,641  1,650,976  1,966,275  1,809,482 
      Own Generation    0  0  0  0  0 
      Angra I/Angra II Quota    0  128,674  128,674  128,499  125,501 
      Quotas Law #12783/2013    0  1,430,313  1,441,550  1,755,906  1,599,948 
      Itaipu (deducting losses)    0    0  0  0 
      PROINFA    0  75,654  80,752  81,871  84,034 
      Bilateral    0  0  0  0  0 
      CCEAR    4,798,862  3,316,919  3,177,689  3,343,451  3,426,863 
    Source: ANEEL.

     

         From the point of view of Required Energy, we observe that the total energy showed a small growth, remaining at a level of 4 TWh/year, as well as Provision, which remained at 3 TWh/year. Regulatory losses showed a slightly increasing trend between 2012 and 2015 (0.15 TWh increase).

         Regarding Contracted Energy, its oscillating trajectory is due to CCEAR energies (this contract accumulates a decrease of 1.3 TWh in 5 years), and the increase in the Base Energy (1.8 TWh increase over the period).

         Graph 14 presents the evolution for the years 2012 to 2016 of the following information: (i) Contracted energy in TWh subdivided by the Base, Bilateral and CCEAR contracts; (ii) curve with the percentages of coverage by the rate of the energy contracts that the distributor made during the analyzed period; and (iii) difference between Contracted Energy and the regulatory Required Energy in TWh.

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    2.6. Asset Conditions

         Between 4/3/2017 and 4/7/2017, a field visit was carried out at Ceal's premises, aiming at the diagnosis and evaluation of the technical and physical conditions of the utility's assets, in particular the main electrical energy distribution equipment and infrastructure, identifying its status, critical points at distribution grids by voltage level, as well as the description and evaluation of services.

         Sixteen 69 kV substations were visited, which belong to 5 of the company's 6 regions, and its respective most critical feeders (MT/BT). In general, we verified an adequate preservation within the boundaries of the traces of MT/BT transmission lines and grids. From the inspected sample, problems of maintenance and preservation of substations were observed, as well as pruning needs at MT/BT grids. There were no problems accessing the observed substations and stretches of MT/BT grids.

    2.7. Critical points observed during the field visit and challenges for new utilities

         The following is a summary of the main critical points observed during the field visit conducted between 4/3/2017 and 4/7/2017 and the resulting challenges for new utilities from the point of view of the need for specific investments in the Company's distribution system, which should be included in the Five-Year Investment Plan (PIQ), which will be summarized in Chapter 3.

    2.7.1. High-voltage distribution system and substations

         For the 69 kV lines, towers were observed to be in good condition. However, special attention must be paid to these structures since most of the stretches are on sugarcane fields, which are susceptible to possible fires, and are located fairly far from highways.

         Sixteen of a total of 39 of the Distributor's 69/13.8 kV substations were inspected. All SEs are automated. However, only three (3) are in good condition with regard to switchings having clean contacts, transformers without leaks, preserved supporting structures, absence of vegetation in the graveled area and a lack of disjunction at the 69 kV terminals. In the state's rural substations, the maintenance situation is critical.

         The average age of the 69/13.8 kV power transformers is 19.9 years, and many were identified having leaks and without an insulating oil collection system.

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         As for the loading, 12 power transformers had loads equal to or greater than 100%. This high loading situation is aggravated during the carnival period, when the load at Barra de São Miguel (the main resort city of the state) can reach 200%. Of the 32 power transformers inspected, only 6 were switched under load, and even those had their automatic device deactivated. Four SEs had a voltage regulator bank, evidencing voltage regulation problems throughout their grid.

         The average age of the 69 kV and 13.8 kV circuit breakers is 22.82 years, and not all circuit breakers had their ages calculated, since some of the nameplate data was unreadable or there was simply no nameplate. In any case, all showed aspects of old age, which indicates that their average age can be greater than the calculated.

         In order to consider investments for the necessary improvements to match what was verified in the field visits to the AT system, the PIQ includes installation of circuit breakers in 15 of the 69 kV SE line terminals and retrofitting in 20 SEs that have already exceeded their service life for the year 2018, plus an additional amount for the years 2019 to 2022.

    2.7.2. Medium and low voltage distribution system

         The MT grid is 22,755 km long and has, as of 2016, 240 voltage regulator banks, 338 reclosers and 90 capacitor banks. The low voltage grid totals 18,219 km.

         In general, in urban areas, we observed a medium and low voltage grid in good preservation conditions and leveled by using grid spacers and with adequate structures near the beach region. Some sections of the 13.8 kV grid are compact and the low voltage grid is, for the most part, bare cable.

         Rural medium voltage grids cut through extensive sugarcane fields, which are liable for fires and downtimes due to objects that are foreign to the grid (vegetation from Alagoas' backlands). It should be noted that, for almost three years, Distributor has not satisfactorily carried out tree pruning service, and require better maintenance management (which are funds from operating costs, "OPEX").

    3. Five-Year Investment Plan (PIQ)

         The objective of the PIQ is to present, based on technical and economic evaluations, a five-year investment plan - 2018 to 2022 horizon - for Ceal's electric energy distribution concession area, with reference to the projects planned as necessary to meet the demand for new connections (within the scope of the vegetative growth and the Programa Luz para Todos program) improvement of the performance indicators of service continuity, reduction of electrical losses, as well as adjustments and implementations of computerized systems for support in commercial management and distribution.

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         The following summarizes the main points of the adopted methodology, the contracted investments in progress and the summary of the consolidated amounts of projected annual investments.

         In order to verify the investment needs, the information provided in the Data Room by Ceal was used, namely: "Electrical System Expansion Plan (2016-2025 horizon)", "Distribution Development Plan (PDD) for the year 2017" (although provisional19), "Results Plan for the Improvement of Distribution Services, 2015" and "Plan for Temporary Rendering of Electricity Distribution Service, 2017". In addition, we used information obtained by the company's planning area, obtained during face-to-face meetings and conference call that were carried out.

         Initially, we present in Table 18 a summary, by type of project and voltage level, of the investments in progress reported by Ceal. In total, BRL 62.57 million are intended for projects/investments planned for the year 201720.

    Table 18 - Investments in progress in the year 2017 by Type of Project 
    Type of Project  Investment 
    AT/MT EXPANSION  BRL 25,860,730 
    AT/MT/BT IMPROVEMENT  BRL 11,770,000 
    PROGRAMA LUZ PARA TODOS ("PlpT")  BRL 24,941,913 
    Total Investments  BRL 62,572,643 

     

         The works contained in the PIQ were defined based on the information provided and analysis of the investments in progress. Firstly, we drafted a Base Scenario, starting with the 2017 PDD, adopting the following assumptions by type of investment and voltage level:

    "AT Expansion": we considered the company's projected annual works in the 2017 PDD for the period from 2018 to 2022; however, the amounts submitted by Ceal for these investments were considered slightly inflated in relation to the price bank used by ANEEL. For these works, a 5.50% reduction level on the investment amounts allocated in the PDD was adopted;

    "MT/BT Expansion": the company's projected annual investment amounts in the 2017 PDD for the period from 2018 to 2022 were considered;

    "AT Improvement": as there were no investments in the 2017 PDD projected for the years 2017 to 2026, the need was estimated for the period from 2018 to 2022.

    "MT and BT improvement": as there was no projected investments for the years 2020 and 2022 in the 2017 PDD, the need for these years was estimated as: i) for the year 2020, the average of investments allocated to the years 2018 and 2019; ii) for the year 2022, the average of previous

    19 At the time of drafting this Report, the 2017 PDD had not yet been delivered to ANEEL by Ceal.

    20 The amounts set forth in this section relate to projects in progress or which are in the process of signing a contract. The figures shown are estimated: therefore, they may change during the year.

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    years (2018 to 2021), considering the investment amount calculated for the year 2020 in the calculation;

    "Renewal": no investments were projected for the period from 2018 to 2022. For this period, the necessary investment was estimated as the amount corresponding to the portion related to the "Regulatory Reintegration Quota ('QRR')" established by ANEEL to Ceal in the last rate revision occurred in August/2013, adjusted by the IPCA until April 2017;

         "PLpT": considered, in the year 2018, the necessary investments to meet the targets of conventional connections only until the year 2018, which is related to the completion of the program, according to Decree #8,387, of 12/30/2014; In addition to these, necessary investments were made in "Systems" and "Vehicles". For "Systems", in 2018, the necessary investments were considered for correcting the ERP System and integration of the Construction Management System ("SGO") with the Distribution Technical Management System ("SGTD"). Also in 2018, for "Vehicles", we considered investments necessary for the renewal of vehicles of the own fleet having an expired service life.

         We present, in Table 19, the Base Scenario PIQ, by type of project and voltage level. BRL 796.9 million of investments are needed in the next five (5) years, and the need for the year 2018 is significant, which concentrates BRL 343.7 million21.

    Table 19 - Base Scenario: PIQ (Detailed Resources by Type of Project)

     
    Type of             
    Project/System/  2018  2019  2020  2021  2022  Total 
    Vehicles             
    AT Expansion  BRL 176,083,646  BRL 37,123,026  BRL 28,937,221  BRL 23,162,138  BRL 24,762,139  BRL 290,068,170 
    MT/BT Expansion  BRL 43,810,795  BRL 17,562,526  BRL 17,980,260  BRL 13,730,787  BRL 6,573,021  BRL 99,657,389 
    AT Improvement  BRL 37,550,000  BRL 9,387,500  BRL 9,387,500  BRL 9,387,500  BRL 9,387,500  BRL 75,100,000 
    MT/BT  BRL 12,533,386  BRL 3,495,901  BRL 8,014,643  BRL 5,269,086  BRL 7,328,254  BRL 36,641,270 
    Improvement             
    Renewal  BRL 55,448,195  BRL 55,448,195  BRL 55,448,195  BRL 55,448,195  BRL 55,448,195  BRL 277,240,975 
    "Luz para Todos"  BRL 10,285,390  -  -  -  -  BRL 10,285,390 
    ERP System  BRL 1,000,000  -  -  -  -  BRL 1,000,000 
    Correction             
    Integration of  BRL 1,000,000  -  -  -  -  BRL 1,000,000 
    SGO/SGTD Sys.             
    Vehicles  BRL 5,962,653  -  -  -  -  BRL 5,962,653 
    Total Investments  BRL 343,674,065  BRL 123,017,148  BRL 119,767,819  BRL 106,997,706  BRL 103,499,109  BRL 796,955,847 
    Total             
    Own  BRL 336,474,292  BRL 123,017,148  BRL 119,767,819  BRL 106,997,706  BRL 103,499,109  BRL 789,756,074 
    Resources             

     

         Of the total amount, Own Resources stands out, since there are sector subsidies from the Economic Development Account ("CDE") of 70% of the investments related to the Programa Luz para Todos (PLpT) program.

    In addition to the Base Scenario, an Alternative Scenario, which anticipates, for the year 2022 (the year prior to the date of the first Periodic Rate Revision ("1RTP") to be applied in the new concession) investment

    21 The financial amounts presented in this section of this report are in real currency at April 2017 prices.

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    related to the construction of SEs and LDs in the years 2025/2024/2023, representing an amount of about BRL

    29 million, so as to increase the Regulatory Remuneration Base ("BRR"), as shown in Table 2022.

    Table 20 - List of SEs and LDs with investments anticipated from 2025/2024/2023 to 2022 for the Five-Year Plan 
      Estimated Year  Estimated 
    Project Description     
      2017 PDD  Amount 
    VIÇOSA/PALMEIRA DOS ÍNDIOS CS LD (69 kV)  2023  BRL 8,059,399 
    ANGELIM/UNIÃO DOS PALMARES LD (69 kV)  2024  BRL 5,147,432 
    OLHO D’ ÁGUA DAS FLORES/PÃO DE AÇUCAR (C2) LD (69 kV)    BRL 7,520,867 
    EXPANSION OF ARAPIRACA II SE (69 kV/25 MVA)    BRL 1,134,253 
    DEPLOYMENT OF CAMPO GRANDE SE (69/13.8 kV 12.5 MVA)  2025  BRL 7,100,910 
    Total Investments    BRL 28,962,861 

     

         Table 21 shows the resulting Alternative Scenario PIQ. Note that the Alternative Scenario surpasses the Base Scenario by approximately BRL 28 million in the total for the five-year period.

    Table 21 - Alternative Scenario: PIQ (Detailed Resources by Type of Project)

    Type of             
    Project/System/  2018  2019  2020  2021  2022  Total 
    Vehicles             
    AT Expansion  BRL 176,083,646  BRL 37,123,026  BRL 28,937,221  BRL 23,162,138  BRL 53,725,000  BRL 319,031,031 
    MT/BT Expansion  BRL 43,810,795  BRL 17,562,526  BRL 17,980,260  BRL 13,730,787  BRL 6,573,021  BRL 99,657,389 
    AT Improvement  BRL 37,550,000  BRL 9,387,500  BRL 9,387,500  BRL 9,387,500  BRL 9,387,500  BRL 75,100,000 
    MT/BT  BRL 12,533,386  BRL 3,495,901  BRL 8,014,643  BRL 5,269,086  BRL 7,328,254  BRL 36,641,270 
    Improvement             
    Renewal  BRL 55,448,195  BRL 55,448,195  BRL 55,448,195  BRL 55,448,195  BRL 55,448,195  BRL 277,240,975 
    "Luz para Todos"  BRL 10,285,390  -  -  -  -  BRL 10,285,390 
    ERP System  BRL 1,000,000  -  -  -  -  BRL 1,000,000 
    Correction             
    Integration of  BRL 1,000,000  -  -  -  -  BRL 1,000,000 
    SGO/SGTD Sys.             
    Vehicles  BRL 5,962,653  -  -  -  -  BRL 5,962,653 
    Total  BRL 343,674,065  BRL 123,017,148  BRL 119,767,819  BRL 106,997,706  BRL 132,461,970  BRL 825,918,708 
    Total             
    Own  BRL 336,474,292  BRL 123,017,148  BRL 119,767,819  BRL 106,997,706  BRL 132,461,970  BRL 818,718,935 
    Resources             

     

    22 In this case, it was assumed that the company will have its privatization process finalized in 2018, thus being subject to an RTP in the year 2023.

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         It should be noted that the Base Scenario shall be used for the Company's economic-financial evaluation.

    4. References

    [1] “História de Alagoas,” 1 7 2016. [Online]. Available: http://www.historiadealagoas.com.br/historia-daceal.html. [Accessed 4 5 2017].

    [2] Eletrobras, “Eletrobras Distribuição Alagoas,” [Online]. Available: http://www.eletrobrasalagoas.com/historia.aspx. [Accessed 4 5 2017].

    [3] Wikipedia, “Wikipédia - Alagoas” [Online]. Available: https://pt.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alagoas. [Accessed 4 6 2017]. [4] E. d. P. Energética, “Plano Nacional de Energia 2030,” 2007.

    [5] I. Própria, Somatório das áreas dos países, Rio de Janeiro, 2017.

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    APPENDIX A - Socioeconomic Characterization of the Concession Area

         In order to better characterize the area of activity of the Distributor, socioeconomic information was collected and grouped into four data sets: (a) Demographic, Education and Employment; (b) Access to Services; (c) Income and (d) Violence. In the following items, comparative analysis was performed for each information collected from the company in relation to the data observed in the North and Northeast regions and Brazil's average. This comparison allows to evaluate the degree of similarity/divergence of the socioeconomic indicators of the company in relation to the regions where the companies of the Eletrobras group operate, as well as to compare with the national average.

    a) Demographic Information, Level of Education and Unemployment Rate

         Table 22 shows, in order, the number of municipalities, area, population, population density per km2, number of households, percentage of population living in rural areas, percentage of illiterate population and unemployment rate in the Distributor's area, as well as average data for Brazil and the North and Northeast Regions.

      Table 22 - Demographic Information, Level of Education and Unemployment Rates   
        Area  Pop.  Density  # HH  %  %   
    Region  # Munic.  (km2)  (Thousand)  (Inhabitants/km2) (thousand)  Rural  Illiterate Unemployment 
                Popul.  Popul.  Rate 
    ALAGOAS  102  27,882  3,345  120,12  1,051  26%  20%  13% 
    BRAZIL  5,567  8,497,584  204,860  24,11  68,037  15%  9%  8% 
    NORTH  449  3,848,855  17,525  4.55  5,093  25%  11%  9% 
    NORTHEAST 1,794  1,554,291  56,639  36,44  17,836  27%  17%  9% 
    Sources: Data on the population were taken from the 2015 PNAD. Number of municipalities and areas were obtained from INPE. 
    Unemployment rate was obtained at IPEA/PNAD for the year 2014.         

     

         Alagoas is the state having the highest population density in the Northeast Region (120.12 inhabitants per km2), with its capital (Maceió) being the most populous municipality in the state. Its population is mainly concentrated in urban centers (74% of the population), but has a high percentage of inhabitants in rural areas (26%). Its population suffers from illiteracy, where 20% of the total population lacks basic reading and writing skills. In addition, the state of Alagoas leads the ranking of Brazilian states with the highest unemployment rate (13%).

    b) Access to services

         Table 23 shows (for Ceal, and average data from Brazil and the North and Northeast Regions) the percentages of households (i) without garbage collection; (ii) same as point "i", but for urban areas; (iii) without water supply through networks; (iv) same as point "iii", but for urban areas; (v) without

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    sanitary sewage by networks or septic tank; (vi) same as point "v", but for urban areas; and (vi) without electric lighting located in rural areas.

    Table 23 - Service Access Information

          % HH  % Urb.  % HH without  % Urb. HH   
      % HH  % Urb. HH  without  HH  Sewage  without Sewage % Rural HH 
    Region  without  without  Water  without  Networks/Septic Networks/Septic  without 
      Garbage  Garbage  Network  Water  Tank  Tank  electrical 
      Collection  Collection  Supply  Network      lighting 
            Supply       
    ALAGOAS  16%  1%  25%  18%  45%  36%  0% 
    BRAZIL  10%  1%  15%  6%  19%  12%  2% 
    NORTH  21%  3%  40%  28%  38%  29%  7% 
    NORTHEAST  21%  3%  20%  7%  35%  23%  1% 
    Sources: 2015 PNAD.             

     

         In Alagoas, 16% of the households do not have garbage collection, while 25% do not have water supply through networks and 45% do not have access to a sewage network/septic tank. The percentages of urban households without access to the sewage/septic tank and without water supply through network are relatively high and higher than the national average (36% and 18%, respectively, for the state).

    c) Income

         Table 24 shows (i) the percentage of households with income of up to 2 Minimum Wages ("S.M."); (ii) the percentage of people living in households with per capita income below the poverty line23; (iii) average household income per capita and (iv) GDP (Gross Domestic Product) per capita. As shown, the state has the highest percentage of population with income below the poverty line in Brazil; as well as the lowest income and GDP level, below regional and national averages.

    23 Equivalent to twice the extreme poverty line. The Poverty Line is based on an estimate of the value of a food basket having the minimum calories needed to adequately supply a person, based on World Health Organization (WHO) recommendations.

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    d) Violence

         Table 25 shows the number of deaths per aggression for every 100 thousand inhabitants registered in the year 2014. As shown, the state of Alagoas is well above the regional and national averages, showing evidence of a safety risk to both the work force and its population.

    Table 25 - Information on Violence 
    Region  Deaths by 
      Aggression 
    ALAGOAS  63.0 
    BRAZIL  29.4 
    NORTH  34.3 
    NORTHEAST  41.6 
    Source: 2014 Datasus/IBGE. 

     

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    CEAL Environmental Assessment Summary Report

    September 18, 2017


     

    National Bank for Economic and Social Development ("BNDES")

    Av. República do Chile, 100 Rio de Janeiro/RJ

    September 18, 2017 Dear Sirs,

    As requested by BNDES and in compliance the with terms and conditions of Electronic Tender AARH No. 51/2016, of OCS

    Contract No. 28/2017 (the “Contract”) dated February 14, 2017, and the provisions of section 80 of Law No. 13,303/2016, we have prepared this summary containing a presentation of key issues identified by us during the environmental assessment work carried out in Companhia Energética de Alagoas (“CEAL”).

    The scope of our services was limited to the procedures described in item 4.2.7 of Annex I to the Contract. This summary does not include all the issues identified and presented in the Environmental Assessment Report dated May 5, 2017, and should thus be reviewed together with the remainder of the report for a comprehensive understanding of the issues identified.

    Our work involved review of documents made available in databases, interviews with managers in charge of the environmental activities of the company and on-site visits to six substation facilities.

    The information used in our work was provided by the company's management and reviewed on the premise that it is true and complete. Except as expressly stated in the scope of our work, this information was not subject to testing or verification.

    The work carried out does not constitute an examination performed in accordance with financial statement auditing standards. Due diligence works are unregulated and not subject to specific standards; for this reason, the procedures applied in our work were those determined in the Final Tender Protocol, and PwC is not responsible for any inadequacies of such procedures in achieving the goals determined by BNDES. Other matters could have been detected and reported if PwC had been asked to perform additional procedures. Yours faithfully,

    PricewaterhouseCoopers Corporate Finance & Recovery Ltda. acting as consortium leader

    /s./ Rogério Roberto Gollo /s./ Luciano Jorge Moreira Sampaio Junior

    This document is a true copy of the original signed version delivered to BNDES and in the possession of Eletrobras.


     

    1 Purpose and limitations of the work  2 Summary of key issues identified: 
    Our work involved review of documents made available in databases,    Facilities operate without the required environmental operation license and 
    interviews with managers in charge of the environmental activities of the    other licenses such as the Fire Brigade Inspection Service Certificate 
    company and on-site visits to six substation facilities.    (FBISC) and the IBAMA Federal Technical Registration (IFTR) 
    The purpose of the work was to evaluate key environmental and social issues of    Noncompliance with the terms and conditions of operating licenses 
    CEAL in light of the applicable laws and regulations, review how such issues    Substation noise levels not monitored 
    are managed from environmental and social standpoints, and identify     
    potential deficiencies and situations that may result in significant risks and    Lack of documents such as Solid Waste Management Plans (SWMPs) and 
    costs to the company.    Solid Waste Inventories (SWIs) 
    The following topics were reviewed: solid wastes, PCB/ascarel, noise,    Waste burning 
    atmospheric emissions, wastewaters, water resources, permanent preservation    Incorrect storage and disposal of hazardous solid wastes 
    areas, plant suppression, service providers, environmental accidents,     
    environmental liabilities, easement trespassing, conflicts with indigenous    Unlicensed use of artesian wells (drinkability not monitored also) 
    populations, engagement practices and interaction with surrounding    Transformer explosion incidents 
    populations, as well as assessments, fines and consent agreements.     
        Oil stains found on non-impervious soils 
    The scope of the work did not include generation of additional data through     
    collection and analysis of soil and water, atmospheric emission and wastewater    Painting activities carried out without environmental controls 
    samples, nor was any evaluation performed for the purpose of checking    Substations and maintenance activities lack appropriate containment 
    compliance with laws related to workers' health and safety.    systems and oil-water separator boxes 
        Old, pre-1980 transformers in use and untested for PCB/ascarel 

     

    Summary of key issues identified

    Below is a summary of key issues identified during the environmental assessment work. As such, it does not include all of the issues identified and discussed in the Environmental Assessment Report and should thus be read in conjunction with the rest of the report for a comprehensive understanding of the issues identified.

    Eletrobras System Distributor   
    Privatization PwC  3 

     


     

    Summary of key issues identified

    Below is a summary of key issues identified during the environmental assessment work. This summary does not include all issues identified and presented in the Environmental Assessment Report. Accordingly, it should be reviewed together with the remainder of the report for a comprehensive understanding of the issues identified.

    3 Estimate of costs to remedy issues identified

    An estimated amount between R$ 13.1 million and R$ 51 million, approximately, is required in order to remedy and mitigate some of the previously highlighted issues and their respective potential impacts, as shown in the chart below.

    Cost estimates do not include the expense with fines incurred by the company due to noncompliance with any applicable laws and regulations. Fines and assessments provided for in the applicable environmental laws and regulations vary substantially in amount; for this reason, the exact amounts of fines are contingent, among other considerations, upon evaluation by the competent environmental authorities. Furthermore, amounts reported do not include the cost of mitigating issues that depend on non-measurable variables at the time of writing, such as disposal of hazardous wastes and disposal of any equipment containing PCBs.

    At present, it is not the intention of PwC to state that these figures are accurate and that they reflect the amounts effectively required to implement each of the proposed actions. In any case, the figures presented in this summary serve as a reference in connection with the privatization process.

    In addition to the estimated expenditures, resolution alternatives for each identified issue as well as the potential violation or infringement, if any, that the company is subject to under the applicable environmental laws and regulations, were presented. This information is included in the Environmental Assessment Report dated May 5, 2017.

    Eletrobras System Distributor Privatization PwC  4 

     


     

    Annex I - Issue and estimated cost summary chart

    Below is a summary of key issues identified during the environmental assessment work. As such, it does not include all of the issues identified and discussed in the 
    Environmental Assessment Report and should thus be read in conjunction with the rest of the report for a comprehensive understanding of the issues identified. 
     
    Issue #  Topic  Issue Identified    Cost (in R$)*   
          Minimum  Middle  Maximum 
     
     
     
     
        Deficiencies identified in       
        the storage of Class I       
    1  Waste    R$5,189,756  R$12,974,390  R$20,759,024 
        (hazardous) solid wastes at       
        substations.       
     
     
     
     
        Incorrect disposal of Class I       
    2  Waste  solid hazardous wastes (e.g.  Not available - According to information provided by CEAL, the tendering process for 
        paint and lamp bulbs).  specialized solid hazardous waste management contractors is underway. 
     
     
     
     
    3  Waste  Waste is burned outdoors.    N/A   
     
     
    Eletrobras System Distributor Privatization PwC     

     

    5 

     


     

    Annex I - Issue and estimated cost summary chart (cont.)

      6 
    Eletrobras System Distributor Privatization PwC   

     


     

    Annex I - Point summary table and cost estimate (cont.)

    Issue #  Topic  Issue Identified    Cost (in R$)*   
              Minimum  Middle  Maximum 
     
        Lack of noise monitoring       
    8  Noise  at the substations.  R$133,300  R$133,300  R$133,300 
     
     
     
        Interference with PPA       
      Permanent  without proper       
    9  Preservation  authorization from    N/A   
      Areas  environmental       
        authorities.       
     
        Currently several facilities       
        of CEAL operate without       
    10  Licensing        R$523,800  R$577,150  R$630,500 
        the proper operating       
        licenses.       
     
     
        Compliance  with the       
        terms and conditions of       
        substation    operating       
    11  Licensing        R$1,900,000  R$1,900,000  R$1,900,000 
        licenses  (e.g.  noise       
        monitoring)  is either       
        limited or entirely absent.       
     
     
        FBISC absent for CEAL       
    12  FBISC        R$16,125  R$16,125  R$16,125 
        substations.       

     


     

    Eletrobras System Distributor Privatization PwC   
    Annex I - Issue and estimated cost summary chart (cont.)  7 

     

    Issue #  Topic  Issue Identified    Cost (in R$)*     
          Minimum  Middle  Maximum   
     
    13  IFTR  IFTR absent for all    N/A     
        facilities         
        Painting activities         
        carried out at CEAL         
      Atmospher  facilities lack         
    14  ic    R$33,000  R$148,666  R$245,000   
      Emissions  appropriate         
        environmental control         
        measures.         
        Lack of containment         
        basins and oil-water         
        separator boxes for         
        substation transformers         
      Wastewate  and/or at locations in         
    15  rs  which oil-containing  R$4,956,000  R$9,912,000  R$19,824,000   
        equipment is serviced.         
     
     
     
        Water resources used in         
    16  Water  substations without  R$1,128.15  R$1,128.15  R$1,128.15   
      Resources  appropriate licensing.         
     
     
                8 

     

    Eletrobras System Distributor Privatization PwC


     

    Annex I - Issue and estimated cost summary chart (cont.)

    Issue #  Topic  Issue Identified    Cost (in R$)*     
          Minimum  Middle  Maximum   
     
     
     
        Water drinkability not         
      Water           
    17  Resources tested at facilities using  R$1,980  R$1,980  R$1,980   
        artesian wells.         
     
     
     
     
        Existing risk of water and         
        soil contamination in         
        substations and facilities         
        (oil stains detected on the         
        soil) resulting from         
    18  Miscellaneo leakages due to improper  R$340,000  R$3,825,000  R$7,310,000   
      us           
        storage of oily wastes or         
        accidents such as         
        explosions of transformers         
        and oil-containing         
        equipment.         
     
     
        TOTAL  R$13,153,249.15  R$29,581,979.15  R$ 50,947,377.15   
     
    *Costs are estimated based on the assumptions detailed in the Environmental Assessment Report dated May 5, 2017.     
     
                9 

     

    Eletrobras System Distributor Privatization PwC


     

    © 2017 - PricewaterhouseCoopers Corporate Finance & Recovery. All rights reserved. In this document, “PwC” refers to PricewaterhouseCo opers Corporate Finance & Recovery, a member firm of the PricewaterhouseCoopers network, or, as suggested by context, the network itself.

    Each member firm of the PwC network is a separate and independent legal entity. Please see www.pwc.com/structure for further details on the PwC network.


     



     

    To

    National Bank for Economic and Social Development ("BNDES") Av. República do Chile n° 100 Rio de Janeiro - RJ

    C/O: Ms. Lidiane Delesderrier Gonçalves Manager of Agreement OCS 028/2017 May 2017 Dear Sirs,

    According to our service agreement OCS 028/2017 ("Agreement") executed between BNDES and the Mais Energia B Consortium ("Consortium") on 2/14/2017, we present the result of our work carried out in the context of Privatization of Eletrobrás System Distributors.

    The result of our work is detailed in this document "Product 08: CEAL Human Resources Evaluation Report ("Report"), dated May 2017.

    Our work was developed solely for the purpose of advising the BNDES, as those responsible for executing and monitoring the process of privatization of utility companies by Decree 8.893, in CEAL's evaluation, in accordance with the Agreement, and was based on information provided by CEAL's management and on the premise that this information is true and complete. This information was not subject to testing or verification, except where expressly stated within the scope of our work.

    In case the Report is to be accessed by third parties, it must be made available in full, so that the applicable safeguards and limitations are known.

    Regards,

    PricewaterhouseCoopers Corporate Finance & Recovery Ltda., as leader of the Consortium

    [Signed]  [Signed] 
    Regério Roberto Gollo  Marcio José Soares Lutterbach 

     

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul  1 
    This document is a true copy of the original signed version delivered to BNDES and in the possession of Eletrobras. 

     


     

    Summary   
     
    1. Executive Summary  4 
    2. Organizational structure  7 
    2.1.  Organizational Chart:  7 
    2.2.  Nature and assignments of bodies:  7 
    2.3.  Profile of Positions and roles:  9 
    2.4. Profile of gratified roles and positions in commission:  10 
    2.5.  Relevant changes to the Organizational Structure:  11 
    3. Staff profile  12 
    3.1.  General information  12 
    3.2.  Demographic profile  12 
    3.3.  Productive profile of the workforce  13 
    3.4.  Workforce Development  19 
    3.5.  Leadership profile  21 
    3.6. Leadership by position  22 
    3.7.  Leadership education level  23 
    3.8. Leadership Service Time  24 
    4. Personnel Cost  25 
    4.1. Compensation structure  25 
    4.2. Cost with active employees  26 
    4.3. Interns and apprentices  29 
    4.4. Costs with inactive staff  29 
    5. Collective agreements  30 
    5.1. Salary readjustment  30 
    5.2.  Benefits  30 
    5.3.  Payment of other bonuses  30 
    6. Outsourcing  32 
    7. Aspects related to health and safety  33 
    7.1.  Verification of existence of health and safety policies and procedures  33 
    7.2.  PCMSO Analysis  33 
    7.3.  PPRA Analysis  33 
    7.4.  Verification of completion of occupational medical examinations  34 
    7.5.  Internal Committee on Accident Prevention ("CIPA")  34 
    7.6.  Survey of work accidents (with/without leave) and opening of CAT (Work accident communication)  34 
    7.7.  PPE Delivery Verification  35 
    7.8.  Occupational Safety Technician Performance  35 
    7.9.  Mandatory training  35 
    1. Position and Compensation Plan ("PCR")  38 
     
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    1.1.  Compensation Structure  39 
    Growth Rules:  39 
    1.2.  Access requirements:  40 
    2. Variable pay  41 
    3. Benefits    41 
    4. Performance Management  44 
    4.1.  Performance Matrix:  45 
    5. Training and Development  46 
    6. Organizational Climate  47 

     

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    1. Executive Summary

         This report consists of the first part of the Human Resources Evaluation for Ceal, within the scope of the project "Eletrobras System Distributors' Privatization Process Evaluation" contracted by BNDES, through "AARH Electronic Trading Floor # 51/2016" invitation to bid with the Mais Energia B Consortium composed of PwC (consortium leader), Siglasul and Loeser e Portela Advogados.

         The documents prepared by Ceal between February and April 2017 were used to prepare the following analysis and indicators.

         In this report, we present information related to Ceal's staff considering the cut-off date of December 31, 2016, and adopted the following assumptions for the generation and analysis of personnel indicators.

    Considered:  Not considered: 
    Employees  Interns 
    Member of the Board of Directors  Young apprentices 
    Director  Pensioners 
    Employees on secondment  Assigned Employees 
    Commissioned positions  Employees laid off in December/2016 
      Retirees on Disability 

     

         PwC's 2016 Benchmarking was used to compare the indicators. Indicators were compared with data from the Electrical Sector Panel composed of 18 companies in the sector. In cases where data from this Panel were not available, the Distributor's indicators were compared with General Market data.

    Considering the base date of December 31, 2016, the Distributor's workforce has 1,128 active employees. This group is composed mainly of men (88%), with an average of 42 years of age, who have completed high school (40%).

    Employees spent an average of 14 years in the company, and approximately 32% spent over 20 years in the company.

    Employees are distributed into four broad positions: middle-school level professional (57%), high-school level operational professional (12%), high-school level support professional (17%) and higher-education level professional (10%). Professionals with training beyond what is required in the public competition exist. Despite the preponderance of middle-school level positions, about 18% of employees have higher-education level.

    Among leaderships, 56% of leaders are in higher-education level positions and 66% of positions are held by professionals with up to 10 years in the company. We observe that the breadth of command at the Distributor (number of employees per leader) is 13, which is similar to what is found among companies in the electric power sector.

    The average turnover of the last 5 years was around 5%, which is lower than that of the electric power market (7%). This indicator was impacted by layoffs resulting from the voluntary resignation programs in the years of 2013 and 2014 and by the hiring resulting from the process of insourcing of activities in 2015.

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    CEAL has consistent Health and Safety policies and the analysis of the number of accidents in the last 5 years shows an opportunity to adopt more effective practices. The Distributor maintained an average of 23 accidents per year. On average, 4.78% of the staff were on leave in recent years.

    With regard to professional training, there was investment of approximately 47.12 hours/year and BRL 405.71 (average) per employee for dedication to training.

    Regarding personnel cost, we observed that the fixed remuneration of Ceal's employees contributes to the weight of the Total Cost, representing 51%. The total cost per capita for the Distributor is 36% lower than that shown by the electric power market.

    Regarding people management practices, the Distributor operates in an integrated manner with the other companies of the Eletrobras System. Consistent policies and practices are in place for performance appraisal, training, and compensation. Personnel management issues seem poorly organized and supported by poorly automated systems.

    The benefits practiced by Ceal are, in their totality, established in a collective agreement. It should be noted that the package offered is superior to that usually practiced in the private market and there is no differentiation between the benefits offered to managers and employees of the administration and operation.

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    I. PART I

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         Supervisory Board: Collegial body responsible for overseeing the acts of company managers and verifying compliance with the Company's legal and statutory duties, examining its financial statements, as well as other roles set forth in specific legislation.

         Executive Board: Ensuring regular functioning of the Company and, to this end, vested with powers of administration and management of corporate business, is able to deliberate on any matters related to the corporate purpose, except those that, due to their nature or under the Bylaws, are attributed to the General Meeting or the Board of Directors. It is coordinated by the president of the Board of Directors and composed of six (6) official members, with a term of three (3) years, and reelection is allowed. It is formed by the local CEO and five (5) corporate directors. Regular meetings are held weekly, and extraordinary meetings may be held whenever necessary. Members of this Board are elected by the company's Board of Directors.

    Upper management bodies: office of the CEO and boards 
    Bodies responsible for the planning, coordination and control of their specific activities as defined 
    in the Bylaws and in the Company Organization Handbook. 

     

         Office of the CEO: The Office of the CEO is responsible, through the actions of the Chief Executive Officer, for the political-administrative orientation and representation of the company.

         Regulatory Affairs and Special Projects Board: The Regulatory Affairs and Special Projects Board is responsible for planning, guiding, supervising, coordinating and controlling activities related to technical, commercial and economic-financial regulation, as well as those related to projects related to research and development, energy efficiency, ombudsman and special projects, in accordance with what is established in the concession agreement and current legislation.

         Planning and Expansion Board: The Planning and Expansion Board is responsible for planning, guiding, supervising, coordinating and controlling the activities related to the planning and implementation of the expansion of the electric distribution and subtransmission systems, in order to ensure fulfillment of the demand from the energy consumer market within the concession area, as well as activities related to environmental management and monitoring of the company's activities.

         Commercial Board: The Commercial Department is responsible for planning, guiding, supervising, coordinating and controlling the activities related to the company's commercial relationship with its consumers, in accordance with the provisions of the concession agreement and current legislation, as well as activities related to market projections and energy purchasing.

         Financial Board: The Financial Board is responsible for planning, guiding, supervising, coordinating and controlling the activities related to general and cost accounting, accounts payable and receivable, budget, treasury, tax management, equity control, insurance, fundraising and investments.

         Management Board: The Management Board is responsible for planning, guiding, supervising, coordinating and controlling the activities related to people management, training and development, occupational safety and medicine, labor and union relations, supplies and material management, transportation, information technology, organization and methods, documentation and archiving, and general services.

    On December 31, 2016, Ceal's workforce was composed according to the table below.

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      Category  Amount 
    a.  Employees in permanent positions  1,111 
    b.  Employees on secondment from other bodies and spheres*  4 
    Employees without ties to the public administration (commissioned)  6 
    d.  Board members  7 
    Assigned employees  11 
    Total (a+b+c+d-e)  1,128 
     
      In addition to the professionals above, Ceal's workforce include interns and young apprentices. 
     
      Category  Amount 
    a.  Young apprentice  43 
    b.  Interns  94 
    Total (a+b)  137 

     

    2.3. Profile of Positions and roles:

         Following what has been established in the Eletrobras System's Position and Compensation Plan ("PCR"), Ceal employees are distributed into four broad positions:

      Levels of         
    Broad position        Role   
      complexity         
     
    Middle-school Level      §  Assistant Electrician   
    Professional ("PF")  I, II    §  Administrative Electrician-Driver assistant   
        §  Accounting technician   
    High-school Level Support  I, II, III and IV  §  Administrative Support   
    Professional ("PMS")           
     
        §  Electrical Technician,   
    High-school Level Operational    §  Telecommunications Technician   
    Professional ("PMO")  I, II, III and IV  §  Work Safety Technician   
        §  Electronics Technician.   
        §  Administrator   
        §  Lawyer   
        §  Social Communication Analyst   
    Higher-education Level    §  Information Technology and   
     
    Professional ("PS")  I, II, III and IV  §  Archivist Communications Analyst   
        §  Social Worker   
        §  Accountant   
     
     
    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul          9 

     


     

    §  Economist 
    §  Civil Engineer 
    §  Electrical Engineer 
    §  Work Safety Engineer 
    §  Work Physician 
    §  Organizational Psychologist 

     

         At Ceal, roles that originally in the PCR are classified as high-school level are classified as middle-school level professionals. Namely: Electrician Driver, Administrative Assistant.

         Note: The PCR also defines the position of Professional Researcher, but this was not adopted by the Distributors.

    2.4. Profile of gratified roles and positions in commission:

         Gratified roles are carried out by permanent employees who act in positions of leadership and advisory positions:

    Category  Amount 
    Board Assistant  8 
    Assistant to the CEO  1 
    Director  1 
    Manager  18 
    Area Manager  48 
    Advisory Manager  3 
    COI Leader  3 
    Location Leader  10 
    Auctioneer  1 
    Total  93 

     

         In addition to gratified roles, Ceal has employees with no ties to the public administration who act in a commissioned position. This contracting model is set forth in Article 37 item II of the Constitution.

    Category  Amount 
    Board Assistant  2 
    Advisory Manager  1 
    Director  3 
    Total  6 
     
    In total, Ceal's staff has 99 employees in gratified roles and commissioned positions. 

     

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    2.5. Relevant changes to the Organizational Structure: 2.5.1. Incentivized Resignation Program ("PID")

         In 2013 and 2014 all distributors of the Eletrobras System implemented the Incentivized Resignation Program ("PID"). The following were considered eligible: employees who had a 20-year effective employment relationship with the distributor, considered in the month of termination and retired by the INSS regardless of the time of employment with the distributor. Membership was voluntary and depended on the initiative of the request for resignation by the employees.

    73 employees were laid off, distributed into two stages:

    Stage 1 (July 2013 to December 2013): 58 terminations.

    Stage 2 (January 2014 to November 2014): 15 terminations.

         Those terminated through the PID received the maintenance of the benefit of medical assistance for a determined period of time, according to the step in which they were laid off:

    Stage 1 - 60 months of medical care maintenance and

    Stage 2 - 12 months of medical care maintenance.

    2.5.2. Approval of the new 2017 organizational structure

         Ceal's organizational structure is in the process of being updated, but the new model has not yet been implemented.

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         According to his/her position, the employee receives appropriate training actions and is eligible for promotion or salary raise by merit.

         Employees on leave during the appraisal cycle, commissioned employees, members of the Board of Directors and directors do not participate in this performance appraisal model, and thus, only 954 employees participated in the 2016 cycle.

         By analyzing the results of the appraisals, we observed that the majority of employees have their skills appraised at "Above expectations" (49%) and targets appraised at "Exceeds" (58%). These employees are positioned in quadrant 4. We also verified that about 3% is appraised at "Partially meets" for skills and 8% for targets.

      Appraisal result   
    Skills    Targets   
    AE - Above Expectations  49%  S - Exceeds  58% 
    A - Meets  47%  A - Meets  34% 
    AP - Partially meets  3%  AP - Partially meets  8% 
    NA - Dos not meet  1%  NA - Dos not meet  - 

     

         Good market practices indicate that, on average, 70% of appraised employees receive a "Meets" grade, and the rest is distributed between "Does not meet", "Partially meets" and "Exceeds" (the latter is generally limited to 5% of those appraised).

    3.4.2. Training hours

         In 2016, Ceal accounted for 53,011 hours of training, representing an approximate investment of 47.12 hours per year per capita (approximately 6 days) for dedication to training at a cost of BRL 456,429.02 (BRL 405.70 per capita).

         According to the 2015 Management Report, in 2015 the investment in training and development totaled 81,396 hours of training, representing 75.09 hours per year (approximately 9 days). The cost of training was BRL 1,127,711.10 (BRL 1,040.33).

         According to information gathered during interviews, the reduction in investment in training was due to budget constraints in 2016. As an opportunity to keep training hours at a low cost, the Distributor can benefit from the partnership with institutions of the S System (inter alia, SENAI, SENAC, SESC).

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    4. Personnel Cost

    The analysis of Ceal's personnel costs was based on the reports from the December 2016 payroll.

         In the documents and reports provided by the Distributor, the following types of employment relationships were identified through the payroll, i.e., with receipt of some type of compensation.

      Category  Amount 
      EMPLOYEE  1,115 
    ACTIVE  COMMISSIONED POSITION  3 
      SECONDMENT  4 
      TERMINATED EMPLOYEES  35 
      TERMINATED INTERNS  21 
    INACTIVE     
      TERMINATED APPRENTICES  1 
      RETIREES ON DISABILITY  7 
      ASSIGNED EMPLOYEES  11 
    OTHER  YOUNG APPRENTICE  43 
      INTERN  94 
      Total  1,334 

     

         The analysis of the demographic data included 1,128 active employees, however, Ceal has 3 commissioned employees, 2 directors and 1 member of the Board of Directors who are not on the payroll, and are instead paid directly by the source company. Thus, the personnel cost data shown below considers only 1,122 active employees, 64 inactive employees and 148 other employees.

    4.1. Compensation structure

    Ceal's compensation structure consists of the following items:

    Fixed pay:

    Salary established according to the Position and Role Plan, according to positions and complexity. The current salary table is available in item 1.1, Part II;

    Compensation received for vacation, maternity wages and sickness allowance;

    Fees paid to employees who exercise the role of Directors or Board members who do not receive a salary;

    Incorporated bonus, i.e., bonuses that have been incorporated into the salary and the employee does not fail to receive;

    Bonus for service time incorporated into the salary paid according to the specific terms of the Distributor's collective agreement.

    Variable pay

    Considers the payment of Profit Sharing. The rules for this payment are described in Part II item 2.

    Benefits:

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    Benefits paid in December 2016 are defined in a collective agreement and include: 
     
    Health and Well-being Support  Education Support  Family Support 
     
    Medical Aid  Educational reimbursement  Special dependent aid 
    Dental Care  Graduation reimbursement  Babysitting reimbursement 
    Continuous-use medication    Childcare reimbursement 
    reimbursement     
    Medication reimbursement    Funeral aid 
    Gym reimbursement     
    Hospital Medical Treatment     
     
    Food aid     
    Transportation Reimbursement     
    Transportation aid     

     

    The rules established for payment of the above benefits are specified in section 6 of this report.

    Bonuses:

    Unhealthiness pay;

    Hazard pay;

    Hardship pay;

    Night-time bonus;

    Gratified role bonus;

    Other items (representing sporadic payments):

    Overtime;

    On-call;

    Transfer bonus;

    Travel accommodation.

    4.2. Cost with active employees

         The total personnel cost, considering active employees, for the month of December 2016, is BRL 10,443,432.14. The costs with payment of 13th salary for this period was BRL 8,350,553.85 and was not considered in the calculation of financial indicators. In this calculation, charges and deductions were also not considered:

      Dec. 2016 
    Total personnel cost*  BRL 
      10,443,432.14 
    *considers gross compensation, without deductions and charges.   

     

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    4.3. Interns and apprentices

    In addition to employees, interns and apprentices are on the payroll.

    Relationship  Amount  Costs 
    Apprentices  43  BRL 27,231.65 
    Interns  94  BRL 63,550.40 

     

         Internship program includes higher-education and high-school students at several departments of the company. Management of the contract is carried out by CIEE (Centro de Integração Empresa Escola).

         The amount for compensation for higher-education interns is BRL 400.00, and for high-school interns is BRL 293.00. The workload is 20 hours per week. All are entitled to a transportation fee of BRL 6.00 and a monthly meal aid. Young apprentices are entitled to a compensation of BRL 413.33.

    4.4. Costs with inactive staff

    In addition to the cost with employees, the payroll includes inactive staff.

    Retirees on disability and terminated employees received in the December 2016 payroll a payment residue related to profit sharing. The total amount paid to inactive staff represents less than 2% of the total payroll.

    Category  Costs 
    Retirees on disability  BRL 5,255.96 
    Assigned Employees  BRL 280,147.11 
    Terminated employees  BRL 101,283.31 

     

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    5. Collective agreements

         The collective bargaining agreement is nation-wide, covers 100% of employees, and its clauses cover all six Distributors analyzed. In addition to this instrument, the company also has a Specific Agreement and Profit Sharing Agreement. Over the years, the definitions established in previous years have been maintained.

    Document  Scope 
    2016 - 2018 Collective agreement   
    Nation-wide commitment agreement   
    2016 -2018 Specific collective agreement  Its clauses cover all Distributors 
    Specific commitment agreement   
    Specific clauses of the Collective Agreement by   
    distributor  Ceal-specific clauses 
    Specific commitment agreement   

     

    5.1. Salary readjustment

         With respect to salary raises, in the current agreement the readjustment was of 9.28%. It is common to set the 5% downpayment on the base date of the category (May), and the difference between the downpayment and the percentage increase negotiated in the agreement is paid retroactively.

    Collective Agreement  Salary readjustment percentages 
    2012-2013  6.60% 
    2013-2015  7.90% 
    2015-2016  8.18% 
    2016-2018  9.28% 

     

    5.2. Benefits

         With respect to salary raises, in the current agreement the readjustment was of 9.28%. It is common to set the 5% downpayment on the base date of the category (May), and the difference between the downpayment and the percentage increase negotiated in the agreement is paid retroactively.

    5.3. Payment of other bonuses

         In addition to the benefits, the collective agreement and its respective specific agreements establish clauses regarding payment of bonuses. The following are the main aspects:

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    Clause  Agreement description 
     
    Hardship pay  Payment of 7.5% on base salary, plus Bonus for service time, for employees 
      in continuous rotating shifts. 
     
    Unhealthiness pay  Basis of calculation will be the lowest salary of Eletrobras' salary matrix. It is 
      limited to the 40%, 20% and 10% percentages according to the degree of 
      unhealthiness classified according to maximum, medium and minimum 
      levels. 
    Night-time bonus  Payment of bonus for employees' extended hours, provided that they fully 
      fulfilled their shift in the night period. 
    Hazard pay  Indicates the adoption of the payment criterion set forth in Law 12.740/2012 
      for employees admitted before 12/8/2012. 
    Overtime  Calculated according to the percentages applied in the relevant legislation. 
     
    Substitution  Non-cumulative grant of Gratification for role to formal substitutes of an 
    gratification  official gratified management position for a period of more than 10 days, to 
      the amount valid in the payment month. 
    13th salary  50% advance payment may be requested on the annual holiday schedule and 
    should be received together with the holiday payment.

    Bonus for service   
    time ("ATS"):  It will pay employees a bonus per year of uninterrupted service rendered. 
     
     
    Electrician/driver  Driver gratification to electricians in the usual exercise of the 
    gratification  Electrician/Driver role. 
    ("GEM"):   
      1/3 of the normal hour for employees on-call under applicable legislation. 
    On-call   
     
    Holiday  Holiday gratification payment of 75% 
    gratification   

     

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    6. Outsourcing

         Historically, the Distributors have practiced labor outsourcing to perform certain roles. This outsourcing is contracted and managed by the contracting department, by the contract manager. Accordingly, there is no characterization of an employment relationship with outsourced professionals.

         In 2013, legal decisions were made to replace outsourced labor (legal decisions and decisions from judgments 2132/2010 - TCU-Plenary Sitting - and 2303/2012 - TCU-Plenary Sitting) with in-house staff.

         Ceal has designed a project to prioritize such labor. Services that are the object of insourcing are those of a continuous nature, directly related to the end activity and having roles foreseen in the Career and Compensation Plan ("PCR") and the defined deadline was 5/19/2017.

         According to the Insourcing Project, the proposal for Ceal is that out of a total of 414 third-party employees, 19 employees are insourced. A total of 159 employees were hired, considering the years of 2015 and 2016, with the objective of labor insourcing.

         It is important to note that Law 13.249/2017, which regulates outsourcing in companies, is being discussed and has not yet been promulgated, so the exercise of activities by outsourced professionals may represent a labor exposure and the need for insourcing should be considered.

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    7. Aspects related to health and safety

    7.1. Verification of existence of health and safety policies and procedures

         In addition to specific clauses on health and safety defined in a collective agreement, Ceal has policies and standards aimed at preserving the health and safety of its employees. The main aspects related to the topic are shown below.

         Ceal follows the health and safety policies and procedures established by the Eletrobras System, which are an integral part of the PPRA and PCMSO.

    7.2. PCMSO Analysis

         Ceal submitted the document for the preparation and implementation of a valid Occupational Health Medical Control Program ("PCMSO"), which was prepared in January 2016.

         The document covers both employees of the capital and those of the rural areas and classifies the activity of the Distributor as risk degree 3. The following are the main aspects analyzed in the document:

    Aspects analyzed      Classification 
    Clear goals       
    Risk degree      ï 
    Describes actions to promote health    ï 
    Describes tests to be performed     
    Recognition of environmental risks    ï 
    Procedure in case of accident     
    Responsibilities       
    Has descriptions for positions and roles     
    Has performance indicators    ï 
    Schedule of actions       
    Expected to disclose results    ï 
     
    Key: showed evidence  ï insufficient information  × did not show evidence   

     

    7.3. PPRA Analysis

         Ceal submitted the document for the preparation and implementation of a valid Environmental Risk Prevention Program ("PPRA"), which was prepared in October 2016. The Distributor has a single PPR that covers all of its Units.

    Aspects analyzed  Classification 
    Clear goals   
    Roles and responsibilities   
    Has performance/goal indicators  ï 

     

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         The Distributor has evidence of being in compliance with the need to open a "CAT" (Work accident communication) when work accidents occur.

    Ceal number of accidents  2016  2015  2014  2013  2012 
    With Leave  10  14  14  11  22 
    Without Leave  7  8  11  5  2 
    Commute  0  0  0  8  6 
    Total number of accidents  17  22  25  24  30 

     

    The number of accidents involving outsourced companies, service providers, was also provided by 
    the Distributor.         
     
    Number of accidents with Third  2015  2014  2013  2012 
    parties         
    Total number of accidents  19  13  14  7 

     

    7.7. PPE Delivery Verification

         Ceal showed evidence that it performs PPE delivery control for the following roles, which require this type of equipment: Electrician serving in COD and Maintenance of electric power distribution lines and grids Electrician driver; Substation Operator; Winch Operator; Electrician for De-energized Grid Maintenance, disconnections and connections of consumer units; Medium/High Voltage Reader; Electrical Technician and Safety Technician; Engineer.

    7.8. Occupational Safety Technician Performance

    Ceal has in its staff a professional that acts as a work safety technician.

    7.9. Mandatory training

         Mandatory health and safety training depends on the activities performed by the employees, which can expose them to different risk situations.

         Ceal offers its employees the following training sessions, according to the activities carried out: Regulatory Standard 10 (NR10), Regulatory Standard 35 (NR35), Regulatory Standard 37 (NR37) and Regulatory Standard 33 (NR33). The mentioned training must be performed every two years.

    NR10 - Training performed by employees who perform activities related to the electrical system.

    NR35 - Training performed by employees who perform activities in high altitude.

    NR17 - Training performed by employees who perform activities related to call centers/telemarketing.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul  35 

     


     

    NR33 - Training aimed at preventing health risk factors.

    In 2016, 74 employees participated in these trainings.

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    II. PART II

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    High-school Level Operational Professional ("PMO")  I, II, III and IV 
    Higher-education Level Professional ("PS")  I, II, III and IV 
    Professional Researcher ("PP")  I, II, III and IV 

     

         Broad positions shall be unfolded in occupational spaces with the purpose of giving flexibility to the professionals to assume different roles in the Organization and, thus, to allow greater alignment between the performance of the professional and the expectations and needs of the person himself/herself and the Organization by respecting the specific requirements of each training.

         Occupational spaces define specific assignments, skill and training requirements, given the characteristics of organizational processes and professional regulations.

    1.1. Compensation Structure

         Each of the five broad positions defined in the Career and Compensation Plan of the Eletrobras System has its respective salary scale. The salary scale consists of "ranges" that are divided into steps: Ranges: Reflect each of the complexity levels established for the positions.

         Steps: The number of steps per range varies due to the established wage spread (guided by internal and external market information) and adherence to the methodology present in the requirements for accessing the complexity levels of each position.

    Growth Rules:

         Employees can undergo horizontal growth (advancing through steps) or vertical growth (advancing through ranges).

         Horizontal growth: The salary evolution of the employee within the same complexity level which the professional is currently in. This change is conditioned to the result of the Performance Appraisal and the availability of funds. Horizontal growth can be done over one (1) to three (3) wage steps.

         Vertical growth: The rise of the employee to the complexity level immediately above that of his/her current level. Vertical growth may occur during the twelve (12) months subsequent to the Performance Appraisal, subject to the defined access requirements for seniority promotion and availability of funds and vacancy for this purpose.

    Employees shall be ensured at least one (1) and at most four (4) salary growth steps.

         Promotion due to Seniority: An automatic advance corresponding to a ½ salary step advance. The level advance will correspond to a lateral (from column A to B) or diagonal (from column B to A) growth in the salary scale and will occur after the employee stays for 24 months at the same salary step, if he/she does not advance due to other criteria.

         After the employee stays for 24 months in the last step (column B) of the complexity level to which he/she belongs, the employee shall be entitled to a diagonal level advance. Level growth will only occur in the following cases:

    From Level I to Level II.

    From Level II to Level III.

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    2. Variable pay

         The Eletrobras system defined a policy for sharing the company's profits with employees ("PLR"). The maximum amount to be distributed is up to two salary payrolls of the relevant year for each company that signed the system.

    This payment of profit sharing is carried out in accordance with two stages.

          Impact on the amount to 
    Stage    Targets   
          be distributed 
     
      Holding company's net income target  25% 
    STAGE 1       
     
    PROFITABILITY  EBITDA target per company  25% 
     
      Business Performance Target   
      Agreement:   
    STAGE 2  -  Availability and Generation   
      -  Availability of transmission lines   
    OPERATIONAL      50% 
      -  Deducted Variable Portion on   
    TARGETS  transmission   
      -  Score obtained at ISE Bovespa   

     

    Achievement of targets can be proportional, with specific criteria for each.

         Once the assessment of all targets linked to PLR payment have been made, this will be paid 50% in a linear manner and 50% distributed in proportion to the pay of each employee. Permanent employees will be entitled as long as they have been in the company since January 1 of the year related to the PLR, as well as employees on secondment and assigned employees, provided that they do not receive PLR from their original/assignee companies. If any of these employees mentioned above has interrupted their employment contract throughout the reference year, they will not receive the PLR. If they work partially during the year due to their date of admission, retirement, dismissal without just cause, termination or leave, they will receive the PLR in a proportional way.

         Hours worked by the employee versus the total hours required by his/her position, by deducting holidays, maternity leave and occupational sick leave or work-related accidents shall be equal to or greater than 95% for him/her to be entitled to receive his/her PLR.

         Note 1: Scales having the levels of compliance with the holding company's net profit targets, EBITDA per company and operational targets are included in the PLR normative documents.

         Note 2: There are points that are still diverging between the companies and workers' unions to be later checked.

    3. Benefits

         As informed in Part I session 4, Personnel Costs, Boa Vista provides its employees with a series of benefits, part of which is established in a collective agreement, and part is offered at the company's discretion.

         Practices generally adopted by the market were not identified, such as differentiation of benefits for management positions.

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         The benefits established in a collective agreement, whether in the nation-wide agreement, in the nation-wide commitment agreement, in the specific agreement of the Distributors or in the specific agreement of the distributor are shown in the table below:

    Benefit  Current amount 
    Food/Meal Aid    13 to 16 booklets/year with 29 units having a value of BRL 37.82. 
        It shall be granted to employees subject to continuous rotating shifts 
    Snack Voucher    at the unit value of 50% of the meal voucher. 
    Food/meal aid in overtime  It shall be granted to employees when called to work on Saturdays, 
    schedule    Sundays and holidays. 
        Reimbursement of up to BRL 449.29/month per dependent, for 
        dependents up to 17 years of age, not cumulative with childcare aid, 
        in protection of the academic period (middle-school, high-school 
    Educational Aid    and/or technical school). 
        Reimbursement for expenses with school uniforms and supplies for 
        full scholarship recipients, limited to the amount of two monthly 
        tuition installments. 
    PCD Dependent Aid    Reimbursement of proven expenses with PCD dependents up to a 
        limit of BRL 843.65. 
     
    Childcare/Preschool/Nanny  Reimbursement of BRL 599.05/month per dependent for 
        dependents aged 6 months to 6 years. Note: limited to the amount 
    Aid    of two monthly tuition installments. 
    School material    Up to the limit amount of two monthly tuition installments for the 
    reimbursement    educational aid or childcare aid. 
        Partial reimbursement of expenses with higher education for 
        employees who have not yet finished college or for courses in fields 
    Cost aid for college    of knowledge considered to be of interest to the company. 
    students    Reimbursement of 90% the monthly tuition, limited to BRL 
        1,133.83. 
        Ceal has an in-house plan for payments, aid and benefits: Health 
        Protection and Recovery Plan ("PPRS"), which encompasses the use 
        of medical and care services under the Accredited Network, Free 
        Choice and Reciprocity Agreement modalities by recipients and 
        their dependents. Dependents are: children, stepchildren, spouse, 
        companion and parents, under the conditions set forth in the specific 
        standard. 
        The plan offers comprehensive coverage, including: 
    Dental care      Corrective and/or Orthopedic Apparatuses 
          Reimbursement of Medication expenses (continuous use only) 
          Hospital Care, Surgical and Obstetric Interventions 
          Psychotherapeutic and Speech Therapy Treatments 
          Treatments for Global Posture Re-education ("RPG") 
          Out-of-Home Treatment 
        The Distributor has a table with the amounts for each procedure. 
        Payment is made by the company, which deducts the employee's co- 
        pay.   

     

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      In the year 2016, the Healthcare Plan had the cost of BRL 
      7,409,470.74. 
      Reimbursement of funeral expenses up to the limit of BRL 4,921.28 
    Funeral Aid  and BRL 9,842.57 for death due to work accident. 
    Physical activity incentive  Reimbursement of expenses with physical activity up to the established 
      limit of BRL 94.58. 
      The Distributor pays for medical and hospital treatment expenses not 
    Hospital Medical Treatment  covered by the healthcare plan for victims of work accidents and 
      occupational illness. 
    Medication for injured  The Distributor pays for 100% of the amount of medication for work 
    employees  accident victims. 
    Illness/  Compensation supplement, including thirteenth salary, to an amount 
    work accident aid  corresponding to the difference between monthly compensation and the 
      benefit received by social security as work sickness/accident aid. 
    Out-of-state healthcare  Advance of 2 gross wages to employees who need out-of-state 
      treatment due to illness. (Maximum 30% of the employee's 
    compensation limited to 10 payments.

    Airfare  Provision of airfare for out-of-home treatment of illness to employees 
      in rural areas of the state. 
      Group life insurance for permanent employees, apprentices, interns, 
    Life insurance  members of the Board of Directors and directors, with predetermined 
      amounts. 
      Accident insurance will be paid by the company in case of a fatal 
    Accident insurance  accident at work or in case of an accident at work resulting in 
      permanent incapacity for work. 
    Transportation voucher  Granted to employees, apprentices and interns, according to the law. 
     
    Leave for victims of  Paid leave of 3 to 5 days to workers. 
    domestic violence   
    Patient companion leave  Medical companionship for relatives or healthcare plan dependents: 
      from 1 to 30 days subject to submission of medical certificate or 
      medical report. 
     
    Leave due to death of step-  Grant of leave of up to 5 days. 
    father or step-mother   
    Death or disability  Inclusion in existing group life insurance of coverage for death or 
    insurance  permanent disability caused by illness, while keeping indemnity 
      coverage updated. 

     

    Other incentives offered:

    Private Pension Plan - Ceal, through PREVINORTE, offers its employees the Supplementary Pension Plan for Predefined Contribution ("CD"). Monthly contributions from employees, together with the company's participation, will create a savings account, enabling the employee to receive a supplementation to his/her retirement when retiring. The foundation also provides personal loans under payroll deduction. In 2016, the

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    5. Training and Development

         The educational model of Eletrobras distributors for planning and executing educational actions is formally described in its standards (Corporate Education - Planning and Execution and Development and Training of People) and in the Corporate Education Plan of UNISE ("Universidade das empresas da Eletrobras").

         The management of educational actions has a hierarchical structure defined both at Eletrobras' corporate level and in local development structures in the distributors. The general guidelines of the educational model are defined by corporate and deployed locally, maintaining strategic alignment among the different companies, while specific demands of the distributors are met by the local corporate education unit.

         Eletrobras' educational model is structured based on management by skills. In the process of preparing the educational plan, priority skills for the organization are defined based on the business strategy. The educational model is also integrated with other people management practices such as performance management, job and salary plan, and leadership development by promoting strategic alignment among human resources actions.

         The corporate education of Eletrobras companies is organized into two organizational structures that act in a complementary way:

    UNISE (Universidade das empresas da Eletrobras): concentrates the role of conducting educational actions that are common to the group companies. The planning of educational actions of UNISE is described in the Corporate Education Plan, as well as guidelines for the enforcement of educational actions.

    Corporate Education Unit of each member company: is responsible for meeting the demands of developing the specific skills of each company, aligned with its strategy and UNISE guidelines. This fulfillment is performed through the drafting of a local Corporate Education Plan, which is built from the individual development plans of each employee and according to the guidelines of the Business and Management Plan of each company.

         Educational actions can be categorized as internal when performed at the company's premises and with in-house instructors; external, when performed by an external provider and can be performed inside or outside Eletrobras facilities; introductory educational action, which aims to integrate new employees into the organization; and educational contractual training actions resulting from contracts with equipment or software suppliers who demand training of employees. Distributors also feature brief distance education courses offered by Corporate TV (LUME).

         To monitor the quality of training and contribute to continuous improvement, reaction assessments and impact assessment should be applied to each training. And at the managerial level, educational actions are accompanied by monthly reports and quarterly reports directed to the Executive Board.

         Criteria for employee participation and certification are clearly defined in the standards and standardized forms procedures. The justifications accepted in case of withdrawal are also listed in the standards, as well as penalties in case of abandonment, failure or termination from the company. Formalization of the process ensures greater transparency and equality to employees, aiming to ensure equal opportunity of participation and development to employees.

         Analysis of the documentation provided by the Distributors regarding training and development shows that Eletrobras' corporate university offers consistent programs for developing leadership skills, as well as management, strategy and some aspects related to the operation, among other topics.

         Training offered by the Distributors, due to budget constraints, is more focused on operational aspects and compliance with mandatory training. We observed that for these development actions the Distributors frequently use the agreement with S. System institutions.

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    6. Organizational Climate

         The Organizational climate survey aims to monitor the employees' satisfaction and commitment to the company, as well as to identify training needs, personal/managerial development and to seek alignment of the culture with the actions carried out by the company.

         All Eletrobras System Distributors conduct the survey every two years by evaluating the following aspects:

    The result of the survey is expressed through the Favorability Index, which is the result of the average 
    obtained in the four evaluated dimensions. 
    In the last edition of the survey, conducted in 2015, Ceal's index was 66.13%. 
    During an interview with human resource leaders, it was reported that, currently, climate-related 
    attention points are the lack of motivation in view of the company's sale prospect and the overload of the 
    workforce (due to a reduction in the number of employees) versus the high demand, which has been 
    causing leaves due to occupational illness. 

     

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    To

    National Bank for Economic and Social Development ("BNDES") Av. República do Chile, 100 Rio de Janeiro - RJ

    C/O: Ms. Lidiane Delesderrier Gonçalves Manager of Agreement OCS 028/2017 May 2017

    Dear Sirs,

    According to our service agreement OCS 028/2017 ("Agreement") executed between BNDES and the Mais Energia B Consortium ("Consortium") on 2/14/2017, we present the result of our work carried out in the context of Privatization of Eletrobrás System Distributors.

    The summary of the outcome of our work "Product 04: Legal Due Diligence Report" for CEAL ("Report"), dated May 2017, is detailed in this document.

    Our work was developed solely for the purpose of advising the BNDES, as those responsible for executing and monitoring the process of privatization of utility companies by Decree 8,893, in CEAL's evaluation, in accordance with the Agreement.

    In case this Report is to be accessed by third parties, it must be made available in full, so that the applicable safeguards and limitations are known.

    Regards,

    Loeser e Portela Advogados, as member of the Consortium

    [Signed]  [Signed] 
    Fernando Loeser  José Augusto Sollero Figueira 

     

    This document is a true copy of the original signed version delivered to BNDES and in the possession of Eletrobras.


     

    TABLE OF CONTENTS
    INTRODUCTION  4 
    EXECUTIVE REPORT  7 
    A.  REGULATORY ASPECTS  7 
    B.  CORPORATE ASPECTS  8 
    C.  FINANCIAL AGREEMENTS  9 
    D.  OPERATING AGREEMENTS AND OBLIGATIONS  10 
    E.  INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY  10 
    F.  INSURANCE  10 
    G.  LABOR ASPECTS  10 
    H.  CIVIL, COMMERCIAL AND EQUITY LITIGATION  11 
    I.  TAX LITIGATION  13 
    J.  REAL ESTATE ASPECTS  13 
     
    * * *

     


     

    Legal Auditing Executive Report CEAL

    Introduction Page 4/15

    INTRODUCTION

    1. This Executive Report ("Report") was carried out as part of the structuring of the
    privatization operation of Companhia Energética de Alagoas S.A. ("CEAL" or "Company" or
    "enterprise"), in accordance with the Invitation to Bid corresponding to AARH ELECTRONIC

    TRADING FLOOR #51/2016 - BNDES - ITEM 1 - "SERVICE B" (economic and financial

    assessment and legal, accounting, technical-operational and other specialized professional
    services).

    2. In this context, the NATIONAL BANK FOR ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL
    DEVELOPMENT (BNDES), through its Bidding Department, pursuant to the provisions of

    Law #10,520 of 7/17/2002; in Decree #5,450 of 5/31/2005; Supplementary Law #123 of
    12/14/2006; Decree #8,538 of 10/6/2015; Law #13,303 of 7/1/2016; and DIR Resolution
    #3.063/2016 (BNDES System Bidding Regulation) provided for the hiring of a company to

    provide the specialized services described above.

    3. Loeser and Portela Advogados, an integral part of the Mais Energia Consortium,
    together with PricewaterhouseCoopers Corporate Finance & Recovery Ltda.,

    PricewaterhouseCoopers Serviços Profissionais Ltda. and Siglasul Consultoria Ltda.,
    pursuant to OCS Agreement #028/2017, executed on February 14, 2017, was contracted to
    advise BNDES on the structuring of CEAL privatization operation ("Operation"), specifically

    with respect to (i) legal aspects related to the structuring and implementation of the
    Operation; as well as (ii) carrying out limited legal due diligence work through sampling with
    respect to the Company, which is contemplated in this Executive Report.

    4. This Legal Due Diligence resulted in the preparation of this Report, and includes the
    analysis and assessment of information and documents to identify any issues that may
    significantly alter the accounting position and/or market value of CEAL with respect to the
    following aspects:

    (i) corporate, civil and regulatory matters. Tax, labor, social security and
    environmental aspects (compliance) were carried out by the advisors
    responsible for the analysis in these departments, and are reflected in their
    respective reports;

    (ii) existing litigation within the administrative and/or legal spheres that affects or
    may affect or is in any way related to CEAL, and the description must contain
    the details on the litigation, its probable outcome and the amounts involved;


     

    Legal Auditing Executive Report Introduction

     

    CEAL Page 5/15

     

    (iii)      status of the assignment and ownership of real estate and equipment registered or likely to be registered in CEAL's property, plant and equipment, and the regularity of the respective documentation, including before public records, pointing out any existing liens or encumbrances; and
    (iv)      gathering public information needed to carry out this service.

    5. Lastly, this Report was prepared at the request of BNDES and is addressed only to our client (BNDES), and no other person or entity other than BNDES should rely on it; reference to this Report is also prohibited in any other document, as well as its registration or submission to third parties without our prior and explicit authorization and consent. Notwithstanding the foregoing, and provided that the client-attorney relationship (and related rights and obligations) is limited exclusively to BNDES and our firm, (a) BNDES and its advisors may use this Report for analyzing the legal feasibility of the Operation, for its economic and financial structuring and related purposes; and (b) this Report may be sent or disclosed to third parties, at BNDES' sole discretion and liability, which logically includes full disclosure to potential stakeholders in the Operation and their respective advisors.

    6. The legal audit, carried out in the period from March 6 to May 12, 2017, was based on documents and information provided by CEAL related to the Company.

    7. The date of 12.31.2016 was set as the base date for issuance of the respective report of the legal audit performed ("Base Date"). It should be noted, however, that some of the information contained in this Report, as expressly indicated therein, may refer to events occurring after the Base Date.

    8. The content of this Report is limited to information obtained through the procedures described below, subject to the restrictions listed.

    9.      The legal audit was conducted according to the following methodology:
      (a)      submission of initial request for documents and information to representatives of CEAL designated to attend the audit process;
      (b)      submission of requests for additional documents and information, based on information obtained during the investigation process;
      (c)      interviews, meetings and contacts with CEAL employees working in the various sectors and units of the company, especially those related to the legal and accounting departments;

     

    Legal Auditing Executive Report Introduction

     

    CEAL Page 6/15

     

    (d)      obtaining data extracted from CEAL's process control system;
    (e)      analysis of the documents and information made available.

    10. It is assumed that (i) all copies made available by CEAL match the originals; (ii) such documents, except when explicitly stated in this report, are complete and authentic; and (iii) the signatures therein belong to persons empowered to represent the respective parties.

    11. In some cases, as usual in all legal proceedings, the level of detail in this Report was compromised by the (partial or total) absence of CEAL's information and documents, especially related to Civil, Tax and Labor Litigation.

    12. This Report is not intended to cover all legal aspects related to CEAL, but mainly those that have a significant impact on the economic-financial analysis for the purpose of recommending the minimum sale price of the Company's shares.

    * * *


     

    Legal Auditing Executive Report Introduction EXECUTIVE REPORT

     

    CEAL Page 7/15

     

    A.      REGULATORY ASPECTS
    1.      CEAL acts as a designated distributor responsible for providing public electricity

    distribution services in the areas of municipalities of the state of Alagoas listed in ANEEL

    Resolution #353/1998, in order to ensure the continuity of service, pursuant to paragraph 1 of article 9 of Law #12,783/2013, and subject to provide such services in accordance with the terms and conditions established in MME Ordinance 388/2016, until assumption by a new utility or until 12.31.2017, whichever occurs first.

    2. ELETROBRAS agreed to designate its subsidiaries, including CEAL, as providers of energy distribution services on a temporary basis, provided that, among other conditions: (i) ELETROBRAS does not undertake to guarantee any new obligations that may be assumed by the distributors, in any way, including obligations arising from the provision of temporary services; and (ii) measures be taken to ensure that the transfer of shareholding controls of the distributors occurs by 12.31.2017, in order to avoid liquidation of the distributors and the return of the respective concessions.

    3. CEAL held the concession for operation of public electricity distribution services under the terms of Concession Agreement #07/2001, signed on 2.12.2001, effective until 7.7.2015, and requested extension of its validity within deadline and under the conditions laid down in that agreement. Nevertheless, ELETROBRÁS, as controlling shareholder of CEAL, at its 165th Extraordinary General Meeting, resolved for: (i) reject the extension of CEAL's concession; and (ii) approve the assignment of ownership control of the Distributor by 12.31.2017, provided that, until the assignment of the distributor to a new controller, the Distributor receives directly from the federal government or through a rate all resources and income necessary to operate, maintain and make investments that are related to the public services of the respective distributor.

    4. Considering the interest of the Ministry of Mines and Energy ("MME") in promoting the bidding associated with the assignment of control of the legal entity providing energy distribution services with the corresponding granting of a contract to the new controller for a term of 30 years, the National Electric Energy Agency ("ANEEL"), at the MME's request, prepared and submitted to public hearing (Public Hearing #094/2016) the draft of the concession agreement prepared in accordance with guidelines established by the MME with the purpose of increasing competitiveness of bidding processes for assignment of corporate control related with new concession grants.


     



     

    Legal Auditing Executive Report  CEAL 
    Introduction  Page 9/15 
    4.  This legal provision would not be applicable in the event of the sale of CEAL's shares 
    to the extent that this Company became a  wholly-owned subsidiary of ELETROBRAS 

     

    through the acquisition of shares, pursuant to article 251 paragraph 2 (1st part) of the LSA5. Based on the most recent decisions of the Brazilian Securities and Exchange Commission ("CVM")6, and based on the specific response of this body in a consultation formulated by ELETROBRAS, the right of first refusal provided for in this legal provision is only applicable to wholly-owned subsidiaries thus converted through mergers of shares.

    C.      FINANCIAL AGREEMENTS
    1.      Related Party Agreements. Financing agreements entered into with ELETROBRAS

    do not contain provisions regarding the possibility and procedures for assignment and/or transfer of the respective rights and obligations, nor do they expressly establish restrictions on the conveyance of control and/or the corporate restructuring of CEAL.

    2. Debt Confession Agreements. Debt confession agreements signed between CEAL and ELETROBRAS provide for early maturity in the event of: (i) potential expiration or non-renewal of the electric power distribution concession; (ii) change in the corporate control of CEAL.

    3. Loan and Financing Agreements. The agreement entered into with Banco IBM S.A. provides for anticipated maturity of the debt in the event of transfer or assignment of the rights and obligations arising from the respective agreements to third parties, without prior and express consent by the creditor, as well as early termination in event of (i) direct or indirect transfer or conveyance of the corporate control of CEAL, without prior consent by the other party; (ii) spin-off, merger, consolidation or reduction of the share capital of CEAL, without prior consent by the other party; and (iii) performance of operations that imply corporate restructuring, transfer of control, sale of assets or reduction of capital, or any other operation that adversely affects the economic and financial condition of CEAL, without prior and express consent by the creditor.

    whole or in part; and II - subscribe a capital increase of the wholly-owned subsidiary, if the company decides to admit other shareholders.

    5 Article 251. The company can be established by means of a public deed, having a Brazilian company as sole shareholder. Paragraph 2. The company may be converted into a wholly-owned subsidiary upon acquisition, by a Brazilian company, of all its shares, or as per article 252.

    6 Such understanding may be observed in CVM Administrative Proceeding #RJ2010/13425, in which it alleges that for companies converted into a wholly-owned subsidiary upon acquisition by a Brazilian company of all its shares, pursuant to article 251 paragraph 2 (1st part), the provisions of article 253 do not apply.


     

    Legal Auditing Executive Report Introduction

     

    CEAL Page 10/15

     

    D.      OPERATING AGREEMENTS AND OBLIGATIONS
    1.      Operating agreements were submitted in a partial manner. Until the closure of this

    Report, based on the analysis of the documents provided, no information was identified indicating risks or recommendations in the privatization process.

    E.      INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY
    1.      Intellectual Property. According to information provided in the data room, and by

    consulting the website of the National Intellectual Property Institute ("INPI"), no trademark related to the name of, or distinctive sign related to "CEAL" was identified as of the completion of this Report. However, it should be noted that the term and symbols may be protected under business name protection.

    F.      INSURANCE
    1.      Information on payment of contracted insurance premiums. As of the completion of

    this Report, no documentary evidence of payment of insurance premiums contracted by CEAL has been provided, and it is not possible to assess whether the policies are in force. Failure to pay one of the insurance premium installments would result in suspension of such insurance.

    2. Mandatory insurance policies. As of the completion of this Report, no insurance policies against damage to land vehicles ("DPVAT") and civil liability of the builder were provided.

    3. Insurance on assets with expired validity. The insurance contract for assets was effective until 4.3.2017, and as of the completion of this Report, no amendment was introduced to extend said date.

    G.      LABOR ASPECTS
    1.      From the completion of the studies undertaken in CEAL on labor aspects, we

    highlight the following points:

    (i)      The main and most recurrent themes addressed in the individual actions refer to actions for compensation for accidents at work with claims for material and moral damages, issues involving salary equalization and overtime;
    (ii)      There are class actions and public civil actions with probable risk of loss;

     

    Legal Auditing Executive Report        CEAL 
    Introduction          Page 11/15 
     
    2.  The following table summarizes CEAL's estimates of contingent liabilities related to 
    labor litigation according to the legal audit performed.     
    Distributor

        Loss risk        Provision   
        classification  Number of cases  Loss amount  (BRL)   
              estimate (BRL)     
      Probable  562    28,926,290.77  29,372,000.00   
      Possible  462    33,209,350.43     
      Remote  159    17,562,457.70     
      Total  1,183    79,698,098.90  29,372,000.00   
     
    3.  Specifically with respect to the cases analyzed in the present audit, we have the 
    following scenario:           
     
        Attorneys    LPA     
      Loss risk          Provision  Difference 
    classification  Number of  Loss amount Number of Amount at risk  (BRL)  (BRL) 
        cases  estimate (BRL) cases  (BRL) (A)     
      Probable  6  5,199,664.50  8  1,410,427,332.11  5,199,664.50 1,409,320,680.61 
      Possible  6  4,527,588.87  4  15,877,588.87  0.00  0.00 
      Remote  4  7,874,005.00  4  617,018.00  0.00  0.00 
      Total  16  17,601,258.37  16  1,426,921,938.98  5,199,664.50 1,409,320,680.61 

     

    4. According to information provided by CEAL, there are court deposits totaling BRL

    53,257,000.00. This amount, however, is the sum of deposits for labor, civil and ANEEL proceedings. It was not possible to identify the amount related to labor claims. Statements containing court deposits issued by Caixa Econômica Federal and Banco do Brasil were not provided.

    H.      CIVIL, COMMERCIAL AND EQUITY LITIGATION
    1.      In this section, the following points are highlighted:
      (i)      CEAL is involved in a total contingency of BRL 633,974,893.02, in respect of which the total amount of BRL 34,963,711.71 was indicated as having a probable loss risk (amounts in financial statements were rounded);
      (ii)      a total of 26 relevant actions were identified according to materiality criteria, in which the Company is listed as a defendant;
      (iii)      it was possible to analyze data on 6 civil public/class actions in which the following matters are mainly discussed: quality of provision of electric power supply services; indemnification to consumers who suffered damages due to the intermittence of the electric power distribution system; adoption of measures to

     

    Legal Auditing Executive Report Introduction

     

    CEAL Page 12/15

     

      improve energy supply services in order to avoid the occurrence of blackouts and rationing and compensation for undue issuance of notifications to SERASA. There is also an action filed against the Distributor for the refund of amounts to consumers related to an illegal increase in rates at the beginning of the Cruzado Plan received by the Distributor between March and November 1986, having an estimated contingency amount of BRL 12,175,000.00, and the loss risk is possible. There is also a lawsuit related to billing and measurement, claiming the amount of BRL 3,896,212,939.92, with a possible loss risk. The amount mentioned herein is verified in the action, but not in the Distributor's legal action spreadsheet;
    (iv)      the Distributor is being sued in 3 proceedings seeking annulment of agreements, indemnification for noncompliance with clauses and contractual obligations and compensation for pain and suffering and material damages, with a total contingency of BRL 36,648,508.08. Of these, 2 proceedings are classified as having a possible loss risk (totaling BRL 28,582,314.40), and the third proceedings is classified as having a probable loss risk to the amount of BRL 8,066,193.68.
    (v)      the Distributor is listed as a defendant in all the relevant actions analyzed;
    (vi)      there are relevant actions that have had their analysis limited or even impaired due to partial copies of the proceedings or absence of copies.
    (vii)      within the analysis performed, the legal audit identified 2 actions that require adjustment to the Distributor's provision to the amounts of BRL 250,000.00 and BRL 25,000.00.

    2. The following table summarizes the civil actions involving the Distributor, and estimates for the respective commercial and equity contingent liabilities according to the information provided.

    Loss risk classification  Number of Actions  Amount (BRL) 
    Probable loss  657  34,963,711.71 
    Possible loss  3,781  274,399,759.59 
    Remote loss  282  324,611,421.73 
    TOTAL  4,720  633,974,893.02 

     


     

    Legal Auditing Executive Report Introduction

     

    CEAL Page 13/15

     

    I.      TAX LITIGATION
    1.      The following points stand out:
      (i)      It was possible to analyze data on ten (10) administrative and legal proceedings where the Distributor is listed as a defendant, and their amounts are aligned with the cutoff amount threshold (BRL 2,000,000.00).
      (ii)      In the Checking Account reports, we extracted information that one (1) tax note has not been included in the legal action progress report;
      (iii)      CEAL is involved in a total contingency of approximately BRL 58,430,970.47;
      (iv)      There are pending delivery certificates, which is why it is possible that there are contingencies/provisions that may not have been reported by the Distributor;
      (v)      The Distributor did not provide all of the requested copies, which compromised our analysis.
    2.      Based on the analysis of the proceedings subject to the legal audit, the following

    table shows the conclusions with the respective provision adjustment indicator:

    Loss risk  Distributor  LPA    Adjustment of 
    classification      Provision  provision (BRL) 
      Loss amount estimate (BRL)  Amount at risk (BRL)  (BRL) (B)  (A-B) 
        (A)     
    Probable      44,952,000.00  (44,952,000.00) 
    Possible  322,909,425.04  312,039,561.22     
    Remote  48,984,963.49  48,984,963.49     
    Impaired*    7,649,119.19     
    Total  371,894,388.53  368,673,643.90  44,952,000,00  (44,952,000.00) 

     

    *      Threshold related to a proceeding where, due to a lack of a copy or an incomplete copy, it was not possible to analyze the risk of loss.
    J.      REAL ESTATE ASPECTS
    1.      Absence of Regularization. According to the information available, the control of real

    estate assets is irregular and there is difficulty in obtaining documentation, especially with regard to real estate located in the rural part of the state. It was not possible, so far, due to a lack of necessary documentation, to confirm the ownership of the properties.


     

    Legal Auditing Executive Report Introduction

     

    CEAL Page 14/15

     

    2. Goods offered as Collateral. According to information provided by representatives of CEAL, all of CEAL's assets, including real estate, were pledged as collateral in the pleas for stay of execution related to the Bresser Plan. In this context, the existence of certain liens and encumbrances may result in the foreclosure of the property and its subsequent public sale to third parties, thus causing the loss of ownership from the owner. In addition, in the case of properties linked to the concession, ANEEL Normative Resolution #63 of 5.12.2004 establishes that the pledging of assets tied to the concession as collateral without prior and explicit authorization by ANEEL constitutes an infraction subject to the imposition of a fine of up to 1% on the amount of the Company's revenues corresponding to the last twelve months prior to the writing of the Infraction Notice.

    3. Real Estate Permitting. According to information analyzed in the data room, and in consultation with representatives of CEAL, it is possible to conclude that no Operating Permits or Inspection Permits were issued from the Fire Department for a large part of CEAL's properties. The lack of real estate licensing may result in the imposition of administrative sanctions and penalties (warnings, fines, etc.), the amount of which may vary as the case may be, and may even result in suspension of activities at the respective facility.

    4. Built-up Area. According to information analyzed in the data room and in consultation with representatives of CEAL, it is possible to conclude that no occupancy permits were issued for CEAL's properties. Possible irregularities in the built-up area of real estate may prevent (i) issuance of certain permits, such as the Operating Permit and Inspection Permit from the Fire Department; (ii) registration/endorsement of any lease agreements; as well as generating (iii) imposition of administrative sanctions and penalties (warnings, fines, closure of the establishment, etc.).

    5. Acquisition/Lease Restrictions (Foreign Nationals). According to information provided in the data room, as well as in consultation with representatives of CEAL, we have verified that some properties of CEAL are located in rural areas. In this context, it is worth mentioning that there are restrictions applicable to the acquisition or lease of land by foreign nationals or Brazilian companies controlled by foreign nationals, which include the need for prior authorization from the National Colonization and Agrarian Reform Institute ("INCRA") or the National Congress, as applicable. In addition, it is worth noting that said restrictions also apply to corporate transactions resulting in the assignment of rural properties to foreign legal entities, such as mergers, acquisitions, consolidations and changes in control. Acquisition and/or lease of rural property by foreign nationals or by Brazilian companies controlled by foreign nationals in violation of applicable legislation (Laws #5,709/71 and 8.629/93) may be considered null for all legal purposes.


     

    May, 2017

    Eletrobras System Distributor Privatization

    Deliverable # 6

    Status Report on the CEAL Employee Complementary Pension Fund and Health Care Plan

    Mais Energia B Consortium


     

    To the

    National Bank for Economic and Social Development ("BNDES")

    Av. República do Chile n° 100 Rio de Janeiro - RJ

    C/o: Mrs. Lidiane Delesderrier Gonçalves - Manager of OCS Contract No. 028/2017 May 2017 Dear Madam,

    Pursuant to our OCS Service Contract No. 028/2017 (“Contract”) signed February 14, 2017, between BNDES and the Mais Energia B Consortium (“Consortium"), please find enclosed our deliverable for the work performed in connection with the Eletrobrás System Distributor Privatization Program.

    Our findings are detailed in this document, which is entitled Deliverable # 6: Status Report on the

    Employee Complementary Pension Fund and Health Care Plan (“Report”) for CEAL, dated May 2017. The work carried out does not constitute an examination performed in accordance with financial statement auditing standards. In performing our review, we used unaudited historical information and data provided by the Consortium’s management either orally or in writing, or obtained from mentioned sources.

    Our work was developed solely for the purpose of advising BNDES in connection with the evaluation of CEAL as required by the Contract. As established by Decree 8.893, BNDES is the entity tasked in with implementing and monitoring the utility privatization process.

    In case disclosed to third parties, the Report should be made available in full so that any applicable waivers and qualifications can be acknowledged by all recipient parties.

    Yours faithfully,

    PricewaterhouseCoopers Corporate Finance & Recovery Ltda. acting as consortium leader

    /s./    /s./ 
    Rogério Roberto Gollo    Carlos Eduardo Silva Teixeira 

     

    This document is a true copy of the original signed version delivered to BNDES and in the possession of Eletrobras.


     

    Table of contents   
    1.  Executive summary  4 
    2.  Plan types  4 
    3.  Plan statistics  4 
    4.  Analysis of assumptions and recommendations  6 
      4.1.  Discount rate  6 
      4.2.  Wage growth projection  6 
      4.3.  Biometric tables  7 
      4.4.  Turnover  8 
      4.5.  Time of retirement  8 
      4.6.  Family composition  8 
      4.7.  Health care cost growth rate (HCCTR)  8 
    5.  Independent calculation of actuarial results  9 
    6.  Independent review of actuarial commitment  10 
    7.  Conclusion  11 

     


     

    1. Executive summary

         This report contains our analysis and findings regarding the review of actuarial assumptions and calculations of mathematical provisions recorded in the balance sheet of Eletrobras Distribuição

    Alagoas (“CEAL”) for the fiscal year ended 12/31/2016.

         Our analysis aims to provide a better understanding of the risks and opportunities associated with the business in view of commitments related to the post-employment benefits payable by the company.

         The post-employment benefits referred to above include two retirement plan and two health care plans, one of which is temporary. Key features of these post-employment benefits will be described below.

         Actuarial commitments were measured by an independent actuarial firm, MercerGama Consultoria, based on the CPC 33 rules established by the Accounting Standards Board, whereas our analyses were based on actuarial reports, registration databases, regulations and other technical documents made available by the actuary and ELETROACRE.

    2. Plan types

    Defined Contribution Plan (Plan 1): This is a structured, variable-contribution retirement plan covering disability and death risks funded by both CEAL and its employees. Registrations in this plan were open as of September 2008.

    Defined Benefit Plan (Plan 2): This is a structured, defined-benefit retirement plan covering risks in both the vesting period and the benefit payout period. The plan is closed to new registrations since June 2008.

    Severance Incentive Plan (SIP): This includes a temporary 5-year health care plan introduced in 2013 for employees who at that time had over 20 years of employment with CEAL and were retired under the INSS. This plan is fully funded by the company.

    Health Care Plan: This is a health care plan providing reimbursement for part of a beneficiary participant’s expenditure with health insurance plans, whether the insurance covers outpatient, hospital and/or dental care costs.

    3. Plan statistics

    Below are plan statistics in accordance with the independent actuary’s report for year 2016.

      Plan 1 (DC)   
    Active participants    1.036 
    Average age    42.41 
    Average salary    6,146.21 
    Retired participants    239 
    Average age    62.67 
    Average benefit    4,504.26 

     


     

    Pensioners    - 
    Average benefit    - 
    Aggregate monthly benefit    1,076,510.97 
     
     
      Plan 2 (DB)   
    Active participants    16 
    Average age    50.41 
    Average salary    4,152.36 
    Retired participants (valid)    303 
    Average age    71 
    Average benefit    2,026.12 
    Pensioners    191 
    Average benefit    675.28 
    Aggregate monthly benefit    742,892.84 
     
     
      SIP   
    Active participants    - 
    Beneficiaries    159 
    Average age    61.39 
    Average cost    815.64 

     

    Health Care   
    Disabled retirees - HC  307 
    Average age  70.74 
    Dependents  393 
    Average age  49.07 
    Disabled retirees - Dental  461 
    Average age  67.60 
    Dependents  857 
    Average age  41.36 
    Average monthly per capita cost  372.33 
    Average per capita monthly coparticipation  37.23 
    Total participants - HC  700 
    Total participants - Dental  1,318 

     


     

    4.      Analysis of assumptions and recommendations
    4.1.      Discount rate:

    The discount rate must be determined based on high-performing corporate securities or bonds. Where the foregoing are unavailable, market returns on National Treasury bonds should be used instead. The currency and term of these financial instruments must be consistent with the expected currency and term of post-employment benefit obligations.

    We point out that, for purposes of calculating the present value of actuarial liabilities, the rate adopted is net of inflation. The effect of inflation impacts exclusively on the projected expense for the subsequent fiscal year.

    The rates used in calculating the company's actuarial commitments are:

    Plan 1 - 11.16% p.a. (considering an actual rate of 5.90% and inflation of 4.97% p.a.) Plan 2 - 11.14% p.a. (considering an actual rate of 5.88% and inflation of 4.97% p.a.) SIP Plan - 11.40% p.a. (considering an actual rate of 6.13% and inflation of 4.97% p.a.) Health Care Plan: 11.23% p.a. (considering an actual rate of 5.96% and inflation of 4.97% p.a.)

    We understand that the rates applied are adequate to the calculations since they are consistent with the average rate of public bonds (NTN-B), which as of 12/30/2016 varied between 5.7% and 5.9% p.a. above inflation, as obtained from ANBIMA. The rates applied are therefore adequate to discount the long-term liability. We believe that a positive or negative 0.25 p.p. variation in the range is acceptable.

    4.2. Wage growth projection

    This assumption should reflect the expectation of the company regarding the projection of wage growth throughout the participants' career. In general, wages are adjusted for inflation, merit, and promotion.

    We noted that actual market rates range from 0.5% p.a. to 3% p.a., according to data developed by the post-employment benefits committee of the Brazilian Actuarial Institute (BAI).

    The rate of wage growth adopted in the calculations of liabilities of the plans maintained by CEAL is 7.07% p.a. (considering an actual real rate of 2% and inflation of 4.97% p.a.).

    We noted that the rate used is consistent with market practices and we understand that it was adopted based on the expectation of the company regarding the projection of wage growth throughout the participants' career, and that it also reflects the results verified in hypothesis adherence studies developed by an independent actuary.

    It should be noted that this premise does not apply to the SIP and HC plans.


     

    4.3 Biometric tables

    Biometric tables are statistical studies that rely on the occurrence of events observed in a population in order to estimate the incidence of such occurrences in the future.

    Such events can be classified as mortality, disability onset, turnover, among others categories and have a direct impact on post-employment benefits.

    4.3.1.      General mortality
      According to CNPC Resolution No. 9 dated November 29, 2012, which amends CGPC Resolution No. 18, the suitability of a biometric table used for longevity projections should be determined by means of a specific study, the results of which confirm adherence, in the last three fiscal years, between the demographic behavior of the mass of participants and beneficiaries within the plan and the respective biometric table used.
      The general mortality table adopted for the Plan 1, SIP and HC plans was the Male AT-83 adjusted in 50%. According to the independent actuary's report, the table was adopted based on technical studies that confirmed its adherence to the profile of plan cohort and therefore its suitability to discount the actuarial liability.
      The general mortality table adopted for Plan 2 was the Male AT-2000 relieved in 10%. According to the independent actuary's report, the table was adopted based on technical studies that confirmed its adherence to the profile of plan cohort and therefore its suitability to discount the actuarial liability.
    4.3.2.      Disability onset
      The table used for Plan 1 and the HC plan is the Medium Light table adjusted up by 25%. According to the study report prepared by the independent actuary, the mass of participants was not enough to allow for a study confirming that the table was suitable to match the plan population.
      The table used for Plan 2 is the Strong Light table. According to the independent actuary's study report, the table was adopted based on technical studies that confirmed its adherence to the profile of plan cohort and therefore their suitability to discount the actuarial liability.
      Since these tables are customarily employed in the market and their adoption does not
    represent      a significant risk to the plan, we believe that they are adequate for the calculations.
    It      should be noted that this premise does not apply to SIP.
    4.3.3.      Disabled mortality
    The      adopted invalid mortality board was AT-83 M&F relieved by 10%. According to the
    independent      actuary's study report, the table was adopted based on technical studies that
    confirmed      its adherence to the profile of plan cohort and therefore their suitability to
    discount      the actuarial liability.
    It      should be noted that this premise applies only to Plan 2.

     

    4.4 Turnover

    The turnover assumed for the plans was nil, meaning that future participant terminations in the coming years are not expected to bear a significant impact on plan liability.

    Considering the plans’ features, we understand that the assumption adopted is adequate for liability calculation purposes.

    It should be noted that this premise does not apply to SIP.

    4.5. Time of retirement

    The time of retirement assumed for the pension plans was the moment in which the benefit vests in full.

    The study report provided by the independent actuary provides no information on the source of this assumption. Notwithstanding, this assumption is in line with market benchmarks and is a conservative one given that the commitments will be paid in over the short term.

    It should be noted that this premise does not apply to SIP.

    4.6. Family composition

    The family composition assumption adopted for the pension and HC plans was 95% of married participants, while an age variance of 4 years was assumed for both beneficiaries and active participants.

    With regard to active participants, although in line with usual market practices there is no information in the actuary's report on the source of this assumption. Notwithstanding and considering the features of the plans as well as the small impact that may result from its adoption, we understand that the assumption is adequate.

    For the beneficiaries, we understand that it is not the best practice because the impact of the premise for the benefits granted can be expressive. We recommend the use of the royal family.

    It should be noted that this premise does not apply to SIP.

    4.7.      Health care cost growth rate (HCCTR)
    A      rate of 2.34% above inflation was assumed to reflect the growth of health care costs due to sector-

    specific inflation. We understand that this rate is in line with general practices of the market, where rates fluctuate in the range between 1% and 4.5%, according to data developed by the post-employment benefits committee of the Brazilian Actuarial Institute (BAI).

    The GAMA-EXPERIÊNCIA CEAL table was employed for SIP. This suggests plan experience.

    Therefore, we understand that the assumption is appropriate.


     

    5. Independent actuarial calculations   
     
    Plan 1   
     
    Reconciliation (in R$)  12/31/2016 
    Present value of actuarial liabilities (PVL)  (5,256,863.00) 
    Fair value of plan assets  5,093,503.28 
    Surplus/(Deficit)  (163,359.72) 
    Non-recoverable surplus (effect of asset limit)  - 
    Total (liabilities)/net assets to be recognized  (163,359.72) 
    Total (liabilities)/net assets to be recognized (% of PVL)  (3.11%) 
     
    Plan 2   
     
    Reconciliation (in R$)  12/31/2016 
    Present value of actuarial liabilities (PVL)  (108,413,656.00) 
    Fair to value of plan assets  236,922,000.89 
    Surplus/(Deficit)  128,508,344.89 
    Non-recoverable surplus (effect of asset limit)  (128,508,344.89) 
    Total (liabilities)/net assets to be recognized  - 
     
    SIP   
     
    Reconciliation (in R$)  12/31/2016 
    Present value of actuarial liabilities (PVL)  (3,143,772.09) 
    Fair value of plan assets   
    Surplus/(Deficit)  (3,143,772.09) 
    Non-recoverable surplus (effect of asset limit)   
    Total (liabilities)/net assets to be recognized  (3,143,772.09) 
     
    Health Care   
     
    Reconciliation (in R$)  12/31/2016 
    Present value of actuarial liabilities (PVL)  (39,562,208.44) 
    Fair value of plan assets   
    Surplus/(Deficit)  (39,562,208.44) 
    Non-recoverable surplus (effect of asset limit)   
    Total (liabilities)/net assets to be recognized  (39,562,208.44) 

     

    Actuarial obligations were determined according to the principles and standards established by the regulatory bodies, namely the the National Health Agency (NHA) regarding benefits related to health care, and the National Private Pension Bureau (NPPB) regarding retirement and pension benefits, and are accounted for in accordance with the rules laid out by the Accounting Standards Board. (CPC-33 of the Brazilian Securities and Exchange Commission - CVM 695.)


     

    6. Independent review of actuarial commitment

    The actuarial commitment was calculated by an independent actuary. We recalculated the installments of Vested Benefits and Implemented Benefits as shown below, and believe that the calculation methodology and process are adequate.

    Plan 1     
     
    Present Value of Obligations (in R$)  Actuary  PwC 
    Implemented  -  - 
    Vested  5,256,863.00  3,377,170.47 
    Difference (R$)  (1,879,692.53) 
    Difference (%)  -35.76% 
     
    Plan 2     
     
    Present Value of Obligations (in R$)  Actuary  PwC 
    Implemented  106,083,109.00  103,300,563.81 
    Vested  2,330,547.00  2,710,691.00 
    Total  108,413,656.00  106,011,254.81 
    Difference (R$)  (2,402,401.19) 
    Difference (%)  -2.22% 
     
    SIP     
     
    Present Value of Obligations (in R$)  Actuary  PwC 
    Implemented  3,143,772.09  3,113,884.60 
    Difference (R$)  (29,887.49) 
    Difference (%)  -0.95% 
     
    Health Care     
     
    Present Value of Obligations (in R$)  Actuary  PwC 
    Implemented  39,562,208.44  39,272,776.00 
    Difference (R$)  (289,432.44) 
    Difference (%)  -0.73% 

     

    Considering the inherent subjectivity of actuarial calculations of mathematical provisions related to benefit plans, we understand that the differences identified indicate the reasonableness of the calculations.

    Such subjectivity results, for instance, from the manner by which ages are considered for the purpose of finding the probability of death (whether full or fractional or rounded); the method of rounding flow figures (number of decimal places considered taking into account that the probability of death considered in our calculations has 6 decimal places, for example); whether income payments are accelerated or in arrears (i.e. made at the beginning or end of the period); asset family composition assumptions in retirement, among other instances where small choices can produce relatively small effects however with potential large absolute values.

    Therefore, we understand that the differences presented are acceptable from an actuarial technical point of view, and we understand that the liabilities recorded are properly calculated.


     

    It should be noted that in our determination of the results for Plan 1, a more significant difference was identified in comparison with the results recorded in the balance sheet. According to our analyses, the calculations prepared by Mercer Gama involved an interpolation of individual results from the date in which a participant becomes eligible for normal retirement until the next birthday, which in practice implies postponing the retirement date by up to one year. Given the characteristics of the plan in which the defined-benefit portion is linked to contributions expected to be made during a participant's future employment, an increase in the period during which the participant will remain active implies an increase in liability. We understand that this discrepancy is associated with the parameterization of calculations in the system.

    7. Conclusion

    Our examinations were based on information provided by both the actuaries responsible for managing the plans and the company, and we considered this information to be appropriate for the preparation of this report.

    Our numbers were calculated according to practices that we deem most appropriate when applicable, and should be taken into account together with the considerations below.

    With regard to the family composition assumption, we understand that the best practice involves the use of the royal family for the beneficiaries. The impact of using an average family can be significant depending on the population of the plan.

    The post-employment benefit obligations recorded in the balance sheet, even where figures are presented for some plans with incidental differences which in our opinion relate to the methodology or assumptions adopted, would not, if altered, pose any insolvency risk to the plans.

    The variable contribution Plan 1 has an insufficiency of R$163,359.72 that was accounted for as deficit but that do not necessarily represents a financial imbalance, as such insufficiency relates to the volume of future normal contributions expected to be carried into the plan and that will be accounted for in the assets at the time these assets are used to support future plan commitments, thus defeating potential insolvency or liquidity risks.

    Plan 2, which is a defined benefit plan, has a technical surplus in the amount of R$128,508,344.89 from excess contributions carried into the plan resulting from the financial performance and actuarial gains accrued over the years. However, such surplus can not be considered an economic benefit for the company, given that the limits enforced by local regulators call for up to 25% of the mathematical provisions to establish a reserve to hedge against plan fluctuations of plan risks. We understand that the plan is not exposed to any insolvency or liquidity risk, since all risks associated with it are supported by the portion of the assets intended as plan coverage. It should be pointed out that part of the plan surplus should inure back to the company on the basis of the rules and time frames established in Resolution CGPC No. 26 dated September 2008. Such amounts will be dimensioned by the actuary in charge of local evaluations over the course of the year corresponding to the third consecutive year in which a determination is made in respect of plan surplus, based on the contribution parity identified in the period.

    The HPRP has a liability of R$39,562,208.44. The source of this liability is the difference between the present value of future contributions and the plan cost. This liability may increase or decrease due to reasons such as changes in the profile of the plan cohort, fluctuation of health care costs and adoption of actuarial assumptions that are in keeping with plan features, or an increase the list of medical procedures. Our analyses identified a liability close to that calculated by the actuary. A difference was identified in the amount of R$289,432.43, corresponding to 0.73% indicating that the calculations are correct.


     

    The Severance Incentive Plan (SIP), which affords only health care for a fixed term of 5 years, has a liability of R$3,143,772.09 as of 2013. This liability is expected to decrease in view that this is a fixed-term plan with only two years remaining and new registrations are not allowed. The plan has an inherent deficit resulting from the fact that it does not have an asset to cover benefits and is funded by the flow of contributions.

    We understand that employing a capacity factor to measure health care liabilities is not the best practice in the situation. Medical costs increase according to specific sector rules. For this reason, we understand that there is no loss of benefit value over time due to inflation and therefore the use of a capacity factor is not appropriate.

    From a legal perspective, our understanding is that plan benefits have been supported by regular and extraordinary contributions established on the basis of actuarial evaluations prepared by an independent actuary and reviewed by the regulatory body (NPPB) in the case of the pension plans.

    With regard to the health care plans, legal compliance is secured in that contributions are made according to the general rules of the plans.


     



     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    To the

    Banco Nacional de Desenvolvimento Econômico e Social (“BNDES” - Brazilian National Bank for

    Economic and Social Development) Av. República do Chile nº 100 Rio de Janeiro - RJ

    Attention: Ms. Lidiane Delesderrier Gonçalves - Contract Manager OCS 028/2017 November 2017 Dear All,

         In accordance with our service contract OCS 028/2017 (“Contract”), executed between the BNDES and the Consórcio Mais Energia B (“Consortium”) on 02/14/2017, we present the result of our work made in the context of Privatization of the Distributors of the Eletrobras System.

         The result of our work is detailed in this document “Product 11: Privatization Modeling Proposal” (“Report”) of Ceal, dated November 2017.

         Our work was developed aiming solely at the objective to assist the BNDES, in the quality as responsible for the performance and follow-up of the privatization of concessionaire companies as per Decree 8.893, in the evaluation of Ceal, in accordance with the Contract and it was carried out on the basis of information provided by the administration of Ceal and on the premises that this information is true and complete. This information has not been subject to tests or verifications, except when expressly defined in the scope of our works.

         In the case of access to the Report by third parties, it must be made available in full, provided that the applicable safeguard and limitations are known.

    Sincerely,

    PricewaterhouseCoopers Corporate Finance & Recovery Ltda., as leader of the Consortium.

    Rogério Roberto Gollo

    Marcio Jose Soares Lutterbach

         ** This document is a true copy of the original signed version delivered to BNDES and in the possession of Eletrobras.

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        Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal 
     
     
    Summary   
     
    Introduction  6 
    Section I -  Privatization context  7 
    1.  Approach  7 
    2.  Context  9 
    2.1  Overview  9 
    2.2  Institutional and Management Model of the Brazilian Electric Industry  10 
    2.3  Financial assessment and sales modeling conjuncture  12 
    3.  Relevant aspects of the Privatization Process  14 
    3.1  Bresser Plan  14 
    3.1.1    Context  14 
    3.1.2  Effects for modeling  14 
    3.1.3  Scenario 1 With value adjustment for Bresser Plan  14 
    3.1.4  Scenario 2 With no value adjustments for Bresser Plan  14 
    3.2  Other critical points, necessary adjustments and recommendations  15 
    3.3  Consent need in Financing Contracts  15 
    3.4  Deposit of Shares Owned by Eletrobras at FND  18 
    3.5  Remaining aspects to be considered  18 
    3.6  Payment methods  18 
    4.  Purpose of the Auction  20 
    4.1  Purpose of sale  20 
    4.2  Assessment of sale feasibility  20 
    5.  Relevant Aspects of Valuation  21 
    5.1  Relaxation of regulatory parameters  21 
    5.2  Debts  21 
    5.3  Total liabilities  23 
    5.4  Risks and Contingencies  23 
    5.4.1  Types of contingencies  23 
    5.4.2  Current status of contingencies  24 
    5.4.3  Negotiations to deal with contingencies  25 
    6.  Assessment of Synergies  26 
    7.  Adjustments on the Privatization model  31 
    7.1  Context  31 
    7.2  Base amount of valuation Average between valuations of Services A & B  31 
    7.3  Relevant adjustments for privatization of Ceal  32 
    7.3.1  Adjustment to comprise updated balance sheet until June 2017  32 

     

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    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    7.3.2      Adjustment related to Advance Payments for Future Capital Increases (AFACs) . 34
    7.3.3  Tax adjustments Tax Losses and Negative Base  35 
    7.3.4  Adjustment of the relaxation of regulatory parameters  35 
    8.  Capital and Corporate Structuring  37 
    8.1  Proposed capital and corporate structuring Overview  37 
    8.2  Minimum adjustment of the capital structure – “Stage 1”  39 
    8.2.1  Symbolic value of shares sale (privatization)  40 
    8.2.2  Capitalization alternatives  41 
    8.3  Investor capitalization – “Stage 2”  41 
    8.4  Eletrobras corporate stake option  43 
    8.4.1  Justification  43 
    8.4.2  Eletrobras corporate interest threshold  43 
    8.4.3  Participation of Eletrobras in the governance of the company  43 
    8.4.4  Procedure for Eletrobras to increase its shareholding interest  44 
    8.5  Classes of shares  44 
    9.  Shares offering to active and retired employees  46 
    9.1  Mechanism  46 
    9.2  Definition of active and retired employees  46 
    9.3  Offer General Conditions  46 
    9.3.1  Offer take and differentiated conditions  47 
    9.3.2  Offsetting differentiated conditions to Eletrobras  47 
    9.3.3  Offer Procedure and Purchase Limits  48 
    9.3.4  Follow-up by minority stakeholders of investor underwriting  48 
    9.3.5  New controller shares repurchase obligation  48 
    9.4  Shares not acquired by active and retired employees  49 
    Section II - Privatization proposal  50 
    10.  Summary of Ceal’s privatization proposal  50 
    10.1  Ceal’s corporate structure  50 
    10.2  Definition of Ceal's sales value  50 
    10.2.1  Result of economic and financial evaluations  50 
    10.2.2 Balance update adjustment  51 
    10.2.3  Regulatory parameters relaxation adjustment  53 
    10.3  Sale vs. Liquidation Evaluation and consequent “pure” concession granting  53 
    10.4  Potentially convertible liabilities  54 
    10.5  Eletrobras capitalization value - “Stage 1”  54 
    10.6  Share offer to Active and Retired Employees  55 

     

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        Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal 
     
    10.7  Investor’s capitalization – “Stage 2”  56 
    10.8  Ceal's final corporate structure  57 
    10.9  Investor’s obligations  57 
    10.9.1  Financial obligations  57 
    10.9.2  Obligations defined in contract  58 
    11.  Ceal’s privatization schedule  59 
    Section III - Privatization Proposal Without Agreement  60 
    12.  Summary of Ceal’s privatization proposal  60 
    12.1  Ceal’s Corporate Structure  60 
    12.2  Ceal’s Sales Price Definition  60 
    12.2.1  Result of economic-financial evaluations  60 
    12.2.2  Balance update adjustment  61 
    12.2.3  Regulatory parameters relaxation adjustment  63 
    12.3  Sale vs. Liquidation Evaluation and consequent “pure” concession granting  63 
    12.4  Potentially convertible liabilities  64 
    12.5  Eletrobras capitalization value – “Stage 1”  64 
    12.6  Shares offering to active and retired employees  65 
    12.7  Investor capitalization – “Stage 2”  67 
    12.8  Ceal’s final corporate structure  67 
    12.9  Investors Obligations  68 
    12.9.1  Financial obligations  68 
    12.9.2  Obligations defined in the Purchase Agreement  68 
    13.  Ceal’s privatization schedule  69 
    Section IV - Auction Model Proposal  70 
    14.  Model and Procedure of Auctions  70 
    14.1  Proposed model  70 
    14.2  Sequence  71 
    14.3  The right to participate  71 
    14.4  The right to withdraw bids  72 
    14.5  Bid procedures and values  72 

     

    14.6      Auction Value base for ‘Combined Discount Index in the Regulatory Flexibility and
      Grant’  74 
    14.7  Auction´s 2nd stage ranking criteria  76 
    14.8  Auction procedures  78 

     

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    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    Introduction

         This document refers to the report of Ceal Privatization Model Proposal, produced by the Consórcio Mais Energia B. In it, proposals are included regarding the distributor’s privatization modeling, including conceptual models, technical recommendations and calculated values.

    The report is divided into three sections, presented below:· Section I - Privatization Context· Section II - Privatization Proposal· Section IV - Auction Model Proposal

         In Section I - Privatization Context, among other topics, the approach used to structure the modeling, the parameters that were used as guidelines to the analyses developed and conceptual aspects of the modeling are explained, including its main proposals, rationale and legal basis.

         In Section II - Privatization Proposal, the technical and quantitative specifications of proposals made in the previous section are presented. The corporate structure is set out thereof as well as the results of the valuation, the calculated values of adjustments in the capital structure and Ceal's shares, in addition to the share offer conditions to employees, investorsobligations and expected privatization schedule.

         In Section IV - Auction Model Proposal, procedural aspects of the auction of the distributor are detailed. In this section, recommendations are made concerning the model and sequence of auctions, auction variables, base of values for investors’ offers and classification criteria and the definition of the winner.

         Finally, it should be noted that this document has been developed based on Ceal’s other privatization processes documentation. Among other items, there served as input for this Privatization Modeling Report, the result of the economical and financial evaluations conducted by Services A and B, as well as the legal, tax, accounting-equity, technical-operational, actuarial, human and environmental resources diligences developed by Service B.

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    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

         When evaluating the nine perspectives addressed, the study made for the modeling of Ceal sale, along with other distributors, sought to be comprehensive and evaluating all relevant aspects to the process of privatization of the companies, identifying alternatives of the sales process optimization.

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    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    2. Context

    2.1 Overview

         The process of privatization of Eletrobras’s Distributors was started in the 90’s and resumed in 2016 through Decree 8.893/2016, which qualified as priorities within the framework of the Partnership Program in Investment (PPI) the privatization of the distribution companies and designated the BNDES responsible for the implementation and monitoring of the process of privatization.

         In this context, the BNDES hired Consórcio Mais Energia B to assist it in Privatization, involving from economic and financial valuation until the full diligence of current operations. Having completed the basic elements that allow attributing the value resulting from the distribution grants of electric energy, it remains to define how the privatization will actually take place. Such modeling combines corporate aspects, the form of capitalization, sales process, in order to increase the chance of success in attracting investors, as well as offering maximum competitiveness to obtain better conditions of offer to be received.

         The guidelines emanated by the sectorial and macroeconomic policy makers, regulators and planning entities, establish the need to offer a quality service in the respective grant areas. One believes that the attraction of an operator from the private sector will have full conditions to raise the efficiency level and to remunerate the necessary investments to the full compliance with the market.

         From the regulatory point of view, as a result of Public Hearings 094/2016 and 032/2017 of ANEEL [Brazilian National Electricity Agency] and Public Consultation MME 37/2017, several softening measures were introduced into the regulatory parameters, with the tariff model allowing conditions to bring back to balance the grant. It is unanimously manifested, both the discomfort with the precarious situation of the assignment condition, and the support to the efforts undertaken, so that one is successful with the privatization.

         A process of evaluation of market interest (Market Sounding) allowed identifying the existence of companies with recognized competence in the industry - particularly in social economic, geographic realities and similar environmental realities - with capacity to execute the reorganizations required for this process, confirm the reasoning of attractiveness of the privatized companies for potential investors and understand the major elements of concerns. One may also establish a rather specific map of the different level of interest of the market among the several grants.

         In this line, the vision of the sector investors could be obtained as to issues such as the grouping of the grants, the process of sale, sensitivity to different corporate models, the structure of capital to face the program of investments, the economic impact of the incorporation of investments to tariffs and the very contingencies bequeathed to the future operator, always with a view to optimize the competitiveness in the future auction.

         In short, from this context important lines of direction derive for the model that will be sketched as follows:

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    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

         Such guidelines lead to solutions that are highlighted by the mitigation of failure risks, simplicity and pragmatism in the search for alternatives for privatization. Below, we present how the modeling should be structured so as to maximize the success of the process.

    2.2 Institutional and Management Model of the Brazilian Electric Industry

         The characteristics and peculiarities of the Brazilian electric industry have been considered in the study developed. Both its institutional model and its legal framework have been analyzed and used as parameter for the analyses proposed.

         Recently, new laws sought to address emergent challenges within the national scope (as for example Law 12.783/2013, with provision on grants of generation, transmission and distribution of electric energy, reduction of sectorial encumbrances and affordability). In this context, for this report, as noted in the previous section, Decree 8.893/2016 is of particular importance, which resumed the subject of privatizations of the Distributors, being the BNDES responsible for the execution and follow-up of the process.

         In fact, the edition of Law No. 13.360/2016, resulting from the conversion of MP 735/2016, brought a series of changes for the industry, including the supposition by CCEE of the competences attributed before to Eletrobras on the management of the account of Global

    Reserve of Reversion (“RGR”), as well as the Account of Energy Development (“CDE”) and of the Account of Fuel Consumption (“CCC”) from May 1st, 2017, at no hard to the performance of Internal or External Control Agencies of the federal public administration on the management of these accounts.

         Additionally, Decree No. 9.143/2017, that regulated Law No. 13.360/2017, by bringing provisions on the commercialization of electric energy, tried to provide the incentive to efficiency, to the correct allocation of the risks among the consumers and investors, as well as mitigate the obstacles to attract new investments to the electric energy industry, especially when establishing that the auctions of new energy and existing energy can be carried out fairly ahead of time and more relaxed, in addition to the possibility of the distribution agents to negotiate with free consumers and other agents from the Free Environment Contracting (“ACL”), sale contracts of backed by excess of energy contracted, as per ANEEL regulation.

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    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    Furthermore, it must be highlighted that, by means of the Public Consultation No. 33 (CP

    33), of the Ministry of Mines and Energy (“MME”), already closed, on ‘Improvement of the legal landmark of the electric industry’, proposals of legal measures had been discussed that make possible the future of the electric industry, searching sustainability in the long run

         In addition, Law No. 13.360/2016 amended Law No. 12.783/2013, with the objective to make possible the bidding of companies under direct or indirect control of the Union, States, Federal District and Municipalities, whose grants had not been extending, foreseeing the possibility of the Union to promote bidding associated with the transference of the shareholding control of the concessionaire, granting a new grant contract for the period of 30 years. This law also establishes the possibility of inversion of the qualification phases and judgment of the auction, so as to guarantee greater speed and efficiency to the bidding process.

         It should be stood out that, as far as the bidding of distribution or transmission grant associated to the transfer of control of legal person, provider of public service of electric energy is concerning, dealt with Law No. 12.783/2013, it became necessary to edit a regulatory decree, with the purpose to, among other conditions: i) to establish requirements to be observed by the controller of the responsible legal entity for the provision of the service of distribution of electric energy, for such bid; ii) attributions of the BNDES in the execution and the follow-up of the privatization process; iii) criteria for new concession without control handover (Decree Draft that regulates the bid of distribution grant associated with the utility control handover of legal entity provider of public service of electric energy).

         The new grant contract applicable to the mentioned bid associated with the shareholding control handover of the concessionaire, whose draft was elaborated by Aneel at the request of the MME and submitted the public consultation, was object of new public consultation in the period of 08/28/2017 to 09/06/2017, in virtue of adjustments proposed by means of Ordinance MME No. 342/2017, due to the fact that it was noted the existence of unbalance regarding the operational costs, losses of electric energy and loans with resources from RGR, made to assure the continuity of the service provided under the assignment mode and that, by force of provisions of Law No. 12.783/2013, should have been assumed by the new concessionaire, which could make impracticable the intended bid.

         Another point to be considered is with regard to the tariff process concerning the provision of public service of electric energy distribution by agency or entity of the federal public administration. It is highlighted that the Ordinance MME No. 388/2016, which approved the terms and conditions for the provision of such services, in accordance with art. 9, Paragraph 1, of Law No. 12.783/2013, was amended by Ordinance MME No. 346/2017, published in the DOU [Federal Official Gazette] on 08/31/2017, to establish that in the tariff process of year 2017, ANEEL should make flexible, in a temporary way, the regulatory parameters relating to the operating costs and non-technical losses in order to enable the economic balance of the grant being bid pursuant to art. 8 of Law No. 12.783/2013.

         It is further highlighted that the tariff relaxation resulting from ANEEL’s Technical Notes 351/2017, of 07/24/2017, and 149/2017, of 09/08/2017, which restores levels of regulatory parameters such as DEC/FEC, PMSO, Non-Technical Losses and RGR - aiming at the economic-financial balance of the grants of electric energy under analysis.

         Finally, it is stood out that, considering the schedule foreseen for conclusion of the privatization process, as one will see below, it is quite probable that Ordinances MME 420 to

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    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    425/2016 that designated the Distributors of Eletrobras (Amazonas, Boa Vista, Ceal, Cepisa, Ceron and Eletroacre) as responsible for the provision of the public service of distribution of electric energy until the supposition of a new concessionaire or up to December 31st, 2017, whichever occurs first, deserve to be amended to extend such service provision deadline for a period that suffices to the conclusion of the privatization process.

    2.3 Financial assessment and sales modeling conjuncture

         As it shall be shown below, in Item 5 Relevant Aspects of Valuation, in the course of the due diligence and financial evaluation of Eletrobras’s distributors, relevant issues were identified affecting significantly the value of the stakeholder of the companies.

         Initially, it was assessed that these organizations have amounts of debts of high values. These debts were accumulated by Eletrobras’s distributors over the years, both with the Holding

    Company (with loans of various types) and with suppliers. Such debts, in turn, often continue to be rolled over or have increasing cost in relation to the non-payment of the principal or even of interests.

         It was also identified that the distributors of Eletrobras have contingencies additional to those provided on the balance sheets of significant value. These contingencies, from judicial and administrative proceedings and tax aspects, fiscal and labor not yet materialized, among others, also contribute to the reduction of the value of the equity of the companies.

         Additionally, it has found in financial and operational evaluation that these companies demand high values of investments in the early years of the new grant. These investments are required, both to facilitate the improvement of financial performance expected and to meet regulatory metrics of service level.

         Thus, even in a valuation in which there is the expectation of bold operational and financial performance optimization of the six distributors of Eletrobras in the privatization process, the factors listed overlapped to improvements, resulting often in a negative value to the stakeholder.

         It should be emphasized that the financial evaluation has already considered the new draft of the grant contract, resulted from contributions in the Public Hearing No. 094/2016 and the Technical Note No. 182/2017 of ANEEL. The regulatory body also reviewed and identified that these grants are unbalanced, granting regulatory parameter relaxation (Technical Notes No. 351/2017 and No. 149/2017, this last part of the Public Hearing No. 032/2017) to bring the grants back in balance, which will result in increased tariff revenues and reduction of loan value of RGR. Consequently, the financial evaluation conducted by the Consortium considered the relaxation made by ANEEL.

         It is also highlighted that, in accordance with the Decree Draft that regulates the grant bid of distribution associated with the transfer of control of legal entity service provider of electric energy, dealt with by Law No. 12.783, of January 11th, 2013, the distributors of Eletrobras to be privatized that are in areas of grant benefited by the relaxation of regulatory parameters, deriving from the Technical Note No. 351/2017 must have specific treatment. If the value to the stakeholders of these companies is positive in light of regulatory flexibilizations granted, the relaxed parameters must be readjusted so that the value to the stakeholders of these companies is equal to zero. Thus, the possibility that the consumers of the areas of the grant in question are burdened with additional exceptional tariffs to those necessary for the companies holders of the grant operate under financial balance is eliminated.

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    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

         Thus, the financial evaluation and modeling of sale of the companies conducted by the Consortium considered the necessary legal and regulatory aspects for the privatization process.

         The modeling performed also tried to structure sale alternatives so these companies could increase their financial attractiveness and legal security to the investor. So, facing a scenario where the stakeholder values of these companies are negative or equal to zero, one optimized their sale potential.

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    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    3.      Relevant aspects of the Privatization Process
    3.1      Bresser Plan
    3.1.1      Context

         It is appropriate to emphasize the collective labor lawsuit brought against Ceal by the Union of Workers of Urban Industries of the State of Alagoas, as a procedural substitute, for the payment of salary differences arising from the economic measures established by Decree 2.335 / 87 (Bresser Plan).

         For this lawsuit, a high loss risk (probable loss) was identified and the involved value of approximately R$ 1,409,199,636.60 (updated to December 2016) referring to the so-called Bresser Plan.

         The proceeding is currently in the execution phase when payable amounts are to be defined. To guarantee execution, common shares and preferred shares of Ceal, as well as real estate, were offered. There is no formal decision about the assets offered as execution guarantee.

         In view of the amount and its loss risk, this lawsuit represents a risk potential and impediment to Ceal privatization process. More details regarding the lawsuit are included in

    Ceal’s due diligence legal reports.

    3.1.2 Effects for modeling

         Due to the uncertainty regarding the values of the action related to the Bresser Plan up to the preparation of this report, two scenarios were considered in the privatization model: i) Scenario 1 - With value adjustment for Bresser Plan; and ii) Scenario 2 With no value adjustments for Bresser Plan.

    The scenarios are presented below:

    3.1.3 Scenario 1 With value adjustment for Bresser Plan

         It was considered for all analyses made in this scenario that final costs of the lawsuit brought against Ceal referring to Bresser Plan would be R$ 129,738,947.39, and not its full value. This is the most up-to-date indicator of value made by the competent bodies involved with the action.

         Thus, the difference (R$ 1,279,460,689.21) between full value of the lawsuit and its adjusted value was reincorporated into the value equity of the distributor, as in the economic and financial analyses made by Services A and B, the value under discussion was entirely written down.

         Values of this scenario resulting from model are show in Section II - Privatization proposal -With Agreement to this report.

    3.1.4 Scenario 2 With no value adjustments for Bresser Plan

         It was considered for all analyses made in this scenario that final costs of the lawsuit brought against Ceal referring to Bresser Plan would be their fully value (R$ 1,409,199,636.60). Consequently, there was no change in the results of the distributor's valuation report.

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    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    Values of this scenario resulting from model are show in Section III - Privatization Proposal

    In Ceal’s case, there are no other critical impediments to its privatization process.

         During the process of Legal Due Diligence of Ceal some critical points were described in the Report and displayed in its Executive Summary. Although not inhibitory to the process of privatization of this distributor, the new investor should be aware of them so that he can make applicable arrangements.

         Among the important issues, but not deterrent, to be considered, are highlighted the contracts of financial nature, whose prior consent of the creditor is recommended in order to avoid the prepayment of the debt.

    3.3 Consent need in Financing Contracts

         Some financing contracts signed by the distributors have the need to obtain prior and express consent from the creditor in the event of a change of control of Ceal.

         Otherwise, according to the terms of each contract, there may be legal and/or financial implications to Ceal, Eletrobras, investor and, eventually, to the privatization process, depending on the possible prepayment of debt if the commitment to payment is not assumed by the new investor.

         Thereby, the financing agreements with the need for consent from the creditor are listed below, and must have their applications addressed by Ceal and Eletrobras:

    No.  Type of document  Lender  Date of Signature 
     
      Private Debt     
    1    Eletrobras  09/09/2013 
    Acknowledgement Instrument     
      Private Debt     
    2    Eletrobras  09/15/ 2015 
    Acknowledgement Instrument     
      Private Debt     
    3    Eletrobras  No date 
    Acknowledgement Instrument     
      Private Debt     
    4    Eletrobras  No date 
    Acknowledgement Instrument     
      Private Debt     
    5    Government  12/31/ 1997 
    Acknowledgement Instrument     
      Credit Line Opening     
    6    Banco IBM S.A.  08/07/2015 
      Agreement     
     
    Contract No. 1

    Creditor:  Eletrobras     
    Intervenor:  Caixa Econômica Federal   
    Object:  CEAL’s recognition of a balance due to Eletrobras in the amount of R$ 
      19,408,802.34, as a result of a long-term loan granted under agreement ECF- 
      3055/2013     
    Amount:  R$ 19,408,802.34   
    Interests:  Interest rate corresponding to SELIC calculated pro rata temporis over the 

     

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      Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal 
     
     
      balance due 
    Grace Period:  180 days 
    Principal payment:  24 monthly, equal and successive installments 
    Guarantees:  Binding own revenue to pay amounts due and not paid 
    Relevant obligations:  N/A 
    Anticipated maturity:  Eletrobras may consider the agreement as terminated in advance in the event 
      of (i) the eventual expiration or non-renewal of the electric energy distribution 
      concession; (ii) change in the corporate control of CEAL 
    Other important clauses:  Debt backed by the issue of a promissory note 
      The Caixa Econômica Federal undertakes to transfer to Eletrobras the 
      resources of CEAL's accounts until full satisfaction of the defaulted value 
     
      Contract No. 2 
    Creditor:  Eletrobras 
    Intervenor:  Caixa Econômica Federal - CEF 
    Object:  Recognition of debt in the amount of R$ 15,169,596.08 
    Amount:  R$ 15,169,596.08 
    Interests:  Interest corresponding to the variation accrued in the month of payment of the 
      SELIC rate, plus a spread of 0.5% per year, calculated pro rata temporis on the 
      debit balance 
    Grace Period:  December 31, 2013 
    Principal payment:  17 monthly, equal and successive sucessivas 
    Guarantees:  Binding own revenue to pay amounts due and not paid 
    Relevant obligations:  N/A 
    Anticipated maturity:  Eletrobras may consider the agreement as terminated in advance in the event 
      of (i) the eventual expiration or non-renewal of the electric energy distribution 
      concession; (ii) change in the corporate control of CEAL 
    Other important clauses:  Debt backed by the issue of a promissory note 
      The Caixa Econômica Federal undertakes to transfer to Eletrobras the 
      resources of CEAL's accounts until full satisfaction of the defaulted value 
     
      Contract No. 3 
    Creditor:  Eletrobras 
    Intervenor:  Caixa Econômica Federal 
    Object:  CEAL’s recognition of a balance due to Eletrobras in the amount of R$ 
      6,466,163.26, by virtue of the amounts calculated in the process of termination 
      of agreement ECF-250/2009 
    Amount:  R$ 6,466,163.26 
    Interests:  Interest rate corresponding to SELIC rate, calculated pro rata temporis on the 
      balance due 
    Grace Period:  4 months 
    Principal payment:  12 monthly, equal and successive installments 
    Guarantees:  Binding own revenue to pay amounts due and not paid 
    Relevant obligations:  N/A 
    Anticipated maturity:  Eletrobras may consider the agreement as terminated in advance in the event 
      of (i) the eventual expiration or non-renewal of the electric energy distribution 
      concession; (ii) change in the corporate control of CEAL 
    Other important clauses:  Debt backed by the issue of a promissory note 
      The Caixa Econômica Federal undertakes to transfer to Eletrobras the 
      resources of CEAL's accounts until full satisfaction of the defaulted value 
     
      Contract No. 4 
    Creditor:  Eletrobras 
    Intervenor:  Caixa Econômica Federal 
    Object:  CEAL’s recognition of the balance due to Eletrobras in the amount of R$ 
      16,724,684.67 by virtue of the amounts calculated in the process of termination 
      of agreement ECFS-171/2007 
     
     
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      Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal 
     
     
    Amount:  R$ 16.724.684,67 
    Interests:  Interest rate corresponding to SELIC rate, calculated pro rata temporis on the 
      balance due 
    Grace Period:  4 months 
    Principal payment:  12 monthly, equal and successive installments 
    Guarantees:  Binding own revenue to pay amounts due and not paid 
    Relevant obligations:  N/A 
    Anticipated maturity:  Eletrobras may consider the agreement as terminated in advance in the event 
      of (i) the eventual expiration or non-renewal of the electric energy distribution 
      concession; (ii) change in the corporate control of CEAL 
    Other important clauses:  Debt backed by the issue of a promissory note 
      The Caixa Econômica Federal undertakes to transfer to Eletrobras the 
      resources of CEAL's accounts until full satisfaction of the defaulted value 
     
      Contract No. 5 
    Creditor:  Federal Government 
    Guarantor:  Estado de Alagoas 
    Intervenor:  Banco do Brasil S.A. and Caixa Econômica Federal 
    Object:  Confession of debt in the amount of R$ 1,110,628.81 
    Amount:  R$ 1,110,628.81 
    Interests:  Monetary adjustment according to US dollar variation and interest on daily 
      debit balances, variable rate according to the type of bonds 
    Grace Period:  N/A 
    Principal payment:  N/A 
    Guarantees:  Assignment of credits with resource that are made to the deposit account of 
      CEAL, before Caixa Econômica Federal, up to the limit sufficient to pay the 
      installments and other charges due at each due date 
    Relevant obligations:  N/A 
    Anticipated maturity:  N/A 
    Other important clauses:  N/A 
     
      Contract No. 6 
    Creditor:  Banco IBM S.A. 
    Guarantor:  Eletrobras 
    Object:  Opening of a fixed credit line for acquisition of equipment, software and 
      information technology services 
    Value:  Opening of revolving credit of 
      R$ 10,736,342.85 
    Interest:  In case of payment delay or failure to comply with any obligation, the 
      outstanding balance will be subject to moratorium interest of 1% per month 
      and a fine of 2% on the amount of the debt 
    Period of grace:  N/A 
    Principal value payment:  N/A 
    Collaterals:  Bank credit note with each disbursement 
    Relevant obligations:  CEAL undertakes not to carry out operations that imply corporate 
      restructuring, transfer of control, sale of assets or reduction of capital, or any 
      other operation that adversely affects its economic and financial condition, 
    without prior and express consent of Banco IBM

    Accelerated due date:  CEAL may request the maturity at any time, by means of written notification 
      and payment of the balance due 
    Other importante clauses:  Furthermore, IBM may consider the agreement terminated in the event of (i) 
      direct or indirect transfer or disposition of the corporate control of CEAL, 
      without prior agreement of IBM; as well as (ii) spin-off, merger, incorporation, 
      or reduction of the share capital of CEAL, without prior agreement of Banco 
      IBM 

     

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    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal 

     

    3.4  Deposit of Shares Owned by Eletrobras at FND 
     
    The Nominative Share Record Book of all Distributors mentioned blockage of all shares 
    owned by Eletrobras to the benefit of the National Privatization Fund FND, administered by 
    BNDES, in compliance with the Law no. 9.491/1997. 
     
    3.5  Remaining aspects to be considered 
     
    Remaining aspects shall be considered, the measures of which are within and outside the scope of 
    Distributors are vital for the privatization process, as per the chart below:

     

    ACTIONS ON DISTRIBUTOR’S SCOPE 
    Obtaining authorization from Executive Board, Supervisory Board, Board of Directors to perform capital 
    increases on the Distributor 
    Performance of General Meeting specially convened to approve the Distributors’ capital stock, as well as 
    an increase of capital stock by underwriting of new shares 
     
    ACTIONS ON ELETROBRAS’ SCOPE 
    Obtaining authorization from Executive Board and the Board of Directors to perform the privatization of 
    Distributor 
    Performance of General Meeting convened to approve the privatization of Distributor 
    Performance of the necessary procedures to fulfill CVM [Brazilian Securities and Exchange 
    Commission], NYSE, and Latibex 

     

    ACTIONS OUTSIDE THE DISTRIBUTOR’S AND ELETROBRAS’ SCOPE 
    Obtaining prior approval from CADE provided on articles 88 and 90 of the Law 12.529/2011 and CADE 
    Resolution no. 02/2012 
    Obtaining prior consent from ANEEL for share control transference (Art. 27 of the Law 8.987/95 Art 4, 
    XI, of Annex I of the Decree 2.335/97, in addition to the provisions of ANEEL Normative Resolution 
    484/2012) 
    Obtaining approval from the Board of the Investment Partnership Program (CPPI - Conselho do 
    Programa de Parcerias de Investimentos) regarding operational modality, conditions and adjustments to 
    be applied to the privatization (Law 9.491/97) 
    Follow-up, surveillance, and evaluation of the privatization process by the Federal Court of Auditors 
    (TCU - Tribunal de Contas da União) (IN TCU 27/1998) 

     

    3.6 Payment methods

         Under the Law No. 9.491/97, the payment methods in a privatization process shall be recommended by the National Privatization Council (CND), now replaced with the Board of the Investment Partnership Program of the Presidency of the Republic (CPPI), for approval by the President of the Republic. The latter may authorize remaining payment methods within the scope of the National Privatization Program, as recommended by the CPPI.

         The Law also requires disclosure of selected items on the conditions for disposal of the concerned company’s shareholding control, through publication at the Brazilian Federal Official

    Gazette and in nationally recognized newspapers. In particular, the following shall be disclosed:

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    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

         For the event of Ceal privatization, the defined payments are recommended to be made in full through the stock exchange (B3), by means of the effective currency, upon sale settlement.

         The remaining procedural aspects shall be detailed in the Request for Proposal of Privatization, Manual of Auction Procedures, Procedural Manual for Offering of Shares to Active and Retired Employees and associated agreements.

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         As Ceal met the requirements from these four perspectives, it is concluded that the company would be able to be sold in an auction associated with the grant of the concession.

    5.      Relevant Aspects of Valuation
    5.1      Relaxation of regulatory parameters

         It should be taken into consideration that the companies’ valuation already considers, among the flow perspectives, the consequences of the Technical Notes 351/2017 and 149/2017 of ANEEL, the latter being the result of the Open Court 032/2017, providing for loosening of regulatory metrics for financially unbalanced concessions, including Ceal.

         Such ANEEL Technical Notes loosened for the company the regulatory values of the PMSO, Non-Technical Losses and RGR metrics of the designation period. As a result, there is increased financial setoff through tariff to the distributors and the resulting decreased volume of RGR loan, increasing the revenues thereof and, accordingly, its cash flow.

         Such parameters shall be loosened from the tariff process dated 2017, initiated on September 28 of this year, up to the first regular review of the new utility to be contracted by means of a bid, estimated to be held in 2023.

         Such parameters shall be used as auction variables, with their methodology and values being explained in Item 14.6 - Auction Value base for ‘Combined Discount Index in the Regulatory Flexibility and Grant’.

    5.2 Debts

         The indebtedness levels of Eletrobras distributors are quite high, and the debts may be divided into three major groups: Debts with Eletrobras; Debts with Specific Third Parties and Debts with Other Third Parties. Debts with Eletrobras in turn may be rated according to their origin: Ordinary Resources, RGR, Banco Mundial and Eletrobras related parties.

    a)      Debts with Eletrobras: refer to funds with the Holding or through it by means of onlending. Since Eletrobras itself holds the credit rights, the debts may be used by the company as means to optimize the capital structure of its distributors.
      o      World Bank: Eletrobras holds funds obtained with World Bank for the purpose of investing in improved infrastructures, project named by the companies as “Projeto Energia+” [Project Energy+]. Such funds are then lent to distributors as loans and financing.
      o      RGR (Global Reversal Reserve): Refers to amounts raised by Eletrobras for the distributor with the Global Reversal Reserve (RGR). Thus, the sums are due by the distributor to Eletrobras, associated with funds raised from the RGR. The amounts found in the balance sheet, as of the base date of this report (12/31/2016) are mostly from loans obtained prior to the designation period.
       §      RGR pre-PPST (temporary service provision period): Amount of debt arising out of the pre-PPST period, when the funds were aimed at financing investments of the distributors.

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    §      RGR PPST (temporary service provision period): Debt amount arising out of the PPST period, initiated in November 2016. Within the scope of the concession agreement termination and beginning of such

    period, the RGR onlending changed their purpose to maintaining the companies’ activities ensuring the so-called “Appropriate Remuneration”, as defined in the Technical Note 331 dated September

    13, 2016. By the end of this Item, the estimated sums of the debts with RGR are provided until the end of February 2018 (date estimated for entry of the potential investors in the operations), considering the fund-raising operations in the service provision period.

    o      Ordinary Resources: Own fund onlending by Eletrobras to the distributors, through loans, usually with low financing cost and for the purpose of covering operating deficits. Therefore, this debt is directly due from the distributor to the Holding, without involving Third Parties.
    o      Advance Payment for Future Capital Increase (AFAC): Refers to funds contributed by Eletrobras at the distributors for future capital increases.
      Usually, AFACs are paid-up as capital within up to one year of their composition, but that is not a requirement, and they may be kept in the balance sheet as distributor debt. Currently, only Eletrobras is responsible for contributing AFAC sums in the distributors.
    o      Related Parties: Refer to debts contracted with other Eletrobras distributors or companies, except the Holding. Among the major related parties with effective credits we may mention, for instance, Eletronorte, Furnas and Chesf.
      Like in the case of the debts contracted directly with Eletrobras Holding, the company has preference over the funds, and may use the same alternatives as mentioned in the prior item. However, in this group of debts, there are legal and corporate aspects required to be noted vis-à-vis any measure. It should be stressed that variables such as the cash flows, the amount and the own capital structure of the creditor companies may be affected due to an attempted use of such credits.
    b)      Debts with Specific Third Parties: Debts of this nature area mostly overdue obligations for the payment of fuel supply agreements (therefore, rated as debt by the Accounting-Equity Due Diligence) due by a few distributors that are not party to the privatization process.
    c)      Debts with Other Third Parties: refers to debts contracted with other parties than Eletrobras, its distributors, Petrobras or Cigás. The remaining creditors of the distributors and debt instruments are considered in this group, among which there are domestic public banks, such as Caixa Econômica Federal, private financial institutions and other funding agents. The procedures of the Accounting-Equity Due Diligence also included to the balances of Debts with Third Parties the amounts concerning overdue payments with suppliers, including, for example, overdue liabilities with CCC (Fuel Consumption Account).

         The RGR PPST accounting balances reported to this Consortium by Ceal in December 2016 and June 2017 are shown below:

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    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    from both the reviewed sums provisioned and from identification of unmapped contingencies and their estimated value.

         Contingencies, type of rating and amounts derive from the legal, accounting-capital and environmental audits conducted at Ceal.

         There are three types of contingency, according to their probable loss of the concerned sums and, accordingly, incorporation into the valuation process, as listed below:

  • Probable:
      o      High risk of losing the sum involved in the judicial and administrative proceedings
      o      Usually priced in valuations, decreasing the equity value
  • Possible:
      o      Potential risk of losing the sum involved in the judicial and administrative proceedings
      o      Usually not priced in valuations, being eventually dealt with in specific
  • Remote: negotiations between the selling and the purchasing parties
      o      Low risk of losing the sums involved in the judicial and administrative proceedings
      o      Usually not priced in valuations

    5.4.2 Current status of contingencies

         Find below the amounts and percentages of contingencies for Ceal, according to their risk rating level.

    In R$ MM         
    DETAILING OF CEAL CONTINGENCIES       
     
      Likely  Probable  Remote  Total 
    Litigious  1,364.64  -  -  1,364.64 
    Taxes  13.81  553.74  16.25  583.80 
    Labor  6.25  49.44  -  55.69 
    Actuarial  (1.88)  -  -  (1.88) 
    Total  1,382.82  603.18  16.25  2,002.25 
     
    In %         
    DETAILING OF CEAL CONTINGENCIES       
     
      Likely  Probable  Remote  Total 
    Litigious  99%  0%  0%  68% 
    Taxes  1%  92%  100%  29% 
    Labor  0%  8%  0%  3% 
    Actuarial  0%  0%  0%  0% 
    Total  69%  30%  1%  100% 

     

    Note: ‘Litigious’ contingencies refer to materialized lawsuits and include actions from different areas

    (taxes, labor, civil, environmental, and regulatory). The others refer to risks mapped in the respective diligences, which do not have materialized suits.

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    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

         In the balance of contingencies classified as 'Probable', such as Litigation, there is the full amount of approximately R$ 1.4 billion related to the labor lawsuit of the Bresser Plan filed against the distributor, in addition to almost R$ 45 million in tax lawsuits favorable to the distributor (which are deducted against the total amount of contingencies). In the balance classified as 'Possible', in Tax segment, there are approximately R$ 455 million regarding nontechnical energy losses.

         In addition to the provided contingencies, there are also contingencies concerning environmental adaptations in the amount of R$ 29,581,979.15 required for distributor. Such values, however, were previously deducted from the equity value in the company’s valuation.

         It should be stressed that the base date of the contingencies is 12/31/2016 and that such sums are in addition to those provisioned in the distributor’s balance sheet dated December

    2016. The full details of the contingencies are in the audit reports.

    5.4.3 Negotiations to deal with contingencies

         Dealing with such distributor contingencies is relevant to enable eventual adjustments to the company’s price between the selling and purchasing parties. However, after developing several legal and financial analyses on contingencies, it was concluded that Eletrobras would avoid keeping future liabilities after privatization with the purchaser related to contingencies, in addition to eventual legal provisions allowing for the purchaser to question or file actions in the future to Eletrobras.

         Thus, the adjustment definition shall occur prior to entering into the share purchase and sale agreement. Therefore, we recommend the distributor privatization to consider prior corporate adjustments between the parties as part of distributor’s sale price definition. As a result, new value adjustments or corrections concerning these items shall not be conducted after the privatization.

         Contingencies whose assessments are Probable Loss, due to the high chance they have to lose the sums involved in the respective proceedings, should be deducted from the stakeholder’s value prior to transferring the shareholding control. Likewise, contingencies rated as ‘Possible’ and ‘Remote’ Loss should not have their value deducted from the company’s sale price.

         It should be stressed that several possibilities were analyzed to deal with contingencies, but all of them were proven to be financially unfeasible, with great operating complexity or with legal hindrances and risks.

         In addition, Eletrobras was identified, due to its State nature and current financial condition, to have legal and financial limitations to offer warranties to the investors in relation to such contingencies.

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    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    purchasing company, being questionable to advance its pricing in the minimum amount

         It should be stressed that grouping can be used for pragmatic aspects, deriving from objective assessment aspects (e.g., grouping to minimize the required capitalization) and the own interest of investors (mitigating risks that a less attractive concession is not successful in the privatization).

         In summary, a wide assessment, allied to the discussed context, does not construe as consistent the synergy incorporation to the minimum price and, accordingly, inexistence of returns to the proposed model.

         Such recommendation occurs vis-a-vis the instruction that no concession groupings should be conducted since it is construed that an open model shall tend to increase the competition between the stakeholders. Thus, there would be not only an increased number of offers avoiding the chance for auctions without bidders but also increased prices offered. Such prices, in turn, would be more appropriate to the level of synergy the investors shall have when inserting such companies into their management model.

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    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    7.      Adjustments on the Privatization model
    7.1      Context

         The privatization model is made from the results of the due diligence reports and economic-financial assessments. However, for the final proposal of capital and corporate structuring of the distributor, it is necessary that additional adjustments are conducted.

         The adjustments are carried out for the privatization model to meet the required legal instructions and comprise the latest information available concerning the economic-financial condition of the distributor.

    Adjustments made follow the stages provided below:

    ADJUSTMENTS FOR PRIVATIZATION MODELING

    = Mean of Services A and B

    (+/-) Consolidated adjustments
    Balance Sheet Adjustments
    (+/-) Asset and Liability Adjustments

    (+)      RGR PPST Reincorporation
    (-)      Reclassification of AFACs as Debt
    (-)      Tax Adjustments (Tax Loss and Negative Base)
    =      Adjusted Equity Value
    (-)      Reduction adjustment of tariff relaxation
    =      Final Equity Value

    The following topics describe the adjustments made. Their amounts are detailed in Section II

         Under Decree 2.594/98, providing for the National Privatization Program, Ceal sale model shall consider the financial assessments conducted by Services A and B contracted by the State-owned bank, conducted with the base date of December 2016.

         Within such context, based on the equity values drafted by Service A reported through the Letter AD/DEADE3 No. 14/2017, it is proposed that the equity value considered as basis for the financial and corporate model of Ceal shall be the simple average of the equity values defined by Service A and Service B. The formula is below:

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    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    Equity value average = (Equity value Service A + Equity value Service B) / 2

         As a result, an assessment basis is obtained with reduced chance of distortions since it considers the analysis of two different assessing companies. It is construed that both assessing companies are fully qualified to analyze the companies’ value and that the natural amount differences are due to the inherent subjectivity of interpretations and assumptions of each of them. Thus, any amount adopted among those provided by such companies would be acceptable.

         We should also consider that, by using the theoretical concepts and technical tools usually accepted by the experts and the market, definition of assumptions and parameters of a financial assessment has the subjectivity of its developers, which is inherent to valuation of a company.

    Thus, the Enterprise Value of a company, representing its projected cash flows, carried at present value by a discount rate, are subject to specific interpretations of their appraisers.

         Therefore, it is construed that one-sided selection of only one of the amounts provided by both appraisers could give room to greater assessment distortions vis-à-vis the market value considered by potential investors of such companies. For example, if choosing the lowest between both values, the investor could be benefited. In turn, if choosing the largest between both values, there could be a risk that it would be distant from the market assessment, reducing the auction attractiveness. Finally, choosing an arbitrary amount other than the average between both values assessed would not be logical.

         In the case of Ceal, the Enterprise Values estimated by the Services A and B are in close inter-values, lower than 20% in difference between them, benefiting the average use.

    ENTERPRISE VALUES OF CEAL - MEAN OF SERVICES A AND B

    Service A  R$  1,994,373,551.48 
    Service B  R$  2,446,562,300.47 
    Mean of Services A and B  R$  2,220,467,925.98 
    Percentage variation1    18% 
     
    1) Variation calculated as the module of lower value divided by the higher value   

     

         As a result, using the average of the amounts assessed by Services A and B is the most effective alternative to define the privatization price of Ceal.

    7.3      Relevant adjustments for privatization of Ceal
    7.3.1      Adjustment to comprise updated balance sheet until June 2017

         As means to minimize eventual financial discrepancies between the valuation base date and the latest balance sheet available for Ceal (updated until June 2017 and not audited by the Consortium), updates are being made as to the balance sheet accounts related to indebtedness and working capital, in addition to specific accounting adjustments.

    Accounts with their amounts updated are listed below:

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    Assets  Liabilities 
    Current  Current 
    Cash and cash equivalents  Financing and loans 
    Securities  Lease 
    Clients  Debt charges 
    Taxes to be recovered  Suppliers 
    Reimbursement rights  Taxes payable 
    Warehouse  Social and labor obligations 
    Services in progress  Reimbursement obligations 
    Regulatory asset  Accounts payable to related parties 
    Sureties and judicial deposits  Estimated obligations 
    Financial asset  Sectorial charges 
    Assets destined to disposal  Post-employment benefits 
    CDE repayment  Regulatory liabilities 
    Others  Research and development 
      Financial liabilities 
      Others 
     
    Non-current  Non-current 
    Clients  Financing and loans 
    Taxes to be recovered  Lease 
    Taxes to social contributions  Suppliers 
    Sureties and related deposits  Taxes payable 
    Reimbursement rights  Reimbursement obligations 
    Regulatory asset  Accounts payable to related parties 
    Others  Provision for unsecured liability in controlled 
    Investments  Post-employment benefits 
      Regulatory liability 
      Sectorial charges 
      Advance for future capital increase 
      Research and development 
      Others 

     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    The balance sheet accounts listed above refer to those comprised of this Consortium as

    Working Capital (e.g., ‘Customers’), Net Debt (e.g., ‘Cash and cash equivalents’) and other capital accounts not considered as Working Capital or Net Debt (e.g., ‘Investments’). The understanding is the same as that made by the Accounting-Capital Diligence and the Economic-Financial Assessment. Such amounts exclude the remaining balance sheet accounts not listed above.

         RGR PPST (for the designation period) also received different approach in the privatization model, as well as in the Economic-Financial Assessment conducted. Under the Law No. 12.783 dated 2013, the Technical Notes 351/2017 and 149/2017 of ANEEL and the Draft of Share Purchase and Sale Agreement, loosening was established for regulatory parameters for the distributor, including the RGR PPST. Payments concerning the loans contracted with RGR concerning the designation period shall have tariff recognition as components of Installment A. Since such tariff recognition follows the neutrality concept, the component was not considered when calculating the Installment A, since its consideration was also not considered for the purposes of this report.

         Therefore, since the RGR PPST has tariff coverage, not impacting on the equity value, its balances – included into the Liabilities in the account of ‘Loans and Financing’ – were positively reincorporated into the amount to the stakeholder.

         It is also stressed that, for the accounts of ‘Assets’ (property and rights), when there is positive variation, they increase the stakeholder’s value. Therefore, being added to the equity value of the distributor. In the case of negative variation in turn, they reduce the amount. For the accounts of ‘Liabilities’ (obligations), the adjustment is inverted in relation to the ‘Assets’.

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    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    For positive variation, the stakeholder’s value is reduced, and, for negative variation, such amount is increased.

         The adjustments excluded the accounts of ‘Liabilities’ concerning variations in the provisions for contingencies, litigations and civil, tax and labor claims. The reason is the probable overlapping between the new provisions made in the statements (after the valuation base date of December 2016) and the amounts of contingencies made by the Consortium. The amounts made are related to the same topics, in addition to the amounts of provisions of the financial statements and discounted from the stakeholder’s value. Thus, the adjustment related to provisions for contingencies is avoided to occur in duplicate, leading Eletrobras to make increased contributions than those actually required.

         Detailed amounts and the adjustment balances are provided in Item 12.2.2 - Balance update adjustment refer to the consolidated balance between the amounts of December 2016 and June 2017, which may be positive or negative. Balances of fiscal benefit and negative CSLL [Social Contribution on Net Income] basis were also updated to June 2017.

         The resulting amount is used as basis for the adjustment in loosened regulatory parameters. The adjustments were solely applied in the equity value, not being extended to any other income.

    7.3.2 Adjustment related to Advance Payments for Future Capital Increases (AFACs)

         Furthermore, if the distributor has AFACs, another adjustment is made, with the amounts concerning AFACs being considered as debt. Until the updating of the balance sheet dated June 2017 last updated until this report was concluded no existing AFAC was used to increase the capital.

         Thus, we suggest no new capital increase by using the AFACs of distributors by Eletrobras. As an alternative, its amounts shall now be construed as debts in the balance sheet (and may be used as an additional alternative for the capitalization to be conducted by Eletrobras outlined in

    ‘Stage 1’, as well as the remaining options provided).

         Taking into account that, once approved, the CPPI Resolution with definitions of financial and corporate adjustments to be made in the distributor under privatization, it is not advisable that new corporate amendments are made. It means that, if paying-up of the AFACs is after the CPPI publication, there is great chance that the numbers established in such CPPI Resolution will not comply with the distributor’s capital stock after capital increase by using the AFACs.

    Thus, conflicts will be avoided concerning the number of shares to be subscribed, as well as their underwriting amount, in addition to eventual legal conflicts or non-compliances.

         We should also consider that there are no relevant financial benefits in paying up the AFACs instead of considering them as debt. The effect upon the equity is neutral, since the new indebtedness amount shall be part of the adjustments of the model. Eventual savings of the distributor with debt taxation costs (e.g., IOF) shall be offset with benefits of the reduced basis for collection of the distributor’s income tax and with adjustments for inflation of the AFACs (e.g., SELIC), which shall be due to Eletrobras.

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    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

         It is also stressed that the eventual paying-up of AFACs requires several levels of approvals, including internally at distributor and Eletrobras, as well as externally from the respective governmental agencies (e.g., MME, GCEST and PGFN).

    Finally, we note that, until the latest information available for this report, the distributors’

    AFACs funds solely derive from Eletrobras. Detailed adjustments and amounts related to the AFACs are found in Section II - Privatization proposal.

    7.3.3 Tax adjustments Tax Losses and Negative Base

         In the first semester of 2017, the distributors used part of the Tax Losses (Individual Taxpayer Income Tax IRPF) and Negative Base (Social Contribution on Net Income CSLL) to liquidate tax debts. Since the economic-financial analysis of the distributors considers the use of these benefits positively in their cash flow, once used, such benefits must be excluded from the evaluation.

         Thus, for the financial modeling, the balances of Tax Loss and Negative Base used between January and June 2017 have been deducted from the tax balances existing in December 2016, base date used in the economic-financial analysis.

    7.3.4 Adjustment of the relaxation of regulatory parameters

         The adjustment in the relaxation of regulatory parameters aims at complying with ANEEL Technical Note no. 149, dated September 8, 2017, in order to reach the economic equilibrium of the concessions of designated distributors, defined under the terms of Normative Resolution no. 748/2016.

         Thus, the Draft of the Decree that will govern the bidding of distribution associated with the transfer of control of legal entity providing the electric power service, as per Law 12.783/2013, establishes that, in case the value to the stakeholder of Ceal resulting from the valuation is positive (which also considers the adjustment of the balance update) based on the relaxation of regulatory parameters, the value of relaxed parameters must be registered so that the value to the stakeholder is zero. That is, in case Ceal had negative value to the stakeholder before the relaxation of regulatory parameters, and such relaxation results in positive value to the stakeholder, the value of the relaxed parameters must be reduced to the amount necessary for the value to stakeholder to be equal zero.

    The relaxed regulatory parameters of Ceal are listed below:

    RELAXED PARAMETERS

         The adjustment of the relaxed regulatory parameters is applied to values of equity value (average of services A and B), corrected with the other adjustments specified (balance update, RGR PPST, AFAC, Tax Loss and Negative Base).

         In order to zero the value to stakeholder, the relaxed values of the relaxed parameters shall be adjusted. The reason is that they have a direct effect to the first years of the concession and

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    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    raise the rate to the consumer in a period in which other exceptional rate adjustments are in force.

         As detailed in Section II - Privatization proposal, the relaxed values will be used as variables of the privatization auction, after the eventual adjustment of these parameters to zero the value to stakeholder. In addition, the RGR PPST will also be used as an auction variable.

         It is also worthwhile noting that in case the value to stakeholder of the distributor is negative after the regulatory flexibilization, it will not be necessary to adjust the value of relaxed parameters. In this scenario, the relaxed value shall be fully valid as a base for the bids of investors in the auction.

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    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

         This stage, as well as its premises and parameters, is detailed in Item 8.2 - Minimum adjustment of the capital structure – “Stage 1”.

    Investor capitalization – “Stage 2”

    “Stage 2” is a stage after “Stage 1”, and optional to Eletrobras.

         It is important to stress that the capital structure of privatized companies needs to be balanced after the sale. This equilibrium is important to assure that the company will have financial health to honor its obligations such as investments forecasted for the period of concession and overcome eventual adverse conditions.

         This, the modeling determined that the investor stakeed in acquiring the company, in addition to buying the shares held by Eletrobras at the company of symbolic value, will also invest funds and resources to balance the capital structure of the company.

         This stage, as well as its premises and parameters, is detailed in Item 8.3 - Investor capitalization – “Stage 2”.

    Eletrobras corporate stake option

         In order to allow Eletrobras to have economic and financial benefits in the future with the privatization of its distributors, the modeling foresaw the possibility for the state-owned company to remain as a stakeholder of the companies sold, holding only a minimum percentage of corporate stake right after the disposal, being able to increase its corporate stake by up to 30% of the total shares of the distributors within up to six (6) months after the auction.

         For such, Eletrobras is entitled to increase its corporate stake up to the limit of 30% of the shares of the capital stock of Ceal, case in which the investor shall assign its right to subscribe such new shares to Eletrobras, so that it may formalize such increase. Considering the financial conditions of the company and the credit amounts of the debt held by Eletrobras with its distributors, Eletrobras may also pay such new shares by exchanging such debts into investment. These rules will be defined in the Stakeholders Agreement to be signed by Eletrobras and the investor, and such agreement will be an attachment to the Purchase and Sale Agreement of the distributor.

         Finally, it should be stressed that this alternative is not effectively part of the privatization, but an alternative available to Eletrobras, to be evaluated by it. Therefore, the intent is to include in the purchase and sale agreement of the distributor that Eletrobras may manifest its stake in increasing its corporate stake in the distributors after the privatization, within up to six (6) months from the date of the auction.

         In order to be eligible to increase its corporate stake in this stage, Eletrobras must hold one (1) share at the end of “Stage 1”. In case Eletrobras chooses not to increase its stake, such remaining share shall be sold to the investor within six (6) months from the date of the auction.

         This stage, as well as its premises and parameters, is detailed in Item 8.4 - Eletrobras corporate stake option.

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    considering the similarity of the financial situation in which they are found, as well as the proposed auction model, in which its sales operations interconnect. The definition of a homogeneous sales value of the companies, considering their financial situation, allows for a clearer and greater understanding of the privatization procedure of these companies to investors and to society.

         Details on the number of shares and values, among other aspects, are listed in Section II -Privatization proposal and in the Public Notice to the privatization procedure of Ceal.

    8.2.2 Capitalization alternatives

         It is recommended that the choice on the alternatives to perform the adjustments to the capital structure of Ceal should fall exclusively onto Eletrobras. The choice shall be made according to the most attractive options and to the reality of financial availability and credit of the company at the time of the operation.

         Recommendation made, it has been noted that Eletrobras could use three main alternatives to make the capitalization, all resulting in subscribing shares of the distributor: (i) conversion of debt credits by distributor to Eletrobras; (ii) assumption of debts of the distributor with third parties; and/or (iii) cash contribution to the distributor’s capital structure.

         In order to define the best alternative of capitalization to Eletrobras, a specific analysis shall be carried out by the Holding.

    8.3 Investor capitalization – “Stage 2”

         Even after the adjustment to the capital structure by Eletrobras to a symbolic value, the recommendation, for the purposes of conclusion of the privatization procedure of Ceal, is to conduct a new capitalization of the company, however this time by the investor, against the underwriting of new shares. This capitalization has the attributions of:

    a)      Avoiding the participation of investors effectively committed with the success of the company or without the due financial conditions to make the investments necessary for the organization;
    b)      Optimizing the capital structure of the company. After the “Stage 1”, against a symbolic equity value, the capital structure of Ceal shall consist of approximately 100% of debt.
      Thus, the company is not duly capitalized to make the investments and other demands of cash;

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    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    c)      Demonstrating to society and stakeholders that the privatization of Ceal has attracted an investor committed to contributing with resources sufficient to cover the investments in the first five years of the concession, fundamental to lever efficiency and the level of service of the company.

         The definition of the capitalization value took two factors into consideration: 1) capital structure of companies after adjustments in “Stage 1”; and 2) reference leverage for electric power distributors in Brazil considering that Eletrobras remains as a minor partner of the companies.

         In the first factor, it was considered that the capital structure that will serve as basis to be adjusted by the investor is that of the post-privatization operation. That is, any possible debt conversions by Eletrobras have already been considered in order to reach the value defined for the disposal of the distributor’s shares held by Eletrobras to the investor and consequent privatization of Ceal. At the moment, the company's leverage is close to the theoretical limit, since there is no significant equity value.

         In the second factor, a reference capital structure was used for companies of the industry, with a 54% financial leverage. Leverage is calculated as the modulus of net debt divided by the sum of the net debt value modulus and the company's equity value, as follows: (|Net Debt| / [|Net Debt| + Equity Value]).

         The value of 54% defined for the investor's post-capitalization leverage goal was calculated according to the methodology used by Consórcio Mais Energia B. It considers the average of the current weighted average capital cost ("WACC") of the most comparable companies leveraged in the industry. The calculation of the value required from the investor also considered that Eletrobras will exercise the option to reach the maximum value of ownership (30%) in Ceal through debt conversion, after the privatization.

         If Eletrobras does not partially or fully exercise its option, there is no damage to the operation or the investor. The main reflex is that Ceal will have a more leveraged capital structure than the suggested level (54%). However, as a function of the capitalization made by the investor, the distributor is already more prepared to face the relevant investments foreseen for the first years after privatization. Likewise, the reasons to require the investor’s capitalization remain to be met.

         It should be noted that, in addition to the capitalization forecasted for the investor, optimizations of the capital structure tend to be made progressively by the future investor. Thus, new contributions of resources may be demanded so that the financial equilibrium of Ceal is continuously achieved or even to face cash demands. Accordingly, in case Eletrobras decides to remain as a stakeholder of the distributor and does not accompany the investor in eventual future increases of capital of the distributor, it shall be diluted. The same principle applies to eventual minor stakeholders (including Active and Retired Employees who join the distributor’s Share Offer).

    The capitalization values of the investor are listed in Section II - Privatization proposal.

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    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    8.4  Eletrobras corporate stake option 
    8.4.1  Justification 

     

         The privatization modeling considers the possibility of Eletrobras continuing as a minor stakeholder of Ceal after the disposal of the shareholding control of such distributor. When holding a shareholding interest, even if assuming the risks as a stakeholder of the company, Eletrobras may recover part of the investments made with the receipt of dividends or future increase of value and subsequent sale of its shareholding interest.

         In such case, Eletrobras shall have the right to increase its shareholding interest at Ceal after the privatization of the company, having as an alternative not only the contribution to capital, but also the additional conversion of debts into shares. Thus, the state-owned company will not necessarily need to contribute to the capital of Ceal in case it is willing to exercise the respective option, using the credits of remaining debt eventually held against the privatized company.

         The structuring of this alternative to Eletrobras occurs to provide it with an option to generate additional value from the privatization. For such, a financial valuation shall be carried out by Eletrobras, considering, among other aspects, the TIR and VPL of both scenarios.

    8.4.2 Eletrobras corporate interest threshold

         The corporate interest of Eletrobras should be limited to 30% of the shares of the company. The threshold of 30% was established based on benchmarks and good market practices, in which minor stakeholders have limited participation in the governance and/or management of the company.

         The established percentage, in addition to allowing Eletrobras to hold relevant economic interest in the company, will not be equivalent to that of future investor, which will provide the investor with autonomy to act.

         The capitalization to be performed by Eletrobras shall also follow the same profile of share categories currently existing at Ceal. Thus, eventual risks of legal inquiries related to specific corporate adjustments to the privatization procedure may be mitigated.

         However, the stakeholders agreement set forth in Item 8.4.3 Participation of Eletrobras in the governance of the company shall be observed. Therefore, the degree of attractiveness of Ceal privatization to investors, main resource holders and risk takers, should be kept when assuring autonomy in the management of the company.

         Such evaluation was also carried out based on market analyses, which included interviews with market experts and potential investors. In general, investors tend to accept the participation of Eletrobras in the company, however without substantial participation in the management of the company.

    8.4.3 Participation of Eletrobras in the governance of the company

         In the presented model, although Eletrobras holds shares of Ceal, the state-owned company should preserve minimum rules in the management and governance of Ceal. Thus, the attractiveness of sale of the distributor would not be reduced duet to the sharing of its management, allowing the highest degree of freedom to the new investor.

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    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

         For such, it proposes that, regardless of the shareholding organization of Ceal after the privatization, a stakeholders agreement with the following parameters shall be established:

    MODEL OF PROPOSED AGREEMENT

    Participation Option Eletrobras option to increase the participation in the distributor up to 30% Conditions for the increase of capital Accompany or increase the participation via debt conversion Purchase priority Valid to investor and to Eletrobras Tag Along 100% Effectiveness of the agreement Regardless of controller succession

         The objective of this configuration is to preserve the attractiveness of creation of value of the company, overcoming eventual barriers resulting from the sharing of decisions of the company after the privatization.

         It is worthwhile noting that, even though not having a role in the management of the company, Eletrobras shall have its rights as a minor stakeholder duly protected. Privatized, Ceal will become a business corporation, one of the legal requirements for a company engaged in the distribution of electric power. In this case, the rights of the minor stakeholders will be governed by law, as well as the requirement of observance of good corporate governance practices (including the conduction of external audit and the disclosure of financial statements).

         In addition, Eletrobras shall have specific aspects set forth in the stakeholders agreement and in the obligations of the eventual investor when acquiring Ceal. The rights of Eletrobras are protected by the conditions detailed in the Public Notice to privatization of the company, and the specific conditions of the purchase and sale agreement of the distributor, including the stakeholders agreement.

    8.4.4 Procedure for Eletrobras to increase its shareholding interest

         The purchase and sale agreement of the distributor and the stakeholders agreement establish that Eletrobras will have up to six (6) months from the date of the auction to decide on its interest in increasing its shareholding interest by up to 30% of the shares of the capital stock of Ceal. Once the decision is made, Eletrobras shall communicate it to the new controller so that it becomes effective.

         In case Eletrobras is interested in increasing its participation, the legal and usual procedures for the capitalization of the company shall be observed, considering the rights of minor stakeholders including active and retired employees acquiring shares of Ceal. The investor shall not accompany such capitalization, in order to dilute its interest in the distributor and for Eletrobras to achieve the maximum threshold determined for its shareholding interest.

         As mentioned, the capitalization to be made by Eletrobras may also be made using debt credits held by the state-owned company with Ceal. The financial conditions of the capitalization, i.e., the market value per share, shall be the same of Stage 2 and of the auction.

    8.5 Classes of shares

         During the procedures of increase of capital of the distributor, the assumed premise is that the distributor will observe the legal rules applicable to the matter.

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    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

         In case the new controller is interested in rearranging the corporate structure of the company, it may issue new classes of shares or create groups. This should occur provided that the legal rights of minor stakeholders are observed, as well as the contractual obligations resulting from the privatization procedure.

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    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    9.      Shares offering to active and retired employees
    9.1      Mechanism

         According to the applicable legislation, the active and retired employees of the companies directly or indirectly controlled by the Government, included in the National Privatization

    Program (“PND”), herein the Investment Partnership Program (“PPI”), are assured the offer of at least ten percent (10%) of the shares representative of its capital.

         The offer to active and retired employees is made in parallel with the privatization auction, and its implementation is conditioned to its success, i.e., against the effective transfer of shareholding control.

         To take part of the offer, active and retired employees must be qualified according to the criteria established in Item 9.2 Definition of active and retired employees. After such qualification, active and retired employees shall indicate the number of lots of shares they are willing to reserve, without any purchase obligation.

         Each qualified active and retired employee may receive the same number of shares, regardless of title, either at the present or upon retirement.

         To negotiate the shares, the active and retired employees must be qualified and must hire a custodian agent, authorized institution accredited with B3, new denomination of BM&FBOVESPA.

    9.2 Definition of active and retired employees

         For the purposes of the Offer to Active and Retired Employees, active or retired employees of the distributor shall be considered as the following:

    1)      Employees with labor links with the distributor on the date of publication of the Public
      Notice      in the Federal Official Gazette;
    2)      Retired employees who meet any of the following requirements:
      a)      Hold labor link with the distributor on the date of request of their retirements;
      b)      Have the last contribution to the social security made as an employee of the distributor;
      c)      Have the last contribution to the social security covered by the distributor, as a result of voluntary dismissal plans;
      The      details on the eligibility criteria of active and retired employees for their eligibility to the

    auction, including specifications of CNPJ [Corporate Taxpayer ID Number] of companies eventually related, shall be included in the Public Notice to the privatization of Ceal.

    9.3 Offer General Conditions

         The table below presents the main conditions of the offer of shares to the active and retired employees, with explicative details in the following items.

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    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    General Conditions for Offering Shares to Active and Retired Employees

      Percentage of Eletrobras shares to be offered  10% 
    Conditions of     
    the offer  Discount on the Investor’s underwriting value  10% 
      Destination of the Remainder  Sale1 to the Investor 
    Offering  Quantity for offering to Active and Retired Employees  02 Offers 
    Process  Purchase limit  Depends on the number of entitled people 
        Depends on the participation acquired in the 
    Underwriting  Shares to be subscribed by Active and Retired Employees  offer 
    process     
      Price per share on underwriting  Same price as Investor 
      Lock-up period  No lock-up 
      Re-purchase deadline  03 years 
      Value per share for re-purchasing purposes  Same value as underwriting 
    Re-purchasing  Value limit of shares to be re-purchased  R$ 100,000.00 
    process2  Increase in shares’ value  10% 
      Monetary correction index  SELIC 
        Assets value (up to R$ 100,000.00) + 10% + 
      Final re-purchase value  SELIC 
    1) Sale by the same offering value to Active and Retired Employees   
    2) The re-purchasing rights are exclusive for the original purchasers   

     

         The shares shall be offered to the active and retired employees in mixed lots, containing ordinary and preferred shares in the same proportion existing at the distributor. The offer in lots is necessary to allow the sale of the shares for the minimum price (R$ 0.01) necessary to perform a transactions in Brazilian Reais. Rounding may also occur to the totals of the number of shares per lot, offered to employees, culminating in a final offered percentage slightly greater than the value defined as a goal (10%). The details are described in Section II Privatization Proposal.

         For the second offer of shares to employees, aiming at the sale of eventual surplus of shares from the first offer, there will be criteria applicable purchases involving employees in case of draw, as duly established in the Public Notice to the auction and the Manual of Shares offering to active and retired employees.

    9.3.1 Offer take and differentiated conditions

         The active and retired employees of the distributor will be offered 10% of the shares held by Eletrobras. According to Article 30, Paragraph 4 of Decree No. 2.594, of May 1998, the shares to be offered to the active and retired employees may have different prices and conditions in relation to those offered to investors.

         Thus, active and retired employees will have the prerogative to acquire shares at a lower price than the price paid by the new controller of the company in the Auction. The price per share for the Offer to Active and Retired Employees shall be defined as the value per share paid by the investor for the purposes of disposal, discounting up to 10%.

    9.3.2 Offsetting differentiated conditions to Eletrobras

         The discount offered to the active and retired employees must be offset to Eletrobras by the investor, as per Article 30, Paragraph 5 of Decree No. 2.594, of May 1998. Such offset shall occur directly, with the total value being paid in conjunction with the liquidation of the auction.

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    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

         After the stage of offer to the active and retired employees, shares that have not been sold shall be purchased by the winner of the auction, for the same price as previously offered, i.e., with the same discount offered, since the investor already is responsible for the costs of such discount.

    9.3.3 Offer Procedure and Purchase Limits

         A single offer of shares shall be made, extensive to all active and retired employees of each distributor, of 10% of the total amount of shares held by Eletrobras after the adjustment of the capital structure of “Stage 1”.

         Based on the value of the shares for the disposal to the Investor, the value of shares for the Offer to Active and Retired Employees shall be calculated with the application of the discount of 10%, as indicated in Item 10.6 - Share offer to . In order to allow the Offer, the shares will be grouped so that a lot of shares has value equivalent to R$ 0.01 (one centavo), minimum effective unit for money transactions.

         After the qualification stage, the maximum limit of lots of shares that each active and retired employee may acquire will be defined (“Purchase Limit”), through the division of the number of lots offered by the number of qualified persons.

    9.3.4 Follow-up by minority stakeholders of investor underwriting

         As presented in Item 8.3 - Investor capitalization – “Stage 2”, the investor shall increase its interest in the capital stock against the underwriting of new shares following the liquidation of the auction. At that time, the persons who have acquired shares through the Shares offering to active and retired employees already are considered stakeholders of the company.

         The value per share (or lot of shares) for the eventual follow-up of the capitalization by the active and retired employee shall be equal to the price per share for the investor underwriting.

    9.3.5 New controller shares repurchase obligation

         The active and retired employees will be entitled to distribute the acquired shares in the following differentiated conditions:

    a)      Under the scope of the Offer to the active and retired employees
    b)      In the underwriting of capital with the investor

         In case the active and retired employees who acquired shares of the Distributor are interested in selling such shares to the new controller, they may make such sale after three years from the date of the liquidation of the auction. The repurchase of these shares shall be made at the price per share acquired, up to the total maximum value of R$ 100,000.00 (one hundred thousand Brazilian Reais) per Active or Retired Employee.

         Moreover, for the repurchase, the value of the shares acquired by the active and retired employees shall be added 10%. Following that, such total must be adjusted by the SELIC of the period for the purposes of inflation adjustment of the values. These values are detailed in Section II - Privatization proposal.

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    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

         The addition of 10% to the repurchase value is defined as a form of assuring differentiated conditions to the active and retired employees with a substantial value, since the sale of shares for the privatization of the distributor is made with symbolic value. It is a benefit for the participation in the capitalization of the company and also an stimulation for employees to contribute with the financial and operating success of the company.

         The price per share (or lot) shall observe eventual adjustments resulting from grouping, split, bonus, and/or additional underwritings of shares or equivalent operations. Details of the values are also presented in Section II - Privatization proposal.

         It is worthwhile noting that the active and retired employees are not prohibited from selling shares they acquired from Ceal to third parties. However, in case such sale occurs, the obligation and respective share repurchase conditions are cancelled. Exceptions apply to cases of heritage and eventual legal provisions.

    9.4 Shares not acquired by active and retired employees

         The shares offered in the Shares offering to active and retired employees, eventually not acquired by active and retired employees, shall be purchased by the investor. The purchase shall occur at the differentiated value (already with the discount), since the investor will already be entitled to offset the discount to Eletrobras.

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    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    Actuarial due diligence, Human Resources due diligence and Environmental Evaluation Report).

         Detailing of information of these reports relevant for the model is described in Section I -Privatization context.

    10.2.2 Balance update adjustment

         As mentioned in Item 7.3.1 Adjustment to comprise updated balance sheet until June 2017, Ceal's balance sheet accounts have been updated to reduce the value gap between the valuation base date (December 2016) and the latest earnings release available (June 2017).

         The balances of the adjusted amounts are listed below, per account, and consolidated in a table, including the positive or negative effect they have on the adjustment value:

    ASSETS (IN R$ 000) - CEAL  Dec/16  Jun/17 Adjustment 
    Current       
    Cash and cash equivalents  21,804  72,667  50,863 
    Securities  14,709  3,007  (11,702) 
    Clients  313,949  337,307  23,358 
    Taxes to be recovered  12,625  12,962  337 
    Reimbursement rights  73,126  27,305  (45,821) 
    Warehouse  8,822  9,737  915 
    Services in progress  6,421  7,204  783 
    Regulatory asset  65,585  55,422  (10,163) 
    Sureties and judicial deposits  -  -  - 
    Financial asset  -  -  - 
    Assets destined to disposal  -  -  - 
    CDE repayment  -  -  - 
    Others  29,302  31,862  2,560 
    Non-current       
    Clients  313,947  307,947  (6,000) 
    Taxes to be recovered  4,264  4,477  213 
    Taxes to social contributions  -  -  - 
    Sureties and related deposits  60,119  73,960  13,841 
    Reimbursement rights  -  -  - 
    Regulatory asset  22,130  47,766  25,636 
    Others  564  564  - 
    Investments  168  168  - 
    Total asset adjustment      44,820 

     

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    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    LIABILITIES (IN R$ 000) - CEAL  Dec/16  Jun/17  Adjustment 
    Current       
    Loans and Financing  34,794  248,236  213,442 
    Lease  -  -  - 
    Debt charges  -  -  - 
    Suppliers  164,322  142,001  (22,321) 
    Taxes payable  76,789  79,181  2,392 
    Social and labor obligations  18,392  23,043  4,651 
    Reimbursement obligations  45,373  38,764  (6,609) 
    Accounts payable to related parties  -  -  - 
    Estimated obligations  -  -  - 
    Sectorial charges  30,955  27,809  (3,146) 
    Post-employment benefits  2,389  914  (1,475) 
    Regulatory liabilities  115,289  31,912  (83,377) 
    Research and development  -  -  - 
    Financial liabilities  -  -  - 
    Others  20,268  23,669  3,401 
    Non-current       
    Loans and Financing  1,427,343  1,504,984  77,641 
    Lease  -  -  - 
    Suppliers  -  -  - 
    Taxes payable  87,794  64,933  (22,861) 
    Reimbursement obligations  -  -  - 
    Accounts payable to related parties  -  -  - 
    Provision for unsecured liability in controlled  -  -  - 
    Post-employment benefits  41,219  41,219  - 
    Regulatory liability  6,801  25,976  19,175 
    Sector charges  17,870  24,135  6,265 
    Advance for future capital increase  159,155  159,155  n/a 
    Research and development  -  -  - 
    Others  33,603  34,273  670 
    Total liabilities adjustment      187,848 
     
    CONSOLIDATED VALUE OF ADJUSTMENTS (IN R$ 000) - CEAL     
     
    (+/-) Asset Adjustment    44,820 
    (+/-) Liabilities Adjustment    (187,848) 
    (+) RGR PPST Reincorporation    336,304 
    (-) Reclassification of AFACs as Debt    (159,155) 
    (-) Tax Adjustments (Tax Loss and Negative Base)    (37,684) 
    Consolidated value of adjustments    (3,563) 

     

         The consolidated value of the account balances in the referred to period was used as adjustment value:

    CEAL VALUATION ADJUSTMENTS     
     
     
    Mean of Services A and B  R$  (890,096,393.84) 
    Bresser Plan Reversal  R$  1,279,460,689.21 
    Consolidated adjustments  R$  (3,563,184.05) 
    Adjusted Equity Value  R$  385,801,111.32 

     

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    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    10.2.3 Regulatory parameters relaxation adjustment

    As described in Item 7.3.4 - Adjustment of the relaxation of regulatory parameters, if the

    “Adjusted Equity Value” is greater than zero, the relaxed of the regulatory parameters should be reduced to result in an equity value equal to zero. If the “Adjusted Equity Value” is lower than zero, there are no relaxed reductions of the tariff parameters and no adjustment is made to the equity value.

      CEAL TARIFF RELAXATION ADJUSTMENTS     
      Adjusted Equity Value  R$  385,801,111.32 
      Reduction adjustment of tariff relaxation  R$  (385,801,111.32) 
      Final Equity Value  R$  - 
      Reduction percentage of tariff relaxation    99,2 % 
     
    10.3  Sale vs. Liquidation Evaluation and  consequent “pure” concession 
      granting     

     

         One of the relevant alternatives that Eletrobras stakeholders have is to check if it is economically interesting to sell Ceal associated with the concession grant.

         If the state-owned company wants to sell the company associated with the concession, the auction will be held. Otherwise, or if the proposed adjustments are not acceptable and/or made by Eletrobras, an auction must be held only for sale of the concession.

         Thus, a comparative analysis was made between the sale value of the distributor associated with the concession and the liquidation value of the company. So, it is possible to assess if the sale is more attractive for the state-owned company.

         Since the sale value considers adjustments to the equity value, the adjustments were also considered in the estimation of the liquidation value. However, there was an exception for the Tax Adjustments and Negative Base, as they do not impact the liquidation value, and for the AFACs, as they can be paid in full in case the distributor is not sold.

         As shown below, in CEAL’s case, the best economic option is to sell the company, considering the value of the assets and concession. The balance between selling and liquidating is favorable to the first option, given the following chart:

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    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    CONVERSION AND ASSUMPTION OF CEAL’S DEBTS   
     
    Final Equity Value  R$  - 
     
    Stage 1 - Eletrobras Capitalization  R$  50,000.00 
    Debt conversion  R$  50,000.00 
    Debt assumption  R$  - 
    Adjusted Equity Value Post Stage 1  R$  50,000.00 
     
    Price per share for Eletrobras underwriting  R$  1.06559514 
    Total shares subscribed by Eletrobras    46,923 

     

         The amount of new shares subscribed by Eletrobras from these operations is defined according to the share issue price:

         It is in this stage that Ceal’s privatization technically occurs. After capital adjustment, 10% of the shares must be offered to Active and retired employees, 90% of the shares minus one must be sold to the potential investor and one share must remain Eletrobras property. Owning this share unit is necessary in case Eletrobras wants to increase its ownership interest.

    10.6 Share offer to Active and Retired Employees

         As mentioned, the Brazilian Legislation requires that, in a federal privatization, part of the shares held either directly or indirectly by the Federal Government be alienated to active and retired employees under different conditions.

         Thus, shares of the distributor owned by Eletrobras, must be offered to its active and retired employees, in accordance with the following conditions:


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    OFFERING TO ACTIVE AND RETIRED EMPLOYEES FROM CEAL   
     
    Conditions of differentiated offer     
    Base value of sale share  R$  0.00007251 
    Discount over the disposal value for the Investor    11.02% 
    Share value for differentiated offer  R$  0.00006452 
     
    Shares to be offered     
    Amount of Eletrobras shares    689,571,307 
    Percentage of Eletrobras shares offered    10.06494460% 
    Total amount offered    69,404,970 
    Ordinary    68,061,648 
    Preferential    1,343,322 
    Total valued of shares offered  R$  5,032.47 
    Value of shares offered with discount  R$  4,477.74 
    Value of compensation payable by the Investor  R$  554.73 
     
    Lots of the Shares offering to active and retired employees     
    Value of the lot of shares with discount  R$  0.01000000 
    Total quantity of lots in the Offer to Active and Retired Employees    447,774 
    Amount of shares in the lot    155 
    Amount of Ordinary shares in the lot    152 
    Amount of Preferential shares in the lot    3 
     
    Re-purchasing process1 by the investor     
    Lock-up period    No lock-up 
    Re-purchasing deadline    03 Years 
    Base value per share for re-purchasing purposes  R$  0.00007251 
    Base value limit of shares to be re-purchased  R$  100,000.00 
    Increase on base value of shares    10% 
    Share value with increase  R$  0.00007976 
    Correction Index    SELIC 
    Re-purchasing price per share  R$ 0.00007976 + SELIC 

     

    1) In the model defined, the conditions for buyback by the investor of the shares offered are exclusive rights of the active and retired employees who acquire them, or individuals who acquire them by succession (due to the death of the original purchaser). In case the shares are sold to third parties the buyback benefits are cancelled.

         The investor must compensate Eletrobras for the share offer under conditions other than those offered to the employees (according to Decree 2.594/98), in addition to complying with obligations reported in this report, as indicated in Item 12.9 – Investor’s obligations.

         Any shares not eventually purchased by active and retired employees must be acquired by the investor at the end of the sale process of these shares, at the price already including the proposed discount. The acquisition of the remaining shares at the discount price occurs so that the investor is not charged in duplicate for the financial compensation made to Eletrobras regarding the sale of the shares to active and retired employees, since compensation to the state-owned company will be made.

    10.7 Investor’s capitalization – “Stage 2”

         In the proposed sale model for purposes of auction settlement, the investor willing to purchase Ceal must make a capital contribution by subscribing new shares of the company. This capital will be paid in cash.

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    CAPITALIZATION OF INVESTOR ON CEAL     
    Adjusted Equity Value Post Stage 1  R$  50,000.00 
    Value to be paid by the Investor  R$  545,770,485.33 
    Adjusted Equity Value Post Stage 2  R$  545,820,485.33 
    Amount of share to subscribe to the Investor    7,526,953,337,861 
    Price per share subscribed  R$  0.00007251 

     

    10.8 Ceal's final corporate structure

         By the end of the privatization process Ceal must submit the following corporate structure considering full adhesion of the active and retired employees to the share offer:

    CEAL’S FINAL CORPORATE STRUCTURE         
     
    Total shares        8,370,010,415,171 
    Capital stock      R$  1,341,653,392. 10 
    Nominal value of shares      R$    0.00016029 
     
    Interest  Ordinary shares  Preferential shares    Total Shares  (%) 
    Investor  7,402,266,527,625  125,306,976,572    7,527,573,504,197  89.9351% 
    Eletrobras  1  0    1  0.0000% 
    Active and Retired Employees  826,131,680,439  16,305,230,534    842,436,910,973  10.0649% 
    Other Minorities  0  0    0  % 
     
    Shares per Class        Total Shares  (%) 
    Ordinary        8,228,398,208,065  98.3081% 
    Preferential        141,612,207,106  1.6919% 

     

    Note: assumes full monitoring by the Active and Retired Employees of the capitalization made by the investor. The final corporate structure, however, varies according to the level of adhesion to the offer to the Active and Retired Employees, and the level of monitoring of the capitalization.

         The final corporate structure, however, varies according to the level of adhesion of Ceal’s active and retired employees to the share offer.

         Any shares not eventually purchased by active and retired employees will be purchased from Eletrobras by the investor. Eletrobras final equity interest, however, will suffer no change.

         If the Eletrobras chooses not to increase its equity interest, the remaining shares it holds must be sold at its base price to the investor within six (6) months from the auction date.

    10.9 Investor’s obligations

         In order to acquire Ceal, the interested investor must commit to the following obligations established in this sales proposal:

    10.9.1      Financial obligations
      i.      Subscribing and paying the company’s capital stock
      ii.      Pay Eletrobras the compensation amount resulting from the different conditions applicable to the share offer to Ceal’s active and retired employees.
      iii.      Buy from Eletrobras the remaining shares of the share offer made to the active and retired employees.

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    iv.      Meet requests regarding the share offer to the active and retired employees according to the different conditions established.

    The amounts of the financial obligations are defined below:

    INVESTOR OPERATIONS ON CEAL     
     
    Total paid during disposal of Ceal control  R$  45,522.26 
    Total value from sale of shares  R$  44,967.53 
    Amount of sale shares    620,166,336 
    Price per share  R$  0.00007251 
    Value compensation to Eletrobras for the offer to active and retired employees  R$  554.73 
     
    Capitalization - Stage 2     
    Amount of subscribed shares    7,526,953,337,861 
    Price per subscribed share  R$  0.00007251 
    Value to be paid by the Investor  R$  545,770,485.33 
     
    Other Obligations     
    Re-purchase of remainder from the offer to employees and retired     
    Re-purchasing price  R$  0.00006452 
    Re-purchasing amount    Totality of remainder 
    Maximum value to be re-purchased  R$  4,477.74 

     

    Re-purchase of shares from employees and retired     
    Re-purchasing deadline    03 Years 
    Base value per share for re-purchasing purposes  R$  0.00007251 
    Base value limit of shares to be re-purchased  R$  100,000.00 
    Increase on base value of shares    10% 
    Share value with increase  R$  0.00007976 
    Correction Index    SELIC 
    Re-purchasing price per share    R$ 0.00007976 + SELIC 

     

    10.9.2      Obligations defined in contract
      Some additional obligations are recommended as follows:
      i. Meeting the social provisions relating to the active and retired employees according to the sample proposed below:

    Contractual obligations proposals

    Private Pension Health Insurance

    Re-qualification of dismissed

     

    Maintain current conditions for two years Maintain current conditions for two years

    Structure re-qualification program compatible with the best market practices

     

    ii.      Meeting the governance provisions relating to Eletrobras stakeholders, according to the sample proposed below:

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    Proposed Deal Model   
    Participation Option  Option for Eletrobras to increase participation on the distributor 
      up to 30% 

     

    Conditions for capital increase. Follow or increase participation via debt conversion

    Purchase preference  Mutual for investor and Eletrobras 
    Tag Along  100% 
    Deal validity  Independent from controller succession 

     

    11. Ceal’s privatization schedule

         In order to achieve Ceal’s privatization, a schedule is proposed1 with the key stages of the privatization process. The objective is to provide an overview of the process complemented by a detailed schedule in specific reports and legal drafts.

         The schedule considers the legal terms and time required to carry out the corporate and financial adjustments, as well as the compliance with contractual and corporate aspects. We note that this schedule is preliminary and may adjusted to meet the requirements of the privatization process.

    Activity  Term 
    CPPI Resolution Publication  D + 0 
    Data Room Opening  D + 9 days 
    Eletrobras Extraordinary General Meeting  D + 50 days 
    Distributor Extraordinary General Meeting  D + 63 days 
    Holding a Public Hearing  D + 70 days1 
    Publication of the Privatization Announcement  D + 92 days 
    Auction  D + 145 days2 
    Auction homologation  D + 168 days2 
    Distributor Extraordinary General Meetings  D + 177 days 
    Auction settlement and contract signing  D + 177 days 
    Distributor Extraordinary General Meeting  D + 207 days3 

     

    Note: Subject to the effective date of the CPPI resolution and Eletrobras internal terms for corporate procedures (sometimes counted in business days), the estimated terms may be changed.

    1) According to article 39 of Law 8.666/93, 15 business days are necessary before publishing the Announcement. Since there should be six public hearings, 2 weeks were estimated. Therefore, if more days are required so such public hearings be held, the schedule will be changed accordingly 2) Suggested term once such deadlines are set forth in the Announcement 3) Suggested term but not lower than 30 days counted from the date of the last Extraordinary General Meeting of the Distributor

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    Section III - Privatization Proposal Without Agreement

    12. Summary of Ceal’s privatization proposal

         This summary shows the recommendations of the Consórcio Mais Energia B relating to Ceal’s privatization. The evaluations and recommendations are presented in an objective manner, according to the instructions presented in Section I - Privatization context. They are intended to guide the actions to be taken by Eletrobras and entities responsible for the privatization procedure of the company.

    12.1 Ceal’s Corporate Structure

         The corporate structure on the base date of 12/31/2016 is organized according to the table below:

    CURRENT CEAL’S CORPORATE STRUCTURE   
     
    Total shares    689,524,384 
    Capital stock  R$  734,753,835.07 
    Nominal value of shares  R$  1. 06559514 
     
    Interest  Shares  (%) 
    Eletrobras  689,524,384  100.00% 
    Minorities  0  - % 
     
    Classes of shares  Shares  (%) 
    Ordinary  677,858,321  98.31% 
    Preferential  11,666,063  1.69% 

     

    12.2      Ceal’s Sales Price Definition
      12.2.1 Result of economic-financial evaluations

         The economic value of the shares of the company was determined according to the base date of 12/31/2016. Following on, the values were defined, considering the average of the prices for Services A and B, demonstrated in the table below:

    ECONOMIC VALUE OF CEAL - MEAN OF SERVICES A AND B

    Service A  R$  (1,116,190,768.34) 
    Service B  R$  (664,002,019.35) 
    Mean of Services A and B  R$  (890,096,393.84) 

     

         The definition of the economic value of Ceal followed the definitions and instructions of Decree no. 2.594/98, Article 30, Paragraph 3, taking into account several aspects relevant to a valuation:

    c)      Improvement of the operational efficiency level of the company, equal to or even higher than the efficiency levels of the market; and

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    d)      Evaluations of relevant due diligence for asset valuation (Legal Due Diligence, Accounting-Equity Due Diligence, Technical-Operational Due Diligence, Actuarial Due Diligence, Human Resources Due Diligence, and Environmental Evaluation Report).

         The detailing of the relevant information of these reports for the modeling are described in Section I - Privatization context.

    12.2.2 Balance update adjustment

         As mentioned in Item 7.3.1 Adjustment to comprise updated balance sheet until June 2017, the entries of the balance of Ceal were updated to reduce the difference of values between the base date of the valuation (December 2016) and the last available publication of results (June 2017).

         The balances of the adjusted values are listed below, by entry, and consolidated in a table, including the positive or negative effect they have to the adjustment value:

    ASSETS (IN R$ 000) - CEAL  Dec/16  Jun/17 Adjustment 
    Current       
    Cash and cash equivalents  21,804  72,667  50,863 
    Securities  14,709  3,007  (11,702) 
    Clients  313,949  337,307  23,358 
    Taxes to be recovered  12,625  12,962  337 
    Reimbursement rights  73,126  27,305  (45,821) 
    Warehouse  8,822  9,737  915 
    Services in progress  6,421  7,204  783 
    Regulatory asset  65,585  55,422  (10,163) 
    Sureties and judicial deposits  -  -  - 
    Financial asset  -  -  - 
    Assets destined to disposal  -  -  - 
    CDE repayment  -  -  - 
    Others  29,302  31,862  2,560 
    Non-current       
    Clients  313,947  307,947  (6,000) 
    Taxes to be recovered  4,264  4,477  213 
    Taxes to social contributions  -  -  - 
    Sureties and related deposits  60,119  73,960  13,841 
    Reimbursement rights  -  -  - 
    Regulatory asset  22,130  47,766  25,636 
    Others  564  564  - 
    Investments  168  168  - 
    Total asset adjustment      44,820 

     

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    LIABILITIES (IN R$ 000) - CEAL  Dec/16  Jun/17  Adjustment 
    Current       
    Loans and Financing  34,794  248,236  213,442 
    Lease  -  -  - 
    Debt charges  -  -  - 
    Suppliers  164,322  142,001  (22,321) 
    Taxes payable  76,789  79,181  2,392 
    Social and labor obligations  18,392  23,043  4,651 
    Reimbursement obligations  45,373  38,764  (6,609) 
    Accounts payable to related parties  -  -  - 
    Estimated obligations  -  -  - 
    Sectorial charges  30,955  27,809  (3,146) 
    Post-employment benefits  2,389  914  (1,475) 
    Regulatory liabilities  115,289  31,912  (83,377) 
    Research and development  -  -  - 
    Financial liabilities  -  -  - 
    Others  20,268  23,669  3,401 
    Non-current       
    Loans and Financing  1,427,343  1,504,984  77,641 
    Lease  -  -  - 
    Suppliers  -  -  - 
    Taxes payable  87,794  64,933  (22,861) 
    Reimbursement obligations  -  -  - 
    Accounts payable to related parties  -  -  - 
    Provision for unsecured liability in controlled  -  -  - 
    Post-employment benefits  41,219  41,219  - 
    Regulatory liability  6,801  25,976  19,175 
    Sector charges  17,870  24,135  6,265 
    Advance for future capital increase  159,155  159,155  n/a 
    Research and development  -  -  - 
    Others  33,603  34,273  670 
    Total liabilities adjustment      187,848 
     
    CONSOLIDATED VALUE OF ADJUSTMENTS (IN R$ 000) - CEAL     
     
    (+/-) Asset Adjustment      44,820 
    (+/-) Liabilities Adjustment    (187,848) 
    (+) RGR PPST Reincorporation    336,304 
    (-) Reclassification of AFACs as Debt    (159,155) 
    (-) Tax Adjustments (Tax Loss and Negative Base)    (37,684) 
    Consolidated value of adjustments      (3,563) 

     

         The consolidated value of the balances of the entries for the respective period was used as the adjustment value:

    CEAL’S VALUATION ADJUSTMENTS

    Mean of Services A and B  R$  (890,096,393.84) 
    Bresser Plan Reversal  R$  - 
    Consolidated adjustments  R$  (3,563,184.05) 
    Adjusted Equity Value  R$  (893,659,577.89) 

     

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    12.2.3 Regulatory parameters relaxation adjustment

         As described in Item 7.3.4 Adjustment of the relaxation of regulatory parameters, in case the ‘Adjusted Equity Value’ is greater than zero, the relaxation of the regulatory parameters must be reduced to result an equity value equal to zero. In the case of ‘Adjusted Equity Value’ smaller than zero, there will be no reductions to the relaxation of the rate parameters and no adjustment will be made to the equity value.

      CEAL’S TARIFF RELAXATION ADJUSTMENTS   
      Adjusted Equity Value  R$  (893,659,577.89) 
      Reduction adjustment of tariff relaxation  R$  - 
      Final Equity Value  R$  (893,659,577.89) 
      Reduction percentage of tariff relaxation    - % 
     
    12.3  Sale vs. Liquidation Evaluation  and consequent “pure” concession 
      granting     

     

         One of the relevant alternatives that Eletrobras stakeholders have is to evaluate the economic feasibility in selling Ceal associated with the grant of the concession.

         In case the state-owned company is willing to sell the company associated with the concession, the respective auction shall be held. Otherwise, or if the proposed adjustments are not accepted and/or made by Eletrobras, the auction shall only be held for the sale of the concession.

         Thus, a comparative analysis between the sale price of the distributor associated with the concession and the eventual liquidation price of the company was developed. Thus, it is possible to assess if the sale would be more attractive to the state-owned entity.

         Since the sale price considers adjustments to the equity value, the adjustments were also considered in the estimate of the liquidation value. However, exception was made to Tax Adjustments and Negative Base, since these had no impact to the liquidation value, and to AFACs, since they could be paid if the distributor is not sold.

         As shown below, in the case of Ceal, the best economic option is to sell the company, considering the value of assets and of the concession. The balance between selling and liquidating is favorable for the first option, according to the table below:

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        Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal 
     
     
    CONVERSION AND ASSUMPTION OF CEAL’S DEBTS   
     
    Final Equity Value  R$  (893,659,577.89) 
     
    Stage 1 - Eletrobras Capitalization  R$  893,709,577.89 
    Debt conversion  R$  893,709,577.89 
    Debt assumption  R$  - 
    Adjusted Equity Value Post Stage 1  R$  50,000.00 

     

    Price per share for Eletrobras underwriting  R$  1.06559514 
    Total shares subscribed by Eletrobras    838,695,243 
     
    The number of new shares subscribed by  Eletrobras from these operations is defined 
    pursuant to the price of issuance of the shares.     

     

         This is the stage in which the privatization of Ceal occurs in technical terms. After the adjustment of capital, 10% of the shares shall be offered to Active and Retired Employees, 90% of the shares less one shall be sold to the potential investor, and one share must remain as property of Eletrobras. The possession of this one share is necessary in case Eletrobras wishes to increase its corporate interest.

    12.6 Shares offering to active and retired employees

         As mentioned, the Brazilian legislation requires that, in a federal privatization, part of the shares directly or indirectly owned by the Government should be sold to the active and retired employees in differentiated conditions.

         Thus, the shares of the distributor held by Eletrobras shall be offered to its active and retired employees, according to the conditions below:

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    OFFERING TO ACTIVE AND RETIRED EMPLOYEES FROM CEAL   
     
    Conditions of differentiated offer     
    Base value of sale share  R$  0.00003272 
    Discount over the disposal value for the Investor    10.37% 
    Share value for differentiated offer  R$  0.00002933 
     
    Shares to be offered     
    Amount of Eletrobras shares    1,528,219,627 
    Percentage of Eletrobras shares offered    10.02942603% 
    Total amount offered    153,271,657 
    Ordinary    150,574,795 
    Preferential    2,696,862 
    Total valued of shares offered  R$  5,014.71 
    Value of shares offered with discount  R$  4,494.77 
    Value of compensation payable by the Investor  R$  519.94 
     
    Lots of the Shares offering to active and retired employees     
    Value of the lot of shares with discount  R$  0.01000000 
    Total quantity of lots in the Offer to Active and Retired Employees    449,477 
    Amount of shares in the lot    341 
    Amount of Ordinary shares in the lot    335 
    Amount of Preferential shares in the lot    6 
     
    Re-purchasing process1 by the investor     
    Lock-up period    No lock-up 
    Re-purchasing deadline    03 Years 
    Base value per share for re-purchasing purposes  R$  0.00003272 
    Base value limit of shares to be re-purchased  R$  100,000.00 
    Increase on base value of shares    10% 
    Share value with increase  R$  0.00003599 
    Correction Index    SELIC 
    Re-purchasing price per share  R$ 0.00003599 + SELIC 

     

    1) Value show considers full adhesion of Active and retired employees to the offer, which may vary

    2) In the defined modeling, the repurchase conditions by the investor of the offered shares are exclusive rights of the active and retired employees acquiring them, or by individuals that may acquire them by succession (due to death of the original purchaser). In the case of sale of the shares to third parties, the repurchase benefits will be cancelled.

         The investor shall offset Eletrobras for the offer of shares with differentiated conditions to employees (according to Decree 2.594/98), in addition to complying with the obligations included in this report, as indicated in Item 10.9 - Investor’s obligations.

         Shares eventually not purchased by the active and retired employees must be acquired by the investor at the end of the sale of these shares, at the price including the proposed discount. The acquisition of the remaining shares at the discount price shall occur so that the investor is not encumbered, twice, for the financial offset made to Eletrobras in relation to the sale of the shares to the active and retired employees, since the offset to the state-owned company will be made.

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    12.7 Investor capitalization – “Stage 2”

         In the proposed sales model, for the purposes of liquidation of the auction, the investor willing to purchase Ceal shall make a contribution of capital with the underwriting of new shares at the company. Such capital shall be paid in national currency.

    CAPITALIZATION OF INVESTOR ON CEAL     
    Adjusted Equity Value Post Stage 1  R$  50,000.00 
    Value to be paid by the Investor  R$  258,115,449.84 
    Adjusted Equity Value Post Stage 2  R$  258,165,449.84 
    Amount of share to subscribe to the Investor    7,889,141,929,446 
    Price per share subscribed  R$  0.00003272 

     

    12.8 Ceal’s final corporate structure

         At the end of the privatization procedure, Ceal shall present the corporate structure described below, considering the full adhesion of the active and retired employees to the offer of shares:

    CEAL’S FINAL CORPORATE STRUCTURE         
     
    Total shares        8,770,108,413,078 
    Capital stock      R$  1,915,352,157. 18 
    Nominal value of shares      R$    0.00021840 
     
    Interest  Ordinary shares  Preferential shares    Total Shares  (%) 
    Investor  7,757,612,096,239  132,904,781,176    7,890,516,877,415  89.9706% 
    Eletrobras  1  0    1  0.0000% 
    Active and Retired Employees  864,114,851,751  15,476,683,911    879,591,535,662  10.0294% 
    Other Minorities  0  0    0  % 
     
    Shares per Class        Total Shares  (%) 
    Ordinary        8,621,726,947,991  98.3081% 
    Preferential        148,381,465,087  1.6919% 

     

    Note: assumes the total follow-up by Active and Retired Employees of the capitalization made by the investor. The final corporate structure, however, shall vary in accordance with the degree of adhesion to the offer by the Active and Retired Employees and to the follow-up rate of the capitalization.

         The final corporate structure will vary depending on the rate of adhesion of the active and retired employees of Ceal to the offer of shares.

         Shares eventually not acquired by the active and retired employees will be purchased from Eletrobras by the investor. The final participation of Eletrobras, however, shall not be changed.

         In case the state-owned company chooses not to increase its corporate interest, the remaining share held by it shall be sold at its base price to the investor within six (6) months from the date of the auction.

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    12.9 Investors Obligations

         The purchase Ceal, the interested investor must undertake to the following obligations established in the sale proposal:

    12.9.1 Financial obligations

    v.      Underwriting and payment of capital at the company
    vi.      Pay Eletrobras the offsetting amount related to the differentiated conditions of the Shares offering to active and retired employees of Ceal
    vii.      Purchase from Eletrobras the remaining shares of the offer made to the active and retired employees
    viii.      Fulfill the requests related to the offer of shares to the active and retired employees in accordance with the differentiated conditions established
      The values of the financial obligations are defined below:
    INVESTOR OPERATIONS ON CEAL     
     
    Total paid during disposal of Ceal control  R$  45,505.23 
    Total value from sale of shares  R$  44,985.29 
    Amount of sale shares    1,374,947,969 
    Price per share  R$  0.00003272 
    Value compensation to Eletrobras for the offer to active and retired employees  R$  519.94 
     
    Capitalization - Stage 2     
    Amount of subscribed shares    7,889,141,929,446 
    Price per subscribed share  R$  0.00003272 
    Value to be paid by the Investor  R$  258,115,449.84 
     
    Other Obligations     
    Re-purchase of remainder from the offer to active and retired employees     
    Re-purchasing price  R$  0.00002933 
    Re-purchasing amount    Totality of remainder 
    Maximum value to be re-purchased  R$  4,494.77 
    Re-purchase of shares from active and retired employees     
    Re-purchasing deadline    03 Years 
    Base value per share for re-purchasing purposes  R$  0.00003272 
    Base value limit of shares to be re-purchased  R$  100,000.00 
    Increase on base value of shares    10% 
    Share value with increase  R$  0.00003599 
    Correction Index    SELIC 
    Re-purchasing price per share    R$ 0.00003599 + SELIC 

     

    12.9.2      Obligations defined in the Purchase Agreement
      Certain additional obligations are recommended, namely:
      iii. Comply with the corporate clauses related to active and retired employees, according to the model proposed below:

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    Contractual obligations proposals

    Private Pension Health Insurance

    Re-qualification of dismissed

    personnel

     

    Maintain current conditions for two years Maintain current conditions for two years

    Structure re-qualification program compatible with the best market practices

     

    iv.      Comply with the governance clauses related to the stakeholders agreement with Eletrobras, according to the model proposed below:
    Proposed Deal Model   
    Participation Option  Option for Eletrobras to increase participation on the distributor up to 
      30% 
    Conditions for capital increase.  Follow or increase participation via debt conversion 
    Purchase preference  Mutual for investor and Eletrobras 
    Tag Along  100% 
    Deal validity  Independent from controller succession 

     

    13. Ceal’s privatization schedule

         A proposal of schedule1 presenting the key stages of the privatization procedure was developed for the privatization of Ceal. The objective is to offer an overview of the procedure, complemented by a detailed schedule in terms of specific reports and legal drafts.

         The schedule considers the legal requirements of term and the time necessary to make the corporate and financial adjustments, as well as the observance of contractual and corporate aspects. We have observed that this schedule is preliminary and may be subject to changes and adjustments to meet the requirements of the privatization procedure.

    Activity

    Publication of Resolution CPPI Data Room Opening

    Shareholder’s Meeting of Eletrobras Shareholder’s Meeting of Distributor Conduction of Public Hearing

    Publication of the Public Notice to Privatization Auction Auction homologation

    Shareholder’s Meetings of the Distributor

    Liquidation of the auction and execution of the agreement

    Shareholder’s Meeting of the Distributor

     

    Term

    D + 0 D + 9 days

    D + 50 days D + 63 days D + 70 days1

    D + 92 days D + 145 days2 D + 168 days2

    D + 177 days

    D + 177 days

    D + 207 days3

     

    Note: Depending on the effective date of the CPI resolution and the internal deadlines for the corporate procedures of Eletrobras (at times considered in business days), the estimated terms may be changed 1) According to Article 39 of Law 8.666/93, 15 business days before the publication of the Public Notice will be necessary. Considering that six public hearings shall occur, two weeks have been estimated. Thus, in case more days are necessary to hold these public hearings, the schedule will be changed 2) Suggestive term, since such terms are stipulated by the Public Notice 3) Suggestive term, however not smaller than 30 days from the date of the last Shareholder’s Meeting of the Distributor

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    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

         As established in the regulation above, the regulatory aspects mentioned below have been made flexible for the area of concession of the distributor:

    RELAXED PARAMETERS

         As a form of allowing the reduction of the power rate charged against the consumer, the relaxed parameters shall be used as auction variables. They will be reduced by the bids of investors participating in the auction up to the limit of the relaxations performed by the regulator.

         Once the relaxed parameters have a limit, the regulation also established the possibility of offer of values of grant by investors, with their resources being destined to the Government. The grant offer is subsequent to the reduction of the relaxed parameters and has no capped value. Thus, there are no procedural limits for the bids placed by the participants of the auction.

         To reduce the operating complexity of an auction with several parameters, the proposal is to establish a single variable for the investor offers. This variable is a reference Index, exclusive and of crescent value, the ‘Combined Discount Index in the Regulatory Flexibility and Grantreferred to as Index.

         In order to meet the regulatory requirements, the Index value will begin with 0.00 (zero) percentage point (p.p.) and shall not have capped value, with up to two decimal points for bids. The Index will also have two combined intervals, the first representing how investors are willing to reduce the tax relaxed, and the second representing how much they are willing the offer as grant value.

    The intermediary values of the Index are described below:

  • Values from zero (0.00) to one hundred (100.00):
      o      The offers in this interval will be related to the discount percentage in the relaxed regulatory parameters offered by the investor, with the percentage being applied linearly to all relaxed parameters in the area of concession of the distributor;
      o      The values will be used to define the final regulatory parameters of the area of concession of the distributor, according to the Draft of Electric Power Distribution Concession Agreement resulting from Public Hearing 94/2016 of ANEEL and Public Inquiry 037/2017 of the Ministry of Mines and Energy - MME.
  • Values above one hundred point zero one (100.01):

    o The bids in this interval consider only the values additionally to the initial one hundred (100.00) p.p. and refer to the value of offered grant, with the payment being made to the Government;

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    o The value offered by the investor shall be multiplied by a pre-determined reference money value to each one (1.00) percentage point of the Index after 100.01;

    For exemplification purposes, we indicate the following cases:

         The Index will be valid both to the first stage (in closed envelope) and in the second stage (live bidding). After opening the envelopes, in case of bidders classified to the 2nd stage, the bids of investors for the highest Index value continue in live bidding until one of them is declared winner.

    14.6 Auction Value base for ‘Combined Discount Index in the Regulatory Flexibility and Grant’

         The values of the first interval of the Index (from 0.00 to 100.00 p.p.) refer to the Regulatory Flexibility, in which the offered discount is applied linearly over the values of the relaxed parameters by the regulator.

         In this context, the values of the regulatory parameters used as variables of the auction should be fixed. Thus, investors will know the amount in which they bids will be placed and that will base the auction. This recommendation also aims at avoiding legal inquiries prior to or after the auction, which may compromise the privatization of the distributor.

         For such, the PMSO value and the RGR PPST to be used as auction variables should be fixed. These values will depend on the future definition of ANEEL to be used in the auction and will be informed upon the publication of the invitation to privatization. The additional RGR values eventually not part of the auction will be fully offset via tariff. Values of Non-Technical Losses are already predefined according to Technical Note 149/2017 of ANEEL.

         The table below shows the Consortium estimate for the base of values of the auction variables for the auction of the distributor:

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      Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal 
     
     
    Scenario With Bresser Plan Agreement   
     
    NOTE  BASE ESTIMATE VALUES FOR AUCTION  CEAL w/ Ag. 
     
    1  Index (BID)  Auction Result 
     
    2  Contract: Sub clause on Tax Coverage of RGR  Auction Result 
     
    3  Relaxation PMSO 2017  67,140,222 
    4  Regulatory PMSO 2017  328,676,698 
    5  Pre-Auction Discount  99.2% 
    6  2017 PMSO Relaxation Post Pre-Auction Discount  568,089 
    7  Contract: Item II Sub Clause 3 Clause 19 of the Contract  Auction Result 
     
    8  Regulatory PNT 2016  15.67% 
    9  PNT Relaxation  11.51% 
    10  Adjusted Relaxation  0.10% 
    11  Contract: Item III Sub Clause 3 Clause 19 of the Contract  Auction Result 
     
    Scenario Without Bresser Plan Agreement   
     
    NOTE  BASE ESTIMATE VALUES FOR AUCTION  CEAL w/o Ag. 
     
    1  Index (BID)  Auction Result 
     
    2  Contract: Sub clause on Tariff Coverage of RGR  Auction Result 
     
    3  Relaxation PMSO 2017  67,140,222 
    4  Regulatory PMSO 2017  328,676,698 
    5  Pre-Auction Discount  0.0% 
    6  2017 PMSO Relaxation Post Pre-Auction Discount  67,140,222 
    7  Contract: Item II Sub Clause 3 Clause 19 of the Contract  Auction Result 
     
    8  Regulatory PNT 2016  15.67% 
    9  PNT Relaxation  11.51% 
    10  Adjusted Relaxation  11.51% 
    11  Contract: Item III Sub Clause 3 Clause 19 of the Contract  Auction Result 

     

      EXPLANATORY NOTES 
    1  Value offered by the auction winner 
    2  Value to be defined on the Contract Clause that rules the tariff recognition of RGR 
    3  Relaxation base for Operational Costs of 2017 (estimated by the Consortium, according to item 43 of NT 149/2017) - 
      will be informed by Aneel for the Auction 
    4  Operational Costs considered on the Tariff Process of 2017 (estimated by the Consortium, according to item 43 of 
      NT 149/2017) - will be informed by Aneel for the Auction 
    5  Adjustment to zero Equity Value, as instructed on the Decree Minutes 
    6  Relaxation base for Operational Costs of 2017, adjusted by Pre-Auction Discount 
    7  Value to be defined on Item II, Sub-Clause 3, Clause 19 of the Contract 
    8  Non-Technical Losses considered by the Tariff Process of 2016 (NT 149/2017) 
    9  Relaxation base of Non-Technical Losses (NT 149/2017) 
    10  2017 PNT Relaxation adjusted by Post Pre-Auction Discount 
    11  Value to be defined on Item III, Sub-Clause 3, Clause 19 of the Contract 

     

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         The values of the second interval of the Index (above 100.01 p.p.) are related to the grant value. As explained, the Index value offered by the investor above 100.00 p.p. shall be multiplied by a reference value to each percentage point related to the grant. The reference value must be monetary, in Real, and defined in the Public Notice to the auction.

         The reference value should be based on parameters related to the context of the privatization of the distributor. Thus, the reference value will be established in a logical way and shall maintain a relationship with the other aspects of the auction.

         For that, two initial possibilities were identified for the definition of the monetary reference value of each percentage point offered as grant value:

    i)      Value with magnitude order near the monetary value estimated to each percentage point of the first interval of the Index (part related to rate relaxed discount);
    ii)      Percentage of the Enterprise Value of the distributor.

         The preliminary values estimated by the Consortium to each one of the two presented possibilities are listed below, as a form of support for the definition of the reference value of each percentage point related to the grant:

    Scenario With Bresser Plan Agreement

    REFERENCE VALUE ALTERNATIVES FOR EACH P.P. - GRANT FROM CEAL

    i) Value1 estimated for each Index p.p.

    ii) Value1 regarding Enterprise Value

    Enterprise Value

    Percentage Base of Enterprise Value 1) Approximate value

     

    R$ 1,5 Million

    R$ 6.1 Million

    R$ 2,446.6 Million

    0.25%

     

    Scenario Without Bresser Plan Agreement

    REFERENCE VALUE ALTERNATIVES FOR EACH P.P. - GRANT FROM CEAL

    i) Value1 estimated for each Index p.p.  R$ 5.0 Million 
     
    ii) Value1 regarding Enterprise Value  R$ 6.1 Million 
    Enterprise Value  R$ 2,446.6 Million 
    Percentage Base of Enterprise Value  0.25% 
    1) Approximate value   
     
    14.7  Auction´s 2nd stage ranking criteria   

     

         Bids placed in the 1st stage will be considered as classified to the 2nd stage of each auction, in the case· of: Being the bid with the highest Combined Discount Index in the Regulatory Flexibility

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    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

         The interval of classification will be defined upon the publication of the Public Notice and is demonstrated as an example in the table below. The representativeness of the interval of classification was also considered in relation to the Enterprise Value of the distributors.

         The interval value suggested was secured in relation to its estimated absolute value and its representativeness in relation to the Enterprise Value of the distributor. Thus, an interval was proposed in which these two aspects could not be extremely high or low, stimulating competitiveness of investors in the auction.

         Bids will be considered in the interval of classification if their difference to the offer with the highest Index is smaller than or equal to the specific classification interval of the auction. Since there is no limit for the value offered by the Index, the interval of classification shall observe the best bid placed.

    Interval of Classification   
    Auction  4th 
    Company  Ceal 
    Interval of Classification  30.00 

     

         For example, in case the highest bid is of an Index equal to 75.00 in the auction of the distributor, bids greater than or equal to 45.00 (75.00 less 30.00) will be considered as classified. Similarly to this auction, in case the best bid is equal to 110.00, offers greater than or equal to 80.00 will be classified. The Interval of Classification may also be changed until the final draft of the Public Notice is drawn up.

         The monetary values of each percentage point (p.p.) of discount in the Index related to discount in the regulatory flexibilization is not fixed, ranging in accordance with the estimate made. Similarly, the nominal values to the Interval of Classification will range.

         The estimate of the Consortium of the approximate average of the monetary values of each percentage point of variation and of the interval of classification is presented below. These are estimated values of reduction in the Enterprise Value of the company, which, on its turn, reflect the Equity Value (value to stakeholder).

    Scenario With Bresser Plan Agreement

    CLASSIFICATION INTERVAL FOR CEAL’S AUCTION

    Approximated value for 1 (one) p.p. variation Classification Interval Estimated value for Classification Interval Estimated percentage of Enterprise Value

     

    R$ 1.5 Million 30 p.p. R$ 45.0 Million 1.8%

     

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      Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal 
     
     
    Scenario Without Bresser Plan Agreement   
     
    CLASSIFICATION INTERVAL FOR CEAL’S AUCTION   
     
    Approximated value for 1 (one) p.p. variation  R$ 5.0 Million 
    Classification Interval  30 p.p. 
    Estimated value for Classification Interval  R$ 150.0 Million 
    Estimated percentage of Enterprise Value  6.1% 

     

         The estimate of value for one percentage point of variation is made based on the economic-financial evaluation model of this Consortium. To every percentage point of discount conceded, the relaxation parameters are adjusted, with key reflections to reductions in the value of Installment A. It also includes the discount to be given in RGR PPST, considering the present value of the amount accumulated until June 2017.

         It should be noted that this estimate is based on the average of values found by the Consortium for progressive reductions to the Index in relation to discount in the regulatory flexibilization, since the curve of values is not linear. That is, different values will be obtained to different discount levels to the Index.

         The investor, on its turn, shall make its own estimate, according to the modeling of valuation of the distributor, so that it may guide its bid in the auction.

    14.8 Auction procedures

         Prior to the public auction sessions, interested parties must hand the qualification documentation in conjunction with the economic bids, in sealed envelope.

         For an investor to have its bid considered valid in one of the auctions, such investor shall deliver envelopes to all auctions of each round, even if without bid or with the indication of non-interest. For instance, even though the investor is exclusively interested in the company of the 4th auction, it shall hand envelopes to all other auctions of the round.

         This procedure aims at mitigating eventual asymmetries of information from investors in relation to which or how many investors are bidding to each company.

         The 3rd, 4th, and 5th auctions will allow bidders to exercise their right to participate in the 2nd stage, if so desired, as demonstrated in the figure below. The right to participate must be delivered duly filled and signed. The validity of the right is conditioned to the prior delivery of a valid economic bid to the auction in screen.

         The chart below illustrates the sequence of deliveries of bids and the right to participate in the auctions.

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    SIGNATURE
     
     
    Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.

    Date: January 8, 2018
    CENTRAIS ELÉTRICAS BRASILEIRAS S.A. - ELETROBRÁS
    By:
    /SArmando Casado de Araujo
     
    Armando Casado de Araujo
    Chief Financial and Investor Relation Officer
     
     

     

     
    FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

    This press release may contain forward-looking statements. These statements are statements that are not historical facts, and are based on management's current view and estimates offuture economic circumstances, industry conditions, company performance and financial results. The words "anticipates", "believes", "estimates", "expects", "plans" and similar expressions, as they relate to the company, are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Statements regarding the declaration or payment of dividends, the implementation of principal operating and financing strategies and capital expenditure plans, the direction of future operations and the factors or trends affecting financial condition, liquidity or results of operations are examples of forward-looking statements. Such statements reflect the current views of management and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties. There is no guarantee that the expected events, trends or results will actually occur. The statements are based on many assumptions and factors, including general economic and market conditions, industry conditions, and operating factors. Any changes in such assumptions or factors could cause actual results to differ materially from current expectations.