26th September 2019
|
Pearson, the world's learning company, is today providing an update
on expectations for trading in the first nine months of
2019.
|
We continue to expect revenue to stabilise this year but weaker
than expected trading in our US Higher Education Courseware
business in the key selling season means we now expect adjusted
operating profit to be at the bottom of the guidance range of
£590m to £640m
● At the nine months, we expect group underlying
revenue to be broadly flat with Core markets up 5%, Growth up 3%
and North America down 3%.
Businesses generating 75% of Pearson revenue growing in aggregate
by around 3%
● Strong performance in structural growth businesses
- continued strong growth in Online Program Management (OPM),
Connections Academy, our K12 virtual schools business, Pearson Test
of English Academic (PTE Academic) and Professional Certification
driven by the incremental investment we have made in these
businesses over the past two years.
US Higher Education Courseware (25% of revenue) down by around 10%.
Digital : print split expected to shift from 55% : 45% at the end
of last year to 65% : 35% at the end of this year
● Underlying pressures from lower college enrolments
and use of Open Educational Resources (OER) are all largely as
expected. However, we believe the weaker than expected trading has
been driven by the following factors:
o The
key selling season has seen a significant industry wide
acceleration of print attrition as channel partners and students
turn away from print products more rapidly than
anticipated.
o Modest
(c. one percentage point) adoption share loss likely caused by the
delivery issues due to the implementation of our new Enterprise
Resource Programme (ERP) in H2 last year as well as our sales force
re-organisation. Over time, we expect to re-gain this share
following the roll out of our next wave of digital products on the
Global Learning Platform which launched in September, along with a
sales force which is strategically aligned to our customer
base.
o Digital
revenues are up modestly but registrations are down slightly due to
a continuation of the trends we identified at half year with
greater than anticipated pressure in Developmental Mathematics, the
strategic retirement and deprioritisation of long tail products,
and some impact from loss of market share.
● Our strategy to move to more affordable access
based models such as Inclusive Access, digital products and partner
print rental will result in a more sustainable and predictable
business. Over the last three years, we have moved significantly
more of our business into digital and access based models, we have
transformed our technology platform laying the foundations for our
next generation of digital products and reduced cost substantially
through re-organisation of the sales force and product services and
implementation of a modern ERP system.
Simplification plans on track and strong balance sheet
● We remain on track to deliver in excess of
£330m1 of
annualised cost savings, with the full benefits accruing from the
end of 2019 onwards.
● Our financial position remains robust and we
continue to expect year end net debt to be broadly in line with
2018.
Underlying adjusted operating profit at the bottom of the guidance
range
● We now expect US Higher Education Courseware
revenue to decline between 8% to 12% in 2019, weaker than our
original guidance for a 0% to 5% decline.
● We now expect Pearson to deliver
adjusted operating profit in 2019 at the bottom of the guidance
range of £590m to £640m with trading impact from our US
Higher Education Courseware business offset by good underlying
growth in the rest of the business and temporary additional cost
savings. We expect to deliver adjusted EPS at the bottom of the
guidance range of 57.5p to 63.0p.
|
|
John Fallon, Chief Executive said:
"The third quarter has been significantly weaker than we expected
in US Higher Education Courseware. Whilst difficult in the short
term this places more importance on our work to remake this part of
Pearson and we are exploring new ways of deploying our new
technology platform so that we can offer students highly
affordable, convenient, adaptive, digital courseware. We still
expect revenue across Pearson as a whole to stabilise this year,
with encouraging growth in many parts of the company."
Sidney Taurel, Chair of Pearson said:
"Pearson has come a long way through its digital transformation and
the company is in much better shape than it was three years ago.
There are still challenges to overcome in our US Higher Education
Courseware business, which we are all very focused on. We are now a
leaner, more efficient and more digital company with a strong
balance sheet, which gives us a platform from which we can address
these challenges."
|
Expected underlying growth for the nine months ending
30th September
2019
|
Underlying growth
|
Sales
|
|
North America
|
(3)%
|
Core
|
5%
|
Growth
|
3%
|
Total
|
0%
|
Notes
Throughout this announcement: growth rates are stated on an
underlying basis unless otherwise stated. Underlying growth rates
exclude both currency movements and portfolio changes.
1Based on December 2018
exchange rates. A significant part of costs and savings from the
restructuring programme are US Dollar denominated and in other
non-Sterling currencies and are therefore subject to exchange rate
movements over the implementation timeframe.
|
Nine-month trading
In North
America, revenue is expected to
decline 3% in the first nine months of 2019 due to the
deterioration in the US Higher Education Courseware business and
expected declines in US Student Assessment partially offset by
strong growth in Online Program Management (OPM), Connections
Academy and Professional Certification.
In Core (which includes the UK, Australia and
Italy), revenue is expected to increase by 5% due to strong growth
in PTE-Academic, OPM, Professional Certification, UK Student
Assessment and Qualifications and the delivery of a new digital
assessment contract in Egypt.
In Growth (which includes Brazil, China, India and
South Africa) revenue is expected to be up 3% with strong growth in
China, and South Africa, strong growth in PTE-Academic and
Professional Certification partially offset by declines in revenue
from Wizard, our English Language Learning Franchise in
Brazil.
|
Penguin Random House is on
track to perform in line with our expectations.
|
Executive changes
With the major restructuring programme complete, we are evolving
the management for the next phase in the company's
transformation.
Tim Bozik will lead our North America Higher Education Courseware
business, in addition to his current Global Product
responsibilities.
Rod Bristow will lead our Online Program Management and Virtual
Schools businesses globally, in addition to his current
responsibility looking after the UK business.
Gio Giovanelli will now lead our businesses outside of North
America and the UK.
Kevin Capitani, President of our North America business, will be
leaving Pearson early next year. Kevin has made many contributions
since joining the Pearson executive team in July 2016. He has
continuously championed the needs of our customers, helped grow our
Online Program Management and Virtual Schools businesses, and led
the transformation of North America sales, services and
systems.
|
|
We will hold a conference call at 8.00am today Thursday,
26th September
2019 to discuss our Q3 trading update. A replay will be available
soon after on our website www.pearson.com/corporate.
This statement contains inside information
|
Contacts
|
|
|
Investor Relations
|
Jo Russell, Tom Waldron, Anjali Kotak
|
+44 (0) 207 010 2310
|
Media
|
Tom Steiner
|
+44 (0) 207 010 2310
|
Brunswick
|
Charles Pretzlik, Nick Cosgrove, Simone Selzer
|
+44 (0) 207 404 5959
|
Webcast details
|
Analyst and investor conference call details:
United Kingdom Toll-Free: 08003589473
United Kingdom Toll: +44 3333000804
PIN: 31079211#
URL for international dial in numbers:
http://events.arkadin.com/ev/docs/NE_W2_TF_Events_International_Access_List.pdf
|
Forward looking statements: Except for the historical information
contained herein, the matters discussed in this statement include
forward-looking statements. In particular, all statements that
express forecasts, expectations and projections with respect to
future matters, including trends in results of operations, margins,
growth rates, overall market trends, the impact of interest or
exchange rates, the availability of financing, anticipated cost
savings and synergies and the execution of Pearson's strategy, are
forward-looking statements. By their nature, forward-looking
statements involve risks and uncertainties because they relate to
events and depend on circumstances that will occur in future. They
are based on numerous assumptions regarding Pearson's present and
future business strategies and the environment in which it will
operate in the future. There are a number of factors which could
cause actual results and developments to differ materially from
those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements,
including a number of factors outside Pearson's control. These
include international, national and local conditions, as well as
competition. They also include other risks detailed from time to
time in Pearson's publicly-filed documents and you are advised to
read, in particular, the risk factors set out in Pearson's latest
annual report and accounts, which can be found on its website
(www.pearson.com/corporate/investors.html). Any forward-looking
statements speak only as of the date they are made, and Pearson
gives no undertaking to update forward-looking statements to
reflect any changes in its expectations with regard thereto or any
changes to events, conditions or circumstances on which any such
statement is based. Readers are cautioned not to place undue
reliance on such forward-looking statements.
|
|
PEARSON
plc
|
|
|
Date: 26
September 2019
|
|
|
By: /s/
NATALIE WHITE
|
|
|
|
------------------------------------
|
|
Natalie
White
|
|
Deputy
Company Secretary
|