SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549



FORM 6-K

Report of Foreign Private Issuer
Pursuant to Rule 13a-16 or 15d-16 of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934

For the month of January, 2018

Commission File Number 1-34129



CENTRAIS ELÉTRICAS BRASILEIRAS S.A. - ELETROBRÁS
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)



BRAZILIAN ELECTRIC POWER COMPANY
(Translation of Registrant's name into English)



Avenida Presidente Vargas, 409 - 13th floor,
Edifício Herm. Stoltz - Centro, CEP 20071-003,
Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil
(Address of principal executive office)

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant files or will file annual reports under cover Form 20-F or Form 40-F. 

Form 20-F ___X___ Form 40-F _______

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant by furnishing the information contained in this Form is also thereby furnishing the information to the Commission pursuant to Rule 12g3-2(b) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

Yes _______ No___X____


 



 



 

Banco Nacional de Desenvolvimento
Econômico e Social - BNDES (“BNDES”)
Av. República do Chile, 100
Rio de Janeiro - RJ


August 10, 2017

Dear Sirs:

As per BNDES’s request, and, in accordance with the provisions of Electronic Auction AARH N. 51/2016, Contract OCS no. 028/2017 (“Contract”), dated February 14, 2017, and with the provisions of Article 80 of Law no. 13303/2016, we prepared this summary, in which we present the main findings identified during our accounting due diligence procedures on Centrais Elétricas de Rondônia S/A CERON.

Our services were limited to the procedures described in item 4.2.3 of Exhibit I to the aforementioned Contract. Accordingly, this summary does not include all matters identified and presented in the due diligence report dated May 5, 2017, and must be read jointly with the whole report in order to provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified.

Our works were performed according to the guidelines applicable to advisory services in transactions, as set forth in IBRACON Technical Announcement no. 08/2012. Considering that the scope of our works was not a limited analysis or review performed in accordance with the audit standards, an analysis of internal controls, or any other certification work or other previously agreed proceeding, we do not issue an opinion or any kind of assurance about the Company’s financial statements, about any other information, or about the design or the effectiveness of the Company’s operational and internal controls systems.

Our work was conducted based on information provided by the Company’s management and based on the assumption that the information is true and complete. The information was not subject to tests or verifications, except when expressly defined in the scope of our works.

PricewaterhouseCoopers
Av. Francisco Matarazzo, 1400
Torre Torino - Água Branca
São Paulo - SP Brazil
Ph: +55 (11) 3674-2000

Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies  10 agosto 2017 
PwC  2 

 


 

Banco Nacional de Desenvolvimento
Econômico e Social - BNDES (“BNDES”)
Av. República do Chile, 100
Rio de Janeiro - RJ


We take no responsibility for the nature, extent, sufficiency, or fitness of the procedures followed by us, whether for the purposes for which this summary was requested or for any other purpose. The sufficiency of the procedures followed by us shall be BNDES’s sole responsibility, as well as any decision related to the proposed transaction. Had we been requested to conduct additional procedures, other issues could have been detected and reported to you.

Sincerely,

    [signed]  [signed] 
    PricewaterhouseCoopers  Christian Silva Gambôa 
    Corporate Finance & Recovery Ltda.  Accountant CRC 1SP234223/O-4 
    CRC 2SP022749/O-7   

 

This document is a true copy of the original signed version delivered to BNDES and in the possession of Eletrobras.

PricewaterhouseCoopers
Av. Francisco Matarazzo, 1400
Torre Torino - Água Branca
São Paulo - SP Brazil
Ph: +55 (11) 3674-2000

Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies  10 agosto 2017 
PwC  3 

 


 

Summary of the main points of attention (1/2)

The content below presents the main points of attention identified during the accounting due diligence procedures. Accordingly, it does not include all matters identified and discussed in the due diligence report, and, therefore, must be read jointly with the whole report in

order to provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified.

1 Financial position

The Company has been ascertaining recurring losses (R$ 835.2 million in 2016 and R$ 560.8 million in 2015), reaching an accumulated loss of R$ 2,617.1 million as of Dec-16 and a net shareholders' equity of R$ 1,295.9 million.

In addition, we identified an adjusted net indebtedness (after our adjustments and reclassifications) as of Dec-16 of R$ 2.6 billion and negative adjusted EBITDA for 2016 of R$ 224.8 million.

According to the management, the main reasons for the Company’s current financial situation are:

We should stress that the Company’s current financial position, associated with the tariff gap (e.g., significant volume of assets in service not yet included in the armoredbasis), with the investment level during the period of provision of the services, among other factors, may result in additional risks for the Company, mainly in the last fiscal years. We understand that those factors may impair the obtainment of an EBITDA on a recurring and normalized basis, making it more difficult, therefore, to compare the historical periods.

2 Impairment/onerous contract

The concessions of the Eletrobras distribution companies expired in 2015. Although Decree no. 8461, of June 2, 2015, provides for the extension of the electric energy distribution concessions, on June 22, 2016, the 165th Extraordinary General ShareholdersMeeting of Eletrobras decided not to extend the concessions of its controlled companies of power distribution.

Accordingly, the Company started to operate as a public utility Company, on a temporary basis, until the earlier of the assumption by a new concessionaire or December 31, 2017.

As a consequence, considering that the Company has power purchase agreements in force for periods going beyond December 31, 2017, a provision for impairment of the fixed assets was registered in 2016, in the amount of R$ 35.2 million, as well as an additional provision for onerous contract in the amount of R$ 191.3 million.

In the management’s view, after conclusion of the privatization process, associated with a program to bring back the company’s financial health, those provisions may be reversed, not necessarily generating a future cash expenditure.

Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies  10 agosto 2017 
PwC  4 

 


 

Summary of the main points of attention (2/2)

The content below presents the main points of attention identified during the accounting due diligence procedures. Accordingly, it does not include all matters identified and discussed in the due diligence report, and, therefore, must be read jointly with the whole report in

order to provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified.

3 Lawsuit against all distribution companies

A public civil action was filed by the National Consumers Association ANDECO against all Electric Energy Concessionaires in the country with respect to prevention and remediation of collective damages against consumers, with a request for preliminary injunction in order for the companies to refrain from charging the claimed losses from the consumers in the electricity bills, including pro rata, as well as the losses sustained due to billing or measurement errors, theft, and fraud in the period from 2010 to 2014. ANDECO also pursues the annulment of all ANEEL Resolutions that allow the collection and inclusion in the bills of sums related to non-technical and technical losses. The value of the matter is R$ 27 billion, but the amount charged from Centrais Elétricas de Rondônia S.A is R$ 2.5 billion.

The plaintiff maintains that, notwithstanding ANEEL’s authorization, the prorated billing of non-technical losses (fraud, theft, measurement and billing errors, and supply without measurement) is groundless and, therefore, the distribution companies must indemnify the regular consumers in twice as much (double indemnification provided for in the law) the amounts charged in the period from 2010 to 2014, according to their respective balance sheets. It also pursues the annulment of all ANEEL Resolutions that allow the collection and inclusion in the bills of sums related to non-technical and technical losses.

This lawsuit was classified by the Company’s lawyer as with risk of possible loss. Due to the relevance of the case, we recommend that you further develop the discussions with the legal area about the potential risks that this matter involves.

4 Tax and labor exposures

It is important to stress that, during our works, we identified several procedures adopted by the Company that may result in questioning and assessments by the labor and social security and the federal, state, and municipal tax authorities. In what respects such procedures, the respective value of the contingencies that may potentially emerge if they are identified and questioned corresponds to R$ 1.4 billion. Please note that there are other non-quantified adjustments.

Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies  10 agosto 2017 
PwC  5 

 


 

Exhibit I Adjusted EBITDA (1/6)

The content below presents the main points of attention identified during the accounting due diligence procedures. Accordingly, it does not include all matters identified and discussed in the due diligence report, and, therefore, must be read jointly with the whole report in order to provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified.

Quality of earnings - CERON     
    FY15  FY16 
In R$ thousand  (Audited)  (Audited) 
Net revenue  985,921  1,484,833 
Net profit (loss)  (560,837)  (835,268) 
Add-backs (reversions)  386,443  284,947 
Financial results  365,420  250,561 
Depreciation/amortization  31,953  34,386 
IR and CSLL  (10,929)  - 
Reported EBITDA  (174,394)  (550,321) 
% on net revenue  (18%)  (37%) 
Reclassifications  (24,618)  151,746 
1  Reclassification of the new replacement value  (48,532)  (50,910) 
2  Reclassification of impairment provisions  23,914  11,331 
3  Reclassification of the provision for onerous liabilities  -  191,325 
Normalization adjustments  29,019  174,550 
4  Normalization of expenses with PCLD  23,570  (7,849) 
  Normalization of the revenue from excess demand and     
5    5,449  (13,873) 
  excess of reactive power     
6  Financial impacts due to write-off of CCC credits by ANEEL  NQ  196,273 
Tax and labor adjustments  (351)  (735) 
7  Tax, labor, and social security impacts  (351)  (735) 
Adjusted EBITDA  (170,345)  (224,760) 
% on net revenue  (17%)  (15%) 
Non-quantified adjustments and other considerations  9,199  (17,997) 
8  Potential normalization of provision for contingencies  9,199  (17,997) 
9  Potential risk of change in the CVA values  NQ  NQ 
10 Costs with new structure/Company’s integration  NQ  NQ 
11 Undue charges – Angra 3  -  NQ 
12 Other potential adjustments  NQ  NQ 
Source: Audited financial statements and Pw C analysis     

 

The table on the left displays the Company’s quality of earnings (EBITDA) analysis for the fiscal years ended on December 31, 2015 (FY15) and December 31, 2016 (FY16).

The adjustments suggested were calculated based on the information provided by the Company's management. Those adjustments were made as a result of our analysis, according to financial and management information prepared by the Company’s management.

The EBITDA corresponds to the net profit subtracted of certain reclassification items, such as net financial results, taxes and social contributions on the earned income (Income Tax (IRPJ) and Social Contribution on Net Profit (CSLL)), depreciation and amortization.

We should stress that the Company’s current financial position, associated with the tariff gap (e.g., significant volume of assets in service not yet included in the armoredbasis), with the investment level during the period of provision of the services, among other factors, may result in additional risks for the Company, mainly in the last fiscal years. We understand that those factors may impair the obtainment of an EBITDA on a recurring and normalized basis, making it more difficult, therefore, to compare the historical periods.

Comments on the adjustments identified are detailed below and in the next pages of this summary.

Reclassification adjustments

1. Reclassification of the new replacement value: This is the monetary restatement of the concession assets basis expected to be paid to the Company after the concession period. Since those sums are not characterized as operating, and considering the current situation of the distribution Company, we understand that they should not be part of the recurring EBITDA analysis for the period.

Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies  10 agosto 2017 
PwC  6 

 


 

Exhibit I Adjusted EBITDA (2/6)

The content below presents the main points of attention identified during the accounting due diligence procedures. Accordingly, it does not include all matters identified and discussed in the due diligence report, and, therefore, must be read jointly with the whole report in order to provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified.

Quality of earnings - CERON     
    FY15  FY16 
In R$ thousand  (Audited)  (Audited) 
Net revenue  985,921  1,484,833 
Net profit (loss)  (560,837)  (835,268) 
Add-backs (reversions)  386,443  284,947 
Financial results  365,420  250,561 
Depreciation/amortization  31,953  34,386 
IR and CSLL  (10,929)  - 
Reported EBITDA  (174,394)  (550,321) 
% on net revenue  (18%)  (37%) 
Reclassifications  (24,618)  151,746 
1  Reclassification of the new replacement value  (48,532)  (50,910) 
2  Reclassification of impairment provisions  23,914  11,331 
3  Reclassification of the provision for onerous liabilities  -  191,325 
Normalization adjustments  29,019  174,550 
4  Normalization of expenses with PCLD  23,570  (7,849) 
  Normalization of the revenue from excess demand and     
5    5,449  (13,873) 
  excess of reactive power     
6  Financial impacts due to write-off of CCC credits by ANEEL  NQ  196,273 
Tax and labor adjustments  (351)  (735) 
7  Tax, labor, and social security impacts  (351)  (735) 
Adjusted EBITDA  (170,345)  (224,760) 
% on net revenue  (17%)  (15%) 
Non-quantified adjustments and other considerations  9,199  (17,997) 
8  Potential normalization of provision for contingencies  9,199  (17,997) 
9  Potential risk of change in the CVA values  NQ  NQ 
10 Costs with new structure/Company’s integration  NQ  NQ 
11 Undue charges – Angra 3  -  NQ 
12 Other potential adjustments  NQ  NQ 
Source: Audited financial statements and Pw C analysis     

 

2.      Reclassification of impairment provisions: We suggest the reversion of the impacts from the recognition and/or reversion of the provision for recoverability of the intangible assets (impairment), considering that those values are purely accounting entries which do not directly impact the Company’s cash flow generation.
3.      Reclassification of the provision for onerous liabilities: We identified that, in 2016, the Company recognized a provision for onerous contracts in the total amount of R$ 191.3m during the evaluation of the recoverability of its concession/intangible assets.
  Since those sums are purely accounting entries, which do not directly impact the Company’s cash generation, we suggest that they be excluded for purposes of analysis of normalized EBITDA.

Normalization adjustments

4.  Normalization of expenses with Allowance for Doubtful 
  Accounts (PCLD): We note that the PCLD is automatically and 
  systemically calculated, following the criteria established by 
  Eletrobras, and that such criteria tends to be more conservative 
  than those established by ANEEL. Since those provisions are not of 
  a financial nature and their variations are not historically constant, 
  we understand that, for purposes of normalized EBITDA, it must be 
  considered only the impacts from losses resulting from payments 
  from clients that effectively materialized in the period; accordingly, 
  we suggest the reversion of the PCLD in the period. 
  In R$ thousand  Dec-15  Dec-16 
  Net revenue  985,921  1,484,833 
  PCLD / Losses result  (86,196)  (51,295) 
  Proposed adjustment  23,570  (7,849) 
  Losses in the period  (62,626)  (59,144) 
  % of losses on net revenue  6%  4% 

 

Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies  10 agosto 2017 
PwC  7 

 


 

Exhibit I Adjusted EBITDA (3/6)

The content below presents the main points of attention identified during the accounting due diligence procedures. Accordingly, it does not include all matters identified and discussed in the due diligence report, and, therefore, must be read jointly with the whole report in order to provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified.

Quality of earnings - CERON     
    FY15  FY16 
In R$ thousand  (Audited)  (Audited) 
Net revenue  985,921  1,484,833 
Net profit (loss)  (560,837)  (835,268) 
Add-backs (reversions)  386,443  284,947 
Financial results  365,420  250,561 
Depreciation/amortization  31,953  34,386 
IR and CSLL  (10,929)  - 
Reported EBITDA  (174,394)  (550,321) 
% on net revenue  (18%)  (37%) 
Reclassifications  (24,618)  151,746 
1  Reclassification of the new replacement value  (48,532)  (50,910) 
2  Reclassification of impairment provisions  23,914  11,331 
3  Reclassification of the provision for onerous liabilities  -  191,325 
Normalization adjustments  29,019  174,550 
4  Normalization of expenses with PCLD  23,570  (7,849) 
  Normalization of the revenue from excess demand and     
5    5,449  (13,873) 
  excess of reactive power     
6  Financial impacts due to write-off of CCC credits by ANEEL  NQ  196,273 
Tax and labor adjustments  (351)  (735) 
7  Tax, labor, and social security impacts  (351)  (735) 
Adjusted EBITDA  (170,345)  (224,760) 
% on net revenue  (17%)  (15%) 
Non-quantified adjustments and other considerations  9,199  (17,997) 
8  Potential normalization of provision for contingencies  9,199  (17,997) 
9  Potential risk of change in the CVA values  NQ  NQ 
10 Costs with new structure/Company’s integration  NQ  NQ 
11 Undue charges – Angra 3  -  NQ 
12 Other potential adjustments  NQ  NQ 
Source: Audited financial statements and Pw C analysis     

 

5.      Normalization of the revenue from excess demand and excess of reactive power: The revenues earned with excess demand and excess of reactive power must be accounted for as Obligations Related to the Electric Power Utility Service,” which will be amortized starting on the next cycle of tariff review.
  However, the Company recognized those sums as revenues in the fiscal years of 2013-2016 and later, in FY16, reversed 100% of the sums recognized as liabilities until the next cycle of tariff review. This adjustment aims at normalizing the impact of that reversion between the periods.
6.      Financial impacts due to write-off of Fuel Consumption Account (CCC) credits by ANEEL: By means of ANEEL
  Resolution no. 2202, the 2017 approved budget for the CDE/CCC did not consider the renegotiated values for 2014 and 2015 of the distribution companies Amazonas, CERON, Acre, and Boa Vista. The distribution companies filed a request for reconsideration of those amounts, and the expectation is that the balance remains as a write-off until ANEEL reprocesses the CCC account in the period from July 2009 to June 2016. Considering that this is a non- recurring expense (prior periods provision), we are suggesting it be excluded for purposes of EBITDA analysis. Please note that a portion of the adjusted amount should impact the FY15 EBITDA. However, since there was not enough information, it was not
possible      to quantify that impact.

Tax and labor adjustments

7.      Tax, labor, and social security impacts: They refer to potential additional impacts resulting from the matters described in this summary, quantified and not [omissis].
Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies  10 agosto 2017 
PwC  8 

 


 

Exhibit I Adjusted EBITDA (4/6)

The content below presents the main points of attention identified during the accounting due diligence procedures. Accordingly, it does not include all matters identified and discussed in the due diligence report, and, therefore, must be read jointly with the whole report in order to provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified.

Quality of earnings - CERON     
    FY15  FY16 
In R$ thousand  (Audited)  (Audited) 
Net revenue  985,921  1,484,833 
Net profit (loss)  (560,837)  (835,268) 
Add-backs (reversions)  386,443  284,947 
Financial results  365,420  250,561 
Depreciation/amortization  31,953  34,386 
IR and CSLL  (10,929)  - 
Reported EBITDA  (174,394)  (550,321) 
% on net revenue  (18%)  (37%) 
Reclassifications  (24,618)  151,746 
1  Reclassification of the new replacement value  (48,532)  (50,910) 
2  Reclassification of impairment provisions  23,914  11,331 
3  Reclassification of the provision for onerous liabilities  -  191,325 
Normalization adjustments  29,019  174,550 
4  Normalization of expenses with PCLD  23,570  (7,849) 
  Normalization of the revenue from excess demand and     
5    5,449  (13,873) 
  excess of reactive power     
6  Financial impacts due to write-off of CCC credits by ANEEL  NQ  196,273 
Tax and labor adjustments  (351)  (735) 
7  Tax, labor, and social security impacts  (351)  (735) 
Adjusted EBITDA  (170,345)  (224,760) 
% on net revenue  (17%)  (15%) 
Non-quantified adjustments and other considerations  9,199  (17,997) 
8  Potential normalization of provision for contingencies  9,199  (17,997) 
9  Potential risk of change in the CVA values  NQ  NQ 
10 Costs with new structure/Company’s integration  NQ  NQ 
11 Undue charges – Angra 3  -  NQ 
12 Other potential adjustments  NQ  NQ 
Source: Audited financial statements and Pw C analysis     

 

Tax and labor adjustments     
7.  Tax, labor, and social security impacts (cont’d): 
  Quantified, classified as probable loss by your legal advisors. 
  #  Description  31-Dec-15 31-Dec-16 
  1  ISS on billable services  109  155 
  Total tax exposures  109  155 
  4  Irregularities related to work days  242  580 
  Total labor exposures  242  580 
  Total tax and labor exposures + NQ  351  735 

 

Non-quantified adjustments and other considerations

8.      Potential normalization of provision for contingencies:
  It refers to the reversion of the provisions for contingencies due to their non-financial nature. Accordingly, we understand that, for purposes of the Company’s normalized and recurring EBITDA, the effect from payment of indemnifications materialized in the fiscal years under analysis. We recommend that you discuss with your legal advisors the nature and respective projections of non-materialized losses in the fiscal years.
9.      Potential risk of change in the CVA values: The Account for Compensation of Portion A” Variations (CVA) records the difference between the costs estimated in the tariff (Portion A) and the costs effectively incurred in the period. We note that the costs incurred by the Company happen before ANEEL’s ratification and that, historically, there are discrepancies between the sums ascertained by the Company and the armoredbasis in the period (ratified by ANEEL).
Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies  10 agosto 2017 
PwC  9 

 


 

Exhibit I Adjusted EBITDA (5/6)

The content below presents the main points of attention identified during the accounting due diligence procedures. Accordingly, it does not include all matters identified and discussed in the due diligence report, and, therefore, must be read jointly with the whole report in order to provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified.

Quality of earnings - CERON     
    FY15  FY16 
In R$ thousand  (Audited)  (Audited) 
Net revenue  985,921  1,484,833 
Net profit (loss)  (560,837)  (835,268) 
Add-backs (reversions)  386,443  284,947 
Financial results  365,420  250,561 
Depreciation/amortization  31,953  34,386 
IR and CSLL  (10,929)  - 
Reported EBITDA  (174,394)  (550,321) 
% on net revenue  (18%)  (37%) 
Reclassifications  (24,618)  151,746 
1  Reclassification of the new replacement value  (48,532)  (50,910) 
2  Reclassification of impairment provisions  23,914  11,331 
3  Reclassification of the provision for onerous liabilities  -  191,325 
Normalization adjustments  29,019  174,550 
4  Normalization of expenses with PCLD  23,570  (7,849) 
  Normalization of the revenue from excess demand and     
5    5,449  (13,873) 
  excess of reactive power     
6  Financial impacts due to write-off of CCC credits by ANEEL  NQ  196,273 
Tax and labor adjustments  (351)  (735) 
7  Tax, labor, and social security impacts  (351)  (735) 
Adjusted EBITDA  (170,345)  (224,760) 
% on net revenue  (17%)  (15%) 
Non-quantified adjustments and other considerations  9,199  (17,997) 
8  Potential normalization of provision for contingencies  9,199  (17,997) 
9  Potential risk of change in the CVA values  NQ  NQ 
10 Costs with new structure/Company’s integration  NQ  NQ 
11 Undue charges – Angra 3  -  NQ 
12 Other potential adjustments  NQ  NQ 
Source: Audited financial statements and Pw C analysis     

 

9.      Potential risk of change in the CVA values (cont'd):
  Considering that the tariffs ratification usually happens in October of each year for the following months, we understand that the cost incurred (and not ratified) related to November and December 2016 may suffer changes over the next fiscal year.
10.      Costs with new structure/Company’s integration: We note that, depending on the changes in the Company’s current structure that are made after the conclusion of the privatization process, as well as on the measures required for the potential integration with an investor, the Company’s EBITDA may change significantly. In addition, possible changes in the compensation of the new management must be considered in the Company’s result. We recommend that this issue be discussed with the Economic and Legal Assessmentarea.
11.      Undue charges Angra 3: According to ANEEL’s information, the power distribution companies that belong to the interconnected system unduly charged from their consumers in 2016 certain amounts related to the estimated costs of the nuclear power plant Angra 3. We have not had access to the sums to be reimbursed to the Company’s consumers, but we were informed that such reimbursement would be made by means of discount (of approximately 7.66%) in the April 2017 bill.
Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies  10 agosto 2017 
PwC  10 

 


 

Exhibit I Adjusted EBITDA (6/6)

The content below presents the main points of attention identified during the accounting due diligence procedures. Accordingly, it does not include all matters identified and discussed in the due diligence report, and, therefore, must be read jointly with the whole report in order to provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified.

Quality of earnings - CERON      12. Other potential adjustments: Considering the defined scope 
    FY15  FY16  of our works; the limitations in the information provided; the 
In R$ thousand  (Audited)  (Audited)  tax, labor, and social security exposures that could not be 
Net revenue  985,921  1,484,833  quantified; and possible non-recoverable assets adjustments 
Net profit (loss)  (560,837)  (835,268)  (e.g., inventory with low recoverability expectation); other 
Add-backs (reversions)  386,443  284,947  potential adjustments may be necessary, in order to better reflect 
Financial results  365,420  250,561  the Company’s normalized and recurring EBITDA. In addition, 
Depreciation/amortization  31,953  34,386  we recommend that this summary be read jointly with the 
IR and CSLL  (10,929)  -  reports of the other due diligence areas (operational, legal, HR, 
Reported EBITDA  (174,394)  (550,321)  insurance, and environmental). 
% on net revenue  (18%)  (37%)   
Reclassifications  (24,618)  151,746   
1  Reclassification of the new replacement value  (48,532)  (50,910)   
2  Reclassification of impairment provisions  23,914  11,331   
3  Reclassification of the provision for onerous liabilities  -  191,325   
Normalization adjustments  29,019  174,550   
4  Normalization of expenses with PCLD  23,570  (7,849)   
  Normalization of the revenue from excess demand and       
5    5,449  (13,873)   
  excess of reactive power       
6  Financial impacts due to write-off of CCC credits by ANEEL  NQ  196,273   
Tax and labor adjustments  (351)  (735)   
7  Tax, labor, and social security impacts  (351)  (735)   
Adjusted EBITDA  (170,345)  (224,760)   
% on net revenue  (17%)  (15%)   
Non-quantified adjustments and other considerations  9,199  (17,997)   
8  Potential normalization of provision for contingencies  9,199  (17,997)   
9  Potential risk of change in the CVA values  NQ  NQ   
10 Costs with new structure/Company’s integration  NQ  NQ   
11 Undue charges – Angra 3  -  NQ   
12 Other potential adjustments  NQ  NQ   
Source: Audited financial statements and Pw C analysis       
 
 
Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies      10 agosto 2017 
PwC      11 

 


 

Exhibit II Net indebtedness (1/5)

The content below presents the main points of attention identified during the accounting due diligence procedures. Accordingly, it does not include all matters identified and discussed in the due diligence report, and, therefore, must be read jointly with the whole report in order to provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified.

Net indebtedness     
 
In R$ thousand  Dec-15  Dec-16 
Cash and cash equivalents  25,400  18,706 
Securities  30,152  2,039 
Loans – short term  (127,651)  (23,324) 
Loans – long term  (607,023)  (940,637) 
Net financial indebtedness  (679,122)  (943,216) 
Collaterals and deposits in court - long term  79,719  127,064 
Indemnification right – long term  3,440,587  3,488,797 
Financial charges  (8)  (6) 
Post-employment benefit – short term  (2,886)  (6,316) 
Suppliers - long term  (3,060,507)  (3,421,566) 
Payable taxes  (3,955)  (4,260) 
Provisions for lawsuits  (134,772)  (172,184) 
Indemnification obligations - long term  (142,624)  (152,339) 
Other liabilities – long term  (42,199)  (47,439) 
Other debt items  133,355  (188,249) 
Reported net indebtedness  (545,767)  (1,131,465) 
Reclassification between working capital and net indebtedness  (1,109,644)  (1,490,034) 
1  CCC amounts to be returned due to overpayment  (6,164)  (125,083) 
2  CCC past due and installment payment amounts to be received  131,053  85,173 
3  Suppliers with past due credits  (1,220,281)  (1,420,254) 
4  Reclassification of related parties  5,669  4,263 
5  Other liabilities – short term  (19,921)  (34,133) 
Subtotal  (1,109,644)  (1,490,034) 
Adjusted net indebtedness  (1,655,411)  (2,621,499) 
Other considerations  670,978  794,141 
i  Tax, labor, and social security impacts  (274,801)  (367,667) 
ii  Financial asset – public utility concessions  900,632  1,120,953 
iii  Clients with past due and installment payments  45,147  40,855 
iv  Collaterals and deposits in court - long term  NQ  NQ 
v  Provision for contingencies  NQ  NQ 
vi  CAPEX investments  NQ  NQ 
vii  Undue charges – Angra 3  -  NQ 
viii Other potential adjustments  NQ  NQ 
Source: Audited trial balances and Pw C analysis     

 

The table on the left displays the Company’s net indebtedness, based on the audited financial statements for the years ended on December 31, 2015 (Dec-16) and December 31, 2016 (Dec-16).

We note that the concept of Net Indebtedness is not contemplated in the accounting practices adopted in Brazil, being it rather a contractual definition. For the purpose of our analysis, we considered, in addition to the net financial indebtedness, other items and transactions with financing features, such as: -Indemnification right long term: CCC receivables, which will be used to pay off the debt with suppliers with past due and coming due credits.

- Suppliers - long term: Balance of suppliers with past due and renegotiated credits, maturing (after the renegotiation) beyond 12 months.

The adjustments suggested and reported were prepared based on management information and reports, accounting trial balances, and enquiries made to the Company’s management. We note that, due to limited information and scope, there may be adjustments that could not be quantified/identified during our analysis.

Reclassifications between working capital and net indebtedness

1.      CCC amounts to be returned due to overpayment: The Company recorded, as per ANEEL’s determination in Decision no. 758/2015, a liability related to CCC amounts received above the limit from 1999 to 2011.
Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies  10 agosto 2017 
PwC  12 

 


 

Exhibit II Net indebtedness (2/5)

The content below presents the main points of attention identified during the accounting due diligence procedures. Accordingly, it does not include all matters identified and discussed in the due diligence report, and, therefore, must be read jointly with the whole report in order to provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified.

Net indebtedness     
 
In R$ thousand  Dec-15  Dec-16 
Cash and cash equivalents  25,400  18,706 
Securities  30,152  2,039 
Loans – short term  (127,651)  (23,324) 
Loans – long term  (607,023)  (940,637) 
Net financial indebtedness  (679,122)  (943,216) 
Collaterals and deposits in court - long term  79,719  127,064 
Indemnification right – long term  3,440,587  3,488,797 
Financial charges  (8)  (6) 
Post-employment benefit – short term  (2,886)  (6,316) 
Suppliers - long term  (3,060,507)  (3,421,566) 
Payable taxes  (3,955)  (4,260) 
Provisions for lawsuits  (134,772)  (172,184) 
Indemnification obligations - long term  (142,624)  (152,339) 
Other liabilities – long term  (42,199)  (47,439) 
Other debt items  133,355  (188,249) 
Reported net indebtedness  (545,767)  (1,131,465) 
Reclassification between working capital and net indebtedness  (1,109,644)  (1,490,034) 
1  CCC amounts to be returned due to overpayment  (6,164)  (125,083) 
2  CCC past due and installment payment amounts to be received  131,053  85,173 
3  Suppliers with past due credits  (1,220,281)  (1,420,254) 
4  Reclassification of related parties  5,669  4,263 
5  Other liabilities – short term  (19,921)  (34,133) 
Subtotal  (1,109,644)  (1,490,034) 
Adjusted net indebtedness  (1,655,411)  (2,621,499) 
Other considerations  670,978  794,141 
i  Tax, labor, and social security impacts  (274,801)  (367,667) 
ii  Financial asset – public utility concessions  900,632  1,120,953 
iii  Clients with past due and installment payments  45,147  40,855 
iv  Collaterals and deposits in court - long term  NQ  NQ 
v  Provision for contingencies  NQ  NQ 
vi  CAPEX investments  NQ  NQ 
vii  Undue charges – Angra 3  -  NQ 
viii Other potential adjustments  NQ  NQ 
Source: Audited trial balances and Pw C analysis     

 

2.      CCC past due and installment payment amounts to be received: The Company has CCC receivables that are past due and, in some cases, subject to installment payments. Considering that they are receivables related to prior fiscal years, we are reclassifying them from working capital to Company net indebtedness (which reduces the debt), as these are funds that must be destined to pay off past due liabilities related to fuel acquisition.
3.      Suppliers with past due credits: We suggest the reclassification as net indebtedness of 100% of the supplierspast due payable balances, due to their nature of financing.
4.      Reclassification of related parties: It refers to balances receivable from related parties for employee loans (assigned) paid by the Company. In view of their nature, we suggest their reclassification as Company indebtedness.
5.      Other liabilities short term: We identified certain liabilities classified in the Company’s current liabilities which, in our view, are not characterized as operating working capital, as detailed in the next slide:
In R$ thousand  Dec-15  Dec-16 
The balances refer to R&D and PEE classified as other liabilities. We therefore  15,504  23,633 
suggest they be reclassified as debt, in view of their nature.     
Refers to installment payment to be returned to the CDE fund classified as other     
liabilities. We therefore suggest they be reclassified as debt, in view of their nature.  -  6,083 
Refers to penalty related to breach of DEC and FEC duration targets verified by  4,417  4,417 
Adjustment for reclassification as debt  19,921  34,133 
Source: Pw C analysis and discussions w ith management     

 

Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies  10 agosto 2017 
PwC  13 

 


 

Exhibit II Net indebtedness (3/5)

The content below presents the main points of attention identified during the accounting due diligence procedures. Accordingly, it does not include all matters identified and discussed in the due diligence report, and, therefore, must be read jointly with the whole report in order to provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified.

Net indebtedness     
 
In R$ thousand  Dec-15  Dec-16 
Cash and cash equivalents  25,400  18,706 
Securities  30,152  2,039 
Loans – short term  (127,651)  (23,324) 
Loans – long term  (607,023)  (940,637) 
Net financial indebtedness  (679,122)  (943,216) 
Collaterals and deposits in court - long term  79,719  127,064 
Indemnification right – long term  3,440,587  3,488,797 
Financial charges  (8)  (6) 
Post-employment benefit – short term  (2,886)  (6,316) 
Suppliers - long term  (3,060,507)  (3,421,566) 
Payable taxes  (3,955)  (4,260) 
Provisions for lawsuits  (134,772)  (172,184) 
Indemnification obligations - long term  (142,624)  (152,339) 
Other liabilities – long term  (42,199)  (47,439) 
Other debt items  133,355  (188,249) 
Reported net indebtedness  (545,767)  (1,131,465) 
Reclassification between working capital and net indebtedness  (1,109,644)  (1,490,034) 
1  CCC amounts to be returned due to overpayment  (6,164)  (125,083) 
2  CCC past due and installment payment amounts to be received  131,053  85,173 
3  Suppliers with past due credits  (1,220,281)  (1,420,254) 
4  Reclassification of related parties  5,669  4,263 
5  Other liabilities – short term  (19,921)  (34,133) 
Subtotal  (1,109,644)  (1,490,034) 
Adjusted net indebtedness  (1,655,411)  (2,621,499) 
Other considerations  670,978  794,141 
i  Tax, labor, and social security impacts  (274,801)  (367,667) 
ii  Financial asset – public utility concessions  900,632  1,120,953 
iii  Clients with past due and installment payments  45,147  40,855 
iv  Collaterals and deposits in court - long term  NQ  NQ 
v  Provision for contingencies  NQ  NQ 
vi  CAPEX investments  NQ  NQ 
vii  Undue charges – Angra 3  -  NQ 
viii Other potential adjustments  NQ  NQ 
Source: Audited trial balances and Pw C analysis     

 

Other considerations:

i.      Tax, labor, and social security impacts: We are considering, for purposes of analysis of the Company’s net indebtedness, the tax, labor, and social security exposures classified as with risk of probable loss (see specific exhibit in this summary). We note that the amount presented here already considers possible fines and interest to be added upon an assessment by the tax authorities.
#  Description  31-Dec-15 31-Dec-16 
2  Ancillary obligations in breach of the law  186,379  252,530 
6  CVA  797  6,529 
7  ISS on billable services  1,216  1,505 
Total tax exposures  188,392  260,564 
1  Outsourcing of core activity  84,484  104,488 
4  Irregularities related to work days  1,729  2,336 
5  Employer labor union contribution  196  279 
Total labor exposures  86,409  107,103 
Total tax and labor exposures + NQ  274,801  367,667 

 

ii.      Financial asset public utility concessions: It refers to the financial asset indemnifiable in the end of the concession/service period. Depending on how the Company’s sale is structured, the indemnifiable balance may be converted into cash, thus reducing the level of net indebtedness.
Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies  10 agosto 2017 
PwC  14 

 


 

Exhibit II Net indebtedness (4/5)

The content below presents the main points of attention identified during the accounting due diligence procedures. Accordingly, it does not include all matters identified and discussed in the due diligence report, and, therefore, must be read jointly with the whole report in order to provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified.

Net indebtedness     
 
In R$ thousand  Dec-15  Dec-16 
Cash and cash equivalents  25,400  18,706 
Securities  30,152  2,039 
Loans – short term  (127,651)  (23,324) 
Loans – long term  (607,023)  (940,637) 
Net financial indebtedness  (679,122)  (943,216) 
Collaterals and deposits in court - long term  79,719  127,064 
Indemnification right – long term  3,440,587  3,488,797 
Financial charges  (8)  (6) 
Post-employment benefit – short term  (2,886)  (6,316) 
Suppliers - long term  (3,060,507)  (3,421,566) 
Payable taxes  (3,955)  (4,260) 
Provisions for lawsuits  (134,772)  (172,184) 
Indemnification obligations - long term  (142,624)  (152,339) 
Other liabilities – long term  (42,199)  (47,439) 
Other debt items  133,355  (188,249) 
Reported net indebtedness  (545,767)  (1,131,465) 
Reclassification between working capital and net indebtedness  (1,109,644)  (1,490,034) 
1  CCC amounts to be returned due to overpayment  (6,164)  (125,083) 
2  CCC past due and installment payment amounts to be received  131,053  85,173 
3  Suppliers with past due credits  (1,220,281)  (1,420,254) 
4  Reclassification of related parties  5,669  4,263 
5  Other liabilities – short term  (19,921)  (34,133) 
Subtotal  (1,109,644)  (1,490,034) 
Adjusted net indebtedness  (1,655,411)  (2,621,499) 
Other considerations  670,978  794,141 
i  Tax, labor, and social security impacts  (274,801)  (367,667) 
ii  Financial asset – public utility concessions  900,632  1,120,953 
iii  Clients with past due and installment payments  45,147  40,855 
iv  Collaterals and deposits in court - long term  NQ  NQ 
v  Provision for contingencies  NQ  NQ 
vi  CAPEX investments  NQ  NQ 
vii  Undue charges – Angra 3  -  NQ 
viii Other potential adjustments  NQ  NQ 
Source: Audited trial balances and Pw C analysis     

 

iii.      Clients with past due and installment payments: We identified outstanding balances of clientspast due and installment payments, classified in the current and non-current assets. Although they do not represent a cash item with immediate liquidity, we understand that they are a receivable of the Company, which, therefore, must be included in possible cash flow projections.
In R$ thousand  Dec-15  Dec-16 
Clients – current assets  26,010  24,026 
Clients – non-current assets  19,137  16,829 
Total  45,147  40,855 

 

iv.      Long term collaterals and deposits in court: We note that the deposits in court directly related to a provision for contingency must impact the indebtedness balances in the period. However, since the Company did not provide the ancillary controls, it was not possible to determine if the full amount of the reported balances must be included in the analysis of the Company’s net indebtedness.
v.      Provision for contingencies: We note that this summary does not consider possible changes in the projection of loss of the Company’s lawsuits, resulting from the legal due diligence works.
Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies  10 agosto 2017 
PwC  15 

 


 

Exhibit II Net indebtedness (5/5)

The content below presents the main points of attention identified during the accounting due diligence procedures. Accordingly, it does not include all matters identified and discussed in the due diligence report, and, therefore, must be read jointly with the whole report in order to provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified.

Net indebtedness     
 
In R$ thousand  Dec-15  Dec-16 
Cash and cash equivalents  25,400  18,706 
Securities  30,152  2,039 
Loans – short term  (127,651)  (23,324) 
Loans – long term  (607,023)  (940,637) 
Net financial indebtedness  (679,122)  (943,216) 
Collaterals and deposits in court - long term  79,719  127,064 
Indemnification right – long term  3,440,587  3,488,797 
Financial charges  (8)  (6) 
Post-employment benefit – short term  (2,886)  (6,316) 
Suppliers - long term  (3,060,507)  (3,421,566) 
Payable taxes  (3,955)  (4,260) 
Provisions for lawsuits  (134,772)  (172,184) 
Indemnification obligations - long term  (142,624)  (152,339) 
Other liabilities – long term  (42,199)  (47,439) 
Other debt items  133,355  (188,249) 
Reported net indebtedness  (545,767)  (1,131,465) 
Reclassification between working capital and net indebtedness  (1,109,644)  (1,490,034) 
1  CCC amounts to be returned due to overpayment  (6,164)  (125,083) 
2  CCC past due and installment payment amounts to be received  131,053  85,173 
3  Suppliers with past due credits  (1,220,281)  (1,420,254) 
4  Reclassification of related parties  5,669  4,263 
5  Other liabilities – short term  (19,921)  (34,133) 
Subtotal  (1,109,644)  (1,490,034) 
Adjusted net indebtedness  (1,655,411)  (2,621,499) 
Other considerations  670,978  794,141 
i  Tax, labor, and social security impacts  (274,801)  (367,667) 
ii  Financial asset – public utility concessions  900,632  1,120,953 
iii  Clients with past due and installment payments  45,147  40,855 
iv  Collaterals and deposits in court - long term  NQ  NQ 
v  Provision for contingencies  NQ  NQ 
vi  CAPEX investments  NQ  NQ 
vii  Undue charges – Angra 3  -  NQ 
viii Other potential adjustments  NQ  NQ 
Source: Audited trial balances and Pw C analysis     

 

vi.      CAPEX investments: As mentioned before, the Company has been operating as a public utility Company, which has resulted in a reduction in CAPEX investments, maintaining only those that are essentially necessary to continue with the operational activities and the levels of quality required by the regulatory agencies. We recommend that the you consider the impacts estimated by the result of the technical and operational due diligence.
vii.      Undue charges Angra 3: According to ANEEL’s information, the power distribution companies that belong to the interconnected system unduly charged from their consumers in 2016 certain amounts related to the estimated costs of the nuclear power plant Angra 3. We have not had access to the sums to be reimbursed to the Company’s consumers, but we were informed that such reimbursement would be made by means of discount (of approximately 4.74%) in the April 2017 bill.
viii.      Other potential adjustments: Considering the defined scope of our works; the limitations in the information provided; the tax, labor, and social security exposures that could not be quantified; and possible non-recoverable assets adjustments (e.g., inventory with low recoverability expectation); other potential adjustments may be necessary, in order to better reflect the Company’s net and recurring indebtedness. In
addition,      we recommend that this summary be read jointly with
the      reports of the other due diligence areas (operational, legal,
HR,      insurance, and environmental).
Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies  10 agosto 2017 
PwC  16 

 


 

Exhibit III Net working capital (1/3)

The content below presents the main points of attention identified during the accounting due diligence procedures. Accordingly, it does not include all matters identified and discussed in the due diligence report, and, therefore, must be read jointly with the whole report in order to provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified.

Net working capital     
 
In R$ thousand  Dec-15  Dec-16 
Clients – short term  273,511  248,349 
Short term electricity  71,817  - 
Taxes and social contributions – short term  24,952  27,665 
Indemnification right – short term  148,748  253,308 
Inventory  18,948  16,864 
Financial assets  134,435  54,523 
Other assets – short term  44,091  22,210 
Suppliers - short term  (1,227,024)  (1,456,393) 
Taxes and contributions  (59,680)  (69,418) 
Indemnification obligations - short term  (6,164)  (125,083) 
Regulatory liabilities - short term  (294,428)  (74,898) 
Industry charges - short term  (20,113)  (21,459) 
Estimated obligations  (12,631)  (17,167) 
Other liabilities – short term  (36,837)  (46,199) 
Reported net working capital  (940,375)  (1,187,698) 
Reclassification between working capital and net indebtedness  1,109,644  1,490,034 
CCC amounts to be returned due to overpayment  6,164  125,083 
CCC past due and installment payment amounts to be received  (131,053)  (85,173) 
Suppliers with past due credits  1,220,281  1,420,254 
Reclassification of related parties  (5,669)  (4,263) 
Other liabilities – short term  19,921  34,133 
Subtotal  1,109,644  1,490,034 
Adjustments proposed by the due diligence  (33,579)  (34,906) 
1 Inventory with low recoverability expectation  (363)  (1,617) 
2 Clients with past due and installment payments  (26,010)  (24,026) 
3 Other assets – short term  (7,206)  (9,264) 
Subtotal  (33,579)  (34,906) 
Adjusted net working capital  135,690  267,429 
Other considerations  NQ  NQ 
Source: Audited trial balances and Pw C analysis     

 

We present in the table on the left the Company’s net working capital as of December 31, 2015 (Dec-15) and 2016 (Dec-16), prepared based on the audited financial statements.

The adjustments suggested and reported were prepared based on management information and reports, audited accounting trial balances, and enquiries made to the Company’s management. We note that, due to limited information and scope, there may be adjustments that could not be quantified/identified during our analysis.

Reclassifications between working capital and net indebtedness

Adjustments proposed by the due diligence

1.      Inventory with low recoverability expectation: Items destined to sale (scraps) and lent materials, which are not classified as operating working capital.
2.      Clients with past due and installment payments: We identified outstanding balances of clientspast due and installment payments, classified in the current assets, which we suggest be excluded for purposes of analysis of the Company’s working capital. As mentioned before, although they do not represent a cash item with immediate liquidity, we understand that they are a receivable of the Company, which, therefore, must be included in possible cash flow projections.
Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies  10 agosto 2017 
PwC  17 

 


 

Exhibit III Net working capital (2/3)

The content below presents the main points of attention identified during the accounting due diligence procedures. Accordingly, it does not include all matters identified and discussed in the due diligence report, and, therefore, must be read jointly with the whole report in order to provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified.

Net working capital     
 
In R$ thousand  Dec-15  Dec-16 
Clients – short term  273,511  248,349 
Short term electricity  71,817  - 
Taxes and social contributions – short term  24,952  27,665 
Indemnification right – short term  148,748  253,308 
Inventory  18,948  16,864 
Financial assets  134,435  54,523 
Other assets – short term  44,091  22,210 
Suppliers - short term  (1,227,024)  (1,456,393) 
Taxes and contributions  (59,680)  (69,418) 
Indemnification obligations - short term  (6,164)  (125,083) 
Regulatory liabilities - short term  (294,428)  (74,898) 
Industry charges - short term  (20,113)  (21,459) 
Estimated obligations  (12,631)  (17,167) 
Other liabilities – short term  (36,837)  (46,199) 
Reported net working capital  (940,375)  (1,187,698) 
Reclassification between working capital and net indebtedness  1,109,644  1,490,034 
Adjustments proposed by the due diligence  (33,579)  (34,906) 
1 Inventory with low recoverability expectation  (363)  (1,617) 
2 Clients with past due and installment payments  (26,010)  (24,026) 
3 Other assets – short term  (7,206)  (9,264) 
Subtotal  (33,579)  (34,906) 
Adjusted net working capital  135,690  267,429 

 

3.      Other assets short term: We identified certain assets classified in the Company’s current assets which, in our view, are not characterized as operating working capital, as detailed below:
In R$ thousand  Dec-15  Dec-16 
Goods to be written-off or scrapped  (4,138)  (5,487) 
Scraps available for sale  (443)  (492) 
 
Client’s financial difficulty. We suggest writing off this sum from  (2,625)  (3,285) 
the WC.     
Adjustment for WC write-off  (7,206)  (9,264) 
Source: Pw C analysis and discussions w ith management     

 

Other considerations  NQ  NQ 
i  Risk of writing-off of CCC indemnification right  NQ  NQ 
ii  Potential risk of change in the CVA values  NQ  NQ 
iii Tax, labor, and social security exposures  NQ  NQ 
iv Other potential adjustments  NQ  NQ 
Source: Audited trial balances and Pw C analysis     

 

Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies  10 agosto 2017 
PwC  18 

 


 

Exhibit III Net working capital (3/3)

The content below presents the main points of attention identified during the accounting due diligence procedures. Accordingly, it does not include all matters identified and discussed in the due diligence report, and, therefore, must be read jointly with the whole report in order to provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified.

Net working capital      Other considerations 
 
In R$ thousand  Dec-15  Dec-16  i.  Risk of writing-off of CCC indemnification right: We were 
Clients – short term  273,511  248,349    informed that ANEEL is in the process of inspecting the CCC 
Short term electricity  71,817  -    account reprocessing. As a result, we understand that there may 
Taxes and social contributions – short term  24,952  27,665    be variations in the CCC receivables account (positive or negative) 
Indemnification right – short term  148,748  253,308    when that process is concluded. 
Inventory  18,948  16,864     
Financial assets  134,435  54,523  ii.  Potential risk of change in the CVA values: The Account for 
Other assets – short term  44,091  22,210    Compensation of Portion A” Variations (CVA) records the 
Suppliers - short term  (1,227,024)  (1,456,393)     
Taxes and contributions  (59,680)  (69,418)    difference between the costs estimated in the tariff (Portion A) and 
Indemnification obligations - short term  (6,164)  (125,083)    the costs effectively incurred, creating a payable or receivable 
Regulatory liabilities - short term  (294,428)  (74,898)    balance (and, consequently, an expense or a revenue) for the 
Industry charges - short term  (20,113)  (21,459)    Company. Such amounts to be paid/received are ratified each year 
Estimated obligations  (12,631)  (17,167)     
Other liabilities – short term  (36,837)  (46,199)    by ANEEL. We found that, historically, the amounts ascertained 
Reported net working capital  (940,375)  (1,187,698)    by the Company may significantly differ from those ratified by 
Reclassification between working capital and net indebtedness  1,109,644  1,490,034    ANEEL, mainly with respect to the financial items, which are not 
Adjustments proposed by the due diligence  (33,579)  (34,906)    controlled by the Company. Considering that the ratification 
1 Inventory with low recoverability expectation  (363)  (1,617)    process happens close to the end of the fiscal year (between 
2 Clients with past due and installment payments  (26,010)  (24,026)     
3 Other assets – short term  (7,206)  (9,264)    September and October), we understand that there are no material 
Subtotal  (33,579)  (34,906)    discrepancies for the balances accounted for in Dec-15 and Dec-16. 
Adjusted net working capital  135,690  267,429    On the other hand, those differences may become significant over 
Other considerations  NQ  NQ    the months. 
i Risk of writing-off of CCC indemnification right  NQ  NQ  iii.  Tax, labor, and social security exposures: It refers to the 
ii Potential risk of change in the CVA values  NQ  NQ     
iii Tax, labor, and social security exposures  NQ  NQ    impact on the net working capital of adjustment #7 presented in 
iv Other potential adjustments  NQ  NQ    the quality of the results. We understand that any changes in the 
Source: Audited trial balances and Pw C analysis        tax, labor, and social security procedures may also impact the 
        Company’s net working capital. 

 

iv.      Other potential adjustments: See adjustment viii of the preceding exhibit.
Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies  10 agosto 2017 
PwC  19 

 


 

Exhibit IV Balance Sheet

Assets     
  Dec-15  Dec-16 
In R$ thousand  Audited  Audited 
Cash and cash equivalents  25,400  18,706 
Securities - TVM  30,152  2,039 
Clients – short term  273,511  248,349 
Short term electricity  71,817  - 
Taxes and social contributions – short term  24,952  27,665 
Indemnification right – short term  148,748  253,308 
Inventory  18,948  16,864 
Ongoing services  4,900  10,621 
Financial assets  134,435  54,523 
Other assets – short term  44,091  22,210 
Current assets  776,954  654,285 
Clients – long term  19,137  16,829 
Taxes and social contributions – long term  7,628  6,534 
Collaterals and deposits in court - long term  79,719  127,064 
Indemnification right – long term  3,440,587  3,488,797 
Financial asset – public utility concessions  900,632  1,120,953 
Other assets – long term  2,447  2,447 
Investments  1,806  1,806 
Intangible assets  60,544  27,336 
Fixed assets  32,735  28,044 
Non-current assets  4,545,235  4,819,810 
Total assets  5,322,189  5,474,095 

 

Liabilities     
  Dec-15  Dec-16 
In R$ thousand  Audited  Audited 
Suppliers - short term  1,227,024  1,456,393 
Loans – short term  127,651  23,324 
Taxes and contributions  59,680  69,418 
Indemnification obligations - short term  6,164  125,083 
Financial charges  8  6 
Post-employment benefit – short term  2,886  6,316 
Regulatory liabilities - short term  294,428  74,898 
Industry charges - short term  20,113  21,459 
Estimated obligations  12,631  17,167 
Onerous concession - short term  -  191,325 
Other liabilities – short term  36,837  46,199 
Current liabilities  1,787,422  2,031,588 
Suppliers - long term  3,060,507  3,421,566 
Loans – long term  607,023  940,637 
Payable taxes  3,955  4,260 
Advance for future capital increase (AFAC)  245  - 
Provisions for lawsuits  134,772  172,184 
Indemnification obligations - long term  142,624  152,339 
Other liabilities – long term  42,199  47,439 
Non-current liabilities  3,991,325  4,738,425 
Capital stock  1,325,124  1,325,369 
Other comprehensive results  213  (4,124) 
Accumulated losses  (1,781,895)  (2,617,163) 
Net equity  (456,558)  (1,295,918) 
Total liabilities  5,322,189  5,474,095 
Source: Audited trial balances     

 

Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies  10 agosto 2017 
PwC  20 

 


 

Exhibit V Income Statement     
 
 
 
Income Statement     
 
In R$ thousand  FY15  FY16 
Net Revenue  985,921  1,484,833 
Operating Cost  (1,048,754)  (1,577,006) 
Cost of Electricity  (756,659)  (1,030,744) 
Electricity bought for resale  (721,434)  (989,185) 
Charges for use of transmission grid  (16,949)  (17,613) 
Alternative Pow er Sources Incentive Program (Pro  (18,276)  (23,946) 
Operations Cost  (157,363)  (347,036) 
Labor, materials, and third parties services  (120,764)  (119,804) 
Depreciation and amortization  (31,953)  (34,386) 
Other  (4,646)  (192,846) 
Construction Cost  (134,733)  (199,227) 
Gross Profit  (62,833)  (92,173) 
Operating Expenses/Revenues  (192,046)  (492,534) 
Results from Electricity Service  (254,879)  (584,707) 
Financial results  (365,421)  (250,561) 
Results before equity stakes  (620,299)  (835,268) 
New Replacement Value - NRV  48,532  - 
IR and CSLL  10,929  - 
Net profit (loss)  (560,837)  (835,268) 
Source: Audited trial balances and audited financial statements   

 

Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies  10 agosto 2017 
PwC  21 

 


 

Exhibit VI Quantified tax, labor, and social security exposures

The content below presents the main points of attention identified during the accounting due diligence procedures. Accordingly, it does not include all matters identified and discussed in the due diligence report, and, therefore, must be read jointly with the whole report in order to provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified.

Tax exposure     
 
Item  Description  Exposure  Risk assessment * 
1  PIS and COFINS on CCC reimbursement  677,168  Possible 
2  Ancillary obligations in breach of the law  252,530  Probable 
3  Non-technical energy losses  130,286  Possible 
4  ICMS on CDE and Low Income subsidies  108,802  Possible 
5  Write-off of PIS and COFINS credit on tariffs  64,137  Remote 
6  CVA  6,529  Probable 
7  ISS on sharing of infrastructure and services  3,832  Probable/Possible 
Total of quantified tax exposure  1,243,284   
Source: Pw C analyses     
(*) Risk assessment for exposures reported in accordance w ith Loeser e Portela Advogados   
 
Labor and social security exposure     
 
 
Item  Description  Exposure  Risk assessment * 
1  Outsourcing of core activity  104,488  Probable 
2  PLR disqualification  32,386  Possible 
3  Medical and dental care  20,037  Possible 
4  Irregularities related to work days  2,336  Probable 
5  Employer labor union contribution  279  Probable 
6  Reimbursement of undergraduate and graduate courses  214  Possible 
Total labor and social security exposure  159,740   
Source: Pw C analyses     
(*) Risk assessment for exposures reported in accordance w ith Loeser e Portela Advogados   

 

Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies  10 agosto 2017 
PwC  22 

 


 

Exhibit VII Tax credit on tax loss, CSL negative basis, and temporary adjustments

The content below presents the main points of attention identified during the accounting due diligence procedures. Accordingly, it does not include all matters identified and discussed in the due diligence report, and, therefore, must be read jointly with the whole report in order to provide a comprehensive understanding of the matters identified.

In R$ thousand  IRPJ  CSL 
Tax Loss/CSL Negative Basis  2,848,693  2,848,693 
IRPJ 25%  712,173  - 
CSL 9%  -  256,382 
Total  712,173  256,382 
Source: ECF and Calculation Records     

 

Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies  10 agosto 2017 
PwC  23 

 


 


© 2017 - PricewaterhouseCoopers Corporate Finance & Recovery. All rights reserved. In this document, “PwCrefers to PricewaterhouseCoopers Corporate Finance & Recovery, a member of the PricewaterhouseCoopers network, or, as suggested by the context, the network itself.

Each member of the PwC network is a separate and independent entity. For further information on the PwC network, please access: www.pwc.com/structure

Privatization of the Eletrobras System Distribution Companies


 



 

Belo Horizonte, November 1, 2017.

Gentlemen,

In furtherance of the service provision agreement, this paper is part of the services retained for Eletrobras Distribuição Rondônia privatization, ITEM 3 – “SERVICE A” (Financial & Economic Evaluation), under the BNDES Agreement.

This Report encompasses the purpose, scope, procedures and methodology used, as well as the market and operating assumptions for Valuation of Distributor and the execution of the new Concession Contract1.

Discounted Cash Flow was the methodology used. Assumptions were adhered to, based on information delivered by the Distributors and BNDES, and on general market conditions.

The signed copies of this agreement are kept by the Contracting party.

Best regards,

Alexandre Moreira Galvão

Legal Representative & Stockholding Director

1 Statutory Law 12.783 dated January 11, 2013, Article 8, Paragraph 1 A: “When the service provider is a legal entity directly or indirectly controlled by the government, the Union will be entitled to hold such bidding procedure as described in the head section of this article, combined with the service-providing legal entity control transfer, and granting the utility contract to the new controlling shareholder for a 30-year period.” t Ceres )nteligência Financeira


 



 



 



 

TABLE L)ST

 
Table 1 – Other Revenue Sharing (%)  29  
Table 2 – Unrecoverable Revenue per Consumption Class  31  
Table 3 – Unrecoverable Revenue Limits – Neutrality of Charges  31  
Table 4 - Summary of Applicable Methodologies  39  
Table 5 - End 2017 Threshold for Operating Management  42  
Table 6 – Assets History – Eletrobras Distribuição Alagoas 2012 to 2016  48  
Table 7 - Liabilities History - Eletrobras Distribuição Alagoas 2012 to 2016  49  
Table 8 - Income Statement History - Eletrobras Distribuição Alagoas 2012 to 2016  50  
Table 9 - Financial Indicators 2012 to 2016  51  
Table 10 – Summary of Macroeconomic Indexes  53  
Table 11 – Geometric Mean of 2007-2016 Consumptions  56  
Table 12 – Geometric Mean of Consumptions 2017-2047  60  
Table 13 – Network Forecasting per Voltage Level 1 of 3  64  
Table 14 - Network Forecasting per Voltage Level 2 of 3  64  
Table 15 - Network Forecasting per Voltage Level 3 of 3  64  
Table 16 – Deployment and Renewal  66  
Table 17 – Private References  67  
Table 18 – VMU/VNR Ratio in 2022  67  
Table 19 - Investment in Replacement  68  
Table 20 - Proportion of Investment Reference Companies  68  
Table 21 – Distribution Investment in Maintenance prior to Tax Revision  69  
Table 22 – Maintenance  69  
Table 23 – Personnel Expenses Forecasting 1 of 3  75  
Table 24 - Personnel Expenses Forecasting 2 of 3  76  
Table 25 - Personnel Expenses Forecasting 3 of 3  76  
Table 26 - Material Expenses Forecasting 1 of 3  77  
Table 27 - Material Expenses Forecasting 2 of 3  77  
Table 28 - Material Expenses Forecasting 3 of 3  78  
Table 29 – Service Expenses Forecasting 1 of 3  79  
Table 30 - Service Expenses Forecasting 2 of 3  79  
Table 31 - Service Expenses Forecasting 3 of 3  79  
Table 32 – Other Expenses Forecasting 1 of 3  81  
Table 33 - Other Expenses Forecasting 2 of 3  81  
Table 34 - Other Expenses Forecasting 3 of 3  82  

 

Table 35 –PMSO Expense (R$ ‘000) and Network Extension (Km) of the Distributors Evaluated and

Benchmark  82  
Table 36 - Estimated Upper and Lower Efficiency Limits - Ceron  83  
Table 37 – Efficiency Limits of Evaluated and Private Distributors  83  
Table 38 – Average of Reference Limits for the Evaluated Distributor Limits Forecasting  83  
Table 39 – Payroll Realized Dec /16 (in R$ ‘000)  86  
Table 40 - Voluntary Dismissal Plan (PDV) Forecasting  86  

 

Table 41 – Offsetting History of the Evaluated Distributor and its Benchmarks and Forecasting of the Evaluated

Distributor    90  
Ceres )nteligência Financeira     x  

 


 

Table 42 – Offsetting History of the Evaluated Distributor up to the Benchmark Group Average  90  
Table 43 – Offsetting Evolution of the Evaluated Distributor and Comparison with the Target 1 of 3  91  
Table 44– Offsetting Evolution of the Evaluated Distributor and Comparison with the Target 2 of 3  91  
Table 45 – Offsetting Evolution of the Evaluated Distributor and Comparison with the Target 3 of 3  91  
Table 46 - Financings (1 of 4)  93  
Table 47 - Financings (2 of 4)  94  
Table 48 - Financings (3 of 4)  95  
Table 49 - Financings (4 of 4)  96  
Table 50 - RGR fund financing premises  97  
Table 51 – RGR Releases  97  
Table 52 – Net Debt Balance  98  
Table 53 - Due Diligence Contingencies  99  
Table 54 - Power Purchase Agreements  100  
Table 55 – Definition of Other Revenues  102  
Table 56 – Details on Other Revenues in the Trial Balance Sheet (in R$ ‘000)  103  
Table 57 – Initial and Final Rate of Fully Depreciated Assets over the VNR  114  
Table 58 - Regulatory Remuneration Base 4CRTP (R$ ‘000) – Ceron  115  
Table 59 – Operation of Assets (R$ ‘000) 3CRTP to 4CRTP – CEAL  116  
Table 60 - ANEEL Adjustments 3CRTP – Incremental Base – CEAL  116  
Table 61 - ANEEL 3CRTP Adjustments – Incremental Base – Cemar (Benchmark)  117  
Table 62 - ANEEL 3CRTP Adjustments - Incremental Base – Celpa (Benchmark)  117  
Table 63 - NEEL Adjustment Average, Benchmarks Group 3CRTP - Incremental Base  117  
Table 64 - ANEEL 3CRTP Adjustments - Incremental Base – Eletroacre  118  
Table 65 - ANEEL 3CRTP Adjustments - Armored Base – Amazonas Energia  118  
Table 66 - ANEEL 3CRTP Adjustments - Armored Base – Ceron  119  
Table 67 - ANEEL 3CRTP Adjustments - Armored Base – Eletrobras Roraima  119  
Table 68 - ANEEL Adjustment Average, Group Evaluated Distributors 3CRTP - Armored Base  119  
Table 69 – Balance of the Ceron Fixed Assets in Progress in Jun/17  121  
Table 70 – Indemnification Forecasting  122  
Table 71 – Tax Loss Balances and CSL Negative Base  122  
Table 72 – Special Obligations Forecasting (in R$ ‘000)  124  
Table 73 – History of Special Obligations and Recurrence (in R$ ‘000)  124  

 

Table 74 - Weight Values of Indicators of Quality of Concession Holders with more than 60 thousand Consumption

Units  126  
Table 75 – DEC and FEC Global Limits from 2018 to 2022, including  129  
Table 76 - DEC Indicator - Realized/Forecasted x ANEEL Limits 1 of 3  130  
Table 77 - DEC Indicator - Realized/Forecasted x ANEEL Limits 2 of 3  130  
Table 78 - DEC Indicator - Realized/Forecasted x ANEEL Limits 3 of 3  130  
Table 79 – DEC Indicator - Forecasted/Realized X ANEEL Limit 2015-2047  131  
Table 80 - Realized DEC Variation Rate and Potential per Period  131  
Table 81 – Benchmark Evaluation Premises  131  
Table 82 – DEC Benchmark Curve  132  
Table 83 - FEC Indicator - Realized/Forecasted x ANEEL Limits 1 of 3  132  
Table 84 - FEC Indicator - Realized/Forecasted x ANEEL Limits 2 of 3  132  
Table 85 - FEC Indicator - Realized/Forecasted x ANEEL Limits 3 of 3  132  
 
Ceres )nteligência Financeira   y  

 


 

Table 86 - FEC Indicator - Forecasted/Realized X ANEEL Limit 2015-2047  133  
Table 87 - Realized and Potential FEC Variation Rate per Period  133  
Table 88 – Benchmark Evaluation Premises  134  
Table 89 - FEC Benchmark Curve  134  
Table 90 – FER Indicator - Realized/Forecasted x ANEEL Limit 1 of 3  135  
Table 91 - FER Indicator - Realized/Forecasted x ANEEL Limit 2 of 3  135  
Table 92 - FER Indicator - Realized/Forecasted x ANEEL Limit 3 of 3  136  
Table 93 - FER Indicator - Forecasted/Realized X ANEEL Limit 2015-2047  136  
Table 94 – Realized and Potential FER Variation Rate per Period  136  
Table 95 - FER Realized Benchmark  137  
Table 96 - FER Realized Benchmark Group  137  
Table 97 - IASC Indicator – Realized/Forecasted x Target 1 of 3  138  
Table 98 - IASC Indicator – Realized/Forecasted x Target 2 of 3  138  
Table 99 IASC Indicator – Realized/Forecasted x Target 3 of 3  139  
Table 100 - IASC Indicator - Forecasted/Realized X ANEEL Limit 2015-2047  139  
Table 101 – Realized and Potential IASC Variation Rate per Period  139  
Table 102 - IASC Realized Benchmark  140  
Table 103 - IASC Realized Benchmark Group  140  
Table 104 - INS Indicator - Realized/Forecast x Target 1 of 3  141  
Table 105 - INS Indicator - Realized/Forecast x Target 2 of 3  141  
Table 106 - INS Indicator - Realized/Forecast x Target 3 of 3  142  
Table 107 - INS Indicator - Forecast/Realized X ANEEL Limit 2015-2047  142  
Table 108 – Realized and Potential Variation Rate of INS per Period  142  
Table 109 - INS Realized Benchmark  143  
Table 110 – Group of Benchmark of INS Realized  143  
Table 111 - IAb Indicator – Realized/Forecast x Target 1 of 3  144  
Table 112 - IAb Indicator – Realized/Forecast x Target 2 of 3  144  
Table 113 - IAb Indicator – Realized/Forecast x Target 3 of 3  145  
Table 114 - IAb Indicator - Forecast/Realized X ANEEL Limit 2015-2047  145  
Table 115 – Realized and Potential Variation Rate of IAb per Period  145  
Table 116 – Benchmark of IAb Realized  146  
Table 117 – Group of Benchmark of IAb Realized  146  
Table 118 - ICO Indicator – Realized/Forecast x Target 1 of 3  148  
Table 119 - ICO Indicator – Realized/Forecast x Target 2 of 3  148  
Table 120 - ICO Indicator – Realized/Forecast x Target 3 of 3  148  
Table 121 - ICO Indicator - Forecast/Realized X ANEEL Limit 2015-2047  148  
Table 122 –Realized and Potential ICO Variation Rate per Period  149  
Table 123 – Benchmark of ICO Realized  149  
Table 124 – Group of Benchmark of ICO Realized  149  
Table 125 – Evolution and Impact of the X Factor Components  152  
Table 126 – Calculation of Regulatory WACC  153  
Table 127 – Calculation of the Cost of equity (Ke)  154  
Table 128 – Financial Structure of the Companies  155  
Table 129 - Enterprise Value and Company Debt  156  
Table 130 – Weighted Cost of Debt used for the composition of Kd  156  
 
Ceres )nteligência Financeira   z  

 


 

Table 131 - CDI Bradesco Forecast  156  
Table 132 – Calculation of Kd Cost  156  
Table 133 – Calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)  157  
Table 134 – Curve of Irrecoverable Revenues per Consumption Class of the Distributor 2016-2027 (%)  159  
Table 135 - Curve of Irrecoverable Revenues per Consumption Class of the Distributor 2028-2037 (%)  159  
Table 136 - Curve of Irrecoverable Revenues per Consumption Class of the Distributor 2038-2047 (%)  160  
Table 137 - Curve of Irrecoverable Revenues per Consumption Class of the Distributor 2048-2052 (%)  160  
Table 138 – Distribution of Total Invoicing and Not Received (in R$ '000)  160  
Table 139 - Targets ANEEL per Regulatory Cycle  161  
Table 140 – Level of Technical Loss and Loss in the Basic Grid.  163  
Table 141 – Forecast Regulatory Losses 1 of 3  165  
Table 142 – Forecast Regulatory losses 2 of 3  165  
Table 143 – Forecast Regulatory losses 3 of 3  165  
Table 144 – Annual Loss Decrease Rate Definition: Benchmark Company CEMAR  166  
Table 145 – Starting Point and Target of Non-Technical Losses  166  
Table 146 – Forecast Real Losses 1 of 3  166  
Table 147 – Forecast Real Losses 2 of 3  166  
Table 148 – Forecast Real Losses 3 of 3  167  
Table 149 – Initial Balances of the Working Capital  168  
Table 150 – Parameters of forecast NCG  169  
Table 151 – Benchmark operating due dates North Region  169  
Table 152 – Balances with special treatment  170  
Table 153 – Settlement of Long-Term Balances  170  
Table 154 - Sectorial Charges  171  
Table 155 - Transmission Costs  172  
Table 156 - Benchmark Revenue and Annual Revenue  172  
Table 157 - CVA  173  
Table 158 – Solvency Indicator  174  
Table 159 – Evolved Gross Income  175  
Table 160 – Default  176  
Table 161 - Operating Costs and Expenses  177  
Table 162 – Costs versus EBITDA  177 
Figure 163 – Evolved Costs with Power Purchase  178  
Figure 164 – Evolved Transmission Costs  179  
Table 165 – PMSO Expenses  180  
Table 166 – Analysis of Net Revenue, Costs and Gross Margin  182  
Table 167 – Evolved EBITDA, Gross Profit and Expenses  183  
Table 168 – Summary Financial Indicators 2017 to 2026 (1 of 3)  184  
Table 169 – Summary Financial Indicators 2027 to 2036 (2 of 3)  184  
Table 170 – Summary Financial Indicators 2037 to 2047 (3 of 3)  184  
Table 171 – Forecast DRE Eletrobras Distribuição Rondônia  185  
Table 172 – Forecast Indirect Cash Flow Eletrobras Distribuição Rondônia  186  
Table 173 – Forecast Cash Flow to Firm Eletrobras Distribuição Rondônia  187  
Table 174 - Results from Appraisal Eletrobras Distribuição Rondônia  188  
Table 175 – Valuation Components  188  
 
Ceres )nteligência Financeira   {  

 


 

Table 176 – Adjusted Enterprise Value  189  
Table 177 – Forecast Cash and Gross Debt Balance  189  
Table 178 - WACC and BRRL Sensitivity – Enterprise Value  190  
Table 179 - WACC and BRRL Sensitivity – Valuation  190  
Table 180 – Data from Eletrobras Distribuição Rondônia for appraisal by multiples (R$’000)  191  
Table 181 - Multiples Companies Privatized from 1997 to 2000  193  
Table 182 - Enterprise Value from the Multiples of Companies Privatized from 1997 to 2000 (R$’000)  193  
Table 183 - Multiples Publicly Held Companies  195  
Table 184 - Enterprise Value from the Multiples of Publicly Held Companies (R$’000)  195  
Table 185 - Multiples CELGD  196  
Table 186 - Enterprise Value from Multiples of CELG D (R$’000)  197  
Table 187 - Multiples from Share Transfer  199  
Table 188 - Enterprise Value of Multiples from Share Transfer (R$’000)  199  
Table 189 - Date of Privatization of Comparable Companies  200  
Table 190 - Multiples Privatizations from 1997 to 2000  201  
Table 191 - Multiples Foreign Transactions  202  
Table 192 - Enterprise Value Foreign Transactions  203  
Table 193 – Median of Multiples (1 of 2)  204  
Table 194 - Median of Multiples (2 of 2)  204  
Table 195 - Enterprise Value from the Median of Multiples (R$’000)  205  
Table 196 – Market Discount Rates  207  
Table 197 – VMU/VNR Ratio 2022 - Machinery and Equipment  208  
Table 198 – Grouped Personnel (PMSO) and Realized Accounts 2012-2016 1 of 2  211  
Table 199 – Grouped Personnel (PMSO) and Realized Accounts 2012-2016 2 of 2  211  
Table 200 – Grouped Materials (PMSO) and Realized Accounts 2012-2016  212  
Table 201 – Grouped Service (PMSO) and Realized Accounts 2012-2016 1 of 2  214  
Table 202 – Grouped Service (PMSO) and Realized Accounts 2012-2016 2 of 2  215  
Table 203 – Grouped Others (PMSO) and Realized Accounts 2012-2016 1 of 3  216  
Table 204 – Grouped Others (PMSO) and Realized Accounts 2012-2016 2 of 3  217  
Table 205 – Grouped Others (PMSO) and Realized Accounts 2012-2016 3 of 3  218  
Table 206 – Re-rating of Asset Balances  219  
 
 
 
Table 207 - Re-rating of Liabilities Balances F)GURE L)ST   220  
 
Figure 1 – Owners’ Equity Cost (Ke) Breakdown  35  
Figure 2 - Gross Margin and EBITDA Margin 2012 to 2016  52  
Figure 3 – Indebtedness Index and Historical Composition 2012 to 2016  52  
Figure 4 – Consumption History per Class  56  
Figure 5 – Composition of the Power Consumption Comparison  56  
Figure 6 - 2047 Total Power Consumption Composition  60  
Figure 7 – Power Consumption Forecasting  60  
Figure 8 – Consumption Units Forecasting  61  
Figure 9 – Voltage Level Percentages  62  
 
 
Ceres )nteligência Financeira   sr  

 


 

Figure 10 – Offsetting Evolution of the Evaluated Distributor and Comparison with the Target  92  
Figure 11 – Composition and Evolution of the X Factor Components  152  
Figure 12 – Target Calculation by Benchmark Comparison  164  
Figure 13 – Evolution of Non-Technical Losses (%/ Low-Voltage Market)  167  
Figure 14 – Evolved Revenue and Growth Rate  175  
Figure 15 – Evolved Default  176  
Figure 16 – Evolved Operating Costs  177  
Figure 17 - Costs versus EBITDA  178  
Figure 18 – Evolved PMSO  180  
Figure 19 – Forecast Effective and Regulatory PMSO  181  
Figure 20 – Evolved Operating Indicators: Gross Margin  182  
Figure 21 – Evolved Operating Income: EBITDA Margin  183  

 

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

ss


 

Introduction

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to issue a Financial & Economic Evaluation Report on Eletrobras Dis-tribuição Rondônia and on the execution of a new Concession Contract, in order to shore up the accurate dimensioning and provide technical support in the business deals of the Company.

The purpose of the financial evaluation, besides the main point of determining the business Valuation, is to present scenarios, existing synergies for the business, and value possibilities that may be perceived by the market, as well as associated liabilities. From the company’s viewpoint, the discounted cash flow method reckons in numbers and at present value the whole dimension of the business, on a realistic basis, and taking into account potential points of exploitation of the concession contract, in view of the current structure.

Added hereto are the sensitivity analysis and the risk analysis, in addition to other valuable methods, such as comparative evaluation by multiples or similar transactions, aiming at reaching the clearest perception of the business value interval and possible structures that could make the transaction more efficient, both for the buyer and the seller.

Disclaimers

The job described in this paper was developed according to information obtained from sources appointed by Eletrobras Distribuição Rondônia and data delivered by ANEEL.

This evaluation does not take into account the penalties for electricity over-contract by the enterprise at issue, because it was assumed that the new utility company could afford settling its positions at market prices. Ceres hereby highlights that sudden changes in macroeconomic indicators and electricity prices may have some bearing on the values pointed out herein.

Please note that this paper does not contain a Compensation Basis added by the enterprise’s current PP&E positions. The accounting entries covering the current PP&E positions may be found in section “Comments on Current Assets” for invertors’ information.

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

st


 

Methodology

Evaluating a distributor is based on the set of regulations making up the tariff review base applicable to inter-cycle tariffs and tariff readjustments, as well as on the economic pillar of effective forecasts, especially about costs incurred and capital invested. The set of regulations gives direction to the Required Revenue, which is the criterion to set the tariffs used by the distributors. Such tariffs arise from tariff reviews, decomposed from Installment A (non-manageable costs) and Installment B (manageable costs).

Tariff reviews are based on “tariff moderateness” and “continued award to efficiency” principles, with the different complexity/size areas being taken into consideration.

Costs and expenses, taxes, working capital, provision for indemnities and contingencies, and real disbursements supplement the economic flow, to be dimensioned in forecast and at present value, for business analysis.

Please find below some directives forming the tariff review base, dimensioned at the Tariff Level and specified in PRORET (Portuguese acronym standing for “Tariff Regulation Procedures”). The cash flow and the capital cost definition methods used in this evaluation are detailed below. As a final point, find our comments on this paper’s directives for specific approaches and risk analysis.

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

su


 

PRORET (Tariff Level)

General Procedures

Electricity distribution public service utility companies (hereinafter referred to as “distributors”) tariff level in Brazil is regulated by ANEEL as stipulated in PRORET documentation. This section summarizes the main methodological elements of the Tariff Review Process according to PRORET Submodule 2.1 (version 2.2 effective as of 6/27/2016) and the Tariff Readjustment Process according to PRORET Submodule 3.1 (version 1.4 effective as of 3/28/2016).

This paper contains a description of the forecast methods per element of Installment A and Installment B, while this section is dedicated to tariff calculation methodological indication.

Tariff Review

The Required Revenue calculated in the distributors’ tariff level definition comprises the sum of two installments, namely Installment A and Installment B.

44 L 82# E 82$

Where: ·

· ·

 

44 means Required Revenue;

82# means Value of Installment A, which comprises the costs related to the electricity genera- 82$and means transmission Value of Installment business, including B, which own comprises generation typical and costs industry-related of distribution charges; and customer management.

 

Installment A is obtained by the sum of the following elements:

82# L %' E %6 E '5

Where: ·  82# means Value of Installment A;   
· ·  %' %6 means means cost cost of of connection electricity acquisition to and use and of distribution/transmission own generation;  systems; 
·  '5 means industry-related charges defined in specific law;   

 

Value of Installment B is calculated in the tariff review process, according to distributor’s review schedule

(every five years), in line with the following equation:   
82$ L :%#1/ E %##; H :s F 2à F /+3; F 14
Where: ·  82$ means Value of Installment B;   
· ·  %## %#1/ means means Annual Administration, Cost of Assets; Operation & Maintenance Cost;   
 
Ceres )nteligência Financeira   sv  

 


 

    ·  /+3 2à means means 2× in Market the Quality X Factor Adjustment Improvement (Submodule Factor, Incentive 2. calculated 5); Mechanisms with the same calculated calculation with the methodology same calculation as ele- 
    ·   
    ·  methodology14 means Other as element Revenue, Q in calculated the X Factor according (Submodule to Submodule 2.5); 2.7; 

 

Administration, Operation & Maintenance Costs are comprised of the following elements:

%#1/ L %1 E 4+

Where: ·    %#1/ means Administration, Operation & Maintenance Cost; 
· ·    %1 4+ means Other operating Unrecoverable costs Revenue; 

 

The Annual Cost of Assets is calculated by the sum of the following elements:

%## L 4% E 344 E %#+/+

Where: ·

· · ·

 

%## means Annual Cost of Assets;

4%344means means Yield Statutory on Capital, Reintegration including Quota; income taxes and contributions; %#+/+ means Annual Cost of Property & Equipment;

 

Yield on Capital is calculated through the following equation:

4% L :$44H F 4)4; HNêÔÖÖ E4)4 HNåÚå E4%Ⱦ

ÛÝé

Where: ·    4% means Yield on Capital; 
· ·    $44H 4)4 means means the Statutory debt balance Net Yield of the Base, Global according Reversal to Submodule Reserve; 2.3; 

· · ·

 

N NåÚåêÔÖÖ means ÛÝé means RGR Real capital Capital cost, Weighted weighted Average per destination Cost before (PLPT Taxes, and according non-PLPT), to Submodule according 2.4; to Submodule4%Ⱦ means 2.4; Yield on Investments obtained from Special Liability funds.

 

Yield on Investments obtained from Special Liability funds is calculated through the following equation:

%#1/

4% L NsFP F N٠Hr,wH2 H Ⱦ H1'5

Ⱦ %#1/ E %## F 4% Õ

Where: ·  N 4% means Ⱦ means Owners’ Yield on Equity Investments Cost (nominal); obtained from Special Liability funds;   
· ·  NÙ ã means Yield on risk-free Assets (nominal);   
· ·  P2 means means Income Owners’ Taxes Equity and Share Contributions; in Total Equity;   
· ·  %## %#1/ means means Annual Administration, Cost of Assets; Operation & Maintenance Cost;   
·  1'5Õ means Gross Special Liabilities;   
 
Ceres )nteligência Financeira   sw  

 


 

The Statutory Reintegration Quota corresponds to the installment that takes into account depreciation and amortization of investments made, and recomposes the assets assigned to the service provision over their lifespan. It is calculated through the following equation:

344 L $44> H Ü

Where:

· 344 $44>means Statutory Reintegration Quota;·· means Statutory Gross Yield Base;

Ü means Facilities depreciation average rate, calculated based on Table XVI in the Annex to the Electricity Market Equity Control Manual (MCPSE) approved by REN 367/2009 – ANEEL.

Annual Cost of Property & Equipment refers to short-term recoverable investments, such as investments in hardware, software, vehicles and office building infrastructure.

%#+/+ L %#. E %#8 E %#+

Where: ·    %#+/+ means Annual Cost of Property & Equipment; 
· ·    %#8 %#. means means Annual Annual Cost Cost of of Rents; Vehicles; 
·    %#+ means Annual Cost of Computer Systems; 

 

Annual Cost of Rents is calculated through the following equation:

     Hd s E Nк¼¼ %#. L $#4º 87 t ÛÝé h

Where: ·

· ·

 

%#. means Annual Cost of Rents;

$#4º means the statutory annuity base amount regarding investments in office building infra- structure,87 means as the per lifespan, Submodule as defined 2.3; in Table XVI of the Annex to the Electricity Market Equity Control Manual (MCPSE).

 

Annual Cost of Vehicles is calculated through the following equation:

     Hd s E Nк¼¼ %#8 L $#4Ï 87 t ÛÝé h

Where: ·

· ·

 

%#8 means Annual Cost of Vehicles;

$#4Ï means the statutory annuity base amount regarding investments in vehicles, as per Sub- module87 means 2.3; the lifespan, as defined in Table XVI of the Annex to the Electricity Market Equity Control Manual (MCPSE).

 

Annual Cost of Computer Systems is calculated through the following equation:   
%#+ L $#4 Hd87s  E Nк¼¼t ÛÝé h   
Where:     
Ceres )nteligência Financeira     sx  

 


 

    · ·  %#+ $#4Â means means Annual the statutory Cost of annuity Computer base Systems; amount regarding investments in computer systems, as 
    ·  87 means Submodule the lifespan, 2.3; as defined in Table XVI of the Annex to the Electricity Market Equity 
      Control Manual (MCPSE). 

 

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

sy


 

Annual Tariff Readjustment

Every year where there is no Ordinary Tariff Review, the adjustment formulas contained in Submodule 3.1 in PRORET are to apply. In such years, VPB is not calculated, but adjusted for money value at IGP-M and also considering the X Factor.

In its turn, Installment A is calculated by taking into account the conditions on the Former Reference Date (DRA) and the Reference Market, as follows:

1.      For electricity bought: “Electricity Bought” amount valued at “Average Price of Transfer” consid- ered in the former year’s readjustment or review;
2.      For connection to distribution/transmission systems and for TUSDg-T and TUSDg-ONS ele- ments: values considered in the former year’s readjustment or review;
3.      For use of distribution/transmission systems: amounts of power demand retained in the refer- ence period and associated electricity, valued at the respective tariffs considered in the former year’s readjustment or review; and
4.      For the other items in Installment A: values resulting from applying the relevant tariff elements, in force on the Former Reference Date (DRA), to the Reference Market, so as to assure eco- nomic neutrality of industry-related charges.

Value of Installment A, given the current juncture on the in-processing readjustment date (DRP), and the Reference Market, is calculated from different tariffs according to the electricity source, i.e., own generation, PROINFA, Itaipú and other agreements and contracts.

Value of Installment B, given the current juncture on the Former Reference Date (DRA), and the Refer-

ence Market, is calculated as follows:

82$4 L4#4 F82#4

Where: ·    4# 82$4 means Installment B in current juncture on DRA; 
· ·    82#4 means means Annual Installment Revenue A in on current DRA juncture or “Reference on DRA; Revenue”; 

 

Value of Installment B, given the current juncture on the in-processing readjustment date (DRP), is

calculated as follows:   
82$5 L 82$4 H :+)2/ F :;
 
Where: ·  82$ 82$5 means Installment B in current juncture on DRP;   
· ·  +)2/ means means Installment General Price B in Index current by juncture Getúlio Vargas on DRA; Foundation (FGV);   
 
Ceres )nteligência Financeira   sz  

 


 

Hence, the Annual Revenue is the new revenue of the utility company on the DRP and corresponds to the sum of the new Installment A and Installment B, as follows:

4#5 L :82#5 E82$5;

Where: ·    82# 82$5 means means Installment Installment B A in in current current juncture juncture on on DRP; DRP; 
·    5 

 

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

s{


 

Operating Costs

Abstract

At this stage, we calculated items related to the tariff level cost elements. The operating costs calculated for the distributor take into account the own costs and the other distributors’ costs. The other distributors are included in the calculation to form the efficient cost target of the distributor under evaluation. The Statutory Operating Costs are forecasted from two angles:

1.      Statutory Cost from Nov/2017 to Nov/2023 equivalent to such value as specified in Technical Note 149/2017 SRM/SGT/SRD/SFF/ANEEL;
2.      Statutory Cost calculation from Nov/2023 through such methodologies as described in Submod- ules 2.2 and 2.2-A of PRORET, considering the information obtained from RT 2013, SAMP, BDGD and Financial Statements as the reference values.

Accordingly, the operating costs calculation as of 2013 adhered to the following brief plan of work:

1.      Collect data from ANEEL documents;
  a.      PRORET submodule 2.2
  b.      PRORET submodule 2.2-A
  c.      APPROVAL RESOLUTION # 1.858 DATED FEBRUARY 27, 2015;
  d.      Technical Note 409/2013-SRE/ANEEL;
2.      Market Data Collection from SAMP (Economic Regulation Market Information Monitoring Sys- tem);
3.      Data Collection of distributor’s structure from BDGD (Distributor’s Geographic Database);
4.      Data Collection from the two most-recent annual Financial Statements available;
5.      Updating Factor Calculation based on the methodology of Module 2.2, V2.0, PRORET;
6.      Efficient Costs Interval Calculation;
7.      Operating Costs Target Definition;
8.      Operating Costs Revenue Calculation;
9.      Report containing all the calculations made and results obtained upon the application of the proposed methodology;

Please find below a detailed description of such stages.

Database

Inputs

The Operating Costs calculation required:

1. Information about Cycle 3 Installment B review and parameters, applicable to Distributor;   
Ceres )nteligência Financeira   tr  

 


 

2.      Submodules 2.2 and 2.2-A of PRORET;
3.      Statutory PMSO, effective from Nov/2017 to Nov/2023, according to Technical Note 149/2017- SRM/SGT/SRD/SFF/ANEEL and Technical Note no. 293/2017-SGT/ANEEL;
4.      Data on underground network, air distribution network, high voltage network, consumer-units, weighted market, non-technical losses, discontinued consumer/hour, regarding the next tariff review;
5.      Access to SAMP;
6.      Data from BDGD.

Operating Costs Revenue Calculation

Inputs

Additional revenue in connection with operating costs from Nov/2017 to Nov/2023 corresponds to the amount entered in the last column of the table in Item 43 of Technical Note 149/2017 SRM/SGT/SRD/SFF/ANEEL. As specified in TN 149, the additional revenue amounts are adjusted at IPCA from the 2016 tariff process through the 2017 tariff process date; after that period, Installment B is adjusted at IGP-M and the X Factor.

Data required for Operating Costs Revenue calculation as of 2023 were taken from the technical note of the most recent tariff review of Distributor:

1.      Value of operating costs approved in the most recent tariff review, adjusted;
2.      Value of Installment B in the most recent tariff review;
3.      X Factor’s T Element in the most recent tariff review;
4.      Installment B revenue in the test-year; (it is calculated based on the distribution tariffs arising from the tariff opening of the most recent readjustment, applied to the market in the test-year);
5.      Number of years in the utility company’s tariff cycle.
Calculation Methodology %1ºç L %1ËØé F82$ 82$ËØé:s :sFF6 :sF ;Ç?5 6ËØé ;Ç?5 ; . 82$ºç 
ËØé  ËØé 

 

Where:

%1 operating costs revenue in the test-year;

%1ºç value of operating costs approved in the most recent tariff review, adjusted;

ËØé

: value of Installment B in the most recent tariff review;

82$ËØé 6

X Factor’s T Element defined in the most recent tariff review;

82$ test-year;

:

Installment B revenue in the

ºç

N: number of years in the utility company’s tariff cycle.

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

ts


 

Results

Based on such calculations, we tried to identify the magnitude relating to the statutory operating costs in Installment B formation in the most recent review;

Operating Costs Target Calculation

Inputs

1.      Result of operating costs revenue calculation;
2.      Efficient statutory operating costs ceiling;
3.      Efficient statutory operating costs floor;
4.      Real Average OpEx (for average OpEx calculation, the average value of real operating costs, in the two consecutive years nearest the tariff review, considering the most recent information available, with money value adjustment at IPCA, through the tariff review date, was taken into account).

Calculation Methodology %1

ØÙ Lmin:max:%1ºç ;.+;;.5;

Where:
%1
: Efficient statutory operating costs value;
.5 ØÙ
: Efficient statutory operating costs ceiling;
: Efficient statutory operating costs floor;
.+

and

%1 L min Ln¿ ¨%1ØÙ Fsn;w%M
%1ºç

and    %1çÔåÚØç L %1ºç :s G %1;Ç 
%1 %1:Where:çÔåÚØçstatutory : operating operating costs costs target annual adjusted fluctuation; to annual fluctuation ceiling; 
and     
    %12çÔåÚØç L s.t. 1LATÔéÚt E %1çÔåÚØç 

 

Where:

%12

: statutory operating costs target with sharing;

1LAT çÔåÚØç:

real operating costs average;

ÔéÚ

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

tt


 

Results

The efficient operating cost value was defined by comparing the operating costs revenue at the time of the review with the efficient operating costs interval for the utility company at issue.

Efficient Costs Interval

Inputs

1.      Efficiency reference (76% as per PRORET);
2.      OpEx (Annex II in PRORET);
3.      Statutory operating costs ceiling;
4.      Statutory operating costs floor;
5.      Efficiency interval ceiling calculated for the company;
6.      Efficiency interval floor calculated for the company;
7.      Updating factor.

Calculation Methodology

 

.5 L Ù . à àæèã .1LAT .+ L Ù . à àÜáÙ åØÙ .1LAT

åØÙ

 

.5: Where: Statutory operating costs ceiling; 
à.+ àæèãStatutory : Efficiency operating interval costs ceiling floor; calculated for the company; 
à 1LAT:ÜáÙ: Efficiency Efficiency Company’s interval reference; real operating floor calculated cost used for the to calculate company; efficiency; 
Ù: Updating factor. 

 

Results

The efficient cost intervals were used to calculate the Operating Costs Target.

Updating Factor

Inputs

1.      Product weight in “t” and “t+1”;
2.      Input weight in “t” and “t+1”;
3.      Company’s scale factor in “t” and “t+1”;
4.      Products in “t” and “t+1”.

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

tu


 

Calculation Methodology 
1LATØÙ L Qs Ý@5à RÝ UÜ E îM 
 
1LAT Where: U ØÙ: the efficient cost estimated for the utility company; 
I: Q RÝÜ : : weight weight company’s total products; assigned assigned product to to the product “j”; input; “j”; 
î: company’s “scale factor”. 
Ù L 1LAT 1LATØÙç>5ØÙ ç . +2%# +2%#ç>5 ç 

 

Where:

1LATØÙ

ØÙ ç>5 ç : efficient cost estimated on the tariff review base date;

1LAT efficient cost estimated on the efficiency calculation base date;

: IPCA index number in the month preceding the tariff review base date;

+2%#ç>5 +2%#ç

: IPCA index number in the month preceding the efficiency calculation base date.

Results

The Updating Factor was used to calculate the efficient cost intervals.

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

tv


 

The X Factor Calculation

The X Factor is mainly aimed at assuring that the balance between efficient revenues and expenses, set at the time of the tariff review, is maintained during the tariff cycle.

The approach adopted by ANEEL to calculate the X Factor aims to define it from potential productivity gains compatible with the market growth level, the number of consumer-units, and the service quality, in addition to fostering a transition of efficient operating costs.

In order to meet that purpose, the X Factor is comprised of three elements, namely:

(=?PKN L 2× E3 E6

Whe : P r e: oductivity gains from distribution; Q: Technical and commercial quality of the service delivered to consumers;

2

T: Operating costs trajectory:

The Pd and T elements are defined ex ante, i.e., at the time of the tariff review. The T element calculation rule is described in Submodule 2.2 – Operating Costs. The Q element is specified per tariff repositioning ex post with technical and commercial quality data for the two previous years, available in April each year.

Productivity gains from distribution (Pd)

Inputs

1.      Total productivity of factors;
2.      Electricity variation invoiced by the utility company between the last two cycles;
3.      Growth of electricity invoiced by the market between the last two cycles;
4.      Variation of the utility company’s consumer-units between the last two cycles;
5.      Variation in the number of consumer-units in the market between the last two cycles.

Methodology

2 :E; L26(Er.svHk /9D:E; F $$$$$$$$$oFr.rvH: 7%:E; F $$$$$$;

×

PTF: Average productivity of the distribution segment at s.wu% p.a.; f f

MWhi: Market average annual variation of utility company òió from the former tari review through the MWh : Distributorsï market average annual variation at v.xw% p.a.; current tari review; UC:i;: Average annual variation of in the number of consumer units invoiced by the utility company òió f f

     UCi: Average annual variation in the number of consumer units at u.u{% p.a.; from the former tari review through the current tari review;

D

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

tw


 

Results

With the X Factor’s Pd Element, the review may comprise the potential productivity gains arising from electricity distribution, estimated from the ratio between market growth and increased costs of that business.

Please note that in the evaluation such factor will be set at zero between the agreement execution date and the first subsequent ordinary tariff review, as highlighted in the draft2 agreement.

Technical and commercial quality of service delivered to consumers (Q)

The technical and commercial quality (the Q element) incentive mechanism is specified every tariff readjustment ex post with the technical and commercial quality data for the last two years, available in April each year.

Operating costs trajectory (T)

The X Factor’s T Element is aimed at setting a trajectory in the statutory operating costs definition. Essentially, it is a transition between different methodologies to set the efficient operating costs. The operating costs calculation methodology is described in section “Operating Costs”.

Inputs

1.      Operating Costs Revenue;
2.      Operating Costs Target;
3.      Current tariff review Installment B value;

Calculation Methodology

0

%1 L%1 E k%1çÔåÚØç F %1ºço

ã ºç

6ã L Ls F ¿7-¨%1 %1çÔåÚØçã MH 82$ %1 ã 

 

Where:

2 Draft Agreement, Official Letter 113/2017-DR/ANEEL, 05/03/17, from Romeu Donizete Rufino, Procedure 48510.000502/2017-00, Clause 19 – Transient Provisions, Section 3, Item I: “The value of the X Factor’s Pd Element shall be set at 0 (zero)”.

     tx Ceres )nteligência Financeira


 

f

: operating costs revenue in the test year;

%1ã: statutory operating costs value to be taken into account in the current tari review;

%1ºç f

%1 : operating costs target adjusted to annual fluctuation ceiling; N: number of years in the utility companyïs tari cycle; f review )nstament B value. 6 : the X factorïs operating costs òtrajectoryó element for the current review; 82$ã: current tari

Results

The result of the abovementioned calculations is the X Factor’s operating cost “trajectory” element. The T element was used to deduct or add part of the operating costs from or to the tariffs, gradually, over the Distributor’s review cycle.

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

ty


 

Other Revenue Calculation

Other Revenue calculation to be taken into account in the tariff readjustment is based on Submodule 2.7, V2.1, in PRORET. By definition, “Other Revenue” is classified in two groups, namely: (1) Revenue inherent to electricity distribution service; and (2) Revenue from other business segments. Each type of Other Revenue account has a revenue sharing ratio defined by PRORET, which is used to calculate the Other Revenue value to be discounted from Installment B in the tariff review process, with a view to encourage the service provision efficiency.

82$ L :%#1/ E %##; H :s F 2à F/+3;F 14

CAOM Administration, Operation & Maintenance Cost; CAA: Annual Cost of Assets;

M)Q: Quality )mprovement )ncentive Mechanism; and 2 : Market Adjustment Factor; OR: Other Revenue.

Revenue inherent to electricity distribution service

Non-tariff revenue related to electricity supply, invoiced with billable services. The sharing of such revenue was 60% (of gross revenue) assigned to consumers of the distribution service and 40% to the utility company, with a view to encourage the service provision efficiency.

Revenue from other business segments

Revenue from activities of an economic nature that is accessory to the concession contract or permit agreement, performed for its own account and risk.

Proper Accessory Activities: regulated activity delivered by the distributor only and subject to inspections.

The sharing of revenue from proper accessory activities was 60% (of gross revenue) assigned to consumers of the distribution service and 40% to the utility company, with a view to encourage the service provision efficiency. Such amount was discounted from Installment B, variable Other Revenue (OR).

Complementary Accessory Activities: non-regulated activity, the delivery of which is related to the distribution service fruition, and which may be delivered either by the distributor or by third parties, subject to the consumer code rules and antitrust laws.

The sharing of revenue from complementary accessory activities was 60% (of gross revenue) assigned to consumers of the distribution service and 40% to the utility company, with a view to encourage the

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

tz


 



 



 



 

Statistical Techniques

During the project, statistical techniques were worked, such as the multi-varied analysis for demand forecast and sensitivity analysis.

Financial Techniques

Please find below the techniques that are comprised by the methodology of the financial and economic analysis for the evaluation. You may see the description of the Free Cash Flow to Firm. Then, you will find the analysis on the composition and formation of the capital cost that reflects the discount rate compatible with the business risk.


 

Discounted Cash Flow

Introduction

The technique used for evaluation is based on the Discounted Cash Flow methodology, which is supported on the hypothesis that the value of a project depends on its capacity to generate wealth in the future. Revenues, costs, expenses, investments and other working capital requirements are estimated, in addition to all the items that affect the enterprise’s cash fluctuation, for a given period of time.

Seeing as the generated cash flow values occur in different time spans, these must be summed and compared in a current equivalence. Thus, the net balances reckoned per period are taken to present value at a discount rate reflecting the risks inherent to the business, added by the risk-averse investors opportunity cost, i.e., an attractiveness rate reflecting the business capital providers opportunity cost.

Such rate is given by value parameters generally offered by government bonds, incorporates the specific risk of the business, and is calculated based on CAPM (Capital Asset Pricing Model). By that model, the project owners’ equity (Ke) cost is calculated.

To calculate the project values, the owners’ equity cost (Ke) is weighted with the third-parties’ equity cost (Kd), in proportion to the capital structure used in the project, resulting in the enterprise’s WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital).

There are different versions of the Discounted Cash Flow methodology, and this paper adheres to the Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) approach.


 

Free Cash Flow to Firm – FCFF

The Free Cash Flow to Firm approach uses the weighted average capital cost (WACC) to discount at present value the free cash flow to firm. Hence, all resources available for dividend distribution or reinvestment are taken into account, but amortization flows and third-party debt interests paid are not considered, the yield on which is implied in estimated WACC rate. The firm flow is recommended for the evaluation at issue because it foresees the likelihood of permanent leverage over the concession contract period.

Capital Asset Pricing Model – CAPM

Introduction

The owners’ equity cost (Ke) calculation is primarily based on the business risk analysis, added by the economy’s risk-free yield rate, generally given by the yield offered by government bonds.

At first, companies of the industry serve as the basis, measuring the price fluctuation of their shares in the money market, against the economy oscillations, mirrored on some market index, for instance.

One of such measures is by Beta, which represents a multiplier in relation to the return fluctuations of companies in a given segment in relation to the market and is equivalent to the risk of the segment analyzed. Primarily, we take a weighted average of such measure for the industry, excluding the indebtedness weight. That indicator represents an average and time relation between the returns on the shares selected in relation to the economy, which was highlighted here by the S&P500 returns fluctuation, an index that captures a good deal of transactions in the US market. Therefore, compared are the fluctuations of the prices in dollars of the shares in the public companies that operate in the same industry as the enterprise analyzed, with the S&P500 index fluctuations.

The purpose of this process is to obtain the additional risks of the business at issue in relation to the economy. Therefore, the result of the return expected and required on the business would be a risk free yield rate, in line with the rates offered by the government, added by the economy rate in general, plus the profits or minus the losses of the business, in comparison with the economy as a whole. Hence, a single rate synthesizes the yield required by a business, contemplating all the risks inherent in their fluctuations of income and cash, and adds the gains on zero risk investments, given in traditional short-term investments offered by the government.

Whereas we used indexes present in the US and global economy, calculated in dollars, considering the purpose of accuracy of inter-industry risk levels, therefore, utilization and supplementation in calculating the risks present in Brazilian interest rates in relation to the global market are necessary.

For risk-free and government rates, we used the 10-year US treasury bonds, marked to market continuously (Constant Maturity Bond). Thus, the risk elements present in the Brazilian interest rate, as the uv Ceres )nteligência Financeira


 

country risk premium, regarding the credit risk in the Brazilian Economy against the global market, and the exchange risk, showing the uncertainties about the R$ fluctuation against the USD, must be included. Both of them are already included in SELIC interest rate or government bonds with future maturities, the reason for such inclusions, for they represent the risk-free opportunity cost in Brazil.

For the country risk premiums, we used the difference between FRA for Exchange Coupon, contracts traded in BM&F-BOVESPA, and the Risk Free Rate calculated through the Treasury Bonds.

In order to calculate the exchange risk premium, we used the real difference between the DI – 1-day contracts, FRA for Exchange Coupon, denominated in Forward Premium, both the agreements traded in BM&F-BOVESPA, and which translate the expected price fluctuations between the Brazilian interest rates in the future market against Brazilian external fund-raising in USD. Hence, it is impossible to obtain, from its quotation, the exchange premium, after the adjustments for inflation between the countries (IPCA minus CPI forecast).

In brief, the evaluation uses the Discounted Cash Flow methodology, which is supported on the hypothesis that the value of a project depends on its capacity to generate wealth in the future. Seeing as the value to be produced will occur in different time spans, all of them must be brought to present value at a discount rate reflecting the risks inherent to the estimated flow, i.e., an attractiveness rate reflecting the opportunity cost of several business capital providers, the business risk included. Such discount rate is calculated based on CAPM (Capital Asset Pricing Model). Such model allows calculating the owners’ equity cost (Ke), to be associated with the third-parties’ equity cost (Kd), defining the WACC – Weighted Average Cost of Capital.

Please find below the Ke formation detailing:

Figure 1 – Owners’ Equity Cost (Ke) Breakdown


- -Ø - Cost of Equity  Source: Ceres Inteligência Financeira   
Ceres )nteligência Financeira     uw  

 


 



 

Beta

That indicator represents an average and time relation between the returns on the shares selected in relation to the economy, which is usually highlighted by the S&P500 returns fluctuation, an index that captures a good deal of transactions in the US market.

The leveraged Beta of each company is obtained by tilting the linear regression between the historical logarithmic returns of these assets and the market index. Then, the unleveraged Beta is obtained for each company by adjusting their Debt to Equity (D/E) ratios. Finally, the unleveraged betas of each company are weighted by their Enterprise Value, thus achieving the unleveraged Beta for the resulting Beta, unleveraged, for the industry, which is then re-leveraged in order to consider the fraction of systemic risk corresponding to the relevant company indebtedness effect.

Market Risk Premium

The Market Risk Premium represents the yield expected by the market, taking into account the additional risk in relation to the risk-free rate that practiced therein. The Market Risk Premium is calculated based on the difference between the returns on the S&P500 Index and the perpetual 10-year US Treasury Bonds (Constant Coupon Bond), marked to market annually, considering a long-term window of time. That is, to estimate the Market Risk Premium, the difference between the return on the S&P500, adjusted for dividends and the return on Treasury Bonds, was taken into account.

For the calculation of the return on T-Bonds, the constant maturity bonds, i.e. 10-year-maturity marked-to-market perpetual bonds, are taken into account, assuming the repurchase of the bond at the end of each year. Thus, this return is composed of two components: the yield hired for the year in which the bond was held by the investor and the paper price fluctuation to market due to the changes in the interest rate offered at the end of the year.

Country Risk

As previously mentioned, the CAPM model structuring based on the rates practiced in foreign markets, especially those found in the US market, is more advisable due to the diversity of business segments found in their stock market indices, which explain more comprehensively the relative risks between segments and companies in an economy. However, for application in the countries of origin, it is necessary to adjust the country-specific credit risks, since the US risk-free rate is used, based on T-Bonds, debt securities issued by the United States. The measurement of this risk spread, which applies to developing economies, including Brazil, is denominated country risk. The option recommended in this paper, for a better adjustment, is obtaining the spread between interpolated FRA and T-Bonds, which more directly reflect the country risk present in the interest curve.

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

uy


 

Exchange Risk

To estimate the foreign exchange risk premium, the forward premium was obtained by the breakdown of domestic interest rates and the FRA, which already includes the country risk. The foreign exchange coupon and FRA contracts indicate the expected interest rates in US dollars, measuring the DI-1 day rate fluctuation against the exchange rate fluctuation, and are good indicators of the external interest rates evidenced in the negotiations of Brazilian bonds with sovereign risk, issued abroad.

The Real Exchange Rate is calculated based on the difference between the Interbank Deposit (ID) and the Forward Rate Agreement (FRA) rates. It should be noted that this indicator is calculated in real terms, discounting the forecasted inflation in Brazil (IPCA) and the forecasted inflation in the USA (CPI).

The data of the rates and their respective maturities were interpolated using the Cubic Spline methodology to obtain the related risk curve.

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

uz


 

Capital Structure and Discount Rate Breakdown

Owners’ Equity Cost (Ke)

For the risk-free rate, the yield of the 10-year Treasury Bonds was considered. The data of the rates and their respective maturities were collected and then interpolated by using the Cubic Spline methodology to obtain the curve.

In order to estimate the Market Risk Premium, the difference between the return on the S&P500, adjusted for dividends, and the return on Treasury Bonds, was taken into account. For the calculation of the return on T-Bonds, the constant maturity bonds, i.e. 10-year-maturity marked-to-market perpetual bonds, are taken into account, assuming the repurchase of the bond at the end of each year. Thus, this return is composed of two components: the yield hired for the year in which the bond was held by the investor and the paper price fluctuation to market due to the changes in the interest rate offered at the end of the year. Thus, the Market Risk Premium was obtained, considering a time window, geometric mean and the long-term (10-year) bond with a coupon.

The Real Exchange Premium is calculated based on the difference between the Interbank Deposit (ID) and the Forward Rate Agreement (FRA) rates. It should be noted that this indicator, to be calculated in real terms, is discounted by the difference between inflation in Brazil (IPCA) and inflation in the USA (CPI).

The FRA and ID databases were collected in the Trading System of BM&FBovespa. Then, the data were interpolated by the Cubic Spline method, to obtain the rate curves.

In addition to FRA and ID, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Extended Consumer Price Index (IPCA) forecasts are also necessary for the composition of the Foreign Exchange Risk. While the IPCA forecast was obtained in the Market Expectation System of the Focus Bulletin, made available by the

Banco Central (Bacen).

Table 4 - Summary of Applicable Methodologies

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

u{


 

Third-party capital cost (Kd)

The third party capital cost is obtained through the weighted average of the gross debt (2011-2016) of the companies used to calculate Beta, weighted at the Debt/Net Debt ratio, of the same companies, on their respective reference dates. Next, the Cost of Debt / Net Debt ratio is multiplied by the IDC forecast of the target year. As a final point, inflation and taxes are discounted to reach the tax-free real Kd.

Weighted Average Cost of Capital – WACC

The WACC rate is obtained by weighting the owners’ equity cost and the third-party equity cost and their respective sharing in the company’s capital structure, considering the tax benefit of the debt for third-party equity. The capital structure used was the same as used by ANEEL in PRORET, Submodule 2.4.

Risk Analysis and Sensitivity Analysis

With the purpose of analyzing possible impacts on the valuation, we analyze the sensitivity of relevant variables for the forecast model, with a view to checking the impact on the Net Present Value (VPL). Herein, the sensitivity analysis was conducted in view of the impacts on the evaluation, from fluctuations falling on the Yield Base and on the weighted average cost of capital.

Critical Points and Adaptations

This paper further analyzes critical points of the business and suggested adaptations that may add value to the companies. We also studied some possibilities for this transaction that would minimize risks and maximize the return for investors.

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

vr


 

Synergies

Costs and investments synergies and optimizations were identified, so as to obtain post-privatization potential business value benchmarks. We also appraised possible gains that could be reversed to the seller, depending on the sale structure.

Special Treatments and Specific Risks

The distributors being analyzed are within the electric power distribution service provision norm as Designated Distributors, pursuant to the terms and conditions of Article 9, Statutory Law 12.783, dated Jan-uary 11, 2013, and Ordinance 338 dated July 26, 2016, issued by the Department of Mines & Energies (MME).

Accordingly, several terms and conditions were agreed to for operation under supervision of the regulatory agency.

“ReA No. 748/2016 imposes on such distributors the pre-privatization Temporary Distribution Service Provision Plan for 2017, entailing loan transfer to meet the targets set and accommodate the operating costs, inter alia, according to Annex IV – Commitment, attached to said ReA, as follows: ‘The Designated Distributor Officers, regarding the distribution utility service provision (hereinafter referred to as the ‘Officers’), who are signatories to this agreement, in order to be entitled to the transfers of funds set forth in Paragraph 4, Article 9, Statutory Law 12.783 dated January 11, 2013, commit to abide by the provisions of Ordinance MME-388/2016 and see to continuity and suitability of the service delivered, particularly regarding the following parameters, which have been followed up by ANEEL as a priority:

I – industry compliance;

II      – the assignment’s electric power loss threshold;
III      – the assignment’s Operating Costs threshold;
IV      – the assignment’s threshold of discontinuity equivalent duration per consumer unit (DEC);
V      – the assignment’s threshold of discontinuity equivalent frequency per consumer unit (FEC);
VI      – quality of information provided to ANEEL;
VII      – meeting the inspection requirements issued by ANEEL.

The signatories hereto, on behalf of the Officers, hereby commit to send to ANEEL the Tempo-


 



 



 

Forecast of ‘Light to Everyone’ and RGR Flow earmarked to expiration

We forecasted the amounts payable and receivable by means of CDE funds for ‘Luz para Todos’ Program (PLPT – Portuguese acronym for “’Light for All’ Program”) through expiration scheduled for De-cember 20187. We did not make PLPT forecasts for subsequent years at scheduled expiration because such forecasts would depend on determinations foreign to the distributors.

As a final point, the total investment in replenishment will be distributed over the years 2018 to 2022 based on the Technical & Operating Due Diligence outcome; for the other years, the necessary replenishments, consistent with the private market8 within their area of operation.

7 Presidency of the Republic, Chief of Staff, Legal Team, Decree No. 8.387 dated December 30, 2014. 8 CEMAR, COELCE, COELBA, CELPE.

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

 

vv

 


 

Economic & Financial Evaluation

General Assumptions for the Financial Model

For the financial model, it was necessary to adopt some assumptions to analyze the distributors. The model was developed with monthly periodicity; the following general assumptions were defined: Base Date used for the evaluation as of March 1, 2018, with analysis period from March 1, 2018 to February 28, 2048 (30 years of Concession contract). However, the tables, charts, and results shown in the Report start in January 2017 and end in December 2047, because, by considering only two months in 2048, the analyses would not be comparable with the other years.

The discount rate used is based on the dynamic rate methodology, consisting in the monthly calculation of the WACC – Weighted Average Cost of Capital, to be applied. The reporting currency is the official currency, i.e., the values are impacted by inflation over the analysis period. Deflator used to bring the forecasted cash flow to present value is IPCA.

For regulatory assumptions, we assumed that Ordinary Tariff Reviews have a 5-year periodicity, being considered in the month of November and as of the year 2023 as reference (5 years after the contract is signed with the new utility company, which is to take place in 2018). Besides, this evaluation considers an Extraordinary Tariff Review in 2019, basically encompassing the BRR reevaluation.

Finally, the results obtained in the evaluation are based on Nominal Cash Flow to Firm.

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

vw


 

General Comments on the Report

This report contains the assumptions, analyses and forecasts carried out for the valuation of the distribution companies for the privatization process. The analysis period is from 03/01/18 to 02/28/2048, which period is used to calculate the evaluation results.

Illustratively, tables and charts are shown in annual values through 12/31/47, seeing as the year 2048 covers only two months of evaluation, thus avoiding a distorted perception of the value over the series.

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

vx


 

Summary of Business and Existing Structures

Features of the Business

Eletrobras Distribuição Rondônia - Centrais Elétricas de Rondônia S.A. - CERON, is a mixed economy company, indirectly managed by the Federal Government and belonging to the Eletrobras group, which operates in the distribution of electricity in the state of Rondônia.

Originally, Eletrobras Distribuição Rondônia is successor of the old SAALFT- Serviço de Abastecimento de Água Luz e Força of the Federal Territory of Rondônia, established under the form of Joint Stock Company, created by Law No. 5.523, of November 4, 1968, under the shareholding control of the then Government of the Federal Territory of Rondônia and was installed on December 1, 1969, meeting only two municipalities of Rondônia, Porto Velho, the Capital and Guajará Mirim, through isolated nuclei of thermoelectric generation, by Diesel oil, with installed power of 2.893 KW.

In 1997, a new milestone was established and the Company goes through jointly management between the Government of the State of Rondônia, which owns 51% of the shares and ELETROBRAS, with 48.7%, enabling this Company to participate in management on the Boards of Directors, Tax Board and also on the Executive Board. Also in 1997, the federalization of CERON occurs, according to State Law No. 740. The State approves the transfer of the shareholding control of CERON to ELETROBRAS. The shareholding structure was distributed as follows: 79.91% - ELETROBRAS, 20.0% - Government of the State and 0.09% - other shareholders.

In 1998, CERON underwent further changes in its shareholding structure as a result of the sale to ELETROBRAS, which now owns 99.96% of the company's capital stock, being 0.04% to others. In June 2008, the company centralized its management along with five other electricity distributors under the control of the Eletrobras Distribution Board, in which the company now controls 100% of the capital stock, and is presented to its customers and society with the name of Eletrobras Distribuição Rondônia.

The Company's concession covers a geographical area of 237,576 square kilometers covering 52 municipalities and 154 locations for a population of approximately 1.6 million inhabitants and 512,949 customers. The headquarters of Eletrobras Distribuição Rondônia is located in Porto Velho, at Avenida Imigrantes, 4137, Industrial District.

The operational processes related to the business are managed by the 17 departments and 58 commercial offices, with a total of 757 employees and 1,614 outsourced employees. The departments' management develops their actions based on plans from the projects and initiatives emanating from the Strategic Planning. The distribution assets have 50 substations, installed capacity of 982 MVA, 1,262 km of transmission lines and 41,869 km of distribution networks with 61,064 transformer units.

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

vy


 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 

Demand Forecasting

Demand Forecasting per Class

The consumption of electric power in Brazil may be divided into eight different classes, which are: Residential, Commercial, Industrial, Rural, Government, Public Lighting, Public Service, and Own Consumption. In order to understand the possible heterogeneities among the groups, the Residential, Commercial, Industrial, and Rural sectors were analyzed in separate. Government, Public Lighting, Public Service, and Own Consumption were all grouped in a single class entitled ‘Other’. This decision was based on the similar consumption behavior between them and to reduce the effect of volatility incurred in low-consumption classes.

Distributor’s History

To project the demand for power of the next thirty years, ending in February/2048, it is necessary to carry out a historical analysis that demonstrates the evolution of power consumption and its distribution between the classes. As observed in Table 10 – Geometric Mean of 2007-2016 Consumptions, all sectors present an evolution in power consumption19. The segments presented similar growths, something near 6.70% p.a. Exception is made to the industrial sector that obtained an expansion below the others, 2,98% p.a. It is also worthwhile noting the composition of power consumption, i.e., how the total power consumption is distributed between the classes. Analyzing Figure 3 – Power Consumption Composition Comparison, it possible to note that no substantial changes occurred in terms of power consumption distribution. The residential sector was responsible for 35.39% of the total consumption, against 39.86% in 2016, for the industrial sector, one has in 2007 16.66% against 13.46% in 2016, commercial 22.86% in 2007 and 21.72% in 2016, rural 9.47% in 2007 and 10.77% in 2016 and Other that went from 15.42% in 2007 and ended the year with 14.19%.

19 Source: Distributor’s statement of invoicing     
Ceres )nteligência Financeira     ww  

 


 



 

Regression Analysis and Results

As mentioned in the section above, five models were performed to project the demand for power, with one model to each one of the classes, which are Residential, Commercial, Industrial, Rural, and Other. The methodologies and results will be subject to individual analyses. The behavior of the overall power consumption for the next thirty years.

Residential

A linear model of regression estimated by MQO20 was adopted to project the demand by the residential class. The dependent variable in the model is the variation of residential power consumption per capita21. A trend line and Brazil’s annual GDP were used as explicative variables. The power consumption per capita was used, for this variable indirectly incorporates the population variation, eliminating the addition of another explicative variable in the model. The trend line defined as

HP L log :P;

     , t ranges from (1,T) where T is the sample size, aims at eliminating the non-stationarity of the set. The GDP variable was introduced to capture the elasticity of power consumption based on income. The model was estimated without intercepto. The definition of the model is presented below: log F?L:P E;s;GL»HP:PEs; E¼LE>:P Es; ?L:P pL population cL Residential power consumption cpL Consumption Per Capita ltL Trend Line pibL GDP Brazil

In which ± and ² are the coefficients of the model.

Coeffi ievt     Value 
±     ì.ììóõï 
²    ì.ðôìòì 

 

With the forecasted coefficients, the forecast GDP22 and the forecast population23 were used to estimate the demand for power until 2048. It was necessary to implement an exponential smoothing in the model so that the sequence of variations of residential consumption did not diverge. The adopted premise assumed that when achieving a consumption target per capita, in the case of consumption per capita in

20 Least Squares: Linear regression model that estimates the straight line, minimizing the squared difference between the

estimated and the observed value;

21 The demographic data have been obtained from IBGE; 22 Bacen Expectations; 23 IBGE Population Forecast;

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

 

wy

 


 



 


Other

The model created to project the Other class of power consumption was based on the premise that there is a relationship of linear dependence between this class and the Residential consumption class The model may be defined as follows: . K:P; L=:P; ?.N:P; c. oL Consumption Other c. rL Residential Consumption Where ± t is the proportion that Other represents of the residential consumption in time t.

For such, it was necessary to estimate an auxiliary model capable of defining the parameters ± to each time t. An equation was created with parameters (µ) = 97.98%, based on the history of these proportions, and a target ² values was also defined to soften ± (t). This value was based on the proportion found in the State of São Paulo in 2015 between Other and Residential, case in which ²=30%. Another parameter, »=4.6145, was defined with the linear optimization to maximize the correlation between the proportion set forth in time. The model was defined as presented below:

=:PEs; L=:P; :Q^:ã max:=:PEs; FÚ,r;;;

The values ± were forecast for time t as a whole, replacing them in the aforementioned equation and using the residential consumption forecasting already made, to obtain the forecasting for the class entitled Other.

Total

This section presents the forecast graphs of the overall power consumption, in addition to a general chart of the growth per class.

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

w{


 



 



 



 

Network Extension (Km)

Common Analyses to Distributors

The network extension project was based on the history of extension of low, medium, and high voltage networks between years 2001 and 201630. The network extension set forth by the Decennial Plans and PDDs of distributors was added to such history, of which the forecasted network extension was extracted for years 2017 to 2021 for low and medium voltages, 2017 and 2018 for the “Luz Para Todos Program” (Light for All) and high voltage for years 2017 to 2026.

Its history of expansion after the Decennial Plans and PDDs takes into account both the historical and forecast investments to each distributor.

Three groups have been segregated: (i) low and medium voltage, (ii) high voltage, and (iii) “Luz Para Todos Program”. This division was necessary to determine the fundamental differences existing in each group.

The forecasting of group (i) Low and Medium Voltage is set to begin in 2022. A proxy (average of investment/average of growth) of dependency was created between the degree of investment and the network expansion. With the degree of investment forecast by Ceres, it was possible to estimate from 2022 the network mileage values.

The same methodology applied to the Low and Medium Voltages was applied to the High Voltage segment. The Decennial Plan already projects the expansion of the network mileage for years 2017-2026. For years 2027-2048, a causal relation was applied between the investment and the network expansion. The investments forecast for the high voltage Market served as an input to obtain the network expansion of that class.

Regarding “Luz Para Todos Program” (PLPT), the data used refer to the Decennial Plans and, therefore, based on the current condition of the legislation that determines the end of the program in 2018, no forecast was made for the coming years.

30 The extension of the network built under Luz Para Todos Program in included in the 2001-2006 history, in low and medium voltage

     xu Ceres )nteligência Financeira


 



 

Investment Forecasting

Deployment and Renewal

The CERON 2017 Distribution Development Plan (PDD 2017), the 2017 Decennial Plan, the 2017 Plan on the Provisional Electric Power Distribution Services (Provisional Plan), the information of the Due Diligence of service B, in its “Product 7 – Technical-Operational Report of CERON”, annex II, in addition to indications of CERON’s technical team, obtained in the meetings organized by CERES, were used to define CERON’s investment needs.

Investments were subdivided into High Voltage Expansion, Medium Voltage/Low Voltage Expansion, Improvement, Renewal (Maintenance), Luz para Todos, and Infrastructure and Support. From 2017 to 2022, the values obtained in the Due Diligence of service B, in its “Product 7 – Technical-Operational Report of CERON”, annex II, were considered as a whole and added to the expenses with Renewal (Maintenance) in 2017 of the Provisional Plan.

Only 10% of the expenses with Luz para Todos Program were considered for years 2017 and 2018, since the other 90% were subsidized with CDE resources and have been allocated as Special Obligations. In addition, approximately R$ 173 million of the investments in Expansion of High Voltage and R$ 58 million of the investments in Expansion of Medium Voltage of 2018 were also considered as Special Obligations, since their origin are of subrogation.

As of 2023, investments with High Voltage Expansion, Medium Voltage/Low Voltage Expansion, and Renewal (Maintenance) continued being forecasted according to the premises described below.

High Voltage Expansion: The values informed in the 2017 PDD were corrected for the base date De-cember 2016 and fully considered until 2026. For the other years in the forecast, the estimated investment is equivalent to the average expenses between 2018 and 2026.

MT/BT Expansion: For CERON, the PDD 2017 presented a forecast of investments in the MT/BT network. These values informed in the PDD 2017 were corrected for the base date December 2016 and considered in full up to 2026. For the other forecast years, the estimated investment equals the average of expenses between years 2018 and 2016

Improvement: Based on information supplied by CERON’s technical team, it has been defined that, in 2023, the amount corresponds to the average of the amounts spent between 2018 and 2022 with De-cember 2016 as a base, without variations due to the continuous structure of this account.

Renewal (Maintenance): As of 2023, expenses with maintenance will be equivalent to the asset depreciation value. The reference of depreciation of ANEEL’s Normative Resolution no. 674/2015 for the current assets was used to define this value, in addition to the depreciation of new investments of the company, calculated based on the average depreciation of the assets of the Equity Control Report.

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

xw


 



 



 



 


îìðó 
íðî

 


 

PMSO Estimate

Common Analyses to Distributors

PMSO Forecasting Method

The analysis of Personnel, Material, Third-party Services, and Other Expenses (PMSO, of the Portu-guese “Pessoal, Material, Serviços de terceiros e Outras despesas”) may be divided into two parts: characterization of the analytical bases and the effective forecasting of such bases according to the types of expenses observed in such accounts

The First Part, known as the Characterization of Analytical Accounts, underwent 5 Phases: Phase 1 – Grouping of analytical accounts; Phase 2 – Analysis of the account nature as fixed and variable; Phase 3 – Identification of atypical values33; Phase 4 – Evaluation of the best correlation to variable accounts;

Phase 5 – Identification of regulatory accounts (considered as recurring by ANEEL and compensated thereby).

Phase 1 begins with the monetary adjustment of the analytical accounts evaluated. These accounts are included in the sampling period between January 2012 and December 2016, and were adjusted for the base date of December 2016 for it is the most current of the period.

After such first monetary adjustment, the accounts of expenses were grouped in each PMSO group, in accordance with the similarity of type of expense and respective taxable events.

Phase 2 consists of the analysis of the fixed and variable accounts. The PMSO groups were evaluated considering as fixed account the account whose participation in the expenditure in the past 3 periods34 was within the lower and upper limits of the expense grouping sample, where:

Upper limit fix/var = 60%*(1-((standard sample deviation)/(sample minimum)) and

Lower limit fix/var = 60%*(1-(standard sample deviation)/(sample maximum)).

33 Values with behavior different from the usual of the account, either too high or too low in relation to the average, values at non-recurring levels 34 To accounts completely fixed in value, each 1 out of 5 years of the period would represent 20% of the total expenditure. Thus, the last 3 years would represent 60% of the value in the 5 years evaluated

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

yr


 

Initially, accounts above or below such limits are considered variable. Then, an evaluation is carried out in relation to the nature of the expense (if having characteristics of fixed or variable) and the degree of variation in the recent period35.

Fixed accounts, when forecast, are calculated as the average of expenses in the sampling period, excepting outliers.

Variable accounts, when forecast, are transformed into indicators and range according to the forecasts36 of Consumption Units and Consumed MWh, also excluding atypical values.

Phase 3 evaluates which periods in a sample may consist of atypical values and, therefore, unlikely to occur in the forecast scenario. A period entry is considered as an outlier when its value is beyond the established limits of normality of the sample, where:

Upper limit out = (sample average) + (standard sample deviation);

Lower limit out = (sample average) - (standard sample deviation).

After such initial characterization, the nature of the expense and the levels verified in the past 3 years are evaluated in order to identity structural breaches to the expense level to define if the prior samples must be kept or eliminated in the evaluation.

Phase 4 evaluates what are the most correlated variables with the PMSO account groups. More correlated groups are used as an indicator to estimate the account value. The two variables with the greatest correlation with the PMSO accounts were Network Extension (Km)37 and Consumption in MWh.

The formation of the indicator in the PMSO group expenses considered as variable occur as shown below:

(© Regular Expense Values38)/(© Regular Parameter Values)39.

Finally, Phase 5 consists of the classification of the accounts composing the groups of each PMSO block, pursuant to the characterization defined by ANEEL for regulatory PMSO. Thus, each account composing the analytical PMSO has a classification as Effective PMSO (total), Regulatory PMSO and PMSO Other (effective PMSO – regulatory PMSO).

35 Expenses with low variation would tend to be fixed

36 More detail on the forecasting of Consumption Units and Consumption in MWh are provided in the chapter of Demand and Consumption Forecasting 37 Includes the extension of low, medium, and high voltage network 38 Excluding those atypical 39 The parameters considered are consumption units and consumption in MWh for the same period of time of the expense, excluding periods considered as atypical by the company

     ys Ceres )nteligência Financeira


 

The Second Part includes the Forecasting of the Effective and Regulatory PMSO Groups, and may be divided into four Phases:

Phase 1 – Expense Forecasting for 2017;

Phase 2 – Operating Costs Variation Rate;

Phase 3 – Identification and Treatment of Accounts with Behavior Linked to Improvements of the Distributor;

Phase 4 – Concession Period Forecasting – 2018 to 2047.

Phase 1, Expense Forecasting for 2017, will consider a variation of the expense based on the history of the company, observing the fixed and variable natures of the expenses composing the PMSO.

Fixed and variable expenses are calculated as detailed in the First Part, Phase 2, in accordance with the provisions of this chapter. Variable expenses are transformed into indicators having as denominator the parameter of best correlation that has been analyzed, based on R$/Parameter, multiplied by the forecasting40 of Network Extension (Km) or MWh Extension.

Phase 2, Operating Costs Variation Rate and Target, is subdivided into three steps: 1 – Definition of the Operating Cost Benchmarks; 2 – Definition of Variation Rate and Target between 2018 and 2022; 3 – Definition of Variation Rate and Target between 2023 and 2027.

Step 1 of definition of Operating Cost Benchmarks initially took into account the groups determined by ANEEL, which have been adjusted per region. For the distributors of the Northern region, the benchmarks that have been considered consisted of the following private distributors: Celpa and Celtins. These were grouped with Ceron, Eletrobrás Roraima, Eletroacre and Amazonas Energia.

For the Northeastern region, the following were considered: Celpe, Cemar, Coelce, Energisa Paraíba and Energisa Sergipe, Coelba and Cosern; these were grouped with Cepisa and Ceal.

40 Detailed in the chapter on Consumption and Demand Forecasting     
Ceres )nteligência Financeira     yt  

 


 

In Step 2 of Definition of the Variation Rate between 2018 and 2022, ANEEL’s DEA data base of calculation of efficient costs was used for the 4CRTP. The PMSO expense of each company with the extension of the network is parameterized.

Based on these indicators, it is possible to calculate the average of the group of each distributor according to the region. Distributors whose initial indicator is greater than that verified by the group average shall have their cost adjusted in terms of indicator in the next rate adjustment, in 2023.

Distributors whose initial indicator is below that verified in the group average shall have as their target the indicator level between 2023 and 2027 lower than the group average.

Step 3 of Definition of the Variation Rate between 2023 and 2027 consists of the calculation of the average indicator of the private benchmarks of the groups. For the Northeastern region, the private distributors considered were: Celpe, Cemar, Coelce, Energisa Paraíba, and Energisa Sergipe. For the Northern region, the private distributors were: Celpa and Celtins.

When achieving the R$/Consumption unit indicator of the cycle target, distributors stabilize the operating cost indicators parameterized by consumption unit.

Phase 3 of Identification and Treatment of Accounts with Behavior Linked to Improvements of the Distributor consists of the identification of considered accounts that influence the effective PMSO cost, but that range in accordance with the operating improvements of the distributor41. Each company had a set of adjustments treated in their specific section.

Phase 4 consists of the estimate of the PMSO expense levels of distributors during the period of concession. With the targets between 2018 and 2022 and from 2023 to 2027, distributors will achieve the operating cost benchmarks by the end of 2027. From that year, the indicator of R$ PMSO/Consumption Unit is stabilized, and the absolute PMSO value ranges in effective terms by means of the variation of consumption units.

Efficient Costs Interval

The upper and lower limits of the efficiency interval42 calculated to each distributor were estimated. The values considered to these forecasts were based on those found in “Annex I – Efficiency Intervals” of submodule 2.2 V2 of PRORET. These limits have the trend of being aligned with their respective benchmarks in two occasions during the concession; the first ending in 2022 and the second ending in 2027.

41 Examples: ANEEL fines are reduced according to the curve of improvement of indicators of quality

42 Greater detail on the PRORET methodology about this subject may be found in chapter “Methodology”, Item PRORET (Rate Level), Sub-item “Operating Costs”, Topic “Efficient Cost Interval”, or PRORET submodule 2.2 V2

     yu Ceres )nteligência Financeira


 

The first occasion calculates the simple average of each one of these limits to distributors according to their regional groups, consisting of:

Northeast: Ceal, Cepisa, Celpe, Cemar, Coelba, Coelce, Cosern, Energisa Paraíba, and Energisa Ser-gipe;

North: Amazonas Energia, Eletrobras Roraima, Ceron, Eletroacre, Celpa, and Celtins.

Distributors with upper or lower limit at level worse than that of the group average achieve the group average by 2022.

At the second occasion, the average of private distributors of these regional groups is calculated, consisting of:

Northeast Private Benchmark: Celpe, Cemar, Coelce, Energisa Paraíba, and Energisa Sergipe;

North Private Benchmark: Celpa, Celtins.

It should be noted that, since Technical Note 149/2017-SRM/SGT/SRD/SFF/ANEEL defines the operating costs in force from 2017 to 2023, the efficient costs intervals defined in this section will only have an impact to the rate after the Rate Review of 2023.

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

yv


 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 

Voluntary Dismissal Plan (“PDV”)

Common Analyses to Distributors

The adjustment of personnel involves the decision between terminating the labor agreement with the collaborator versus offering him/her a voluntary dismissal against financial compensation. The values of each option are evaluated by the employee and by the company, and each will choose what is best when making the decision.

The evaluation begins with the definition of the public eligible to the PDV, considering only collaborators with at least 20 years44 of effective labor link with the company. This public represents approximately one-third45 of the total personnel of the evaluated distributors.

Labor link with the company means employees in the following categories46:

· ·

· ·

 

Employees in full-time positions; Assigned employees47;

Employees under license or with labor agreement suspended; Officer48.

 

In this sense, the following employees are not included in the base containing employees eligible to the PDV:

The payroll independent of enrollment on December 31, 2016, was evaluated to each distributor. Such evaluation resulted a termination value that is compared to the value if the employee applies to the PDV.

44 PID – Eletrobras Companies Dismissal Stimulation Plan – Commission of Mines and Energy – Chamber of Deputies –07/02/2013 45 PID Eletrobras calculated 36.4% of total eligible personnel 46 The categories are those presented in the due diligence of Human Resources performed by Service B, in “Product 8: Report on Distributor’s Human Resources Evaluation” of each distributor 47 According to Decree no. 4.050, dated April 12, 2001, which governs Article 93 of Act no. 8.112, dated 12/11/1990, these employees are part of the personnel of the conceding agency (the evaluated distributor is the conceding institution in such case) 48 Applicable only to officers with more than 20 years of career in the distributor and part of the effective personnel, not including officers required by other government agencies and branches or without link to the government, among others 49 According to Decree no. 4.050, dated April 12, 2001, which governs Article 93 of Act no. 8.112, dated 12/11/1990, these employees are part of the personnel of the conceding agency (the evaluated distributor is the receiving institution in such case)

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

zv


 

The PDV expense is entered as a nonrecurring item that occurs in two occasions, in its phase 1 on June 1, 2018, and in its phase 2 on June 2, 2019. Employees who leave the company reduce the PMSO personnel account. Such reduction may occur in two ways, either by means of reduction of the work position without the addition of a new employee and/or replacement with a new employee with a more competitive cost, which will return to the PMSO Personnel account.

The termination value is calculated based on the sum of the following accounts: base salary, additions50, overtime, prior notice, FGTS fine, vacation, and 13th salary, in which:

work51;

· FGTS is calculated with the multiplication of the monthly salary by 8%, by the number of months that the individual worked at the company until the base date of December 31, 2016. The fine of FGTS represent 50% of this value;· Vacation has total value per employee of half plus 1+(1/3) of a base salary related to December 2016. This value is divided by half because at this point of the period, half of the individuals have already used their vacation benefit.

The PDV is calculated as approximately 18 times the sum of the Base Salary, Additions, and Overtime of the collaborators in December 2016. This choice represents the value with which approximately one-third52 of individuals eligible to the PDV see it as financially interesting when compared to the involuntary dismissal.

Considering such eligible collaborators, those in two specific situations join the Plan:

1 – Individuals whose PDV is equal to or higher than the involuntary contractual termination value;

2 – Individuals whose PDV is greater than twice the sum of the base salary, additions, and overtime is greater than or equal to the termination value.

The individuals in situation 1 join and receive the PDV originally offered, the individuals in situation 2 joint and receive the PDV plus two times the sum of the base salary, additions, and overtime.

50 Premium for hazardous, dangerous and hardship

51 At every one year, 3 days of bonus are received as compensation, up to a maximum of 60 days or two months of compensation. Added to the prior notice compensated with maximum of 30 days, the total of receipts may totalize 90 days 52 PID – Eletrobras Dismissal Benefit Plan – Commission of Mines and Energy – Chamber of Deputies – 07/02/2013. Eletrobras estimated that the number of dismissals would represent 47% of the public eligible to its 2013 PID

     zw Ceres )nteligência Financeira


 



 

Offsetting for the Transgression of the Continuity Limits

Common Analyses to Distributors

ANEEL establishes limits for the continuity indicators. When surpassing these limits, a distributor shall financially offset the consumer. The compensation is automatic and shall be paid within up to 2 months after the month of calculation of the indicator (month of interruption)53.

Four individual continuity indicators are evaluated:

Such continuity of supply is evaluated by ANEEL by means of subdivisions of the distributors, known as Electrical Sets. Each set54 is associated with limits to the indicators. The limits of the DIC and FIC indicators are defined for monthly, quarterly, and annual periods. The DMIC indicator limit is defined for monthly periods. The DICRI indicator limit is defined to each interruption on critical day55.

The forecasting of these indicators may be divided into three parts: estimate on the amount of fines for 2017, history of adjustment of fines in terms of unit cost, and high level of unit cost.

The estimate of the amount of compensations for 2017 was made based on the Offsetting Indicators Base of ANEEL and of the SAMP consumption units, owned by ANEEL, for years 2014 to 2016.

After Ë$ ÈÙÙæØççÜáÚ 6458?645: the following indicator was created to each distributor, in separate: # ¼âáæèàãçÜâá ÎáÜçæ 6458?645:. This indicator represents to each distributor the sum of total offsetting

53      ANEEL
54      The Sets may have differentiated coverage, with sets covering part of a municipalities and sets covering multiple

municipalities

55 Regulation in Module 8 of te PRODIST Distribution Procedures

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

zy


 

occurred between 2014 and 2016, divided by the sum of the consumption units of the distributor between 2014 and 2016.

Following that, the average indicator of each distributor between 2014 and 2016 is multiplied by the forecast of the number of consumption units for 201756, achieving the offsetting value in 2017.

To calculate the history of adjustment of the fines in terms of unit costs, the evaluated companies were grouped in regional benchmarks:

To each regional group, private distributors »ËÅ 645: »ØáÖÛàÔåÞ ÈÙÙæØççÜáÚ benchmark, with the determination of the average of benchmark indicators57 # 645: »ØáÖÛàÔåÞ ¼âáæèàãçÜâá ÎáÜçæ, i.e., the Northeastern region considered Celpe, Cemar, Cosern, Energisa Paraíba and Energisa Sergipe; and the Northern region considered Celpa and Energisa Tocantins.

The evaluated distributors, whose offsetting per consumption unit were better than those verified in the benchmarks, maintained their (best) indicator throughout the period of concession. The evaluated distributors, whose indicators were worse than the benchmarks, improved their indicators until they reached the benchmark indicator level.

At last, the final level of unit cost of distributors is achieved in 5 years, until the first ordinary rate review after the beginning of the concession, in which distributors achieve the offsetting average per consumption unit of the benchmark groups.

These unit cost values, multiplied by the forecasted consumption units, generate to each year an offsetting value to be incurred by the evaluated distributors. These values are divided homogeneously to each month of each respective year in the evaluation.

The treatments of such offsetting occur with the definition of two documents:

56 The forecasting of consumption units is treated in Chapter “Economic-Financial Evaluation”, Item “Demand Forecasting”, Subitem “Consumption Unit Forecasting” 57 The average verified in 2016 was used for the benchmark distributors in detriment of the 2014-2016 average, due to data missing in relation to the benchmarks for the periods before 2016

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

zz


 

1 – Normative Resolution no. 748, dated November 29, 201658, which establishes the terms and conditions for the provision of the public service of electric power by Designated Distributor;

2 – Official Letter no. 113/2017-DR/ANEEL, Brasília, dated May 3, 2017, case: 48510.000502/2017-00, which determines the submittal of a draft of the new model of Agreement for the Concession of Public Service of Electric Power Distribution59.

The treatment given in relation to Document 1, in its Chapter I (Revenue), in its Article 5 established that: “The Designated Distributor will be authorized to assign the resources from offsetting for violation of the limits of quality related to the continuity of the service and the voltage level in permanent regimen as per items 2.13 of section 8.1 and 5.11 of section 8.2 of PRODIST’ Module 8 for investments in the area of concession. ”

These offset values are included in entry Obligations Linked to the Electric Power Service (Special Obligations), during the period of designation for the provision of the electric power public service, i.e., between 01/01/17 and 02/28/18.

In relation to Document 2, in its Clause Nineteen (Transitory Provisions), Subclause One, we have: “DISTRIBUTOR may allocate the resources from offsetting for violation of the limits of quality, related to the continuity of the services and the sampling measurements of the voltage level in permanent regime, for the investments in the area of concession, until the end of the fifth calendar year after the date of execution of the concession agreement. ”

I.e., between 03/01/2018 and 02/28/2023, the distributor may allocate such offsetting to make investments, according to the criteria below:

58 ANEEL     
59 As resolved by ANEEL Management in the 15th Ordinary Public Meeting, held on May 2, 2017     
 
 
Ceres )nteligência Financeira     z{  

 


 



 



 

Figure 10 – Offsetting Evolution of the Evaluated Distributor and Comparison with the Target

R$/UC Avaliada; R$/UC Avaliada;

R$/UC Avaliada

R$/UC Avaliada


$/UC AÀaliada; íð;  íô,óô

 

‘$/UC AÀaliada; îì;  íñ,íð

 

   

‘$/UC Bev hua k; îõ; íí,îñ

    ‘$/UC Bev hua k  ‘$/UAÀaliada 

 

Source: ANEEL – Offsetting Indicators and SAMP, Ceres Inteligência Financeira

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

{t


 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 

Other Revenues Forecasting

The revenues that have not been linked to the operational indicators will remain fixed and shall be corrected by the IGP-M during the period. The initial base date of these revenues was defined by the average of the entry in the past three years. Revenues related to operational indicators were forecast from the calculation of the average value in R$ per Consumption Units (“UC”) or Mega Watt hour (MWh), and based on the curve of the indicators, the factor is corrected based on the IGP-M. The definition of the factor was based on the average of the value of revenue in the past three years, over the average of the past three years of the operational indicator values.

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

srv


 

Regulatory Remuneration Base Flow

Regulatory Remuneration Base Calculation

To estimate the Regulatory Remuneration Base to be validated in 4CRTP by ANEEL, the additions, write-off, and adjustments of the regulatory agencies have been evaluated for the following lines:

(1) Fixed Assets in Use (New Replacement Value); (2) Maximum Usage Index; (3) Gross Special Operations; (4) Fully Depreciated Assets;

(5)      Gross Remuneration Base = (1)-(2)-(3)-(4);
(6)      Accumulated Depreciation;
(7)      Net AIS (Market Value in Use);
(8)      Depreciated Usage Index;
(9)      Remuneration Base Value (VBR);
(10)      Stockroom in Operation;
(11)      Deferred Charges;
(12)      Net Special Obligations;
(13)      Real Property and Easements;
(14)      Total Net Remuneration Base = (1)-(6)-(8)+(10)+(11)-(12)+(13);
(15)      RGR PLPT Balance;
(16)      RGR Balance Other Investments;
(17)      Depreciation Rate;
(18)      Regulatory Reintegration Quota = (5)*(17);
(19)      Effective WACC before Taxes;
(20)      RGR PLPT Rate;

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

srw


 

(21) RGR Rate Other Investments;

(22) Remuneration of Capital (RC) = (15)*(20)+(16)*(21)+[(14)-(15)-(16)]*(19).

Common Analyses to Distributors

Composition of the 4CRTP Regulatory Remuneration Base

The composition of the Regulatory Remuneration Base considered in the evaluation may be divided into two parts: Initial Base and ANEEL Adjustments61.

The Initial Base refers to the values that will compose the Regulatory Remuneration Base in the 4th Cycle of Periodical Rate Review (4CRTP). These values were determined by independent companies that conduct the Investment Evaluation (Incremental Base Review) and Armored Base of distributors between 3CRTP and 4CRTP, achieving a composition of part of the lines composing the Regulatory Remuneration Base of the 4CRTP to each distributor. This Initial Base takes into account the Complete Evaluation Report of Distributors.

Thus, the Complete Evaluation Reports, which include the Incremental Base Review and the Armored Base Review and that were considered in the evaluation of each distributor are:

Eletrobras Distribuição Rondônia: SETAPE – Report: “EDAC Executive Summary – Complete Base –Evaluation of the Electricity Assets of Acre – Eletrobras Distribuição Rondônia”, reference February 28, 2017;

Eletrobras Distribuição Alagoas: Levin – Complete Evaluation Report “Companhia Energética de Ala-goas – CEAL Project no. 2715-17745”, reference February 28, 2017;

Eletrobras Distribuição Amazonas: Levin – Complete Evaluation Report “Eletrobras Amazonas Energia – Project Levin no. 3174-17752”, reference February 28, 2017;

Eletrobras Distribuição Piauí: Levin - Complete Evaluation Report “Cepisa Eletrobras Distribuição Piauí Project Levin no. 3082-18367”, reference February 28, 2017;

Eletrobras Distribuição Rondônia: Deloitte – Equity Evaluation Report “Centrais Elétricas de Rondônia – Ceron”, reference February 28, 2017;

61 Performed by ANEEL inspection     
Ceres )nteligência Financeira     srx  

 


 

Eletrobras Distribuição Roraima: Levin – Complete Evaluation Report: “Eletrobras Distribuição Roraima Project no. 3012-17862” reference February 28, 2017.

Complete Evaluation of distributions shall hereinafter mean the aforementioned reports, related to the respective distributors.

During the evaluation procedure, the Distributors had two review reports of the Regulatory Remuneration Base. One to be presented to ANEEL, except atypical situations, with the Asset Evaluation Report, which reviews the Incremental Base of a CRTP to the other, considering money adjustments, additions, and write-off.

The second, the Complete Evaluation Report, considers this same Asset Evaluation Base and also reviews the Armored Base of 3CRTP, adjusted to the 4CRTP. This report was made and used in this work due to the important value of the assets of the distributors with potential to make part of their Armored Bases. However, it should be noted that the reviews on the Armored Base may have a smaller expectation of being accepted for they regard to specific cases when compared to the evaluations of the Incremental Base between CRTPs62.

The position of the Complete Evaluation Report, which has been considered in this work, includes the money adjustments of the 3CRTP Base, the additions and write-off between the 3CRTP and 4CRTP, and the review of the 3CRTP Armored Base, adjusted to the 4CRTP. The additions, write-off, and review of the Armored Base were included in its pertinent items by the evaluator of the Complete Report.

The evaluation of the Complete Report includes63 from item (1) Fixed Assets in Use (New Replacement Value) to (14) Total Net Remuneration Base = (1)-(6)-(8)+(10)+(11)-(12)+(13) and all were used in the composition of the initial Regulatory Remuneration Base of 4CRTP64.

Items (15) RGR PLPT Balance and (16) RGR Balance Other Investments were subject to money adjustment by the IPCA between the values obtained in 3CRTP and 4CRTP.

Finally, the other percentage items: (17) and (19) to (21) were maintained constant in relation to what has been verified in 3CRTP and subtotals (5), (7), (9), (14), (18) and (22) had their calculation logics.

62 To balance such smaller change of acceptance by the regulatory agency, the difference of the Reviewed Armored Base and the “Common” Armored Base (Armored Base of the Asset Evaluation Report) is set aside, which is greater than that applied to the Incremental Base, as detailed in the topics below 63 These same lines are also included for the Asset Evaluation Report that reviews the Incremental Base 64 Item 1 was adjusted by ANEEL’s disallowance rate, which implied the variation of the original values used in the Regulatory Remuneration Base of the economic-financial evaluation. The disallowance was applied in separate over the Incremental Base and the Armored Base

     sry Ceres )nteligência Financeira


 

ANEEL Adjustment on the Incremental and Armored Bases

ANEEL inspects the Incremental Base of assets and the Reviewed Armored Base65 between periodical rate cycles. This advent implies that the assets presented and/or reviewed may be considered as inapplicable and thus discarded by the regulatory agency. Thus, the incremental Base between the 3CRTP and 4CRTP and the Armored Base Review of this same period were applied percentages of Incremental Base Adjustments and Armored Base Adjustments, respectively.

The average adjustment (disallowance) of the group of distributors evaluated in the 3CRTP per region was applied over the Incremental Base that forms the Initial Base of 4CRTP66, or for cases in which the average adjustment is worse than that verified by the company, the adjustment of the distributor was maintained

The average adjustments (disallowance) of the group of distributors evaluated in the 3CRT per region were applied over the Reviewed Armored that forms the Initial Base of the 4CRTP. Such adjustment is applied once to each distributor in its Initial Base, i.e., it is not applied in the following years, differently to the Incremental Base. For the Reviewed Armored Base67, Northern companies were attributed a disallowance of 5.73% and Northeastern companies had disallowance of 5.01%.

From 2018 to 204868, the average adjustment of the benchmark private distributors69 is applied per region, obtained from the 3CRTP Incremental Base. A disallowance of 2.09% was considered to Northeastern, and of 2.83% to Northern companies.

Disallowances are considered as effective, i.e., they are not presented again in the future and considered as assets by ANEEL. This occurs due to two main reasons:

Remuneration Base, which makes part of the invested assets to be set aside.

The evaluated distributors, with the entry of a new concession holder, will seek and gradually achieve the adjustment level by ANEEL of the benchmark private distributors of their regions, which will cause in the average that their asset disallowances are reduced when compared to the period prior to the private concession holder.

65 In the specific cases in which they are reviewed and presented again, as occurring to the Evaluated Distributors 66 Provided by the investment evaluators between 3CRTP and 4CRTP

67 Armored Base of the Complete Report less Armored Base of the Incremental Report 68 From the period of a new concession

69 Benchmark distributors compared to those evaluated in the Northern region: Celpa and Cemar; Northeastern region: Celpe, Energisa Paraíba and Energisa Sergipe. Energisa Tocantins (Celtins) was discarded due to the atypical value (above 1.5 of standard deviation over the average of indicators) of ANEEL adjustment for the period considered when compared to the other private distributors

     srz Ceres )nteligência Financeira


 

Finally, the application of the disallowance of the Remuneration Base presented by the distributors is levied upon item (1) Fixed Assets in Use (New Replacement Value) and consequently affects the items connected thereto. This will make the values considered in the evaluation to be different of the asset evaluation report in the magnitude of the disallowance applied to each distributor.

Regulatory Remuneration Base Components Forecasting

Inflation adjustments, additions, and write-off of assets shall occur for the years after the Initial Base of 4CRTP, which are considered in the evaluation until the final period of the concession.

Money Adjustments

The money adjustments of the Regulatory Remuneration Base may be subdivided into four detailed subgroups, as follows:

Items Monetarily Adjusted Directly; Items Consisting of Formulas; Percentage Items; Other Items.

It should also be noted that the values of the rates to which such adjustments occur may be found in section “Economic-Financial Evaluation”, in chapter “Macroeconomic Forecasting”.

The items of the Regulatory Remuneration Base are monetarily adjusted70 by the IPCA71: (1) Fixed Assets in Use (New Replacement Value); (3) Special Gross Obligations; (10) Stockroom in Operation; (11) Deferred Asset; (13) Real Properties and Easements;

70 The IPCA is applied directly to the value observed from the Initial Base, also considering their increments and write-off throughout the evaluation period 71 National Price Index to the Broad Consumer – IBGE, according to PRORET Submodule 2.3 V5, review 2.0, with date of effectiveness on 11/23/2015 and after, according to Normative Review no. 686/2015, dated 11/23/2015

     sr{ Ceres )nteligência Financeira


 

(15) RGR PLPT Balance;

(16) RGR Balance Other Investments.

Items consisting of formulas, i.e., using the lines of the Regulatory Remuneration Base to be calculated, are monetarily updated indirectly, using the calculations over the items over which the accounts are realized, already monetarily updated. They are:

(5)      Gross Remuneration Base = (1)-(2)-(3)-(4);
(7)      Net AIS (Market Value in Use);
(9)      Remuneration Base Value (VBR);
(14)      Total Net Remuneration Base = (1)-(6)-(8)+(10)+(11)-(12)+(13);
(18)      Regulatory Reintegration Quota = (5)*(17);
(22)      Remuneration of Capital (RC) = (15)*(20)+(16)*(21)+[(14)-(15)-(16)]*(19).

The percentage items are not monetarily adjusted by any index. These items are: (17) Depreciation Rate; (19) Effective WACC before Taxes; (20) RGR PLPT Rate; (21) RGR Rate Other Investments.

Finally, items net of their depreciations, depreciations, and complete usage rates are treated specifically and have their money adjustments obtained indirectly.

Item (2) Complete Usage Rate is obtained by multiplying item (1) Fixed Assets in Use (New Replacement Value)72 by the ratio of the values of the Initial Base between item (2) over item (1).

Item (4) Fully Depreciated Assets is obtained by multiplying item (1) Fixed Assets in Use (New Replacement Value)73 by the ratio between the Accumulated Fully Depreciated Assets over the Accumulated VNR, both items of the ratio are in the same monetary date.

72 Monetarily adjusted by the IPCA as highlighted above 73 Monetarily adjusted by the IPCA as highlighted above

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

 

ssr

 


 

On its turn, the (6) Accumulated Depreciation is found by multiplying item (1) Fixed Assets in Use (New Replacement Value) by the ratio between the accumulated depreciation and the Accumulated VNR, with both last items being in the same monetary date.

Item (8) Depreciated Usage Rate is also monetarily adjusted indirectly, multiplying item (2) Complete Usage Rate74 by the subtraction of one by the ratio between the Depreciation of the Accumulated Usage Rate over the Accumulated Gross Usage Rate, with both items of the ratio being in the same monetary date.

Finally, item (12) Net Special Obligations75 is obtained by multiplying item (3) Special Gross Obligations by one less the ratio between the Depreciation of the Accumulated Special Obligation over the Accumulated Gross Special Obligation, with both items of the ratio being in the same monetary date.

Increments and Composition of the Regulatory Remuneration Base Lines

The assets will have increments throughout the period of concession, which are net of write-off, and that are contemplated in the economic-financial evaluation of distributors.

The items of the Regulatory Remuneration Base are affected differently by these increments and may be divided into five groups:

Items with Direct Increments; Items Consisting of Formulas; Percentage Items; Items without Increments; Other Items.

Part of the items of the Regulatory Remuneration Base are incremented directly, as detailed below: (1) Fixed Assets in Use (New Replacement Value); (3) Special Gross Obligations; (10) Stockroom in Operation; (13) Real Properties and Easements;

74 Monetarily adjusted by the IPCA as highlighted above 75 Monetarily adjusted by the IPCA as highlighted above

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

 

sss

 


 

Items (1), (10) and (13) have their increment values of the Regulatory Remuneration Base detailed in section “Economic-Financial Evaluation” of this document, in section “Investment Forecasting” and, on its turn item (3), is detailed in chapter “Special Obligations”.

Items consisting of formulas, i.e., using the lines of the Regulatory Remuneration Base to be calculated, are monetarily updated indirectly, using the calculations over the items over which the accounts are realized, already with their respective increments. The composition of the formulas of these items is the same according to the provisions established by the regulatory agency76, these items being:

(5)      Gross Remuneration Base = (1)-(2)-(3)-(4);
(7)      Net AIS (Market Value in Use);
(9)      Remuneration Base Value (VBR);
(14)      Total Net Remuneration Base = (1)-(6)-(8)+(10)+(11)-(12)+(13);
(18)      Regulatory Reintegration Quota = (5)*(17);
(22)      Remuneration of Capital (RC) = (15)*(20)+(16)*(21)+[(14)-(15)-(16)]*(19).

Percentage items are not affected by increments. Their percentages are established by regulation and the values verified in the 3CRTP of each evaluated distributor are kept constant. These items are:

(17) Depreciation Rate;

(19) Effective WACC before Taxes; (20) RGR PLPT Rate; (21) RGR Rate Other Investments.

These percentages are maintained unaltered throughout the entire valuation period.

Part of the items of the Regulatory Remuneration Base do not have increments, being only adjusted monetarily by the IPCA, considering the 3CRTP values allocated to each distributor.

(11) Deferred Asset;

(15) RGR PLPT Balance;

76 ANEEL PRORET Submodule 2.3, V2.0, of Normative Resolution no. 686/2015, dated 11/23/2015     
Ceres )nteligência Financeira     sst  

 


 

(16) RGR Balance Other Investments.

At last, the other items of the Regulatory Remuneration Base have particularities related to their composition and their increments, which are not related to the groups above.

Item (2) Complete Usage Rate is obtained by multiplying item (1) Fixed Assets in Use (New Replacement Value)77 of the period for the ratio of the values of the Initial Base between item (2) over item (1).

Item (4) Fully Depreciated Assets is detailed in the topic below “Fully Depreciated Assets”, of this same Chapter “Regulatory Remuneration Base Flow”.

Item (6) Accumulated Depreciation is calculated from the sum of the depreciation of the Initial Base, summed to the depreciation of the Incremental Base throughout the period of concession. Greater detail of the depreciation may be found in Chapter “Investment Forecasting” of this same section.

Item (8) Depreciated Usage Rate is calculated from the multiplication of item (2) Complete Usage Rate by one less the ratio between the Depreciation of the Accumulated Usage Rate over the Accumulated Gross Usage Rate, considering the components of the ratio in the same monetary date.

Finally, item (12) Net Special Obligations is obtained with the multiplication of item (3) Special Gross Obligations, by one less the ratio between the Depreciation of the Accumulated Special Obligation and the Special Gross Obligation, considering the components of the ratio in the same monetary date.

77 Monetarily adjusted by the IPCA as highlighted above     
Ceres )nteligência Financeira     ssu  

 


 



 



 



 



 



 



 

Considerations on Assets in Course

It should be noted that this work does not incorporate the Fixed Assets positions in course of the enterprise to the Remuneration Base.

The evaluation reports of the Remuneration Base did not perform any treatment regarding the items of Fixed Assets in Course, due to the fact that this type of asset is not part of the scope of contract. In addition, the accounting position from the audited Financial Statements of the evaluated Distributor does not allow the acknowledgement of relevant particularities for the amounts in course to be considered.

Thus, based on the reports of the evaluators of the Remuneration Base and the audited Financial Statements, the following information cannot be extracted:

These restrictions impede the estimate of the effective impact that the Fixed Assets in Course may generated to the Initial Remuneration Base and, consequently, to the respective tax impact.

Since the minimum set of premises to include these assets in course in the Remuneration Base was not met, it is not possible to obtain reasonable consistency regarding to

Thus, the effects of Fixed Assets in Course to the Remuneration Base were not included in this economic-financial evaluation document. The investor shall then analyze the criterion of adoption of the parameters to be considered.

Finally, for Eletrobras Distribuição Rondônia, it is highlighted the Equity Evaluation Report “Centrais Elétricas de Rondônia – CERON”, performed by Deloitte, which brings the balance for this Fixed Asset in Progress, as observed in the table below.

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

str


 



 



 

Special Obligations

Common Analyses to Distributors

The Special Obligations consist of resources related to: financial participation of the consumer, budget appropriation of the Government, federal, state, and municipal charges, and charges of special credits related to the investments applied to the enterprises linked to the concession.

The Special Obligations were calculated in two periods: The first for Dec/16, which used the position of Dec/16 made available by the evaluated distributors. The second from 2017, which excluded from the analytical bases of Special Obligations all nonrecurring items.

Bases with different levels of detail were provided, some distributors had specific treatments to define the recurring items. “Luz para Todos” Program (PLPT)84 is considered as a recurring item during its period of effectiveness for which distributors have expense forecasting (until 2019).

For the other Special Obligations, recurring items have been considered as those that in the past 5 years presented at least three variations of value, or that in the past three years had at least two years with variation of value.

84 Detailed in the Investments chapter     

 


 



 

Indicators of Quality

Analysis of Indicators of Quality

The levels of the indicators of quality achieved by the evaluated distributors throughout the concession period (03/01/2018 to 02/28/2048) were estimated, the targets established by ANEEL in the same period were forecasted.

Seven indicators were evaluated:

DEC (Equivalent Duration of Interruption per Consumption Unit); FEC (Equivalent Frequency of Interruption per Consumption Unit); FER (Equivalent Frequency of Complaint); IASC (ANEEL Rating of Consumer Satisfaction); IAb (Telephone Support Abandonment Rate); ICO (Indicator of Busy Calls of Telephone Support).

These indicators affect the Component of Quality of Service Q of Factor X and may influence the values of Installment B of distributors, in accordance with the coverage or not of the regulatory targets established by ANEEL. The levels of coverage or not of each distributor are compared with the results obtained by the distributors of a same group85. A distributor may be between the 25% best or worst companies to whether achieve or not the target, or between the other 75% that whether achieve or not the levels established by ANEEL.

Summing all indicators, the addition or reduction value of Installment B may be of 2%, depending on the level of coverage of ANEEL targets by the distributor in each indicator, also compared to the other distributors of its group.

The equations and parameters for the classes of each indicator were used in accordance with ANEEL’s PRORET 2.5 V2.0.

The weights equivalent to each indicator are presented below:

85 Groups are defined by size of company, as per Submodule 2.5 V2.0 of ANEEL’s PRORET     
Ceres )nteligência Financeira     stw  

 


 



 

calendar year, such difference shall be invested doubled in the concession and included in entry Obligations Linked to the Electric Power Public Service (Special Obligations).”

DEC and FEC

Common Analyses to Distributors

Forecasting of Indicators Performed by the Companies

The indicator of DEC (Equivalent Duration of Interruption per Consumption Unit) consists of the time in which a Consumption Unit (UC) remained without electric power for a certain period and the indicator of FEC (Equivalent Frequency of Interruption per Consumption Unit) consists of the number of times that an UV had no electricity for a given period.

The analyses89 may be divided into three parts: Starting Point, Indicator Variation Rate and ANEEL Limit.

The starting point consists of the DEC and FEC estimates for 2017 and is the result of data obtained for 201690 and adjusted according to ANEEL’s target of reduction for 201791 of DECi and FECi92. Based on the history of variation of distributors, the assumption is that distributors seek and achieve the DECi reduction percentage for the DEC as a whole, and, similarly, achieve the FECi percentage for the FEC as a whole.

The rate of variation of the indicator is based on the rate of variation realized by the private benchmark93. The DEC and FEC levels of the evaluated company in 2015 are evaluated and compared with the history of the private company, identifying 1993 and 2015 the most recent period in which the company had a rate near that of the evaluated company.

With the evaluation of this period of similarity of indicators, the extension of the period from this point to 2015 is evaluated, followed by the calculation of the annual geometric mean of variation of the indicator of the private company. Such indicator is initially applied in the distributors evaluated between 2018 and 2022, including both.

89 DEC and FEC Analyses are carried out in separate but have common constructive logical structure 90 Annual DEC and FEC of the case of collective indicators of continuity of ANEEL

91 Procedure 48500.004245/2016-77, Vote, Table 1 – Limit for the end of 2017 for operational management. Variation % between the Determined DECi and its Limit for 2017 and the Determined FECi and its Limit for 2017 92 Internal DEC and Internal FEC, indicators that accompany the interruptions occurred in the distribution system of internal origin 93 Companies with geographic proximity to the evaluated distributors

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

sty


 

The assumed premise is that the privatization will cause the evaluated company to present internal changes that will impact the improvement of the indicator, aligned with the improvement verified by other distributors, also private.

Between 2023 and 2027, the speed in which distributors adjust94 to achieve the limits established by ANEEL95 for 2027. This is possible due to the maturity that the new concession holder gains throughout the period in the management of the company, which enables a degree of improvement that is faster than that verified in the recent period by the benchmark private distributors. Subsequently, the speeds adjust to the speed verified by the private distributors.

The evolution of the indicators occurs until the distributor achieves the DEC and FEC levels of the benchmark distributors for 2015 and remain constant until the end of the concession, on February 28, 2048.

At last, it should be noted that although achieving the global regulatory DEC and FEC levels, the distributor may offset consumer in case of violation of the individual limits. Such offsetting is treated in section “Offsetting for the Transgression of the Continuity Limits”.

Forecasting of Limits Established by ANEEL

The definitions of the limits established by ANEEL are based on those established between 2014 and 2016 by ANEEL to each distributor. To 2017, the limit used was that established by no. 88/2017-SRM/SGT/SRD/ ANEEL, dated May 24, 2017, case: 48500.002667/2017-99, until November to Eletro-acre, Amazonas Energia, Ceron and Eletrobras Roraima, and until September to Cepisa and Ceal, for it consists of the limit established to distributors for the year.

The subsequent months used the limits established in Technical Note no. 149/2017-SEM/SGT/SRD/SFF/ANEEL, dated September 8, 2017, procedure 48500.002667/2017-99, thus achieving a weighted limit for 2017 between both technical notes.

Years from 2018 to 202396 considered the provisions of Technical Note no. 149/2017-SEM/SGT/SRD/SFF/ANEEL, dated September 8, 2017, procedure 48500.002667/2017-99, related to the definitions of regulatory DEC and FEC limits for the designated distributors, which are: Eletroacre, Ceal, Amazonas Energia, Cepisa, Ceron and Eletrobras Roraima97.

94 Approximate speed of that verified by the private companies, to be presented in the specific analysis to each distributor 95 Estimate by Ceres as exposed below 96 Until the month of the ordinary rate review. To facilitate the view, the values are presented with annual references where 2022 will represent the indicator until the month of review 97 The limit includes Boa Vista (Capital) and CERR (Countryside), with the global limits of each one, for DEC, are of 29.75 and 99.84, respectively, while for FEC are of 54.65 and 68.65

     stz Ceres )nteligência Financeira


 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 

Benchmark Group) and so successively until the indicator achieves the IASC targets defined by ANEEL for the distributors evaluated for the years as of 2017.

The IASC target used is the minimum value of 70110 from 2017 and sustained until the end of the concession. When achieving the targets of the period, the distributors stabilize their efforts of improvement of the indicator. In the long term, companies tend to have indicators equal to the targets estimated to ANEEL. This makes companies tend to achieve the other 75% of the distributors that achieve the IASC targets.

Specific Analyses of Distributor

Ceron achieves the IASC ANEEL limits throughout the entire period of concession, which makes the distributor to be part of the 75% that achieves the target.

Table 97 - IASC Indicator – Realized/Forecasted x Target 1 of 3

Data   îìíñ   îìíò   îìíó   îìíô   îìíõ   îìîì   îìîí   îìîî   îìîï   îìîð   îìîñ 
‘ealized   ñî.íñ  òì.óò   òì.óð  òò.ôñ  óì.ìì  óì.ìì  óì.ìì  óì.ìì   óì.ìì   óì.ìì  óì.ìì 
ANEEL Liuit   óì.ìì  óì.ìì   óì.ìì  óì.ìì  óì.ìì  óì.ìì  óì.ìì  óì.ìì   óì.ìì   óì.ìì  óì.ìì 
”%   îò%  íï%   íï%  ñ%  ì%  ì%  ì%  ì%   ì%   ì%  ì% 
Source: ANEEL, Ceres Inteligência Financeira
Table 98 - IASC Indicator – Realized/Forecasted x Target 2 of 3

Data   îìîò   îìîó   îìîô   îìîõ   îìïì   îìïí   îìïî   îìïï   îìïð   îìïñ   îìïò 
‘ealized   óì.ìì  óì.ìì   óì.ìì  óì.ìì  óì.ìì  óì.ìì  óì.ìì  óì.ìì   óì.ìì   óì.ìì  óì.ìì 
ANEEL Liuit   óì.ìì  óì.ìì   óì.ìì  óì.ìì  óì.ìì  óì.ìì  óì.ìì  óì.ìì   óì.ìì   óì.ìì  óì.ìì 
”%   ì%  ì%   ì%  ì%  ì%  ì%  ì%  ì%   ì%   ì%  ì% 
Source: ANEEL, Ceres Inteligência Financeira

 

110 PRORET ANEEL Submodule 2.5A     
Ceres )nteligência Financeira     suz  

 


 



 



 



 



 



 

IAb

Analyses Common to the Distributors

The IAb (Indicator of Telephone Service Abandonment) consists of the list of calls abandoned by the calls received less abandoned.

The IAb base of the distributors evaluated was reviewed and they noticed that the indicators improved from 2010 and 2016, reaching in 2016 the minimum levels required by ANEEL of 4%112. Therefore, they deemed that in 2017 the distributors evaluated have kept the levels of indicator in 2016.

The IAb targets of ANEEL have been perpetuated from 2017 to 2047. The companies have kept the levels established by ANEEL and become part of the group of remaining distributors – 75% - that reached the target in the period.

Specific Analyses of the Distributor

Ceron achieves the IAb ANEEL limits throughout the entire period of concession, which makes the distributor to be part of the 75% that achieves the target.

Table 111 - IAb Indicator – Realized/Forecast x Target 1 of 3

Data   îìíñ   îìíò   îìíó   îìíô   îìíõ   îìîì   îìîí   îìîî  îìîï   îìîð   îìîñ 
‘ealized   í.ïô  í.óò   í.óò  í.óò  í.óò  í.óò  í.óò  í.óò  í.óò   í.óò  í.óò 
ANEEL Liuit   ð.ìì  ð.ìì   ð.ìì  ð.ìì  ð.ìì  ð.ìì  ð.ìì  ð.ìì  ð.ìì   ð.ìì  ð.ìì 
”%   òò%  ñò%   ñò%  ñò%  ñò%  ñò%  ñò%  ñò%  ñò%   ñò%  ñò% 
Source: ANEEL, Ceres Inteligência Financeira
Table 112 - IAb Indicator – Realized/Forecast x Target 2 of 3

 


‘ealized   í.óò  í.óò   í.óò  í.óò  í.óò  í.óò  í.óò  í.óò   í.óò   í.óò  í.óò 
ANEEL Liuit   ð.ìì  ð.ìì   ð.ìì  ð.ìì  ð.ìì  ð.ìì  ð.ìì  ð.ìì   ð.ìì   ð.ìì  ð.ìì 
”%   ñò%  ñò%   ñò%  ñò%  ñò%  ñò%  ñò%  ñò%   ñò%   ñò%  ñò% 
Source: ANEEL, Ceres Inteligência Financeira

 

112 PRORET ANEEL Submodule 2.5A     
Ceres )nteligência Financeira     svv  

 


 



 



 

ICO

Analyses Common to the Distributors

The ICO (Busy Call Indicator of Telephone Service) refers to the list of busy calls over offered.

Its analysis can be divided into three main parts: Starting Point, Indicator Variation Rate and Target.

The starting point consists of the ICO estimates for 2017, which derives from indicator data of each distributor obtained from 2010 to 2016113. The average is calculated by excluding the missing data114 from 2010 to 2016.

The indicator variation rate from 2018 to 2022 is calculated based on the variation of indicators obtained by the groups of benchmark of the outsourced distributors115. By using the indicators from 2010 to 2016 of each benchmark, the simple indicator average is calculated for each group established. The joint geometric average is applied per group from 2012 to 2016116, in which we have (Indicator 2017)*(1+Variation Rate of the Group of Benchmarks 2012-2016) and so on until the indicator reaches the targets defined by ANEEL of the distributors evaluated for the years starting in 2017 of ICO.

Between 2023 and 2027 the distributor speed is adjusted117 to reach the target established by ANEEL118 for 2027. This is possible thanks to the maturity that the new concessionaire acquires during the period in the company management, which allows them an improvement rate faster than that verified in the recent period by the benchmark of the outsourced distributors. Subsequently, the speeds are adjusted to the speed verified by the outsourced distributors.

The ICO target used is the maximum amount of 2%119 from 2015, which is kept to the concession end. While reaching the targets of the period, the distributors stabilized their improvement efforts of the indicator. In the long run, the companies tend to show indicators equal to the targets estimated for ANEEL. This leads the companies to reach the remaining 75% of distributors that reach the ICO targets.

Specific Analyses of the Distributor

Ceron achieves the ICO ANEEL limits from 2027 and keep reaching them throughout the entire period of concession, which makes the distributor to be part of the 75% that achieves the target from that point.

113 ICO base of Distribution Indicators of ANEEL

114 The year of 2016 and other points along the historical series present missing data, reason which the average reference checked in the period was used 115 Companies geographically located near the distributors evaluated 116 The interval with longer historic period was used, without missing data among the benchmark outsourced 117 Speed near that checked by the outsourced companies will be presented in the specific analysis for each distributor

118 Estimated by Ceres as it will be addressed below 119 PRORET ANEEL Submodule 2.5A

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

 

svy

 


 



 



 



 

The PTF values, Annual average variation of the distributor market and Annual average variation of the number of consuming units were maintained during concession, starting May/15, date on which they became valid.

The valuesDMWh(i) andDUC(i) were calculated according to the forecast of demand and specific consuming units per consumption class of each distributor evaluated and are discussed in the chapter of Demand Forecast of this document.

Finally, we outline that according to the official letter no. 113/2017-DR/ANEEL121 in its “Clause Nineteen – Transitory Provisions”, Subclause Three, the value of Pd component will be defined as zero122 between the agreement execution ate and the first subsequent ordinary tariff revision.

Q Factor

The Q Component of the Factor by portions technical and commercial quality according to the following equation:

3

= 0.70.

36echnical

+ 0.30.

3%KIm N?E= l.

The technical component is composed by the indicators DEC (Equivalent Duration of Interruption per Consuming Unit) and FEC (Equivalent Frequency of Interruption per Consuming Unit).

The commercial component is composed by the indicators of FER (Equivalent Frequency of Complaint), IASC (ANEEL Index of Consumer’s Satisfaction), INS (Telephone Service Level Indicator), IAb (Telephone Service Abandonment Indicator) and ICO (Busy Call Indicator of Telephone Service).

These commercial and technical indicators are discussed in further details in the chapter “Quality Indicators” and take into account, among others, the provisions of the Technical Note 149/2017-SEM/SGT/SRD/SFF/ANEEL, of September 8, 2017, case 48500.002667/2017-99.

Considerations about the T Factor

The description and dates used for this component are discussed in the chapter that addresses Operating Costs and PMSO (Personnel, Materials, Services of Outsources and Others). We outline that during evaluation, between the agreement execution and the first ordinary subsequent tariff revision, its value was deemed zero123, as provided in the Technical Note no. 88/2017-SEM/SGT/SRD/ANEEL124.

121 On May 3, 2017, case 48510.000502/2017-00   
122 Also provided in the Technical Note 149/2017-SEM/SGT/SRD/SFF/ANEEL on September 8, 2017, case   
48500.002667/2017-99   
123 Also provided in the Technical Note 149/2017-SEM/SGT/SRD/SFF/ANEEL on September 8, 2017, case   
48500.002667/2017-99   
124 On May 24, 2017, case 48500.002667/2017-99   
 
 
Ceres )nteligência Financeira   sws  

 


 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 

Loss Forecast

The electrical distribution system losses are divided into two categories: Basic Network losses and Distribution Network losses. It its turn, the Distribution Network losses are divided into Technical Losses and Non-Technical Losses.

The Basic Network loss consists of the energy loss in the physical processes occurring between generation to the distribution system. Such loss costs are divided equally between the generator and distributor, with each company assuming 50% of the Basic Network loss. The Technical Loss consists of the energy loss inherent to the electric power transport, voltage transformation and energy measurement. They can be deemed as the consumption of equipment employed in the energy distribution. The Non-Technical Losses correspond to the difference between total losses and technical losses. The remaining losses are associated to the distribution system (e.g; energy robbery, measurement error, invoicing error, etc.). These are losses related to the commercial management of the distributors.

The model is forecast in loss percentage in the energy invoiced (deemed equivalent to the energy injected in the forecasts of this work) for the Technical Losses and in the Basic Network and loss percentage in the low voltage market for the Non-Technical Losses, as established by the submodule 2.6 of PRORET.

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

sxt


 

Technical Loss and Loss in the Basic Grid

The regulatory loss consists in the amounts of efficient loss defined as a target for the distributor in the tariff review period. It has been assumed that the real Loss in the Basic Grid and the Technical Loss will be equal to the calculated regulatory ones. The Technical Loss was calculated by ANEEL128 in the last tariff review cycle in 2013, and considered the physical characteristics of the distribution system and the distributors´ equipment. The real Loss in the Basic Grid is calculated monthly by CCEE129 and the regulatory amount is provided by the average of the measurements in the last 12 months and the amount from the last tariff adjustment in 2016 was used. As the amounts of Technical Loss and Loss in the Basic Grid are not related to the distributor´s activity and its distributed power administration, but to physical processes and the characteristics of the used equipment, it was defined that for both indicators, the regulatory and the real amounts will remain constant and equal along the period.

Table 140 – Level of Technical Loss and Loss in the Basic Grid.

% Loss/ Ivje ted PoÁeŒ

    Te hvi al Loss   Loss iv the Basi  GŒid 
    íí.íñ%   î.ðò% 

 

Source: Ceres Inteligência Financeira based on data from CCEE and ANEEL

128 Data obtained from SAMP, disclosure source defined by submodule 2.6 of PRORET 129 Data available in SPARTA, file from the last tariff adjustment (2016)

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

 

sxu

 


 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 

Amount of Installment “A” (VPA1), considering the effective conditions on the DRP and the Benchmark Market, is calculated by considering the Off-Balance Sheet Account of Variation of Amounts for Items of Installment A (CVA), which is adjusted by SELIC and includes the electric power related to the Isolated Systems: the average cost of power traded in the Regulated Contracting Territory (ACR), Transmission Costs and sectorial charges, with the amounts of the tables below.

Solvency Indicators

Draft of the new template for Agreement for Public Service Concession of Electric Power Distribution, issued on May 3, 2017 by Aneel and under the liability of the CEO, Romeu Donizete Rufino, sets forth, in its attachment II, the efficiency parameters in the economic and financial management, as follows:

Compliance with the Efficiency Criterion in relation to the Economic-Financial Management shall depend upon compliance with the following inequalities:

(I)      LAJIDA ≥ 0 (until the end of 2020 and maintained in 2021, 2022 and 2023);
(II)      [LAJIDA (-) QRR] ≥ 0 (until the end of 2021 and maintained in 2022 and 2023);
(III)      {Net Debt / [LAJIDA (-) QRR]} ≤ 1 / (0,8 * SELIC) (until the end of 2022); and
(IV)      {Net Debt / [LAJIDA (-) QRR]} ≤ 1 / (1,11 * SELIC) (until the end of 2023).

The first set of analyzed data corresponds to the amounts realized throughout 2019, since inequalities are verified as of the year following the agreement effective period. In such case, non-compliance with one of the conditions provided above, for two following years, as of 2019, shall lead to terminated concession, as exposed in clause eighteen of the agreement.

134 Technical Record No. 380/2016-SGT/ANEEL     
Ceres )nteligência Financeira     syu  

 


 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 

Final Considerations

The fair value of the business for the Enterprise Value indicates R$ 1,524,512,239.58 to Eletrobras Distribuição Rondônia and granting of new Concession Agreement. However, the debts, liabilities with suppliers and contingencies cause the company’s Valuation to be negative at R$ 1,636,209,285.18.

Such assertion assumes that the company sale and granting of new concession would only take effect if proper conditions are structured for such investor, such as transferring existing liabilities to the current shareholder.

The Non-Recoverable Revenues, the Losses, the X Factor, the PMSO and more strongly the Power Purchase for Ceron generate current amounts which decrease the business value. Although, considering the R$ 968,555,620.00 in taxes recoverable, there is great condition to reduce such companies’ costs, business governance and management are evolved, either as to productivity, quality, continuity, among other Indicators, yet, in view of the estimated track record, such transaction shall not be sufficient to neutralize all existing liabilities at Ceron.

Analysis by multiples showed that the appraised company has an indicated amount lower than that of the compared private companies, resulting from the forecast conditions, from the regulatory expectation and from the need for forceful changes in its indicators,

Ceres )nteligência Financeira

trx


 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 


To:

Banco Nacional de Desenvolvimento Econômico e Social (Brazilian Development Bank - "BNDES") Av. República do Chile nº 100 Rio de Janeiro - RJ

Attention: Mrs. Lidiane Delesderrier Gonçalves - Manager of Contract OCS 028/2017 September 18, 2017 Dear,

Pursuant to service contract OCS 028/201 7 (“the Contract") signed February 14, 2017 by BNDES and Consortium Mais Energia B (“the Consortium”), this report presents the result of our analysis related to the Privatization of Eletrobras System Distributors.

The result of our work is detailed in this document titled “Product 10: Final Valuation Report” (“the Report”) and provides a financial valuation as of September 18, 2017, of Centrais Elétricas de Rondônia S.A.

As contemplated under the Contract, the sole purpose of the Report is to provide a valuation of Centrais Elétricas de Rondônia S.A. to BNDES, the institution responsible under Decree 8.893 for the privatization process of the Eletrobras System Distributors.

If the Report is shared with third parties, it must be provided in full so that the applicable disclaimers and limitations are effectively communicated.

Sincerely,


 

  Summary   
1.  Introduction  9 
1.1.    Context  9 
1.2.    Purpose  9 
1.3.    Summary of the premises  10 
1.4.    Valuation  11 
2.  History and Characteristics of the Concession  12 
2.1.    Brief History  12 
2.2.    Description of the Operating Area  13 
2.3.    Socioeconomics  13 
2.4.    Transportation Infrastructure  14 
2.5.    Climate  17 
2.6.    Geoelectric Characteristics  19 
3.  Market and Consumption Unit Forecasts  24 
3.1.    Market and Consumption Units (UC) History  24 
3.2.    Market Forecast Methodology  26 
3.3.    Market Forecast Results  33 
3.4.    Consumption Unit Forecast Methodology  40 
3.5.    UC Forecast Results  42 
4.  Methodologies, Premises, and Results of Readjustment and Reviews  43 
4.1.    Overview  43 
4.1.1.  Regulation by incentives  43 
4.1.2.  Recent changes to the contractual and tariff rules of the electric power distribution.  47 
4.2.    Methodologies, Premises and Results for the Definition of Portion A  64 
4.2.1.  Purchase of Power and Tariff Flags  64 
4.2.2.  Charges  65 
4.2.3.  Transport Costs  67 
4.2.4.  Financial  67 
4.2.5.  Technical Losses (“PT”)  68 
4.2.6.  Non-Technical Losses (“PNT”)  74 
4.2.7.  Default  89 
4.3.    Methodology for definition of Portion B  90 
4.3.1.  Regulatory WACC  92 
4.3.2.  Operational costs and Factor Xt  94 
4.3.3.  Xpd and Xq Factor  108 
4.3.4.  Demand Surplus, Reactive Excess and Other Revenues  113 
4.3.5.  DEC and FEC Indicators  115 
4.3.6.  Compensations  126 
4.3.7.  Long-Term Investment  130 
4.3.8.  Remuneration Base  136 

 

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

3


 

4.3.9. Tariff Transactions  151 
5.  Analysis of the supplier  155 
5.1.  Historical Financial Statements  155 
6.  Valuation  161 
6.1.  Methodology  161 
6.2.  Discount Rate  161 
6.3.  Assumptions  163 
6.4.  Valuation by Multiples  171 
6.5.  Conclusion  175 
6.6.  Sensitivity  183 
7.  References  184 
ANNEX I Extent of Responsibility  185 
APPENDIX A Socioeconomic Characterization of the Concession Area of Ceron  186 
APPENDIX B Methodologies of Market Projection  189 
APPENDIX C - Selection of Models for Market Projections  193 
APPENDIX D Alternative Models Not Selected  195 
APPENDIX E Models of the Assessed DEC and FEC Indicators  198 
APPENDIX F Concepts and Methods of BRR Assessment  199 
APPENDIX G – Company’s Debt Overview  202 
 
 
 
  Figures   
 
Figure 1 - Macroeconomic Assumptions  11 
Figure 2 State of Rondônia (capital highlighted)  13 
Figure 3 Federal and State Highways of Rondônia  17 
Figure 4 Total rainfall for Brazil  18 
Figure 5 Average temperatures observed to the Brazilian states  19 
Figure 6 National Interconnected System  21 
Figure 7 Regional representation based on connection to Basic Network  22 
Figure 8 Map of the State with the distribution of the substations  23 
Figure 9 GDP real growth forecasts (% p.a.) of external sources  30 
Figure 10 Schematic drawing for the total forecast of Consumption Unit  40 
Figure 11 Price cap functioning  44 
Figure 12 Yardstick Competition Functioning  45 
Figure 13Example of Periodicity of Periodical Tariff Reviews and Tariff Readjustments  45 
Figure 14 Timeline with changes to the PRORET.  49 
Figure 15Timeline with recent rulings related to the renewal of the concessions.  52 
Figure 16 Trajectory of reduction  79 
Figure 17 - Periodicity of Forecast of Regulatory Non-Technical Losses Targets  83 
Figure 18 - Dynamics of the Regulatory PNT Target Forecast  85 
Figure 19 Example of a model for calculation of components X Factor quality indicator  111 
Figure 20 Historical Financial Indicators  155 
Figure 21 Summarized Income Statements  156 
Figure 22 Summarized Balance Sheet  156 
Figure 23 - Balance Sheet  157 
Figure 24 Result Statements of the Year  157 
Figure 25 Quality of Results  158 
Figure 26 Working Capital  159 

 

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

4


 

Figure 27 Net Debt  159 
Figure 28 Due Diligence Financial Indicators  160 
Figure 29 - Rolling WACC  163 
Figure 30 Working Capital  170 
Figure 31 - EV / Net Revenues Multiples  172 
Figure 32 - EV / EBITDA Multiples  173 
Figure 33 - EV / BRR Multiples  173 
Figure 34 - EV/ Consumer Units Multiples (R$ thousand/Number of clients)  174 
Figure 35 - EV/ Distributed Energy Multiples (R$ thousands/MWh)  174 
 
 
 
Graphs   
 
Graph 1Density of Total Highways (km/km²)  15 
Graph 2 Percentage of Existing and Planned Roads in 2015  15 
Graph 3 Competitiveness of generation sources  20 
Graph 4 Voltage level share in the total market (%) - Ceron Forecasts  28 
Graph 5 – State GDP share in Brazil’s GDP (%) of Ceron  32 
Graph 6 Forecasted Market of Ceron in each Decade per Class of Consumption  39 
Graph 7 Forecasted Market of Ceron until 2046 per class of consumption  40 
Graph 8 – Ceron UC’s Forecasts  42 
Graph 9 - Average Loss per Segment of Ceron and Comparable  71 
Graph 10 Forecast of regulatory technical losses of Ceron  74 
Graph 11 Comparison between Real and Regulatory Non-Technical Losses on the Low Voltage Market  75 
Graph 12 Forecast of Verified and regulatory PNT Ceron (Invoiced)  86 
Graph 13 Example of heterogeneity curve  101 
Graph 14 Efficiency curve Ceron  104 
Graph 15 Forecast of Other Regulatory Revenues Ceron (R$ Million)  114 
Graph 16 Forecast of Annual Demand Surplus and Reactive Excess Revenues Ceron (R$ Million)  115 
Graph 17Verified Indicator and Limits of DEC for Ceron  116 
Graph 18Verified Indicator and Limits of FEC  117 
Graph 19History of Compensations for Violation of the Individual Indicators of Ceron  117 
Graph 20 - DEC Forecast for Ceron  124 
Graph 21 - FEC Forecast for Ceron  125 
Graph 22 Forecasted Compensation Ceron  130 
Graph23 - Forecast for electric and non-electric investments Ceron  135 
Graph 24 - Long-Term Investments Plan of Ceron per Type of Works/Systems  135 
Graph 25 Tariff Transactions (%)  154 
 
 
 
Tables   
 
Table 1 Valuation  11 
Table 2 Highway Indicators to Rondônia  16 
Table 3 Climate characteristic of the state of Rondônia  18 
Table 4 Evolution of the Number of Consumers per Voltage Level  24 
Table 5 Market Evolution per Voltage Level  25 
Table 6 Mid-Market Evolution per Voltage Level  25 
Table 7 Evolution of the Average Consumption per Tariff Class  26 
Table 8 Variables used in the market forecasts per class of Ceron  29 
Table 9 – State GDP share in Brazil’s GDP (%)  31 
Table 10 Average GDP growth rates (%)  32 
Table 11 Forecasted Market of Ceron in each Decade per Class of Consumption  39 
Table 12 – Summary of UC’s Forecasts for Ceron  42 
Table 13- Values Factor T and Xpd  58 
Table 14 - Values of Regulatory Losses  58 

 

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

5


 

Table 15 - DEC and FEC Global Limits in TN No. 088/2017  59 
Table 16 - Variation of the amounts destined to PMSO per Distributor  62 
Table 17 - Variation of the DEC limits per Distributor  63 
Table 18 - Variation of the FEC limits per Distributor  63 
Table 19 - Amount of Losses in the Distribution System of the Company  69 
Table 20 - Amount of Technical Losses per Segment of Transformation and Grid  69 
Table 21 - Technical Losses, Target per Voltage Segment  72 
Table 22 - Amount of Technical Losses per Segment of Transformation and Grid  73 

 

Table 23 Socioeconomic Variables for the Composition of the Complexity Factor to Fight Non-Technical Losses 76

Table 24 - Models Selected for the Composition of the Complexity Factor to Fight Non-Technical Losses  76 
Table 25 - Result of the Complexity Factors of each Econometric Model to Companies of Grupo Eletrobras  77 
Table 26 - Average Complexity Index of the Companies of Grupo Eletrobras  77 
Table 27 - Summary of Definition of the Starting Point  81 
Table 28 - Example of Forecast of the Regulatory Non-Technical Losses  82 
Table 29 - Comparison of Verified Loss Invoiced with Regulatory Loss Invoiced  84 
Table 30 - Complexity Index of Fighting Non-Technical Losses of the most Complex Companies of Group 1  84 
Table 31 - Forecast Regulatory PNT 2023 to 2027  86 
Table 32 - Forecast Regulatory PNT 2028 to 2032  87 
Table 33 - Forecast Regulatory PNT 2033 to 2037  87 
Table 34 Forecast Regulatory PNT 2038 to 2042  88 
Table 35 Forecast Regulatory PNT 2043 to 2047  88 
Table 36 Operational Costs Efficiency Parameters in 4CRTP  96 
Table 37 Confidence intervals of the efficiency estimations  97 
Table 38 Cluster Composition  101 
Table 39 Composition of the clusters and efficiency - Ceron  103 
Table 40 Forecast of Regulatory PMSO Ceron  104 
Table 41 Grid forecast modeling results  107 
Table 42 Operational Costs and Component T of Ceron  108 
Table 43 Technical and commercial indicators of component Q of Factor X  110 
Table 44 Commercial indicators in 2016 - Ceron  112 
Table45 Results for Factor X and its components Ceron  113 
Table 46 Verified/ Forecasted Verified and Approved/ Verified Limit of DEC for Ceron  124 
Table 47 - Verified/ Forecasted Verified and Approved/ Verified Limit of FEC for Ceron  125 
Table 48 Compensation Regression Table  129 
Table 49- Forecast of Quinquennial Investments 2018-2022  131 
Table 50 - Investments in HV Expansion works 2018-2022  132 
Table 51 - Mean, Standard deviation and Limits for HV Expansion works  132 
Table 52 - Investments in HV Expansion work (outliers excluded)  132 
Table 53 - Investments in HV Expansion works 2023-2027  133 
Table 54 - Forecast of Investments for the Quinquennium of Ceron  134 
Table 55 Proportions of the Groups of Assets in BAR  140 
Table 56 - Calculation of the AIS Considered in the BRR Model in Feb/17  143 
Table 57 Difference between the Initial and the Final Additional AIS (VOC) of the 3rd RTP  143 
Table 58 Values of BRR Considered Starting Point in the Frozen BRR in Feb/17  144 
Table 59 Investments between 2018 and December 2022 per Registration Unit: Impact on the Average   
depreciation rate of the Assets  148 
Table 60 Assumptions for Index and Rate Forecast  149 
Table 61 TJLP Forecast  149 
Table 62 Forecast of Regulatory Reintegration Quota in RTPs  150 
Table 63 Forecast for Equity Remuneration without Special obligations in RTPs  150 
Table 64 Forecast for Equity Remuneration of the Special obligations in RTPs  151 
Table 65 Forecast of the Annual Fixed or Portable Facilities Cost in RTPs  151 
Table 66 Estimations for Required Revenues, VPA and VPB for Ceron (rated R$ million)  153 
Table 67 - Unlevered Beta of comparable companies  162 
Table 68 - Transaction Multiples  171 
Table 69 Distributed Energy Projections  175 
Table 70 - Net Revenues Projections  176 
Table 71 - Operating Costs Projections  177 

 

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

6


 

Table 72 - Gross profit Projections  178 
Table 73 - Operating Expenses Projections  178 
Table 74 - EBITDA Projections  180 
Table 75 - Net Income Projections  180 
Table 76 - Cash Flow Projections  181 
Table 77 Terminal Value  182 
Table 78 Valuation Results  182 
Table 79 Financial Covenants  182 
Table 80 Sensitivity Analysis  183 
Table 81 Demographic Information, Education Level, and Unemployment Rates  186 
Table 82 Information on Access to Services  187 
Table 83 Information on Income  187 
Table 84 Violence Information  188 
Table 85 Family of Exponential Models  191 
Table 86 Statistical Indicators  194 
Table 87 Residential Class: Ceron  195 
Table 88 Industrial Class: Ceron  195 
Table 89 Commercial Class: Ceron  196 
Table 90 Rural Class: Ceron  196 
Table 91 Public Entities: Ceron  197 
Table 92 Utilities: Ceron  197 
 
 
 
Charts   
 
Chart 1 Socioeconomic characterization of the state of Rondônia  14 
Chart 2 Summary chart with the forecast model for Residential Consumption of Ceron  33 
Chart 3 Summary chart with the forecast model for Industrial Consumption of Ceron  34 
Chart 4 Summary chart with the forecast model for Commercial Consumption of Ceron  34 
Chart 5 Summary chart with the forecast model for Rural Consumption of Ceron  35 
Chart 6 Summary of the forecast model for the Consumption of Public Service o Ceron  36 
Chart 7 Summary of the forecast model for the Consumption of Public Lighting of Ceron  36 
Chart 8 Summary of the forecast model for the Consumption of Public Service of Ceron  37 
Chart  9 Summary chart with the forecast model for Own Consumption of Ceron  38 
Chart 10 Example of the need of investments in HV Expansion for the period between 2023-2027  132 
 
 
Equations   
Equation 1 - Box Cox Transformation  27 
Equation 2 - Domiciliary Density Calculation  41 
Equation 3 Kt Coverage  41 
Equation 4 – Residential UC’s Forecast  41 
Equation 5 Average Consumption Series  42 
Equation 6 - UC’s Forecast  42 
Equation 7 - Formula for the Maximum Cap Price and Periodical Readjustment  43 
Equation 8 - Formulation for Tariff Readjustment Rate  46 
Equation 9 - Formulation for the Complexity Factor of Fight Non-Technical Loss of Company A  77 
Equation 10 - Calculation of Targets of Non-Technical Losses  78 
Equation 11 - Global Target  78 
Equation 12 Value of Non-recoverable revenues for companies, which have not undergone 4CRTP yet  89 
Equation 13 Value of Non-recoverable revenues for companies that have undergone 4CRTP  90 
Equation 14 Calculation of Portion B in adjustment processes  91 
Equation 15 Calculation of Portion B in review processes  91 
Equation 16 Operational Cost Tariff Coverage  98 
Equation 17 Value of the Efficient operational costs  99 
Equation 18 Annual Variation of the Regulatory Operational Costs  99 

 

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

7


 

Equation 19 Target of Efficient operational costs  99 
Equation 20 Target of shared Efficient operational costs  99 
Equation 21 Standardization of variables  100 
Equation 22 Euclidean Distance  100 
Equation 23 Efficiency Indicator  102 
Equation 24 Value of the Efficient operational costs  105 
Equation 25 Update Factor  105 
Equation 26 Operational Cost in Tariff review  107 
Equation 27 Component T of Factor X  107 
Equation 28 Component Pd of X Factor  108 
Equation 29 Component Q of Factor X  110 
Equation 30 Determination of Heterogeneity  119 
Equation 31 - Limit Equation  121 
Equation 32 Simplified Limit Equation  121 
Equation 33 Linear Regression Equations for DEC  122 
Equation 34 Linear Regression Equations for FEC  122 
Equation 35 - Calculation of the average EUSD  126 
Equation 36 - Calculation of the Compensation in Force  127 
Equation 37 - Forecasted Compensation  129 
Equation 38 Regulatory Reintegration Quota  136 
Equation 39 Gross BRR  137 
Equation 40 Capital Remuneration  137 
Equation 41 Net Regulatory Remuneration Base  138 
Equation 42 Special Obligations Capital Remuneration  138 
Equation 43 Regulatory Annuity Base (BAR)  139 
Equation 44 Annual Rental Cost (CAL)  140 
Equation 45 Annual vehicle Cost (CAV)  140 
Equation 46 Annual Cost of Information Systems (CAI)  141 
Equation 47 - Stationary Series  189 
Equation 48 - Seasonal Series  189 
Equation 49 - Box & Jenkins Methodology Models  190 
Equation 50 ETS Model  190 
Equation 51 - Dynamic Model  192 

 

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

8


 

1. Introduction
1.1. Context

     Centrais Elétricas de Rondônia S.A. – CERON (“CERON”, the “Distributor”, or the “Company”) is a quasi-public company headquartered in Porto Velho, the capital of the State of Rondônia. It is a federal utility concession holder responsible for the sale and distribution of electricity in the State of Rondônia. The Company, which was previously controlled by the State Government, is currently controlled by Centrais Elétricas Brasileiras S.A. - Eletrobras, who holds 100% of its shares.

     According to Article 2 of Decree 8.893, the Development Bank (BNDES) is responsible for the supervision and execution of the privatization process of the electric distributorship concession holders.

     In this context, the Consortium has prepared the financial valuation of the Company’s shares with a base date of December 31, 2016, using a Discounted Cash Flow (“DCF”) methodology. The financial valuation assumes the scenario of renewal of the concession for electric power distribution. Therefore, the result of this work represents the Company’s value in the event of concession renewal.

1.2. Purpose

     The purpose of this report is to provide BNDES, the leader of the project, with information regarding the company’s Fair Value, making clear all assumptions used for calculations of portions A and B, as well as the methodologies used in the financial model.

With this purpose, the following analyses were carried out:· Research and analysis or market information;

· Projections for the energy market, energy demand and regulatory elements;· Analysis of the historical financial statements;· Meetings, conference calls, and discussions with the directors and technical teams of the Company;· Field visits;· financial statements projections (Income Statements and Cash Flow Statements) based on information provided by the Company, market analyses, and due diligence studies;· Financial valuation based on Discounted Cash Flow methodology;· Calculation and projection of the discount rate based on the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) methodology, used for calculating the present value of projected· cash flows; Calculation and projection of regulatory WACC.

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

9


 

1.3.Summary of the premises

Methodology

     The valuation of the Company was performed using the Discounted Cash Flow method, based on the projected profits, utilizing Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF).

Discount rate

     The methodology used to estimate the discount rate was the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC), considering a rolling capital structure (Rolling WACC).

Base date

The base date used for this valuation is December 31,2016.

Projection period

     The cash flows were estimated for the period between January 1, 2017 and February 29, 2048 (end of the concession period) assuming operational shutdown of the Company at the end of the concession period. Only the cash flows projected for the period between March, 2018, and February, 2048, were considered in calculating the Net Present Value of the Company.

Currency

The projections are expressed in nominal Reais (R$) considering inflation effects.

Macroeconomic assumptions

     The macroeconomic assumptions used in the financial model are presented below. It is important to highlight that the GDP premise was used in the projection of the number of consumers by market class as detailed in Chapter 4 of this report.

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

10


 



 

2. History and Characteristics of the Concession

     This chapter will detail relevant characteristics of Ceron, providing information regarding its background, socioeconomics, transportation infrastructure, climate, level of connectedness to the SIN and standards of the electric power distribution grids.

2.1.Brief History

     This history of Rondônia started in the early 17th century with the arrival of the first Portuguese colonizers. However, only in the next century, with the discovery of gold in Goiás and Mato Grosso, did interest in the region intensify. With the creation of the state of Acre, the construction of Madeira-Mamoré railroad, and the telegraphic connection established by Cândido Rondon in the early 20th century, the colonization of the region was accelerated until, in 1943, the region became the Território Federal de Guaporé (in 1956 renamed Território de Rondônia), with its capital in Porto Velho and created out of partitions from the states of Mato Grosso and Amazonas [1].

     The first thermoelectric plant in Rondônia was opened in 1940 by President Getúlio Vargas. After the creation of Território Federal de Guaporé, the plant became known as SAALFT - Serviço de Abastecimento de Água, Luz e Força do Território, and served only two cities: Porto Velho, the Capital, and Guajará Mirim. This thermoelectric plant was diesel-oil powered and had capacity of 2,893 KW.

     The accelerated growth of the region in fact only occurred in 1960’s and 1970’s. The policy of fiscal incentives and the intensive investments of the federal government, such as the directed colonization projects, stimulated migration, mostly from the Center-South of the country. With the growth of the region, the development of sanitation and electric power infrastructure was required. Thus, in 1968, the services of SAALFT were divided and CAERD (Companhia de Águas e Esgotos de Rondônia) and Ceron (Centrais Elétricas de Rondônia) were created [2].

     In that same year, in 1968, Centrais Elétricas de Rondônia S.A., under the abbreviation Ceron, was tasked with the purpose of developing the electric power services, and performing transmission and distribution services in the territory of Rondônia.

     After almost 30 years, in 1997, a new benchmark was established and Ceron fell under a shared management between the Government of the State of Rondônia (instituted as a State in

1982) and Eletrobras. The State became holder of 51% of the company’s shares, while Eletrobras was entitled to 48.7% of the shares. Also in 1997, the supplier was made a federal company, according to the State Law no. 740/97. The State approved the transfer of the controlling interest from Ceron to Eletrobras. The share were distributed as follows: 79.91% - Eletrobras, 20.0% -State of Rondônia, and 0.09% - other shareholders. [3] In 1998, Ceron went through new changes to its shareholder composition due to the sale of shares to Eletrobras, which acquired 100% of the shares of the company.

     Finally, in July 2016, the Eletrobras group decided not to renew the contracts of electric power suppliers in the North and Northeast regions, including Ceron. On August 3, 2016, through Ordinance No. 423/2016, the Ministry of Mines and Energy (MME) designated Ceron responsible

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

12


 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 

same value from January to December of the respective year has been applied. As of

January/2015, the market share of the Federative Unit’s GDP was forecasted using the trend of past values, in the periods with greater potential growth of the market share, and the values were kept as constant market share as of January/2030, converging with the growth of the national GDP. Such forecast of the market share in the forecast of the total monthly GDP was applied at real values of 2000, obtaining the effective monthly total GDP for the Federative Units used.

     Table 9 presents the market share of each State GDP between 2002 and 2014. In all States forming one of the areas of concession of the 6 companies, except for Alagoas, there is an increase of its economic relevance in a period of 12 years. This context results from a gradual, non-uniform trend of deconcentration of the economic activities of the South and Southeast regions to the other regions of Brazil. This trend occurs due to several reasons, such as, for instance: dislocation from the modern and exporting agricultural front to the States of Northeast and North regions, faster growth of the population in these States, expansion of the service services (especially tourism), increase to the weight of the traditional industry seeking more competitive costs and the commercial segment which follows the general trend of the regional economy , among others.

Table 9 – State GDP share in Brazil’s GDP (%)

 
UF  2002  2003  2004  2005  2006  2007  2008  2009  2010  2011  2012  2013  2014  (2002-2014) 
Brazil  100  100  100  100  100  100  100  100  100  100  100  100  100  - 
Rondonia  0.5  0.55  0.56  0.58  0.54  0.53  0.56  0.59  0.62  0.63  0.63  0.58  0.59  0.09 
Acre  0.2  0.2  0.19  0.2  0.19  0.2  0.21  0.22  0.21  0.2  0.21  0.22  0.23  0.03 
Amazonas  1.48  1.51  1.59  1.57  1.66  1.6  1.55  1.52  1.57  1.62  1.5  1.56  15  0.02 
Roraima  0.16  0.15  0.14  0.15  0.16  0.15  0.16  0.17  0.17  0.17  0.16  0.17  0.17  0.01 
Para  1.78  1.76  1.9  1.87  1.91  1.91  1.96  1.85  2.13  2.26  2.22  2.27  2.16  0.38 
Amapa  0.21  0.2  0.2  0.2  0.22  0.22  0.22  0.22  0.21  0.22  0.23  0.24  0.23  0.02 
Tocantins  0.36  0.38  0.37  0.36  0.36  0.37  0.39  0.41  0.42  0.42  0.43  0.45  0.45  0.09 
Maranhao  1.07  1.14  1.13  1.16  1.23  1.13  1.22  1.23  1.19  1.19  1.26  1.27  1.33  0.26 
Piauf  0.48  0.49  0.48  0.49  0.55  0.5  0.52  0.57  0.57  0.59  0.59  0.59  0.65  0.17 
Ceara  1.93  1.9  1.88  1.89  1.93  1.87  1.94  2.02  2.04  2.05  2.01  2.05  2.18  0.25 
Rio Grande do Norte  0.91  0.87  0.88  0.92  0.95  0.97  0.93  0.93  0.93  0.94  0.96  0.97  0.93  0.02 
Para fb a  0.86  0.86  0.8  0.81  0.86  0.84  0.86  0.91  0.86  0.85  0.88  0.87  0.92  0.06 
Pernambuco  2.42  2.26  2.3  2.31  2.3  2.3  2.26  2.39  2.5  2.52  2.66  2.65  2.68  0.26 
Alagoas  0.77  0.73  0.72  0.71  0.72  0.73  0.72  0.73  0.7  0.72  0.72  0.7  0.71  -0.06 
Sergipe  0.69  0.68  0.68  0.66  0.68  0.67  0.69  0.65  0.68  0.67  0.68  0.66  0 05  -0.04 
Bahia  3.95  3.91  3.98  4.07  3.96  4.02  3.91  4.14  3.97  3.81  3.79  3.84  3.87  -0.08 
Minas Gerais  8.33  8.39  8.78  8.68  8.83  8.84  8.96  8.62  9.04  9.14  9.19  9.15  8.94  0.61 
Espirito Santo  1.82  1.83  2.03  2.17  2.22  2.23  2.32  2.08  2.2  2.42  2.43  2.2  2.23  0.41 
Rio de Janeiro  12.38  11.8  12.32  12.43  12.44  11.9  12.16  11.75  11.58  11.72  11.94  11.78  11.61  -0.77 
Sao Paulo  34.85  34.43  33.35  34.23  34.22  34.4  33.52  33.82  33.32  32.83  32.38  32.17  32.15  -2.7 
Parana  5.93  6.41  6.31  5.87  5.71  6.07  5.97  5.9  5.8  5.88  5.93  6.25  6.02  0.09 
Santa Catarina  3.66  3.73  3.76  3.76  3.78  3.81  3.91  3.87  3.96  3.98  3.98  4.02  4.2  0.54 
Rio Grande do Sul  6.64  6.95  6.7  6.28  6.13  6.18  6.12  6.13  6.21  6.06  5.97  6.23  6.19  -0.45 
Mato Grosso do Sul  1.1  1.27  1.19  1.09  1.11  1.11  1.16  1.19  1.22  1.26  1.29  1.3  1.37  0.27 
Mato Grosso  1.29  1.55  1.71  1.58  1.27  1.4  1.58  1.58  1.46  1.58  1.65  1.67  1.75  0.46 
Goias  2.59  2.65  2.61  2.48  2.55  2.63  2.65  2.79  2.75  2.77  2.88  2.84  2.86  0.27 
Distrito Federal  3.62  3.4  3.43  3.49  _ 3.51  3.43  3.55  3.73  3.71  3.53  3.41  3.3  3.42  -0.2 
Source: IBGE                             

 

     Considering the long term time window of our forecasts, we assume that this trend of deconcentration of the economic activity will be maintained in the following years to all analyzed States. Thus, we have forecasted, from the historical series, a gradual expansion of the GDP share of these States until 2030. The GDP growth of each States grows more than the national average in this phase of convergence and will subsequently accompany the median expansion of the

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

31


 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 

at any time, whenever an event causes substantial economic-financial instability. The RTE may be requested in cases of creation, change or extinction of taxes or charges, after the execution of the concession agreements, and whenever the impact over the activities of the companies is relevant, and duly proven, to the economic-financial equilibrium.

e) Manageable and non-manageable part

     Non-manageable costs correspond to expenses that do not depend on the control of the concessionaire, being directly transferred to the consumer. These items form a relevant part of Portion A, component of the revenue of the concessionaire of distribution that includes costs and sectoral charges, in addition to costs of inputs and upstream segments of the activities of the regulated company, such as costs of power generated or transmitted to the electric power distribution companies. On their turn, manageable costs represent the part related to the effective activity of the electric power distribution concessionaire, in which the company may establish strategies of management. The so-called Portion B is composed, for instance, by the operational costs, capital and depreciation costs, and non-recoverable revenues.

     There are also costs that present a relative degree of management by the concessionaire. This is the case, for instance, of non-technical losses (“PNT”), whose amount depends on both the efficiency of the commercial activities and routines of the concessionaire and on the socioeconomic, institutional, and cultural environment of the geographic area in which the company acts.

     Although they affect the purchase of power, allocated in Portion A, technical and nontechnical losses receive regulatory treatment aiming at allowing gains of efficiency in the procedures. The purchase of power may also receive regulatory treatment and respect restriction in order to foment an efficient acquisition and modicity to the end consumer (captive).

     An example of this regulatory treatment are the controls related to the purchase of power by related party and the obligations of acquisition of power in auctions in the regulated environment. Therefore, the separation of the manageable and non-manageable costs, in the so-called Parts A and B, is a conceptual simplification that may be changed in accordance with the evolution of the regulation.

4.1.2. Recent changes to the contractual and tariff rules of the electric power distribution.

     The implementation of the regime of regulation by incentives in the activity of electric power distribution has been done throughout almost two decades, conditioned by changes to the concession/permit agreements and by public policies. Its evolution and transformation were also marked by the processes of discussions, in inquiries and public hearings, of the regulations that treat the different tariff and contractual aspects. Currently, these rules are described in Technical Notes elaborated by ANEEL, which describe in detail the methods, premises, and results applicable to the different components of the tariffs and the tariff operation procedures.

     These regulatory rules are consolidated in the Tariff Regulation Procedures (“PRORET”), which have normative character and consolidate the regulation of tariff processes. The PRORET

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

47


 

structure was approved by Normative Resolution no. 435/2011, organized in 12 modules, which on their turn are subdivided into submodules.

     Regarding the distribution of electric power, there is a set of tariff procedures that include specificities to each contractual situation, as detailed below:

I.      To Distributors that renew their concession agreements under the terms of Decree no. 8.461/2015, signed contractual amendments with new economic clauses, or signed contractual amendments for the complete adhesion to the new concession model14, the new tariff rules presented in Normative Resolution no. 761/2017 and in the PRORET list indicated with the letter A in its original number shall be valid15.
II.      To companies that hold permits and distribution concessionaires that have not renewed their concession agreement or signed amendments still have valid the PRORET without the indication of letter A.
III.      For the set of Distributors owned by the Government, responsible for the provision of distribution services in concessions that have not been extended (so-called Designated Distributors), specific rules shall be applied as per Normative Resolution no. 748/2016 and Homologation Resolution no. 2.184/201616.

     Figure 14 presents a timeline with the indications of all Normative Resolutions (REN), Homologation Resolutions (REH), Technical Notes (NT), and Public Hearings (AP) that changed or proposed changes to the PRORET as of April 2015.

14      In the terms of the Reporting Judge’s Vote announced in the 30th Ordinary Public Meeting in 2016.
15      Submodules 2.1A, 2.2A, 2.5A, 2.7A, 3.1A, 3.2A, 3.3A, 3.4A, 4.2A and 4.4A.
16      Both resolutions replace Technical Note No. 331/2016, setting forth definitely the additional conditions to be

applied to the Designated distributors (public administration body or entity responsible for the decision of the Granting Authority on the provision of public service for electric power distribution because of non-extension of given concession according to Law No. 12.783/2013), with the purpose to assure the continuity of the provision of public service for electric power distribution until a new concessionaire to be granted by means of a bid takes over..

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

48


 



 

  contractual amendment, will be subtracted from Portion B only in the second review after the 3rd RTP.
  b.      To companies that will undergo their first review after the 3rd RTP, the revenues registered as UD and ER in special obligations until the date of contractual amendment will be subtracted from Portion B.
  c.      To all companies, the invoiced values of UD and ER between the date of contractual change and the date of the tariff procedure will be used as reducers of Portion B.
  d.      The invoiced values will be updated according to the IPCA.
iii.      The RI’s are no longer calculated in two parts and now consider exclusively the regulatory percentages of default. In addition, the financial revenues now compose the basis of calculation of the RI’s.
iv.      In the first tariff review after the execution of the contractual change, the calculation of the Factor X will no longer consider the average growth of the market and consumers of the tariff cycle, being determined on an annually basis.
v.      The values of other revenues (OR) to be subtracted from Portion B will be calculated in the twelve months prior to the month of reference for the review, and will be updated by the IPCA.

The rules of tariff readjustment presented in Module 3 had the following changes:

i.      If the first tariff process after the execution of contractual change is a tariff readjustment, known as DR1 in the A version of the PRORET, there will be the need to remove the RI components from Portion B and to transfer them to Portion A, in addition to isolating OR, UD, and ER, which will be determined according to what has been effectively realized. The ONS values shall be transferred from Portion A to Portion B.
ii.      In the tariff readjustments, Portion B shall be effectively calculated and not only obtained as a residue of the calculation of Required Revenue.
iii.      The value of Portion B considering the conditions in force and the Reference Market (VPB0DR1) will be obtained from the multiplication of this market for the economic value in force (homologated in the last procedure), equivalent to the tariff component of Thread B (TUSD Thread B) in force. This value will be updated by the difference between IPCA and Factor X and multiplied by a correction factor (Factor DR1), necessary for the application of the adjustments indicated in (i). Finally, the values of OR, UD, and ER will be expurgated, and added the values with ONS.
iv.      In the subsequent tariff processes, the procedure will be quite similar in practical terms, with the calculation of Factor Pbi-1, which reintroduces the values of OR, UD, and ER in Portion B, which will be adjusted by the inflation (IPCA) and Factor X. Following that, the observed values of these components in the period of reference are excluded from Portion B.

     In Module 4, the neutralities are calculated to all components of Portion A (including other financial components, financial components of neutrality, and financial component of CVA balance to compensate), not only to sectorial charges, as it is the case of the rules in force. The

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

50


 

concept of neutrality remains unchanged, such as the difference between the invoiced values and the values included in the tariff processes, neutralizing the differences derived from market changes17. The proposed methodologies of calculation differentiate items with tariff coverage of fixed nature, when the expense is not changed with the market variation (sectorial charges, connection charges, and Itaipu), and variably, in the opposite case (costs with power, charges with the use of transmission/distribution, and non-recoverable revenues).

     The specific case of the neutrality of non-recoverable revenues will be calculated only from the second tariff procedure after the execution of the contractual amendment, since until then there is not a component of tariff coverage for this item. All new items to which there is no calculation of neutrality shall take into account the date of execution of the agreement or contractual amendment. Therefore, for the first tariff procedure after the execution of the agreement or publication of the PRORET, whatever occurs last, the neutrality of Portion A will be calculated only from the next month of signature of the contractual amendment or renewal of the concession agreement, limited to the period of reference, i.e., the last 12 months.

     Finally, the part of non-recoverable revenues was inserted in submodules 7.1 and 7.2, in the function of TUSD Losses cost. The update of submodule 3.2 impacts directly to Module 7, due to the calculation of losses in the other facilities of transmission of shared use (DITc), which is in the tariff component of losses in the basic network.

b) Additional Conditions for the Designated Distributors

     In its 165th Special Meeting, the shareholders of Eletrobras decided not to approve the extension of the concessions of Ceal, Cepisa, Eletroacre, Ceron, Boa Vista Energia, and Amazonas Energia. In addition, Companhia de Eletricidade do Amapá (CEA) did not have its concession extended for it did not gather the requirements of compliance. By means of several directives, the Ministry of Mines and Energy designated Amazonas Energia, Eletroacre, Ceron, Cepisa, Ceal, Boa Vista Energia and CEA as responsible for the provision of the public service of distribution of electric power until the end of 2017 or until the assumption of a new concessionaire, whatever occurs first.

     Figure 15 illustrates the timeline with recent rulings related to the renewal of the concessions of the distributors of Grupo Eletrobras.

17 In this section we are describing the changed made to the PRORETs from Normative Resolution no. 276/2017, including changes to the treatment of the neutralities of charges. The modelling of the items composing Portion A in the financial model is detailed in section 3.2.

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

51


 



 

     Such resolution also establishes that the resources of RGR will be used to assure the minimum conditions of sustainability of the service, as per Directive no. 388/2016-MME, with deadlines, grace periods and fees as indicated in REN no. 748/2016, and the contracted obligations will be assumed by the new concessionaire.

     In addition, REN asserts that there are major investments to be made, which will reduce expenses of CCC and, therefore, classified as subrogation of the fund’s resources. ANEEL shall homologate prudent investments considered in the elaboration of the basic project, calculate the amount to be subrogated, and inspect the application. The agency or entity of the federal public administration shall assign to the contracted company for the implementation of the distribution lines, on an irrevocable basis, the credits of reimbursement of CCC.

     Finally, the resolution establishes an exceptional regime of regulatory sanctions, prioritizing the character exclusively orientational and/or determinant, without the imposition of penalties.

c) Public Hearing no. 094/2016

     In May 2017, ANEEL published, after receiving contributions in Public Hearing no. 094/2016: (i) Technical Note no. 182/2017, with guidelines for the elaboration of a new agreement for the concession of the public service of electric power, as per §1-A of Article 8 of Act no. 12.783/2013; and (ii) a new Contractual Draft.

     According to Technical Note no. 182/2017, dated May 2, 2017, ANEEL received Official Letter no. 242/2016-SE, of the Ministry of Mines and Energy (MME) requesting the elaboration of a draft of a concession agreement, observing a few guidelines that aim at expediting the realization and to increase competitiveness of bidding procedures of transfer of corporate control, associated with grants of new concessions. MME emphasized four guidelines:

I.      Adoption of clauses that allow the conversion of pecuniary compensations into investment obligations to the first five years of new concessions, aiming at allowing the recovery of the concessions;
II.      Adoption of trajectories of regulatory parameters of efficiency, providing the new controller with term to readjust the values adopted by the companies;
III.      Adoption of a tariff calendar with interstice of five years at every tariff review, but that allows the performance of two tariff reviews in the first five years of the agreement, allowing exceptionally, the acknowledgment in shorter investment terms;
IV.      The possibility of the calendar set forth in the item above being chosen by the winner of the bidding, with the first review occurring prior to the third tariff process after the execution of the agreement and the second review shall be carried out in the fifth tariff procedure after such signature.

     According to the result of public hearing no. 094/2016 presented in Technical Note no. 182/2017 -, transitory provisions were considered about the use of compensations due to violations of the limits of quality related to the continuity of the service and the voltage level to investment, as reproduced below.

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

53


 

CLAUSE NINETEEN TRANSITORY PROVISIONS

Subclause One - DISTRIBUTOR may use the resources of compensations due to violation of the limits of quality, related to the continuity of the service and sampling measurements of the voltage level in a permanent regime, for the realization of investments in the area of concession, until the end of the fifth calendar year after the date of execution of the concession agreement.

Paragraph One From the date of execution of the agreement, the compensation values shall remain being calculated by DISTRIBUTOR, as per the regulation, for the purposes of follow-up and inspection by ANEEL.

Paragraph Two From the second calendar year following the execution of the agreement, in case the calculated values of the compensations are below the values of the compensations calculated for the previous calendar year, such difference shall be considered as a remunerable investment by DISTRIBUTOR upon its tariff review, with the remaining value being accounted in entry Obligations Linked to the Public Service of Electric Power (Special Obligations).

Paragraph Three From the second calendar year following the execution of the agreement, in case the calculated values of compensations are higher than the compensations calculated for the previous calendar year, such different will be invested twice in the concession and accounted in entry Obligations Linked to the Public Service of

Electric Power (Special Obligations). ”

     According to the Draft, as of 2020, the non-fulfillment of the global, annual limits of the indicators of continuity per determined period will cause economic-financial limitations, as established in Subclause Eight.

“Subclause Eight As of 2020, the non-fulfillment of the annual limits of collective indicators of continuity for two years in a row or three times in five years may, as per the ANEEL regulation, imply limitation of dividends or payments of interest over its own capital, until the regulatory parameters are restored, observing the provisions of Item I of Subclause One of Clause Seven. ”

     From the sixth calendar year, the non-fulfillment of the regulatory goals may imply the filing of an expiry proceeding of the concession as indicated in Subclause Thirteen, as reproduced below, applicable to the criteria related to the continuity of supply.

Subclause Thirteen For the period from the sixth calendar year following the execution of this agreement, the default of the concessionaire resulting from the non-fulfillment of the criteria of efficiency in relation to the continuity of the supply will imply

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

54


 



 

service. According to ANEEL, this context consists of an atypical situation, incompatible with the type of application to which the methodology of the Factor X has been designed. Due to this reason, an adequateness of its calculation is seen as possible.

     In addition, the new Draft considered that the inspection performed by ANEEL will not apply penalties in the first two years of the new contracts, as a form of mitigating the effects of the technical or commercial problems inherited from the prior situation, as set forth in Subclause Five.

“Subclause Five Until the twenty-fifth month following the month of execution of the concession agreement, the inspection of ANEEL will have an orientative and/or determinative character, without the application of penalties, except in case of non-fulfillment of determinations by Aneel Management. ”

     To meet the request by the MME regarding a tariff calendar that allows an additional tariff review in the first five years of the agreement, aiming acknowledgment in shorter term of investments, the Draft presents the transitory provisions in its Clause Nineteen.

“Subclause Two In the period between the date of execution of the agreement and the first subsequent ordinary tariff review, a tariff review may occur upon request of the Concessionaire, observing the following criteria: I The tariff review in lieu of an annual tariff readjustment, to which the same date of processing shall be maintained.

II The request for review shall be formally presented to ANEEL within at least one (1) years prior to its conduction.

III The tariff review will occur based on the rules set forth in this agreement and in the regulations in force, except those items set forth in Subclause Three.

IV In the period of review, the Concessionaire may request the complete evaluation of the Regulatory Remuneration Base.

V The review shall occur until the third tariff procedure after the execution of the agreement. ”

     The Draft also defines the values and specific formulas of calculation for the period between the date of execution of the agreement and the first subsequent tariff review, as set forth in Subclause Three.

Subclause Three In the period between the date of execution of the agreement and the first subsequent ordinary tariff review, the values and formula of calculation for the

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

56


 

Factor X will be used, as well as Operational Costs and Regulatory Losses, different from those set forth by Clause Six, observing the following criteria: I The value of component Pd of Factor X will be defined as zero (0).

II The regulatory Operational Costs will be defined considered a degree of efficiency of []% over the average of effective costs observed in the last three (3) years prior to the tariff processing.

III Regulatory, non-technical losses will be defined in the percentage of []% over the average of the real percentages observed in the last three (3) years prior to the tariff processing.

Sole Paragraph The tariff effects resulting from the treatment described in this Subclause will be perceived from the first tariff calculation following the execution of the agreement, always with prospective effects. ”

     Subclause Four establishes the rules on the debt related to the loan existing with the RGR fund, occurred in the period of designation.

“Subclause Four DISTRIBUTOR undertakes to settle the debt related to the loan existing with the RGR Fund occurred in the period of designation, in the following conditions: I The interest rate to be used for the loan will be of 111% of the SELIC rate;

II      The amortization of principal and the payment of interest will have a grace period of
12      months from the assumption of the concession by the new concessionaire, considering

that, once the grace period expires, the amortization of the loan will occur in 36 monthly, equal parts. ”

d) Public Hearing no. 032 /2017

     On May 4, 2017, ANEEL placed in public hearing Technical Note no. 088/2017, aiming at gathering subsidies to improve the calculation of the regulatory parameters and indicators of quality of services that will serve as the basis for the next tariff review procedures of the Distributors controlled by Eletrobras. The Technical Note establishes the regulatory parameters for the tariff procedures of the Designated Distributors, defined under the terms of Normative Resolution no. 748/2016 and limits to the DEC and FEC collective indicators of continuity.

     The proposal is that the value of the T component of Factor X is equal zero (0)to all tariff processes homologated until the first tariff review process after the execution of the Concession Agreement, while to the value of the Xpd component the recommendation is to maintain the Pd component in force until the first tariff process after the execution of the Concession Agreement, when it will assume zero value (see Table 13).

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

57


 



 



 

     Considering the regulatory possibility of review of the payment conditions, favoring the bidding procedure and the assumption of a new concessionaire, committed with the tariff modicity and with the quality of the service, the tariff impact was simulated considered interest of 5% p.a. and a deadline of 30 years for payment. The monthly values of RGR are defined by REH 2199/2017-ANEEL and the values are reviewed by ANEEL on a quarterly basis based on the quarterly results of distributors. According to ANEEL, the payment of the loan would begin in the sixth year of contractual effectiveness and would extend until its expiration (25 years to pay). Considering that the que loan will now be acknowledged in the tariff, there will be neutrality for the new concessionaire in terms of payment of the amounts involved.

f) Technical Note no. 247/2017

     In view of Technical Note no. 351/2017, the Ministry of Mines and Energy proposed changes to the draft of the Agreement for the Concession of Public Service of Electric Power Distribution by means of Technical Note no. 247/2017. The main proposed changes related to (i) the acknowledgment in Portion A of the revenue necessary for the payment of RGR loans; (ii) definition, as an extraordinary review, of the tariff procedure that the new controller may request in the interstice of five years of the new concession, basically to consider the volume of investments in the base of assets; and (iii) clarifications on the systematic of flexibilization of the regulatory parameters of operational costs and non-technical losses until the first periodical tariff review.

The proposed changes to the Draft of Agreement mentioned in Technical Note no.

247/2017 are presented below, whose contributions were received until 09/06/2017.

“CLAUSE SIX – TARIFFS APPLICABLE IN THE PROVISION OF THE SERVICE

Portion A Sectorial Charges: part of the revenue of the DISTRIBUTOR, destined to the observance of the obligations associated with the Electric Power Services Inspection Fee – “TFSEE”; with the Financial Compensation for the Use of Water Resources –“CFURH” for the purposes of generation of electric power, when applicable; with the System Services Fee – “ESS”; with the Energetic Development Account – “CDE”; with

Research and Development R&D; with the Energetic Efficiency Program – “PEE”; with the Reserve Power Fee – “EER”; payments of loans of the Global Reversion Reserve

“RGR”, made in accordance with Article 4, § 4, item VI, of Act no. 5.655, dated May 20,

1971, and the other public policies for the electric sector, defined in the supervening legislation;

CLAUSE NINETEEN TRANSITORY PROVISIONS

Subclause Two In the period between the date of execution of the agreement and the first subsequent ordinary tariff review, an extraordinary tariff review may occur upon request of the Concessionaire, observing the following criteria:

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

60


 

Subclause Three In the period between the date of execution of the agreement and the first subsequent ordinary tariff review, values and formula of calculation for the Factor X will be used, as well as to Operational Costs and Regulatory Losses other than those set forth in Clause Six, observing the following criteria: I The value of component Pd of Factor X will be defined as zero (0).

II The regulatory Operational Costs in the first tariff procedure after the execution of the concession agreement will be defined as a percentage of []% over the value of the operational costs of the previous tariff procedure, updated according to the rule of readjustment of Portion B. Between the second tariff procedure and the tariff procedure immediately before the first ordinary tariff, the operational costs will be defined by applying the rule of readjustment of Portion B.

III Regulatory, non-technical losses will be defined in the percentage of []% over the low voltage invoiced market.

Paragraph One The tariff effects resulting from the treatment described in this Subclause will be perceived from the first tariff calculation following the execution of the agreement, always with prospective effects.

Paragraph Two The transitory percentages of items II and III are those resulting from the bidding procedure of the concession of electric power distribution associated with the transfer of control of the legal entity providing the service, under the terms of Art. 8 of Act no. 12.783/2013 and its regulations.

Paragraph Three The rules set forth in Clause Six shall be applied in the first ordinary tariff review, not considering any effects resulting from the transitory percentages of items II and III.

Subclause Four DISTRIBUTOR shall settle the loans with the RGR Fund as per Directive MME no. 388, dated July 26, 2016, adjusted as per Art. 4, § 5, of Act no. 5.655, dated May 20, 1971.

Paragraph One The payments shall be made between the first ordinary tariff review and the final deadline of this agreement.

Paragraph Two DISTRIBUTOR will be entitled to tariff acknowledgment of []% of loans paid, according to the definition of the bidding procedure of the concession of electric power distribution, associated with the transfer of control of the legal entity providing the service, under the terms of Art. 8 of Act no. 12.783/2013 and its regulations.

g) Technical Note no. 149/2017

     On September 8, 2017, ANEEL reopened Public Hearing no. 032/2017, by means of Technical Note no. 149/2017. In it, the Regulator exposed its proposal of flexibilization of a few regulatory parameters non-technical losses, operational costs and Factor X and the limits to the DEC and FEC collective continuity indicators until the first ordinary tariff review of the new controller of the designated companies, to be contracted by means of bidding procedure. The

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

61


 



 



 

     03/01/2018. An adjustment (IRT) will occur in this year, on the date of anniversary of the old agreements;· An extraordinary review18 will occur in 2019, on the date of anniversary of the old agreements. In such review, the tariff coverage related to the Annual Cost of Assets

(“CAA”), composed by the Remuneration of Capital, Regulatory Reintegration

Quota, and Annual Cost of Movable and Immovable Facilities will be reevaluated.

No review shall be performed to metrics of PNT, OPEX, Default, Factor X etc.;

· There will be usual IRT’s between 2020 and 2022;

· In 2023, there will be a complete RTP corresponding to the 5-year period after the execution of agreement, in which the regulatory parameters will be once again established (such as PNT, OPEX, Default, Factor X, etc.).

· After 2023, there will be both IRT and RTP in the interstice of 5 years until 2048.

The new agreement will be adapted to the tariff rules of REN no. 761/2017.

4.2. Methodologies, Premises and Results for the Definition of Portion A

     Portion A is the tariff revenue component through which consumers compensate the Distributor for the costs considered as non-manageable, such as: purchase of power, sectorial charges, power transport costs, financial charges, technical losses, non-technical losses, and default.

     Since these costs are considered as non-manageable, they are directly transferred to the tariffs (pass-through) according to the rules established by the Regulator, as detailed below.

     The pass-through condition above is true for the cases in which the Distributor is within a regulatory interval of limits of losses and supercontracting.

4.2.1. Purchase of Power and Tariff Flags

     For the definition of the amount of required power, for the purposes of regulatory purchase of power, the volumes of energy were calculated for the provision and supply. The power for provision includes the total forecasted market, excluding volumes to free market, distribution, and supply.

     The Methodologies and results obtained for the total and free market forecast were presented above. The forecasts of the volumes for distribution and provision followed the estimated behavior for the total market of the concessionaire.

     Using the forecasts of regulatory losses, the total losses were estimated technical, nontechnical, and basic network. In relation to the losses of the basic network, the percentages presented in the SPARTA spreadsheet of 2016 were maintained. The required power is obtained from the sum of supply, provision, and regulatory losses.

18 In this extraordinary review, the frozen asset base will be opened.

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

64


 

     The system of flags, applied by the concessionaires connected to the National Interconnected System SIN, has three tariff flags (green, yellow and red) which indicate if the power costs more or less, based on the conditions of generation of electricity. For the economic-financial evaluation, the same favorable scenario of generation was considered by ANEEL in the tariff procedures, i.e., a green flag scenario.

4.2.2.Charges

     The sectorial charges are all created by laws approved by the National Congress to allow the implementation of public policies in the Brazilian energetic sector. Its values are included in resolutions or decisions by the National Agency for Electric Power (ANEEL) and are paid by distributors through the electricity bill. Each charge has pre-defined objectives. The charges described below are applicable to the electric sector.

Energetic Development Account (CDE)

     CDE was created by Law No. 10.438/2002 with the objective of, among other purposes, promoting the universalization of the electric power sector in the entire national territory, funding discounts to the tariffs granted to the low income rural and residential classes, assuring the competitiveness of the energy produced from wind source, small hydroelectric power plants, biomass, natural gas, and mineral coal.

     The National Treasury may provide contributions of resources to the CDE accounts, aiming the modicity of tariffs. The CDE cost is prorated by all consumers served by the National Interconnected System (SIN). The quota value is calculated by ANEEL.

Electric Power Services Inspection Fee (TFSEE)

     The TFSEE was created with the purpose of funding the operation of ANEEL in the exercises of both activities of inspection and economic regulation.

     The Fee is paid by all consumers of electric power, levied upon the activity of the agents of distribution, generation, and transmission of electric power.

Program of Incentive to Alternative Sources of Electric Power – “PROINFA”

     PROINFA was created by Act no. 10.438/2002 and regulated by Decree no. 5.025/2004 with the purpose to fund the ANEEL operation in the exercises of both activities of inspection and economic regulation.

     Prorating of costs and of electric power contracted by the program, taking into account the Annual Plan elaborated by Centrais Elétricas Brasileiras S/A (ELETROBRAS) and the electric power market verified, both captive and free. The Act conceded exempted to consumptions of the Low Income residential subclass.

Financial Compensation for the Use of Water Resources (“CFURH”)

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

65


 

     The CFURH is set forth in the Federal Constitution of 1988, with the objective of providing financial compensation to the Government, state and municipalities, for the use of water and productive lands necessary for the installation of plants for the generation of power.

System Services Charges (“ESS”)

     The ESS was created with the objective of increasing the reliability and safety of the offer of power in the country. The cost is calculated on a monthly basis by the Chamber of Commercialization of Electric Power and is paid by all consumers, captive and free, to the generation agents. It considers the dispatch of thermoelectric plants by order of merit, by energetic safety, operational restrictions, and ancillary services.

National System Operator (“ONS”)

     The contribution to the ONS was created with the objective of financing the operation of the National Electric System Operator, which coordinates and controls the operation of generators and transmitters of electric power in the National Interconnected System (SIN). The value is defined on an annually basis by the ONS and approved by ANEEL.

Research and Development and Energetic Efficiency (“P&D/EE”)

     The P&D/EE was created with the purpose of stimulating scientific and technological researches related to electric power and the sustainable use of the resources necessary to create it.

Reserve Power Charge (“EER”)

     The ERR was created with the purpose of covering costs resulting from the contracting of reserve power, including administrative, financial, and tax costs.

     The prorating among the end users of electric power of the National Interconnected System (SIN), including free consumers and self-producers only in the part of the energy resulting from the interconnection to the SIN, is defined on a monthly basis by the Chamber of Commercialization of Electric Power (CCEE), according to the formula set forth by ANEEL resolution.

     As mentioned above, the effect of Portion A is that of pass-through, i.e., costs with sectorial charges, one of the components of Portion A, will be transferred to the consumer by the tariff, thus neutral from the point of view of the economic-financial evaluation, presenting only a temporal effect, since the adjustment caused by the difference between markets of reference is subject to inflation adjustment and adjusted in the next readjustment, however, for the effects of this evaluation, such temporal effect caused by the difference between the inflation adjustment rate (SELIC) and the discount rate (WACC), was not considered by virtue of its low representativeness.

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

66


 

4.2.3.Transport Costs

     Costs with the transport of power are those related to the transport of power from the generation units to the distribution systems, regulated by Resolutions 1917 and 1918, dated 06/03/2015 and Submodule 3.3 of the PRORET, being composed by the following items:

a)      Use of the transmission facilities classified as Basic Network, Basic Network at Borders, or Other Transmission Facilities (DIT) of shared use;
b)      Use of the distribution facilities;
c)      Connection to DIT of exclusive use;
d)      Connections to the distribution networks;
e)      Transport of power from Itaipu to the point of connection to the Basic Network;
f)      Use of Basic Network by the Itaipu plant; and
g)      Use of the transmission system by the generation centers connected at the voltage level of 88kV or 138kV.

     Both the use of the transmission systems and distribution system for the purposes of tariff procedures are calculated considering the amount of contracted demand for the period of reference, valued by the respective economic tariffs in force on the date of the tariff procedure.

     As mentioned above, the effect of Portion A is that of pass-through, i.e., costs with sectorial charges, one of the components of Portion A, will be transferred to the consumer by the tariff, thus neutral from the point of view of the economic-financial evaluation, presenting only a temporal effect, since the adjustment caused by the difference between markets of reference is subject to inflation adjustment and adjusted in the next readjustment, however, for the effects of this evaluation, such temporal effect caused by the difference between the inflation adjustment rate (SELIC) and the discount rate (WACC), was not considered by virtue of its low representativeness.

4.2.4.Financial

     Portion A includes costs that are transferred to the tariffs of the regulated market, but the calculation of the tariff occurs from a forecast for these costs, and the effective costs then do be different in relation to the forecast.

     The invoicing of the distributor, as a recovery of Portion A, may be higher or lower than the effective costs of Portion A, and the differences verified will be accounted in entry CVA

(“Compensation of Variation of Values of Items of Portion A”) to a posterior encounter of accounts.

     It also occurs with the cost of the thermoelectric generation contracted, which may be higher or lower than that estimated in accordance with the intensity of use of the thermal plants, which on its turn depend on the volume of rainfall, a situations especially difficult to forecast. If, at the time of the calculation of the annual readjustment, CVA has a surplus, that means that the distributor has collected, via tariff, more money has been collected that what has been effectively applied in non-manageable costs. The balance will be corrected by the SELIC rate and the financial component corresponding to CVA will be negative in the calculation of the tariff of the

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

67


 

next year to compensate the surplus, thus charging against the consumer less than the economic tariff.

     As mentioned above, once the components of Portion A were considered neutral, i.e., values related to financial charges for the purposes of this economic-financial evaluation were not considered.

4.2.5. Technical Losses (“PT”)

     The electric system is divided into generation, transmission, and distribution of electric power. Distributors receive the power from the supplying agents (transmitters, generators, or other distributors), delivering it to the end consumers, either residential, commercial, rural, industrial, or pertaining to the other classes. The power measured by the Distributors in the consumption units will always be smaller than the power received from the supplying agents. This different is known as loss of power and is segregated according to its origin.

     The National Agency for Electric Power - ANEEL shall refine, at every tariff review, a regulatory referential of losses that takes into account the performance of the concessionaire. Losses may be segmented by losses in the Basic Network, external to the distribution system of the concessionaire and with origin specifically technical, and losses in the distribution, which may have either technical or non-technical nature.

a) Concept and Characterization of the Historical Technical Losses of the Distributor

     Technical Losses (PT) are those inherent to the transport of electric power in the network, related to the transformation of electric power into thermal power in the conductors (joule effect), losses in the transformer cores, dielectric losses, etc. They may be understood as the consumption of the equipment responsible for the distribution of power. It is worthwhile noting that the degrees are defined by ANEEL upon the RTP, and kept constant by a tariff cycle.

     The most recent verification of the company’s technical losses, segmented by the transformation and grid components, was done by ANEEL by means of Technical Note No. 0237/2013-SRD/ANEEL dated November 20, 2013, process No.: 48500.002315/2013-18 Subject: Analysis of the contributions of Public Hearing no. 099/2013, related to the evaluation of the losses in the distribution system, associated with the 3rd Cycle of Periodical Tariff Review of Centrais Elétricas de Rondônia S/A Ceron. The outcome of the verification resulted in the values established as per Table 19 and Table 20.

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

68


 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 

     The trajectory of reduction will be the result of the comparison between the goal and the starting point, both considering the non-technical losses of the measured market. As a general rule, the definition of the trajectory will observe the limits of annual reduction defined in equations (I) and (II). In case the trajectory calculated for the concessionaire surpasses the maximum annual rate of reduction defined by the equation, the limit of the reduction shall prevail.

iii. Definition of the Starting Point

     The starting point of non-technical losses is a referential value for the tariff year immediately before the year of the tariff review. In the definition of the starting point of nontechnical losses, the percentage of non-technical losses of the measured market is used. The definition of the starting point will be given by:

a)      Group 1: Maximum 7.50%; Minimum (Goal 3, Measured CRTP, Average of the last
  4      years);
b)      Group 2: Maximum 2.50%; Minimum (Goal 3, Measured CRTP, Average of the last
  4      years).

The exceptions of the general rule are applied in the following cases:

1.      When the company has already been adopting low levels of non-technical losses,
  below      7.50% to companies of Group 1 and below 2.50% to companies of Group 2,
  then      the average of non-technical losses adopted over the measured market in the
  last      four (4) calendar years shall be considered;
2.      Companies with low probability of comparison shall be subject to a complementary
  analysis      and a diagnostics analysis that take into account the degree of effort of the
  Distributor      to combat losses;
3.      Concessionaires whose goals to be established by the methodology are greater than
  the      starting point established by the goal of 3CRTP and not included in the item
  above.      Then:
  a.      In case the goal obtained with the non-technical losses of the company of 3CRTP is greater than the goal established with the most recent loss, the goal obtained with the most recent loss will be used as the starting point, without trajectory of reduction;
  b.      In case the goal obtained with the non-technical losses of the company of 3CRTP is greater than the starting point, but smaller than the goal established with the most recent loss, the goal obtained with the non-technical losses of 3CRTP shall be used as the starting point, without trajectory of reduction;
  c.      In case the goal obtained with the non-technical losses of the company of 3CRTP is smaller than the starting point, the starting point shall be defined according

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

80


 



 

Table 28 - Example of Forecast of the Regulatory Non-Technical Losses

1 - Calculation of the Start Point before the flexibility analysis

Description  Non Technical Losses (% BT)       
1. 3rd Cycle Goal (Invoiced)  7.87%       
2. Difference between measured and invoiced (average of the 4 last years)  0.61%       
3. 3rd Cycle Goal (Measured) [1. + 2.]  8.48%       
4. Historical Average (Measured)  20.05%       
5. Start Point [ = maximum (7.5% and Minimum (3 and 4) ]  8.48%       
2 - Calculation of the goal based on the       
Benchmarks       
Description  Model C  Model G  Model K   
Benchmark Company  ELETROPAULO  ESE  ELETROPAULO   
6. Benchmark Loss (PNT/BT)  9.38%  4.74%  9.38%   
7. ESCELSA Loss (PNT/BT)  18.93%  18.93%  18.93%   
8. Comparison Probability  72.64%  55.94%  59.97%   
9. Goal based on each Benchmark [ 7. X 5. + ( 1.- 7.) x 6. ]  11.99%  10.99%  13.20%   
10. Average goal of the Benchmarks [average(8) ]    12.06%     
3 - Calculation of the Start and Arrival Point after the flexibility analysis       
Description  Model C  Model G  Model K   
Benchmark Company  ELETROPAULO  ESE  ELETROPAULO   
11. Benchmark Loss (PNT/BT)  9.38%  4.74%  9.38%   
12. ESCELSA Loss (PNT/BT) - Reference 3rd Cycle Losses  21.95%  21.95%  21.95%   
13. Comparison Probability  72.64%  55.94%  59.97%   
14. Goal based on each Benchmark [7.x5.+(1.-7.)x6.]  12.81%  12.32%  14.41%   
15. Average goal of the Benchmarks [average(8) ]    13.18%     
16. Start Point [ = maximum (5. and 10.)    12.06%     
17. Arrival Point = start point)(10 and 16)    12.06%     
4 - Definition of the Regulatory         
Goal      2017  2018 
Description  Start Point  2016     
PNT/BT Path (start point to the goal)  12.06%  12.06%  12.06%  12.06% 
Reduction Pace (p.a.)    0.00%  0.00%  0.00% 
Reduction Limit (p.a.)    0.00%  0.00%  0.00% 
Regulatory PNT/BT Reference (measured)  12.06%  12.06%  12.06%  12.06% 
Difference between measured and invoiced  0.61%  0.61%  0.61%  0.61% 
Regulatory Reference PNT/BT (invoiced)  11.45%  11.45%  11.45%  11.45% 
Regulatory Reference PT/Einj  7.14%  7.14%  7.14%  7.14% 

 

Source: Example Escelsa based on the data from Technical Note no. 243/2016-SGT/ANEEL.

c) Premises for Forecasting Regulatory Non-Technical Losses

     The forecasts of Regulatory Non-Technical Losses to the designated companies were made based on the successive application, until 2047, of the mechanisms of definition of goals, starting points, and trajectories detailed in Technical Note no. 106/2015. The models considered for the forecast of the trajectory of goals of losses were estimated based on data defined at the time.

     Review cycles of 5 years were considered for the forecasting of regulatory Non-Technical Losses of goals, according to the calendar shown by Figure 17 (observing the goals established by Homologation Resolution no. 2.184/2016, applicable to distributors AME, Boa Vista, and CEA). The Regulatory Non-Technical Losses of the last review cycle (3CRTP) were considered for years 2017 to 2023. This level is updated upon the 1st RTP of the new concessionaire (2023).

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

82


 


*Extraordinary Tariff Review. Parameters of Non-Technical Losses are not estimated.

Figure 17 - Periodicity of Forecast of Regulatory Non-Technical Losses Targets

Source: Own Elaboration

     To define the goals, it is considered that the difference between measured and invoiced (median of the last 4 years) of the companies is constant and equal to the most recent data informed.

d) Assumptions for Forecasting Real Non-Technical Losses

     During the regime of Provisional Provision, in force in 2017 and possibility in the beginning of 2018, it has been considered that the economic, financial, and technical-managerial difficulties will limit the last-longing gains of efficiency in the combat to Non-Technical Losses. Therefore, it has been defined that to the 6 companies from the Eletrobras Group, the current degree of real PNT (related to 2016) shall remain in force until the beginning of the new administration in 2018.

     After 2019, it is considered as the beginning of a new phase in the combat to Non-Technical Losses, with successive gains of efficiency and efficacy of these activities. To identity the trajectory of real Non-Technical Losses, the analyzed companies were divided into 3 groups.

     The first group includes companies AME and CERON, whose difference between the invoiced and the regulatory Non-Technical Loss verified is greater than 30%. For this first group, there is a forecast of reduction of the Non-Technical Losses verified stronger than the others in the first 5 years, due to the high incentive to combat that such differences motivate to the new administration. This additional reduction is forecasted based on the calculated fall by the equation that relates the speed of reduction and the degree of losses of Technical Note no. 106/2015. In addition to this reduction in the first 5 years, forecasts were also made based on the use of the

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

83


 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 

     The calculation of the value of Portion B is different between the processes of tariff review and adjustment. In the tariff adjustment process, the methodology from sub-module 3.1A of PRORET is followed.

     First, the Value of Portion B in the test year (12 months prior to the tariff adjustment) also called VPB0 component -, is calculated as the quotient of the division of the Value of Portion B from the reference market (both from the previous tariff process) multiplied by the value from the reference market of the current process.

     Then, VPB0 is adjusted to recompose the elements, which are excluded from the previous process: Other Revenues, Demand Surplus and Reactive Excess. In the first tariff adjustment of the analyzed concessionaires (2017), an adjustment factor calculated by ANEEL according to Public Hearing No. 58/2016 (DR1 Factor) is used. For the other years, the so-called Pbi-1 Factor is estimated annually based on the data from the previous tariff process (t-1).

     After this adjustment, VPB0 is updated by IPCA and adjusted by the X Factor. Finally, Other Regulatory Revenues (OR)19 and revenues from com Demand Surplus (UD) and Reactive Excess (ER)20, are excluded. The following formula summarizes the exposed above.

Equation 14 Calculation of Portion B in adjustment processes

     In addition, in the first tariff process (2017), the value of the ONS charge is added to Portion B.

In the tariff review processes, Portion B is calculated according to the following equation.

All components of the equation will be discussed along this report in specific sections.

Equation 15 Calculation of Portion B in review processes

82$ = :%#1/ + %##; × :s 2à /+3; 14 7&, '4

Where:

CAOM: Regulatory Operational Costs; CAA: Annual Cost of Assets; Pm: equivalent to component Pd of Factor X;

19 It can be noted that it is about percentage of regulatory share of the Other Revenues, which varies according to the nature of the revenues (for the bigger part of them, it is 60%).

20 Such revenues are net from taxes, of the regulatory percentage of 3.5% of the revenues, related to demand surplus in the transmission grid, and the irrecoverable revenues, applying the regulatory percentage associated with the industrial consumption class.

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

91


 



 



 



 

tariff reviews and were considered to compose the PMSO data to be forecasted within this analysis.

     The approach used by ANEEL for the calculation of the efficient operational costs in the periodic tariff review seeks defining the efficient cost level for the performance of the processes, according to the conditions provided in the concession contracts and the regulation, assuring adequate service provision and that the assets will keep their service capacity unchanged throughout their service life. In the definition of the efficient operational costs, the costs of the distributors, the efficient cost level and the characteristics of the concession area will be observed.

     ANEEL uses the non-parametric model called DEA (Data Envelopment Analysis), whose purpose is to define a production/variable cost boarder as a way to identify the level of efficiency of the companies. The model considers PMSO, with the adjustments mentioned above, as production input. The values are also adjusted by salary indexes, for companies, which work in regions where labor cost is cheaper, not to have competitive advantage, and thus, masking their efficiency score.

     The products considered in 4CRTP were: Grid (underground grid, air-borne distribution grid and high voltage grid), consumers, average market (weighted by voltage level), NonTechnical Losses and quality (interrupted consumer hour). Using a sample of 61 companies for the period from 2011 to 2013, ANEEL obtained the efficiency scores in the DEA model as presented in Table 36.

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

95


 

Table 36 Operational Costs Efficiency Parameters in 4CRTP

DISTRIBUTOR  EFFICIENCY  DISTRIBUTOR  EFFICIENCY 
JAGUARI  100%  BRAGANTINA  69% 
CSPE  100%:  CELG  69% 
CELTINS  100%  CEMIG  69% 
RGE  100%  CHESP  68% 
COELCE  100%  NACIONAL  68% 
PIRATININGA  100%  CFLO  67% 
NOVA PALM A  100%  ENERSUL  67% 
MUXFELDT  100%  SULGIPE  66% 
COELBA  96%  COPEL  64% 
CPFL PAULISTA  95%  COOPERALIANÇA  63% 
ELEKTRO  94%  CELESC  62% 
ELETROPAULO  93%  ESE  60% 
COSERN  92%  CEPISA  59% 
MOCOCA  91%  DEMEI  58% 
CPEE  88%  COCEL  57% 
CEMAR  87%  CELPA  56% 
CELPE  86%  IGUAÇU  56% 
EMG  83%  CEB  53% 
AESSUL  83%  ENF  53% 
BANDEIRANTE  82%  HIDROPAN  52% 
EPB  82%  ELETROACRE  52% 
SANTA MARIA  81%  ELETROCAR  52% 
JOAO CESA  80%  CERON  51% 
LIGHT  78%  URUSSANGA  45% 
SANTA CRUZ  77%  CEAL  44% 
CEMAT  77%  FORCEL  43% 
CAIUA  74%  DME-PC  42% 
E3C  73%  CEEE  42% 
ESCELSA  72%  AME  31% 
AMPLA  70%  BOA VISTA  23% 
EDEVF  70%     

 

Source: Sub-module 2.2 A, PRORET

     Using the bootstrap21 method, ANEEL made a sensitivity analysis of the efficiency scores and generated the confidence intervals for the concessionaires, as it can be observed in Table 37.

21 The main idea of the method consists in generating random sub-samples from a sample of verified observations and thus, expanding the observation database. From this resampling, it is possible to derive estimations of parameters of the population, which has given raise of the original sample.

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

96


 

Table 37 Confidence intervals of the efficiency estimations

      Upper 
DISTRIBUTOR  Lower Limit  Downtown  Limit 
JAGUARI  94%  100%  100% 
CSPE  94%  100%  100% 
CELTINS  96%  100%  100% 
RGE  95%  100%  100% 
COELCE  94%  100%  100% 
PIRATININGA  94%  100%  100% 
NOVA PALMA  92%  100%  100% 
MUXFELDT  86%  100%  100% 
COELBA  88%  96%  100% 
CPFL PAULISTA  90%  95%  99% 
ELEKTRO  88%  94%  97% 
ELETROPAULO  88%  93%  99% 
COSERN  85%  92%  100% 
MOCOCA  85%  91%  96% 
CPEE  82%  88%  94% 
CEMAR  81%  87%  94% 
CELPE  77%  86%  90% 
EMG  78%  83%  90% 
AES SUL  78%  83%  89% 
BANDEIRANTE  77%  82%  85% 
EPB  76%  82%  86% 
SANTA MARIA  77%  81%  85% 
JOAO CESA  63%  80%  87% 
LIGHT  74%  78%  83% 
SANTA CRUZ  72%  77%  82% 
CEMAT  72%  77%  85% 
CAIUA  70%  74%  76% 
EBO  68%  73%  79% 
ESCELSA  68%  72%  76% 
AMPLA  64%  70%  72% 
EDEVP  66%  70%  73% 
BRAGANTINA  65%  69%  71% 
CELG  65%  69%  74% 
CEMIG  65%  69%  73% 
CHESP  64%  68%  76% 
NACIONAL  64%  68%  70% 
CFLO  63%  67%  70% 
ENERSUL  63%  67%  70% 
SULGIPE  62%  66%  70% 
COPEL  60%  64%  68% 
COOPERALIANÇA  59%  63%  68% 
CELESC  58%  62%  65% 
ESE  55%  60%  63% 
CEPISA  55%  59%  62% 
DEMEI  53%  58%  61% 
COCEL  53%  57%  60% 
CELPA  52%  56%  58% 
IGUAÇU  52%  56%  60% 
CEB  50%  53%  56% 
ENF  50%  53%  56% 
HIDROPAN  46%  52%  57% 
ELETROACRE  49%  52%  55% 
ELETROCAR  48%  52%  55% 
CERON  47%  51%  54% 
URUSSANGA  38%  45%  50% 
CEAL  39%  44%  45% 
FORCEL  35%  43%  49% 
DME-PC  39%  42%  44% 
CEEE  40%  42%  44% 
AME  29%  31%  34% 
BOA VISTA  22%  23%  24% 

 

Source: Sub-module 2.2 A, PRORET

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

97


 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 

Table45 Results for Factor X and its components Ceron


Source: Own Elaboration

4.3.4.Demand Surplus, Reactive Excess and Other Revenues

     Sub-module 2.7A of PRORET classified Other revenues in three categories: (i) activities inherent to the electric power distribution service; (ii) complementary activities; and (iii) atypical activities.

     The revenues inherent to the electric power distribution service are additional to the power supply, but are still part of the essence of the electric power distribution concession, for which the expenses incurred while providing the services are already contemplated in the revenues of the regulated service. In this category, the revenues obtained from connection charges and chargeable services as included; as well as the revenues determined for Demand Surplus and Reactive Excess; the purpose of their collection is to incentive optimized use of the grid and efficient consumption of power, without effective service compensation by the concessionaire.

     The complementary activities are those, whose expenses are not clearly identified and are already covered by the revenues coming from the regulated activity. In this sub-group, the revenues from share of infrastructure and communication systems (PLC) are allocated.

     The atypical activities are those, on which administration and management criteria are imposed, which enable full distinction of the cost and income accounting. They are composed of revenues coming from provision of services to third parties (operation and maintenance, consulting, communication and engineering) and charge for the agreement collection in the energy bills.

     From the most recent information about Other revenues supplied by the analyzed concessionaires, it was adopted as assumption that they will evolve according to the growth of IGP-M, as it is about the price index used by ANEEL for financial update of the regulatory values of Other revenues. This indicates maintenance of the current levels of other revenues, without additional efforts for their expansion. Such case reflects a reduction of the incentives for generation of other revenues, once there was reduction of the period, in which it is possible gain

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

113


 



 



 



 



 

b) Methodology for Definition of the Group Limits of the Service Quality Indicators

     For the definition of the limits of the group continuity indicators (DEC and FEC) of the Distributor, ANEEL stipulated the following procedures: (i) desegregation of the operation area of each concessionaire in groups of consumption units (geoelectric groups); (ii) characterization of each group of the country by means of 7 (seven) attributes describing the service quality; (iii) application of the dynamic grouping method (clustering) for the identification of the similar groups; (iv) definition of the regulatory limits of the continuity indicators based on the performance of the groups considered similar (benchmarking by means of position measurement); (v) application of a linear decrease trajectory within 8 years29 for definition of the annual limits of each group from their target values in force; (vi) application of specific treatment for groups with give characteristics those with high degrees of heterogeneity, high share of the supply in the interruptions and/or high annual target drop rates-.

     The group of consumption unit (analysis unit for definition of group limits) is defined as the range area of a Distribution Substation (SED) owned by the Distributor, with High Voltage (HV) primary and Medium Voltage (MV) secondary. The criteria for creation, aggregation and division of the groups are set by ANEEL in Section 8.2, Module 8 of PRODIST.

     For purposes of determination of the quality targets, the groups are characterized by means of attributes with high correlation (theoretically) with the DEC and FEC indicators. The 7 (seven) attributes currently used are:· PC_VRAMà Percentage of area with remaining vegetation high or medium (%);· PLUVà Average Annual Pluviometric Precipitation (mm);· PC_NUC_ADà Percentage of Consumption units (UC) in High Density Areas (%);· PC_ERMT_3Fà Percentage of Medium Voltage (MV) grids, three-phase (%);· CM_NUC_RESà Average Consumption per UC of the Residential Class (given in MWh);· NUC_INDà Number of UC in the Industrial Class (exclusive for DEC);· NUC_COMà Number of UC in the Commercial Class (exclusive for FEC).

     ANEEL takes these attributes from the Geographic Database of the Distributor (BDGD) sent annually by each Distributor, in addition to using other databases30.

     The methodology approved by the Agency uses the dynamic clustering method to identify similarity between the groups in these attributes. It is worth pointing out that this method is applied only between airborne groups, while the underground groups form a single cluster.

     In the clustering process, each group, in given time of analysis, is considered the reference group and then, the groups, which are the most similar to it, are established. The distance measure

29 As clarified in Technical Note No. 0028/2010-SRD/ANEEL, the transition period was set considering the characteristics of each system and the required performance variation, adopting the average period of two tariff reviews, namely, eight years.

30 Native vegetation data taken from Project for Preservation and Sustainable Use of the Brazilian Biological Diversity

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

118


 

used to evaluate the degree of similarity between the groups is the Euclidean one. Considering that this measure is sensitive to the scale differences existing between the attributes used in the comparison, the standardization called Score Z is done first - calculated by subtracting the average and dividing by the standard deviation for each attribute.

     Once the Euclidean distances are calculated, it is necessary to determine the heterogeneity of each reference group in relation to the other groups by means of Equation 30.

Equation 30 Determination of Heterogeneity
jA
Hi= Max@Dist i
3 k

Where:

I: Reference group index;

Index of the group candidate for comparison to group i;

Dst j; h: g Euclidian distance of group i for group u of

ˆ:

Maximum reference distance, where k is the number attributes.

     For the definition of the clustering of similar groups, 20% is considered maximum allowed heterogeneity; however, it is also restricted to the comparison to a minimum and maximum quantity of comparable groups, namely:· Minimum comparable groups: 50 (heterogeneity is higher than 20%).

· Maximum comparable groups: 100 (heterogeneity is lower than 20%).

     The groups, which form clusters with 50 members (lowest clustering allowed) are called heterogeneous. For these groups, the norm provides performing a particular analysis to define the o limit, once there are few comparable groups.

     Once the similar groups are defined, their performance is compared in between. For this purpose, the similar groups are ordered in increasing order according to the average of the grouped values of the DEC and FEC indicators from the last 3 years.

The regulatory target is set by using a position measure, namely:· Interconnected airborne sets: set placed in the 2nd decile.

· Underground or isolated airborne groups: a group placed in the median.

The limit trajectory is linear and decreasing

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

119


 

     Equation 31 , starting from the current limit (V0) of the group and achieving the regulatory target within 8 years (V8). The values obtained from the trajectory equation are rounded to integers (simples rounding). In case V8 is higher than V0 Equation 32 , keeping the initial limit until the end of the tariff period (V0 lock assumption).

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

120


 



 



 

     From the regressions, the indicators are estimated year by year, starting from the assumption that the independent variable is the result for the previous year, obtaining possible decrease every year until 2025. The models estimated and used for the definition of the forecast of the quality indicators for Ceron are presented in Appendix E.

     Finally, the third moment is the forecast of the indicators from 2026 to 2047 and for this purpose, the calculated historical indicators were ordered in increasing order (2003 to 2016) of the comparable companies. The final target for the analysis period (2047) is defined by the measurement of the position of the 1st decile (or percentile 10) of the indicators of the comparable companies32. Once this level was found, a reduction trajectory was outlined, considering the indicator from 2025 as starting point and the value of the 1st decile applied in 2047 as end point. The value obtained in 2047 is considered for 2048, as it is expected to close the concession in the latter year.

d) Assumptions for Forecast of the Regulatory Limits of DEC and FEC

     For the forecasts of these regulatory targets, the method in force in 4CRTP was used, mainly grounded on the method of group clustering by similarity and the measurement of the position for the definition of the regulatory target. The database of attributes of each group in the country in 2016 was used to perform dynamic clustering.

     For the calculation, the following assumption were necessary: (i) progress in the interconnections of isolated systems to SIN was foreseen from 2019 to 2021 for the Distributors Eletroacre, Ceron and Boa Vista, influencing their regulatory target; (ii) the contribution of each group to the formation of the global indicators (DEC and FEC) in 2016 was used as weighing criterion for opening the forecasted indicators at company level defined according to the methodology presented in the previous section; and (iii) only the indicators of the Distributors from the Eletrobras group would present annual reduction rate, while the indicators of the other groups would remain constant.

     For calculation of the trajectories of the DEC and FEC limits forecasted from 2023 to 2048, it shall be considered that: (i) RTP will occur in 2023, 2028, 2033, 2038 and 2043; (ii) the value for 2048 will be equal to that obtained in 2047, as it is expected to close the concession in the latter year; and (iii) all limit values are weighed by the number of consumption units related to the average from the 1st quarter 2017, according to NT No. 088/2017 SRD-ANEEL.

e) Results for the Forecasts of the Verified and Regulatory Indicators

     Based on the used assumptions and methodologies, the results for the forecast of the verified indicators and the regulatory service quality limits of the distributor DEC and FEC until 2048 are presented. Graph 20 and Table 46 present the forecasts for DEC and Graph 21 and Table 47, those of FEC.

32 The first decile and the cut-off point, i.e., the target is defined as the accomplished performance of 10% better.

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

123


 



 



 

by 2048. The same is verified for the FEC forecasts, where the value is lower than the regulatory in 2022 and remains in decrease trajectory by 2048.

4.3.6.Compensations

     Among the penalties provided in the legislation for violation of the quality standards in the electric power supply, the compensation for violation of the individual service continuity indicators is the most expressive.

     The methodology for the calculation of this compensation was prepared about eight years ago, as provided in Technical Note No. 092/2009 SRD/ANEEL, and it comprehends the followings stages: (i) building the database of the individual indicators observed in the groups of consumption units for 2007 and 2008 data from 36 Distributors, which served 65% of the consumers in the country at that time ; (ii) production of histograms for 42 DEC and FEC ranges according to the verified individual indicators segregated by connection voltage (HV, MV and LV) and localization (urban or non-urban); (iii) definition of percentile 90 as position measurement of the individual limit for each range; and (iv) application of a trend line to correct possible inconsistencies related to the limits of each range; (v) setting the DICRI limit as the DMIC value from the last DEC range; and (vi) multiplication of the monthly values by 2 and 4 for calculation of the quarterly and the annual limits, respectively. By means of this method, the limit tables of the individual indicators presented on Module 8 of PRODIST were built.

     To what refers to the compensations paid to the consumer for the violation of the individual limit, the calculation is made using the quotient of the calculated value in relation to the limits (percentage of limit excess), multiplied by the value of the Distribution System Use Charge (EUSD) and increased by a constant, which depends on the voltage level of the consumer’s connection.

     EUSD is used as a base for the calculation of the individual compensations. EUSD is calculated using the product of the use tariff33 (TUSD) by the respective verified consumption variable or contracted demand, according to Equation 35.

Equation 35 - Calculation of the average EUSD

EUSDaverage = TUSD x Consumo (KWh)

Where:

EUSDaverage: Arithmetic mean of the Distribution System Use Charges (EUSD); TUSD: Distribution System Use Tariffs.

Equation 36 presents the general rule for the calculation of the compensations by indicator.

33 Related to the voltage level and the tariff sub-group.

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

126


 



 

Table 48, there is the result of the regression model.

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

128


 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 

4.3.8.Remuneration Base

     Within the tariff review process, the definition of the Regulatory Remuneration Base (BRR) is a fundamental input for the calculation of the capital remuneration and the regulatory reintegration quota. BRR consists in the group of assets held by the service provider appreciated according to given methodology.

a) Methodology Adopted by ANEEL

     For electric power distribution concessionaires in Brazil, ANEEL uses the DORC (Depreciated Optimized Replacement Cost) method to evaluate the assets of higher representativeness in the BRR value and CCV (Current Cost Valuation) for the valuation of the assets with lower representativeness. Furthermore, the Rolling Forward method is applied with the purpose to provide its movement in time. These methods are described in Appendix F.

     In the Periodic Tariff Review (RTP), the construction of BRR considers two elements. The first is obtained by the BRR amount of the previous RTP (called Frozen asset base), deducting the depreciation and the write-off made in the period between the RTP’s, financially updated by the IPCA index. The second, called additional base, is calculated by means of the additions made in the period between the RTP’s, valued at market prices through an asset re-evaluation process.

     BRR is composed of the values of the followings items: fixed assets in service (evaluated and depreciated); warehouse in operation; deferred assets; and special obligations (or without lien). For the purposes of validation of the physical registration and the re-evaluation, the Fixed Assets in Service (AIS) are divided in the following groups: intangible; land; reservoirs, dams and water networks; buildings, civil works and improvements; machines and equipment; vehicles; and furniture and utensils.

     For the valuation of the electric power distribution assets, DORC or CCV are considered depending on the asset group. The groups of machines and equipment; buildings, civil works and improvements are evaluated by DORC, while the groups of land and easement are evaluated by CCV, i.e., from the accounting values corrected by the IPCA index.

     In the composition of Portion B, the Regulatory Reintegration Quota (QRR) and the Capital Remuneration (RC) are considered. QRR results from the multiplication of the gross BRR by the regulatory depreciation, according to Equation 38

Equation 38 Regulatory Reintegration Quota

QRR BRRb

Where:

QRR = Regulatory reintegration quota.

BRRb = gross BRR.

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

136


 



 



 



 



 



 

Table 56.

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

Prepared for BNDES

142


 



 



 

Replacement Value42). Conversion of VOC (Original Accounting Value43) into VNR is done by the relation of AIS (VNR) / AIS (VOC) of the company in the 3rd RTP, which resulted in 0.95. AIS (VNR) is the approved value of AIS in the 3rd RTP of the company. AIS (VOC) comes from worksheet “Calculation Report - Capital Cost -Factor X” (made available by ANEEL in AP No. 040/2010) adding the VOC informed by the company for the Additional BRR of the 3rd RTP to the value of AIS.

· 100% Depreciated assets: application of an average growth rate determined from the evolution of the monthly accounting balance of the assets, which have been 100% depreciated, considering the average depreciation rate of each asset and the residual value in the database informed by the concessionaire.

· Accrued depreciation: updates the previous accrued depreciation by IPCA, adds the monthly depreciation and takes the write-off depreciation out. o Monthly Depreciation: Gross BRR multiplied by the average depreciation rate. o Write-off Depreciation: application of the average write-off depreciation percentage verified in the Evaluation report prepared by American Appraisal on the value of write-offs in the forecasted month.

· Average Depreciation Rate: the depreciation rate drops from the average level verified in Feb/17, considering the increase of the average service life of the assets. o In Feb/17 the weighted average between the depreciation rate of each asset and its weight in the residual AIS (AIS deducting 100% depreciated assets) verified in the Evaluation report prepared by Deloitte was considered, resulting in 3.22%. o After Feb/17, the rate drops from the average level of 3.22%, because the assets are becoming 100% depreciated (or are written off). The purpose is to estimate which the expected level at the end of the forecast is (2048). For this purpose, we used accounting data made available by the concessionaire in Sep/16 again, projecting the residual AIS year by year. Then, we calculated the average depreciation rates of the assets, weighting the depreciation rates of each asset by its weight in the residual AIS. Once the rate expected in 2048, 2.56%, was obtained, we interpolated the values between Feb/17 and Dec/2048.

· Operation warehouse: proportion of the Operation warehouse account in relation to the gross BRR of the Evaluation report prepared by Deloitte applied to the gross BRR of the forecasted month.

· Depreciated Use Index (R$): segregation of the percentage of assets, which are not land, in the amount of Full IA, using the proportion of the amount of assets in IA of BRR of the 3rd RTP, which are not land.

42 Equivalent to the appreciation by DORC for ANEEL. 43 Equivalent to the appreciation by CCV for ANEEL.

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul Prepared for BNDES 145


 

o In the proportion of the land use index, the annual depreciation rate is not applied. o The annual depreciation rate is applied to the proportion of the use index of the other assets.

· Net special obligations: update of the net special obligation accumulated by the previous month by IPCA, deduction of the Special obligations write-offs from the current month and depreciation of the result.

· Deferred Assets: if any, they evolve with IPCA.· Land and Easement: evolves with IPCA.

· RGR Balance (PLpT): initially, the RGR Balance (PLpT) balance was financially updated by IPCA and the depreciation from the period between the 3rd RTP and Feb/17 was deducted. In the subsequent months, the forecast was made by updating the balance until the precious month by IPCA and depreciation of the result.

· RGR Balance (Other Investments): initially, the RGR Balance (Other Investments) was financially updated by IPCA and the depreciation from the period between the 3rd RTP and Feb/17 was deducted. In the subsequent months, the forecast was made by updating the balance until the precious month by IPCA and depreciation of the result.

     The transaction of the Additional BRR (new investments) was made by means of addition of assets forecasted for the period after Feb/17, deducted from the write-offs related to these assets. The forecast of the Additional BRR account was made as described below:· New Assets (Investments): addition of assets from the current month added to the update (IPCA) of the amount accumulated until the previous month, deducting the write-offs of assets, which entered in operation after the base date Feb/17. The forecast was made using the investments presented in section 4.3.7, deducted at 5%.

Lower percentage of deductions was considered in the forecast period considering that the additional efforts for asset management and modernization of the asset and unification controls will increase the consistency of the information and reduce the differences, which generated these regulatory deductions.

· Asset Write-offs: o By Feb/27: null, considering the reduced probability of the assets to be written off in the first 10 years. o Between Mar/27 and Feb/32: 1/3 multiplied by the Write-off/AIS ratio of the Frozen asset BRR. o Between Mar/32 and Feb/42: 2/3 multiplied by the Write-off/AIS ratio of the Frozen asset BRR. o From Mar/42 on: full ratio of Write-off/AIS of the Frozen asset BRR.

PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul Prepared for BNDES 146


 

  • Gross special obligations: additions of special obligations and update by IPCA. The compensation amounts for indicator violation, forecasted between 2019 and 2023,
      were      added to this account following the provisions in Sub-Clause One of Clause
      Nineteen, which stipulates Transitory Provisions in Technical Note No. 182/2017.
  • 100% Depreciated assets: it was considered null by Feb/32, given the insignificant proportion of assets, which become 100% depreciated in the period. After this date, scaling was done as follows:
      o      Between Mar/32 and Feb/37: 1/3 multiplied by the average proportion of the 100% Depreciated Assets/AIS ratio of companies of the North and the North- East Regions in the 3rd CRTP. The following were companies considered: Celtins, Energisa Borborema, Celpe and Cemar.
      o      Between Mar/37 and Feb/42: 2/3 multiplied by the average proportion of the 100% Depreciated Assets/AIS ratio of companies of the North and the North- East Regions in the 3rd CRTP.
      o      From Mar/42 on: average proportion of the 100% Depreciated Assets/AIS ratio of companies of the North and the North-East Regions in the 3rd CRTP.
       It was considered that in 25 years, the companies from the Eletrobras Group will be with level of 100% depreciated assets similar to that of the compared
  • Full Use companies Index (R$): in the multiplication North and the of AIS North-East (new assets) Regions. from each month by the Use Index/AIS ratio verified in BRR in the Evaluation report prepared by Deloitte.
  • Accrued depreciation: update of the accrued depreciation prior to IPCA and addition of the monthly depreciation.
  • Average depreciation rate: the weight of the investments made available in the Quinquennium Investment Plan (PIQ) from 2018 to 2022, presented in Front 5 Report was considered per group of assets and their respective depreciation rates.
      The segregation of each investment per registration unit of the asset base was done according to the big items (ex: substation busbars, power transformers, reclosers, conductors, etc.), when possible. Thus, the average depreciation rate coming from the investments provided in PIQ was obtained, which resulted in 3.22% of the AIS, as it can be observed in Table 59. This rate was kept constant along the 30 years of concession.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    147


     



     



     



     



     

    (c)      the new operational cost for 2017 was obtained by the sum of (a) and (b).
    (d)      the share of (c) in VPB for 2017 was applied to VPBo for 2018, obtaining an estimation of the operational costs coverage for 2018;
    (e)      the IPCA accumulated in one year was applied, reducing the Factor X, to (c). The difference between this value and (d) was applied to VPB for 2018.

         In 2019, there will be extraordinary review. For its implementation, the tariff coverage of the Annual Asset Cost (CAA, composed of the sum of the equity remuneration, regulatory reintegration quota and annuity of the fixed and portable facilities) was estimated using a mechanism similar to that for the calculation of the operational cost tariff coverage. This value was excluded from VPB and the CAA forecast for 2019 was added. The forecast already includes the closed and the additional base reports.

         It shall also be pointed out that for the period between 2017 and 2022, the regulatory limits for Non-Technical Losses were made flexible, being replaced by the average between the verified Non-Technical Losses and the regulatory losses observed in 2016. This procedure was not adopted for AmE and Boa Vista Energia, because their technical losses were made flexible by the Approval of Resolution No. 2.184/2016.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    152


     

    Table 66 Estimations for Required Revenues, VPA and VPB for Ceron (rated R$ million)

      RA1  VPA  VPB   
    Regulatory Year  Reference Period  Required Revenue  Value of Portion A  Value of Portion B 
    2017  Nov/16 - Oct/17  R$1,454.85  R$1,095.97  R$358.88 
    2018  Nov/17 - Oct/18  R$1,572.82  R$1,177.63  R$395.18 
    2019  Nov/18 - Oct/19  R$1,753.76  R$1,256.13  R$497.62 
    2020  Nov/18 - Oct/20  R$1,876.28  R$1,338.12  R$538.16 
    2021  Nov/20 - Oct/21  R$2,000.71  R$1,422.34  R$578.37 
    2022  Nov/21 - Oct/22  R$2,132.94  R$1,510.19  R$622.76 
    2023  Nov/22 - Oct/23  R$2,188.11  R$1,491.53  R$696.58 
    2024  Nov/23 - Oct/24  R$2,298.59  R$1,577.71  R$720.88 
    2025  Nov/24 - Oct/25  R$2,414.58  R$1,669.83  R$744.75 
    2026  Nov/25 - Oct/26  R$2,534.71  R$1,766.44  R$768.27 
    2027  Nov/26 - Oct/27  R$2,655.65  R$1,868.08  R$787.56 
    2028  Nov/27 - Oct/28  R$2,763.46  R$1,963.10  R$800.36 
    2029  Nov/28 - Oct/29  R$2,916.51  R$2,073.03  R$843.48 
    2030  Nov/29 - Oct/30  R$3,076.24  R$2,188.09  R$888.15 
    2031  Nov/30 - Oct/31  R$3,241.75  R$2,307.55  R$934.20 
    2032  Nov/31 - Oct/32  R$3,416.45  R$2,433.84  R$982.61 
    2033  Nov/32 - Oct/33  R$3,564.61  R$2,554.25  R$1,010.36 
    2034  Nov/33 - Oct/34  R$3,758.73  R$2,694.57  R$1,064.15 
    2035  Nov/34 - Oct/35  R$3,964.35  R$2,843.49  R$1,120.86 
    2036  Nov/35 - Oct/36  R$4,181.80  R$3,001.14  R$1,180.66 
    2037  Nov/36 - Oct/37  R$4,411.78  R$3,168.06  R$1,243.72 
    2038  Nov/37 - Oct/38  R$4,451.51  R$3,326.15  R$1,125.36 
    2039  Nov/38 - Oct/39  R$4,705.49  R$3,511.80  R$1,193.69 
    2040  Nov/39 - Oct/40  R$4,975.25  R$3,708.97  R$1,266.28 
    2041  Nov/40 - Oct/41  R$5,261.31  R$3,917.88  R$1,343.43 
    2042  Nov/41 - Oct/42  R$5,564.72  R$4,139.29  R$1,425.43 
    2043  Nov/42 - Oct/43  R$5,819.34  R$4,350.91  R$1,468.43 
    2044  Nov/43 - Oct/44  R$6,148.99  R$4,597.67  R$1,551.32 
    2045  Nov/44 - Oct/45  R$6,499.21  R$4,860.08  R$1,639.14 
    2046  Nov/45 - Oct/46  R$6,870.71  R$5,138.50  R$1,732.22 
    2047  Nov/46 - Oct/47  R$7,264.94  R$5,434.02  R$1,830.92 
        Source: Own Elaboration   

     

         Adopting the hypothesis that the financial components will be neutral along the period, the tariff transactions are obtained by direct comparison of the required revenues to the revenues observed in the reference period.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    153


     



     

    5. Analysis of the supplier

         The corporate purpose of the company is to design, construct, and explore the utility of electric power distribution to the end consumers, as well as the services that may be granted thereto or authorized by any title of right and activities associated to the utility of energy, and also to provide technical services of its specialty and to execute the other acts required to the achievement of its purpose, being such activities regulated and inspected by Brazilian Electricity Regulatory Agency ANEEL, an entity related to the Ministry of Mines and Energy MME.

         On October 15, 2012, the suppliers of Eletrobras whose concessions expired in 2015, were entitled to manifest the interest in the extension of the concession for an additional period of 30 years, which they did within the term set forth. On July 22, 2016, the 165th Extraordinary General Meeting of Centrais Elétricas Brasileiras S.A. Eletrobras, resolved for the non extension of the concessions of the controlled Energy Distributor of Eletrobras Group.

         The ordinance of the Ministry of Mines and Energy no. 422, of August 3, 2016, designated the Company as Responsible for the Provision of the Utility of Electric Power Distribution, aims at guaranteeing the continuity of the service in the Concession area of the State of Rondônia until the designation of the new concessionaire, or until December 31, 2017, whichever occurs first, in the areas corresponding to the Cities in the State of the Supplier.

         The financial valuation of the Supplier considers as an assumption that a new concession contract will be entered into with the granting authority on 03/01/2018. At the closing of the year on Dec/2016, the Company registered losses in its operations, related to the period of 2016, in the amount of R$ 835,268, increasing the accumulated losses to R$ 2,617,163. It also presented excess of current liability on current assets in the amount of R$ 1,377,303.

    5.1.Historical Financial Statements

         The period considered in the retrospective analyses of the Company’s financial statements corresponds to the interval between 2014 and 2016. The following indicators were based on the historical audited financial statements of the Company:

    Figure 20 Historical Financial Indicators

         Three indicators were analyzed in order to measure the Company’s leverage levels and its capacity to honor the short term obligations: the total financial debt to total of assets, the long-term debt to total assets, and the current ratio.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    155


     

         Ceron presented low and stable indexes of indebtedness over the last years. However, the current liquidity ratio has been low over the analyzed period, having dropped in 2016.

         In relation to the company’s operational performance, the growth rates of the net operational revenue and of the operational costs and expenses were analyzed. On net revenues, it was observed an average annual growth rate (“CAGR”) of 6.48% in the analyzed period, followed by a CAGR of 41.25% on costs and 120.44% on expenses. The observed dynamics in the evolution of revenues and expenditures of the company directly impacted the profitability indicators presented and discussed as follows.

         The gross margin of Ceron dropped significantly over the last three years, from 39.6% in 2014 to a negative mark of -6.2% in 2016. The same dynamics of reduction was observed in EBITDA margin and net margin, which dropped from 34.5% and 24.0% in 2014 to -36.9% and -56.3% in 2016, respectively.

         We present below the items of the historical audited financial statements of the company taken as base for the analysis of the selected indicators.

    Figure 21 Summarized Income Statements

    Figure 22 Summarized Balance Sheet

         We present below the Historical Audited Financial Statements (DFs) of the Supplier. Additionally, the analyses performed in the accounting due diligence conducted in line with the economical-financial assessment process are provided, as well as financial indicators related to the end of the year of 2016.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    156


     



     



     



     



     

    6. Valuation
    6.1.Methodology

         Valuation of the company was performed using the Discounted Cash Flow method, based on projected profits.

         This method estimates the value of a company or business based on the net present value of the projected cash flows for that company or business. The projections consider the cash inflows and outflows, including investments required for the maintenance and/or expansion of the Company, treating the business as a going concern. These projections are related to the business plan developed by the administration of the Company, the prospects of the electric sector in Brazil, as well as macroeconomic considerations. The final valuation under the DCF method reflect the value of tangible and intangible assets and liabilities that contribute for the future free cash flows of the Company.

         The Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF) approach was adopted, where the cash flows from operational and investment activities are considered, but not debt or financing activities. The net present value of the projected FCFF was calculated using a discount rate equivalent to the

    Company’s weighted average cost of capital, resulting in a total operational value of the company (“Enterprise Value”, or “EV”). The Company’s Net Debt is subtracted from the EV as are the non-operational assets and liabilities, resulting in a valuation of 100% of the company’s shares (“Equity Value”).

    6.2. Discount Rate

         The discount rate was calculated using the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) methodology. This methodology considers the cost of equity and the cost of debt, weighted by the

    Company’s leverage raio taxes according to the equation below:

    9#%% = -@ T [s 6] T & ' + -A T ' & + ' + &

    Where:

    WACC = Weighted Average Cost of Capital:

    Kd = Cost of debt;

    Ke = Cost of equity

    D = Debt weight;

    E = Equity weight; and

    T = Income tax rate.

         The cost of the debt was calculated based on the SELIC projections, provided by Boletim Focus BACEN, presented in section 10.3. The spread over SELIC observed for the Brazilian electricity distributors average cost of debt was added to the SELIC projections.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    161


     


    Table 67 - Unlevered Beta of comparable companies

    Company  Unlevered Beta 
    ENERGISA  0.50 
    EQUATORIAL  0.58 
    COSERN  0.35 
    COELBA  0.17 
    COELCE  0.35 
    CPFL  0.56 
    EDP  0.66 
    ELETROPAULO  0.28 
    CEMIG  0.62 
    LIGHT  0.57 
    COPEL  0.56 
    CELESC  0.38 
    Average  0.47 

     

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    162


     



     

    the Contract Draft made public by Aneel that establishes a concession period of 30 years (from March 1,2018 to February 29, 2048).

         The Cash Flows projections therefore considered the period from January 1, 2017 to February 29, 2048. However, the business value is based only on the Cash Flows projected for the period from March 1, 2018 to February 29, 2048, as decided by BNDES and the Consortium. This period corresponds to the best assumption for the entry of new investors and the start of a new concession contract. The cash flows were projected in current-day Reais (BRL) (taking into account inflation effects) and discounted at a variable WACC rate according to the calculations previously presented. From the valuation base date (Dec. 31, 2016) to the estimated date for the start of the new concession contract (Mar. 1, 2018), only the Brazilian inflation rate (IPCA) was included in the discount factor. This approach was used in order to assure the business risk would not affect the period prior to the entry of the potential investor.

    Operational Assumptions

    Market demand

    The operational assumptions are based on projected energy consumption as it relates to:· Regulated Market: the amount of energy consumed by the clients of the Residential, Commercial, Industrial, Rural and Other Classes, who pay the distributor both for the consumed energy and the distribution service.

    · Free Consumers: the amount of energy consumed by the clients of Commercial and Industrial classes that pay the Distributor only for the distribution service, negotiating the price of the consumed energy directly with other market participants.

    · Supplied Distributors: the amount of energy delivered to another energy distribution company that serves consumers outside the concession area of the Distributor.

    · Regulatory Allowance for Energy Losses: the amount of energy the Distributor would have as a write-off due to Technical Losses, Non-Technical Losses, and Losses in the High Voltage Network, according to the efficiency limits

    ·  established Regulatory by Allowance Aneel.  for Contracted Energy:  the amount of energy the 

     

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    164


     

    generate or buy to supply the consumers (Regulated Market, Free Consumers, and

    ·  Excess Supply), considering Contracted its Energy: index of Verified the excess Energy amount Losses. of  energy  the  Distributor 

     

    generates or buys in relation to the Required Energy Supply. This variable was projected according to the contracted amounts informed by the Company's Distribution Board. Additionally, the perspectives of adequacy of the Energy Balance with the achievement of an optimum level of 3% of Excess Contracted Energy were considered. Such optimum level is established in order to guarantee a safety margin to the supply of the demand for energy. Considering a scenario where the Regulatory Allowance for Energy Losses and the Verified Energy Losses were equivalent, the Distributor would be paid by the generation and purchase of energy exceeding the demand up to the upper limit of 5% of Excess Contracted Energy calculated on the Regulatory Allowance for Contracted Energy.

    · Self-Generation: the amount of energy the Distributor itself generates through power stations and generators. As explained in this report, because Portion A was considered neutral, we did not explicitly consider the volume of self-generated energy in the projections, although its effects are implicit in the Working Capital projections.

    · Energy Purchase: the amount of energy bought by the Distributor to supply its consuming market, equivalent to the Required Energy Supply added to the Excess Contracted Energy.

    · VPA Volume: the amount of energy distributed to the Regulated Market consumers and the Supplied Distributors, who pay for the cost of the energy they consume.

    · VPB Volume: the amount of energy distributed to the Regulated Market consumers, Free Consumers, and Supplied Distributors, who only pay for the cost of the energy distribution services.

    Electricity Rate

         The Electricity Rate, the sale price of the electric power to the consumers in R$/MWh, is composed of Portions A and B. The former relates to the cost of energy production and other non-management costs, and the latter relates to returns to investment and the operational margin inherent in the electric power distribution service. The Electricity Rate is adjusted or revised on an annual basis by Aneel.

         Our analyses considered the net value of the Electricity Rate meaning the taxes are not projected separately.

    · Portion A

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    165


     

         Portion A considers five factors in its calculation: Energy Costs, Transportation Costs, Sector Charges, Finance Charges, and Bad Debt.

         The calculation method applied for Portion A considers that its components should not have an impact on the business value (neutrality), since eventual gains or losses related to estimates made during the rate adjustment are neutralized in the adjustment the following year.

         However, there are two cases where the principle of neutrality of Portion A is not applicable: i- When the Cost of Capital of the Distributor is different from the Adjustment Rate applied on the Finance Charges. In such case, the impact will be the difference between the net present values calculated using the different rates. Considering that the difference between the rates is not relevant, the Finance Charges were not projected. Thus, we consider the costs related to Energy Purchase, Transportation, and Sector Charges (R$/MWh) as they are used in the Electricity Rate calculations. ii- When the amount (MWh) of Required Energy Supply is over the limit of 105% of the Regulatory Allowance for Contracted Energy. In such case, the impact is considered in a portion of the costs related to Energy Purchase and Transportation that is not considered in the Electricity Rate calculation. Such an impact is considered in the valuation, as detailed in this report.

    a) Energy Cost

         The energy cost is calculated from the Weighted Average Cost of the Energy, in R$/MWh, considering the Energy Purchase Contracts.

         Some Energy Purchase Contracts, as is the case for Self-Generation, have a different approach from the Portion A calculation methodology, using costs from the last energy auctions in the regulated market in order to balance the energy costs to consumers from different distributors operating in the Brazilian market.

         In these cases, the differences between the effective cost of energy to the Distributor and the cost considered in Portion A is repaid to the Distributor through CCC. Since the projections assume the neutrality of Portion A, such differences were not considered. However, the financial impact related to the period between the payments of Energy Purchase Costs and the CCC repayments is considered in the projections of the Distributor’s Working Capital needs.

         The Consortium observed recent cases in the electric power distribution sector where this difference is directly paid to the party responsible for the power generation, and does not impact the distributor’s Working Capital needs and, therefore, does not present a financial impact for the company. This observed trend supports the assumption of neutrality of Portion A considered in the projections, as well as the assumption of normalization of Working Capital levels based on the average financial indicators for the electricity distribution sector, as discussed in next sections.

    The costs informed in the last Distributor’s rate adjustment were used to define the

    Weighted Average Cost of Energy as of the base date. The referred average cost was projected considering inflation rate assumptions. Since the monetary adjustments are carried out in the following year through the Finance Charges, which were not considered in the valuation, we

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    166


     

    considered the costs used in the calculation of Portion A to be equivalent to the effective Energy Purchase Costs.

         Thus, the fraction of Portion A related to the Energy Purchase Cost has a negative financial impact in the cases where the considered Energy Purchase is more than 5% higher than the Regulatory Allowance for Contracted Energy.

    b) Transportation Costs

         The transportation costs refer to the SIN transmission system. The Transportation Costs are paid by the Distributor in order to receive the purchased energy.

    Transportation Costs were projected based on the relation between the Transportation

    Cost and the Energy Cost (in R$/MWh) observed in the last Distributor’s rate adjustment. The calculations consider the Distributor´s estimated plans for interconnection.

         Thus, the fraction of Portion A related to the Transportation Cost has a negative financial impact in the cases where the Required Energy Supply is more than 5% higher than the Regulatory Allowance for Contracted Energy.

    c) Sector Charges

         The energy distributors collect the applicable Sector Charges from their consumers and transfer the values to the sector funds.

         The Sector Charges were projected based on the values considered in the last available rate adjustment. The base values were adjusted considering the projections for the inflation rate.

         Due the assumption of neutrality of Portion A, the Sector Charges do not present financial impact in the valuation. However, the financial impact related to the period between the payment of Sector Charges and the receipt from the consumers is considered in the projections of the Distributor’s Working Capital needs.

    d) Finance Charges

    As mentioned before, the Finance Charges were not considered in the valuation. e) Bad Debts

         Since the projections consider impact of Bad Debts on the cash flows net of the regulatory allowance considered in Portion A, values related to Bad Debts in the calculation of Portion A were not considered.

    · Portion B

         Portion B compensates the distributor for capital expenditures and operating margin of the electric power distribution service. It is calculated according to the methodology previously explained in this report and divided by the size of the market considered in the rate adjustments/revision to obtain a value expressed in R$/MWh.

    Revenues

    The projected Net Operating Revenues are composed of four types of revenues:

    · Portion A

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    167


     

    Product of the Energy Tariff (R$/MWh) related to Portion A and VPA Volume (MWh).

    · Portion B

    Product of the Energy Tariff (R$/MWh) related to Portion B and VPB Volume (MWh).

    · Sale of the Excess Contracted Energy

         The sale of Excess Contracted Energy is considered for the amounts over the regulatory allowance limit (5.0%) in relation to the Required Energy Supply. The energy price considered for the sale of the Excess Contracted Energy is the Difference Liquidation Price (PLD).

         The PLD projection considers the average values observed over the last 5 years for the maximum and minimum limits fof PLD as well as the average PLD in the region. The observed values were adjusted considering the inflation rate projections. The projections also considered the historical seasonality of PLD, since the averages were calculated for each month of the year. The value considered in the sale of Excess Contracted Energy is the projected average value between the minimum limit and observed mean of PLD in the region.

    · Other Revenues

         The other revenues include Chargeable Services and Sharing of Infrastructure, for example. No real growth was projected for those revenues.

    All the projections were estimated net of sales tax, such as PIS, COFINS, and ICMS.

    Costs   
    ·  Energy Purchase 

     

         Product of the Energy Purchase (MWh) and the respective cost (R$/MWh) as projected in Portion A.

    · Cost of Own Generation, Fuel and CCC Repayments

         As explained before, because of the assumption of neutrality of Portion A, the values related to such items are not considered in this valuation.

    · Transportation

         Considering the assumption of neutrality of Portion A, the same value in R$/MWh considered in Portion A was considered as transportation costs. The impact on the Company’s valuation refers only to the amount of energy transported that exceeds the Regulatory Allowance for Contracted Energy.

    Operating Expenses

         In addition to the costs of Energy and Transportation, distributors also presents operational expenses, as described below:

    · PMSO

         Expenses of Personnel, Materials, Third Parties’ Services, and Other, projected according to the regulatory methodology of Portion B previously explained. The projected PMSO separated into the four components mentioned above is based on the historical average for each type of expense, as observed in the Distributor’s financial statements.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    168


     

         An additional cost is considered in relation to the eligible PMSO for Portion B, since some distributors’ expenses are not covered by regulatory allowance. This Additional Cost is projected from historical information made available by the Distribution Board and follows an accelerated path of efficiency gain in relation to PMSO. This assumption is adopted because it is expected that the Distributor will concentrate efforts to reduce costs that do not have a regulatory allowance.

    · Bad Debts

         The bad debt levels were projected as a decreasing percentage of the net revenues. The calculations were made according to the regulatory methodology of Portion B previously explained. As mentioned before, the percentage was calculated net of the regulatory allowance provided as part of Portion A.

    Depreciation and Amortization

         The projections for depreciation of existing assets (financial, tangible, and fixed) were based on the historical relation between the Depreciation and Amortization Expenses and the the book value of the assets, calculated using the audited Financial Statements of the Distributor.

         The average depreciation considered in the calculations of Regulatory Remuneration Base (BRR) was the same used for the new investments.

    Financial Result

         Since the valuation method used was the Free Cash Flow for the Firm approach, the financial revenues or expenses were not projected.

    Direct Taxes

         The Income Tax (IR) and the Social Contribution on Net Profit (CSLL) were projected, considering 15% with additional 10% tax rate for the IR and 9% rate for the CSLL.

         The deferred tax assets were also considered in the projections. The values reported in the financial due diligence were used as of the base date, and the applicable updates for the projection period were considered.

    Investments (Capex)

         The projections consider investments in electric and non-electric assets to meet the operational needs of the Distributor, projected as described in item 5.3.7 Long-Term Investment of this report.

    Working Capital and Other Adjustments

         The Working Capital needs are projected using the value reported in the financial due diligence as of the Base Date, and contains, among other things, the accounts receivable or payable (clients, suppliers, sector charges, and CCC). The observed relation between the initial Working Capital and the Net Operating Revenue of the previous period is considered as the starting point for the Working Capital projections. A linear normalization was proposed, starting in the 25th projected month until the Distributor reaches the benchmark of 1.29% (see the table below) in the 84th projected month.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    169


     



     



     



     



     



     



     



     



     



     



     



     



     



     



     

    7.      References
    [1]      “Portal do Brasil,” [Online]. Available: http://www.achetudoeregiao.com.br/ro/historia_de_rondonia.htm.
      [Acesso em 13 04 2017].
    [2]      A. Gorayeb, “Opinião de Rondônia,” 21 09 2016. [Online]. Available: http://www.opiniaoderondonia.com/noticia/do-fundo-do-bau-servico-de-abastecimento-de-agua-luz-e- forca-do-territorio/157879. [Acesso em 05 04 2017].
    [3]      Eletrobrás, “Eletrobrás Distribuição Rondônia,” Eletrobrás, [Online]. Available: http://www.eletrobrasrondonia.com/empCeronNHistoria.cfm. [Acesso em 05 04 2017].
    [4]      “Wikipédia - Rondônia,” [Online]. Available: https://pt.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rond%C3%B4nia. [Acesso em 06
      04 2017].
    [5]      E. d. P. Energética, “Plano Nacional de Energia 2030,” Rio de Janeiro, 2007.
    [6]      E. D. Rondônia, “Plano Decenal 2015 - 2024,” 2015.
    [7]      E. D. Rondônia, “Reunião GT Desestatização EDES,” 2017.
    [8]      B. Mundial, “The Regulatory Challange of Asset VAluation: A Case Study from the Brazilian Electricity Distribution Sector. Energy Working Notes. Energy and Mining Sector Board.,” 2004.
    [9]      PricewaterhouseCoopers, “Electricity Lines Business – ODV Valuation. Study for Unison Networks Limited,”
      New Zealand, 2005.
    [10]      K. F. O. &. R. G. Israel, “Why Does Everyone Use the .05 Level of Significance?, Research Quarterly for Exercise and Sport,” 1987.
    [11]      J. M. WOOLDRIDGE, “Econometric analysis of cross section and panel data. MIT Press.,” 2010.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    184


     

    ANNEX I Extent of Responsibility

         This report (the “Report”) was jointly prepared by PricewaterhouseCoopers Corporate Finance & Recovery Ltda. ("PwC CFR") and Siglasul Consultoria Ltda. (“SSU”) for the use of the Brazilian Development Bank ("BNDES") with the purpose of supporting the privatization process of the Distributors of Eletrobras System (the “Privatization”), in accordance with contract OCS 028/2017 of February 14, 2017 (the “Contract”).

         The Report was prepared based on the information and documents provided by the administration of Centrais Elétricas de Rondônia (the “Administration”). The works carried out do not constitute an exam performed according to the audit standards for financial statements; the works of financial valuation are not regulated and do not have specific determined standards and, for this reason, the procedures applied by us were determined in the Official Notice or aligned with BNDES where indicated in this Report.

         This analysis considers only one of several methods that may be used to calculate the valuation of a company, with nothing preventing the potential stakeholders from using their own valuation of the projects. Our analysis did not consider eventual synergies, strategic reasons, scale economies, or other benefits or drawbacks that eventual investors could experience in the event of a change of shareholding interests of the Company.

         Upon preparing the analysis, we used information and historical and projected data, not audited by the Consortium and provided in writing or orally by the Administration or obtained from the mentioned sources. Additionally, as every prediction is subjective and depends on individual judgment, being subject to uncertainties, we did not present predictions as specific results to be achieved.

    Our work considered the contingencies considered in the other reports of diligences prepared by

    Consórcio Mais Energia B (the “Consortium”) under the terms of the Contract, that contain more detailed information.

         Our work was developed with the purposes described above, therefore, it should not be used for other purposes.

         In the event we become aware, at any time, of facts or information that had not been provided to us, we reserve the right to revise the calculations and the numerical results.

         We do not take responsibility for the update of our reports outside the terms provided in the Contract with BNDES.

         We do not take any responsibility, outside the legal hypotheses or hypotheses provided in the Contract executed with BNDES, for losses caused to BNDES, to Centrais Elétricas de Rondônia, companies connected thereto, their shareholders, officers, or other parties, as a consequence of use of the data and information provided by Centrais Elétricas de Rondônia, or obtained from other sources, or for the improper use of our reports that does not observe the disclaimers of the previous paragraphs.

         Finally, the provisions of Contract OCS no. 28/2017 (and its annexes) and the effective legislation were followed in the preparation of this Report, whose copyrights are granted to BNDES under the terms of art. 8 of Law no. 13.303/2016. All information transmitted in this document may be used and disclosed by BNDES, without any restriction.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    185


     



     



     



     



     



     

    Table 85 Family of Exponential Models

        Seasonal Component 
    Trend Component    A  M 
      N (none)  (additive)  (multiplicative) 
    N (none)  N,N  N,A  N,M 
    A (additive)  A,N  A,A  A,M 
    Ad (smoothed additive)  Ad,N  Ad,A  Ad,M 
    M (multiplicative)  M,N  M,A  M,M 
    Md (smoothed multiplicative)  Md,N  Md,A  Md,M 

     

    Source: Adapted from http://robjhyndman.com/talks/RevolutionR/6-ETS.pdf.

    Such models present some specific names, namely: N,N: Simple exponential smoothing

    A,N: Holt’s linear method

    Ad,N: Additive damped trend method M,N: Exponential trend method Md,N: Multiplicative damped trend method

    A,A: Additive Holt-Winters’ method

    A,M: Multiplicative Holt-Winters’ method

         The State Space Models also enable the differentiated treatment of the error component, which may be additive or multiplicative, and which increases the variability of options for the projection of time series. The following are some models: A,N,N: Simple exponential smoothing with additive errors

    A,A,N: Holt’s linear method with additive errors

    A,A,A: Additive Holt-Winters’ method with additive errors

    A,Ad,N: Damped trend method with additive errors

    M,A,N: Holt’s linear method with multiplicative errors

    M,A,M: Multiplicative Holt-Winters’ method with multiplicative errors

    c) Dynamic Models

         The Dynamic Models of Linear Regression applied in time series, enable combining the use of auxiliary variables, components of trend, seasonality, and self-regressive parameters, to make predictions using Ordinary Least Squares (OLS). The time series yt may be expressed by a constant Ã0 plus a self-regressive part that depends on the dephased value of the series plus a coefficient multiplied by the auxiliary variable and added to the error term.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    191


     

    Equation 51 - Dynamic Model

    Uç = Ú4 + 5Uç 5 + Ú4Tç + ç

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    192


     

    APPENDIX C - Selection of Models for Market Projections

         The selection of models to perform market projections was made from the selection of models that would present greater strength among the set of models estimated in each distributor and market. It should be noted that the historical series of consumption per class (MWh) presented very strange characteristics, especially due to the economic crisis experienced by Brazil, resulting in greater variability of the sets of data, structural and momentary breaks, modifying the standard and level of the series, diverging from historical standards previously experienced, and increasing the difficult of finding an ideal regression model to perform forecasts.

         The models were selected within the set of adjusted models considering: the most adequate methodology to be deployed; the use of transformations in the historical series; the need of use of auxiliary variables; the analysis of the information criteria; the analysis of the residuals; and the value of the need of change in the period of the observed historical series, in order to obtain more robust models.

         Statistical tests were used in the analysis of the residuals to check assumptions of non-correlation of errors, heteroscedasticity, and normality, namely: Ljung-Box, Durbin-Watson, Arch, and Jarque Bera tests. Additionally, the residuals of the models were analyzed, through serial autocorrelation graphs and histograms. In the cases of the statistical tests, the greater the p-value, the greater the evidence of non-violated assumptions. To fix a base value, the significance level of 1% was used (0.01).

         Considering all aspects presented, the purpose was to find the most robust forecast models within each market and class. Below are the p-value of the statistical tests carried out in each distributor and class of the final models used in the projections, which were elected as most adequate among the possibilities and specificities of each historical series.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    193


     

    Table 86 Statistical Indicators

     
        Self-     
    Company  Class  relationship  Heterocedasticity  Normality 
    AME  Residential  0,676  0,669  0,946 
      Industrial  0,058  0,735  0,064 
      Commercial  0,957  0,986  0,136 
      Rural  0,418  0,46  0,001 
      Public Entity  0,852  0,086  0,001 
      Public Lighting  0,140  0,245  0,001 
      Public Service  0,007  0,03  0,000001 
      Self consumption  0,34  0,514  0,557 
    ELETROACRE  Residential  0,748  0,178  0,54 
      Industrial  0,929  0,0084  0,6287 
      Commercial  0,629  0,268  0,369 
      Rural  0,070  0,702  0,314 
      Public Entity  0,121  0,911  0,224 
      Public Lighting  0,999  0,960  0,0000001 
      Public Service  0,921  0,345  0,0001 
      Self consumption  0,847  0,978  0,234 
    CEPISA  Residential  0,050  0,285  0,519 
      Industrial  0,386  0,53  0,788 
      Commercial  0,908  0,617  0,797 
      Rural  0,503  0,667  0,06 
      Public Entity  0,109  0,344  0,255 
      Public Lighting  0,104  0,144  0,3 
      Public Service  0,134  0,577  0,007 
      Self consumption  0,268  0,779  0,108 
    CEAL  Residential  0,307  0,661  0,739 
      Industrial  0,002  0,141  0,019 
      Commercial  0,977  0,623  0,3388 
      Rural  0,735  0,983  0,0032 
      Public Entity  0,503  0,548  0,003 
      Public Lighting  0,603  0,997  0,0001 
      Public Service  0,467  0,686  0,328 
      Self consumption  0,547  0,958  0,22 
    Ceron  Residential  0,987  0,399  0,688 
      Industrial  0,815  0,8343  0,010 
      Commercial  0,081  0,701  0,646 
      Rural  0,278  0,452  0,428 
      Public Entity  0,007  0,361  0,386 
      Public Lighting  0,607  0,992  0,00003 
      Public Service  0,137  0,850  0,803 
      Self consumption  0,002  0,407  0,053 
    BOA VISTA  Residential  0,813  0,634  0,88 
      Industrial  0,757  0,856  0,001 
      Commercial  0,007  0,814  0,2329 
      Rural  0,123  0,732  0,325 
      Public Entity  0,289  0,942  0,00001 
      Public Lighting  0,819  0,809  0,152 
      Public Service  0,289  0,942  0,00002 
      Self consumption  0,953  0,998  0,000005 
    Source: Self prepared.

     

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    194


     



     



     



     



     



     



     

    ii.      Rolling Forward: this represents the shielding of the initial base, defined from any of the methods previously detailed, and subsequent update of the shielded values until the date of each tariff revision, taking into consideration the monetary indexing, the deduction of the write-offs, the depreciation, and the additions (whose methods may be different from those used for the initial base). This method converts the initial asset into a kind of financial asset. Once incorporated to the BRR, the price of the asset is not reassessed again nor is technological change incorporated.
      This method is used by ANEEL in the valuation of the BRR of the electric power distributors in Brazil.

    Comparison Value Method

         This method is determined from the values associated to the BRR of similar companies with a sample of comparable assets. To its calculation, it is required the establishment of a benchmarking and the gathering of the values defined to the BRR of other companies.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    201


     



     



     

    To

    National Bank for Economic and Social Development ("BNDES") Av. República do Chile, 100 Rio de Janeiro - RJ

    C/O: Ms. Lidiane Delesderrier Gonçalves - OCS 028/2017 Agreement Manager June 2017 Dear Sirs,

    According to our service agreement OCS 028/2017 ("Agreement") executed between BNDES and the Mais Energia B Consortium ("Consortium") on 2/14/2017, we present the result of our work carried out in the context of Privatization of Eletrobrás System Distributors.

    The result of our work is detailed in this document "Product 07: CERON Technical-Operational Evaluation Report ("Report"), dated June 2017.

    Our work was developed solely for the purpose of advising the BNDES, as those responsible for executing and monitoring the process of privatization of utility companies by Decree 8,893, in CERON's evaluation, in accordance with the Agreement, and was based on information provided by CERON's management and on the premise that this information is true and complete. This information was not subject to testing or verification, except where expressly stated within the scope of our work.

    In case the Report is to be accessed by third parties, it must be made available in full, so that the applicable safeguards and limitations are known.

    Regards,

    Siglasul Consultoria Ltda., as member of the Consortium

    ___________________________
    Luis Fernando Alvarez

    ______________________________
    Leonardo Campos Filho

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    1

    This document is a true copy of the original signed version delivered to BNDES and in the possession of Eletrobras.


     

    Summary   
     
    1.  Executive summary  5 
    2.  Company operational characterization and diagnosis  7 
    2.1.  Characterization of the company's area of activity  8 
    2.2.  Geoelectric Characterization of the Concession  16 
    2.3.  Utility's Consumer Market Analysis  21 
    2.4.  Operating Indicators  26 
    2.5.  Energy Purchase and Sale Indicators  34 
    2.6.  Asset Conditions  37 
    2.7.  Critical points observed during the field visit and challenges for new utilities  39 
    3.  Five-Year Investment Plan ("PIQ")  41 
    4.  References  45 
    APPENDIX A - Socioeconomic Characterization of the Concession Area  46 
    APPENDIX B- Consumer Market  49 
    APPENDIX C- Response to Emergencies  50 
    APPENDIX D- Norte II Agreement  52 
     
     
    Figures   
    Figure 1 - State of Rondônia (capital highlighted)  9 
    Figure 2 - Federal and State Highways of Rondônia  12 
    Figure 3 - Cumulative total precipitation for the Brazilian states.  15 
    Figure 4 - Average temperatures observed for the Brazilian states  16 
    Figure 5 - National Interconnected System  18 
    Figure 6 - Regional representation according to interconnection to the Basic Grid  19 
    Figure 7 - Map of the state, with the distribution of substations.  20 
    Figure 8 - Radial system (230 kV) for supplying the states of Rondônia and Acre  38 
    Figure 9 - Rate Groups and Categories  49 
     
     
    Graphs   
    Graph 1 - Total Road Density (km/km²)  11 
    Graph 2 - Percentage of Existing and Planned Roads in 2015  12 
    Graph 3 - Competitiveness of generation sources  17 
    Graph 4 - DEC Determined Indicator and Limits  27 
    Graph 5 - FEC Determined Indicator and Limits  28 
    Graph 6 - Number of Sets that violated their 2016 limits and UC Representation  28 

     

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    2


     

    Graph 7 - Histogram of Ceron's sets: 2016 DEC  29 
    Graph 8 - Histogram of Ceron's NUC: 2016 DEC  29 
    Graph 9 - Histogram of the Ceron sets: 2016 FEC  30 
    Graph 10 - Histogram of Ceron's NUC: 2016 FEC  30 
    Graph 11 - Evolution of the product quality indicator (DRCE)  31 
    Graph 12 - Evolution of the product quality indicator (DRPE)  31 
    Graph 13 - Regulatory Technical Losses for Injected Energy  33 
    Graph 14 - Comparison between Non-Technical Real and Regulatory Losses for the BT Market  33 

     

    Graph 15 - Evolution of Base Energy, Bilateral and CCEAR and the percentage of Required Energy recognized by the Energy

    Rate.  36 
    Graph 16 - Mean Times of Response to Emergencies  50 
    Graph 17 - Evolution of the Number of Emergency Events with Electric Power Outage Versus the Total  51 

     

    Tables   
    Table 1 - Five-year investment plan - Base Scenario  7 
    Table 2 - Five-year investment plan - Alternative Scenario  7 
    Table 3 - Rondônia Road Indicators  13 
    Table 4 - Climatic Characteristics of Ceron's Concession Area  14 
    Table 5 - Evolution of the Number of Consumers by Voltage Level  21 
    Table 6 - Market Evolution by Voltage Level  22 
    Table 7 - Evolution of Revenue by Voltage Level  22 
    Table 8 - NUC Evolution by Rate Class  23 
    Table 9 - Market Evolution by Rate Class  23 
    Table 10 - Evolution of the Average Market by Rate Class  24 
    Table 11 - Revenue Evolution by Rate Class  24 
    Table 12 - Number of Consumers, Market and Revenue by Voltage Level  25 
    Table 13 - Number of Consumers and Revenue by Rate Class  25 
    Table 14 - Compensations for Breach of Quality of Service Indicators  27 
    Table 15 - Compensations for Breach of Product Quality Indicators  32 
    Table 16 - Results of Regulated Required Energy (MWh) from 2012 to 2016  35 
    Table 17 - Results of Contracted Energy (MWh) from 2012 to 2016  35 
    Table 18 - Investments in progress in the year 2017 by Type of Project  41 
    Table 19 - Base Scenario: Five-Year Investment Projection  43 
    Table 20 - SEs with anticipated investments for the drafting of the Five-Year Plan  43 
    Table 21 - Alternatives Scenario: Five-Year Investment Projection  44 
    Table 22 - Demographic Information, Level of Education and Unemployment Rates  46 
    Table 23 - Service Access Information  47 

     

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    3


     

    Table 24 - Income Information  47 
    Table 25 - Information on Violence  48 
     
     
    Charts   
    Chart 1 - Socioeconomic characterization of the state of Rondônia  10 
    Chart 2 - Overview of the Brazilian Rate Structure  49 

     

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    4


     

    1. Executive summary

         This report aims to fulfill item "4.2.5 -Technical-Operational Evaluation of Eletrobras Group Companies", of the "Invitation to Bid" regarding the "AARH Electronic Bidding #51/2016 - of the National Bank for Economic and Social Development (BNDES)" for Centrais Elétricas de Rondônia S.A. (hereinafter referred to as Ceron for the purposes of this report).

         In this document - and in its Appendices - all aspects related to the Invitation to Bid are presented, as described below: (i) operational characterization and diagnosis of the company, identifying the operational challenges in the distributor's concession area, including the current operational indicators; (ii) conditions of assets, services and investments in progress, based on field visits, assessing the most critical points in the concession; and, (iii) investment plan for the next 5 years, with scenarios that envisage the proper operation of the distributor.

         Ceron's concession area, with a range of 237,765 km², is located in the state of Rondônia, in the Northern region of Brazil. The state borders the states of Mato Grosso, to the east; Amazonas, to the north; Acre, to the west and has international borders with the Republic of Bolivia, to the west and south. Rondônia's population is one of the most diversified in Brazil, composed of migrants from all regions of the country. With a population of 1.77 million, the state is the third most populous in the Northern Region. In its capital only (Porto Velho), more than 500 thousand people are concentrated [1].

         With stable annual temperatures varying between 26 ºC and 28 ºC, the concession is characterized by abundant rain and a high lightning rate. As the total of paved roads represents less than 14% of the state's highways, the combination of climatic and infrastructure factors directly influence the operation of the company both due to the number of disconnections in the overhead transmission and distribution grids caused by lightning, if protection by grounding and logistic surge arrester systems is undersized, and due to the time to respond to emergencies due to bogged cars during the rainy season, since unpaved access roads tend to become even more precarious with the concentration of mud and dirt, affecting even the durability of vehicles.

         The consequences of climate and logistics issues can be observed in the high index of violation of DEC and FEC collective continuity indicators1. About 65% of the company's consumer units are served by electrical sets having indicators above the limits established by the National Electric Energy Agency ("ANEEL") for DEC. For FEC, this number represents 43% of consumer units. The average total time for responding to emergencies is equal to 5 hours.

         Regarding the consumer market, Ceron has its market represented by consumers allocated at the High, Medium and Low Voltage levels ("AT", "MT" and "BT", respectively), the latter being more expressive with respect to the number of consumers (99.6%), market (70.4%) and revenue (73.2%), according to 2016 data. Noteworthy is the low growth of the BT segment in the period between 2012 and 2016 (2% p.a.), which mainly includes the Residential class, with participation of 72% of consumers and 42 % of Ceron's revenue, and the Rural class, with 20.2% and 11%, respectively.

    1 Equivalent Duration of Downtime per Consumer Unit ("DEC"); Equivalent Frequency of Downtime per Consumer Unit ("FEC")

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    5


     

         Despite the high level of representativeness for BT, the MT level has a good market share, with an average consumption of 789 MWh (27.0% of the market and 24.4% of revenues), according to 2016 data. Noteworthy is the low participation of the captive AT consumers, Free Consumers and Generator in the composition of the Distributor's Revenue, respectively 0.5%, 0.1% and 0.7%.

         It should be noted that the level of energy losses in the Ceron system is extremely high, especially with respect to the commercial aspect (Non-Technical Losses, "PNT"). This level is higher than 38% of the Company's low voltage market and is well above the regulatory target for rate recognition, which is 8.33%, related to the year 2016.

         Regarding the distributor's electrical system, despite the fact that during the technical visits, assets were observed to be in good conditions, grids have little flexibility in the transfer of loads in situations of operation contingency, and expansion of transforming substations and implementation of new lines is necessary. In addition, equipment was verified to have no automation, and communication systems required improvements. It is also worth noting that, especially in the northern part of the state, many communities are served by isolated systems.

         Looking at both commercial and technical aspects, a Five-Year Investment Plan ("PIQ") is an integral part of this report, which prioritizes, for the first five years, ensuring grid expansion for the Programa Luz Para Todos program and interconnection of isolated systems to the National Interconnected System ("SIN"), correction of the quality of supply and the investments related to the fight against losses.

         This document has as its main sources of information the "Electricity System Expansion Plan (2017-2026 horizon)", the "Distribution Development Plan ("PDD") for the year 2017", the "Results Plan for Improvement of Management Services" of 2015 and the "Plan for Temporary Rendering of the Electricity Distribution Service" of 2017, all of which were prepared by Ceron. In addition to this information, we used information obtained by the company's planning area, obtained through face-to-face meetings and conference call.

         Assumptions and results of the need for investments are described in the PIQ by type of project and voltage level. The PIQ has two investment scenarios (called the "Base Scenario" and the "Alternative Scenario") that differ in the time allocation of certain investments, where the Alternative Scenario occurs in the most opportune time for rate recognition when carrying out the rate revision (20232), and also foresees investments that are not included in the Base Scenario.

         The investments were, in their total amounts, defined as shown in Table 1 (Base Scenario) and Table 2 (Alternative Scenario)3.

    2 In this case, it was assumed that the company will have its privatization process finalized in 2018, having, therefore, an RTP in the year 2023.

    3 The financial amounts of projected five-year investments presented in this Report are in real currency at April 2017 prices.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    6


     

    Table 1 - Five-year investment plan - Base Scenario

                Total 
    Year  2018  2019  2020  2021  2022   
                Period 
    Total  BRL 579,700,076  BRL 203,726,564  BRL 105,408,992  BRL 100,044,268  BRL 80,255,600  BRL 1,069,135,500 
    Total Own             
    Resources*  BRL 147,965,310  BRL 203,726,564  BRL 105,408,992  BRL 100,044,268  BRL 80,255,600  BRL 637,400,734 
     
    Table 2 - Five-year investment plan - Alternative Scenario

                Total Period 
    Year  2018  2019  2020  2021  2022   
     
    Total  BRL 579,700,076  BRL 203,726,564  BRL 105,408,992  BRL 100,044,268  BRL 111,183,316  BRL 1,100,063,216 
    Total Own             
    Resources*  BRL 147,965,310  BRL 203,726,564  BRL 105,408,992  BRL 100,044,268  BRL 111,183,316  BRL 668,328,450 

     

    *For total Own Resources, we deducted subsidies related to the projects linked to the Programa Luz para Todos ("PLpT") (90%) in the year 2018 and the CCC subrogation for the interconnection of isolated systems in the year 2018, thus better equalizing the initial disbursement to the new utility.

         The high volume of investments allocated in 2018 (around 54% of the five-year period) is related to projects to guarantee the interconnection of isolated systems (BRL 251 bn) and compliance with the PLPT (BRL 201 bn), the latter due to the end of the program in the year 2018, according to Decree #8,387 of 12/30/2014.

         In the following items (and in its Appendices), all the aspects discussed in the executive summary shall be detailed.

    2. Company operational characterization and diagnosis

         In this chapter, we will discuss the characterization of Ceron's concession area, as well as make a brief operational diagnosis of the company.

         Firstly, we will make a brief description of the company's area of activity (by providing information about its history, socioeconomic, road infrastructure and climate indicators) in order to subsequently carry out the Company's electrical characterization (assessing the level of interconnection to the SIN and constructive standards of the electricity distribution grids).

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    7


     

         Next, we will analyze the company's consumer market by detailing information of both consumption broken down by voltage level and by rate class and of billing according to the type of user. Subsequently, we will cover the main operating indicators regarding: (i) quality of service; (ii) product quality; (iii) response to emergencies; and (iv) power losses, in addition to evaluating energy purchase and sale indicators.

         Also in this chapter we will analyze the conditions of the assets observed in the visits made in the field, highlighting critical points and main challenges for a new utility.

    2.1.      Characterization of the company's area of activity
    2.1.1.      Brief History
      The history of Rondônia began in the early seventeenth century with the arrival of the first

    Portuguese settlers in its territory. However, only in the following century, with the discovery of gold in Goiás and Mato Grosso, interest in the region intensified. With the creation of the state of Acre, the construction of the Madeira-Mamoré railroad and the telegraphic connection established by Cândido Rondon at the beginning of the 20th century, the settling of the present state's region experienced a new boost until, in 1943, the region was constituted as the Federal Territory of Guaporé (in 1956 being called Territory of Rondônia), with a capital in Porto Velho, through the dismemberment of areas belonging to the states of Mato Grosso and Amazonas [2].

         The first thermoelectric power plant in the present state of Rondônia was opened in 1940 by President Getúlio Vargas. After the creation of the Federal Territory of Guaporé, this plant was renamed SAALFT (Serviço de Abastecimento de Água, Luz e Força do Território), serving only two municipalities: Porto Velho, the Capital and Guajará Mirim. This thermoelectric, diesel generation had an installed power of 2,893 kW.

         The accelerated growth of the region only actually occurred from the 60's-70's. The tax incentive policy and intense investments by the federal government, such as directed settlement projects, stimulated migration, largely originating from the Center-South region of the country. With the growth of the region, it was necessary to improve the development of sanitation and electric power infrastructure. Thus, in 1968 SAALFT 's services were divided and the companies CAERD (Companhia de Águas e Esgotos de Rondônia) and Ceron (Centrais Elétricas de Rondônia) were created [3].

         In the same year (1968) Federal Law #5,523 of November 4 established Centrais Elétricas de Rondônia S.A. under the abbreviation Ceron, with the purpose of exploiting electricity services and operating in the fields of transmission and distribution within the territory of Rondônia.

         After almost 30 years, in 1997, a new landmark was established and Ceron started to experience a shared management among the government of the state of Rondônia (established as a State in 1982) and Eletrobras. The state now holds 51% of the company's shares, while Eletrobras has 48.7% of the shares. Also in 1997, the distributor was federalized, according to State Law #740/97. The State approved the transfer of Ceron's control to Eletrobras. The shareholding structure was distributed as follows: 79.91% - Eletrobras, 20.0% - State Government and 0.09% - other shareholders. [4]

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    8


     



     



     



     



     

         The analysis of the roads effectively constructed results in the information concentrated in Table 3, which provides data for federal, state and also municipal highways, as well as the paving9 situation thereof for the state of Rondônia.

      Table 3 - Rondônia Road Indicators   
     
        Extension  Weight/ 
    Type  Roads    Participation 
        (km)  (%) 
      Federal  1,952.50  8.42% 
    TOTAL  State  4,889.8  21.09% 
      Municipal  16,344.10  70.49% 
      Total Roads  23,186.40  100.00% 
      Federal  1,839.7  57.11% 
      State  1,373.7  42.65% 
    Paved       
      Municipal  7.8  0.24% 
      Subtotal Paved  3,221.20  13.89% 
      Federal  112.80  0.56% 
      State  3,516.1  17.61% 
    Unpaved       
      Municipal  16,336.30  81.82% 
      Subtotal Unpaved  19,965.20  86.11% 
      Source: DNIT, 2015.   

     

         As shown, the state has a road network that totals almost 20,000 km of highways, 70% of which are municipal and unpaved. Federal and state highways, when added, represent 30% of highways, but approximately 50% of them are paved.

         These facts directly influence the logistics of operation of the teams to respond to emergencies due to bogged cars during the rainy season, since these roads tend to become even more precarious with the concentration of mud and dirt, affecting even the durability thereof.

         Considering all facts exposed in this section, we conclude that Rondônia is a state with low road density in its territory, and has poor road structure.

    2.1.5. Climate Characterization

         The climatic characterization of the state of Amazonas, comparing it with other regions of the country, is of extreme importance in order to verify the particularities of the region.

         The climate in Rondônia is slightly more diversified than the rest of the Northern region of the country, and is able to show up to three different typologies: equatorial, to the north of the state, which has high temperatures throughout the year and great humidity (in the areas bordering the state of Amazonas and the surroundings of Porto Velho); hot and humid with a dry phase duration of up to two months in the central region of the state; and hot and semi-humid, which influences the southwestern part of the state, where the municipalities of Colorado and Cabixi are situated.

    Table 4 contains basic information10 for the climatic characterization of Ceron's concession area.

    9 Paving is coating made by materials capable of withstanding constant flow of vehicles, such as asphalt, for example.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    13


     

      Table 4 - Climatic Characteristics of Ceron's Concession Area   
        Climatic Characteristics for Rondônia and Regions   
     
      Rainfall  Rain  Keraunic  Maximum  Maximum Wind 
    Region  indexi  Intensity ii  Index iii  Temperature  Speed v 
      (mm)  (mm/day)  (lightnings/km2)  iv (°C)  (mps) 
    Rondônia  170.18  11.41  6.67  32.07  4.79 
    North  176.60  11.64  5.93  31.76  4.09 
    Northeast  54.66  5.18  2.48  30.60  5.35 
    Brazil  109.44  8.82  5.55  29.45  4.69 
    Source: INMET11 and INPE12 websites.       

     

    i      = Annual average precipitation (rain, snow, hail) at a given location during a given period of time.
    ii      = Ratio between the Rainfall Index and the number of days with precipitation in a given region.

    iii = Amount of lightnings in a given region. v = Average maximum speed recorded.

     

    iv = Maximum average temperature recorded.

     

         Figure 3 illustrates the understanding that the state of Rondônia is located in a region of the country that is not heavily influenced by rainfall, with total precipitation between 1,600 mm and 2,000 mm for the year 2015 and between 1,800 mm and 2,200 mm for the year 2016. Rainfall rates for the state are slightly above the verified rates for the North and Northeast regions, in addition to the national average.

    10 The information available for this analysis relates to the year 2012 and is taken from the ABRADEE R&D project entitled Periodic Rate Revision Methodologies of Electric Energy Distributors, held in the year 2013, since there is no publicly available average or accumulated data for the variables under study.

    11 National Meteorology Institute (INMET).

    12 National Space Research Institute (INPE).

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    14


     



     



     



     



     



     



     

    2.3. Utility's Consumer Market Analysis

         This chapter will analyze the consumer market of the company, detailing information on consumption, broken down by voltage level and by rate class, in addition to billing according to the type of user. It should be noted that all the information in this section was obtained from the company's rate activity over the time horizon from 2012 to 2016.

         We summarize in Appendix B to this report concepts that facilitate the understanding of the Brazilian rate structure.

         In Table 5 we analyze the evolution of the number of consumer units ("NUC") of the company between the years of 2012 to 2016, as well as the growth rates for the whole period - change in the year 2016 versus the year 2013 - and geometric - percentage of average annual increase.

      Table 5 - Evolution of the Number of Consumers by Voltage Level   
        NUC by Voltage Level    Rate of Change 
                Period %  Geometric 
    Voltage/Year  2012  2013  2014  2015  2016  (2013/2016)  (p.a.)14 % 
    A3  -  -  9  2  2  -  - 
    A3a  -  27  27  26  26  -4%  -1% 
    A4  -  1,978  2,053  2,146  2,177  10%  3% 
    BT  -  562,308  573,252  587,033  602,673  7%  2% 
    TOTAL  538,218  564,313  575,341  589,207  604,878  7%  2% 

     

    Source: ANEEL, rate activity approved between 2012 and 2016, processed in November of each year. In general, NUC relates to the month of October of each year.

    * There is no public data approved by ANEEL of NUC by voltage level for the year 2012. For this reason, the rates of change were estimated by considering the change observed between 2013 and 2016.

         The High Voltage subgroup (A3) showed a path of reduction between the years 2014 and 2015, with a decrease of 7 consumers15. MT and BT subgroups showed modest annual growth (3% and 2%, respectively).

         Table 6 shows the evolution of the billed market (MWh) by voltage level, in addition to the two growth rates (period and geometric). Market information is also presented according to the types: (i) Provision - captive consumers of the distributor; (ii) Supply - distributor supplying another distributor;

    (iii)      Other Free Consumers - free consumers of the distributor; and (iv) Distribution.
    14      p.a. = per annum.
    15      The rates of change for the A3 subgroup were not calculated as there are no figures for this subgroup for the year 2013. The
    7      clients possibly migrated to the free market.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    21


     

    Table 6 - Market Evolution by Voltage Level

        Market by Voltage Level (MWh)    Rate of Change 
                Period %  Geometric 
    Voltage/Year  2012  2013  2014  2015  2016  (2012/16)  % (p.a.) 
    PROVISION  2,633,594  2,778,835  3,001,913  2,966,892  2,900,694  10%  2 
    A3  24,166  62,324  94,137  39,860  23,268  -4%  -1% 
    A3a  36,290  36,037  40,917  34,501  29,165  -20%  -5% 
    A4  792,917  756,062  828,510  812,491  789,327  0%  0% 
    BT  1,780,222  1,924,412  2,038,350  2,080,041  2,058,933  16%  4% 
    LOW INCOME  -  139,289  148,569  127,303  107,048  -  - 
    SUPPLY  -  -  -  -  -  -  - 
    OTHER FREE               
    CONSUMERS  28,823  -  35,535  31,472  22,999  -20%  -5% 
    DISTRIBUTION  -  -  -  -  -  -  - 
    TOTAL  2,662,418  2,778,835  3,037,448  2,998,364  2,923,693  10%  2% 

     

    Source: ANEEL, rate activity approved between 2012 and 2016, processed in November of each year. Market data relates to the period of 12 months, accounted for up to the month before the IRT/RTP. The percentage of Low Income market share is in relation to the BT market.

         In general terms, there is a relative stability in the market, which showed a growth trend between 2014 and 2015 and a slowdown in 2016. We see that the consumer market for MT was the one that showed the largest decrease in the period (20%), while the BT market increased energy consumption by 16% for the same period.

         Table 7 shows the revenue evolution by voltage level, in addition to the two growth rates under analysis. The highest growth was observed in the BT subgroup, with an average growth of 15% p.a., followed by the MT segment, with an average growth of 10% p.a.

    Table 7 - Evolution of Revenue by Voltage Level

        Revenue by Voltage Level (BRL Million)    Rate of Change 
                Period %  Geometric 
    Voltage/Year  2012  2013  2014  2015  2016     
                (2012/2016)  % (p.a.) 
    PROVISION  856  949  866  977  1,422  66%  14% 
    A3  5  20  17  8  7  33%  7% 
    A3a  9  9  9  9  12  34%  8% 
    A4  237  235  202  230  350  48%  10% 
    BT  604  684  637  729  1,052  74%  15% 
    SUPPLY  -  -  -  -  -  -  - 
    OTHER FREE               
    CONSUMERS  3  -  2  1  2  -33%  -9% 
    DISTRIBUTION  -  -  -  -  -  -  - 
    GENERATOR  11  6  6  9  10  -8%  -2% 
    TOTAL  871  955  875  988  1,435  65%  13% 

     

    Source: ANEEL, rate activity approved between 2012 and 2016, processed in November of each year. Revenue is in nominal currency, at the price as of the date of processing the rate activity of each year.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    22


     

         Table 8 shows the NUC evolution by rate class. There is a higher percentage of NUC growth in the "Street Lighting" class, with an increase of 7% p.a. The "Industrial" and "Other" classes were shrunk, namely, by 3% p.a. and 18% p.a., respectively. The "Public Power" and "Commercial" classes experienced a modest growth of 1% p.a. and 2% p.a., respectively.

    Table 8 - NUC Evolution by Rate Class
        NUC by Rate Class (MWh)    Rate of Change 
    Class/Year  2012  2013  2014  2015  2016  Period%  Geometric% 
                (2012/2016)  (p.a.) 
    Residential  382,548  401,687  411,047  423,053  435,917  14%  3% 
    Industrial  2,069  1,972  1,974  1,930  1,832  -11%  -3% 
    Commercial  38,215  38,356  38,663  39,313  39,582  4%  1% 
    Rural  110,325  117,285  118,478  119,605  122,249  11%  3% 
    Street Lighting  210  246  257  276  273  30%  7% 
    Public Power  4,345  4,437  4,595  4,684  4,654  7%  2% 
    Public Service  208  216  216  225  239  15 %  4% 
    Other  298  114  111  121  132  -56%  -18% 
    TOTAL  538,218  564,313  575,341  589,207  604,878  12%  3% 

     

    Source: ANEEL, rate activity approved between 2012 and 2016, processed in November of each year. In general, NUC relates to the month of October of each year.

         Table 9 shows the evolution of the Ceron Market by rate class. The "Street Lighting" class showed the highest growth in energy consumption in the period considered, namely, 49%, followed by "Rural", with a 25% growth and "Public Power", with a 16% increase. The "Industrial" and "Public Power" classes were shrunk by 2% p.a. and 1% p.a., respectively.

    Table 9 - Market Evolution by Rate Class
     
        Market by Rate Class (MWh)    Rate of Change 
    Class/Year  2012*  2013  2014  2015  2016  Period%  Geometric% 
                (2012/2016)  (p.a.) 
    Residential  1,007,772  1,089,993  1,147,944  1,165,781  1,154,729  15%  3% 
    Industrial  458,820  460,222  586,523  482,195  416,479  -9%  -2% 
    Commercial  585,145  595,936  627,895  643,685  634,418  8%  2% 
    Rural  246,966  260,545  282,531  300,620  308,486  25%  6% 
    Street Lighting  88,422  121,322  131,448  130,051  131,880  49%  11% 
    Public Power  191,647  197,872  208,249  220,823  222,233  16%  4% 
    Public Service  51,211  49,280  48,924  48,976  49,906  -2%  -1% 
    Other  5,006  3,665  3,934  6,232  5,561  11%  3% 
    TOTAL  2,634,989  2,778,835  3,037,448  2,998,364  2,923,693  11%  3% 

     

    Source: ANEEL, rate activity approved between 2012 and 2016, processed in November of each year. Market data relates to the period of 12 months, accounted for up to the month before the IRT/RTP.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    23


     

    *Values for the year 2012 were taken from Technical Note # 405/2012-SRE ANEEL. These are not in agreement with the market by voltage level.

         The average monthly consumption information per customer is shown in Table 10. As shown, the "Other" class had the highest increase in average consumption (26% p.a.), while the "Public Service" class showed a 4% p.a. decline.

    Table 10 - Evolution of the Average Market by Rate Class
     
      Average Monthly Consumption by Class (kWh)  Rate of Change 
    Class/Year  2012  2013  2014  2015  2016  Period%  Geometric% 
                (2012/2016)  (p.a.) 
    Residential  220  226  233  230  221  1%  0% 
    Industrial  18,480  19,448  24,760  20,820  18,945  3%  1% 
    Commercial  1,276  1,295  1,353  1,364  1,336  5%  1% 
    Rural  187  185  199  209  210  13%  3% 
    Street Lighting  35,088  41,098  42,623  39,267  40,256  15%  3% 
    Public Power  3,676  3,716  3,777  3,929  3,979  8%  2% 
    Public Service  20,517  19,012  18,875  18,139  17,401  -15%  -4% 
    Other  1,400  2,679  2,954  4,292  3,511  151%  26% 
    TOTAL  408  410  440  424  403  -1%  0% 

     

    Source: ANEEL, rate activity approved between 2012 and 2016, processed in November of each year. Market data relates to the period of 12 months, accounted for up to the month before the IRT/RTP.

         Table 11 shows the evolution of Ceron's revenue by rate class. It should be noted that there is no public data approved by ANEEL in 2012 regarding revenue related to each rate class, which is why only the total amount for 2012 is presented. The rates of change for this information are calculated by using the period from 2013 to 2016. Note that the "Other" class was the one with the highest revenue growth, which was 15% p.a.

        Table 11 - Revenue Evolution by Rate Class     
        Revenue by Class (BRL Million)    Rate of Change 
                Period %  Geometric 
    Class/Year  2012*  2013  2014  2015  2016  (2013/2016)  % (p.a.) 
    Residential  -  399  370  421  608  52%  11% 
    Industrial  -  134  126  122  171  28%  6% 
    Commercial  -  207  183  212  312  51%  11% 
    Rural  -  94  90  107  161  70%  14% 
    Street Lighting  -  22  22  24  36  60%  13% 
    Public Power  -  74  62  73  109  47%  10% 
    Public Service  -  15  12  14  22  49%  10% 
    Other  -  7  7  11  13  74%  15% 
    TOTAL  871  955  875  988  1,435  50%  11% 

     

    Source: ANEEL, rate activity approved between 2012 and 2016. There is no public data approved by ANEEL of Revenue by rate class for the year 2012. For this reason, the rates of change were estimated by considering the change observed between 2013 and 2016. Revenue is in nominal currency, at the price as of the date of processing the rate activity of each year.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    24


     

         Once the market evolution of the distributor has been observed, it is necessary to evaluate it according to the data of the last readjustment of the company (carried out in November 2016, the most recent regulatory information). To that end, Table 12 shows the distribution of users, market and revenue, by voltage level.

    Table 12 - Number of Consumers, Market and Revenue by Voltage Level

          Market (MWh)  Revenue (BRL 
    Ceron  NUC         
              million) 
    A3  2  0.0%  23,268  0.8%  7.3  0.5% 
    A3a  26  0.0%  29,165  1.0%  12.4  0.8% 
    A4  2,070  0.4%  789,327  27.0%  350.8  24.4% 
    BT  602,673  99.6%  2,058,933  70.4%  1,052.2  73.2% 
    Other Free             
    Consumers  64  0.0%  22,999  0.8%  2.4  0.1% 
    Generator  43  0.0%  -  -  10.4  0.7% 
    Total  604,878  100%  2,923,693  100%  1,435.5  100% 
    Source: ANEEL, Company's 2016 IRT, November 2016.     

     

         As shown, BT has a greater weight of consumers (99.6%), market (70.4%) and also revenue (73.2%) compared to other voltage levels. MT is responsible for about 28% of the market and 25% of revenue. Noteworthy is the low participation of the captive AT consumers, Free Consumers and Generator in the composition of the Distributor's Revenue, respectively 0.5%, 0.1% and 0.7%.

         Finally, by analyzing the number of users, the market and income per consumption class (Table 13), we notice that Residential has a greater weight for the company (72%, 39% and 42%, respectively). About 45% of the billing is associated to the Commercial, Industrial and Rural rate classes.

    Table 13 - Number of Consumers and Revenue by Rate Class

          Market (MWh)  Revenue (BRL 
    Class  Consumers         
              Million)   
    Residential  435,917  72.1%  1,154,729  39%  608  42% 
    Industrial  1,832  0.3%  416,479  14%  171  12% 
    Commercial  39,582  6.5%  634,418  22%  312  22% 
    Rural  122,249  20.2%  308,486  11%  162  11% 
    Street Lighting  273  0.0%  131,880  5%  37  3% 
    Public Power  4,654  0.8%  222,233  8%  109  8% 
    Public Service  239  0.0%  49,906  2%  23  2% 
    Other  132  0.0%  5,561  0%  13  1% 
    TOTAL  604,878  100%  2,923,693  100%  1,435  100% 

     

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    25


     

    Source: ANEEL, Company's 2016 IRT, November 2016.

         In view of the above, the main conclusions of Ceron's consumer market by voltage level are: (i) MT represents 0.4% of consumers, 28% of the market and 25% of the company's revenue in 2016; (ii) BT represents 99.6% of consumers, 70% of the market and 73% of the company's revenue in 2016 and, in the analyzed period from 2012 to 2016, showed annual growth rates of 2%, 4% and of 15% for NUC, the market and the revenue, respectively; (iii) the "Low Income" market associated with the BT voltage level had its highest value in the year 2014, and since then, has shown a downward trend.

         From the point of view of the rate classes, for the same information, it can be deduced that: (i) the residential class represents 72% of the NUC and 39% of the company market in 2016, with a 3% annual growth in both; and (ii) in the analyzed period, the residential class grew, on average, by 3% p.a. in terms of market and 11% p.a. in revenue, while the Commercial class had a 2% decline p.a. in the market, but experienced an 11% p.a. growth in revenue.

    2.4. Operating Indicators

         This chapter aims to analyze the main operating indicators of the company, based on its performance in recent years. To do so, sections 2.4.1 and 2.4.2 address service and product quality indicators, respectively, while section 2.4.3 shows a diagnosis on power losses.

    2.4.1. Quality of Service Indicators

         The distributor assesses the continuity of the service provided to consumers through individual and collective indicators, which are required by ANEEL and arranged in Module 8 of PRODIST. Individual indicators are divided into indicators of Individual Downtime Duration per Consumer Unit or per Connection Point ("DIC"); or Frequency of Individual Downtime per Consumer Unit or Connection Point ("FIC"); Maximum continuous downtime duration per consumer unit or connection point ("DMIC"); and Duration of individual downtime occurred on a critical day per consumer unit or connection point ("DICRI").

         The monitoring of the individual indicators is done by means of limits which are also individual, and are defined for monthly, quarterly and annual periods in relation to the DIC and FIC indicators. The DMIC indicator limit is set for the monthly period, while the DICRI indicator limit is set for each critical-day downtime.

         When the limits of the individual continuity indicators are breached, the distributor must compensate the consumer financially automatically with a deduction on their invoice within two months after the indicator is determined.

         Table 14 shows the evolution of the compensation paid by Ceron over the period (2012-2016), as well as the evolution of the amount of compensations paid. It is worth noting that the amount of compensations and their respective financial value related to the annual period of assessment of the quality of service indicators are not available on ANEEL's website for the year 2016, which is why the 2016 compensation path reflects a decline.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    26


     



     



     



     



     



     

         The assessed indicators show breaches in all years under analysis (except for 2016, for DRPE). For the DRCE indicator, a path of increasing breaches was observed from 2013 onwards, with a slight drop in 2016, with the highest violation rate (about 10 times over the maximum limit) in 2015. The same is true for the DRPE indicator, which has its highest level of breaches verified in 2012 (about 2 times the maximum limit).

         Breaches of limits of the individual indicators also generate compensation to be paid by the Distributor. Table 15 shows the amount paid by Ceron with respect to the breach of individual product quality indicators. As shown, the Distributor shows an increase in the amount paid for the breaches, with a slight drop in 2016, as well as in the quantity of compensations paid.

    Table 15 - Compensations for Breach of Product Quality Indicators

    Item  2012  2013  2014  2015  2016 
    Quantity (#)  1,322  2,647  3,415  4,288  3,290 
    Compensation Amounts (BRL)  153,991  364,569  455,988  758,670  660,476 
    Installment B (BRL)  196,422,575  258,099,141  276,654,044  307,273,784  321,766,851 
    %Comp./Installment B  0.07%  0.14%  0.16%  0.25%  0.20% 
    Source: ANEEL website.           

     

    As an example, the company's Installment B deterioration for the year 2015 was 0.25%.

    2.4.3. Power Losses

         Power losses in a distribution system are also taken as an operational indicator of a Distributor. Losses are divided into the categories of Technical Losses ("PT") and Non-Technical Losses ("PNT").

         In the calculation of technical losses carried out by ANEEL, losses in the distribution grids in high, medium and low voltage, substations, distribution transformers, in addition to the connection branches and meters are taken into account. The level of technical losses calculated at the time of the company's RTP, as a percentage of the energy injected, is kept constant in all IRTs until the subsequent revision.

         The regulatory framework for non-technical losses is also defined at the time of the RTP, but unlike the PTs, a downward trajectory is defined, with a lower level of PNT being recognized at each rate readjustment until it reaches the regulatory target established by the Agency at the end of the cycle.

         Graph 13 shows regulatory technical losses, while Graph 14 illustrates the difference between the Real and Regulatory PNTs, elucidating the Distributor's performance over the analyzed period.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    32


     



     

    clandestine connection grids, OPEX's contribution is also essential. These actions would have a positive effect for Ceron to add billable consumption and revenue to the concession.

    2.5. Energy Purchase and Sale Indicators

         In this chapter, the historical evolution of the Required and Contracted Energy of Ceron will be discussed. The entire analysis is based on the current regulation expressed in Sub-module 3.2 - Energy Acquisition Costs - for Rate Regulation Procedures ("PRORET"), which have a normative nature regarding the rate processes of electric power distribution utilities.

    Firstly, the conceptual distinction between Required and Contracted Energy must be defined.

         Required Energy is the volume of electric power (MWh) acquired in a given reference period to serve consumers or other utilities and distribution licensees, plus regulatory power losses of the distribution system - subdivided into technical ("PT") and non-technical ("PNT")18.

         Contracted Energy is the volume of electric energy (MWh) acquired by Base contracts, Bilateral contracts and Energy Trading in the Regulated Environment Contracts ("CCEAR"), which shall be briefly explained below.

    Base Energy encompasses:

    18 If the real electrical losses (whether technical or non-technical) are considered instead of regulatory losses, the energy of the system is called Injected Energy.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    34


     

         Bilateral Contracts are freely negotiated between the agents, signed before the enactment of Law #10,848 of 2004, to serve the Interconnected System. Contracts signed to serve the Isolated System before Provisional Measure #466 of July 29, 2009, and those signed by means of a bidding held in the form of a competition or auction, as set forth by Decree #7,246 of July 28, 2010, also correspond to Bilateral Contracts.

         Also classified as Bilateral Contracts are the contracting of Distributed Generation energy resulting from vertical divestiture, as provided by Law #10,848 of 2004. In addition, also classified as such are contracts arising from public bidding carried out by distribution agents with own market lower than 500 GWh/year and contracts signed between a utility with market under 500 GWh/year and its current supply agent.

         Finally, Energy Trading in the Regulated Environment Contracts ("CCEAR") are those established for the Auctions of: (i) Existing Energy for existing generation projects - defined based on article 19 of Decree #5,163 of 2004; (ii) New Energy for new generation projects - deriving from auctions defined based on article 19 of Decree #5,163 of 2004 and (iii) Alternative Energy Sources -arising from auctions defined based on article 19 of Decree #5,163 of 2004.

         After explaining the concepts, the evolution of the Required Energy (MWh) and Contracted Energy (MWh) for the years 2012 to 2016 of distributor Ceron is shown on Table 16 and Table 17.

    Table 16 - Results of Regulated Required Energy (MWh) from 2012 to 2016.

      2012  2013  2014  2015  2016 
     
    Required Energy (Provision +           
      3,385,524  3,466,037  3,706,753  3,642,317  3,545,813 
    Supply + Losses)           
    Provision + Supply  2,633,594  2,778,835  3,001,913  2,966,892  2,900,694 
    Provision  2,633,594  2,778,835  3,001,913  2,966,892  2,900,694 
    Supply (TE Market)  0  0  0  0  0 
    Regulatory Losses  751,930  687,202  704,840  675,426  645,119 
    Non-Technical Loss  247,985  241,129  226,868  202,388  171,509 
    Technical Loss  424,920  378,889  409,647  401,670  388,424 
    Basic Grid Loss on Dist.  79,025  12,256  11,953  12,072  13,783 
    Basic Grid Loss on Captive market  0  54,929  56,372  59,295  71,402 
     
     
    Table 17 - Results of Contracted Energy (MWh) from 2012 to 2016.

      2012  2013  2014  2015  2016 
     
    Contracted Energy (Base + Bilateral +  3,385,525  4,130,537  4,240,008  4,649,359  5,188,014 
    CCEAR)           
    Base Energy  1,172,260  424,475  434,263  602,688  739,097 
    Own Generation  15,458  18,186  18,186  18,186  18,186 
    Angra I/Angra II Quota  0  116,984  116,984  116,825  114,099 
    Quotas Law #12783/2013  0  220,524  228,284  394,059  532,413 
    Itaipu (deducting losses)  0    0  0  0 
     
    PROINFA  63,963  68,781  70,809  73,618  74,398 
    NORTE II AGREEMENT  1,092,839  0  0  0  0 
    Bilateral  1,138,691  3,223,768  3,189,604  3,192,699  3,530,252 

     

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    35


     



     

    2.6. Asset Conditions

         Between 3/27/2017 and 3/31/2017, a field visit was carried out at Ceron's premises, aiming at the diagnosis and evaluation of the technical and physical conditions of the utility's assets, in particular the main electrical energy distribution equipment and infrastructure, identifying its status, critical points at distribution grids by voltage level, as well as the description and evaluation of services.

         The first day of the visit was dedicated to obtaining information from the utility's technical team to define assets to be observed and the construction of the technical-operational situation diagnosis.

         The field visit began on the second day, to the municipality of Cacoal, 480 km from Porto Velho, with the inspection of part of the Ji-Paraná/Cacoal transmission line (138 kV) and sections of feeder circuit 03, the most critical which serves the rural area.

         On the third day, a visit was made to the Morumbi substation, which was connected the Móvel SE, followed by the Rolim Moura SE, Brasilândia SE, São Miguel SE and the Novo Horizonte Isolated System, their respective MT/BT grids and LTs in some sections.

         On the fourth day, returning towards Porto Velho, we visited the Itapuã SE and the isolated Triunfo system, in which we observed the Triunfo SE from the external area, in its final work phase, and Entroncamento Triunfo, which awaits energizing.

         On the fifth day, the substations of Porto Velho (owned by Eletronorte), Tiradentes and Areal were visited.

         The State of Rondônia is served by the radial transmission system of the 230-kV triple circuit line, 690 km long, between the Vilhena locality in the south of the state (connected to the SIN via Jauru at MT) and to the 230/69 kV, 300 MVA Porto Velho SE. It also has a double circuit connection, 370 km in length, in the stretch between the Porto Velho SE and the border with Acre, with final destination in Rio Branco, Acre.

         Along the State, there are other six border points with the basic grid, two of which are at 230/138 kV and 220 MVA (Pimenta Bueno and Abunã SEs), three in 230/69 kV and 270 MVA (Porto Velho, Ariquemes and Vilhena SEs) and one in 230/138/69 kV - 320 MVA (Ji-Paraná SE).

    paragraph 10 of article 50 of Resolution #453 of 2011 does not cover all the causes of overcontracting that may be recognized as involuntary, requiring ANEEL to analyze exceptional cases presented by distributors. In such circumstances, as well as in the migration of consumers to ACL, each distributor should have the opportunity to file an involuntary overcontracting recognition petition to ANEEL by proving maximum efforts and detailing its particular case."

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    37


     



     

         A planning and study are being considered at the ONS for a bidding for the expansion of transmission by EPE of a new supply point from the Coletora SE (Eletronorte), and an interconnection with the Centro SE, removing load from the Porto Velho SE.

         Studies coordinated by EPE indicate the implementation of a 230/138 kV, 16.7 MVA single-phase transformer bank in the 230/138/69 kV Jaru substation, for interconnection to the Machadinho d'Oeste sub-region interconnected system.

    2.7.      Critical points observed during the field visit and challenges for new utilities
      Below are a series of observations from the field visit, which are related to the PIQ.
    2.7.1.      High-voltage distribution system
      Eletrobras Distribuição Rondônia's High Voltage Distribution System derives from seven points

    of interconnection throughout the state.

         The sections of the 138 kV and 69 kV lines were found to be in good condition. Few stretches accompany roadsides. However, easement strips are free from interferences and without close afforestation.

         In the urban area next to the Areal SE we observed a point of invasion of the strip with construction work, which should require regularization actions from the new utility.

         Of the 54 substations, 20 are automated and controlled by the COI. No technical reserve of 138/13.8 kV power transformers was observed. The average age of power transformers of the substations visited is 10.4 years, and 8 years for circuit breakers.

         Automation and remote-control items were incorporated into the improvements item from the PIQ investment plan, as presented in this report.

         Regarding transformer load, according to information from Ceron's operations center, the substation having values close to the limit is the Ji Paraná I SE (information obtained during visits, since there was no access to load reports).

         As critical points, it was observed that the 69 kV Ji Paraná/Ouro Preto LT has its conductor worn by annealing, which causes frequent downtimes. The construction of a second circuit in progress, which is already identified in the PIQ, will reflect positively in the DEC of the Ouro Preto set.

         The Rolim de Moura SE, through one of its 13.8 kV feeders, supplies power to the 13.8/34.5 kV (step-up) power transformer. Expansion through a new 69 kV to 34.5 kV transformer, with on-load switching, would free the load of the 69/13.8 kV transformers from critical load situations, short-circuit levels, and voltage regulation.

         An alternative scenario was included in the PIQ, the expansion of the Rolim de Moura SE, anticipating its execution from 2025 to 2023.

         The substation maintenance team is reduced and outsourced, working more on corrective maintenance, rather than preventive maintenance.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    39


     

    2.7.2. Medium-voltage distribution system, grids and substations

         The utility's medium voltage grid is 52,870.74 km long, with stretches of compact grid observed only in urban areas, and it does not feature recloser automation. With extensive branches, an expressive part of which being in single-phase grids, they cause imbalance between phases. In Porto Velho alone, there is a project for automating 85 reclosers.

         During the visit, we were informed of the need to build an express distribution line from the Rolim Moura SE to the Santa Luzia SE at 34.5 kV thus avoiding the downtime caused by branches and client transformers installed along the current distribution line. The project, already included under the PIQ expansion item, can positively impact the performance of the Rolim Moura set's indicators.

         As reported in 2.1.5 - Climate Characterization, there is a high incidence of atmospheric discharges in the State, one of the main causes of downtime. A project for improvement of the protection system is covered under item "MT grid improvements" of the PIQ.

         The practice of "self-repair" of circuits is common among rural consumers, posing a safety risk and damaging the distributor's system, which can lead to a drop in supply in a large number of consumer units in the event of occurrences in the grid. Therefore, implementation of a fuse revision plan is recommended.

         The digitalization of the VHF communication system, a need identified in the critical points of section 2.5.4 also increasing the number of repeaters, according to ANATEL's decision, would bring a significant improvement to the operation.

         Automation and remote-control items were incorporated into the improvements item from the PIQ investment plan, as presented in this report. The communication system is planned for 2017.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    40


     

    2.7.3. BT Distribution System

         The low voltage grids are leveled and, for the most part, made up of bare cables. Few segments of multiplexed cables were observed in the urban area.

    3. Five-Year Investment Plan ("PIQ")

         The objective of the PIQ is to present, based on technical and economic evaluations, a five-year investment plan - 2018-2022 horizon - for Ceron's electric energy distribution concession area, with reference to the projects planned as necessary in the concession area, thus ensuring expansion of the grid interconnected to the National Interconnected System ("SIN"), meeting the demand for new connections in the scope of the vegetative growth and the Programa Luz para Todos ("PLpT") program, improvement of the performance indicators of service continuity, voltage levels and electrical losses, as well as adjustments and implementations of computerized systems for support in commercial management and distribution.

         The following summarizes the main points of the adopted methodology, the contracted investments in progress and the summary of the consolidated amounts of projected annual investments.

         In order to verify the investment needs, the information provided in the Data Room by Ceron was used, namely: "Electrical System Expansion Plan (2017-2026 horizon)", "Distribution Development Plan ("PDD") for the year 2017", "Results Plan for the Improvement of Distribution Services, 2015" and "Plan for Temporary Rendering of Electricity Distribution Service, 2017". In addition to this information, we used information obtained by the company's planning area, obtained through face-to-face meetings and conference call.

    Also considered were investments in execution in 2017, as shown in Table 1821.

    Table 18 - Investments in progress in the year 2017 by Type of Project

    Type of Project  Total 
    AT Expansion  BRL 14,279,056 
    MT Expansion*  BRL 68,209,699 
    Improvement  BRL 14,250,000 
    Renewal  BRL 24,200,000 
    "Luz para Todos"  BRL 48,360,000 
    Total  BRL 169,298,755 

     

         The works contained in the PIQ were defined based on the information provided and analysis of the investments in progress. Firstly, we drafted a Base Scenario, starting with the 2017 PDD by setting, for the years with no initial investment forecast, the following assumptions by type of investment and voltage level:

    21 The amounts set forth in this section relate to projects in progress or which are in the process of signing a contract. That is, the figures shown are estimated: therefore, they may change during the year.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    41


     

    demands, as follows:

    in investments within the next five (5) years, with a noticeable need for the year 2018, which concentrates BRL 579.7 million22.

    22 The financial amounts presented in this section are in real currency at April 2017 prices.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    42


     

    Table 19 - Base Scenario: Five-Year Investment Projection

    Type of Projects/             
      2018  2019  2020  2021  2022  Total 
    Systems             
    AT Expansion  BRL 200,512,486  BRL 88,774,958  BRL 17,816,766  BRL 4,429,051  BRL 11,074,813  BRL 322,608,074 
    MT Expansion  BRL 67,344,148  BRL 60,690,974  BRL 38,018,864  BRL 44,902,845  BRL 10,583,335  BRL 221,540,166 
    Improvement  BRL 46,291,440  BRL 20,708,630  BRL 16,021,360  BRL 17,160,370  BRL 25,045,450  BRL 125,227,250 
    Renewal  BRL 33,552,002  BRL 33,552,002  BRL 33,552,002  BRL 33,552,002  BRL 33,552,002  BRL 167,760,010 
    "Luz para Todos" BRL 201,000,000  -  -  -  -  BRL 201,000,000 
    Commercial             
    System  BRL 20,000,000  -  -  -  -  BRL 20,000,000 
    ERP System  BRL 10,000,000  -  -  -  -  BRL 10,000,000 
    SGD System             
    Correction  BRL 1,000,000  -  -  -  -  BRL 1,000,000 
    Total  BRL 579,700,076  BRL 203,726,564  BRL 105,408,992  BRL 100,044,268  BRL 80,255,600  BRL 1,069,135,500 
    Total             
    Own  BRL 147,965,310  BRL 203,726,564  BRL 105,408,992  BRL 100,044,268  BRL 80,255,600  BRL 637,400,734 
    Resources             

     

         The high volume of investments allocated in 2018 (around 54% of the five-year period) is related to 28 projects to guarantee the interconnection of isolated systems (BRL 251 bn) and compliance with the PLPT (BRL 201 bn), since the program ends in the year 2018, according to Decree #8,387 of 12/30/2014.

         Of the total amount, those coming from Own Resources were highlighted, as certain investments are made with resources from sectoral funds: there are subsidies of 90% of investments related to the works for the Programa Luz Para Todos ("PLpT") program and 100% related to the subrogation of benefits of the Fuel Consumption Account ("CCC").

         The Alternative Scenario considers the anticipation of SE constructions/expansions and construction of LDs from 2023-2026 to the year 2022 to the amount of BRL 30.9 million, in order to provide an increase in assets in the Regulatory Remuneration Base ("BRR") in the RTP designed for the year 202323.

    Table 20 - SEs with anticipated investments for the drafting of the Five-Year Plan

    Project Description  Year 2017 PDD  Investment 
    34.5 kV JI-PARANÁ III SE/RONDOMINAS SE LD (45 km)    BRL 2,475,000 
      2023   
    34.5 kV/13.8 kV - 1x5/6.25 MVA PRIMAVERA DE RONDÔNIA SE    BRL 1,868,894 
    34.5 kV/13.8 kV - 1x5/6.25 MVA RIO CRESPO SE    BRL 3,392,515 
    34.5 kV ARIQUEMES I SE/RIO CRESPO SE LD (42 km)  2024  BRL 2,310,000 
    34.5 kV/13.8 kV - 1x5/6.25 MVA CAUCALÂNDIA SE    BRL 3,392,515 
    138/34.5 kV 1x10/12.5 MVA ROLIM DE MOURA SE (Expansion)    BRL 3,161,458 
      2025   

     

    23 In this case, it was assumed that the company will have its privatization process finalized in 2018, having, therefore, an RTP in the year 2023.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    43


     

    34.5 kV/13.8 kV - 1x5/6.25 MVA JARDINÓPLOIS SE    BRL 3,392,515 
    Project Description  Year 2017 PDD  Investment 
    138/13.8 kV 1x10/12.5 MVA NOVA MAMORÉ SE  2026  BRL 10,934,819 
    Total Investments    BRL 30,927,716 

     

         Table 21 shows the projection of the Five-Year Plan investment figures by type of project and voltage level and computerized systems for the Alternative Scenario.

    Table 21 - Alternatives Scenario: Five-Year Investment Projection

    Type of             
    Projects/  2018  2019  2020  2021  2022  Total 
    Systems             
    AT Expansion  BRL 200,512,486  BRL 88,774,958  BRL 17,816,766  BRL 4,429,051  BRL 25,171,090  BRL 336,704,351 
    MT Expansion  BRL 67,344,148  BRL 60,690,974  BRL 38,018,864  BRL 44,902,845  BRL 27,414,774  BRL 238,371,605 
    Improvement  BRL 46,291,440  BRL 20,708,630  BRL 16,021,360  BRL 17,160,370  BRL 25,045,450  BRL 125,227,250 
    Renewal  BRL 33,552,002  BRL 33,552,002  BRL 33,552,002  BRL 33,552,002  BRL 33,552,002  BRL 167,760,010 
    "Luz para Todos"  BRL 201,000,000  -  -  -  -  BRL 201,000,000 
    Commercial             
    System  BRL 20,000,000  -  -  -  -  BRL 20,000,000 
    ERP System  BRL 10,000,000  -  -  -  -  BRL 10,000,000 
    SGD System             
    Correction  BRL 1,000,000  -  -  -  -  BRL 1,000,000 
    Total  BRL 579,700,076  BRL 203,726,564  BRL 105,408,992  BRL 100,044,268  BRL 111,183,316  BRL 1,100,063,216 
    Total             
    Own  BRL 147,965,310  BRL 203,726,564  BRL 105,408,992  BRL 100,044,268  BRL 111,183,316  BRL 668,328,450 
    Resources             

     

         It should be noted that the Base Scenario shall be used for the Company's economic-financial evaluation.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    44


     

    4.      References
    [1]      “Wikipédia - Rondônia,” [Online]. Available: https://pt.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rond%C3%B4nia. [Accessed 4 6 2017].
    [2]      “Portal do Brasil,” [Online]. Available: http://www.achetudoeregiao.com.br/ro/historia_de_rondonia.htm. [Accessed 4 13
      2017].
    [3]      A. Gorayeb, “Opinião de Rondônia,” 9 21 2016. [Online]. Available: http://www.opiniaoderondonia.com/noticia/do- fundo-do-bau-servico-de-abastecimento-de-agua-luz-e-forcado-territorio/157879. [Accessed 4 5 2017].
    [4]      Eletrobras, “Eletrobras Distribuição Rondônia,” Eletrobras, [Online]. Available: http://www.eletrobrasrondonia.com/empCeronNHistoria.cfm. [Accessed 4 5 2017].
    [5]      E. d. P. Energética, “Plano Nacional de Energia 2030,” 2007.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    45


     

    APPENDIX A - Socioeconomic Characterization of the Concession Area

         In order to better characterize the area of activity of the Distributor, socioeconomic information was collected and grouped into four data sets: (a) Demographic, Education and Employment; (b) Access to Services; (c) Income and (d) Violence. In the following items, comparative analysis was performed for each information collected from the company in relation to the data observed in the North and Northeast regions and Brazil's average. This comparison allows to evaluate the degree of similarity/divergence of the socioeconomic indicators of the company in relation to the regions where the companies of the Eletrobras group operate, as well as to compare with the national average.

    a)      Demographic Information, Level of Education and Unemployment Rate
      Table 22 shows, in order, the number of municipalities, area, population, number of households,

    percentage of population living in rural areas, percentage of illiterate population and unemployment rate in the Distributor's area, as well as average data for Brazil and the North and Northeast Regions.

    Table 22 - Demographic Information, Level of Education and Unemployment Rates

        Area  Population  Density  #  %     
    Region  #        Households  Rural  % Illiterate  Unemployment 
      Municipalities  (km2)  (Thousand)  (Inhabitants/km2)  (thousand)  Popul.  Popul.  Rate 
    RONDÔNIA  52  238,526  1,773  7.46  591  24%  9%  5% 
    BRAZIL  5,567  8,497,584  204,860  24.11  68,037  15%  9%  8% 
    NORTH  449  3,848,855  17,525  4.55  5,093  25%  11%  9% 
    NORTHEAST  1,794  1,554,291  56,639  36.44  17,836  27%  17%  9% 

     

    Sources: Data on the population were taken from the 2015 PNAD. Number of municipalities and areas were obtained from INPE.

    Unemployment rate was obtained at IPEA/PNAD for the year 2014.

         Rondônia is the state with the highest population density in the Northern Region (7.46 inhabitants/km²), with the capital (Porto Velho) being the most populous municipality in the state and the seventh most populous in the Northern Region. Its population is mainly concentrated in urban centers (76% of the population), but has a considerable percentage of inhabitants in rural areas (24%).

    b)      Access to services
      A table on information regarding access to services shows (for Ceron, Brazil and

    North and Northeast Region average data) the percentages of households (i) without garbage collection; (ii) without garbage collection for urban areas; (iii) without water supply through networks; (iv) without water supply for urban areas; (v) without sanitary sewage by networks or septic tank; (vi) without sanitary sewage by networks or septic tank for urban areas; and (vi) without electric lighting located in rural areas.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    46


     

    Table 23 - Service Access Information

     
     
          % HH  % Urb. HH  % HH  % Urb. HH   
      % HH  % Urb. HH          % Rural HH 
          without  without  without  without   
      without  without          without 
    Region      Water  Water  Sewage  Sewage   
      Garbage  Garbage          electrical 
          Network  Network  Networks/Septic Networks/Septic   
      Collection  Collection          lighting 
          Supply  Supply  Tank  Tank   
     
    RONDÔNIA  21%  2%  52%  41%  54%  45%  1% 
     
     
    BRAZIL  10%  1%  15%  6%  19%  12%  2% 
     
     
    NORTH  21%  3%  40%  28%  38%  29%  7% 
     
     
    NORTHEAST  21%  3%  20%  7%  35%  23%  1% 
     
    Source: 2015 PNAD.             

     

         In Rondônia, 21% of the households do not have garbage collection, while 52% do not have water supply through networks and 54% do not have access to a proper sewage network. Percentages of urban households without basic infrastructure services are high and above the regional and national averages (45% and 41%, respectively, for the state).

    c)      Income
      Income information show (i) the percentage of households with income of up to 2 Minimum

    Wages ("S.M."); (ii) the percentage of people living in households with per capita income below the poverty line24; (iii) average household income per capita and (v) GDP (Gross Domestic Product) per capita.

    Table 24 - Income Information

      % HH w/  % Pop. Below  Average  GDP per capita 
    Region  Income Up to 2  Poverty  Residential  (BRL) 
      SM  Line  Income per capita   
          (BRL)   
    RONDÔNIA  43%  13%  950.16  17,991 
    BRAZIL  39%  13%  1,152.24  26,446 
    NORTH  51%  22%  782.76  17,213 
    NORTHEAST  58%  20%  730.24  12,955 

     

    Sources: Households with income up to 2 S.M. 2015 PNAD. % Pop. Below Poverty Line and Average Household Income per capita 2014 IPEA/PNAD; GDP per capita 2013 Datasus/IBGE.

         As shown, the state shows a percentage of population below the poverty line higher than the comparative averages, despite having a per capita household income and GDP per capita higher than the North and Northeast regional averages.

    24 Equivalent to twice the extreme poverty line. The Poverty Line is based on an estimate of the value of a food basket having the minimum calories needed to adequately supply a person, based on World Health Organization (WHO) recommendations.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    47


     

    d) Violence

         Table 25 - Information on Violence shows the number of deaths per aggression for every 100 thousand inhabitants registered in the year 2014. As shown, the state of Rondônia is slightly above the national average, but lower than the North and Northeast regional averages.

    Table 25 - Information on Violence

    Region

    Deaths by
    Aggression

    RONDÔNIA  32.6 
    BRAZIL  29.4 
    NORTH  34.3 
    NORTHEAST  41.6 

     

    Source: 2014 Datasus/IBGE.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    48


     



     



     



     

    APPENDIX D- Norte II Agreement

    The facts set out in this Appendix are organized chronologically.

    1. On 5/12/2000, Eletronorte and Termonorte entered into an agreement to purchase and sell electricity from the Termonorte II thermoelectric power plant. On 12/22/2008, Eletronorte submitted for approval to ANEEL an assignment agreement, under which its contractual position as purchaser in the aforementioned agreement is assigned to Ceron.

    2. Based on Technical Notes #233/2009-SFF/ANEEL and 12/2009- SEM/ANEEL, ANEEL's Financial Inspection Superintendency issued Order #1,900, of 5/25/2009, in which it did not consent to the assignment of the agreement for the purchase of electric power of thermal origin to Ceron under the conditions presented, which was originally executed between Eletronorte and Termonorte (seller).

    3. Against this Order, Eletronorte filed an appeal.

    4. Based on Technical Note #72/2009-SEM/ANEEL and on the argument that "there is no discernible benefit to the Distributor in terms of the modality of rate, and neither does this contracting comply with the mandatory system for energy acquisition by Distributors within the scope of the SIN, in the manner in which it was submitted," the SFF maintained the decision embodied in SFF Order #1,900/2009, according to Order #2,719 of 7/23/2009.

    5. On 10/15/2009, Eletronorte forwarded a copy of the First Addendum to the Assignment of the Termonorte II Agreement to Ceron, which would be the result of a meeting held on 10/1/2009 with the Executive Secretary of the MME, ANEEL representatives and agents involved in the transfer in question.

    6. At the 34th Ordinary Public Meeting of 2010, ANEEL's Board partially approved the appeal filed by Eletronorte to maintain the refused approval of the assignment of the agreement for the purchase of electric energy from the Termonorte II plant; to declare that, in order to approve the assignment of the agreement for the purchase of electric energy from Termonorte II, it is necessary that the respective instrument provides that, as from 2012, the annual cost of energy acquisition by Ceron, considered as the sum of the energy prices set in the agreement with the average PLD to which the distributor was exposed throughout the year due to the aforementioned agreement, may not exceed the annual cost corresponding to the acquisition of the electric energy sold in the 5th New Energy Auction. This decision was substantiated by Order #2,673 of 9/8/2010. According to the vote of ANEEL's rapporteur who provided the foundations of said Order, prior to the interconnection of the Acre-Rondônia system, there was no obligation for Ceron to acquire energy in auctions, but there was always an obligation to purchase energy at the lowest effective cost, as determined in its Concession Agreement. In order to assess compliance with the obligation to acquire at the lowest effective cost, it was stipulated that "contracting alternatives that cumulatively fulfill the following characteristics should be used as parameters: a. Those that have been discarded by the distributor; and

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    52


     

    b. Those that have a duration and volume compatible with that of the contracting made to their detriment". To that end, the A-5 Auction was adopted as a parameter, which was held on 10/16/2007, with supply commencing on 1/1/2012, a contracting alternative that was cumulatively discarded by Ceron and proved to be compatible in terms of duration and volume of energy traded with the assignments in question. Although the interconnection of the Acre-Rondônia system was expected for December 2008 since 4/20/2007, Ceron discarded its participation in the 2007 A-5 Auction and, in Dec/2008, signed the assignment agreement related to energy from the Termonorte I and II plants. Thus, by failing to acquire energy in said auction and electing to acquire it through the assignments in question, Ceron would have incurred an acquisition cost higher than that of the Auction.

    Therefore, based on the concession agreement, an attempt was made to create conditions for the purchase of energy at the lowest cost for consumers and to pass lower costs on to the CCC. Accordingly, in order to achieve approval of the assignment in question, Order #2,673/2010 determined that "the annual cost of acquisition of energy by Ceron, considered as the sum of energy prices set in the agreement with the average PLD to which the distributor was exposed (...), may not exceed the annual cost corresponding to the acquisition of energy in the 5th New Energy Auction." Thus, the transfer to consumers of the cost of this contracting would be limited to the value of the annual cost corresponding to the acquisition of the energy marketed in the 5th New Energy Auction held in Oct/2007.

    7. On 10/26/2010, Eletrobras, Eletronorte and Ceron filed a request for annulment of Order 2,673/2010.

    8. On 7/26/2011, in the 2011 27th Ordinary Public Meeting, the Executive Board dismissed the annulment request, pursuant to Order #3,067/2011.

    9. On 12/20/2012, Eletronorte submitted the 2nd Amendment to the Assignment of the Electric Energy Supply Agreement to ANEEL for approval. The ANEEL Market Studies Superintendency ("SEM"), through Memorandum #240/2012-SEM/ANEEL, analyzed the document submitted, which did not comply with the premises of Order #2,673/2010.

    10. Ceron and Eletronorte have argued in many correspondences and meetings that such a condition would impose enormous uncertainty and hence volatility in energy acquisition costs, which would vary strongly with the PLD, while the purpose of a long-term agreement is the exact opposite.

    11. On 1/15/2013, the proceeding was again filed at ANEEL and after several interactions between the parties and ANEEL, on 7/1/2013, Eletronorte submitted to ANEEL for approval a new proposal for a Second Amendment to the Assignment of the Supply Agreement in question.

    12. On 7/9/2013, by means of order 2180/2013 and considering what is stated in Case #48500.000247/2009-68, ANEEL approved the Second Amendment to the Assignment of Electric Energy Supply Agreement, from Centrais Elétricas do Norte do Brasil S.A. (Eletronorte) to Centrais Elétricas de Rondônia S.A. (Ceron), related to the Termonorte II Thermoelectric Plant, under the following conditions: a. Ceron shall monthly pay Termo Norte Energia Ltda. the amount established in the agreement originally entered into between the latter and Eletronorte;

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    53


     

    b.      Ceron shall be responsible towards CCEE for the results of the accounting, including losses of the basic grid, for exposures to the market, including reduction of Physical Guarantee which it is responsible for due to financial settlement and penalties;
    c.      The Termonorte II UTE shall be responsible for its physical guarantee, according to the availability clause set forth in the agreement originally executed between the latter and Eletronorte;
    d.      The rate pass-through to Ceron's customers shall be limited to the average cost of power and energy sold in the Regulated Contracting Environment ("ACR"), as defined by the SRE, observing subsection "e" below;
    e.      The distributor's shareholder shall cover the difference between the fixed revenue of the agreement (value of the ensured energy plus the value of the supplementary energy) in addition to the Transmission System Use Rate ("TUST") and the fixed revenue to which it would have been exposed had it participated in Auction A-5 of 2007, calculated as the difference between the value related to the price of the 5th new energy auction of October 2007 and the average of the minimum values between the CVU of the plant used in the drafting of the Electroenergetic Monthly Operation Program ("PMO") for the month of November 2009, and the average monthly PLD of the Southeast submarket, recorded between January 2002 and October 2007, both adjusted by the IGP-DI;
    f.      The difference shall be covered by the Fossil Fuel Consumption Account ("CCC");
    g.      Such transfer limitations shall be applied as of January 2012; and
    h.      The table contained in Paragraph Five of Clause Two of the agreement shall be excluded or corrected in order to portray the conditions imposed above. Consequently, it determined that the CCEE would carry out a reassessment, from the date of the interconnection of the Acre-Rondônia subsystem to the SIN, in order to consider the registration of the contracted amounts from the Termonorte II UTE, previously in the name of Eletronorte, to Ceron.

    13. On 11/27/2013, the CCEE (CT - CCEE Letter -3015/2013) proposed a correction to the aforementioned decision of ANEEL's Board to reconsider the reassessment determination, arising from the registration of the Second Amendment to the Assignment of the Electric Energy Supply Agreement, from Centrais Elétricas do Norte do Brasil S.A. (Eletronorte) to Centrais Elétricas de Rondônia S.A. (Ceron), related to the Termonorte II Thermoelectric Plant, for the period from October to July 2013. This proposal was made at the request of the signatory parties, which propose, instead of the reassessment, that the financial correction be allowed (between Ceron and ELETRONORTE), which would avoid the need to provide resources for both. Accordingly, the CCEE required authorization to carry out, in a future accounting, a financial correction, calculated through an ancillary calculation mechanism ("MAC"), in order to transfer from ELETRONORTE to Ceron the charges for system services owed due to energy security or violation of CAR, paid in December 2012, January 2013 and April to July 2013. Accordingly, CCEE shall assess, through MAC, the energy penalties for Ceron and TERMONORTE, considering the registration of the agreement approved by ANEEL as effected in the SCI.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    54


     

    14. On 12/2/2013, the SEM (Memorandum #358/2013-SEM/ANEEL) presented its understanding on CCEE's proposal and forwarded the case for my analysis, since I was the rapporteur of the case in question, recommending fulfillment of the aforementioned CCEE proposals, and forwarded the case for decision by the Board, which decided through Order #4,191, published in the DOU on December 18, 2013: a. Change the content of item (ii) of Order #2,180 of 7.9.2013, to the following: (ii) authorize CCEE to carry out, in a future accounting to be carried out until February 2014, a financial correction calculated through an ancillary calculation mechanism ("MAC"), in order to transfer from ELETRONORTE to Ceron the charges for system services paid due to energy security or violation of CAR, paid in December 2012, January 2013, and April to July 2013; b. Determine that CCEE reassess via MAC the energy penalties for Ceron and TERMONORTE, considering the registration of the agreement approved by ANEEL as effected in the Accounting and Settlement System.

    15. According to ANEEL PROCEEDING: 48500.002937/2014-19, the 2014 Annual Rate Adjustment of Centrais Elétricas de Rondônia S.A. (Ceron), effective as of November 30, 2014, incorporated the provisions of Order 2,180/13 and the supply agreement with Termonorte II was incorporated into Ceron's portfolio of contracts with retroactive effects from interconnection to the SIN

    (invoices as of November 2009), according to the quote from the conductor vote in the aforementioned order, which provided, among the conditions for approval, that the distributor's shareholder should bear a restraint. Due to these effects of Order 2,180/2013, it was necessary to recalculate the CVA energy considered in the rate processes of 2010, 2011, 2012 and 2013, according to what was already established in the vote of the rapporteur who approved the utility's rate revision in 2013. Therefore, the total amount of one hundred and seven million, five hundred and fifty-three thousand Reais and seventy-four cents (BRL 107,553,000.74) is being considered in this rate adjustment, already updated by the SELIC. The retroactive effects of Order 2,180/13 required not only recalculation of the CVA energy, but also of overcontracting in calendar years 2009 (as of November), 2010, 2011 and 2012. The aforementioned Order authorized CCEE to carry out the financial correction through an ancillary calculation mechanism ("MAC") in a future accounting. Such recalculations were made according to REN #255/2007, with the wording as modified by the REN #305/2008 and #609/2014. According to Article 22 of Decree #7,246, the cost of overcontracting in the three years following the respective interconnection (Oct/2009 in the case of Ceron) shall be considered in the total cost of electric generation in the Isolated Systems, and compensated via the Energy Development Account ("CDE"). Thus, the full amount of this recalculation corresponding to the period from Nov/2009 to Dec/2012, totaling one hundred and thirty million, two hundred and ninety-four thousand, four hundred and forty-five reais and forty-seven cents (BRL 130,294,445.47), will not be passed on to the rate, but rather considered in the total cost of generating electric power in the Isolated Systems, as foreseen in article 22 of Decree #7,246 of July 28, 2010.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    55


     

    16.      According to Ceron's "2016 MANAGEMENT REPORT AND FINANCIAL STATEMENTS", related to the financing of the Eletronorte/Termonorte II bilateral agreement, the Company has reclassified in the long term the amount of BRL 1,770,081 (thousand) corresponding to receivables of rights constituted due to the recognition of the agreement with Termonorte II, in accordance with Order #2,180 of July 22, 2013, which transferred the agreement from Eletronorte to the Company. Thus, the costs that exceeded the average ACR for each year were assessed by considering all costs in the Termonorte II operation from November 2009 to August 2015 with energy and power, cost of PLD settlement and cost of transmission involved, and the Company awaits ANEEL approval to begin receiving funds from the CCC fund to pay the corresponding debt installments to Eletronorte.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    Prepared for BNDES

    56


     

    CERON Environmental Assessment 
    Summary Report 
     
    September 18, 2017 

     


     

    National Bank for Economic and Social Development ("BNDES")

    Av. República do Chile, 100 Rio de Janeiro/RJ

    September 18, 2017 Dear Sirs,

    As requested by BNDES and in compliance the with terms and conditions of Electronic Tender AARH No. 51/2016, of OCS Contract No. 28/2017 (the “Contract”) dated February 14, 2017, and the provisions of section 80 of Law No.

    13,303/2016, we have prepared this summary containing a presentation of key issues identified by us during the environmental assessment work carried out in Companhia Energética de Rondônia (“CERON”).

    The scope of our services was limited to the procedures described in item 4.2.7 of Annex I to the Contract. This summary does not include all the issues identified and presented in the Environmental Assessment Report dated May 5, 2017, and should thus be reviewed together with the remainder of the report for a comprehensive understanding of the issues identified.

    Our work involved review of documents made available in databases, interviews with managers in charge of the environmental activities of the company and on-site visits to six substation facilities.

    The information used in our work was provided by the company's management and reviewed on the premise that it is true and complete. Except as expressly stated in the scope of our work, this information was not subject to testing or verification.

    The work carried out does not constitute an examination performed in accordance with financial statement auditing standards. Due diligence works are unregulated and not subject to specific standards; for this reason, the procedures applied in our work were those determined in the Final Tender Protocol, and PwC is not responsible for any inadequacies of such procedures in achieving the goals determined by BNDES. Other matters could have been detected and reported if PwC had been asked to perform additional procedures.

    Yours faithfully,

    PricewaterhouseCoopers Corporate Finance & Recovery Ltda. acting as consortium leader

    /s./ Rogério Roberto Gollo

    /s./ Luciano Jorge Moreira Sampaio Junior

    This document is a true copy of the original signed version delivered to BNDES and in the possession of Eletrobras.


     

    Summary of key issues identified

    Below is a summary of key issues identified during the environmental assessment work. As such, it does not include all of the issues identified and discussed in the Environmental Assessment Report and should thus be read in conjunction with the rest of the report for a comprehensive understanding of the issues identified.

    1 Purpose and limitations of the work

    Our work involved review of documents made available in databases, interviews with managers in charge of the environmental activities of the company and on-site visits to three substation facilities.

    The purpose of the work was to evaluate key environmental and social issues of CERON in light of the applicable laws and regulations, review how such issues are managed from environmental and social standpoints, and identify potential deficiencies and situations that may result in significant risks and costs to the company.

    The following topics were reviewed: solid wastes, PCB/ascarel, noise, atmospheric emissions, wastewaters, water resources, permanent preservation areas, plant suppression, service providers, environmental accidents, environmental liabilities, easement trespassing, conflicts with indigenous populations, engagement practices and interaction with surrounding populations, as well as assessments, fines and consent agreements.

    The scope of the work did not include generation of additional data through collection and analysis of soil and water, atmospheric emission and wastewater samples, nor was any evaluation performed for the purpose of checking compliance with laws related to workers' health and safety.

    2 Summary of key issues identified:

    Facilities operate without the required environmental operation license and other licenses such as the Fire Brigade Inspection Service Certificate (FBISC) and the IBAMA Federal Technical Registration (IFTR)

    Eletrobras System Distributor   
    Privatization PwC  3 

     


     

    Summary of key issues identified

    Below is a summary of key issues identified during the environmental assessment work. As such, it does not include all of the issues identified and discussed in the Environmental Assessment Report and should thus be read in conjunction with the rest of the report for a comprehensive understanding of the issues identified.

    3 Estimate of costs to remedy issues identified

    An estimated amount between R$ 16 million and R$ 63 million, approximately, is required in order to remedy and mitigate some of the previously highlighted issues, as shown in the chart below.

    Cost estimates do not include the expense with fines incurred by the company due to noncompliance with any applicable laws and regulations. Fines and assessments provided for in the applicable environmental laws and regulations vary substantially in amount; for this reason, the exact amounts of fines are contingent, among other considerations, upon evaluation by the competent environmental authorities. Furthermore, amounts reported do not include the cost of mitigating issues that depend on non-measurable variables at the time of writing, such as disposal of hazardous wastes and disposal of any equipment containing PCBs.

    At present, it is not the intention of PwC to state that these figures are accurate and that they reflect the amounts effectively required to implement each of the proposed actions. In any case, the figures presented in this summary serve as a reference in connection with the privatization process.

    In addition to the estimated expenditures, resolution alternatives for each identified issue as well as the potential violation or infringement, if any, that the company is subject to under the applicable environmental laws and regulations, were presented. This information is included in the Environmental Assessment Report dated May 5, 2017.

    Eletrobras System Distributor Privatization PwC   
      4 

     


     

    Annex I - Issue and estimated cost summary chart

    Below is a summary of key issues identified during the environmental assessment work. As such, it does not include all of the issues identified and discussed in the Environmental Assessment Report and should thus be read in conjunction with the rest of the report for a comprehensive understanding of the issues identified.

            Cost (in R$)*   
    Issue #  Topic  Issue Identified       
          Minimum  Middle  Maximum 
     
     
     
        Deficiencies identified in       
        the storage of Class I       
    1  Waste    R$8,086,364  R$20,215,977  R$32,345,590 
        (hazardous) solid wastes at       
        substations.       
     
     
        No Solid Waste       
        Management Plan       
    2  Waste    R$5,000  R$10,000  R$15,000 
        (SWMP) implemented at       
        CERON.       
     
     
        There is no updated and       
        complete Solid Waste       
    3  Waste    R$5,000  R$10,000  R$15,000 
        Inventory implemented at       
        CERON.       

     

    5

    Eletrobras System Distributor Privatization
    PwC


     

    Annex I - Issue and estimated cost summary chart (cont.)

    Issue #  Topic  Issue Identified    Cost (in R$)*   
          Minimum  Middle  Maximum 
     
     
        No evidence of any       
        specific PCB identification       
        test for transformers and       
    4  PCB/ascarel    R$75,040  R$112,560  R$150,080 
        other oil-containing       
        equipment in use at       
        company facilities.       

     

        Risk of existing PCB and  Not measurable - The cost to dispose of ascarel waste is contingent, among 
    5  PCB/ascarel  cross-contamination in  other considerations, on the number of affected pieces of equipment, the 
        other equipment.  treatment performed, and location of company facilities. 
     
     
     
     
        Lack of noise monitoring       
    6  Noise  at the substations.  R$207,700  R$207,700  R$207,700 

     

    6

    Eletrobras System Distributor Privatization PwC


     

    Annex I - Point summary table and cost estimate (cont.)

            Cost (in R$)*   
    Issue #  Topic  Issue Identified  Minimum  Middle  Maximum 
     
     
     
        Currently several facilities       
    7  Licensing  operate without the  R$1,747,628  R$2,621,442  R$3,058,349 
        proper operating licenses.       
     
     
     
     
        Noncompliance with the       
    8  Licensing  terms and conditions of  R$1,900,000  R$1,900,000  R$1,900,000 
        substation operating       
        licenses (e.g. biannual       
        monitoring reports).       
     
     
     
        No FBISC report/permit       
    9  FBISC  in place for CERON  R$8,118  R$8,118  R$8,118 
        substation facilities.       
     
     
     
     
        Potential lack of IBAMA       
    10  IFTR  Federal Technical    N/A   
        Registration (IFTR).       

     

    7

    Eletrobras System Distributor Privatization PwC


     

    Annex I - Point summary table and cost estimate (cont.)     
     
     
     
     
            Cost (in R$)*   
    Issue #  Topic  Issue Identified       
          Minimum  Middle  Maximum 
     
     
     
        Lack of containment       
        basins and oil-water       
    11  Wastewaters    R$3,658,000  R$7,316,000  R$14,632,000 
        separator boxes for power       
        substation transformers.       
     
     
     
     
        Water resources used in       
    12  Water Resources  substations without  R$8,147.75  R$8,147.75  R$8,147.75 
        appropriate licensing.       
     
     
     
        Water drinkability not       
    13  Water Resources  tested at facilities using  R$220  R$7,260  R$14,300 
        artesian wells.       

     

    8

    Eletrobras System Distributor Privatization PwC


     

    Annex I - Point summary table and cost estimate (cont.)

    Issue #  Topic  Issue Identified    Cost (in R$)*   
          Minimum  Middle  Maximum 
     
        Potential water and soil       
        contamination resulting from oil-       
        contaminated materials currently       
        improperly stored at substation       
        facilities. Oil leakages in       
        transformers of inspected       
    14  Miscellaneous    R$850,000  R$6,120,000  R$11,390,000 
        substation facilities. TPPs       
        operating under free lease       
        arrangements with IPPs. Old TPP       
        facilities with a history of       
        contamination of soil and water       
        resources.       
     
     
      Easement  No management and monitoring       
    15      R$180,000  R$180,000  R$180,000 
      Strips  system in place for easement strips       
     
        Lack of a system to address       
        enforcement of contractual       
      Procurement  standards and environmental       
    16        N/A   
      Processes  requirements implemented by       
        distributor in its procurement       
        processes.       
     
          R$16,731,217.75  R$38,717,204.75  R$63,924,284.75 

     

    *Costs are estimated based on the assumptions detailed in the Environmental Assessment Report dated May 5, 2017.

    9

    Eletrobras System Distributor Privatization PwC


     

    © 2017 - PricewaterhouseCoopers Corporate Finance & Recovery. All rights reserved. In this document, “PwC” refers to PricewaterhouseCo opers Corporate Finance & Recovery, a member firm of the PricewaterhouseCoopers network, or, as suggested by context, the network itself.

    Each member firm of the PwC network is a separate and independent legal entity. Please see www.pwc.com/structure for further details on the PwC network.


     



     

    To

    National Bank for Economic and Social Development ("BNDES") Av. República do Chile n° 100 Rio de Janeiro - RJ

    C/O: Ms. Lidiane Delesderrier Gonçalves Manager of Agreement OCS 028/2017 May, 2017 Dear Sirs,

    According to our service agreement OCS 028/2017 ("Agreement") executed between BNDES and the Mais Energia B Consortium ("Consortium") on 2/14/2017, we present the result of our work carried out in the context of Privatization of Eletrobrás System Distributors.

    The result of our work is detailed in this document "Product 08: CERON Human Resources Evaluation Report ("Report"), dated May 2017.

    Our work was developed solely for the purpose of advising the BNDES, as those responsible for executing and monitoring the process of privatization of utility companies by Decree 8.893, in CERON's evaluation, in accordance with the Agreement, and was based on information provided by CERON's management and on the premise that this information is true and complete. This information was not subject to testing or verification, except where expressly stated within the scope of our work.

    In case the Report is to be accessed by third parties, it must be made available in full, so that the applicable safeguards and limitations are known.

    Regards,

    PricewaterhouseCoopers Corporate Finance & Recovery Ltda., as leader of the Consortium

    [Signed]    [Signed] 
    Regério Roberto Gollo    Marcio José Soares Lutterbach 

     

    _____________________________________________________________________________________ PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul 1

    This document is a true copy of the original signed version delivered to BNDES and in the possession of Eletrobras.


     

    Summary   
     
    1. Executive Summary  4 
    2. Organizational structure  7 
    2.1.  Organizational Chart:  7 
    2.2.  Nature and assignments of bodies:  7 
    2.3.  Profile of Positions and roles:  9 
    2.4. Profile of gratified roles and positions in commission:  10 
    2.5.  Relevant changes to the Organizational Structure:  11 
    3. Staff profile  12 
    3.1.  General information  12 
    3.2.  Demographic profile  12 
    3.3.  Productive profile of the workforce  13 
    3.4.  Workforce Development  19 
    3.5.  Leadership profile  21 
    3.6. Leadership by position  22 
    3.7.  Leadership education level  23 
    3.8. Leadership Service Time  23 
    4. Personnel Cost  24 
    4.1. Compensation structure  24 
    4.2. Cost with active employees  26 
    4.3. Interns and apprentices  27 
    5. Collective agreements  29 
    5.1. Salary readjustment  29 
    5.2.  Benefits  29 
    5.3.  Payment of other bonuses  29 
    6. Outsourcing  31 
    7. Aspects related to health and safety  32 
    7.1.  Verification of existence of health and safety policies and procedures  32 
    7.2.  PCMSO Analysis  32 
    7.3.  PPRA Analysis  32 
    7.4.  Verification of completion of occupational medical examinations  33 
    7.5.  Internal Committee on Accident Prevention ("CIPA")  33 
    7.6.  Survey of work accidents (with/without leave) and opening of CAT (Work accident communication)  33 
    7.7.  PPE Delivery Verification  33 
    7.8.  Occupational Safety Technician Performance  34 
    7.9.  Mandatory training  34 
    1. Position and Compensation Plan ("PCR")  36 
    1.1.  Compensation Structure  37 

     

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    2


     

    1.2.  Growth Rules:  37 
    1.3.  Access requirements:  38 
    2. Variable pay  39 
    3. Benefits    39 
    4. Performance Management  43 
    4.1.  Performance Matrix:  43 
    5. Training and Development  45 
    6. Organizational Climate  46 

     

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    3


     

    1. Executive Summary

         This report consists of the first part of the Human Resources Evaluation for Distributor Ceron, within the scope of the project "Eletrobras System Distributors' Privatization Process Evaluation" contracted by BNDES, through "AARH Electronic Trading Floor # 51/2016" invitation to bid with the Mais Energia B Consortium composed of PwC (consortium leader), Siglasul and Loeser e Portela Advogados.

         The documents prepared by Ceron between February and April 2017 were used to prepare the following analysis and indicators.

         In this report, we show information related to Ceron's staff considering the cut-off date of December 31, 2016. Some assumptions were made for the generation and analysis of indicators with respect to staff:

    Considered:

    Employees

    Board members Commissioned positions Employees on secondment

     

    Not considered:

    Interns

    Young Apprentices Pensioners Retirees on disability

    Employees laid off through PID Employees laid off in December/2016 Deceased in December 2016 Transposed to the Federal government's staff Assigned Employees

     

         PwC's 2016 Benchmarking was used to compare the indicators. Indicators were compared with data from the Electrical Sector Panel composed of 18 companies in the sector. If data from this Panel were not available, indicators were compared with the General Market.

    When evaluating the generated indicators, we verified:

    Considering the base date of December 31, 2016, the Distributor's workforce has 702 active employees. This group is composed mainly of men (80%), with an average of 46 years of age.

    Employees spent an average of 18 years in the company, and approximately 50% spent over 20 years in the company.

    Employees are distributed into four broad positions: middle-school level professional (1%), high-school level operational professional (33%), high-school level support professional (51%) and higher-education level professional (15%). Professionals with training under and beyond what is required in the public competition exist. The most common level is high-school degree (49%), followed by 36% of employees with a higher-education degree.

    The average turnover of the last 5 years was 3.10%, which is lower than that of the electric power market (approximately 7.00%). This indicator was impacted by layoffs resulting from the voluntary resignation programs in the years of 2013 and 2014 and by the hiring resulting from the process of insourcing of activities in 2015. The percentage of hours not worked due to leave in 2016 for Ceron was 2.73%, in line with the industry average (2.51%). Regarding the percentage of performed

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    4


     

    overtime, we observe that this indicator is better than the average of the general market: while in the last 5 years the Distributor has shown an average of 4.7%, the general market shows 5.3%.

    The Distributor's leadership is comprised of 41% professionals occupying higher-education level positions and 50% possessing up to 10 years in the company. The breadth of command (indicates number of employees per leader) is 6.8. This index is lower than that what is observed among electric power companies (13), representing an opportunity to optimize organizational structures.

    With regard to professional training, there was investment of approximately 22 hours/year and BRL 456.93 (average) per employee for dedication to training in 2016.

    Regarding personnel cost, we observed that the fixed remuneration of Ceron's employees contributes to the weight of the Total Cost, representing 65%. The total cost per capita for the Distributor is 20% lower than that shown by the electric power market.

    Regarding people management practices, the Distributor operates in an integrated manner with the other companies of the Eletrobras System. Consistent policies and practices are in place for performance appraisal, training, and compensation.

         The benefits practiced by Ceron are, in their totality, established in a collective agreement. It should be noted that the package offered is superior to that usually practiced in the private market and there is no differentiation between the benefits offered to managers and employees of the administration and operation.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    5


     

    I. PART I

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    6


     



     

    fundamental management guidelines, as well as the Company's upper management, by monitoring compliance with the guidelines established by it, monitoring enforcement of approved programs and checking the obtained results.

         Supervisory Board: Collegial body responsible for overseeing the acts of company managers and verifying compliance with the Company's legal and statutory duties, examining its financial statements, as well as other roles set forth in specific legislation.

         Executive Board: Ensuring regular functioning of the Company and, to this end, vested with powers of administration and management of corporate business, is able to deliberate on any matters related to the corporate purpose, except those that, due to their nature or under the Bylaws, are attributed to the General Meeting or the Board of Directors.

    Upper management bodies: office of the CEO and boards

         Bodies responsible for the planning, coordination and control of their specific activities as defined in the Bylaws and in the Company Organization Handbook.

         Office of the CEO: The Office of the CEO is responsible, through the actions of the Chief Executive Officer, for the political-administrative orientation and representation of the Company.

         Regulatory and Special Projects Board: Planning, guiding, supervising, coordinating and controlling activities related to technical, commercial and economic-financial regulation, as well as those related to projects related to research and development, energy efficiency, ombudsman, special projects, in accordance with what is established in the concession agreement and current legislation.

         Planning and Expansion Board: The Planning and Expansion Board is responsible for planning, guiding, supervising, coordinating and controlling the activities related to the planning and implementation of the expansion of the electric distribution and subtransmission systems, in order to ensure fulfillment of the demand from the energy consumer market within the concession area, as well as activities related to environmental management and monitoring of the Company's activities.

         Commercial Board: The Commercial Department is responsible for planning, guiding, supervising, coordinating, deliberating and controlling activities related to commercial relations with consumers and activities related to statistics and market and energy purchasing projections, in accordance with the provisions of the Company's Bylaws, the Concession Agreement and Legislation.

         Financial Board: The Financial Board is responsible for planning, guiding, supervising, coordinating and controlling the activities related to general and cost accounting, accounts payable and receivable, budget, treasury, tax management, equity control, insurance, fundraising and investments.

         Management Board: The Management Board is responsible for planning, guiding, supervising, coordinating and controlling activities related to people management, training and development, occupational safety and medicine, labor and union relations, supplies and material management, information technology, organization and management methodologies.

    On December 31, 2016, Ceron's workforce was composed as follows:

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    8


     

      Category  Amount 
    a.  Employees in permanent positions  690 
    b.  Employees on secondment from other bodies and spheres  3 
    c.  Officials without ties to the public administration (Commissioned)  2 
    d.  Board members  7 
    e.  Assigned employees  28 
    Total (a+b+c+d-e)  702 

     

    In addition to the professionals above, Ceron's workforce include interns and young apprentices:

      Category  Amount 
    a.  Young Apprentice  28 
    b.  Interns  49 
    Total    77 
     
    2.3.  Profile of Positions and roles:   

     

         Following what has been established in the Eletrobras System's Position and Compensation Plan ("PCR"), Ceron employees are distributed into four broad positions:

      Levels of     
    Broad position    Role 
      complexity     
     
        §  Administrative Assistant 
    Middle-school Level      Assistant Electrician 
      I, II  §   
    Professional ("PF")      Driver 
     
     
        §  Electrician-Driver, 
    High-school Level Support  I, II, III and IV  §  Administrative Support 
    Professional ("PMS")    §  Telecommunications Accounting Technician Technician 
     
        §  Electrical Technician, 
    High-school Level Operational  I, II, III and IV  §  Work Safety Technician 
    Professional ("PMO")    §  Electronics Technician. 

     

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    9


     

        §  Lawyer Administrator   
        §  Social Communication Analyst   
        §  Information Technology and 
     
        §  Archivist Communications Analyst   
    Higher-education Level    §  Social Worker   
    Professional ("PS")  I, II, III and IV  §  Accountant     
        §  Economist     
        §  Civil Engineer   
        §  Electrical Engineer   
        §  Work Safety Engineer   
        §  Work Physician   
        §  Organizational Psychologist   

     

         Note: The PCR also defines the position of Professional Researcher, but this was not adopted by the Distributors.

    2.4. Profile of gratified roles and positions in commission:

         Gratified roles are carried out by permanent employees who act in positions of leadership and advisory positions:

    Category  Amount 
    Board Assistant  5 
    Director  3 
    Area Manager  51 
    Department Manager  21 
    Project Manager  3 
    Location Leader  8 
    COI Leader  3 
    Auctioneer  2 
      96 

     

         In addition to gratified roles, Ceron has employees with no ties to the public administration, acting in a commissioned position (this contracting model is established in Article 37 subsection II of the Constitution).

      Category  Amount 
    Assistant to the CEO    1 
    Director    1 
        2 

     

    In total, Ceron's staff has 98 employees in gratified roles and commissioned positions.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    10


     

    2.5.      Relevant changes to the Organizational Structure:
    2.5.1.      Incentivized Resignation Program ("PID")

         In 2013 and 2014 all distributors of the Eletrobras System implemented the Incentivized Resignation Program ("PID"). The following were considered eligible: employees who had a 20-year effective employment relationship with the distributor, considered in the month of termination and retired by the INSS regardless of the time of employment with the distributor. Membership was voluntary and depended on the initiative of the request for resignation by the employees.

    87 employees were laid off, distributed into two stages:

    Terminations were carried out in two stages:

    Those terminated through the PID received the maintenance of the benefit of medical assistance for a determined period of time, according to the step in which they were laid off:

    2.5.2. Approval of the new 2017 organizational structure

         On October 25, 2016, a change in the organizational structure of Ceron was approved. The new organization chart is as illustrated below.


    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    11


     



     



     



     



     



     



     

    3.3.6. Absence rate:

         The absence rate takes into account absence of the employee due to delay or unjustified absences and is shown as a percentage of the potential work hours that were not actually fulfilled.

         At Ceron, the average absence rate of the last 5 years analyzed was around 2.99%. When comparing this percentage with that of other companies in the Electric Power sector, we observe that it is in line with the average of this market.

      Ceron absence rate (as a percentage)     
     
    2016  2015  2014  2013  2012  Energy Panel Comparison 
    2.73%  3.17%  2.66%  3.37%  2.04%  Average absence 
              2.51 % 

     

    3.3.7. Employees on leave:

         In 2016, Ceron reported 4 work accidents. The leave periods were: 2 days, 2 days, 10 days and 90 days. No reasons for the leaves were reported in previous years.

    3.3.8. Overtime:

         The average overtime rate per capita for the past 5 years analyzed year was approximately 70 hours per year.

         The collective agreement of the category provides for the payment of worked overtime hours under current legislation. The Distributor uses an hour bank, but did not prove that it is approved by the workers' union.

    Overtime per capita (in hours)

    2016  2015  2014  2013  2012 
    76.98h  72.20h  68.97h  59.46h  72.95h 

     

         The average percentage of overtime in the past 5 years, which considers the number of overtime hours worked over the number of potential overtime hours has been maintained at an average of 4.7%. It should be noted that this overtime index is below what is measured in the general market (5.3%).

      Overtime (as a percentage)     
              General Market 
    2016  2015  2014  2013  2012  Comparison 
     
    5.2%  4.9%  4.6%  4.0%  4.9%  Overtime 
              5.3 % 

     

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    18


     

    3.3.9. Stability:

         Currently, the Distributor has 97 employees on Stability as provided for by the legislation or established in a collective agreement:

    3.4.      Workforce Development
    3.4.1.      Performance appraisal

         Ceron annually performs performance appraisal on its employees. The appraisal process covers Skills Appraisal and Targets Appraisal. The former consists of an Individual Appraisal of skills performed by the manager on the employee under his/her subordination. The latter relates to the results of the Business Goal as stipulated by the CMDE (Business Performance Targets Agreement) and Team Targets monitored through the Management in Sight ("Gestão à Vista") program. Skills and targets are assessed through the following concepts:

    Skills
    AE - Above Expectations
    A - Meets
    AP - Partially meets
    NA - Dos not meet

    Targets
    S - Exceeds
    A - Meets
    AP - Partially meets
    NA - Dos not meet

         The result is a combination of the results of skills appraisal and targets appraisal and is expressed as a number ranging from 1 to 16. This number reveals the employee's position in a 16-quadrant matrix. According to his/her position, the employee receives appropriate training actions and is eligible for promotion or salary raise by merit.

    Source: Eletrobras System Performance Management System

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    19


     

         Employees on leave during the appraisal cycle, commissioned employees, members of the Board of Directors and directors do not perform this performance appraisal model, and thus, only 671 employees participated in the 2016 cycle.

         By analyzing the results of the evaluations, we observe that almost 56% of the employees are appraised as at least "Meets" regarding targets. Targets are appraised as "Dos not meet," "Meets," or "Exceeds."


    Skills    Targets   
    AE - Above Expectations  44%  S - Exceeds  18% 
    A - Meets  55%  A - Meets  29% 
    AP - Partially meets  1%  AP - Partially meets  53% 
    NA - Dos not meet  0%  NA - Dos not meet  0% 

     

         Good market practices indicate that, on average, 70% of appraised employees receive a "Meets" grade, the rest being distributed between "Does not meet", "Partially meets" and "Exceeds" (the latter is generally limited to 5% of those appraised).

    3.4.2. Training hours

         In 2016, Ceron accounted for 15,464 hours of training, representing an investment of 22.03 hours per year per capita (approximately 3 days) for dedication to training at a cost of BRL 320,764.14 (BRL 456.93 per capita).

         According to the Management Report, in 2015 the company invested BRL 600,000.00 in the education of its employees, performing 119 educational actions in person and remotely.

         It is possible to increase this volume of hours with the construction of a training and development plan by department and position, aiming at better qualification of the workforce and professional stimulation.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    20


     



     



     



     



     

    Health and Welfare Support  Education Support  Family Support 
     
    Continuous-use  medication  Educational aid  Babysitting aid 
    reimbursement       
    Eyewear and contact lens  Graduation reimbursement  Childcare aid 
    reimbursement       
    Gym aid    Graduate refund  Aid for children with special 
          needs/disabilities 
    Healthcare    School material aid  Funeral aid 
    Food aid*       

     

    Transportation aid

    *Food aid amounts were estimated according to collective agreement.

    The rules established for payment of the above benefits are specified in section 6 of this report.

    Bonuses:

    Other items (representing sporadic payments):

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    25


     

    Overtime

    On-call

    Reimbursement of expenses

    4.2. Cost with active employees

         The total personnel cost, considering active employees, for the month of December 2016, is BRL 7,261,426.40. In this amount, amounts related to the payment of 13th salary are not considered. We did not consider charges nor deductions:

       

    Dec. 2016

    Total personnel cost(BRL)*

    *considers gross compensation, without deductions and charges. In this amount, the following items are considered:

     

    BRL 7,261,426.40

     

         By analyzing the cost structure, we observe that 65% is equal to fixed pay, 1% is Variable Pay, 15% are benefits, 13% are bonuses and 6% are equivalent to other items.

      Personnel cost composition   
     
        Other items 
        Bonuses 
        Benefits 
        Variable pay 
        Fixed pay 
     
     
     
     
      Total Personnel Cost   
    Compensation Type  Total  Per capita 
    Fixed pay  BRL 4,714,262.53  BRL 6,753.96 
    Variable pay  BRL 69,757.20  BRL 99.94 
    Benefits  BRL 1,072,396.68  BRL 1,536.38 
    Bonuses  BRL 974,263.15  BRL 1,395.79 
    Other items  BRL 430,746.84  BRL 617.12 

     

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    26


     



     

    Relationship  Amount  Costs 
    Apprentices  28  BRL 17,387.92 
    Interns  49  BRL 68,729.36 

     

         The internship program includes higher education students in areas of interest to the company who have completed at least 50% of their programs.

         Interns are entitled to receive a compensation to the amount of BRL 526.31, in addition to transportation aid to the amount of BRL 159.06 and meal aid of BRL 190.96 per month; annotation in their Employee Registration Books and personal protective equipment when use is required.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    28


     

    5. Collective agreements

         The collective agreement is nation-wide and its clauses cover all six Distributors analyzed. There are other documents supplementary to the collective agreement. Over the years, the definitions established in previous years have been maintained.

    Document

    2016 - 2018 Collective agreement Nation-wide commitment agreement

    2016 -2018 Specific collective agreement Specific commitment agreement

    Specific clauses of the Collective Agreement by distributor Specific commitment agreement

     

    Scope

    Its clauses cover all Distributors

    Ceron-specific clauses

     

    5.1. Salary readjustment

         With respect to salary raises, in the current agreement the readjustment was of 9.28%. It is common to set the 5% downpayment on the base date of the category (May), and the difference between the downpayment and the percentage increase negotiated in the agreement is paid retroactively.

      Collective Agreement  Salary readjustment percentages 
      2012-2013  6.60% 
      2013-2015  7.90% 
      2015-2016  8.18% 
      2016-2018  9.28% 
     
     
    5.2.  Benefits   

     

         With respect to salary raises, in the current agreement the readjustment was of 9.28%. It is common to set the 5% downpayment on the base date of the category (May), and the difference between the downpayment and the percentage increase negotiated in the agreement is paid retroactively.

      Collective Agreement  Salary readjustment percentages 
      2012-2013  6.60% 
      2013-2015  7.90% 
      2015-2016  8.18% 
      2016-2018  9.28% 
     
    5.3.  Payment of other bonuses   

     

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    29


     

         In addition to the benefits, the collective agreement and its respective specific agreements establish clauses regarding payment of bonuses. The following are the main aspects:

    Clause

    Hardship pay

     

    Agreement description

    Payment of 7.5% on base salary, plus Bonus for service time, for employees in continuous rotating shifts.

     

    Unhealthiness pay

     

    Basis of calculation will be the lowest salary of Eletrobras' salary matrix. It is limited to the 40%, 20% and 10% percentages according to the degree of unhealthiness classified according to maximum, medium and minimum levels.

    Night-time bonus

     

    Payment of bonus for employees' extended hours, provided that they fully fulfilled their shift in the night period.

    Hazard pay

     

    Indicates the adoption of the payment criterion set forth in Law 12.740/2012 for employees admitted before 12/8/2012.

    Overtime

    Substitution gratification

     

    Calculated according to the percentages applied in the relevant legislation.

    Non-cumulative grant of Gratification for role to formal substitutes of an official gratified management position for a period of more than 10 days, to the amount valid in the payment month.

    13th salary

     

    50% advance payment may be requested on the annual holiday schedule and should be received together with the holiday payment.

    Bonus for service     
    time ("ATS")    It will pay employees a bonus per year of uninterrupted service rendered. 
     
     

    Electrician/driver gratification ("GEM")

     

    Driver gratification to electricians in the usual exercise of the Electrician/Driver role.

        1/3 of the normal hour for employees on-call under applicable legislation. 
    On-call     
     

    Holiday gratification

     

    Holiday gratification payment of 75%

     

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    30


     

    6. Outsourcing

         Historically, the Distributors have practiced labor outsourcing to perform certain roles. This outsourcing is contracted and managed by the contracting department, by the contract manager. Accordingly, there is no characterization of an employment relationship with outsourced professionals.

         In 2013, legal decisions were made to replace outsourced labor (legal decisions and decisions from judgments 2132/2010 - TCU-Plenary Sitting - and 2303/2012 - TCU-Plenary Sitting). Ceron has designed a project to prioritize such labor.

         Currently, Ceron has a total of 1,715 outsourced workers, has hired 109 for the position of grid electrician to meet the demand for insourcing and there is a proposal to perform insourcing on 1,142 positions in the following positions:

    Positions    To be Hired 
    PF-ASSISTANT ELECTRICIAN  335 
    PF-METER READER (TO BE PHASED  195 
    OUT)     
    PMS-ELECTRICIAN DRIVER  435 
    PMS-ADMINISTRATIVE ASSISTANT  48 
    PMS-ADMINISTRATIVE  ASSISTANT  105 
    (CONSUMER SERVICE)     
    PMO-ELECTRICAL TECHNICIAN  16 
    PMO-SAFETY TECHNICIAN  4 
    PS - ELECTRICAL ENGINEER  4 

     

         It is important to note that Law 13.249/2017, which regulates outsourcing in companies, is being discussed and has not yet been promulgated, so the exercise of activities by outsourced professionals may represent a labor exposure and the need for insourcing should be considered.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    31


     

    7. Aspects related to health and safety

         In addition to specific clauses on health and safety defined in a collective agreement, Ceron has policies and standards aimed at preserving the health and safety of its employees. The main aspects related to the topic are shown below.

    7.1. Verification of existence of health and safety policies and procedures

         Ceron follows the health and safety policies and procedures established by the Eletrobras System, which are an integral part of the PPRA and PCMSO.

    7.2. PCMSO Analysis

         Ceron submitted the document for the preparation and implementation of a valid Occupational Health Medical Control Program ("PCMSO"), which was prepared in October 2016.

         The document covers both employees of the capital and those of the rural areas and classifies the activity of the Distributor as risk degree 3. The following are the main aspects analyzed in the document:

    Aspects analyzed      Classification 
    Clear goals       
    Risk degree       
    Describes actions to promote health     
    Describes tests to be performed     
    Recognition of environmental risks     
    Procedure in case of accident     
    Responsibilities       
    Has descriptions for positions and roles     
    Has performance indicators     
    Schedule of actions       
    Expected to disclose results     
    Key: showed evidence  ï insufficient information  × did not show evidence   
     
    7.3.  PPRA Analysis       

     

         Ceron submitted the document for the preparation and implementation of a valid Environmental Risk Prevention Program ("PPRA"), which was prepared in November 2016. The Distributor has a single PPR that covers all of its Units.

    Aspects analyzed

    Clear goals

    Roles and responsibilities Has performance/goal indicators Schedule of actions

     

    Classification

     

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    32


     

    Expected to disclose results     
    Description of risk recognition, monitoring and control     
    Describes physical, chemical, biological, ergonomic and accident risks   
    Assesses chemical risks       
    Assesses biological risks       
    Assesses ergonomic risks       
    Assesses risk of accidents       
    Assesses environmental noise risks     
    Assesses environmental lighting risks     
    Has descriptions for positions and roles     
    Describes PPE used       
    Describes prevention measures     
    Key: showed evidence  ï insufficient information  × did not show evidence   
     
    7.4.  Verification of completion of occupational medical examinations   
     
    Aspects analyzed    Classification 
    Annual periodic examinations     
    Admission examination       
    Termination examination       
    Key: showed evidence  ï insufficient information  × did not show evidence   
     
    7.5.  Internal Committee on Accident Prevention ("CIPA")   

     

         Ceron has an active CIPA, as established in NR-5. A CIPA is established for each of the different locations of the distributor. Currently, 21 elected employees are fulfilling their term.

         According to the documents provided, CIPA meetings take place periodically and have minutes recording the decisions.

    7.6. Survey of work accidents (with/without leave) and opening of CAT (Work accident communication)

         The Distributor has evidence of being in compliance with the need to open a "CAT" (Work accident communication) when work accidents occur. In 2016, 4 work accidents were reported, with opening of CAT. The leave periods were: 2 days, 2 days, 10 days and 90 days.

    7.7. PPE Delivery Verification

         Ceron showed evidence that it performs PPE delivery control for employees who need this type of equipment and perform the following roles: Assistant electrician

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    33


     

    7.8. Occupational Safety Technician Performance

    Ceron has in its staff eight professionals who act as work safety technicians.

    7.9. Mandatory training

         Mandatory health and safety training depends on the activities performed by the employees, which can expose them to different risk situations.

         Ceron offers its employees the following training sessions, according to the activities carried out: Regulatory Standard 10 (NR10), Regulatory Standard 35 (NR35). The mentioned training must be performed every two years.

    In 2016, 330 employees underwent safety training, including NR10 and NR35.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    34


     

    II. PART II

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    35


     



     

    High-school Level Operational Professional ("PMO") Higher-education Level Professional ("PS") Professional Researcher ("PP")

    I, II, III and IV
    I, II, III and IV
    I, II, III and IV

         Broad positions shall be unfolded in occupational spaces with the purpose of giving flexibility to the professionals to assume different roles in the Organization and, thus, to allow greater alignment between the performance of the professional and the expectations and needs of the person himself/herself and the Organization by respecting the specific requirements of each training.

         Occupational spaces define specific assignments, skill and training requirements, given the characteristics of organizational processes and professional regulations.

    1.1. Compensation Structure

         Each of the five broad positions defined in the Career and Compensation Plan of the Eletrobras System has its respective salary scale. The salary scale consists of "ranges" that are divided into steps: Ranges: Reflect each of the complexity levels established for the positions.

         Steps: The number of steps per range varies due to the established wage spread (guided by internal and external market information) and adherence to the methodology present in the requirements for accessing the complexity levels of each position.

    1.2. Growth Rules:

         Employees can undergo horizontal growth (advancing through steps) or vertical growth (advancing through ranges).

         Horizontal growth: The salary evolution of the employee within the same complexity level which the professional is currently in. This change is conditioned to the result of the Performance Appraisal and the availability of funds. Horizontal growth can be done over one (1) to three (3) wage steps.

         Vertical growth: The rise of the employee to the complexity level immediately above that of his/her current level. Vertical growth may occur during the twelve (12) months subsequent to the Performance Appraisal, subject to the defined access requirements for seniority promotion and availability of funds and vacancy for this purpose.

    Employees shall be ensured at least one (1) and at most four (4) salary growth steps.

         Promotion due to Seniority: An automatic advance corresponding to a ½ salary step advance. The level advance will correspond to a lateral (from column A to B) or diagonal (from column B to A) growth in the salary scale and will occur after the employee stays for 24 months at the same salary step. That is, if he/she does not advance due to other criteria.

         After the employee stays for 24 months in the last step (column B) of the complexity level to which he/she belongs, the employee shall be entitled to a diagonal level advance. Level growth will only occur in the following cases: _ From Level I to Level II.

    _ From Level II to Level III.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    37


     

         Below is an illustration of advancing within the salary scales of the positions, to be executed according to professional ascension criteria for the career:

    Vertical Growth

    Complexity Levels / Value
    Addition

    Horizontal Growth

    1.3. Access requirements:

    Each complexity level of broad positions has specific access requirements.

    Level of Complexity

    I

     

    Access requirement

    Access by public competition, without experience requirement.

    II    Time spent in the previous complexity 
        Result of performance appraisals in the last 3 years. 
    III    Time spent in the previous complexity 
        Result of performance appraisals in the last 3 years 

    IV

     

    Board Approval Existence of vacancy.

     

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    38


     

    2. Variable pay

         The Eletrobras system defined a policy for sharing the company's profits with employees ("PLR"). The maximum amount to be distributed is up to two salary payrolls of the relevant year for each company that signed the system.

    This payment of profit sharing is carried out in accordance with two stages.

          Impact on the amount to 
    Stage    Targets   
          be distributed 
     
      Holding company's net income target  25% 
    STAGE 1       
     
    PROFITABILITY  EBITDA target per company  25% 
     
      Business Performance Target   
      Agreement:   
    STAGE 2  -  Availability and Generation   
      -  Availability of transmission lines   
    OPERATIONAL      50% 
      -  Deducted Variable Portion on   
    TARGETS  transmission   
      -  Score obtained at ISE Bovespa   

     

    Achievement of targets can be proportional, with specific criteria for each.

         Once the assessment of all targets linked to PLR payment have been made, this will be paid 50% in a linear manner and 50% distributed in proportion to the pay of each employee. Permanent employees will be entitled as long as they have been in the company since January 1 of the year related to the PLR, as well as employees on secondment and assigned employees, provided that they do not receive PLR from their original/assignee companies. If any of these employees mentioned above has interrupted their employment contract throughout the reference year, they will not receive the PLR. If they work partially during the year due to their date of admission, retirement, dismissal without just cause, termination or leave, they will receive the PLR in a proportional way.

         Hours worked by the employee versus the total hours required by his/her position, by deducting holidays, maternity leave and occupational sick leave or work-related accidents shall be equal to or greater than 95% for him/her to be entitled to receive his/her PLR.

         Note 1: Scales having the levels of compliance with the holding company's net profit targets, EBITDA per company and operational targets are included in the PLR normative documents.

         Note 2: There are points that are still diverging between the companies and workers' unions to be later checked.

    3. Benefits

         As informed in Part I session 4, Personnel Costs, Ceron provides its employees with a series of benefits, part of which is established in a collective agreement, and part is offered at the company's discretion.

         Practices generally adopted by the market were not identified, such as differentiation of benefits for management positions.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    39


     

         Benefits established in a collective agreement (whether in the nation-wide agreement, in the nationwide commitment agreement, in the specific agreement of the Distributors or in Ceron's specific agreement.

    Benefit Food/Meal Aid

     

    Current amount

    13 to 16 booklets/year with 29 units having a value of BRL 37.82.

    Reimbursement of up to BRL 449.29/month per dependent, for dependents up to 17 years of age, not cumulative with childcare aid, in protection of the academic period (middle-school, high-school and/or technical school).

    Educational Aid

     

    Reimbursement for expenses with school uniforms and supplies for full scholarship recipients (limited to the amount of two monthly tuition installments)

     

    Holiday gratification

    Childcare/ Preschool/ Babysitting Aid

     

    Holiday gratification payment of 75%

    Reimbursement of BRL 599.05/month per dependent for dependents aged 6 months to 6 years (limited to the amount of two monthly tuition installments).

    Compensation supplement, including thirteenth salary, to an amount

    Work sickness/accident aid

     

    corresponding to the difference between monthly compensation and the benefit received by social security as work sickness/accident aid.

     
        Reimbursement of proven expenses with PCD dependents up to a limit of BRL 
    PCD    843.65. 
        Reimbursement of funeral expenses up to the limit of BRL 4,921.28 and 
    Funeral Aid    BRL 9,842.57 for death due to work accident. 

    School material reimbursement Leave for victims of

    domestic violence

    Patient companion leave Leave due to death of

    step-father or step- mother

     

    Up to the limit amount of two monthly tuition installments for the educational aid or childcare aid.

    Paid leave of 3 to 5 days to workers.

    Medical companionship for relatives or healthcare plan dependents: from 1 to 30 days subject to submission of medical certificate or medical report.

    Up to 5 days.

     
        1/3 of the normal hour for employees on-call under applicable legislation. 
    On-call     
     

    Annual Supplementary Bonus

     

    1% on base salary for each completed work year. (Employees admitted as of 5.1.2004 will be granted the five-year supplementary bonus on the base salary for every 5 worked years, limited to 7 five-year periods.

     

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    40


     

    University course incentive

     

    Partial reimbursement of expenses with undergraduate education for employees who do not yet have this education level. 90% reimbursement up to the limit of BRL 605.85.

     

    Physical activity incentive

     

    Reimbursement up to the limit of BRL 94,58.

    Medical aid, hospital aid, laboratory aid and dental care plan to all employees and dependents. (5 times the wage floor 6% deduction, 5 to 7 times the wage

    Healthcare

     

    floor 18%, 7 to 9 times the wage floor 27%, 9 to 10 times the wage floor 36%, above 10 times the wage floor 45%). In the year 2016, the Healthcare Plan (PPRS) had an annual cost of BRL 13,919,784.00.

    For chronic conditions such as diabetes and heart diseases such as

    Continuous-use medication reimbursement

     

    hypertension, arrhythmia, congestive heart failure, medicine for an child with special needs, for a total of BRL 301.28.

    As a premium when an employment contract is terminated, to an amount

    Incentive to retirement

     

    equivalent to 1 time their base salary received in the month of retirement for each year of service in the company, limited to the payment of 10 salaries.

    11.62 times the base salary of each employee up to the limit amount of BRL 54,085.00 per natural death or total permanent disability due to illness and to the amount of 23.24 times the base salary of each employee up to the limit of

    Group life insurance

     

    BRL 108,170.00 for accidental death of any nature or permanent disability resulting from an accident. (The company will pay 50% to 60% of the cost of group life insurance and the employee will pay the 40% to 50% difference).

     
        The Distributor will provide it to those who opt for it, observing the legal and 
    Transportation    regulatory standards that govern said system. 
     
       

    Full refund of expenses incurred with medicines in the case of work

    Medication reimbursement

     

    accidents, occupational diseases and cancer when said medication is for the treatment of the disease.

        It shall be granted to employees subject to continuous rotating shifts at the 
    Snack Voucher    unit value of 50% of the meal voucher. 
     

    Hospital Medical Treatment

     

    The Distributor shall pay for medical and hospital treatment expenses not covered by the healthcare plan for victims of work accidents and occupational illness.

    Medication for injured employees

     

    The Distributor shall pay for 100% of the amount of medication for work accident victims.

    Expenses with glasses (lens and frame) or contact lenses for active employees, within the established limits, are reimbursed: Frame - reimbursement of up to BRL 110,52

    Eyewear and contact lens reimbursement*

     

    Single-vision lenses - Refund of up to BRL 95,49 Multifocal lenses - reimbursement of BRL 181.25 Contact lenses - reimbursement of up to BRL 149.21

     

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    41


     

    Other incentives offered:

    Private Pension Plan - Eletrobras CERON, through the CERON CD PLAN, offers its employees the Supplementary Pension Plan for Predefined Contribution ("CD"). Monthly contributions from employees, together with the company's participation, will create a savings account, enabling the employee to receive a supplementation to his/her retirement when retiring. In 2016, no standard contributions were made by the company for constituting mathematical reserves of the private pension plan.

    Employee Profit Sharing (PLR) - Eletrobras grants PLR to its permanent employees after the end of each financial year, provided that the goals established in the Agreement Instrument are reached. Guidelines for the distribution of profit sharing are negotiated with the entity representing the employees, and comply with the provisions of the Resolution of the Board for Coordination and Control of State Enterprises ("CCE") # 10/1995 and Law # 10.101/2000.

    Quality of Life Program - In order to improve and ensure quality of life to its employees, the company annually signs an agreement with SESI/AC regarding a quality of life and active leisure program, with the creation of interest groups related to dance, sports, culture, and other branches of entertainment, where employees can exchange experiences and perform on festive occasions.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    42


     

    4. Performance Management

         The Performance Management System is a standard in all Eletrobras System companies. This process is composed of two concurrent programs which are the "Skill Assessment and Development Program" ("PADC") and the "Results Evaluation and Improvement Program" ("PAMR").

         Distributors are in the fifth evaluation cycle but there still are aspects of the model that have not been fully implemented.

         Through the PADC, skills classified as "Organizational Skills" are evaluated. Specific skills have not been defined and, therefore, are not evaluated. In addition to undergoing evaluation by their direct leader, employees perform their self-assessment (without any weight on the final result). The 360o evaluation model was not implemented.

         Through the PAMR, organizational results are monitored on a corporate and team level. These results are measured by targets defined at the beginning of the evaluation cycle. Throughout the cycle, they are monitored with regard to their achievement. Currently the business targets represent 30% of the evaluation and team goals represent 70%.

         The evaluation cycle is annual. The result of the evaluation is expressed through a grade and can be visualized in the Performance Classification Matrix.

    In Skills

    Grade  Description  Scale 
    Does not  The employee shows performance in skills well below the  0 
    meet  defined standard   
    Partially  The employee shows performance in skills approaching the  1 
    meets  defined standard   
    Meets  The employee shows performance in skills in accordance  2 
      with expectations regarding the defined standard   
    Meets above  The employee shows performance in skills above  3 
    expectations  expectations regarding the defined standard   

     

    In Results

    Grade  Description  Scale 
    Does not  The employee shows performance in results well below the  0 
    meet  defined standard   
    Partially  The employee shows performance in results approaching  1 
    meets  the defined standard   
    Achieves  The employee shows performance in results in accordance  2 
      with expectations regarding the defined standard   
    Exceeds  The employee shows performance in results above  3 
      expectations regarding the defined standard   

     

    4.1. Performance Matrix:

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    43


     


    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    44


     

    5. Training and Development

         The educational model of Eletrobras distributors for planning and executing educational actions is formally described in its standards (Corporate Education - Planning and Execution and Development and Training of People) and in the Corporate Education Plan of UNISE ("Universidade das empresas da Eletrobras").

         The management of educational actions has a hierarchical structure defined both at Eletrobras' corporate level and in local development structures in the distributors. The general guidelines of the educational model are defined by corporate and deployed locally, maintaining strategic alignment among the different companies, while specific demands of the distributors are met by the local corporate education unit.

         Eletrobras' educational model is structured based on management by skills. In the process of preparing the educational plan, priority skills for the organization are defined based on the business strategy. The educational model is also integrated with other people management practices such as performance management, job and salary plan, and leadership development by promoting strategic alignment among human resources actions.

         The corporate education of Eletrobras companies is organized into two organizational structures that act in a complementary way:

         Educational actions can be categorized as internal when performed at the company's premises and with in-house instructors; external, when performed by an external provider and can be performed inside or outside Eletrobras facilities; introductory educational action, which aims to integrate new employees into the organization; and educational contractual training actions resulting from contracts with equipment or software suppliers who demand training of employees. Distributors also feature brief distance education courses offered by Corporate TV (LUME).

         To monitor the quality of training and contribute to continuous improvement, reaction assessments and impact assessment should be applied to each training. And at the managerial level, educational actions are accompanied by monthly reports and quarterly reports directed to the Executive Board.

         Criteria for employee participation and certification are clearly defined in the standards and standardized forms procedures. The justifications accepted in case of withdrawal are also listed in the standards, as well as penalties in case of abandonment, failure or termination from the company. Formalization of the process ensures greater transparency and equality to employees, aiming to ensure equal opportunity of participation and development to employees.

         Analysis of the documentation provided by the Distributors regarding training and development shows that Eletrobras' corporate university offers consistent programs for developing leadership skills, as well as management, strategy and some aspects related to the operation, among other topics.

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    45


     

         Training offered by the Distributors, due to budget constraints, is more focused on operational aspects and compliance with mandatory training. We observed that for these development actions the Distributors frequently use the agreement with S. System institutions.

    6. Organizational Climate

         The Organizational climate survey aims to monitor the employees' satisfaction and commitment to the company, as well as to identify training needs, personal/managerial development and to seek alignment of the culture with the actions carried out by the company.

         All Eletrobras System Distributors conduct the survey every two years by evaluating the following aspects:

      People  Philosophy of  Work 
    Motivation       
      Management  Management  Environment 
     
     
      Corporative  Organizational   
    Identity  education  Clarity   
          Work Conditions 
    Leadership  Career and  Communication   
      Remuneration    Occupational 
    Interpersonal    Institutional  Safety 
    relationship  Benefits  Image  and Health 
     
      Recognition  Sustainability   

     

         The result of the survey is expressed through the Favorability Index, which is the result of the average obtained in the four evaluated dimensions.

         In the last edition of the survey, conducted in 2015, Ceron's favorability index was 69.15%, which is in line with the Eletrobras system average.

         During an interview with human resource leaders, it was reported that, currently, climate-related attention points are the lack of motivation in view of the insourcing prospect and the overload of the workforce (due to a reduction in the number of employees).

    PwC | Loeser e Portela Advogados | Siglasul

    46


     



     



     

    To

    National Bank for Economic and Social Development ("BNDES") Av. República do Chile, 100 Rio de Janeiro - RJ

    C/O: Ms. Lidiane Delesderrier Gonçalves Manager of Agreement OCS 028/2017 May 2017

    Dear Sirs,

    According to our service agreement OCS 028/2017 ("Agreement") executed between BNDES and Mais Energia B Consortium ("Consortium") on 2/14/2017, we present the result of our work carried out in the context of Privatization of Eletrobrás System Distributors.

    The summary of the outcome of our work "Product 04: Legal Due Diligence Report" for CERON ("Report"), dated May 2017, is detailed in this document.

    Our work was developed solely for the purpose of advising the BNDES, as those responsible for executing and monitoring the process of privatization of utility companies by Decree 8,893, in CERON's evaluation, in accordance with the Agreement.

    In case this Report is to be accessed by third parties, it must be made available in full, so that the applicable safeguards and limitations are known.

    Regards,

    Loeser e Portela Advogados, as member of the Consortium

    [Signed]    [Signed] 
    Fernando Loeser    José Augusto Sollero Figueira 

     

    This document is a true copy of the original signed version delivered to BNDES and in the possession of Eletrobras.


     

    TABLE OF CONTENTS
    INTRODUCTION  4 
    EXECUTIVE REPORT  7 
    A.  REGULATORY ASPECTS  7 
    B.  CORPORATE ASPECTS  9 
    C.  FINANCIAL AGREEMENTS  9 
    D.  OPERATING AGREEMENTS AND OBLIGATIONS  10 
    E.  INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY  10 
    F.  INSURANCE  10 
    G.  LABOR ASPECTS  11 
    H.  CIVIL, COMMERCIAL, EQUITY AND CRIMINAL LITIGATION  12 
    I.  TAX LITIGATION  13 
    J.  REAL ESTATE ASPECTS  14 

     

    * * *


     

    Legal Auditing Executive Report Introduction INTRODUCTION

     

    CERON Page 4/15

     

    1. This Executive Report ("Report") was carried out as part of the structuring of the privatization operation for Centrais Elétricas de Rondônia S.A. ("CERON" or "Company" or "enterprise"), in accordance with the Invitation to Bid corresponding to AARH ELECTRONIC TRADING FLOOR #51/2016 - BNDES - ITEM 1 - "SERVICE B" (economic and financial assessment and legal, accounting, technical-operational and other specialized professional services).

    2. In this context, the NATIONAL BANK FOR ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL

    DEVELOPMENT (BNDES), through its Bidding Department, pursuant to the provisions of Law #10,520 of 7/17/2002; Decree #5,450 of 5/31/2005; Supplementary Law #123 of 12/14/2006; Decree #8,538 of 10/6/2015; Law #13,303 of 7/1/2016; and DIR Resolution #3.063/2016 (BNDES System Bidding Regulation) provided for the hiring of a company to provide the specialized services described above.

    3. Loeser and Portela Advogados, an integral part of the Mais Energia Consortium, together with PricewaterhouseCoopers Corporate Finance & Recovery Ltda., PricewaterhouseCoopers Serviços Profissionais Ltda. and Siglasul Consultoria Ltda., pursuant to OCS Agreement #028/2017, executed on February 14, 2017, was contracted to advise BNDES on the structuring of CERON privatization operation ("Operation"), specifically with respect to (i) legal aspects related to the structuring and implementation of the Operation; as well as (ii) carrying out limited legal due diligence work through sampling with respect to the Company, which is contemplated in this Executive Report.

    4. This Legal Due Diligence resulted in the preparation of this Report, and includes the analysis and assessment of information and documents to identify any issues that may significantly alter the accounting position and/or market value of CERON with respect to the following aspects:

    (i)      corporate, civil and regulatory matters. Tax, labor, social security and environmental aspects (compliance) were carried out by the advisors responsible for the analysis in these departments, and are reflected in their respective reports;
    (ii)      existing litigation within the administrative and/or legal spheres that affects, or may affect or is in any way related to CERON, and the description must contain the details on the litigation, its probable outcome and the amounts involved;

     

    Legal Auditing Executive Report Introduction

     

    CERON Page 5/15

     

    (iii)      status of the assignment and ownership of real estate and equipment registered or likely to be registered in CERON's property, plant and equipment, and the regularity of the respective documentation, including before public records, pointing out any existing liens or encumbrances; and
    (iv)      gathering public information needed to carry out this service.

    5. Lastly, this Report was prepared at the request of BNDES and is addressed only to our client (BNDES), and no other person or entity other than BNDES should rely on it; reference to this Report is also prohibited in any other document, as well as its registration or submission to third parties without our prior and explicit authorization and consent. Notwithstanding the foregoing, and provided that the client-attorney relationship (and related rights and obligations) is limited exclusively to BNDES and our firm, (a) BNDES and its advisors may use this Report for analyzing the legal feasibility of the Operation, for its economic and financial structuring and related purposes; and (b) this Report may be sent or disclosed to third parties, at BNDES' sole discretion and liability, which logically includes full disclosure to potential stakeholders in the Operation and their respective advisors.

    6. The legal audit, carried out in the period from March 6 to May 12, 2017, was based on documents and information provided by CERON related to the Company.

    7. The date of 12.31.2016 was set as the base date for issuance of the respective report of the legal audit performed ("Base Date"). It should be noted, however, that some of the information contained in this Report, as expressly indicated therein, may refer to events occurring after the Base Date.

    8. The content of this Report is limited to information obtained through the procedures described below, subject to the restrictions listed.

    9.      The legal audit was conducted according to the following methodology:
      (a)      submission of initial request for documents and information to representatives of CERON designated to attend the audit process;
      (b)      submission of requests for additional documents and information, based on information obtained during the investigation process;
      (c)      interviews, meetings and contacts with CERON employees working in the various sectors and units of the company, especially those related to the legal and accounting departments;

     

    Legal Auditing Executive Report Introduction

     

    CERON Page 6/15

     

    (d)      obtaining data extracted from CERON's process control system;
    (e)      analysis of the documents and information made available.

    10. It is assumed that (i) all copies made available by CERON match the originals; (ii) such documents, except when explicitly stated in this report, are complete and authentic; and (iii) the signatures therein belong to persons empowered to represent the respective parties.

    11. In some cases, as usual in all legal proceedings, the level of detail in this Report was compromised by the (partial or total) absence of CERON's information and documents, especially related to Civil, Tax and Labor Litigation.

    12. This Report is not intended to cover all legal aspects related to CERON, but mainly those that have a significant impact on the economic-financial analysis for the purpose of recommending the minimum sale price of the Company's shares.

    * * *


     

    Legal Auditing Executive Report Introduction EXECUTIVE REPORT

     

    CERON Page 7/15

     

    A.      REGULATORY ASPECTS
    1.      CERON acts as a designated distributor responsible for providing public electricity

    distribution services in the areas of municipalities of the state of Rondônia listed in MME

    Ordinance #422/2016, with a view to ensuring continuity of service, pursuant to paragraph 1 of article 9 of Law #12,783/2013, and subject to provide such services in accordance with the terms and conditions established in MME Ordinance 388/2016, until assumption by a new utility or until 12.31.2017, whichever occurs first.

    2. Centrais Elétricas Brasileiras S.A. ("ELETROBRAS"), the controlling shareholder of CERON, agreed to designate its subsidiaries, including CERON, as providers of energy distribution services on a temporary basis, provided that, among other conditions: (i) ELETROBRAS does not undertake to guarantee any new obligations that may be assumed by the distributors, in any way, including obligations arising from the provision of temporary services; and (ii) measures be taken to ensure that the transfer of shareholding controls of the distributors occurs by 12.31.2017, in order to avoid liquidation of the distributors and the return of the respective concessions.

    3. CERON held the concession for operation of public electricity distribution services under the terms of Concession Agreement #05/2001, signed on 2.12.2001, effective until 7.7.2015, and requested extension of its validity within deadline and under the conditions laid down in that agreement. Nevertheless, ELETROBRAS, as controlling shareholder of CERON, at its 165th Extraordinary General Meeting, resolved for: (i) reject the extension of CERON's concession; and (ii) approve the assignment of ownership control of the distributor by 12.31.2017, provided that, until the assignment of the distributor to a new controller, the distributor receives directly from the federal government or through a rate all resources and income necessary to operate, maintain and make investments that are related to the public services of the respective distributor.

    4. Considering the interest of the Ministry of Mines and Energy ("MME") in promoting the bidding associated with the assignment of control of the legal entity providing energy distribution services with the corresponding granting of a contract to the new controller for a term of 30 years, the National Electric Energy Agency ("ANEEL"), at the MME's request, prepared and submitted to public hearing (Public Hearing #094/2016) the draft of the concession agreement prepared in accordance with guidelines established by the MME with the purpose of increasing competitiveness of bidding processes for assignment of corporate control related with new concession grants.


     

    Legal Auditing Executive Report Introduction

     

    CERON Page 8/15

     

    5. The assignment of CERON's ownership control shall be submitted to ANEEL's prior consent, in line with the provisions of article 27 of Law #8,987/1995, article 4 (XI) of Attachment I to Decree #2,335/1997, as well as the provisions of ANEEL Normative Resolution #484/2012.

    6. On the Base Date, the Distributor had 5 administrative proceedings of regulatory nature, to a total contingency amount of BRL 9,025,720.35. Of these 5 administrative proceedings, 4 have been provisioned in the financial statements of the Distributor, to the amount of BRL 2,476,000.00. The difference between the total contingency amount and the amount provisioned in the Distributor's financial statements is BRL 6,549,720.35 as a result of the administrative fine. According to the information sent by the Distributor, such fine was duly paid in the same financial year of 2016, which is why it did not include ANEEL's provisions for fines in the financial statements ended 12.31.2016.

    7. In addition, on the Base Date, the Distributor had 21 legal proceedings contesting regulatory-related Notices of Infraction. Of these 21 legal proceedings, contingencies were provisioned for 14 of them, to the total amount of BRL 76,243,000.00. Legal proceedings that fall within the criterion of materiality were analyzed in Section 8 (Civil, Equity and Criminal Litigation).

    8. According to the audited financial statements of the Distributor on 12.31.2016, the Distributor provisioned BRL 78,719,000.00 for contingencies resulting from regulatory claims with ANEEL, of which BRL 2,476,000.00 were in administrative proceedings and BRL 76,243,000.00 in legal proceedings

    9. Furthermore, CERON is in default of its intrinsic obligations, which makes it impossible for ANEEL to issue a Certificate of Performance. The Distributor submitted the Verification of Default regarding Obligations of the Electricity Sector, which contains a list of outstanding debt issued by ANEEL, which as of 3.23.2017 amounted of BRL

    459,049,767.59, of which BRL 105,067.16 has already been booked and sent to registration as active debt.


     

    Legal Auditing Executive Report Introduction

     

    CERON Page 9/15

     

    B.      CORPORATE ASPECTS
    1.      According to article 9 of the current Bylaws1 of CERON, the sale in whole or in part

    of its capital stock, as well as an increase in the share capital by subscription of new shares, requires approval of the shareholders through a general meeting specially called for this purpose, noting that CERON is a wholly owned subsidiary of ELETROBRAS.

    2. In the case of a public offer for the disposal of shares owned by ELETROBRAS, registration with the CVM is waived, pursuant to article 5 of CVM Instruction #400/20032 combined with CVM Normative Instruction #286/19983.

    3. Article 253 of Law #6,404/764 ("Corporation Law" or "LSA") provides for the right of first refusal of minority shareholders in the event of admission of shareholders to a wholly-owned subsidiary.

    4. This legal provision would not be applicable in the event of the sale of CERON's shares to the extent that this Company became a wholly-owned subsidiary of ELETROBRAS through the acquisition of shares, pursuant to article 251 paragraph 2 (1st part) of the LSA5 . Based on the most recent decisions of the Brazilian Securities and Exchange Commission ("CVM")6, and based on the specific response of this body in a consultation formulated by ELETROBRAS, the right of first refusal provided for in this legal provision is only applicable to wholly-owned subsidiaries thus converted through merger of shares.

    C.      FINANCIAL AGREEMENTS
    1.      Related Party Agreements. Financing agreements entered into with ELETROBRAS

    do not contain provisions regarding the possibility and/or procedures for assignment and/or

    1 Article 9: The General Meeting shall be called to specifically deliberate on: I - conveyance, in whole or in part, of shares of its capital stock; opening and increase of share capital by subscription of new shares or sale of these securities, if in treasury; sale of debentures which it holds, of companies in which it has a stake, and issuance of debentures convertible into shares.

    2 Provides for public offerings for distribution of securities in primary or secondary markets.

    3 Provides for the conveyance of shares owned by legal entities governed by public law and entities directly or indirectly controlled by the Public Authorities and exempts the records referred to in articles 19 and 21 of Law #6,385/76.

    4 Article 253. In proportion to the shares held in the company's capital stock, shareholders shall have the right of first refusal to: I - acquire shares in the capital of the wholly-owned subsidiary, if the company decides to convey them in whole or in part; and II - subscribe a capital increase of the wholly-owned subsidiary, if the company decides to admit other shareholders.

    5 Article 251. The company can be established by means of a public deed, having a Brazilian company as sole shareholder. Paragraph 2. The company may be converted into a wholly-owned subsidiary upon acquisition, by a Brazilian company, of all its shares, or as per article 252.

    6 Such understanding may be observed in CVM Administrative Proceeding #RJ2010/13425, in which it alleges that for companies converted into a wholly-owned subsidiary upon acquisition by a Brazilian company of all its shares, pursuant to article 251 paragraph 2 (1st part), the provisions of article 253 do not apply.


     

    Legal Auditing Executive Report Introduction

     

    CERON Page 10/15

     

    transfer of the respective rights and obligations, nor do they expressly establish restrictions on the conveyance of control and/or the corporate restructuring of CERON.

    2. Debt Confession Agreements. The purpose of the agreement is to recognize CERON's debt towards Petrobrás Distribuidora S.A. to the total amount of BRL 961,061,034.55 related to debt arising from fuel supply from November 1, 2014 to June 30, 2015. The debt confession agreement entered into between CERON and Petrobrás Distribuidora S.A. provides for anticipated maturity in the event of change of corporate control of CERON, succession of CERON, or any type of corporate reorganization that would result in a change in the shareholding control of ELETROBRAS or CERON, without the prior consent of Petrobrás Distribuidora S.A. There is a personal security of the federal government, a Pledge Agreement as Collateral regarding credit that CERON holds with the CDE; and the amount of BRL 349,045,658.94 will be guaranteed by ELETROBRAS as joint debtor.

    D.      OPERATING AGREEMENTS AND OBLIGATIONS
    1.      Operating agreements were submitted in a partial manner. Until the closure of this

    Report, based on the analysis of the documents provided, no information was identified indicating risks or recommendations in the privatization process.

    E.      INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY
    1.      Intellectual Property. According to information provided in the data room, and by

    consulting the website of the National Intellectual Property Institute ("INPI"), no trademark related to the name of, or distinctive sign related to, "CERON" was identified as of the completion of this Report. However, it should be noted that the term and symbols may be protected under business name protection.

    F.      INSURANCE
    1.      Mandatory insurance policies. Until the closing of this Report, the following insurance

    policies were not available: (i) Insurance against property damage; (ii) Life and personal accident insurance for interns and watchmen, where there are interns and watchmen; (iii) Insurance against damage to land vehicles ("DPVAT"), if there are vehicles; and (iv) Insurance for civil liability of the builder, if works are in progress.


     



     



     



     



     

    Legal Auditing Executive Report Introduction

     

    CERON Page 15/15

     

    Company's revenues corresponding to the last twelve months prior to the writing of the Infraction Notice.

    3. Real Estate Permitting. The data room does not contain copies of the Operating Permits and Inspection Permits from the Fire Department for CERON's properties. The lack of real estate licensing may result in the imposition of administrative sanctions and penalties (warnings, fines, etc.), the amount of which may vary as the case may be, and may even result in suspension of activities at the respective facility.

    4. Built-up Area. According to information analyzed in the data room and also in consultation with representatives of CERON, it is possible to conclude that no occupancy permits were issued for CERON's properties. Possible irregularities in the built-up area of real estate may prevent (i) issuance of certain permits, such as the Operating Permit and Inspection Permit from the Fire Department; (ii) registration/endorsement of any lease agreements; as well as generating (iii) imposition of administrative sanctions and penalties (warnings, fines, closure of the establishment, etc.).

    5. Acquisition/Lease Restrictions (Foreign Nationals). Considering that some of CERON's own properties are located in a rural area, it is worth mentioning that currently there are restrictions applicable to the acquisition or lease of land by foreign nationals or Brazilian companies controlled by foreign nationals, which include the need for prior authorization from the National Colonization and Agrarian Reform Institute ("INCRA") or the National Congress, as applicable. In addition, it is worth noting that said restrictions also apply to corporate transactions resulting in the assignment of rural properties to foreign legal entities, such as mergers, acquisitions, consolidations and changes in control. Acquisition and/or lease of rural property by foreign nationals or by Brazilian companies controlled by foreign nationals in violation of applicable legislation (Laws #5,709/71 and 8,629/93) may be considered null for all legal purposes.


     

    May, 2017 
    Eletrobras System 
    Distributor 
    Privatization 
     
    Deliverable # 6 
    Status Report on the Ceron 
    Employee Complementary 
    Pension Fund and Health Care 
    Plan 

     

    Mais Energia B Consortium


     

    To the

    National Bank for Economic and Social Development ("BNDES")

    Av. República do Chile n° 100 Rio de Janeiro RJ.

    C/o: Mrs. Lidiane Delesderrier Gonçalves - Manager of OCS Contract No. 028/2017 May 2017 Dear Madam,

    Pursuant to our OCS Service Contract No. 028/2017 (“Contract”) signed February 14, 2017, between BNDES and the Mais Energia B Consortium (“Consortium"), please find enclosed our deliverable for the work performed in connection with the Eletrobrás System Distributor Privatization Program.

    Our findings are detailed in this document, which is entitled Deliverable # 6: Status Report on the CERON

    Employee Complementary Pension Fund and Health Care Plan (“Report”) for CERON, dated May 2017. The work carried out does not constitute an examination performed in accordance with financial statement auditing standards. In performing our review, we used unaudited historical information and data provided by the Consortium’s management either orally or in writing, or obtained from mentioned sources.

    Our work was developed solely for the purpose of advising BNDES in connection with the evaluation of CERON as required by the Contract. As established by Decree 8.893, BNDES is the entity tasked in with implementing and monitoring the utility privatization process.

    In case disclosed to third parties, the Report should be made available in full so that any applicable waivers and qualifications can be acknowledged by all recipient parties.

    Yours faithfully,

    PricewaterhouseCoopers Finance & Recovery Ltda. acting as consortium leader

    /s./    /s./ 
    Rogério Roberto Gollo    Carlos Eduardo Silva Teixeira 

     

    This document is a true copy of the original signed version delivered to BNDES and in the possession of Eletrobras.


     

    Table of contents   
    1.  Executive summary  4 
    2.  Plan types  4 
    3.  Plan statistics  4 
    4.  Analysis of assumptions and recommendations  4 
      4.1.  Discount rate  4 
      4.2.  Wage growth projection  5 
      4.3.  Biometric tables  5 
      4.4.  Turnover  5 
      4.5.  Age of retirement  6 
      4.6.  Family composition  6 
      4.7.  Health care cost growth rate (HCCTR)  6 
    5.  Independent calculation of actuarial results  6 
    6.  Independent review of actuarial commitment  6 
    7.  Conclusion  7 

     


     

    1. Executive summary

         This report contains our analysis and findings regarding the review of actuarial assumptions and calculations of mathematical provisions recorded in the balance sheet of Centrais Elétricas de

    Rondônia S.A. (“CERON”) for the fiscal year ended 12/31/2016.

         Our analysis aims to provide a better understanding of the risks and opportunities associated with the business in view of commitments related to the post-employment benefits payable by the company.

         The post-employment benefits referred to above include a temporary health care plan. Key features of these post-employment benefits will be described below.

         Actuarial commitments were measured by an independent actuarial firm, Mercer Gama Consultoria, based on the CPC 33 rules established by the Accounting Standards Board, whereas our analyses were based on actuarial reports, registration databases, regulations and other technical documents made available by the actuary and CERON.

    2. Plan type

    Severance Incentive Plan (SIP): This includes a temporary 5-year health care plan introduced in 2013 for employees who at that time had over 20 years of employment with CERON and were retired by the INSS. This plan is fully funded by the company.

    3. Plan statistics

    Below are participant statistics for the plan as measured for fiscal year 2016.

      SIP   
    Active participants    - 
    Beneficiaries    81 
    Average age    59.80 
    Average cost    2,020.66 

     

    4.      Analysis of assumptions and recommendations
    4.1.      Discount rate

    The discount rate must be determined based on high-performing corporate securities or bonds.

    Where the foregoing are unavailable, market returns on National Treasury bonds should be used instead. The currency and term of these financial instruments must be consistent with the expected currency and term of post-employment benefit obligations.

    We point out that, for purposes of calculating the present value of actuarial liabilities, the rate adopted is net of inflation. The effect of inflation impacts exclusively on the projected expense for the subsequent fiscal year.


     

    The rate used for calculating the actuarial commitments of CERON was 11.40% p.a. (considering an actual rate of 6.13% and inflation of 4.97% p.a.).

    We understand that the rate applied is adequate to the calculations since it is consistent with the average rate of public bonds (NTN-B), which as of 12/30/2016 varied between 5.7% and 5.9% p.a. above inflation, as obtained from ANBIMA. The rate applied is therefore adequate to discount the long-term liability. We believe that a positive or negative 0.25 p.p. variation in the range is acceptable.

    4.2. Wage growth projection

    Not applicable.

    4.3.      Biometric tables
      Biometric tables are statistical studies that rely on the occurrence of events observed in a population in order to estimate the incidence of such occurrences in the future.
      Such events can be classified as mortality, disability onset, turnover, among others categories and have a direct impact on post-employment benefits.
    4.3.1.      General mortality
      According to CNPC Resolution No. 9 dated November 29, 2012, which amends CGPC Resolution No. 18, the suitability of a biometric table used for longevity projections should be determined by means of a specific study, the results of which confirm adherence, in the last three fiscal years, between the demographic behavior of the mass of participants and beneficiaries within the plan and the respective biometric table used.
      The general mortality table adopted for the SIP was a Basic AT-2000 Basic, segregated by sex. According to the independent actuary's report, the table was adopted based on technical studies that confirmed its adherence to the profile of the population in the plan and therefore its suitability to discount the actuarial liability.
    4.3.2.      Disability onset
      Not applicable.
    4.3.3.      Disabled mortality
      Not applicable.
    4.4.      Turnover

    Not applicable.


     

    4.5. Age of retirement

    Not applicable.

    4.6. Family composition

    Not applicable.

    4.7.      Health care cost growth rate (HCCTR)
    A      rate of 3.00% above inflation was assumed to reflect the growth of health care costs due to sector-

    specific inflation. We understand that this rate is in line with general practices of the market, where rates fluctuate in the range between 1% and 4.5%, according to data developed by the post-employment benefits committee of the Brazilian Institute of Actuaries (IBA).

    5. Independent actuarial calculations   
     
    SIP   
     
    Reconciliation (in R$)  12/31/2016 
    Present value of actuarial liabilities (PVL)  (4,054,901.20) 
    Fair value of plan assets  - 
    Surplus/(Deficit)  (4,054,901.20) 
    Non-recoverable surplus (effect of asset limit)  - 
    Total (liabilities)/net assets to be recognized  (4,054,901.20) 

     

    Actuarial obligations were determined according to the principles and standards established by the regulatory body, namely the National Health Agency (ANS), and are accounted for in accordance with the rules laid out by the Accounting Standards Board. (CPC-33 of the Brazilian Securities and Exchange Commission - CVM 695.)

    6. Independent review of actuarial commitment

    The actuarial commitment was calculated by an independent actuary. We recalculated the installments of Implemented Benefits as shown below, and believe that the calculation methodology and process are adequate.

    CD Plan     
     
    Present Value of Obligations (in R$)  Actuary  PwC 
    Implemented  -  - 
    Vested  -  - 
    Total  -  - 
    Difference (R$)  -  - 
    Difference (%)  -  - 

     

    The CD plan does not have any liability/asset to be accounted for due to its defined contribution structure.


     

    SIP     
    Present Value of Obligations (in R$)  Actuary  PwC 
    Implemented  4,054,901.20  4,005,318.10 
    Vested  -  - 
    Total  4,054,901.20  4,005,318.10 
    Difference (R$)  49,583.10 
    Difference (%)    -1.22% 

     

    Considering the inherent subjectivity of actuarial calculations of mathematical provisions related to benefit plans, we understand that the difference identified indicates the reasonableness of the calculations.

    Such subjectivity results, for instance, from the manner by which ages are considered for the purpose of finding the probability of death (whether full or fractional or rounded); the method of rounding flow figures (number of decimal places considered taking into account that the probability of death considered in our calculations has 6 decimal places, for example); whether income payments are accelerated or in arrears (i.e. made at the beginning or end of the period); asset family composition assumptions in retirement, among other instances where small choices can produce relatively small effects however with potential large absolute values.

    Therefore, we understand that the difference presented is acceptable from an actuarial technical point of view, and we understand that the liability recorded is properly calculated.

    7. Conclusion

    Our examinations were based on information provided by both the actuaries responsible for managing the plan and the company, and we considered this information to be appropriate for the preparation of this report.

    Only SIP liabilities are covered in this report. In addition to this plan, Ceron also has a defined contribution plan which by its own characteristics does not generate any risk to, or adopts any assumptions in respect of the company as plan obligations are limited to individual account balances established on the date of each evaluation. It should be noted that according to the documentation provided to us, the workers’ union has been sending letters to request that Ceron would make contributions to the defined contribution plan to cover the period in which the company did not have any pension plan in place for its employees. Such contributions are entitled

    ‘past service contributions’.

    According to studies elaborated by ELETROS in September/2016, the aggregate amount of the aforementioned past service contributions is R$ 69,810,133.20 and can be amortized in monthly installments over a period of 5, 10 or 15 years.

    It should be pointed out, however, that implementation of the aforementioned contribution is contingent on the approvals of both the competent private pension regulatory body, National Superintendency of Complementary Pension (Previc), and the State Enterprise Governance and Coordination Department (DEST), none of which has been granted so far. Thus, the so-called ‘past service contributions’ to the defined contribution plan do not generate any actuarial impact in view of the plan's characteristics.


     

    Our numbers were calculated according to practices that we deem most appropriate when applicable, and should be taken into account together with the considerations below.

    The post-employment benefit obligations recorded in the balance sheet, even where figures are presented with incidental differences which in our opinion relate to the methodology or assumptions adopted, would not, if altered, pose any insolvency risk to the plan.

    The Severance Incentive Plan (SIP), which affords only health care for a fixed term of 5 years, has a liability of R$ 4,054,901.20 as of 2013. This liability is expected to decrease in view that this is a fixed-term plan with only two years remaining and new registrations are not allowed. The plan has an inherent deficit resulting from the fact that it does not have an asset to cover benefits and is funded by the flow of contributions.

    We understand that employing a capacity factor to measure health care liabilities is not the best practice in the situation. Medical costs increase according to specific sector rules. For this reason, we understand that there is no loss of benefit value over time due to inflation and therefore the use of a capacity factor is not appropriate.

    From a legal perspective, we understand that legal compliance is secured in that contributions are made according to the general rules applicable to the SIP.


     



     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    To the

    Banco Nacional de Desenvolvimento Econômico e Social (“BNDES” - Brazilian National Bank for Economic and Social Development) Av. República do Chile nº 100 Rio de Janeiro - RJ

    Attention: Ms. Lidiane Delesderrier Gonçalves - Contract Manager OCS 028/2017 October 2017 Dear All,

         In accordance with our service contract OCS 028/2017 (“Contract”), executed between the BNDES and the Consórcio Mais Energia B (“Consortium”) on 02/14/2017, we present the result of our work made in the context of Privatization of the Distributors of the Eletrobras System.

         The result of our work is detailed in this document “Product 11: Privatization Modeling Proposal” (“Report”) of Ceron, dated October 2017.

         Our work was developed aiming solely at the objective to assist the BNDES, in the quality as responsible for the performance and follow-up of the privatization of concessionaire companies as per Decree 8.893, in the evaluation of Ceron, in accordance with the Contract and it was carried out on the basis of information provided by the administration of Ceron and on the premises that this information is true and complete. This information has not been subject to tests or verifications, except when expressly defined in the scope of our works.

         In the case of access to the Report by third parties, it must be made available in full, provided that the applicable safeguard and limitations are known.

    Sincerely,

    PricewaterhouseCoopers Corporate Finance & Recovery Ltda., as leader of the Consortium.

    Rogério Roberto Gollo

    Marcio Jose Soares Lutterbach

         ** This document is a true copy of the original signed version delivered to BNDES and in the possession of Eletrobras.

    2


     

        Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal 
     
     
    Summary   
     
    Introduction  6 
    Section I - Privatization context  7 
    1.  Approach  7 
    2.  Context  9 
    2.1  Overview  9 
    2.2  Institutional and Management Model of the Brazilian Electric Industry  10 
    2.3  Financial assessment and sales modeling conjuncture  12 
    3.  Relevant aspects of the Privatization Process  14 
    3.1  CCC  14 
    3.1.1    Context  14 
    3.1.2  Negotiations  14 
    3.1.3  Negotiation operationalization  15 
    3.2  Other critical points, necessary adjustments and recommendations  15 
    3.3  Consent need in Financing Contracts  16 
    3.4  Deposit of Shares Owned by Eletrobras at FND  17 
    3.5  Remaining aspects to be considered  17 
    3.6  Payment methods  17 
    4.  Purpose of the Auction  19 
    4.1  Purpose of sale  19 
    4.2  Assessment of sale feasibility  19 
    5.  Relevant Aspects of Valuation  20 
    5.1  Relaxation of regulatory parameters  20 
    5.2  Debts  20 
    5.3  Total liabilities  22 
    5.4  Risks and Contingencies  22 
    5.4.1  Types of contingencies  22 
    5.4.2  Current status of contingencies  23 
    5.4.3  Negotiations to deal with contingencies  24 
    6.  Assessment of Synergies  25 
    7.  Adjustments on the Privatization model  30 
    7.1  Context  30 
    7.2  Base amount of valuation Average between valuations of Services A & B  30 
    7.3  Relevant adjustments for privatization of Ceron  31 
    7.3.1  Adjustment to comprise updated balance sheet until June 2017  31 

     

    3


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    7.3.2Adjustment related to Advance Payments for Future Capital Increases (AFACs)

    33

    7.3.3  Tax adjustments Tax Losses and Negative Base  34 
    7.3.4  Adjustment of the relaxation of regulatory parameters  34 
    8.  Capital and Corporate Structuring  36 
    8.1  Proposed capital and corporate structuring Overview  36 
    8.2  Minimum adjustment of the capital structure – “Stage 1”  38 
    8.2.1  Symbolic value of shares sale (privatization)  38 
    8.2.2  Capitalization alternatives  39 
    8.3  Investor capitalization – “Stage 2”  39 
    8.4  Eletrobras corporate stake option  41 
    8.4.1  Justification  41 
    8.4.2  Eletrobras corporate interest threshold  41 
    8.4.3  Participation of Eletrobras in the governance of the company  42 
    8.4.4  Procedure for Eletrobras to increase its shareholding interest  42 
    8.5  Classes of shares  43 
    9.  Shares offering to active and retired employees  44 
    9.1  Mechanism  44 
    9.2  Definition of active and retired employees  44 
    9.3  Offer General Conditions  44 
    9.3.1  Offer take and differentiated conditions  45 
    9.3.2  Offsetting differentiated conditions to Eletrobras  45 
    9.3.3  Offer Procedure and Purchase Limits  46 
    9.3.4  Follow-up by minority stakeholders of investor underwriting  46 
    9.3.5  New controller shares repurchase obligation  46 
    9.4  Shares not acquired by active and retired employees  47 
    Section II - Privatization proposal  48 
    10.  Summary of Ceron’s privatization proposal  48 
    10.1  Ceron’s Corporate Structure  48 
    10.2  Ceron’s Sales Price Definition  48 
    10.2.1  Result of economic-financial evaluations  48 
    10.2.2 Balance update adjustment  49 
    10.2.3  Regulatory parameters relaxation adjustment  51 
    10.3  Sale vs. Liquidation Evaluation and consequent “pure” concession granting  51 
    10.4  Potentially convertible liabilities  52 
    10.5  Eletrobras capitalization value – “Stage 1”  52 
    10.6  Shares offering to active and retired employees  53 

     

    4


     

          Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal 
     
    10.7  Investor capitalization – “Stage 2”  54 
    10.8  Ceron’s final corporate structure  55 
    10.9  Investors Obligations  55 
    10.9.1  Financial obligations  55 
    10.9.2  Obligations defined in the Purchase Agreement  56 
    11.  Ceron’s privatization schedule  57 
    Section III - Auction Model Proposal  58 
    12.  Model and Procedure of Auctions  58 
    12.1  Proposed model  58 
    12.2  Sequence  59 
    12.3  The right to participate  59 
    12.4  The right to withdraw bids  60 
    12.5  Bid procedures and values  60 

     

    12.6      Auction Value base for ‘Combined Discount Index in the Regulatory Flexibility and
      Grant’  62 
    12.7  Auction´s 2nd stage ranking criteria  64 
    12.8  Auction procedures  65 

     

    5


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    Introduction

         This document refers to the report of Ceron Privatization Model Proposal, produced by the Consórcio Mais Energia B. In it, proposals are included regarding the distributor’s privatization modeling, including conceptual models, technical recommendations and calculated values.

    The report is divided into three sections, presented below:· Section I - Privatization Context· Section II - Privatization Proposal· Section III - Auction Model Proposal

         In Section I - Privatization Context, among other topics, the approach used to structure the modeling, the parameters that were used as guidelines to the analyses developed and conceptual aspects of the modeling are explained, including its main proposals, rationale and legal basis.

         In Section II - Privatization Proposal, the technical and quantitative specifications of proposals made in the previous section are presented. The corporate structure is set out thereof as well as the results of the valuation, the calculated values of adjustments in the capital structure and Ceron's shares, in addition to the share offer conditions to employees, investorsobligations and expected privatization schedule.

         In Section III - Auction Model Proposal, procedural aspects of the auction of the distributor are detailed. In this section, recommendations are made concerning the model and sequence of auctions, auction variables, base of values for investors’ offers and classification criteria and the definition of the winner.

         Finally, it should be noted that this document has been developed based on Ceron’s other privatization processes documentation. Among other items, there served as input for this Privatization Modeling Report, the result of the economical and financial evaluations conducted by Services A and B, as well as the legal, tax, accounting-equity, technical-operational, actuarial, human and environmental resources diligences developed by Service B.

    6


     



     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

         When evaluating the nine perspectives addressed, the study made for the modeling of Ceron sale, along with other distributors, sought to be comprehensive and evaluating all relevant aspects to the process of privatization of the companies, identifying alternatives of the sales process optimization.

    8


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    2. Context

    2.1 Overview

         The process of privatization of Eletrobras’ Distributors was started in the 90’s and resumed in 2016 through Decree 8.893/2016, which qualified as priorities within the framework of the Partnership Program in Investment (PPI) the privatization of the distribution companies and designated the BNDES responsible for the implementation and monitoring of the process of privatization.

         In this context, the BNDES hired Consórcio Mais Energia B to assist it in Privatization, involving from economic and financial valuation until the full diligence of current operations. Having completed the basic elements that allow attributing the value resulting from the distribution grants of electric energy, it remains to define how the privatization will actually take place. Such modeling combines corporate aspects, the form of capitalization, sales process, in order to increase the chance of success in attracting investors, as well as offering maximum competitiveness to obtain better conditions of offer to be received.

         The guidelines emanated by the sectorial and macroeconomic policy makers, regulators and planning entities, establish the need to offer a quality service in the respective grant areas. One believes that the attraction of an operator from the private sector will have full conditions to raise the efficiency level and to remunerate the necessary investments to the full compliance with the market.

         From the regulatory point of view, as a result of Public Hearings 094/2016 and 032/2017 of ANEEL [Brazilian National Electricity Agency] and Public Consultation MME 37/2017, several softening measures were introduced into the regulatory parameters, with the tariff model allowing conditions to bring back to balance the grant. It is unanimously manifested, both the discomfort with the precarious situation of the assignment condition, and the support to the efforts undertaken, so that one is successful with the privatization.

         A process of evaluation of market interest (Market Sounding) allowed identifying the existence of companies with recognized competence in the industry - particularly in social economic, geographic realities and similar environmental realities - with capacity to execute the reorganizations required for this process, confirm the reasoning of attractiveness of the privatized companies for potential investors and understand the major elements of concerns. One may also establish a rather specific map of the different level of interest of the market among the several grants.

         In this line, the vision of the sector investors could be obtained as to issues such as the grouping of the grants, the process of sale, sensitivity to different corporate models, the structure of capital to face the program of investments, the economic impact of the incorporation of investments to tariffs and the very contingencies bequeathed to the future operator, always with a view to optimize the competitiveness in the future auction.

         In short, from this context important lines of direction derive for the model that will be sketched as follows:

    9


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

         Such guidelines lead to solutions that are highlighted by the mitigation of failure risks, simplicity and pragmatism in the search for alternatives for privatization. Below, we present how the modeling should be structured so as to maximize the success of the process.

    2.2 Institutional and Management Model of the Brazilian Electric Industry

         The characteristics and peculiarities of the Brazilian electric industry have been considered in the study developed. Both its institutional model and its legal framework have been analyzed and used as parameter for the analyses proposed.

         Recently, new laws sought to address emergent challenges within the national scope (as for example Law 12.783/2013, with provision on grants of generation, transmission and distribution of electric energy, reduction of sectorial encumbrances and affordability). In this context, for this report, as noted in the previous section, Decree 8.893/2016 is of particular importance, which resumed the subject of privatizations of the Distributors, being the BNDES responsible for the execution and follow-up of the process.

         In fact, the edition of Law No. 13.360/2016, resulting from the conversion of MP 735/2016, brought a series of changes for the industry, including the supposition by CCEE of the competences attributed before to Eletrobras on the management of the account of Global Reserve of Reversion (“RGR”), as well as the Account of Energy Development (“CDE”) and of the Account of Fuel Consumption (“CCC”) from May 1st, 2017, at no hard to the performance of Internal or External Control Agencies of the federal public administration on the management of these accounts.

         Additionally, Decree No. 9.143/2017, that regulated Law No. 13.360/2017, by bringing provisions on the commercialization of electric energy, tried to provide the incentive to efficiency, to the correct allocation of the risks among the consumers and investors, as well as mitigate the obstacles to attract new investments to the electric energy industry, especially when establishing that the auctions of new energy and existing energy can be carried out fairly ahead of time and more relaxed, in addition to the possibility of the distribution agents to negotiate with free consumers and other agents from the Free Environment Contracting (“ACL”), sale contracts of backed by excess of energy contracted, as per ANEEL regulation.

    10


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    Furthermore, it must be highlighted that, by means of the Public Consultation No. 33 (CP

    33), of the Ministry of Mines and Energy (“MME”), already closed, on ‘Improvement of the legal landmark of the electric industry’, proposals of legal measures had been discussed that make possible the future of the electric industry, searching sustainability in the long run

         In addition, Law No. 13.360/2016 amended Law No. 12.783/2013, with the objective to make possible the bidding of companies under direct or indirect control of the Union, States, Federal District and Municipalities, whose grants had not been extending, foreseeing the possibility of the Union to promote bidding associated with the transference of the shareholding control of the concessionaire, granting a new grant contract for the period of 30 years. This law also establishes the possibility of inversion of the qualification stages and judgment of the auction, so as to guarantee greater speed and efficiency to the bidding process.

         It should be stood out that, as far as the bidding of distribution or transmission grant associated to the transfer of control of legal person, provider of public service of electric energy is concerning, dealt with Law No. 12.783/2013, it became necessary to edit a regulatory decree, with the purpose to, among other conditions: i) to establish requirements to be observed by the controller of the responsible legal entity for the provision of the service of distribution of electric energy, for such bid; ii) attributions of the BNDES in the execution and the follow-up of the privatization process; iii) criteria for new concession without control handover (Decree Draft that regulates the bid of distribution grant associated with the utility control handover of legal entity provider of public service of electric energy).

         The new grant contract applicable to the mentioned bid associated with the shareholding control handover of the concessionaire, whose draft was elaborated by Aneel at the request of the MME and submitted the public consultation, was object of new public consultation in the period of 08/28/2017 to 09/06/2017, in virtue of adjustments proposed by means of Ordinance MME No. 342/2017, due to the fact that it was noted the existence of unbalance regarding the operational costs, losses of electric energy and loans with resources from RGR, made to assure the continuity of the service provided under the assignment mode and that, by force of provisions of Law No. 12.783/2013, should have been assumed by the new concessionaire, which could make impracticable the intended bid.

         Another point to be considered is with regard to the tariff process concerning the provision of public service of electric energy distribution by agency or entity of the federal public administration. It is highlighted that the Ordinance MME No. 388/2016, which approved the terms and conditions for the provision of such services, in accordance with art. 9, Paragraph 1, of Law No. 12.783/2013, was amended by Ordinance MME No. 346/2017, published in the DOU [Federal Official Gazette] on 08/31/2017, to establish that in the tariff process of year 2017, ANEEL should make flexible, in a temporary way, the regulatory parameters relating to the operating costs in order to enable the economic balance of the grant being bid pursuant to art. 8 of Law No. 12.783/2013.

         It is further highlighted that the tariff relaxation resulting from ANEEL’s Technical Notes 351/2017, of 07/24/2017, and 149/2017, of 09/08/2017, which restores levels of regulatory parameters such as DEC/FEC, PMSO and RGR - aiming at the economic-financial balance of the grants of electric energy under analysis.

         Finally, it is stood out that, considering the schedule foreseen for conclusion of the privatization process, as one will see below, it is quite probable that Ordinances MME 420 to

    11


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    425/2016 that designated the Distributors of Eletrobras (Amazonas, Boa Vista, Ceal, Cepisa, Ceron and Eletroacre) as responsible for the provision of the public service of distribution of electric energy until the supposition of a new concessionaire or up to December 31st, 2017, whichever occurs first, deserve to be amended to extend such service provision deadline for a period that suffices to the conclusion of the privatization process.

    2.3 Financial assessment and sales modeling conjuncture

         As it shall be shown below, in Item 5 Relevant Aspects of Valuation, in the course of the due diligence and financial evaluation of Eletrobras’ distributors, relevant issues were identified affecting significantly the value of the shareholder of the companies.

         Initially, it was assessed that these organizations have amounts of debts of high values. These debts were accumulated by Eletrobras’ distributors over the years, both with the Holding Company (with loans of various types) and with suppliers. Such debts, in turn, often continue to be rolled over or have increasing cost in relation to the non-payment of the principal or even of interests.

         It was also identified that the distributors of Eletrobras have contingencies additional to those provided on the balance sheets of significant value. These contingencies, from judicial and administrative proceedings and tax aspects, fiscal and labor not yet materialized, among others, also contribute to the reduction of the value of the equity of the companies.

         Additionally, it has found in financial and operational evaluation that these companies demand high values of investments in the early years of the new grant. These investments are required, both to facilitate the improvement of financial performance expected and to meet regulatory metrics of service level.

         Thus, even in a valuation in which there is the expectation of bold operational and financial performance optimization of the six distributors of Eletrobras in the privatization process, the factors listed overlapped to improvements, resulting often in a negative value to the shareholder.

         It should be emphasized that the financial evaluation has already considered the new draft of the grant contract, resulted from contributions in the Public Hearing No. 094/2016 and the Technical Note No. 182/2017 of ANEEL. The regulatory body also reviewed and identified that these grants are unbalanced, granting regulatory parameter relaxation (Technical Notes No.

    351/2017 and No. 149/2017, this last part of the Public Hearing No. 032/2017) to bring the grants back in balance, which will result in increased tariff revenues and reduction of loan value of RGR. Consequently, the financial evaluation conducted by the Consortium considered the relaxation made by ANEEL.

         It is also highlighted that, in accordance with the Decree Draft that regulates the grant bid of distribution associated with the transfer of control of legal entity service provider of electric energy, dealt with by Law No. 12.783, of January 11th, 2013, the distributors of Eletrobras to be privatized that are in areas of grant benefited by the relaxation of regulatory parameters, deriving from the Technical Note No. 351/2017 must have specific treatment. If the value to the shareholders of these companies is positive in light of regulatory flexibilizations granted, the relaxed parameters must be readjusted so that the value to the shareholders of these companies is equal to zero. Thus, the possibility that the consumers of the areas of the grant in question are

    12


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    burdened with additional exceptional tariffs to those necessary for the companies holders of the grant operate under financial balance is eliminated.

         Thus, the financial evaluation and modeling of sale of the companies conducted by the Consortium considered the necessary legal and regulatory aspects for the privatization process.

         The modeling performed also tried to structure sale alternatives so these companies could increase their financial attractiveness and legal security to the investor. So, facing a scenario where the shareholder values of these companies are negative or equal to zero, one optimized their sale potential.

    13


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    3.      Relevant aspects of the Privatization Process
    3.1      CCC
    3.1.1      Context

         It should also be noted that in this model, it is possible that Ceron has values related to CCC, previously provided as amounts receivable in the balance sheet, reverted to accounts payable in view of technical decisions of ANEEL. The accounting difference in question has relevant value:

    VALUES REGARDING CERON CCC   
     
    A) Credits1 (asset) on the balance of Jun/17  R$ 3,830,608,000.00 
    B) Payables estimate2 (liabilities)  R$ (733,256,890.57) 

     

    C = B-A) Accounting difference estimate between credits and payables R$ (4,563,864,890.57)

    Note: Reference values, subject to diligence and auditors’ and regulators’ assessment

    1)      Source: Distributor’s financial statement from June 2017
    2)      Estimate value, not under diligence

         We understand that this issue is still under discussion between the interested parties and, therefore, ANEEL's unfavorable decisions to Ceron can be reversed. However, the potential reversal of an unfavorable decision should not occur in a timely manner for the completion of this document or even within the timeline of privatization planned for the distribution company.

         It is likely that the attractiveness of the auction to investors be compromised without definitions relating to CCC. The possible loss of credit rights and the need for return of values would remove any economic return of the business. The values under discussion are quite significant and relevant when compared to the economic value of the distributor. Thus, it is possible that the risk of loss relating to CCC does not justify the potential gains with the acquisition of the company by the investor.

         In this regard, the proposed model for privatization seeks to neutralize potential effects on the appraisal resulting from the uncertainty in the amount effectively recognized of the accounting difference of CCC's credits. This proposal increases the assertiveness of the value for the privatization of Ceron, as it enables Eletrobras to enjoy any upsides arising from the reduction of this potential loss amount.

    3.1.2 Negotiations

         Given the relevance of the value discussed for the valuation of the Ceron and the unpredictability of the deadline for a final decision regarding this topic, it is recommended that the responsibility including possible benefits and burdens concerning the current discussion about the CCC credits be transferred from Ceron to the holding company of Eletrobras. Thus, the effect of the current questioning would be neutral in the financial evaluation of the distribution company and in its sales model.

    14


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

         To this end, it is proposed that a transfer of the receivables concerning CCC equivalent to value in dispute be made and burdens in equal amount. This transfer would occur through the assign of current rights relating to CCC credits and financial obligations (for example, payables to CCC, other debts etc.) equivalent from the subsidiary to the holding company.

         As a result, in the case of an unfavorable decision, Eletrobras would be charged with the burden of loss, which would occur if the issue were priced on the sale model for the process of privatization of the distributor. In the case of a favorable decision, Eletrobras would reverse this potential loss, receiving the CCC credits and bearing obligations of equivalent value.

         It stands out, also, that the transfer of credits and obligations related to the CCC must have the consent of the regulators and come accompanied by considerations of external auditors of the company, following the approval of the level of governance in charge.

         Thus, with the absorption of these credits by Eletrobras, the impact on the values in question is considered neutral, without interference in the shareholder value of the company or to the privatization process.

         In the case of Eletrobras cannot absorb the credits as per the recommended proposal or that of any financial, technical or legal limitation occurs - that impedes the transfer of obligations in an amount equivalent to the credits, it is suggested that the holding company considers the possibility to capitalize the distributor. Such capitalization may occur at the discretion of Eletrobras, according to the best alternatives for the state-owned company.

    3.1.3 Negotiation operationalization

         In order to facilitate negotiations, Eletrobras should, among other things that may be needed:

    i)      Define the value and availability of CCC rights and obligations in an amount equivalent to the subsidiary transfer to the holding
    ii)      Analyze financial and accounting specific effects, among other aspects relevant to the company
    iii)      Analyze corporate and legal specific requirements to follow, as well as realize them in case one proceeds with the recommendation
    iv)      Seek the consent of regulators for the operation

    3.2 Other critical points, necessary adjustments and recommendations

    For Ceron, there are no critical points to impede its privatization process.

         During the process of Legal Due Diligence of Ceron some critical points were described in the Report and displayed in its Executive Summary. Although not inhibitory to the process of privatization of this distributor, the new investor should be aware of them so that he can make applicable arrangements.

         Among the important issues, but not deterrent, to be considered, are highlighted the contracts of financial nature, whose prior consent of the creditor is recommended in order to avoid the prepayment of the debt.

    15


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    3.3 Consent need in Financing Contracts

         Some financing contracts signed by the distributors may have the need to obtain prior and express consent from the creditor in the event of a change of control of Ceron.

         Otherwise, according to the terms of each contract, there may be legal and/or financial implications to Ceron, Eletrobras, investor and, eventually, to the privatization process, depending on the possible prepayment of debt if the commitment to payment is not assumed by the new investor.

         Thereby, the financing agreement with the need for consent from the creditor are listed below, and must have their applications addressed by Ceron and Eletrobras:

      Nome do Documento  Credora  Data de Assinatura 
      Private Debt       
    1    Petrobras Distribuidora S.A.  12/31/2014 
      Acknowledgement Instrument     
     
    Contract

    Creditor:    Petrobras Distribuidora S.A.   
    Intervenor:  Eletrobras     
    Object:    Recognition of a debt at the total amount of R$ 961,061,034.55 related to the 
        debt pursuant to supply of fuel in the period from November 1st, 2014 to June 
        30th, 2015     
    Amount:    R$ 961,061,034.55   
    Interest:    The update of each installment will be made based on the SELIC reference rate 
    Grace period:  Not applicable     
    Principal payment:  18 monthly installments   
    Guarantees:  Fidejussory guarantee of the Federation, Guarantee Pledge Contract related to 
        the credits CERON holds at CDE; and the amount of R$ 349,045,658.94 will be 
        guaranteed by Eletrobras, as several debtor   
    Relevant obligations:  CERON is forbidden to grant the contract rights and obligations without prior 
        and expressed consent by Eletrobras   
    Anticipated maturity:  The contract will be terminated in advance in case of: 
        (i) non-payment of 3 consecutive or alternate installments, provided that the 
        default is not solved by CERON within 5 business days from the due date of the 
        last delayed installment;   
        (ii) liquidation, request for judicial or extrajudicial recovery, claim, 
    pronouncement or homologation of bankruptcy;
        (iii) protest of payment slips issued by CERON or obligation over R$ 
        500,000,000.00 with a bond by the Federation or if any other judicial or 
        extrajudicial measures is proposed against CERON, which might provenly affect 
        the debt payment capacity;   
        (iv) succession of CERON, or any kind of corporate reorganization, which leads 
    to change in the share control of Eletrobras or
        CERON, without prior consent by BR Distribuidora;   
        (v) anticipated termination of any other contract of financial nature signed by 
        CERON; and,     
        (vi) inclusion of provisions, which lead to restrictions or loss of capacity for 
        payment of the financial obligations pursuant to the contract in a corporate 
        agreement or corporate bylaws of CERON   
    Other important clauses:  Not applicable     

     

    16


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    3.4 Deposit of Shares Owned by Eletrobras at FND

         The Nominative Share Record Book of all Distributors mentioned blockage of all shares owned by Eletrobras to the benefit of the National Privatization Fund FND, administered by BNDES, in compliance with the Law no. 9.491/1997.

    3.5 Remaining aspects to be considered

    Remaining aspects shall be considered, the measures of which are within and outside the scope of Distributors are vital for the privatization process, as per the chart below:

    ACTIONS ON DISTRIBUTOR’S SCOPE

    Obtaining authorization from Executive Board, Supervisory Board, Board of Directors to perform capital increases on the Distributor

    Performance of General Meeting specially convened to approve the Distributors’ capital stock, as well as an increase of capital stock by underwriting of new shares

    ACTIONS ON ELETROBRAS’ SCOPE

    Obtaining authorization from Executive Board and the Board of Directors to perform the privatization of Distributor Performance of General Meeting convened to approve the privatization of Distributor Performance of the necessary procedures to fulfill CVM [Brazilian Securities and Exchange Commission], NYSE, and Latibex

    ACTIONS OUTSIDE THE DISTRIBUTOR’S AND ELETROBRAS’ SCOPE

    Obtaining prior approval from CADE provided on articles 88 and 90 of the Law 12.529/2011 and CADE Resolution no. 02/2012 Obtaining prior consent from ANEEL for share control transference (Art. 27 of the Law 8.987/95 Art 4, XI, of Annex I of the Decree 2.335/97, in addition to the provisions of ANEEL Normative Resolution 484/2012) Obtaining approval from the Board of the Investment Partnership Program (CPPI - Conselho do Programa de Parcerias de Investimentos) regarding operational modality, conditions and adjustments to be applied to the privatization (Law 9.491/97) Follow-up, surveillance, and evaluation of the privatization process by the Federal Court of Auditors (TCU - Tribunal de Contas da União) (IN TCU 27/1998)

    3.6 Payment methods

         Under the Law No. 9.491/97, the payment methods in a privatization process shall be recommended by the National Privatization Council (CND), now replaced with the Board of the Investment Partnership Program of the Presidency of the Republic (CPPI), for approval by the President of the Republic. The latter may authorize remaining payment methods within the scope of the National Privatization Program, as recommended by the CPPI.

         The Law also requires disclosure of selected items on the conditions for disposal of the concerned company’s shareholding control, through publication at the Brazilian Federal Official

    Gazette and in nationally recognized newspapers. In particular, the following shall be disclosed:

    17


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

         For the event of Ceron privatization, the defined payments are recommended to be made in full through the stock exchange (B3), by means of the effective currency, upon sale settlement.

         The remaining procedural aspects shall be detailed in the Request for Proposal of Privatization, Manual of Auction Procedures, Procedural Manual for Offering of Shares to Active and Retired Employees and associated agreements.

    18


     



     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

         As Ceron met the requirements of these four perspectives, it was concluded that it would be possible to sell the company in a tender associated with granting the concession.

    5.      Relevant Aspects of Valuation
    5.1      Relaxation of regulatory parameters

         It should be taken into consideration that the companies’ valuation already considers, among the flow perspectives, the consequences of the Technical Notes 351/2017 and 149/2017 of ANEEL, the latter being the result of the Open Court 032/2017, providing for loosening of regulatory metrics for financially unbalanced concessions, including Ceron.

         Such ANEEL Technical Notes loosened for the company the regulatory values of the PMSO, Non-Technical Loss and RGR metrics of the designation period. As a result, there is increased financial setoff through tariff to the distributors and the resulting decreased volume of RGR loan, increasing the revenues thereof and, accordingly, its cash flow.

         Such parameters shall be loosened from the tariff process dated 2017, initiated on November 30 of this year, up to the first regular review of the new utility to be contracted by means of a bid, estimated to be held in 2023.

         Such parameters shall be used as auction variables, with their methodology and values being explained in Item 12.6 - Auction Value base for ‘Combined Discount Index in the Regulatory Flexibility and Grant’.

    5.2 Debts

         The indebtedness levels of Eletrobras distributors are quite high, and the debts may be divided into three major groups: Debts with Eletrobras; Debts with Specific Third Parties and Debts with Other Third Parties. Debts with Eletrobras in turn may be rated according to their origin: Ordinary Resources, RGR, Banco Mundial and Eletrobras related parties.

    a)      Debts with Eletrobras: refer to funds with the Holding or through it by means of onlending. Since Eletrobras itself holds the credit rights, the debts may be used by the company as means to optimize the capital structure of its distributors.
      o      World Bank: Eletrobras holds funds obtained with World Bank for the purpose of investing in improved infrastructures, project named by the companies as “Projeto Energia+” [Project Energy+]. Such funds are then lent to distributors as loans and financing.
      o      RGR (Global Reversal Reserve): Refers to amounts raised by Eletrobras for the distributor with the Global Reversal Reserve (RGR). Thus, the sums are due by the distributor to Eletrobras, associated with funds raised from the RGR. The amounts found in the balance sheet, as of the base date of this report (12/31/2016) are mostly from loans obtained prior to the designation period.
       §      RGR pre-PPST (temporary service provision period): Amount of debt arising out of the pre-PPST period, when the funds were aimed at financing investments of the distributors.

    20


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    §      RGR PPST (temporary service provision period): Debt amount arising out of the PPST period, initiated in November 2016. Within the scope of the concession agreement termination and beginning of such

    period, the RGR onlending changed their purpose to maintaining the companies’ activities ensuring the so-called “Appropriate Remuneration”, as defined in the Technical Note 331 dated September 13, 2016. By the end of this Item, the estimated sums of the debts with RGR are provided until the end of February 2018 (date estimated for entry of the potential investors in the operations), considering the fund-raising operations in the service provision period.

    o      Ordinary Resources: Own fund onlending by Eletrobras to the distributors, through loans, usually with low financing cost and for the purpose of covering operating deficits. Therefore, this debt is directly due from the distributor to the Holding, without involving Third Parties.
    o      Advance Payment for Future Capital Increase (AFAC): Refers to funds contributed by Eletrobras at the distributors for future capital increases.
      Usually, AFACs are paid-up as capital within up to one year of their composition, but that is not a requirement, and they may be kept in the balance sheet as distributor debt. Currently, only Eletrobras is responsible for contributing AFAC sums in the distributors.
    o      Related Parties: Refer to debts contracted with other Eletrobras distributors or companies, except the Holding. Among the major related parties with effective credits we may mention, for instance, Eletronorte, Furnas and Chesf.
      Like in the case of the debts contracted directly with Eletrobras Holding, the company has preference over the funds, and may use the same alternatives as mentioned in the prior item. However, in this group of debts, there are legal and corporate aspects required to be noted vis-à-vis any measure. It should be stressed that variables such as the cash flows, the amount and the own capital structure of the creditor companies may be affected due to an attempted use of such credits.
    b)      Debts with Specific Third Parties: Debts of such nature are mostly overdue payment liabilities concerning fuel supply agreements (therefore, rated as debt by the Accounting-Equity Due Diligence), due by some of the distributors which are parties to this privatization process. Among the major creditors, we have Petrobras and Cigás.
    c)      Debts with Other Third Parties: refers to debts contracted with other parties than Eletrobras, its distributors, Petrobras or Cigás. The remaining creditors of the distributors and debt instruments are considered in this group, among which there are domestic public banks, such as Caixa Econômica Federal, private financial institutions and other funding agents. The procedures of the Accounting-Equity Due Diligence also included to the balances of Debts with Third Parties the amounts concerning overdue payments with suppliers, including, for example, overdue liabilities with CCC (Fuel Consumption Account).

         The RGR PPST accounting balances reported to this Consortium by Ceron in December 2016 and June 2017 are shown below:

    21


     



     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    from both the reviewed sums provisioned and from identification of unmapped contingencies and their estimated value.

         Contingencies, type of rating and amounts derive from the legal, accounting-capital and environmental audits conducted at Ceron.

         There are three types of contingency, according to their probable loss of the concerned sums and, accordingly, incorporation into the valuation process, as listed below:

  • Probable:
      o      High risk of losing the sum involved in the judicial and administrative proceedings
      o      Usually priced in valuations, decreasing the equity value
  • Possible:
      o      Potential risk of losing the sum involved in the judicial and administrative proceedings
      o      Usually not priced in valuations, being eventually dealt with in specific
  • Remote: negotiations between the selling and the purchasing parties
      o      Low risk of losing the sums involved in the judicial and administrative proceedings
      o      Usually not priced in valuations

    5.4.2 Current status of contingencies

         Find below the amounts and percentages of contingencies for Ceron, according to their risk rating level.

    In R$ MM
    DETAILING OF CERON CONTINGENCIES

      Likely  Probable  Remote  Total 
    Litigious  132.84  -  -  132.84 
    Taxes  260.60  918.58  64.14  1,243.32 
    Labor  107.10  52.64  -  159.74 
    Actuarial  -  -  -  - 
    Total  500.54  971.22  64.14  1,535.90 
     
    In %         
    DETAILING OF CERON CONTINGENCIES     
     
      Likely  Probable  Remote  Total 
    Litigious  27%  0%  0%  9% 
    Taxes  52%  95%  100%  81% 
    Labor  21%  5%  0%  10% 
    Actuarial  0%  0%  0%  0% 
    Total  33%  63%  4%  100% 

     

    Note: ‘Litigious’ contingencies refer to materialized lawsuits and include actions from different areas (taxes, labor, civil, environmental, and regulatory). The others refer to risks mapped in the respective diligences, which do not have materialized suits.

    23


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    Among the contingencies for classification as “Probable”, in Litigation, there are about R$

    127 million related to taxation suits. In Taxation, approximately R$ 253 million are related to accessory obligations. In Labor, R$ 104 million are related to outsourcing of target activity.

    Among those for classification as “Possible”, Taxation is at approximately R$ 677 million related to PIS [Social Integration Program] and COFINS [Contribution for Social Security Financing] falling upon reimbursement of CCC, R$ 130 million in non-technical loss of power and R$ 109 million to ICMS [Tax on Goods and Services Marketing] on CDE and Low Income subsidies.

         In addition to the provided contingencies, there are also contingencies concerning environmental adaptations in the amount of R$ 38,717,204.75 required for distributor. Such values, however, were previously deducted from the equity value in the company’s valuation.

         It should be stressed that the base date of the contingencies is 12/31/2016 and that such sums are in addition to those provisioned in the distributor’s balance sheet dated December

    2016. The full details of the contingencies are in the audit reports.

    5.4.3 Negotiations to deal with contingencies

         Dealing with such distributor contingencies is relevant to enable eventual adjustments to the company’s price between the selling and purchasing parties. However, after developing several legal and financial analyses on contingencies, it was concluded that Eletrobras would avoid keeping future liabilities after privatization with the purchaser related to contingencies, in addition to eventual legal provisions allowing for the purchaser to question or file actions in the future to Eletrobras.

         Thus, the adjustment definition shall occur prior to entering into the share purchase and sale agreement. Therefore, we recommend the distributor privatization to consider prior corporate adjustments between the parties as part of distributor’s sale price definition. As a result, new value adjustments or corrections concerning these items shall not be conducted after the privatization.

         Contingencies whose assessments are Probable Loss, due to the high chance they have to lose the sums involved in the respective proceedings, should be deducted from the shareholder’s value prior to transferring the shareholding control. Likewise, contingencies rated as ‘Possible’ and ‘Remote’ Loss should not have their value deducted from the company’s sale price.

         It should be stressed that several possibilities were analyzed to deal with contingencies, but all of them were proven to be financially unfeasible, with great operating complexity or with legal hindrances and risks.

    24


     



     



     



     



     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    purchasing company, being questionable to advance its pricing in the minimum amount

         It should be stressed that grouping can be used for pragmatic aspects, deriving from objective assessment aspects (e.g., grouping to minimize the required capitalization) and the own interest of investors (mitigating risks that a less attractive concession is not successful in the privatization).

         In summary, a wide assessment, allied to the discussed context, does not construe as consistent the synergy incorporation to the minimum price and, accordingly, inexistence of returns to the proposed model.

         Such recommendation occurs vis-a-vis the instruction that no concession groupings should be conducted since it is construed that an open model shall tend to increase the competition between the shareholders. Thus, there would be not only an increased number of offers avoiding the chance for auctions without bidders but also increased prices offered. Such prices, in turn, would be more appropriate to the level of synergy the investors shall have when inserting such companies into their management model.

    29


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    7.      Adjustments on the Privatization model
    7.1      Context

         The privatization model is made from the results of the due diligence reports and economic-financial assessments. However, for the final proposal of capital and corporate structuring of the distributor, it is necessary that additional adjustments are conducted.

         The adjustments are carried out for the privatization model to meet the required legal instructions and comprise the latest information available concerning the economic-financial condition of the distributor.

    Adjustments made follow the stages provided below:

    ADJUSTMENTS FOR PRIVATIZATION MODELING

    = Mean of Services A and B

    (+/-) Consolidated adjustments
    Balance Sheet Adjustments
    (+/-) Asset and Liability Adjustments

    (+)      RGR PPST Reincorporation
    (-)      Reclassification of AFACs as Debt
    (-)      Tax Adjustments (Tax Loss and Negative Base)
    =      Adjusted Equity Value
    (-)      Reduction adjustment of tariff relaxation
    =      Final Equity Value

    The following topics describe the adjustments made. Their amounts are detailed in Section II

         Under Decree 2.594/98, providing for the National Privatization Program, Ceron sale model shall consider the financial assessments conducted by Services A and B contracted by the State-owned bank, conducted with the base date of December 2016.

         Within such context, based on the equity values drafted by Service A reported through the Letter AD/DEADE3 No. 14/2017, it is proposed that the equity value considered as basis for the financial and corporate model of Ceron shall be the simple average of the equity values defined by Service A and Service B. The formula is below:

    30


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    Equity value average = (Equity value Service A + Equity value Service B) / 2

         As a result, an assessment basis is obtained with reduced chance of distortions since it considers the analysis of two different assessing companies. It is construed that both assessing companies are fully qualified to analyze the companies’ value and that the natural amount differences are due to the inherent subjectivity of interpretations and assumptions of each of them. Thus, any amount adopted among those provided by such companies would be acceptable.

         We should also consider that, by using the theoretical concepts and technical tools usually accepted by the experts and the market, definition of assumptions and parameters of a financial assessment has the subjectivity of its developers, which is inherent to valuation of a company.

    Thus, the Enterprise Value of a company, representing its projected cash flows, carried at present value by a discount rate, are subject to specific interpretations of their appraisers.

         Therefore, it is construed that one-sided selection of only one of the amounts provided by both appraisers could give room to greater assessment distortions vis-à-vis the market value considered by potential investors of such companies. For example, if choosing the lowest between both values, the investor could be benefited. In turn, if choosing the largest between both values, there could be a risk that it would be distant from the market assessment, reducing the auction attractiveness. Finally, choosing an arbitrary amount other than the average between both values assessed would not be logical.

         In the case of Ceron, the Enterprise Value estimated by the Services A and B are in close inter-values, lower than 20% in difference between them, benefiting the average use.

    ENTERPRISE VALUES OF CERON - MEAN OF SERVICES A AND B   
     
    Service A  R$  1,524,512,239.58 
    Service B  R$  1,264,573,655.87 
    Mean of Services A and B  R$  1,394,542,947.72 
    Percentage variation1    17% 
     
    1) Variation calculated as the module of lower value divided by the higher value   

     

         As a result, using the average of the amounts assessed by Services A and B is the most effective alternative to define the privatization price of Ceron.

    7.3      Relevant adjustments for privatization of Ceron
    7.3.1      Adjustment to comprise updated balance sheet until June 2017

         As means to minimize eventual financial discrepancies between the valuation base date and the latest balance sheet available for Ceron (updated until June 2017 and not audited by the Consortium), updates are being made as to the balance sheet accounts related to indebtedness and working capital, in addition to specific accounting adjustments.

    Accounts with their amounts updated are listed below:

    31


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    Assets  Liabilities 
    Current  Current 
    Cash and cash equivalents  Financing and loans 
    Securities  Lease 
    Clients  Debt charges 
    Taxes to be recovered  Suppliers 
    Reimbursement rights  Taxes payable 
    Warehouse  Social and labor obligations 
    Services in progress  Reimbursement obligations 
    Regulatory asset  Accounts payable to related parties 
    Sureties and judicial deposits  Estimated obligations 
    Financial asset  Sectorial charges 
    Assets destined to disposal  Post-employment benefits 
    CDE repayment  Regulatory liabilities 
    Others  Research and development 
      Financial liabilities 
      Others 
     
    Non-current  Non-current 
    Clients  Financing and loans 
    Taxes to be recovered  Lease 
    Taxes to social contributions  Suppliers 
    Sureties and related deposits  Taxes payable 
    Reimbursement rights  Reimbursement obligations 
    Regulatory asset  Accounts payable to related parties 
    Others  Provision for unsecured liability in controlled 
    Investments  Post-employment benefits 
      Regulatory liability 
      Sectorial charges 
      Advance for future capital increase 
      Research and development 
      Others 

     

    The balance sheet accounts listed above refer to those comprised of this Consortium as

    Working Capital (e.g., ‘Customers’), Net Debt (e.g., ‘Cash and cash equivalents’) and other capital accounts not considered as Working Capital or Net Debt (e.g., ‘Investments’). The understanding is the same as that made by the Accounting-Capital Diligence and the Economic-Financial Assessment. Such amounts exclude the remaining balance sheet accounts not listed above.

         RGR PPST (for the designation period) also received different approach in the privatization model, as well as in the Economic-Financial Assessment conducted. Under the Law No. 12.783 dated 2013, the Technical Notes 351/2017 and 149/2017 of ANEEL and the Draft of Share Purchase and Sale Agreement, loosening was established for regulatory parameters for the distributor, including the RGR PPST. Payments concerning the loans contracted with RGR concerning the designation period shall have tariff recognition as components of Installment A. Since such tariff recognition follows the neutrality concept, the component was not considered when calculating the Installment A, since its consideration was also not considered for the purposes of this report.

         Therefore, since the RGR PPST has tariff coverage, not impacting the equity value, its balances – included into the Liabilities in the account of ‘Loans and Financing’ – were positively reincorporated into the amount to the shareholder.

         It is also stressed that, for the accounts of ‘Assets’ (property and rights), when there is positive variation, they increase the shareholder’s value. Therefore, being added to the equity value of the distributor. In the case of negative variation in turn, they reduce the amount. For the accounts of ‘Liabilities’ (obligations), the adjustment is inverted in relation to the ‘Assets’.

    32


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    For positive variation, the shareholder’s value is reduced, and, for negative variation, such amount is increased.

         The adjustments excluded the accounts of ‘Liabilities’ concerning variations in the provisions for contingencies, litigations and civil, tax and labor claims. The reason is the probable overlapping between the new provisions made in the statements (after the valuation base date of December 2016) and the amounts of contingencies made by the Consortium. The amounts made are related to the same topics, in addition to the amounts of provisions of the financial statements and discounted from the shareholder’s value. Thus, the adjustment related to provisions for contingencies is avoided to occur in duplicate, leading Eletrobras to make increased contributions than those actually required.

         Detailed amounts and the adjustment balances are provided in Item 10.2.2 - Balance update adjustment refer to the consolidated balance between the amounts of December 2016 and June 2017, which may be positive or negative. Balances of fiscal benefit and negative CSLL [Social Contribution on Net Income] basis were also updated to June 2017.

         The resulting amount is used as basis for the adjustment in loosened regulatory parameters. The adjustments were solely applied in the equity value, not being extended to any other income.

    7.3.2 Adjustment related to Advance Payments for Future Capital Increases

    (AFACs)

         Furthermore, if the distributor has AFACs, another adjustment is made, with the amounts concerning AFACs being considered as debt. Until the updating of the balance sheet dated June 2017 last updated until this report was concluded no existing AFAC was used to increase the capital.

         Thus, we suggest no new capital increase by using the AFACs of distributors by Eletrobras. As an alternative, its amounts shall now be construed as debts in the balance sheet (and may be used as an additional alternative for the capitalization to be conducted by Eletrobras outlined in

    ‘Stage 1’, as well as the remaining options provided).

         Taking into account that, once approved, the CPPI Resolution with definitions of financial and corporate adjustments to be made in the distributor under privatization, it is not advisable that new corporate amendments are made. It means that, if paying-up of the AFACs is after the CPPI publication, there is great chance that the numbers established in such CPPI Resolution will not comply with the distributor’s capital stock after capital increase by using the AFACs.

    Thus, conflicts will be avoided concerning the number of shares to be subscribed, as well as their underwriting amount, in addition to eventual legal conflicts or non-compliances.

         We should also consider that there are no relevant financial benefits in paying up the AFACs instead of considering them as debt. The effect upon the equity is neutral, since the new indebtedness amount shall be part of the adjustments of the model. Eventual savings of the distributor with debt taxation costs (e.g., IOF) shall be offset with benefits of the reduced basis for collection of the distributor’s income tax and with adjustments for inflation of the AFACs

    (e.g., SELIC), which shall be due to Eletrobras.

    33


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

         It is also stressed that the eventual paying-up of AFACs requires several levels of approvals, including internally at distributor and Eletrobras, as well as externally from the respective governmental agencies (e.g., MME, GCEST and PGFN).

    Finally, we note that, until the latest information available for this report, the distributors’

    AFACs funds solely derive from Eletrobras. Detailed adjustments and amounts related to the AFACs are found in Section II - Privatization proposal.

    7.3.3 Tax adjustments Tax Losses and Negative Base

         In the first semester of 2017, the distributors used part of the Tax Losses (Individual Taxpayer Income Tax IRPF) and Negative Base (Social Contribution on Net Income CSLL) to liquidate tax debts. Since the economic-financial analysis of the distributors considers the use of these benefits positively in their cash flow, once used, such benefits must be excluded from the evaluation.

         Thus, for the financial modeling, the balances of Tax Loss and Negative Base used between January and June 2017 have been deducted from the tax balances existing in December 2016, base date used in the economic-financial analysis.

    7.3.4 Adjustment of the relaxation of regulatory parameters

         The adjustment in the relaxation of regulatory parameters aims at complying with ANEEL Technical Note no. 149, dated September 8, 2017, in order to reach the economic equilibrium of the concessions of designated distributors, defined under the terms of Normative Resolution no. 748/2016.

         Thus, the Draft of the Decree that will govern the bidding of distribution associated with the transfer of control of legal entity providing the electric power service, as per Law 12.783/2013, establishes that, in case the value to the shareholder of Ceron resulting from the valuation is positive (which also considers the adjustment of the balance update) based on the relaxation of regulatory parameters, the value of relaxed parameters must be registered so that the value to the shareholder is zero. That is, in case Ceron had negative value to the shareholder before the relaxation of regulatory parameters, and such relaxation results in positive value to the shareholder, the value of the relaxed parameters must be reduced to the amount necessary for the value to shareholder to be equal zero.

    The relaxed regulatory parameters of Ceron are listed below:

    RELAXED PARAMETERS

         The adjustment of the relaxed regulatory parameters is applied to values of equity value (average of services A and B), corrected with the other adjustments specified (balance update, RGR PPST, AFAC, Tax Loss and Negative Base).

         In order to zero the value to shareholder, the relaxed values of the relaxed parameters shall be adjusted. The reason is that they have a direct effect to the first years of the concession and

    34


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    raise the rate to the consumer in a period in which other exceptional rate adjustments are in force.

         As detailed in Section II - Privatization proposal, the relaxed values will be used as variables of the privatization auction, after the eventual adjustment of these parameters to zero the value to shareholder. In addition, the RGR PPST will also be used as an auction variable.

         It is also worthwhile noting that in case the value to shareholder of the distributor is negative after the regulatory flexibilization, it will not be necessary to adjust the value of relaxed parameters. In this scenario, the relaxed value shall be fully valid as a base for the bids of investors in the auction.

    35


     



     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

         This stage, as well as its premises and parameters, is detailed in Item 8.2 - Minimum adjustment of the capital structure – “Stage 1”.

    Investor capitalization – “Stage 2”

    “Stage 2” is a stage after “Stage 1”, and optional to Eletrobras.

         It is important to stress that the capital structure of privatized companies needs to be balanced after the sale. This equilibrium is important to assure that the company will have financial health to honor its obligations such as investments forecasted for the period of concession and overcome eventual adverse conditions.

         This, the modeling determined that the investor stakeed in acquiring the company, in addition to buying the shares held by Eletrobras at the company of symbolic value, will also invest funds and resources to balance the capital structure of the company.

         This stage, as well as its premises and parameters, is detailed in Item 8.3 - Investor capitalization – “Stage 2”.

    Eletrobras corporate stake option

         In order to allow Eletrobras to have economic and financial benefits in the future with the privatization of its distributors, the modeling foresaw the possibility for the state-owned company to remain as a shareholder of the companies sold, holding only a minimum percentage of corporate stake right after the disposal, being able to increase its corporate stake by up to 30% of the total shares of the distributors within up to six (6) months after the auction.

         For such, Eletrobras is entitled to increase its corporate stake up to the limit of 30% of the shares of the capital stock of Ceron, case in which the investor shall assign its right to subscribe such new shares to Eletrobras, so that it may formalize such increase. Considering the financial conditions of the company and the credit amounts of the debt held by Eletrobras with its distributors, Eletrobras may also pay such new shares by exchanging such debts into investment. These rules will be defined in the Shareholders Agreement to be signed by Eletrobras and the investor, and such agreement will be an attachment to the Purchase and Sale Agreement of the distributor.

         Finally, it should be stressed that this alternative is not effectively part of the privatization, but an alternative available to Eletrobras, to be evaluated by it. Therefore, the intent is to include in the purchase and sale agreement of the distributor that Eletrobras may manifest its stake in increasing its corporate stake in the distributors after the privatization, within up to six (6) months from the date of the auction.

         In order to be eligible to increase its corporate stake in this stage, Eletrobras must hold one (1) share at the end of “Stage 1”. In case Eletrobras chooses not to increase its stake, such remaining share shall be sold to the investor within six (6) months from the date of the auction.

         This stage, as well as its premises and parameters, is detailed in Item 8.4 - Eletrobras corporate stake option.

    37


     



     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    quantity of active and retired employees eligible to purchase shares; 3) a margin of safety for the number of eligible employees, active and retired; 4) the number of shares of the company; 5) the minimum values to each lot of shares of the company.

         The capitalization value also considered the reality of six distributors in privatization procedure by Eletrobras, part of the same initiative. An uniform value was defined to all, considering the similarity of the financial situation in which they are found, as well as the proposed auction model, in which its sales operations interconnect. The definition of a homogeneous sales value of the companies, considering their financial situation, allows for a clearer and greater understanding of the privatization procedure of these companies to investors and to society.

         Details on the number of shares and values, among other aspects, are listed in Section II -Privatization proposal and in the Public Notice to the privatization procedure of Ceron.

    8.2.2 Capitalization alternatives

         It is recommended that the choice on the alternatives to perform the adjustments to the capital structure of Ceron should fall exclusively onto Eletrobras. The choice shall be made according to the most attractive options and to the reality of financial availability and credit of the company at the time of the operation.

         Recommendation made, it has been noted that Eletrobras could use three main alternatives to make the capitalization, all resulting in subscribing shares of the distributor: (i) conversion of debt credits by distributor to Eletrobras; (ii) assumption of debts of the distributor with third parties; and/or (iii) cash contribution to the distributor’s capital structure.

         In order to define the best alternative of capitalization to Eletrobras, a specific analysis shall be carried out by the Holding.

    8.3 Investor capitalization – “Stage 2”

         Even after the adjustment to the capital structure by Eletrobras to a symbolic value, the recommendation, for the purposes of conclusion of the privatization procedure of Ceron, is to conduct a new capitalization of the company, however this time by the investor, against the underwriting of new shares. This capitalization has the attributions of:

    a)      Avoiding the participation of investors effectively committed with the success of the company or without the due financial conditions to make the investments necessary for the organization;

    39


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    b)      Optimizing the capital structure of the company. After the “Stage 1”, against a symbolic equity value, the capital structure of Ceron shall consist of approximately 100% of debt.
      Thus, the company is not duly capitalized to make the investments and other demands of cash;
    c)      Demonstrating to society and stakeholders that the privatization of Ceron has attracted an investor committed to contributing with resources sufficient to cover the investments in the first five years of the concession, fundamental to lever efficiency and the level of service of the company.

         For definition of the capitalization value, two factors were taken into consideration: 1) capital structure of the companies after adjustment in “Stage 1”; and 2) reference leverage for the electric power distributors in Brazil, considering that Eletrobras will remain as minority partner of the companies.

         In the first factor, it was considered that the capital structure, which will serve as a base to be adjusted by the investor, is the one after the privatization operation. That is, any debt conversions by Eletrobras to achieve the amount defined for the transfer of the distributor´s shares held by Eletrobras to the investor and consequent privatization of Ceron, have already been considered. At this stage, the company´s leverage is close to the theoretical limit, as there is no significant equity value.

         In the second factor, a reference capital structure for the companies from the sector was used, 54% financial leverage. The leverage is calculated as a module of the amount of the net debt divided by the sum of the module of the net debt amount with the company´s equity value, as expressed herein: (|Net Debt| / [|Net Debt | + Equity Value]).

         The value of 54% defined for the leverage target after the investor´s capitalization was calculated according to the methodology used by Consórcio Mais Energia B. It considered the current weighted average capital cost (“WACC”) of the companies compared to the most leveraged from the sector. In the calculation of the amount required from the investor, it was also considered that Eletrobras will use the option to achieve the maximum value of corporate share (30%) in Ceron by means of debt conversion after privatization.

         In case Eletrobras does not use its option partially or totally, there are no damages to the operation or to the investor. The main reflection is that Ceron will have more leveraged capital structure than the suggested level (54%). However, due to the capitalization done by the investor, the distributor will be more prepared to undertake the relevant investments forecasted for the first years after the privatization. Likewise, the reasons to require the capitalization from the investor remain fulfilled.

         It should be noted that, in addition to the capitalization forecasted for the investor, optimizations of the capital structure tend to be made progressively by the future investor. Thus, new contributions of resources may be demanded so that the financial equilibrium of Ceron is continuously achieved or even to face cash demands. Accordingly, in case Eletrobras decides to remain as a shareholder of the distributor and does not accompany the investor in eventual future increases of capital of the distributor, it shall be diluted. The same principle applies to eventual minority stakeholders (including Active and Retired Employees which adhere to the distributor’s Share Offer).

    40


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    The capitalization values of the investor are listed in Section II - Privatization proposal.

    8.4  Eletrobras corporate stake option 
    8.4.1  Justification 

     

         The privatization modeling considers the possibility of Eletrobras continuing as a minority stakeholder of Ceron after the disposal of the shareholding control of such distributor. When holding a shareholding interest, even if assuming the risks as a shareholder of the company, Eletrobras may recover part of the investments made with the receipt of dividends or future increase of value and subsequent sale of its shareholding interest.

         In such case, Eletrobras shall have the right to increase its shareholding interest at Ceron after the privatization of the company, having as an alternative not only the contribution to capital, but also the additional conversion of debts into shares. Thus, the state-owned company will not necessarily need to contribute to the capital of Ceron in case it is willing to exercise the respective option, using the credits of remaining debt eventually held against the privatized company.

         The structuring of this alternative to Eletrobras occurs to provide it with an option to generate additional value from the privatization. For such, a financial valuation shall be carried out by Eletrobras, considering, among other aspects, the TIR and VPL of both scenarios.

    8.4.2 Eletrobras corporate interest threshold

         The corporate interest of Eletrobras should be limited to 30% of the shares of the company. The threshold of 30% was established based on benchmarks and good market practices, in which minority stakeholders have limited participation in the governance and/or management of the company.

         The established percentage, in addition to allowing Eletrobras to hold relevant economic interest in the company, will not be equivalent to that of future investor, which will provide the investor with autonomy to act.

         The capitalization to be performed by Eletrobras shall also follow the same profile of share categories currently existing at Ceron. Thus, eventual risks of legal inquiries related to specific corporate adjustments to the privatization procedure may be mitigated.

         However, the shareholders agreement set forth in Item 8.4.3 Participation of Eletrobras in the governance of the company shall be observed. Therefore, the degree of attractiveness of Ceron privatization to investors, main resource holders and risk takers, should be kept when assuring autonomy in the management of the company.

         Such evaluation was also carried out based on market analyses, which included interviews with market experts and potential investors. In general, investors tend to accept the participation of Eletrobras in the company, however without substantial participation in the management of the company.

    41


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    8.4.3 Participation of Eletrobras in the governance of the company

         In the presented model, although Eletrobras holds shares of Ceron, the state-owned company should preserve minimum rules in the management and governance of Ceron. Thus, the attractiveness of sale of the distributor would not be reduced duet to the sharing of its management, allowing the highest degree of freedom to the new investor.

         For such, it proposes that, regardless of the shareholding organization of Ceron after the privatization, a shareholders agreement with the following parameters shall be established:

    MODEL OF PROPOSED AGREEMENT 
    Participation Option  Eletrobras option to increase the participation in the distributor up to 30% 
    Conditions for the increase of capital  Accompany or increase the participation via debt conversion 
    Purchase priority  Valid to investor and to Eletrobras 
    Tag Along  100% 
    Effectiveness of the agreement  Regardless of controller succession 

     

         The objective of this configuration is to preserve the attractiveness of creation of value of the company, overcoming eventual barriers resulting from the sharing of decisions of the company after the privatization.

         It is worthwhile noting that, even though not having a role in the management of the company, Eletrobras shall have its rights as a minority stakeholder duly protected. Privatized, Ceron will become a business corporation, one of the legal requirements for a company engaged in the distribution of electric power. In this case, the rights of the minority stakeholders will be governed by law, as well as the requirement of observance of good corporate governance practices (including the conduction of external audit and the disclosure of financial statements).

         In addition, Eletrobras shall have specific aspects set forth in the shareholders agreement and in the obligations of the eventual investor when acquiring Ceron. The rights of Eletrobras are protected by the conditions detailed in the Public Notice to privatization of the company, and the specific conditions of the purchase and sale agreement of the distributor, including the shareholders agreement.

    8.4.4 Procedure for Eletrobras to increase its shareholding interest

         The purchase and sale agreement of the distributor and the shareholders agreement establish that Eletrobras will have up to six (6) months from the date of the auction to decide on its interest in increasing its shareholding interest by up to 30% of the shares of the capital stock of Ceron. Once the decision is made, Eletrobras shall communicate it to the new controller so that it becomes effective.

         In case Eletrobras is interested in increasing its participation, the legal and usual procedures for the capitalization of the company shall be observed, considering the rights of minority stakeholders including active and retired employees acquiring shares of Ceron. The investor shall not accompany such capitalization, in order to dilute its interest in the distributor and for Eletrobras to achieve the maximum threshold determined for its shareholding interest.

    42


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

         As mentioned, the capitalization to be made by Eletrobras may also be made using debt credits held by the state-owned company with Ceron. The financial conditions of the capitalization, i.e., the market value per share, shall be the same of Stage 2 and of the auction.

    8.5 Classes of shares

         During the procedures of increase of capital of the distributor, the assumed premise is that the distributor will observe the legal rules applicable to the matter.

         In case the new controller is interested in rearranging the corporate structure of the company, it may issue new classes of shares or create groups. This should occur provided that the legal rights of minority stakeholders are observed, as well as the contractual obligations resulting from the privatization procedure.

    43


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    9.      Shares offering to active and retired employees
    9.1      Mechanism

         According to the applicable legislation, the active and retired employees of the companies directly or indirectly controlled by the Government, included in the National Privatization

    Program (“PND”), herein the Investment Partnership Program (“PPI”), are assured the offer of at least ten percent (10%) of the shares representative of its capital.

         The offer to active and retired employees is made in parallel with the privatization auction, and its implementation is conditioned to its success, i.e., against the effective transfer of shareholding control.

         To take part of the offer, active and retired employees must be qualified according to the criteria established in Item 9.2 Definition of active and retired employees. After such qualification, active and retired employees shall indicate the number of lots of shares they are willing to reserve, without any purchase obligation.

         Each qualified active and retired employee may receive the same number of shares, regardless of title, either at the present or upon retirement.

         To negotiate the shares, the active and retired employees must be qualified and must hire a custodian agent, authorized institution accredited with B3, new denomination of BM&FBOVESPA.

    9.2 Definition of active and retired employees

         For the purposes of the Offer to Active and Retired Employees, active or retired employees of the distributor shall be considered as the following:

    1)      Employees with labor links with the distributor on the date of publication of the Public
      Notice      in the Federal Official Gazette;
    2)      Retired employees who meet any of the following requirements:
      a)      Hold labor link with the distributor on the date of request of their retirements;
      b)      Have the last contribution to the social security made as an employee of the distributor;
      c)      Have the last contribution to the social security covered by the distributor, as a result of voluntary dismissal plans;
      The      details on the eligibility criteria of active and retired employees for their eligibility to the

    auction, including specifications of CNPJ [Corporate Taxpayer ID Number] of companies eventually related, shall be included in the Public Notice to the privatization of Ceron.

    9.3 Offer General Conditions

         The table below presents the main conditions of the offer of shares to the active and retired employees, with explicative details in the following items.

    44


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    General Conditions for Offering Shares to Active and Retired Employees

      Percentage of Eletrobras shares to be offered  10% 
    Conditions of     
    the offer  Discount on the Investor’s underwriting value  10% 
      Destination of the Remainder  Sale1 to the Investor 
    Offering  Quantity for offering to Active and Retired Employees  02 Offers 
    Process  Purchase limit  Depends on the number of entitled people 
        Depends on the participation acquired in the 
    Underwriting  Shares to be subscribed by Active and retired employees  offer 
    process     
      Price per share on underwriting  Same price as Investor 
      Lock-up period  No lock-up 
      Re-purchase deadline  03 years 
      Value per share for re-purchasing purposes  Same value as underwriting 
    Re-purchasing  Value limit of shares to be re-purchased  R$ 100,000.00 
    process2  Increase in shares’ value  10% 
      Monetary correction index  SELIC 
        Assets value (up to R$ 100,000.00) + 10% + 
      Final re-purchase value  SELIC 
    1) Sale by the same offering value to Active and Retired Employees   
    2) The re-purchasing rights are exclusive for the original purchasers   

     

         The shares shall be offered to the active and retired employees in mixed lots, containing ordinary and preferred shares in the same proportion existing at the distributor. The offer in lots is necessary to allow the sale of the shares for the minimum price (R$ 0.01) necessary to perform a transactions in Brazilian Reais. Rounding may also occur to the totals of the number of shares per lot, offered to employees, culminating in a final offered percentage slightly greater than the value defined as a goal (10%). The details are described in Section II Privatization Proposal.

         For the second offer of shares to employees, aiming at the sale of eventual surplus of shares from the first offer, there will be criteria applicable purchases involving employees in case of draw, as duly established in the Public Notice to the auction and the Manual of Shares offering to active and retired employees.

    9.3.1 Offer take and differentiated conditions

         The active and retired employees of the distributor will be offered 10% of the shares held by Eletrobras. According to Article 30, Paragraph 4 of Decree No. 2.594, of May 1998, the shares to be offered to the active and retired employees may have different prices and conditions in relation to those offered to investors.

         Thus, active and retired employees will have the prerogative to acquire shares at a lower price than the price paid by the new controller of the company in the Auction. The price per share for the Offer to Active and Retired Employees shall be defined as the value per share paid by the investor for the purposes of disposal, discounting up to 10%.

    9.3.2 Offsetting differentiated conditions to Eletrobras

         The discount offered to the active and retired employees must be offset to Eletrobras by the investor, as per Article 30, Paragraph 5 of Decree No. 2.594, of May 1998. Such offset shall occur directly, with the total value being paid in conjunction with the liquidation of the auction.

    45


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

         After the stage of offer to the active and retired employees, shares that have not been sold shall be purchased by the winner of the auction, for the same price as previously offered, i.e., with the same discount offered, since the investor already is responsible for the costs of such discount.

    9.3.3 Offer Procedure and Purchase Limits

         A single offer of shares shall be made, extensive to all active and retired employees of each distributor, of 10% of the total amount of shares held by Eletrobras after the adjustment of the capital structure of “Stage 1”.

         Based on the value of the shares for the disposal to the Investor, the value of shares for the Offer to Active and Retired Employees shall be calculated with the application of the discount of 10%, as indicated in Item 10.6 - Shares offering to active and retired employees. In order to allow the Offer, the shares will be grouped so that a lot of shares has value equivalent to R$ 0.01 (one centavo), minimum effective unit for money transactions.

         After the qualification stage, the maximum limit of lots of shares that each active and retired employee may acquire will be defined (“Purchase Limit”), through the division of the number of lots offered by the number of qualified persons.

    9.3.4 Follow-up by minority stakeholders of investor underwriting

         As presented in Item 8.3 - Investor capitalization – “Stage 2”, the investor shall increase its interest in the capital stock against the underwriting of new shares following the liquidation of the auction. At that time, the persons who have acquired shares through the Shares offering to active and retired employees already are considered shareholders of the company.

         The value per share (or lot of shares) for the eventual follow-up of the capitalization by the active and retired employees shall be equal to the price per share for the investor underwriting.

    9.3.5 New controller shares repurchase obligation

         The active and retired employees will be entitled to distribute the acquired shares in the following differentiated conditions:

    a)      Under the scope of the Offer to the active and retired employees
    b)      In the underwriting of capital with the investor

         In case the active and retired employees who acquired shares of the Distributor are interested in selling such shares to the new controller, they may make such sale after three years from the date of the liquidation of the auction. The repurchase of these shares shall be made at the price per share acquired, up to the total maximum value of R$ 100,000.00 (one hundred thousand Brazilian Reais) per Active or Retired Employee.

         Moreover, for the repurchase, the value of the shares acquired by the active and retired employees shall be added 10%. Following that, such total must be adjusted by the SELIC of the period for the purposes of inflation adjustment of the values. These values are detailed in Section II - Privatization proposal.

    46


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

         The addition of 10% to the repurchase value is defined as a form of assuring differentiated conditions to the active and retired employees with a substantial value, since the sale of shares for the privatization of the distributor is made with symbolic value. It is a benefit for the participation in the capitalization of the company and also an stimulation for employees to contribute with the financial and operating success of the company.

         The price per share (or lot) shall observe eventual adjustments resulting from grouping, split, bonus, and/or additional underwritings of shares or equivalent operations. Details of the values are also presented in Section II - Privatization proposal.

         It is worthwhile noting that the active and retired employee are not prohibited from selling shares they acquired from Ceron to third parties. However, in case such sale occurs, the obligation and respective share repurchase conditions are cancelled. Exceptions apply to cases of heritage and eventual legal provisions.

    9.4 Shares not acquired by active and retired employees

         The shares offered in the Shares offering to active and retired employees, eventually not acquired by active and retired employees, shall be purchased by the investor. The purchase shall occur at the differentiated value (already with the discount), since the investor will already be entitled to offset the discount to Eletrobras.

    47


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    Section II - Privatization proposal

    10. Summary of Ceron’s privatization proposal

         This summary will present the recommendations of Consórcio Mais Energia B in relation to the privatization of Ceron. The evaluations and recommendations are presented in an objective manner, according to the instructions presented in Section I - Privatization context. They are intended to guide the actions to be taken by Eletrobras and entities responsible for the privatization procedure of the company.

    10.1 Ceron’s Corporate Structure

         The corporate structure on the base date of 12/31/2016 is organized according to the table below:

    CURRENT CERON’S CORPORATE STRUCTURE   
     
    Total shares    1,212,156,653 
    Capital stock  R$  1,325,368,848.76 
    Nominal value of shares  R$  1.09339733 
     
    Interest  Shares  (%) 
    Eletrobras  1,212,156,653  100.00% 
    Minorities  0  - % 
     
    Classes of shares  Shares  (%) 
    Ordinary  1,212,156,653  100.00% 
    Preferential  0  - % 

     

    10.2      Ceron’s Sales Price Definition
      10.2.1 Result of economic-financial evaluations

         The economic value of the shares of the company was determined according to the base date of 12/31/2016. Following on, the values were defined, considering the average of the prices for Services A and B, demonstrated in the table below:

    ECONOMIC VALUE OF CERON - MEAN OF SERVICES A AND B 
     
    Service A  R$  (1,636,209,285.18) 
    Service B  R$  (1,896,147,868.89) 
    Mean of Services A and B  R$  (1,766,178,577.04) 

     

         The definition of the economic value of Ceron followed the definitions and instructions of Decree no. 2.594/98, Article 30, Paragraph 3, taking into account several aspects relevant to a valuation:

    a)      Improvement of the operational efficiency level of the company, equal to or even higher than the efficiency levels of the market; and
    b)      Evaluations of relevant due diligence for asset valuation (Legal Due Diligence, Accounting-Equity Due Diligence, Technical-Operational Due Diligence, Actuarial Due Diligence, Human Resources Due Diligence, and Environmental Evaluation Report).

    48


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

         The detailing of the relevant information of these reports for the modeling are described in Section I - Privatization context.

    10.2.2 Balance update adjustment

         As mentioned in Item 7.3.1 Adjustment to comprise updated balance sheet until June 2017, the entries of the balance of Ceron were updated to reduce the difference of values between the base date of the valuation (December 2016) and the last available publication of results (June 2017).

         The balances of the adjusted values are listed below, by entry, and consolidated in a table, including the positive or negative effect they have to the adjustment value:

    ASSETS (IN R$ 000) - CERON  Dec/16  Jun/17 Adjustment 
    Current       
    Cash and cash equivalents  18,706  37,526  18,820 
    Securities  2,039  52,580  50,541 
    Clients  248,349  230,278  (18,071) 
    Taxes to be recovered  27,665  33,364  5,699 
    Reimbursement rights  253,308  256,224  2,916 
    Warehouse  16,864  16,211  (653) 
    Services in progress  10,621  14,316  3,695 
    Regulatory asset  -  -  - 
    Sureties and judicial deposits  -  -  - 
    Financial asset  54,523  40,371  (14,152) 
    Assets destined to disposal  -  -  - 
    CDE repayment  -  -  - 
    Others  22,210  38,331  16,121 
    Non-current       
    Clients  16,829  16,677  (152) 
    Taxes to be recovered  6,534  5,850  (684) 
    Taxes to social contributions  -  -  - 
    Sureties and related deposits  127,064  135,089  8,025 
    Reimbursement rights  3,488,797  3,591,069  102,272 
    Regulatory asset  -  -  - 
    Others  2,447  2,447  - 
    Investments  1,806  1,806  - 
    Total asset adjustment      174,377 

     

    49


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    LIABILITIES (IN R$ 000) - CERON  Dec/16  Jun/17  Adjustment 
    Current       
    Loans and Financing  23,324  147,518  124,194 
    Lease  -  -  - 
    Debt charges  6  44  38 
    Suppliers  1,456,393  1,766,511  310,118 
    Taxes payable  69,418  63,609  (5,809) 
    Social and labor obligations  17,167  25,786  8,619 
    Reimbursement obligations  125,083  13,203  (111,880) 
    Accounts payable to related parties  -  -  - 
    Estimated obligations  -  -  - 
    Sectorial charges  21,459  13,686  (7,773) 
    Post-employment benefits  6,316  4,620  (1,696) 
    Regulatory liabilities  -  -  - 
    Research and development  -  -  - 
    Financial liabilities  74,898  62,255  (12,643) 
    Others  46,199  39,880  (6,319) 
    Non-current       
    Loans and Financing  940,637  1,031,665  91,028 
    Lease  -  -  - 
    Suppliers  3,421,566  3,584,226  162,660 
    Taxes payable  4,260  15,752  11,492 
    Reimbursement obligations  152,339  151,353  (986) 
    Accounts payable to related parties  -  -  - 
    Provision for unsecured liability in controlled  -  -  - 
    Post-employment benefits  -  -  - 
    Regulatory liability  -  -  - 
    Sector charges  -  -  - 
    Advance for future capital increase  -  -  n/a 
    Research and development  -  -  - 
    Others  47,439  55,548  8,109 
    Total liabilities adjustment      569,152 
     
    CONSOLIDATED VALUE OF ADJUSTMENTS (IN R$ 000) - CERON     
    (+/-) Asset Adjustment      174,377 
    (+/-) Liabilities Adjustment      (569,152) 
    (+) RGR PPST Reincorporation      294,625 
    (-) Reclassification of AFACs as Debt      - 
    (-) Tax Adjustments (Tax Loss and Negative Base)      (6,144) 
    Consolidated value of adjustments      (106,294) 

     

         The consolidated value of the balances of the entries for the respective period was used as the adjustment value:

    CERON VALUATION ADJUSTMENTS     
    Mean of Services A and B  R$  (1,766,178,577.04) 
    Consolidated adjustments  R$  (106,293,886.39) 
    Adjusted Equity Value  R$  (1,872,472,463.42) 

     

    50


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    10.2.3 Regulatory parameters relaxation adjustment

         As described in Item 7.3.4 Adjustment of the relaxation of regulatory parameters, in case the ‘Adjusted Equity Value’ is greater than zero, the relaxation of the regulatory parameters must be reduced to result an equity value equal to zero. In the case of ‘Adjusted Equity Value’ smaller than zero, there will be no reductions to the relaxation of the rate parameters and no adjustment will be made to the equity value.

    CERON TARIFF RELAXATION ADJUSTMENTS     
    Adjusted Equity Value  R$  (1,872,472,463.42) 
    Reduction adjustment of tariff relaxation  R$  - 
    Final Equity Value  R$  (1,872,472,463.42) 
    Reduction percentage of tariff relaxation    - % 

     

    10.3 Sale vs. Liquidation Evaluation and consequent “pure” concession granting

         One of the relevant alternatives that Eletrobras shareholders have is to evaluate the economic feasibility in selling Ceron associated with the grant of the concession.

         In case the state-owned company is willing to sell the company associated with the concession, the respective auction shall be held. Otherwise, or if the proposed adjustments are not accepted and/or made by Eletrobras, the auction shall only be held for the sale of the concession.

         Thus, a comparative analysis between the sale price of the distributor associated with the concession and the eventual liquidation price of the company was developed. Thus, it is possible to assess if the sale would be more attractive to the state-owned entity.

         Since the sale price considers adjustments to the equity value, the adjustments were also considered in the estimate of the liquidation value. However, exception was made to Tax Adjustments and Negative Base, since these had no impact to the liquidation value, and to AFACs, since they could be paid if the distributor is not sold.

         As shown below, in the case of Ceron, the best economic option is to sell the company, considering the value of assets and of the concession. The balance between selling and liquidating is favorable for the first option, according to the table below:

    51


     



     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    CONVERSION AND ASSUMPTION OF CERON’S DEBTS   
     
    Final Equity Value  R$  (1,872,472,463.42) 
     
    Stage 1 - Eletrobras Capitalization  R$  1,872,522,463.42 
    Debt conversion  R$  1,872,522,463.42 
    Debt assumption  R$  - 
    Adjusted Equity Value Post Stage 1  R$  50,000.00 
     
    Price per share for Eletrobras underwriting  R$  1.09339733 
    Total shares subscribed by Eletrobras    1,712,572,741 

     

         The number of new shares subscribed by Eletrobras from these operations is defined pursuant to the price of issuance of the shares.

         This is the stage in which the privatization of Ceron occurs in technical terms. After the adjustment of capital, 10% of the shares shall be offered to Active and Retired Employees, 90% of the shares less one shall be sold to the potential investor, and one share must remain as property of Eletrobras. The possession of this one share is necessary in case Eletrobras wishes to increase its corporate interest.

         The capitalization values presented consider that the negotiations of the issues related to the CC are duly settled. As indicated in Item 3 Relevant aspect for the Privatization Procedure, due to the relevance of the CCC value, the solution related to this topic is a critical factor for the success of the auction.

    10.6 Shares offering to active and retired employees

         As mentioned, the Brazilian legislation requires that, in a federal privatization, part of the shares directly or indirectly owned by the Government should be sold to the active and retired employees in differentiated conditions.

         Thus, the shares of the distributor held by Eletrobras shall be offered to its active and retired employees, according to the conditions below:

    OFFERING TO ACTIVE AND RETIRED EMPLOYEES FROM CERON   
     
    Conditions of differentiated offer     
    Base value of sale share  R$  0.00001710 
    Discount over the disposal value for the Investor    10.01% 
    Share value for differentiated offer  R$  0.00001538 
     
    Shares to be offered     
    Amount of Eletrobras shares    2,924,729,394 
    Percentage of Eletrobras shares offered    10.00001404% 
    Total amount offered    292,473,350 
    Ordinary    292,473,350 
    Preferential    0 
    Total valued of shares offered  R$  5,000.01 
    Value of shares offered with discount  R$  4,499.59 
    Value of compensation payable by the Investor  R$  500.42 

     

    53


     

      Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal 
     
     
     
    Lots of the Shares offering to active and retired employees     
    Value of the lot of shares with discount  R$  0.01000000 
    Total quantity of lots in the Offer to Active and Retired Employees    449,959 
    Amount of shares in the lot    650 
    Amount of Ordinary shares in the lot    650 
    Amount of Preferential shares in the lot    0 
     
    Re-purchasing process1 by the investor     
    Lock-up period    No lock-up 
    Re-purchasing deadline    03 Years 
    Base value per share for re-purchasing purposes  R$  0.00001710 
    Base value limit of shares to be re-purchased  R$  100,000.00 
    Increase on base value of shares    10% 
    Share value with increase  R$  0.00001881 
    Correction Index    SELIC 
    Re-purchasing price per share  R$ 0.00001881 + SELIC 

     

    1) In the defined modeling, the repurchase conditions by the investor of the offered shares are exclusive rights of the active and retired employees acquiring them, or by individuals that may acquire them by succession (due to death of the original purchaser). In the case of sale of the shares to third parties, the repurchase benefits will be cancelled.

         The investor shall offset Eletrobras for the offer of shares with differentiated conditions to employees (according to Decree 2.594/98), in addition to complying with the obligations included in this report, as indicated in Item 10.9 - Investors Obligations.

         Shares eventually not purchased by the active and retired employees must be acquired by the investor at the end of the sale of these shares, at the price including the proposed discount. The acquisition of the remaining shares at the discount price shall occur so that the investor is not encumbered, twice, for the financial offset made to Eletrobras in relation to the sale of the shares to the active and retired employees, since the offset to Eletrobras will be made.

    10.7 Investor capitalization – “Stage 2”

         In the proposed sales model, for the purposes of liquidation of the auction, the investor willing to purchase Ceron shall make a contribution of capital with the underwriting of new shares at the company. Such capital shall be paid in national currency.

    CAPITALIZATION OF INVESTOR ON CERON     
    Adjusted Equity Value Post Stage 1  R$  50,000.00 
    Value to be paid by the Investor  R$  241,099,855.91 
    Adjusted Equity Value Post Stage 2  R$  241,149,855.91 
    Amount of share to subscribe to the Investor    14,103,036,709,553 
    Price per share subscribed  R$  0.00001710 

     

    54


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    10.8 Ceron’s final corporate structure

         At the end of the privatization procedure, Ceron shall present the corporate structure described below, considering the full adhesion of the active and retired employees to the offer of shares:

    CERON’S FINAL CORPORATE STRUCTURE       
    Total shares      15,672,967,962,122 
    Capital stock    R$  3,465,780,082.76 
    Nominal value of shares    R$    0.00022113 
     
    Interest  Ordinary shares  Preferential shares  Total Shares  (%) 
    Investor  14,105,668,965,596  0  14,105,668,965,596  90.0000% 
    Eletrobras  1  0  1  0.0000% 
    Active and Retired         
    Employees  1,567,298,996,525  0  1,567,298,996,525  10.0000% 
    Other Minorities  0  0  0  % 
     
    Shares per Class      Total Shares  (%) 
    Ordinary      15,672,967,962,122  100.0000% 
    Preferential      0  % 

     

    Note: assumes the total follow-up by Active and Retired Employees of the capitalization made by the investor. The final corporate structure, however, shall vary in accordance with the degree of adhesion to the offer by the Active and Retired Employees and to the follow-up rate of the capitalization.

         The final corporate structure will vary depending on the rate of adhesion of the active and retired employees of Ceron to the offer of shares.

         Shares eventually not acquired by the active and retired employees will be purchased from Eletrobras by the investor. The final participation of Eletrobras, however, shall not be changed.

         In case Eletrobras chooses not to increase its corporate interest, the remaining share held by it shall be sold at its base price to the investor within six (6) months from the date of the auction.

    10.9 Investors Obligations

         The purchase Ceron, the interested investor must undertake to the following obligations established in the sale proposal:

    10.9.1      Financial obligations
    i.      Underwriting and payment of capital at the company
    ii.      Pay Eletrobras the offsetting amount related to the differentiated conditions of the Shares offering to active and retired employees of Ceron
    iii.      Purchase from Eletrobras the remaining shares of the offer made to the active and retired employees
    iv.      Fulfill the requests related to the offer of shares to the active and retired employees in accordance with the differentiated conditions established
      The values of the financial obligations are defined below:

    55


     

      Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal 
     
     
    INVESTOR OPERATIONS ON CERON     
     
    Total paid during disposal of Ceron control  R$  45,500.41 
    Total value from sale of shares  R$  45,499.99 
    Amount of sale shares    2,632,256,043 
    Price per share  R$  0.00001710 
    Value compensation to Eletrobras for the offer to active and retired employees  R$  500.42 
     
    Capitalization - Stage 2     
    Amount of subscribed shares    14,103,036,709,553 
    Price per subscribed share  R$  0.00001710 
    Value to be paid by the Investor  R$  241,099,855.91 
     
    Other Obligations     
    Re-purchase of remainder from the offer to active and retired employees     
    Re-purchasing price  R$  0.00001538 
    Re-purchasing amount    Totality of remainder 
    Maximum value to be re-purchased  R$  4,499.59 
    Re-purchase of shares from active and retired employees     
    Re-purchasing deadline    03 Years 
    Base value per share for re-purchasing purposes  R$  0.00001710 
    Base value limit of shares to be re-purchased  R$  100,000.00 
    Increase on base value of shares    10% 
    Share value with increase  R$  0.00001881 
    Correction Index    SELIC 
    Re-purchasing price per share    R$ 0.00001881 + SELIC 

     

    10.9.2      Obligations defined in the Purchase Agreement
      Certain additional obligations are recommended, namely:
      i. Comply with the corporate clauses related to active and retired employees, according to the model proposed below:

    Contractual obligations proposals

    Private Pension Health Insurance

    Re-qualification of dismissed

    personnel

     

    Maintain current conditions for two years Maintain current conditions for two years

    Structure re-qualification program compatible with the best market practices

     

    ii.      Comply with the governance clauses related to the shareholders agreement with Eletrobras, according to the model proposed below:
    Proposed Deal Model   
    Participation Option  Option for Eletrobras to increase participation on the distributor up to 
      30% 
    Conditions for capital increase.  Follow or increase participation via debt conversion 
    Purchase preference  Mutual for investor and Eletrobras 
    Tag Along  100% 
    Deal validity  Independent from controller succession 

     

    56


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    11. Cerons privatization schedule

         A proposal of schedule1 presenting the key stages of the privatization procedure was developed for the privatization of Ceron. The objective is to offer an overview of the procedure, complemented by a detailed schedule in terms of specific reports and legal drafts.

         The schedule considers the legal requirements of term and the time necessary to make the corporate and financial adjustments, as well as the observance of contractual and corporate aspects. We have observed that this schedule is preliminary and may be subject to changes and adjustments to meet the requirements of the privatization procedure.

    Activity

    Publication of Resolution CPPI Data Room Opening

    Shareholder’s Meeting of Eletrobras Shareholder’s Meeting of Distributor Conduction of Public Hearing

    Publication of the Public Notice to Privatization Auction Auction homologation

    Shareholder’s Meetings of the Distributor

    Liquidation of the auction and execution of the agreement

    Shareholder’s Meeting of the Distributor

     

    Term

    D + 0 D + 9 days

    D + 50 days D + 63 days D + 70 days1

    D + 92 days D + 145 days2 D + 168 days2

    D + 177 days

    D + 177 days

    D + 207 days3

     

    Note: Depending on the effective date of the CPI resolution and the internal deadlines for the corporate procedures of Eletrobras (at times considered in business days), the estimated terms may be changed 1) According to Article 39 of Law 8.666/93, 15 business days before the publication of the Public Notice will be necessary. Considering that six public hearings shall occur, two weeks have been estimated. Thus, in case more days are necessary to hold these public hearings, the schedule will be changed 2) Suggestive term, since such terms are stipulated by the Public Notice 3) Suggestive term, however not smaller than 30 days from the date of the last Shareholder’s Meeting of the Distributor

    57


     



     



     



     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

         As established in the regulation above, the regulatory aspects mentioned below have been made flexible for the area of concession of the distributor:

    RELAXED PARAMETERS 
     
    - Non-Technical Losses 
    - PMSO 
    - RGR PPST 

     

         As a form of allowing the reduction of the power rate charged against the consumer, the relaxed parameters shall be used as auction variables. They will be reduced by the bids of investors participating in the auction up to the limit of the relaxations performed by the regulator.

         Once the relaxed parameters have a limit, the regulation also established the possibility of offer of values of grant by investors, with their resources being destined to the Government. The grant offer is subsequent to the reduction of the relaxed parameters and has no capped value. Thus, there are no procedural limits for the bids placed by the participants of the auction.

         To reduce the operating complexity of an auction with several parameters, the proposal is to establish a single variable for the investor offers. This variable is a reference Index, exclusive and of crescent value, the ‘Combined Discount Index in the Regulatory Flexibility and Grantreferred to as Index.

         In order to meet the regulatory requirements, the Index value will begin with 0.00 (zero) percentage point (p.p.) and shall not have capped value, with up to two decimal points for bids. The Index will also have two combined intervals, the first representing how investors are willing to reduce the tax relaxed, and the second representing how much they are willing the offer as grant value.

    The intermediary values of the Index are described below:

  • Values from zero (0.00) to one hundred (100.00):
      o      The offers in this interval will be related to the discount percentage in the relaxed regulatory parameters offered by the investor, with the percentage being applied linearly to all relaxed parameters in the area of concession of the distributor;
      o      The values will be used to define the final regulatory parameters of the area of concession of the distributor, according to the Draft of Electric Power Distribution Concession Agreement resulting from Public Hearing 94/2016 of ANEEL and Public Inquiry 037/2017 of the Ministry of Mines and Energy - MME.
  • Values above one hundred point zero one (100.01):

    o The bids in this interval consider only the values additionally to the initial one hundred (100.00) p.p. and refer to the value of offered grant, with the payment being made to the Government;

    61


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    o The value offered by the investor shall be multiplied by a pre-determined reference money value to each one (1.00) percentage point of the Index after 100.01;

    For exemplification purposes, we indicate the following cases:

         The Index will be valid both to the first stage (in closed envelope) and in the second stage (live bidding). After opening the envelopes, in case of bidders classified to the 2nd stage, the bids of investors for the highest Index value continue in live bidding until one of them is declared winner.

    12.6 Auction Value base for ‘Combined Discount Index in the Regulatory Flexibility and Grant’

         The values of the first interval of the Index (from 0.00 to 100.00 p.p.) refer to the Regulatory Flexibility, in which the offered discount is applied linearly over the values of the relaxed parameters by the regulator.

         In this context, the values of the regulatory parameters used as variables of the auction should be fixed. Thus, investors will know the amount in which they bids will be placed and that will base the auction. This recommendation also aims at avoiding legal inquiries prior to or after the auction, which may compromise the privatization of the distributor.

         For such, the PMSO value and the RGR PPST to be used as auction variables should be fixed. These values will depend on the future definition of ANEEL to be used in the auction and will be informed upon the publication of the invitation to privatization. The additional RGR values eventually not part of the auction will be fully offset via tariff. The Non-Technical Loss amounts have already been pre-defined according to ANEEL Technical Note 149/2017.

         The table below shows the Consortium estimate for the base of values of the auction variables for the auction of the distributor:

    62


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

    NOTE BASE ESTIMATE VALUES FOR AUCTION  CERON 
     
    l  Index (BID)  Auction Result 
     
    2  Contract: Sub clause on Tariff Coverage of RGR  Auction Result 
     
    3  Relaxation PMSO 2017  47,551,063 
    4  Regulatory PMSO 2017  281,710,917 
    5  Pre-Auction Discount  0.0% 
    6  2017 PMSO Relaxation Post Pre-Auction Discount  47,551,063 
    7  Contract: Item II Sub Clause 3 Clause 19 of the Contract  Auction Result 
     
    8  Regulatory PNT 2016  8.33% 
    9  PNT Relaxation  14.76% 
    10  Adjusted Relaxation  14.76% 
    11  Contract: Item III Sub Clause 3 Clause 19 of the Contract  Auction Result 

     

      EXPLANATORY NOTES 
    1  Value offered by the auction winner 
    2  Value to be defined on the Contract Clause that rules the tariff recognition of RGR 
      Relaxation base for Operational Costs of 2017 (estimated by the Consortium, according to item 43 of NT 149/2017) - 
    3  will be informed by Aneel for the Auction 
    4  Operational Costs considered on the Tariff Process of 2017 (estimated by the Consortium, according to item 43 of 
      NT 149/2017) - will be informed by Aneel for the Auction 
    5  Adjustment to zero Equity Value, as instructed on the Decree Minutes 
    6  Relaxation base for Operational Costs of 2017, adjusted by Pre-Auction Discount 
    7  Value to be defined on Item II, Sub-Clause 3, Clause 19 of the Contract 
    8  Non-Technical Losses considered by the Tariff Process of 2016 (NT 149/2017) 
    9  Relaxation base of Non-Technical Losses (NT 149/2017) 
    10  2017 PNT Relaxation adjusted by Post Pre-Auction Discount 
    11  Value to be defined on Item III, Sub-Clause 3, Clause 19 of the Contract 

     

         The values of the second interval of the Index (above 100.01 p.p.) are related to the grant value. As explained, the Index value offered by the investor above 100.00 p.p. shall be multiplied by a reference value to each percentage point related to the grant. The reference value must be monetary, in Real, and defined in the Public Notice to the auction.

         The reference value should be based on parameters related to the context of the privatization of the distributor. Thus, the reference value will be established in a logical way and shall maintain a relationship with the other aspects of the auction.

         For that, two initial possibilities were identified for the definition of the monetary reference value of each percentage point offered as grant value:

    i)      Value with magnitude order near the monetary value estimated to each percentage point of the first interval of the Index (part related to rate relaxed discount);
    ii)      Percentage of the Enterprise Value of the distributor.

    63


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

         The preliminary values estimated by the Consortium to each one of the two presented possibilities are listed below, as a form of support for the definition of the reference value of each percentage point related to the grant:

    REFERENCE VALUE ALTERNATIVES FOR EACH P.P. - GRANT FROM CERON   
     
    i) Value1 estimated for each Index p.p.  R$ 5.0 Million 
    ii) Value1 regarding Enterprise Value  R$ 3.2 Million 
    Enterprise Value  R$ 1,264.6 Million 
    Percentage Base of Enterprise Value  0. 
    1) Approximate value   

     

    12.7 Auction´s 2nd stage ranking criteria

         Bids placed in the 1st stage will be considered as classified to the 2nd stage of each auction, in the case· of: Being the bid with the highest Combined Discount Index in the Regulatory Flexibility· and Grant Being a bid in the interval of classification

         The interval of classification will be defined upon the publication of the Public Notice and is demonstrated as an example in the table below. The representativeness of the interval of classification was also considered in relation to the Enterprise Value of the distributors.

         The interval value suggested was secured in relation to its estimated absolute value and its representativeness in relation to the Enterprise Value of the distributor. Thus, an interval was proposed in which these two aspects could not be extremely high or low, stimulating competitiveness of investors in the auction.

         Bids will be considered in the interval of classification if their difference to the offer with the highest Index is smaller than or equal to the specific classification interval of the auction. Since there is no limit for the value offered by the Index, the interval of classification shall observe the best bid placed.

    Interval of Classification   
    Auction  3rd 
    Company  Ceron 
    Interval of Classification  20.00 

     

         For example, in case the highest bid is of an Index equal to 75.00 in the auction of the distributor, bids greater than or equal to 55.00 (75.00 less 20.00) will be considered as classified. Similarly to this auction, in case the best bid is equal to 110.00, offers greater than or equal to 90.00 will be classified. The Interval of Classification may also be changed until the final draft of the Public Notice is drawn up.

         The monetary values of each percentage point (p.p.) of discount in the Index related to discount in the regulatory flexibilization is not fixed, ranging in accordance with the estimate made. Similarly, the nominal values to the Interval of Classification will range.

    64


     

    Product 11 Privatization Modeling Proposal

         The estimate of the Consortium of the approximate average of the monetary values of each percentage point of variation and of the interval of classification is presented below. These are estimated values of reduction in the Enterprise Value of the company, which, on its turn, reflect the Equity Value (value to shareholder).

    CLASSIFICATION INTERVAL FOR CERON AUCTION   
     
    Approximated value for one (1) p.p. variation  R$ 5.0 Million 
    Classification Interval  20 p.p. 
    Estimated value for Classification Interval  R$ 100.0 Million 
    Estimated percentage of Enterprise Value  7.9% 

     

         The estimate of value for one percentage point of variation is made based on the economic-financial evaluation model of this Consortium. To every percentage point of discount conceded, the relaxation parameters are adjusted, with key reflections to reductions in the value of Installment A. It also includes the discount to be given in RGR PPST, considering the present value of the amount accumulated until June 2017.

         It should be noted that this estimate is based on the average of values found by the Consortium for progressive reductions to the Index in relation to discount in the regulatory flexibilization, since the curve of values is not linear. That is, different values will be obtained to different discount levels to the Index.

         The investor, on its turn, shall make its own estimate, according to the modeling of valuation of the distributor, so that it may guide its bid in the auction.

    12.8 Auction procedures

         Prior to the public auction sessions, interested parties must hand the qualification documentation in conjunction with the economic bids, in sealed envelope.

         For an investor to have its bid considered valid in one of the auctions, such investor shall deliver envelopes to all auctions of each round, even if without bid or with the indication of non-interest. For instance, even though the investor is exclusively interested in the company of the 4th auction, it shall hand envelopes to all other auctions of the round.

         This procedure aims at mitigating eventual asymmetries of information from investors in relation to which or how many investors are bidding to each company.

         The 3rd, 4th, and 5th auctions will allow bidders to exercise their right to participate in the 2nd stage, if so desired, as demonstrated in the figure below. The right to participate must be delivered duly filled and signed. The validity of the right is conditioned to the prior delivery of a valid economic bid to the auction in screen.

         The chart below illustrates the sequence of deliveries of bids and the right to participate in the auctions.

    65


     

     
     

    SIGNATURE
     
     
    Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.

    Date: January 8, 2018
    CENTRAIS ELÉTRICAS BRASILEIRAS S.A. - ELETROBRÁS
    By:
    /SArmando Casado de Araujo
     
    Armando Casado de Araujo
    Chief Financial and Investor Relation Officer
     
     

     

     
    FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

    This press release may contain forward-looking statements. These statements are statements that are not historical facts, and are based on management's current view and estimates offuture economic circumstances, industry conditions, company performance and financial results. The words "anticipates", "believes", "estimates", "expects", "plans" and similar expressions, as they relate to the company, are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Statements regarding the declaration or payment of dividends, the implementation of principal operating and financing strategies and capital expenditure plans, the direction of future operations and the factors or trends affecting financial condition, liquidity or results of operations are examples of forward-looking statements. Such statements reflect the current views of management and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties. There is no guarantee that the expected events, trends or results will actually occur. The statements are based on many assumptions and factors, including general economic and market conditions, industry conditions, and operating factors. Any changes in such assumptions or factors could cause actual results to differ materially from current expectations.