TUI AG (TUI)
TUI AG: Annual Financial Report - Part 1

13-Dec-2017 / 08:00 CET/CEST
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13 December 2017

TUI GROUP

Full year results to 3 0 Septe mber 201 7

HIGHLIGHTS

  • Third consecutive year of strong earnings growth, with 12 % increase in underlying EBITA 1 and 34 % increase in underlying EPS 1

  • Continuing to transform our business - 5 6 % of our earnings are now delivered from own hotel and cruise brands , with a strong ROIC performance and less seasonal profile

  • Post - merger phase is complete - double digit annual earnings gro wth with strong cash conversion and strong ROIC performance continues , d riven increasingly by market demand and digitalisation benefits , as well as disciplined expansion of own hotel and cru ise content

  • Strong cash conversion plus EUR2 billion disposal proceeds enable us to finance growth, pay an attractive dividend and strength en the balance sheet

  • Trading for future seasons is progressing well overall - our balanced portfolio of markets and destinatio ns and strong competitive position leave us well placed to deliver further growth

  • E xpect to deliver at least 10% gr owth in underlying EBITA in FY 1 8 1 and extend our previous guidance of at least 1 0% underlying EBITA CAGR to FY 20 1

  • Our ambition - strong strategic positioning, strong earnings growth and strong cash generation , with underlying EBITA doubling between FY14 and FY20

KEY FINANCIALS

Year ended 30 September

EURm

201 7

201 6

Change

Constant currency change 1

Turnover

18,5 3 5

17,154

+8.1 %

+11.7 %

Underlying EBITA 2

1, 102

1,001

+ 10. 2 %

+1 2.0 %

Reported EBITA 3

1,0 2 7

898

+1 4.3 %

+ 1 6 . 2 %

Underlying e arnings per share 4

1.14

0.86

+ 32. 6 %

+ 33.7 %

Earnings before tax 5

1,080

618

+ 74.6 %

+ 76.8 %

Leverage ratio 6

2.5 times

3.3 times

- 0.8 times

n/a

R eturn on invested capital (ROIC) 7

23.6 %

21.9%

+ 1.7 ppts

n/a

Dividend per share

EUR0. 65

EUR0.63

12.0 % 8

n/a

1 Assuming constant foreign exchange rates are applied to the result in the current and prior period

2 Underlying EBITA has been adjusted for gains/losses on disposal of investments, restructuring costs according to IAS 37, ancillary acquisition costs and conditional purchase price payments under purchase price allocations and other expenses and income from one-off items

3 Reported EBITA comprises earnings before net interest result, income tax and impairment of goodwill and excluding the result from the measurement of interest hedges

4 For calculation of underlying earnings per share please refer to page 58 of the Annual Report

5 For reconciliation of earnings before tax to underlying EBITA, please refer to page 57 of the Annual Report

6 Leverage rati o is calculated as the ratio of gross debt (including net pension liabilities and discounted value of operating leases) to reported EBITDAR

7 ROIC (return on invested capital) is calculated as the ratio of underlying EBITA to the average for invested interest bearing capital fo r the Group or relev ant segment

8 Percentage growth in dividend per share is calculated off the base dividend in respect of FY16 of EUR0.58 per share (excluding the additional 10% announced at the time of the merger)

Annual Report and Investor & Analyst Presentation and Webcas t

A ful l copy of our Annual Report can be found on our corporate website: http://www.tuigroup.com/en-en/investors . A presentation and webcast for investors and analysts will take place today at 09:30 GMT / 10:30 CET. The presentation will be made available via our website shortly beforehand. Details of the webcast, which will be available for replay, will also be available there.


FY 17 RESULTS

  • We have delivered a third consecutive year of strong ear nings growth, with underlying EBITA increasing to EUR 1, 10 2 m or 12 % growth at constant currency rates . This w as d riven by growth across the business, including our own hotel and cruise content, Source Markets and the delivery of the final tranche of merger sy nergies . Significant growth in underlying EBITA was delivered despite the impact of higher than normal levels of sickness in TUI fly at the start of the financial year (as previously flagged) as well as the impact of the Air Berlin insolvency (see below for further detail) .

In EURm

Underlying EBITA FY 1 6

1,001

Hotel & cruise content

+131

Source Markets & other segments

+8

Merger synergies

+20

TUI fly sickness (Q1 )

-24

Air Berlin insolvency

-15

Underlying EBITA FY 17 excluding FX

1, 121

Foreign exchange translation

- 19

Un derlying EBITA FY 1 7

1, 10 2

  • Growth in underlying EBITA was driven across our business segments , demonstrating the strength of our integrated business mo del and well balanced portfolio of markets and destinations.

Underlying EBITA in EURm

FY 17 at constant c urrency

FY 16

Variance at constant currency

FY 17 at actual rates

Variance at actual rates

Hotels & Resorts

362

304

+58

357

+53

Cruise s

263

191

+72

256

+65

Source Markets

532

554

-22 *

526

-28 *

Northern Region

351

383

-32

346

-37

Central Region

72

85

-13 *

71

-14 *

Western Region

109

86

+23

109

+23

Other Tourism

18

8

+10

13

+5

Total Tourism

1,175

1,057

+118

1,152

+95

All Other Segments

-54

-56

+2

-50

+ 6

Total TUI Group

1,121

1,001

+120

1,10 2

+ 101

* includes the adverse impact of higher than normal le vels of sickness in TUI fly at the start of the financial year (EUR24m) and the impact of the Air Berlin insolvency (EUR15m); excluding these items , and at constant currency, Source Markets variance was +EUR17m and Central Region variance was +EUR26m

  • Hotels & Res orts delivered a strong performance , with segmental ROIC increasing to 13.2 % (versus segmental WACC of 8.5 %) .
    • We opened ten new hotels this year in our core brands , bringing the total since merger to 28 . M ore than 60% of these are operated with no or low capital intensity .
    • Hotels & Resorts continues to deliver high levels of occupancy , now 79% , thanks to our strong portfolio of brands and destinations, and our integrated model. Average revenue per bed increased by 6 %. The earnings result reflects a continued strong performance in the Western Mediterranean and Caribbean, and encouraging improvement in T urkey and North Africa, as well as earnings from new hotel openings.
    • FY 17 marks the fourth consecutive year of increasing ROIC for Hotels & Resorts . This demonstrates the attractiveness of our portfolio of hotel and club brands, the strength of our distribution capabilities, and our disciplined approach to investment .
    • For further commentary on Hotels & Resorts, please see page 6 0 of the Annual Report.

  • Cruise delivered another year of strong earnings growth , with strong segmental ROIC of 19.9 % (versus segmental WACC of 5.25 %) .
    • Growth in earnings was driven primarily by the launch of new ships in Germany and UK.
    • A verage daily rates increased across all three fleets, despite the increase in capacity.
    • S egmental ROIC re mains high, reflecting our equity participation in TUI Cruises as well as excellent performances by our UK and Hapag-Lloyd Cruises subsidiaries.
    • For further commentary on Cruise, please see page s 60 to 6 1 of the Annual Report.

  • Our S ales & M arketing in Source Markets del ivered a strong portfolio performance , thanks to their geographic diversity, market leading positions, popular range of holiday products and focus on efficiency.
    • Customer volumes (excluding joint ventures) grew by 6 % to 20.2 million , with growth in all three regions.
    • Source Markets delivered a h igh net promoter score of 50 overall , with year on year increases in most of our markets .
    • The TUI rebrand was completed successfully in Nordics and Belgium. This has helped to drive a further increase in direct and online distribution , to 73 % and 46 % respectively . The UK rebrand commenced in October and is progressing very well.
    • Overall, Source Markets delivered a strong portfolio performance this year, with particularly good operational performances in Nordics, Germany and Benelux this Summer. As previously flagged, this has helped to offset the normalisation of UK margins dri ven by currency cost inflation and a disappointing Q4 in France.
    • As previ ously communicated the result was impacted by the sickness incident in TUI fly at the start of the financial year, costing EUR24m.
    • The Central Region result also includes an adverse variance to prior year of c. EUR15m following the Air Berlin insolvency, relat ing to receivables for aircraft and crew leased to Air Berlin in FY17 on which the latter defaulted.
    • For further commentary on Source Markets please refer to page s 6 1 to 6 3 of the Annual Report.

  • The result for Other Tourism and All Other Segments reflects the delivery of the final tranche of merger synergies, as well as a good performance by Destination Services , which deliver s a key part of the customer holiday experience.

  • Adjustments between underlying and reported EBITA continued to decrease this year , driven by continued disciplined management of separately disclosed items. For further detail on Ad justments, please refer to pages 57 to 58 of the Annual Report.

  • Underlying EPS increased to EUR 1.14 , or 34 % gr owth at constant currency rates, driven by the s trong operational performance outlined above , lower cost of finance driven by our improved rating, and low underlying effective tax rate of 20%. For the calculation of underlying EPS, please refer to page 58 of the Annual Report.

  • Earnings before tax therefore also increased significantly, to EUR 1,080 m. This included EUR 172 m gain on the disposal of our remaining shares in Hapag - Lloyd AG during the financial year.

  • We continue to deliver strong c ash conversion , driven by our disciplined management of working capital, separately disclosed items and investments , as well our low cost of finance and effective tax rate. In addition, we have generated EUR2 billion from the disposals of Hotelbeds, Travelopia and Hapag - Lloyd AG since September 2016 . Our strong cash flow and disposal proceeds enable us to fina nce growth, pay an attractive dividend and strengthen the balance sheet, with our leverage ratio reducing further this year.

  • We remain committed to delivering attractive returns to our shareholders, w ith a proposed dividend of EUR0.65 per share. This is in line with our guidance to increase the base dividend in line with annual underlying EBITA growth at constant currency.

TRADING FOR FUTURE SEASONS IS PROGRESSING WELL OVERALL

  • Demand for our holidays, hotels and cruise brands remains strong :
    • Further growth in own hotel brands, with seven openings scheduled so far for FY 18 , continued strong demand for West ern Mediterranean and Caribbean and improving demand for Turkey and North Africa.
    • Strong cruise yields and load factors across all three brands, with ship launches scheduled for 2018 and 2019 .
    • Source Market volumes and average selling price both up 3 % for Winter 2017/18 , with percentage sold slightly ahead of prior year ; Summer 2018 performing in line with our expectations, albeit at a very early stage.

CURRENT TRADING

Demand for our holidays, hotels and cruises remains strong. In Hotels & Resorts we have seven openings scheduled to date for our core brands in FY 18 . These include Robinson cl ubs in the Maldives and Thailand , Riu hotel s in Mexico and Bulgaria , two Blue Diamond p roperties in Dominican Republic and a Sensatori in Rhodes . We are also continuing to streamline our portfolio, with further repositionings under the TUI Blue brand currently planned for four existing hotels. We continue to see strong demand for the Western Mediterranean and Caribbean, which are already operating at a high level of occupancy and rate, and expect to see some improvement in demand for Turkey and North Africa , including from our own Source Markets.

In May 2018 we will launch two ships - the new Mein Schiff 1 for TUI Cruises in Hamburg, and the Marella Explorer (previously Mein Schiff 1) in Palma de Mallorca. Further launches will follow in Summer 2019 for TUI Cruises and Marella Cruises, as well as two new expedition ships for Hapag-Lloyd Cruises in 2019. Bookings for our new ships and the existing fleet are progressing very well, with a year on year increase in fleet yield for each of the three brands.

Source Markets trading is progressing well, in line with our expectations. Winter volumes are ahead of prior year, with strong growth in bookings for Thailand, Cape Verde, North Africa and Cyprus. Demand is more subdued for the Caribbean following the hurricanes in September , however this is offset by demand for other destinations with overall long haul bookings up 4 % . Both Nordics and Germany have continued their strong performance s . In Germany, we continue to build market share with a good trading margin performance , with particularly strong demand for Canaries, North Africa and Thailand. In Nordics , strong volume growth continues and reflects the strategy to grow early volumes. The rollout of our yield management system is also helping to drive a strong margin performance . In Benelux, both volumes and average selling price are ahead of prior year .

Despite the Brexit backdrop, the UK continues to deliver a resilient performance in line with our expectatio ns. Year on year bookings and selling price for Winter 2017/18 reflect the very strong start in prior year trading (when bookings were up 19 % including Marella Cruises ) a nd impact of currency inflation . L oad factor and percentage of the UK programme sold remain in line with prior year . We are also very pleased with the progress of the UK rebrand, with una ided awareness of the TUI brand performing ahead of our original expectations for this stage . As expected, although UK demand for holidays abroad remains strong, margins across the package holiday market are normalising , primarily as a result of the weaker Pound Sterling. Nonetheless, our margins remain healthy and we are well positioned competitively . TUI is the clear market leader in package holidays in the UK , with a strong net promote r score of 55 in FY17 , high levels of direct and online distribution , and a highly integrated and efficient business model.

Source Markets - Current Trading 2

Winter 2017 /18

YoY variation%

Total

Revenue

Total

Customers

Total

ASP

Programme sold (%)

Northern Region

+6

+0

+6

63

UK

+3

- 4

+8

57

Memo: UK incl. Cruise

+ 7

-3

+10

59

Nordics

+10

+7

+ 3

74

Central Region

+7

+ 8

-1

64

Germany

+ 9

+ 9

+ 1

63

Western Region

+ 3

+0

+2

65

Benelux

+4

+2

+2

65

Total Source Markets

+ 6

+3

+3

63

Memo: Total Source Markets incl. UK Cruise

+7

+ 3

+3

64

2 These statistics are up to 3 December 2017, shown on a constant currency basis and relate to all customers whether risk or non-risk

For Summer 2018 , Source Markets trading is performing in line with our expectations, albeit at a very early stage. As usual for this point in the booking cycle, o nly the UK is more than 20% booked . UK booked revenue (excluding Marella Cruises) is up 2%, with bookings slightly below the strong start to prior year (when bookings were up 9% including Marella Cruises) and average selling price up 4 %.

FUEL/FOREIGN EXCHANGE

Our strategy of hedging the majority of our jet fuel and currency requirements for future seasons, as detailed below, remains unchanged. This gives us certainty of costs when planning capacity and pricing . The following table shows the percentage of our forecast requirement that is currently hedged for Euros, US Dollars and jet fuel for our Source Markets , which account for over 90% of our Group currency and fuel exposure.

Winter 2017 /1 8

Summer 201 8

Winter 2018 /1 9

Euro

9 5 %

71 %

3 6 %

US Dollars

9 3 %

8 6 %

50 %

Jet Fuel

93 %

85 %

6 3 %

As at 8 December 2017

DIVIDEND

The Executive Board and the Superv isory Board are recommending a dividend of 65 cents per share in respect of the financial year 2017. Subject to approval at the Annual General Meeting on 13 February 2018, shareholders who held relevant shares at close of business on 13 February 2018 will receive the dividend on 16 February 2018.

OUTLOOK

Three years after the merger, we are a stronger, more integrated and better strategically positioned business. Having delivered the merger synergies in full and disposed non-core businesses, the post - merger phase is now complete.

Looking ahead we continue to expect to deliver double digit annual earnings growth with less seasonality, strong cash conversion and st rong ROIC performance. This will be driven increasingly by market demand and digitalisation benefits , as well as disciplined expansion of own hotel and cru ise content.

We have a clear ambition - strong strategic positioning, strong earnings growth and strong cash generation, with underlying EBITA doubling between FY14 and FY20.

With regard to the ongoing Brexit negotiations between the UK and the EU, w e expect and strongly encourage those involved in the negotiations to have a workable solution in place for the airlines, including that current arrangements are extended until such a solution is reached. Whilst we are not able to control the outcome of these negotiations, we are putting contingency plans in place in order to manage potentia l disruption to our operations.

Trading for future seasons is progressing well overall, and our balanced portfolio of markets and destinations and strong competitive position leave us well placed to deliver further growth, despite external factors which sometimes influence certain parts of the business. W e therefore expect to deliver at least 10% growth in underlying EBITA in FY 18 1 and extend our previous guidance of at least 10% underlying EBITA CAGR to FY 20 1 .

The following detailed guidance is given in respect of FY 18 1 :

  • Turnover - around 3 % growth (excluding cost inflation relating to currency movements)
  • Underlying EB ITA - at least 10% growth
  • Adjustments - around EUR 80 m
  • Net interest - around EUR 120 m
  • Net capex and investments - around EUR 1.2 bn , including net pre-delivery payments and assumed acquisition of Mein Schiff 1 for Marella Cruises , and phasing of expenditure from FY1 7
  • Year end net debt - slightly negative , reflecting investment in transformational growth and aircraft order book finance
  • Financial targets - leverage ratio 3.0 to 2.25 times, interest coverage 5.75 to 6.75 times .

1 Assuming constant foreign exchange rates are applied to the result in the current and prior period and base d on the current Group structure

ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING AND Q1 FY18

TUI Group will hold its Annual Gener al Meeting and issue its Q1 FY 18 Report on 13 February 201 8 .

ANALYST & INVESTOR ENQUIRIES

Peter Kr�ger , Director Investor Relations and M&A

Tel: +49 (0)511 566 1440

Contacts for Analysts and Investors in UK, Ireland and Americas

Sarah Coomes, Head of Investor Relations

Tel: +44 (0)1293 645 827

Hazel Chung , Investor Relations Manager

Tel: +44 (0)1293 645 823

Contacts for Analysts and Investors in Continental Europe, Middle East and Asia

Nicola Gehrt, Head of Investor Relations

Tel: +49 (0)511 566 1435

Ina Klose, Investor Relations Manager

Tel: +49 (0)511 566 1318

Jessica Blinne, Junior Investor Relations Manager

Tel: +49 (0)511 566 1425




ISIN: DE000TUAG000, DE000TUAG281, DE000TUAG299
Category Code: ACS
TIDM: TUI
LEI Code: 529900SL2WSPV293B552
Sequence No.: 5006

End of Announcement EQS News Service

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